Code No: 3220010

II B. Tech II Semester Regular Examinations, April/May 2009

SET - 1

PROBABILITY & STATISTICS

(Common to C.E, M.E, Chem)
Time: 3 hours

Max Marks: 80
Answer Any FIVE Questions
All Questions carry equal marks

1. (a) State and prove addition theorem of probability.

(b) Two cards are selected at random from 10 cards numbered 1 to 10.

Find the

probability that the sum is odd if (i) the two cards are drawn together (ii) the two cards
are drawn one after the other without replacement. (iii) the two cards are drawn one after
the other with replacement.

2. (a) If   ke-|x| is p.d.f in - x . Find the value of k and find the variance of the
random variable and also find probability between 0 and 4.

(b) A random variable X has the following probability function.

X

P(X)

3k

5k

7k

9k

11k

3. (a) Out of 800 families with 5 children each how many would you expect to have
i) 3 boys
ii) at least one boy
(b) The marks obtained in mathematics by 1000 students is normally
distributed with mean 78% and standard deviation 11%. Determine
i) how many students got marks above 90%
ii) what was highest mark obtained by the lowest 10%
iii) with in what limits the middle of 90% students lie
4. (a) The mean voltage of a battery is 15 and standard deviation is 0.2. Find the probability
that four such batteries connected in series will have a combined voltage of 60.8 or more
volts.
(b) The mean of certain normal population is equal to standard error of the mean of
samples of 64 from that distribution. Find the probability that the mean of the sample size
36 will be negative.

5. (a) Find the degree of confidence to assert that the average salary of school teachers is
between Rs.272 and Rs.302. If a random sample of 100 such teachers revealed a mean
salary of Rs.287 with standard deviation of Rs.48.
(b)The mean mark in the an examination of a large group of students is normally

distributed with 0 = 67.2 and 0 = 1.5 (i) Find the posterior mean , and posterior s.d

, if the examination is conducted on a random sample of 40 students yielding mean 74.9

and s.d 7.4 . Use s = 7.4 as an estimate of

6. (a) Write short notes on test of hypothesis.

(b) The length of life X of certain computers is approximately normally distributed with
mean 800 hours and s.d. 40 hours. If a random sample of 30 computers has an average
life of 788 hours, test the null hypothesis that =800 hours against the alternative that
800 hours at (i) 0.5% (ii)1% (iii) 4% (iv) 5% (v) 10% level of significance.
7. (a) Test for goodness of fit of a possion distribution to the following data:
X

Oi

275

138

75

(b) For an KSB insurance company, 84 insurance claims for accident cars out of a
random sample of 200 such claims, claim amount exceeded Rs.100000. Construct 95%
confidence interval for the true proportion of insurance claims field against the KSB
company which exceeded Rs.100000.
8. (a)Assume that there is only one counter in a supermarket. Customer arrive at an average
rate of 15 per hour. Assume that arrivals are poission distributions and length of service by
the counter clerk has an exponential distribution . Determine the average rate at which the
clerk should work in order that the probability that the customer will not wait longer than
12 minutes is 0.90.
(b) Let the mileage (in thousand of miles) of particular tyre be a random variable X




  ,   0; 
having the probability density  

Find the probability that one of
0, .

these tyres will last (i) at most 10,00 miles (b) anywhere from 16,00 to 24,000 miles.

Code No: 3220010

II B. Tech II Semester Regular Examinations, April/May 2009

SET - 2

PROBABILITY & STATISTICS

(Common to C.E, M.E, Chem)

Time: 3 hours

Max Marks: 80
Answer Any FIVE Questions
All Questions carry equal marks

1. (a) If a test consists of 12 true-false question, in how many different ways can a student
make the test paper with one answer to each question.
(b) State and prove Bayes theorem.

2. (a) Find the mean and variance of the uniform probability distribution given by  


for x  1,2,3, . . n

(b) If 3 cars drawn from a lot of 6cars containing 2 defective cars, Find
(i) the probability distribution of the number of defective cars.
(ii) expected number of defective cars.
3. (a) State and prove Poisson approximation to binomial distribution theorem.
(b) Give that mean height of students in a class is 159 cms with standard deviation of 20
cms. Find how many students height lie between 150cms and 170 cms if there are 100
students in the class.
4. (a) Find mean and standard deviation of sampling distribution of variances for the
population 2,3,4,5 by drawing samples of size two without replacement.
(b) If the mean of breaking strength of copper wire is 575 lbs with a standard deviation
of 8,3lbs. How large a sample must be used in order that there will be one chance in 100
that the mean breaking strength of the sample is less than 572 lbs.
5. (a) Find the degree of confidence to assert that the average salary of school teachers is
between Rs.272 and Rs.302. If a random sample of 100 such teachers revealed a mean
salary of Rs.287 with standard deviation of Rs.48.
(b) A professors feeling about the mean mark in the final examination in probability of
a large group of students is expressed subjectively by normal distribution with 0 = 67.2
and 0 = 1.5 (i) If the mean mark lies in the interval(65,70), Determine the prior
probability the professor should assign to the mean mark. (ii) Find the posterior mean ,

and posterior s.d ,if the examination is conducted on a random sample of 40 students
yielding mean 74.9 and s.d. 7.4. Use s=7.4 as an estimate of

6. (a) Mice with an average lifespan of 32 months will live up to 40 months when fed by a
certain nutruious food. If 64 mice fed on this diet have an average lifespan of 38 months
and standard deviation of 5.8 months, is there any reason to believe that average lifespan
is less than 40 months.
(b) A random sample of 40 geysers produced by company A have a mean lifetime(mlt) of 647 hours of continuous use with a s.d. of 27hours, while a sample 40
produced by another company B have mlt of 638 hours with s.d 31 hours. Does this
substantiate the claim of company A that their geysers are superior to those produced
by company B at 0.05 and 0.01 L.O.S
7. (a) If in a random sample of 600 cars making a right turn at a certain traffic junction 157
drove into wrong lane, test whether actually 30% of all drivers make this mistake or not
at this given junction use(i) 0.05 (ii) 0.01 level of significance.
(b) If 57 out of 150 patients suffering with certain disease are cured by allopathy and 33
out of 100 patients with same disease are cured by homeopathy, is there reason to
believe that allopathy is better than homeopathy at 0.05 level of significance.
8. Customer arrive at a one man barber shop with a mean inter arrival time of 12minutes,
following a Poisson process. On an average customers spend 10 minutes in the barbers
chair. Find the following (a) The Average number of customer in the shop and the
queue (b) The percentage of time a customer can walk straight into the barbers chair
having to wait(c) How much time a customer can expect to spend in the barbers shop.

SET - 3
Code No: 3220010
II B. Tech II Semester Regular Examinations, April/May 2009

PROBABILITY & STATISTICS

(Common to C.E, M.E, Chem)

Time: 3 hours

Max Marks: 80
Answer Any FIVE Questions
All Questions carry equal marks

1. (a) Define a random experiment, sample space, event and mutually exclusive events.
Give examples of each.
(b) From a pack, two cards drawn. What is the probability that either both are red or both
are kings.
2. (a) If X is a continuous random variable with p.d.f. given by

Find k and mean of x.

+,
* 2+,
/+ 0 6+,

0,-2
2 ,  - 4
4 ,  - 6.

(b) A pair of fair dice is tossed. Let X denotes the maximum of the number appearing
i.e.X(a,b) = max(a,b) and Y denotes the sum of the numbers appearing i.e.Y (a,b)=a+b.
Find the variance and standard deviation of X and Y.
3. (a) Six dice are thrown 243 times. How many times do you expect at least two dice to
show 5 or 6.
(b) 2% of the items of a factory are defective. The items are packed in boxes. What is the
probability that there will be (i) 2 defective items (ii) at least 3 defective items (iii) 2-

4.

defective items - 5 in a box of 100 items.

(a) Calculate mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means of 80
samples each of size 25 by sampling (i) with replacement (ii) without replacement from a
normal population of 3000 with mean 68 and standard deviation 3.
(b) A random sample of size 100 is taken from an infinite population having the mean 76

5.

and variance 256. What is the probability that 2 will be between 75 and 78.

(a) A random sample of 20 fuses subjected to overload has mean time for blow of
10.63min with s.d. of 2.48mt. What can we assert with 95% confidence about the

maximum error if we use 3 =10.63 mts as a point estimate of true average it takes such

fuses for blow when subjected to overload.

(b) An insurance agent feels that the monthly commission has normal distribution with
4=Rs. 3,800 and = Rs. 260. The average commission for 9 months has been observed

to be Rs. 3702 with s.d. Rs.390, then (i) What probability is the agent thus assigning the
true average monthly commission being in the interval of Rs.3500 to Rs.4000.
6.

(a) It has previously been recorded that the average depth of ocean at a particular region
is 67.4 fathoms. Is there reason to believe this at 0.01 Level of significance if the reading
at 40 random location in that particular region showed a mean of 69.3 with s.d. of 5.4
fathoms.
(b) To test the claim that the men are taller than women, a survey was conducted
resulting in the following data:
Gender

Sample Size

Mean height (cm)

s.d. (cm)

Men

1600

172

6.3

Women

6400

170

6.4

Is the claim tenable at 0.01 level of significance.

7.

(a) Out of 9 mice, suffering from a disease, 5 mice were treated with a new serum while
the remaining were not treated. The following are the survival times
Treatment

2.1

No treatment 1.9

5.3
0.5

1.4
2.8

4.6
3.1

0.9
1.8

Test whether the serum treatment is effective in curing the disease at 0.05 level of
significance. Assuming that the 2 distributions normally distributed with equal variances.
(b) If 6 out of 20 randomly chosen customers preferred tea to coffee, test the claim at
0.05 level of significance that 20% of the customers prefer tea.
8.

(a) Describe pure birth and death process and explain M/M/1: (FIFO) queueing system.
(b) Write and explain the expressions for (i) Average no. of customers in the system (ii)
mean waiting time in the system. (iii) The probability that a the queue length 5 n (iv) The
probability that a customer has to wait for more than t minutes.

SET - 4
Code No: 3220010
II B. Tech II Semester Regular Examinations, April/May 2009

PROBABILITY & STATISTICS

(Common to C.E, M.E, Chem)
Time: 3 hours

Max Marks: 80
Answer Any FIVE Questions
All Questions carry equal marks

1. (a) A and B throw alternatively with a pair of ordinary dice. A wins if he throws 6 before
B throws 7 and B wins if he throws 7 before A throws 6. If A begins, show that his
chance of winning is 30/61
(b) State and prove Bayes theorem.
2. (a) A random variable has the following probability function
X

P(X)

2k 2k 3k 2k2 7k2 + k

(i) Find the value of k (ii) Evaluate P(x < 6), P (x 6) (iii) P (0 < x < 5)
(b) If X is a continuous random variable and Y = ax + b, prove that (i) E (Y) = a E (x) + b
(ii) V (Y) = a2 V (x)

3. (a) In a normal distribution, 7% of the items are under 35 and 89% are under 63. Find the
mean and standard deviation of the distribution.
(b) Obtain Poisson distribution as limiting case of Binomial distribution.
4. (a) A random sample of size 25 from a normal distribution has the mean 47.5 and the
standard deviation 8.4. Does this information tend to support or refuse the claim that the
mean of the population in 42.1?
(b) What is the effect on standard error if a sample is taken from an infinite population of
size is increased from 400 to 900.
5. The mean mark in mathematics in common test will vary from year to year. If this
variation of the mean mark is expressed subjectively by a normal distribution with mean
o = 72 and variance 2o = 5.76.
(a) What probability can assign to the actual mean mark being somewhere between 71.8
and 73.4 for the next years test.

(b) Construct a 95% Bayesian interval for if the test is conducted for a random sample
of 100 students from the next incoming class yielding a mean mark 70 with s.d of 8.
(c) What posterior probability should we assign to the event of part (a).
6. (a) A machine runs on an average of 125 hours/year. A random sample of 49 machines
has an annual average use of 126.9 hours with standard deviation 8.4 hours. Does this
suggest to believe that machines are used on the average more than 125 hours annually at
0.05 level of significance?
(b) A company claims that alloying reduces resistance of electric wire by more than
0.050 ohm. To test this claim sample of standard wire and alloyed wire are tested
yielding the following results.

Type of wire Sample size

Mean resistance (ohms) s.d (ohms)

Standard

32

0.136

0.004

Alloyed

32

0.083

0.005

7. (a) Fit y = aebx curve for the following data and perform goodness of fit
x

10 15 12 15 21

(b)The means of the 2 random samples of sizes 9 and 7 are 196.42 and 198.82. The sum
of the squares of the deviations from the mean are 26.94 and 18.73. Can the samples be
considered to have been from the same normal distribution?
8. In Kakinada, one new car is registered at the RTA office every 12 minutes. Assume that
the time between registrations follows an exponential distribution find (a) the average
number of registrations per year (b) the probability that number registration will occur in
any one day (c) The probability of making 50 registrations by end of next 3 hours given
that 40 registrations were made during last 2 hours.