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Unidad 3. Modelos Discretos de Probabilidad
Unidad 3. Modelos Discretos de Probabilidad
3
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Figura 1. Regla de correspondencia ............................................................................................................................... 5
Figura 2. Histograma de la distribucin de probabilidad ............................................................................................... 8
Tabla 1. Tabla de correspondencia _________________________________________________________________ 8
Tabla 2. Funcin de probabilidad _________________________________________________________________ 11
= {, , , }
=0
=1
= {0,1,2}
=2
: .
{ | () }
, , , , .
= {1 , 2 , , }
= {1 , 2 , , , }
# = <
# = 3
1 , 2 , ,
( = )
{1 , 2 , , , }
( = ) =
()
( = ) para = 1, 2, , ,
( ) = {
0
en otro caso.
( = ) > 0
( = ) = 1.
(1 ) = ( = 1 ) = 1 (2 ) = ( = 2 ) = 2
( = ) =
0 < ( ) = 1
( ) =
= 1, 2, , ,
=1 = 1
()
()
( )
( ) = ().
1
() = () = () = () = .
4
=0
=1
=2
( = 0) = 4.
1
( = 1) = 2.
1
( = 2) = 4.
( = )
( = 0) + ( = 1) + ( = 2) = 1
()
().
{1 , 2 , , , }
() = ( ) = ().
()
()
()
()
0 () 1.
<
( < ) = ()
()
<
() ()
lim ()
lim () = 0
()
( )
( )
(( ) ( )) = ( ) ( ) = () ().
1 , 2 , ,
()
()
() = ( = ) = ().
( = )
() =
()
Tabla 2. Funcin de probabilidad
()
()
() = .
() = ().
0
() 0
( + ) = () + ().
( ) = () ().
:
()
(()) = ()( = ).
()
() =
Var()
Var() = ( )2 ( = ) = ( )2 ().
Var().
Var() = [( )2 ].
Var() = 2
Var() =
( = )
= 3.43
Var() = 2
Var() = 2 = ( 3.43)2 ()
= 1.265 = 1.125.
()
Var()
()
Var()
Var() 0
Var() = 0.
Var() = 2 Var().
Var( + ) = Var().
Var() = ( 2 ) (())2 .
= {0, 1}
0<<1
~Ber()
(1) = ( = 1) =
(0) = ( = 0) = 1 .
= (1 )
~Ber()
() = 1 + 0 (1 ) =
Var() = (1 )2 + (0 )2 (1 ) = (1 ) =
~Ber() () =
Var() =
= (1 )
0<<1
0,1,2, ,
= (1 )
~Bin(, )
() = ( = ) = () ,
= 0,1,2,
= 15
= 0.2
(8) = ( = 8) = (15
)(0.2)8 (0.8)158 = 0.00345
8
(8) = ( 8) =
15
( ) (0.2) (0.8)15 .
=0
15
15
15
(8) = ( ) (0.2)0 (0.8)15 + ( ) (0.2)1 (0.8)14 + ( ) (0.2)2 (0.8)13 +
0
1
2
15
+ ( ) (0.2)8 (0.8)7 = 0.999.
8
( 9) = 1 ( 8) = 1
15
( ) (0.2) (0.8)15 .
=0
( 9) = 1 0.999 = 0.001.
~Bin(, )
() =
Var() =
0<<1
= (1 )
() = ( = ) = 1 ,
= 1,2, , ,
~Geo()
~Geo()
() =
Var() = 2
= 3.
0<
~Poisson()
() = ( = ) = !
~Poisson()
() = = Var()
= 0,1,2,