CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Iowa, August 21, 2016

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
987 Likely Voters

August 17-19, 2016
4%
1. Which best describes your view about the American way of life, as you know it:
Its changing for the better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Its changing for the worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
Its about the same as its always been . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
2. Iowa gets a lot of attention in election years. Which of these would you most like to tell the
political campaigns about Iowa if you could?
Life in Iowa is better than you think right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Life in Iowa is worse than you think right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
You seem to have a pretty good sense of how life is in Iowa right now . . . 34%
3. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
4. Compared to other recent elections, do you feel more or less motivated to vote this year
than in recent years?
More motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Less motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
About the same as before . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Havent been able to vote before . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
1000 registered voters total were interviewed. 987 likely voters are included.

Iowa
5. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40%

Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Gary Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Jill Stein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably wont vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
6. Which best describes your support for [Candidate Choice] right now?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too strong Ill probably change at some point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
7. Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?

Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Maybe, theres a long way to go until November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%
8. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?

Asked of respondents not voting for Trump
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Maybe, theres a long way to go until November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%

Iowa
9. Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Convinces me shes
telling the truth about
the emails and server
Shows me more of
who she really is as a
person
Stops fundraising
from large donors
Beats Donald Trump
in the fall debates
Reaches out to
conservatives
Explains her past
votes on military
action
Yes, Id reconsider her
No, I still wouldnt

consider her
21%
79%
14%
86%
13%
87%
11%
89%
14%
86%
17%
83%
10. Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?

Apologies to people
he has offended
Convinces me he is
prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Stops saying
controversial things
Beats Hillary Clinton
in the fall debates
Reaches out to
minority groups
Explains his finances
and taxes
Yes, Id reconsider him
No, I still wouldnt

consider him
17%
83%
23%
77%
17%
83%
13%
87%
14%
86%
15%
85%

Iowa
11. How long would you stand in line to vote for [Candidate Choice]?
Less than an hour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
An hour or two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
As long as it takes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61%
None, Ill vote absentee or by mail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
12. From what you have heard, do you think Hillary Clintons campaign is:
Connected to foreign donors and influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Not connected to foreign donors and influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Havent heard enough to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
13. From what you have heard, do you think Donald Trumps campaign is:
Connected to Russia and foreign influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Not connected to Russia and foreign influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Havent heard enough to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
14. When you watch Hillary Clinton campaign, do you think it shows the way she really is, or
do you think she is playing a role just for this campaign?
It shows the way she really is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
She is playing a role just for this campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
15. When you watch Donald Trump campaign, do you think it shows the way he really is, or do
you think he is playing a role just for this campaign?
It shows the way he really is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
He is playing a role just for this campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

Iowa
16. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Would bring change
to Washington
Will look out for
people like you
Treats all people
fairly
Tells the truth
Is a risky choice
Describes
Does not describe
51%
49%
33%
67%
42%
58%
43%
31%
57%
57%
69%
43%
17. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Would bring change
to Washington
Will look out for
people like you
Treats all people
fairly
Tells the truth
Is a risky choice
Describes
Does not describe
32%
68%
69%
31%
36%
64%
29%
38%
73%
71%
62%
27%
18. How much of the Presidential campaign do you expect to watch this fall?
A lot, I follow politics all the time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Some, Ill tune in here and there . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
A bit, but mainly if something big happens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Not much, this race is pretty much settled for me . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

Iowa
19. In the U.S. Senate election in Iowa in November, would you vote for...
Chuck Grassley, the Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Patty Judge, the Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Not sure yet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
20. Whether or not you would vote for him, do you feel Chuck Grassley is the same kind of
Republican as Donald Trump, or a different kind of Republican from Donald Trump?
Same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Different . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76%
21. In general, how widespread do you think voter fraud is in US elections? Do you think this
happens a lot, sometimes, not much, or not at all?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Sometimes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
22. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

Iowa
23. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
24. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
25. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
26. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
27. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

Iowa
28. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
29. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

Iowa
1. American Way of Life
Which best describes your view about the American way of life, as you know it:
Gender
Its changing for the better
Its changing for the worse
Its about the same as its always been
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
65%
19%
18%
66%
15%
13%
64%
23%
27%
50%
23%
15%
68%
17%
12%
71%
17%
14%
64%
22%
16%
66%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(987)
(465)
(522)
(159)
(218)
(367)
(242)
(933)
Party ID
Its changing for the better
Its changing for the worse
Its about the same as its always been
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
16%
65%
19%
33%
42%
25%
11%
67%
22%
2%
87%
11%
43%
35%
22%
14%
55%
31%
4%
89%
7%
9%
78%
13%
19%
58%
23%
7%
91%
2%
18%
58%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(987)
(363)
(274)
(334)
(202)
(375)
(410)
(351)
(635)
(218)
(768)

Iowa
2. Campaign Attention on Battleground States

Iowa gets a lot of attention in election years. Which of these would you most like to tell the political campaigns about Iowa if you could?
Gender
Life in Iowa is better than you think
right now
Life in Iowa is worse than you think
right now
You seem to have a pretty good sense
of how life is in Iowa right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
37%
35%
47%
35%
29%
39%
35%
30%
32%
27%
17%
28%
35%
31%
30%
34%
31%
38%
36%
36%
36%
30%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(972)
(457)
(516)
(159)
(215)
(361)
(237)
(919)
Party ID
Life in Iowa is better than you think
right now
Life in Iowa is worse than you think
right now
You seem to have a pretty good sense
of how life is in Iowa right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
50%
35%
22%
45%
45%
23%
29%
40%
24%
39%
30%
17%
36%
38%
22%
20%
43%
38%
25%
48%
24%
34%
33%
29%
39%
32%
35%
35%
33%
35%
27%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(972)
(355)
(271)
(331)
(200)
(373)
(399)
(343)
(630)
(216)
(757)

Iowa
3. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%
92%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
90%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%
86%
10%
4%
0%
0%
0%
92%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%
91%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%
95%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(987)
(465)
(522)
(159)
(218)
(367)
(243)
(933)
Party ID
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%
92%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%
89%
7%
4%
0%
0%
0%
93%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
96%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
84%
12%
4%
0%
0%
0%
95%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
92%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
91%
8%
1%
0%
0%
0%
96%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
90%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(987)
(363)
(274)
(334)
(202)
(375)
(410)
(351)
(636)
(218)
(769)

Iowa
4. Motivated to Vote this Year

Compared to other recent elections, do you feel more or less motivated to vote this year than in recent years?
Gender
More motivated
Less motivated
About the same as before
Havent been able to vote before
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
22%
23%
1%
52%
22%
26%
1%
56%
23%
20%
1%
49%
33%
14%
4%
52%
23%
24%
0%
52%
23%
26%
0%
63%
14%
23%
1%
53%
23%
23%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(465)
(519)
(156)
(218)
(367)
(243)
(930)
Party ID
More motivated
Less motivated
About the same as before
Havent been able to vote before
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
22%
23%
1%
55%
17%
26%
1%
54%
21%
25%
1%
55%
27%
17%
1%
56%
15%
28%
1%
54%
20%
25%
1%
54%
28%
18%
1%
50%
29%
21%
1%
57%
18%
24%
1%
67%
20%
12%
1%
51%
23%
26%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(360)
(274)
(334)
(202)
(375)
(407)
(351)
(633)
(218)
(766)

Iowa
5. Presidential Vote 2016

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you
vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably wont vote
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
40%
7%
2%
4%
7%
0%
36%
43%
9%
2%
4%
7%
0%
44%
38%
5%
1%
4%
7%
0%
41%
22%
13%
1%
4%
18%
0%
41%
31%
13%
3%
7%
4%
0%
37%
49%
4%
2%
3%
5%
0%
42%
47%
2%
1%
2%
6%
0%
39%
41%
7%
1%
4%
7%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(983)
(465)
(517)
(159)
(218)
(367)
(238)
(929)
Party ID
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably wont vote
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
40%
40%
7%
2%
4%
7%
0%
80%
9%
3%
1%
2%
4%
0%
31%
39%
10%
4%
8%
8%
0%
4%
76%
8%
0%
4%
8%
0%
82%
6%
2%
4%
1%
5%
0%
53%
25%
9%
2%
4%
8%
0%
8%
71%
7%
0%
6%
7%
0%
24%
55%
7%
1%
6%
6%
1%
49%
32%
7%
2%
3%
7%
0%
9%
75%
7%
0%
5%
4%
0%
49%
30%
7%
2%
4%
8%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(983)
(363)
(270)
(334)
(202)
(371)
(410)
(347)
(636)
(218)
(764)

Iowa
6. Support for Candidate

Which best describes your support for [Candidate Choice] right now?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump
Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably change
at some point
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
27%
60%
29%
61%
26%
49%
35%
62%
25%
59%
28%
67%
24%
61%
27%
11%
9%
12%
12%
13%
11%
8%
10%
2%
2%
1%
4%
0%
2%
1%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(786)
(364)
(423)
(101)
(157)
(316)
(212)
(742)
Party ID
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably change
at some point
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(11)
(10)
White Evangelical
(23)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
60%
27%
63%
25%
57%
29%
60%
30%
73%
19%
54%
29%
59%
31%
62%
24%
59%
29%
62%
32%
60%
26%
11%
12%
10%
10%
6%
14%
9%
13%
10%
5%
12%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(786)
(321)
(187)
(268)
(176)
(288)
(323)
(274)
(512)
(182)
(604)

Iowa
7. Consider Clinton
Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?
Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, theres a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
4%
4%
13%
83%
Age group
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
3%
11%
1%
3%
4%
10%
85%
15%
82%
36%
53%
11%
88%
9%
88%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(593)
(299)
(294)
(93)
(128)
Party ID
Total
Yes, I would
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Democrat
Independent
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
5%
91%
12%
84%
100%
100%
100%
(230)
(142)
(569)
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
(1)
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
(7)
No
(16)
Tea Party
Yes
No
4%
17%
6%
0%
9%
1%
2%
5%
0%
6%
13%
83%
26%
57%
14%
80%
8%
91%
19%
72%
8%
91%
10%
87%
14%
80%
5%
95%
17%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(72)
(190)
(320)
100%
(593)
(180)
(377)
(268)
(325)
(200)
(394)
(36)

Iowa
8. Consider Trump
Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Gender
Yes, I would
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
2%
4%
15%
83%
Age group
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
1%
4%
3%
2%
0%
19%
78%
12%
86%
21%
75%
16%
80%
13%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(266)
(325)
(123)
(149)
Party ID
Total
Yes, I would
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Democrat
Independent
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
11%
89%
16%
82%
100%
100%
100%
(187)
(131)
(553)
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
(13)
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
(7)
No
(18)
Tea Party
Yes
No
2%
1%
3%
6%
1%
1%
7%
2%
3%
7%
2%
15%
83%
6%
92%
13%
84%
55%
40%
5%
94%
10%
88%
44%
49%
28%
70%
10%
87%
44%
49%
12%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(591)
(330)
(170)
(80)
(190)
(283)
(117)
(160)
(431)
(55)
(535)

Iowa
9. Reconsider Hillary Clinton Convinces me shes telling the truth about the emails and server
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Gender
No, I still wouldnt consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
21%
79%
21%
79%
22%
78%
43%
57%
15%
85%
21%
79%
13%
87%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(576)
(289)
(287)
(92)
(123)
(224)
(137)
(555)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(0)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
21%
79%
51%
49%
29%
71%
11%
89%
34%
66%
12%
88%
15%
85%
26%
74%
7%
93%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(66)
(181)
(319)
100%
(576)
(171)
(370)
(257)
(319)
(198)
(378)
(36)

Iowa
10. Reconsider Hillary Clinton Shows me more of who she really is as a person
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
86%
13%
87%
16%
84%
40%
60%
13%
87%
7%
93%
10%
90%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(573)
(288)
(286)
(93)
(123)
(221)
(136)
(551)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(0)
(7)
White Evangelical
(15)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
14%
86%
39%
61%
23%
77%
4%
96%
29%
71%
4%
96%
8%
92%
20%
80%
3%
97%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(63)
(180)
(318)
100%
(573)
(169)
(369)
(257)
(316)
(197)
(376)
(35)
10

Iowa
11. Reconsider Hillary Clinton Stops fundraising from large donors

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
13%
87%
9%
91%
17%
83%
24%
76%
15%
85%
10%
90%
9%
91%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(570)
(283)
(287)
(87)
(123)
(224)
(136)
(549)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(1)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
13%
87%
29%
71%
21%
79%
5%
95%
22%
78%
6%
94%
9%
91%
16%
84%
3%
97%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(61)
(181)
(318)
100%
(570)
(170)
(369)
(257)
(314)
(198)
(372)
(31)
11

Iowa
12. Reconsider Hillary Clinton Beats Donald Trump in the fall debates
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
11%
89%
8%
92%
14%
86%
29%
71%
10%
90%
6%
94%
8%
92%
11%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(575)
(284)
(291)
(88)
(123)
(224)
(140)
(554)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(0)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
11%
89%
32%
68%
14%
86%
4%
96%
20%
80%
5%
95%
8%
92%
14%
86%
2%
98%
16%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(62)
(184)
(318)
100%
(575)
(172)
(372)
(263)
(312)
(198)
(377)
(31)
12

Iowa
13. Reconsider Hillary Clinton Reaches out to conservatives

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
86%
12%
88%
15%
85%
36%
64%
11%
89%
9%
91%
10%
90%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(571)
(283)
(287)
(87)
(123)
(224)
(137)
(549)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(0)
(7)
White Evangelical
(15)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
14%
86%
27%
73%
15%
85%
10%
90%
22%
78%
9%
91%
14%
86%
14%
86%
7%
93%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(61)
(180)
(319)
100%
(571)
(170)
(369)
(256)
(314)
(198)
(373)
(31)
13

Iowa
14. Reconsider Hillary Clinton Explains her past votes on military action
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
83%
15%
85%
19%
81%
38%
62%
12%
88%
15%
85%
10%
90%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(573)
(287)
(287)
(88)
(123)
(226)
(136)
(552)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(0)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
17%
83%
50%
50%
23%
77%
6%
94%
31%
69%
7%
93%
12%
88%
21%
79%
3%
97%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(64)
(180)
(319)
100%
(573)
(170)
(372)
(259)
(314)
(198)
(375)
(31)
14

Iowa
15. Reconsider Donald Trump Apologies to people he has offended

Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Gender
No, I still wouldnt consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
83%
21%
79%
14%
86%
27%
73%
20%
80%
12%
88%
13%
87%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(576)
(259)
(317)
(118)
(143)
(184)
(131)
(542)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
17%
83%
9%
91%
19%
81%
49%
51%
10%
90%
12%
88%
42%
58%
25%
75%
14%
86%
46%
54%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(576)
(319)
(166)
(80)
(186)
(274)
(116)
(157)
(419)
(54)
(522)
15

Iowa
16. Reconsider Donald Trump Convinces me he is prepared to be Commander in Chief

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
23%
77%
26%
74%
21%
79%
35%
65%
28%
72%
18%
82%
15%
85%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(573)
(261)
(312)
(115)
(144)
(186)
(128)
(540)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
23%
77%
10%
90%
24%
76%
71%
29%
11%
89%
17%
83%
57%
43%
36%
64%
18%
82%
60%
40%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(573)
(316)
(167)
(79)
(185)
(273)
(115)
(158)
(415)
(55)
(518)
16

Iowa
17. Reconsider Donald Trump Stops saying controversial things

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
83%
19%
81%
15%
85%
31%
69%
17%
83%
12%
88%
12%
88%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(576)
(260)
(316)
(115)
(149)
(183)
(128)
(540)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(7)
White Evangelical
(17)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
17%
83%
8%
92%
18%
82%
53%
47%
7%
93%
13%
87%
44%
56%
25%
75%
14%
86%
37%
63%
15%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(576)
(319)
(167)
(79)
(187)
(276)
(114)
(158)
(418)
(55)
(521)
17

Iowa
18. Reconsider Donald Trump Beats Hillary Clinton in the fall debates
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
13%
87%
19%
81%
8%
92%
18%
82%
16%
84%
11%
89%
9%
91%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(571)
(259)
(312)
(115)
(143)
(185)
(126)
(538)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
13%
87%
6%
94%
13%
87%
40%
60%
6%
94%
8%
92%
35%
65%
20%
80%
10%
90%
38%
62%
10%
90%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(571)
(315)
(167)
(79)
(185)
(272)
(114)
(157)
(414)
(55)
(516)
18

Iowa
19. Reconsider Donald Trump Reaches out to minority groups

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
86%
15%
85%
13%
87%
20%
80%
17%
83%
9%
91%
11%
89%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(573)
(260)
(313)
(115)
(144)
(184)
(129)
(539)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(7)
White Evangelical
(15)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
14%
86%
6%
94%
19%
81%
33%
67%
8%
92%
12%
88%
28%
72%
17%
83%
12%
88%
18%
82%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(573)
(315)
(168)
(79)
(186)
(273)
(114)
(159)
(413)
(55)
(518)
19

Iowa
20. Reconsider Donald Trump Explains his finances and taxes

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
15%
85%
16%
84%
15%
85%
25%
75%
12%
88%
12%
88%
16%
84%
15%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(568)
(257)
(312)
(113)
(143)
(182)
(129)
(535)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(7)
White Evangelical
(14)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
15%
85%
9%
91%
15%
85%
41%
59%
8%
92%
13%
87%
33%
67%
21%
79%
13%
87%
30%
70%
14%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(568)
(312)
(167)
(79)
(183)
(272)
(113)
(158)
(411)
(55)
(513)
20

Iowa
21. Wait in Line to Vote

How long would you stand in line to vote for [Candidate Choice]?
Gender
Less than an hour
An hour or two
As long as it takes
None, Ill vote absentee or by mail
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
13%
5%
61%
21%
12%
5%
64%
20%
13%
6%
58%
23%
15%
8%
63%
14%
13%
6%
63%
18%
14%
5%
57%
24%
8%
3%
63%
25%
13%
5%
60%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(415)
(456)
(123)
(193)
(337)
(217)
(822)
Party ID
Less than an hour
An hour or two
As long as it takes
None, Ill vote absentee or by mail
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(11)
White Evangelical
(25)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
13%
5%
61%
21%
9%
6%
56%
28%
10%
6%
62%
23%
18%
4%
66%
12%
8%
8%
60%
24%
11%
5%
57%
27%
17%
4%
65%
15%
17%
4%
61%
18%
10%
6%
61%
23%
10%
4%
71%
15%
13%
5%
58%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(340)
(225)
(295)
(189)
(327)
(355)
(301)
(570)
(198)
(673)
21

Iowa
22. Foreign Influence on Clinton Campaign

From what you have heard, do you think Hillary Clintons campaign is:
Gender
Connected to foreign donors and
influence
Not connected to foreign donors and
influence
Havent heard enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
60%
44%
49%
46%
55%
53%
52%
23%
26%
24%
16%
21%
35%
24%
28%
20%
34%
23%
22%
24%
23%
22%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(985)
(465)
(520)
(159)
(218)
(367)
(241)
(932)
Party ID
Connected to foreign donors and
influence
Not connected to foreign donors and
influence
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
23%
55%
79%
23%
35%
81%
67%
43%
90%
40%
23%
26%
42%
35%
20%
26%
5%
16%
44%
33%
29%
36%
6%
14%
11%
22%
29%
28%
3%
7%
28%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(985)
(362)
(273)
(334)
(202)
(374)
(410)
(351)
(634)
(218)
(767)
22

Iowa
23. Foreign Influence on Trump Campaign

From what you have heard, do you think Donald Trumps campaign is:
Gender
Connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Not connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
30%
29%
37%
29%
27%
30%
29%
38%
32%
47%
22%
29%
41%
29%
34%
31%
40%
44%
29%
40%
30%
38%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(465)
(519)
(159)
(218)
(367)
(239)
(930)
Party ID
Connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Not connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Democrat
Independent
30%
49%
29%
38%
32%
17%
34%
100%
(984)
Ideology
Republican
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
9%
57%
35%
11%
19%
36%
12%
35%
42%
29%
57%
34%
15%
28%
26%
39%
60%
29%
44%
37%
34%
30%
73%
15%
28%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(361)
(274)
(332)
(200)
(375)
(408)
(351)
(633)
(217)
(766)
23

Iowa
24. Hillary Clinton Campaign

When you watch Hillary Clinton campaign, do you think it shows the way she really is, or do you think she is playing a role just for this campaign?
Gender
It shows the way she really is
She is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
39%
44%
46%
39%
39%
43%
40%
59%
61%
56%
54%
61%
61%
57%
60%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(463)
(520)
(159)
(218)
(366)
(240)
(930)
Party ID
It shows the way she really is
She is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
41%
75%
33%
12%
76%
52%
15%
30%
48%
15%
49%
59%
25%
67%
88%
24%
48%
85%
70%
52%
85%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(363)
(271)
(334)
(200)
(375)
(408)
(350)
(633)
(218)
(766)
24

Iowa
25. Donald Trump Campaign

When you watch Donald Trump campaign, do you think it shows the way he really is, or do you think he is playing a role just for this campaign?
Gender
It shows the way he really is
He is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
72%
72%
72%
63%
65%
75%
79%
72%
28%
28%
28%
37%
35%
25%
21%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(983)
(462)
(520)
(159)
(218)
(366)
(240)
(929)
Party ID
It shows the way he really is
He is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
72%
68%
74%
75%
73%
70%
73%
72%
72%
74%
71%
28%
32%
26%
25%
27%
30%
27%
28%
28%
26%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(983)
(362)
(272)
(333)
(201)
(374)
(408)
(349)
(634)
(218)
(765)
25

Iowa
26. Clinton Traits Is prepared to be Commander in Chief

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
50%
50%
52%
48%
62%
38%
53%
47%
48%
52%
46%
54%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(966)
(461)
(506)
(155)
(215)
(363)
(233)
(915)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(26)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
49%
88%
12%
49%
51%
14%
86%
87%
13%
67%
33%
18%
82%
36%
64%
59%
41%
15%
85%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(966)
(357)
(263)
(331)
(201)
(364)
(401)
(344)
(622)
(217)
(750)
26

Iowa
27. Clinton Traits Would bring change to Washington

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
23%
77%
42%
58%
47%
53%
30%
70%
26%
74%
38%
62%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(962)
(460)
(501)
(155)
(212)
(362)
(232)
(913)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(23)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
67%
60%
40%
26%
74%
9%
91%
56%
44%
41%
59%
14%
86%
29%
71%
35%
65%
14%
86%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(962)
(351)
(263)
(332)
(200)
(361)
(401)
(345)
(617)
(217)
(745)
27

Iowa
28. Clinton Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
42%
58%
37%
63%
46%
54%
50%
50%
41%
59%
38%
62%
43%
57%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(960)
(459)
(501)
(155)
(212)
(360)
(233)
(912)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(23)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
42%
58%
80%
20%
36%
64%
6%
94%
79%
21%
57%
43%
9%
91%
27%
73%
50%
50%
10%
90%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(960)
(350)
(263)
(332)
(200)
(359)
(401)
(345)
(616)
(217)
(744)
28

Iowa
29. Clinton Traits Treats all people fairly

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
43%
57%
37%
63%
48%
52%
52%
48%
41%
59%
41%
59%
41%
59%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(962)
(460)
(502)
(154)
(213)
(362)
(232)
(914)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(11)
White Evangelical
(23)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
43%
57%
79%
21%
37%
63%
8%
92%
77%
23%
58%
42%
12%
88%
29%
71%
51%
49%
9%
91%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(962)
(352)
(262)
(332)
(200)
(361)
(401)
(345)
(618)
(216)
(746)
29

Iowa
30. Clinton Traits Tells the truth

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
31%
69%
29%
71%
33%
67%
34%
66%
29%
71%
30%
70%
32%
68%
30%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(958)
(459)
(498)
(155)
(212)
(361)
(229)
(909)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(23)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
31%
69%
62%
38%
22%
78%
4%
96%
65%
35%
36%
64%
9%
91%
23%
77%
35%
65%
9%
91%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(958)
(348)
(263)
(331)
(201)
(357)
(400)
(345)
(613)
(216)
(742)
30

Iowa
31. Clinton Traits Is a risky choice

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
43%
61%
39%
54%
46%
69%
31%
54%
46%
60%
40%
48%
52%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(969)
(463)
(506)
(156)
(212)
(362)
(238)
(919)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(25)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
57%
43%
26%
74%
61%
39%
86%
14%
23%
77%
44%
56%
87%
13%
72%
28%
49%
51%
93%
7%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(969)
(352)
(268)
(333)
(200)
(366)
(403)
(349)
(620)
(217)
(751)
31

Iowa
32. Trump Traits Is prepared to be Commander in Chief

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
32%
68%
33%
67%
31%
69%
19%
81%
24%
76%
36%
64%
42%
58%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(955)
(454)
(501)
(155)
(213)
(360)
(227)
(907)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(24)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
32%
68%
7%
93%
34%
66%
56%
44%
6%
94%
21%
79%
55%
45%
39%
61%
28%
72%
60%
40%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(955)
(349)
(264)
(327)
(198)
(360)
(397)
(340)
(615)
(212)
(743)
32

Iowa
33. Trump Traits Would bring change to Washington

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
69%
31%
71%
29%
66%
34%
66%
34%
71%
29%
68%
32%
68%
32%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(963)
(456)
(507)
(155)
(213)
(365)
(231)
(914)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(25)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
69%
31%
48%
52%
70%
30%
90%
10%
45%
55%
59%
41%
89%
11%
76%
24%
64%
36%
90%
10%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(963)
(351)
(269)
(327)
(199)
(364)
(400)
(346)
(617)
(214)
(749)
33

Iowa
34. Trump Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
64%
38%
62%
35%
65%
28%
72%
28%
72%
41%
59%
44%
56%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(957)
(453)
(504)
(155)
(213)
(361)
(228)
(909)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(24)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
64%
8%
92%
34%
66%
69%
31%
8%
92%
20%
80%
65%
35%
48%
52%
30%
70%
69%
31%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(957)
(350)
(265)
(327)
(199)
(359)
(399)
(342)
(615)
(214)
(743)
34

Iowa
35. Trump Traits Treats all people fairly

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
29%
71%
30%
70%
28%
72%
15%
85%
21%
79%
33%
67%
41%
59%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(956)
(455)
(501)
(155)
(213)
(363)
(226)
(908)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(24)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
29%
71%
3%
97%
31%
69%
55%
45%
5%
95%
16%
84%
53%
47%
35%
65%
26%
74%
61%
39%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(956)
(351)
(264)
(325)
(199)
(361)
(396)
(339)
(617)
(212)
(745)
35

Iowa
36. Trump Traits Tells the truth

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
62%
37%
63%
39%
61%
28%
72%
32%
68%
43%
57%
44%
56%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(959)
(456)
(503)
(155)
(216)
(363)
(224)
(906)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(28)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
38%
62%
12%
88%
37%
63%
68%
32%
8%
92%
25%
75%
65%
35%
48%
52%
33%
67%
68%
32%
30%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(959)
(354)
(265)
(325)
(199)
(365)
(396)
(339)
(620)
(214)
(745)
36

Iowa
37. Trump Traits Is a risky choice

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
73%
27%
71%
29%
75%
25%
92%
8%
84%
16%
67%
33%
60%
40%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(959)
(455)
(503)
(155)
(212)
(363)
(228)
(910)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(24)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
73%
27%
84%
16%
77%
23%
59%
41%
88%
12%
82%
18%
58%
42%
66%
34%
77%
23%
49%
51%
80%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(959)
(351)
(264)
(328)
(199)
(361)
(398)
(341)
(617)
(214)
(744)
37

Iowa
38. Attention to Campaign this Fall

How much of the Presidential campaign do you expect to watch this fall?
Gender
A lot, I follow politics all the time
Some, Ill tune in here and there
A bit, but mainly if something big
happens
Not much, this race is pretty much
settled for me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
43%
35%
56%
29%
32%
41%
40%
43%
43%
30%
43%
36%
47%
34%
43%
35%
13%
9%
16%
13%
20%
12%
7%
13%
9%
6%
11%
4%
7%
9%
12%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(986)
(465)
(521)
(159)
(218)
(366)
(243)
(933)
Party ID
A lot, I follow politics all the time
Some, Ill tune in here and there
A bit, but mainly if something big
happens
Not much, this race is pretty much
settled for me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
43%
35%
39%
39%
45%
34%
48%
32%
48%
34%
33%
39%
51%
32%
47%
31%
41%
37%
66%
22%
37%
39%
13%
14%
10%
12%
11%
18%
9%
13%
12%
5%
15%
9%
8%
11%
8%
6%
10%
8%
8%
9%
7%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(986)
(362)
(274)
(334)
(201)
(375)
(410)
(351)
(635)
(218)
(768)
38

Iowa
39. Senate Vote 2016

In the U.S. Senate election in Iowa in November, would you vote for...
Gender
Chuck Grassley, the Republican
Patty Judge, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
38%
15%
1%
49%
39%
10%
2%
42%
38%
20%
1%
34%
36%
30%
1%
43%
38%
17%
2%
51%
35%
13%
1%
47%
45%
8%
0%
46%
38%
15%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(985)
(465)
(520)
(159)
(217)
(367)
(241)
(931)
Party ID
Chuck Grassley, the Republican
Patty Judge, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
45%
38%
15%
1%
8%
75%
17%
0%
43%
34%
19%
4%
88%
3%
9%
0%
4%
82%
13%
1%
25%
48%
26%
1%
84%
8%
7%
1%
67%
23%
10%
1%
34%
47%
19%
1%
90%
7%
2%
0%
33%
47%
19%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(985)
(363)
(272)
(334)
(202)
(373)
(409)
(351)
(634)
(218)
(767)
39

Iowa
40. Grassley Same Kind of Republican as Trump

Whether or not you would vote for him, do you feel Chuck Grassley is the same kind of Republican as Donald Trump, or a different kind of Republican from Donald
Trump?
Gender
Same
Different
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
24%
76%
21%
79%
26%
74%
26%
74%
19%
81%
22%
78%
29%
71%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(985)
(464)
(521)
(158)
(217)
(366)
(243)
(931)
Party ID
Same
Different
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
24%
76%
34%
66%
19%
81%
19%
81%
36%
64%
23%
77%
19%
81%
22%
78%
25%
75%
20%
80%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(985)
(363)
(273)
(333)
(200)
(375)
(410)
(351)
(634)
(218)
(766)
40

Iowa
41. Voter Fraud

In general, how widespread do you think voter fraud is in US elections? Do you think this happens a lot, sometimes, not much, or not at all?
Gender
A lot
Sometimes
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
29%
33%
25%
13%
31%
28%
24%
17%
27%
37%
26%
10%
30%
34%
21%
15%
22%
41%
22%
15%
28%
31%
26%
15%
36%
27%
28%
9%
29%
33%
24%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(463)
(521)
(158)
(218)
(367)
(242)
(931)
Party ID
A lot
Sometimes
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
(13)
(12)
White Evangelical
(29)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
29%
33%
25%
13%
11%
29%
36%
24%
32%
31%
22%
14%
46%
36%
16%
1%
10%
22%
32%
36%
17%
36%
34%
13%
49%
35%
13%
3%
42%
33%
23%
2%
22%
32%
26%
20%
61%
32%
5%
2%
20%
33%
31%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(984)
(361)
(273)
(334)
(201)
(375)
(409)
(350)
(634)
(218)
(766)
41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Iowa, August 21, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Iowa, August 21, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

987 Likely Voters