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Toro Co (The)
S&P Capital IQ
HOLD
Recommendation
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst J. Corridore
Price
$91.35 (as of Jul 22, 2016 4:00 PM ET)
Report Currency
USD
Investment Style
Mid-Cap Growth
Summary This company designs, makes and markets turf maintenance equipment for
residential, golf course, agricultural and sports field customers.
Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)
52-Wk Range
$91.56 64.71
Trailing 12-Month EPS
$3.94
Trailing 12-Month P/E
23.2
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago
$33,700
3.92
4.48
23.3
54.5
Market Capitalization(B)
Yield (%)
Dividend Rate/Share
Institutional Ownership (%)
Price Performance
Share Price
Beta
S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%)
S&P Quality Ranking
0.82
16
A-
Relative Strength
Down
Volume
No Change
Above Avg.
STARS
Below Avg.
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
2-for-1
80
$4.974
1.31
$1.20
77
60
40
30
Volume(000)
Revenue/Earnings Data
9146
2400
1600
800
0
5 4
1
A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A S
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst J. Corridore on May 19, 2016 10:20 AM, when the stock traded at $81.50.
Highlights
Investment Rationale/Risk
Revenue (Million $)
1Q
2Q
2016
486.4
836.4
2015
474.2
826.2
2014
446.0
745.0
2013
444.7
704.5
2012
423.8
691.5
2011
383.2
631.6
3Q
-609.6
567.5
509.9
504.1
501.1
4Q
-480.8
414.1
382.4
339.3
368.1
Year
-2,391
2,173
2,041
1,959
1,884
E0.95
0.94
0.87
0.68
0.67
0.56
E0.48
0.42
0.19
0.08
Nil
0.08
E3.92
3.55
3.02
2.62
2.14
1.85
Fiscal year ended Oct. 31. Next earnings report expected: NA. EPS
Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating Earnings; historical
GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.
Dividend Data
Amount
($)
0.250
0.300
0.300
0.300
Date
Decl.
Ex-Div.
Date
Stk. of
Record
Payment
Date
Oct 13
Jan 11
Apr 12
Jul 12
'15
'16
'16
'16
Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek
independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an investment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
Investors should note that income from such investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any
impact this investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an investment decision.
Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Toro Co (The)
Business Summary May 19, 2016
Corporate Information
CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Toro designs, manufactures and markets professional turf maintenance equipment and services, turf and agricultural micro-irrigation systems, landscaping equipment and residential
yard and snow removal products. The company's brands include Toro, Exmark, Irritrol, Hayter, Pope,
Unique Lighting Systems, Lawn-Boy and Lawn Genie. Its two key segments are Professional and Residential. The Professional segment (69% of revenues in FY 15) targets customers in several different markets including landscape contractors, sports fields and grounds, residential and commercial irrigation, golf
courses, and micro-irrigation. These products are sold mainly through distributors and dealers to professional users engaged in creating landscapes, irrigating agricultural fields and orchards, and maintaining
turf, such as golf courses, sports fields, municipal properties, and residential and commercial landscapes.
Products for these markets include zero-turn-radius riding mowers, heavy-duty walk-behind mowers,
compact utility loaders, rotary mowers, aerators, blowers, sprinkler heads and valves and drip irrigation
products. The Residential segment (29%) consists of walk power mowers, riding mowers and garden tractors, electric leaf blowers and grass trimmers, snow removal products and retail irrigation products. These
products are sold to homeowners through hardware retailers, home centers and the Internet. Home Depot
accounted for about 11% of the company's sales in FY 15.
Investor Contact
H. Hille (952-887-8923)
CORPORATE STRATEGY. Over the past decade, management has significantly increased the growth profile
of the company by using a variety of strategies. Its most important approach is to instill a culture of growth
and continuous improvement at the firm. This includes a strong emphasis on new product development
(35% of annual sales derived from products launched during the prior two years) in which it strives to bring
out products that are innovative and of high quality. While developing new products, it also keeps close
control on efficiency by pursuing continuous improvements in manufacturing processes. Toro has flexible
assembly lines that can handle a wide product mix and deliver products to meet customer demand. The
company also works diligently to reduce manufacturing costs through process improvement, product and
platform design, application of advanced technologies and improving supply chain management. The company strives to be disciplined in its approach to growth by keeping the rate of its SG&A cost increases below its revenue gains.
Website
http://www.thetorocompany.com
Toro continues to invest in new product development, marketing, distribution and other strategies to help
build market share and strengthen the company's brands around the world. International markets will be a
major focus for creating revenue growth as the company intends to invest in new products designed
specifically for international markets and customers. In late FY 2013, it launched its Toro branded underground utility products. TTC believes that it has many opportunities for growth overseas and it has established a goal of expanding international sales at a faster rate than overall sales. International sales expanded from under 21% of total sales in FY 04 to 29% in FY 14. This has the benefit of reducing the volatility
associated with domestic weather and economic conditions. Targeted acquisitions are also a key growth
strategy, especially in overseas markets. In September 2013, TTC acquired, for $3.5 million, a company in
China that makes irrigation products, sprinklers, emitters and filters for agriculture, landscaping and green
house production.
IMPACT OF MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS. In the first quarter of FY 15, TTC acquired substantially all the assets
of the BOSS professional snow and ice management business of privately held Northern Star Industries,
which includes snowplows, salt and sand spreaders and related parts and accessories. This acquisition
added another professional contractor brand name, and added a portfolio of counter seasonal equipment.
FINANCIAL TRENDS. Over the five years through FY 15, the company's compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) for sales was 4.9%, while net income grew at a CAGR of 11.4%, EPS at 12.1%, and dividends per
share at 38%. In FY 15, TTC bought back $107 million in common stock, up from $103 million in FY 14. Despite these repurchases the average diluted share count only declined 1.5% year over year.
Office
8111 Lyndale Avenue South, Bloomington, MN
55420.
Telephone
952-888-8801.
Fax
952-887-8258.
Email
invest@thetorocompany.com
Officers
Chrmn & CEO
M.J. Hoffman
Pres & COO
R.M. Olson
Board Members
R. C. Buhrmaster
G. L. Ellis
K. J. Harless
D. C. Koch
R. M. Olson
C. A. Twomey
Domicile
Delaware
Founded
1914
Employees
6,874
Stockholders
3,298
J. K. Cooper
J. M. Ettinger
M. J. Hoffman
J. C. O'Rourke
G. W. Steinhafel
Toro Co (The)
Quantitative Evaluations
S&P Capital IQ
Fair Value
Rank
Fair Value
Calculation
5
HIGHEST
$111.50 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P Capital IQ's
Investability
Quotient
Percentile
99
LOWEST = 1
LOW
BULLISH
AVERAGE
2015
1.73
11.50
14.25
20.57
56.8
2014
1.69
11.61
14.34
21.15
57.6
2013
1.84
13.24
16.58
24.28
59.1
2012
1.33
10.09
13.28
20.11
60.6
UNFAVORABLE
NEUTRAL
1 Year
3 Years
5 Years
9 Years
10.04
15.94
6.83
15.52
6.50
16.04
2.88
5.68
8.43
42.23
46.30
8.01
42.05
45.92
7.38
42.66
45.17
6.72
41.76
38.43
HIGH
Since June, 2016, the technical indicators for TTC have been
BULLISH.
Insider Activity
Price/Sales
Price/EBITDA
Price/Pretax Income
P/E Ratio
Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M)
HIGHEST = 100
TTC scored higher than 99% of all companies for which an S&P
Capital IQ Report is available.
Volatility
Technical
Evaluation
LOWEST
FAVORABLE
For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide
Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Oct. 31
Per Share Data ($)
Tangible Book Value
Cash Flow
Earnings
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings
Dividends
Payout Ratio
Prices:High
Prices:Low
P/E Ratio:High
P/E Ratio:Low
2015
2.70
4.63
3.55
NA
1.00
28%
78.47
60.42
22
17
2014
5.26
3.94
3.02
3.02
0.80
26%
67.35
55.77
22
18
2013
4.20
3.52
2.62
2.59
0.56
21%
63.69
42.69
24
16
2012
3.23
3.00
2.14
2.14
0.44
21%
45.18
30.00
21
14
2011
2.35
2.62
1.85
1.85
0.20
11%
34.22
22.53
18
12
2010
2.65
2.07
1.40
1.40
0.36
26%
32.40
18.75
23
13
2009
3.08
1.48
0.87
0.87
0.30
35%
21.95
10.12
25
12
2008
3.66
2.18
1.55
1.54
0.30
19%
27.16
12.40
18
8
2007
3.55
2.20
1.70
1.70
0.24
14%
31.85
23.08
19
14
2006
3.79
1.94
1.46
1.45
0.18
12%
26.28
18.89
18
13
2,391
361
61.2
18.8
291
30.7%
202
NA
2,173
317
53.1
15.4
256
32.2%
174
174
2,041
284
53.3
16.2
227
31.7%
155
153
1,959
258
52.5
16.9
196
34.0%
130
130
1,884
233
48.5
17.0
175
32.7%
118
117
1,690
196
45.0
17.1
141
34.0%
93.2
93.2
1,523
160
44.5
17.6
95.8
34.4%
62.8
62.8
1,878
255
48.0
19.8
181
34.0%
120
119
1,877
266
42.1
19.4
213
33.1%
142
142
1,836
245
42.6
17.7
193
33.0%
129
129
315
824
1,192
400
347
409
763
71.1
227
2.1
45.5
8.0
15.8
45.3
183
653
1,003
389
224
359
582
49.4
208
1.7
38.4
7.6
16.0
46.1
126
612
935
378
223
312
538
43.2
182
1.6
41.6
6.6
14.4
44.7
80.9
533
871
359
225
267
494
57.5
166
1.5
45.6
6.3
13.4
43.4
177
585
886
368
224
276
501
48.7
138
1.6
44.6
5.5
10.6
31.6
188
582
873
317
225
315
544
37.9
107
1.8
41.4
4.1
7.0
18.5
99.4
644
932
324
228
365
592
48.9
168
2.0
38.4
6.4
12.7
32.6
62.0
665
951
341
228
370
598
42.2
184
1.9
38.3
7.6
15.1
37.4
55.5
657
922
346
175
392
567
39.9
172
1.9
30.9
7.0
14.0
33.0
Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
Toro Co (The)
Sector Outlook
Industry Performance
Sector
90%
--S. Stovall
70%
50%
% Change
30%
10%
-10%
-30%
-50%
-70%
-90%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Sector : IndustrialsIndustrials Peer Group*: Based on market capitalizations within GICS Sub-Industry
Peer Group
Stock
Symbol
Stk.Mkt.
Cap.
(Mil. $)
Recent
Stock
Price($)
TTC
4,974
AGCO
AFN.C
BW
BWEN
CNHI
GLPW
OMAB
PAC
ASR
LNN
PPSI
PSIX
TWI
WAIR
4,549
478
763
70
9,153
63
2,439
5,575
4,797
750
44
160
357
1,275
Toro Co
AGCO Corp
Ag Growth International
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises
Broadwind Energy
CNH Industrial
Global Power Equip Grp
Grupo Aeroport Centro Norte ADR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pac ADR
Grupo Aeroportuario'B'ADR
Lindsay Corp
Pioneer Power Solutions
Power Solutions Intl
Titan Intl
Wesco Aircraft Hldgs
52
Week
High/Low($)
91.35
91.56/64.71
48.55
32.69
15.06
4.65
6.72
3.66
49.76
106.07
159.90
69.60
5.94
17.34
6.62
13.06
57.90/41.91
2751/18.20
23.99/14.27
5.32/1.67
9.39/5.67
7.98/1.50
50.00/33.61
106.98/70.84
167.86/119.99
87.08/62.99
7.80/2.78
42.92/7.63
9.78/2.50
15.07/9.91
Beta
Yield
(%)
P/E
Ratio
Fair
Value
Calc.($)
0.82
1.3
23
111.50
A-
99
8.4
42.2
2.01
0.89
NA
2.35
NA
0.92
1.24
1.00
1.41
1.20
-0.08
1.39
2.70
0.95
1.1
7.3
Nil
Nil
2.2
Nil
2.9
3.4
1.7
1.7
Nil
Nil
0.3
Nil
7
NM
49
NM
NM
6
30
31
26
84
NM
NM
NM
NM
40.50
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
56.10
NA
26.60
NA
16.30
B
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
B+
NR
NR
BNR
96
NA
24
12
26
29
72
73
71
90
6
7
24
9
3.6
NA
0.9
NM
0.9
2.1
27.5
34.2
32.4
4.7
NM
3.7
NM
NM
23.9
53.2
NA
3.6
78.5
13.8
43.4
NA
15.2
28.9
0.1
58.7
51.5
53.9
NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.
S&P Return on
Quality IQ
Revenue
Ranking %ile
(%)
LTD to
Cap
(%)
Toro Co (The)
S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News
July 20, 2016
The Toro Company announced that its board of directors has elected Richard M.
Olson to the position of president and chief executive officer, effective November
1, 2016. Olson, a 30-year veteran of the company, has served as Toro's president
and chief operating officer since September 2015 and was elected to the
company's board of directors in January of 2016. The company's current
chairman and chief executive officer, Michael J. Hoffman, will continue to serve
as chairman of the board.
May 19, 2016
10:03 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL CUTS VIEW ON SHARES OF THE TORO COMPANY TO
HOLD FROM SELL (TTC 87.66***): We keep our 12-month target price of $90, 20X
our FY 17 (Sep.) EPS estimate of $4.48 (raised today from $4.43), in line with TTC's
five year average. We trim our FY 16 EPS estimate to $3.92 from $3.97, despite TTC
Mar. quarter EPS of $1.89, vs. $1.64, beating our $1.83 estimate. TTC faces a glut
of snow equipment after a mild winter. Overall demand for residential and
professional turf equipment remains strong. We think inventory issues could limit
further upside in the near term, and after a recent run up in the shares, we see
the stock trading near our estimate of fair value. /J. Corridore
February 24, 2016
09:07 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ MAINTAINS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF THE
TORO COMPANY (TTC 79.10****): We keep our 12-month target price of $90,
22.7X our FY16 (Oct.) estimate of $3.97, in line with TTC's 5-year average, but a
premium to peers, warranted in our view by faster than peer revenue and EPS
growth that we see as likely. We expect both professional and consumer turf
maintenance to continue to see strong demand over the next couple of years.
TTC Jan.-Qtr. EPS of $0.70 vs. $0.54 was well ahead of the Capital IQ consensus of
$0.58, with revenues about in line with expectations. TTC guides to FY16 EPS of
$3.85-$3.95, we think they can exceed this. We see FY 17 EPS of $4.43. /J.
Corridore
December 7, 2015
11:19 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF THE TORO
COMPANY (TTC 75.92****): We raise our 12-month target price by $5 to $90, 22.7X
our FY 16 (Oct.) EPS estimate of $3.97 (unchanged today), toward the high end of
the company's historical range and above peers, reflecting our view of positive
EPS growth trends which we expect to continue. We note that our estimate is
above TTC EPS guidance for FY 16 of $3.80-$3.90. TTC fiscal Q4 EPS of $0.42 vs.
$0.19 beat our $0.35 estimate and the Capital IQ consensus of $0.39 on better
revenues than we were expecting. The purchase of BOSS (snow and ice
management) has reduced revenue and EPS seasonality somewhat. /J. Corridore
August 20, 2015
11:30 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ UPGRADES OPINION ON SHARES OF THE TORO
COMPANY TO BUY FROM HOLD (TTC 72.6****): We raise our 12-month target
price by $12 to $85, valuing the shares at 21.4X our FY 16 (Oct.) EPS estimate of
$3.97 (raised today from $3.92), in line with its 5-year average. We keep our FY 15
EPS estimate at $3.47 after fiscal Q3 EPS of $0.94 vs. $0.87 missed our $0.95
estimate but beat the Capital IQ consensus of $0.91, on higher revenues than we
were expecting. TTC sees strong demand for its professional products and sees
improving residential demand over the next year on new product introductions
and a better U.S. economy. Dividend yield of 1.4% adds an income component. /J.
Corridore
August 20, 2015
The Toro Co. named Richard M. Olson as President and Chief Operating Officer
effective September 1, 2015.
May 21, 2015
03:22 pm ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ MAINTAINS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF THE
TORO COMPANY (TTC 69.48***): We trim our FY 15 (Nov.) and FY 16 EPS
estimates to $3.47 and $3.92, from $3.52 and $4.00, respectively. We keep our
12-month target at $73, valuing the shares at 18.6X our FY 16 EPS estimate, about
in line with the company's ten year average and a premium to peers based on
forward estimates. TTC's fiscal Q2 EPS of $1.64 vs. $1.41 was $0.01 off our
estimate but beat the Capital IQ consensus by $0.01. Revenues were better than
expected as new product intros have done well. However, we see the shares
trading near our estimate of fair value. TTC guides to FY 15 EPS of $3.35-$3.45. /J.
Corridore
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
Toro Co (The)
Analysts' Recommendations
Monthly Average Trend
Buy/Hold
Hold
Weak Hold
BH
WH
Sell
S
No Opinion
HOLD
TTC Trend
BH
H
WH
S
1000
1000
1000
2014
2015
2016
Buy
Buy/Hold
Hold
Weak Hold
Sell
No Opinion
Total
% of Total
0
0
100
0
0
0
100
0
0
7
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2015
2017
5
4
3
2
2015
Fiscal Years
2017
2016
2017 vs. 2016
Q3'17
Q3'16
Q3'17 vs. Q3'16
2016
Avg Est.
4.53
4.02
13%
High Est.
4.65
4.06
15%
Low Est.
4.40
3.92
12%
# of Est.
7
8
-12%
Est. P/E
20.2
22.7
-11%
1.17
1.00
17%
1.22
1.04
17%
1.14
0.96
19%
3
6
-50%
78.1
91.4
-15%
A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.
Toro Co (The)
Glossary
S&P Capital IQ STARS
Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S.
common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American
Depositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance.
Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked Asian and European equities
since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System),
S&P Capital IQ equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an
equity's future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant
benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350 Index or
S&P 500 Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet
the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data
used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's
own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs.
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
Index, respectively.
Toro Co (The)
Disclosures
S&P Capital IQ ranks stocks in accordance with the following ranking methodologies:
The methodologies used in STARS Stock Reports and Quantitative Stock Reports
(collectively, the "S&P Capital IQ's Research Reports" or "Research Reports") reflect
different criteria, assumptions and analytical methods and may have differing
recommendations.S&P Capital IQ believes that the methodologies and data used to
generate the different types of Research Reports are reasonable and appropriate.
Generally, S&P Capital IQ does not generate reports with different ranking
methodologies for the same issuer. However, in the event that different methodologies
or data are used on the analysis of an issuer, the methodologies may lead to different
views or recommendations on the issuer, which may at times result in contradicting
assessments of an issuer. S&P Capital IQ reserves the right to alter, replace or vary
models, methodologies or assumptions from time to time and without notice to clients.
For a list of companies mentioned in a Research Report with whom S&P Capital IQ
and/or one of its affiliates has had business relationships within the past year, please
go to: www.spcapitaliq.com/relationships
North America
24.6%
48.0%
27.4%
100%
Europe
17.8%
57.8%
24.4%
100%
Asia
30.0%
45.0%
25.0%
100%
Global
23.7%
49.6%
26.7%
100%
S&P Capital IQ and/or one of its affiliates has performed services for and received
compensation from this company during the past twelve months.
General Disclosure
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