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In this issue
1
Welcome
3
Key trends at a glance
4
2015Year in review
www.pwc.com/auto
Welcome
We are pleased to present Driving Value: 2015 Automotive
M&A Insights, PwCs review of mergers and acquisitions
(M&A) activity and key trends impacting the global motor
vehicle industry.
In this edition, we look at:
The status of global deal activity amongst motor
vehicle manufacturers, suppliers, financiers, and
other related sectors
Key trends that impacted the deal market
Transaction activity by sector and region
Our perspective on the journey to the future
This latest edition of Automotive M&A Insights is meant
to serve only as a preface to the insights and observations
that we can provide to drive successful transactions. M&A
leaders in the automotive and financial sectors frequently
turn to us for advice on potential transactions and the
strategies underpinning those deals. Your feedback is
important to us, and we welcome the opportunity to
provide you with a deeper look into any of these trends
that may be of benefit to your organization.
Jeff Zaleski
U.S. Automotive Deals Leader
+1 (313) 394 3525
jeffrey.e.zaleski@us.pwc.com
Driving value
Automotive
62.1 billion
9%
HISTORICAL
591
HIGH
$
closing
deals in 2015
Predicted global
automotive
assembly growth
2021
2015
4% CAGR
$30.1
BILLION
TA RGET ED
EUROPEAN ASSETS
million
units
40%
to HISTORICAL
TOP 10 DEALS
million
50%
Up 81%
from 2014
2.8
$12.5 billion
$388
North American
automotive assembly
units forecast to be added
between 2015 and2021
$32.9
billion
HISTORICAL HIGH
Average global automotive
deal size of
of global
automotive
M&A volume
INCREASED
75%
12
megadeals
RECORD HIGH
HIGH
$46.3
billion
total aggregated
disclosed value
of megadeals
HIGHEST EVER IN
REVIEW PERIOD
Source: Thomson Reuters and other publicly available resources. PwC Autofacts 2016 Q1 Data Release.
Driving value
Year in review
2015
365 days591
deals$62.1 billion total
aggregate disclosed value
Overview
Driving value
120
700
588
594
584
604
549
515
594
$6
600
543
532
520
490
532
100
591
465
500
$70
80
400
60
300
40
200
20
0
100
$21
$26
$41
$49
$57
$32
$46
$25
$45
$30
$22
$39
$62
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
$388
350
250
400
300
200
150
58
631
24
35
$214
32
$186
100
$161
$140
12
37
200
32
150
$141
100
50
0
250
50
147
176
147
117
138
116
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
<$100 mn
$100 mn$1 bn
>$1 bn
140
Deal volume
Global automotive
Driving value
Megadeals Breakdown
20102015
100%
14
12
12
80
53%
56%
Percent
60
46%
52%
10
65%
75%
40
4
20
2
0
44%
47%
48%
54%
35%
25%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Non-Megadeal % of Value
Megadeal % of Value
Megadeal Volume
Cross-sector M&A
As evidenced in the chart below, recent
global cross-sector M&A is trending
upward, though not at the same rate as the
automotive industry. In 2015, both deal
volume and value increased by 3% and 26%
respectively.
45
4.5
39.2
3.5
33.1
33.1
32.3
30.2
3.0
2.5
40
38.0
34.1
31.0
29.0
30.4
31.3
35
30
26.9
24.0
25
2.0
20
1.5
15
1.0
10
5
0.5
0.0
4.0
$1.19
$1.55
$2.21
$2.89
$3.89
$2.83
$1.82
$1.89
$2.29
$2.00
$2.00
$2.33
$2.93
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Driving value
Top 20 deals
Top 20 transactions2015
Date effective Target name
Target
region
Acquiror name
Acquiror % of Shares
Value of
region
acquired transaction
Buyer Category
type
($m)
15 May 15
ZF Friedrichshafen AG
30 Sep 15
US
6 Nov 15
Europe
8 Jun 15
Asia
9 Jun 15
2 Nov 15
Europe
100
12,494
TRADE
Comp
ROW
100
7,211
TRADE
Other
Europe
77
5,943
FIN
Comp
Merro Pharmaceutical Co
Ltd
Asia
100
5,184
TRADE
Other
Asia
Investor Group
Asia
70
3,540
FIN
Comp
GE Capital-European Ops
Europe
Europe
100
2,697
TRADE
Other
1 Oct 15
US
Toyota Industries
Commercial Finance
US
100
2,300
FIN
Other
2 Apr 15
Europe
Europe
100
1,863
FIN
Other
18 Dec 15
Europe
US
100
1,613
TRADE
Comp
10
20 Apr 15
Europe
Deutsche Bank AG
Europe
1,328
FIN
VM
11
30 Jan 15
US
Partners Group AG
Europe
100
1,100
FIN
Comp
12
20 Apr 15
Asia
JAC Motors
Asia
100
1,064
TRADE
VM
13
110 Nov 15
US
BorgWarner Inc
US
100
955
TRADE
Comp
14
3 Jun 15
KT Rental Corp
Asia
Investor Group
Asia
100
913
FIN
Other
15
5 Jan 15
Volvo AB
Europe
45
902
TRADE
VM
16
5 Jan 15
US
Lear Corp
US
100
850
TRADE
Comp
17
18 Mar 15
US
Asia
20
750
TRADE
Other
18
1 Jul 15
MAHLE GmbH
Europe
100
727
TRADE
Comp
19
9 Sep 15
US
Asia
100
572
TRADE
Comp
20
31 Aug 15
ROW
Grupo Antolin-Irausa SA
Europe
100
525
TRADE
Comp
Driving value
Automotive assembly
The industry faced another multi-faceted hurdle as oil prices
continued to plummet from 2014 levels. While the full
impact of lower oil and gas prices may be difficult to quantify,
consumer confidence may improve sales most likely in the
United States and in some developing markets, such as India
and China. In the U.S., this increase hasnt materialized yet as
widespread layoffs and spending cuts by oil drillers have offset
some of the boost. Perhaps the greatest impact of lower oil and
gas prices will be on the types of vehicles being purchased.
Automakers, who have been concentrating on producing lower
emission vehicles, may need to adjust production plans as lower
gas prices tend to increase demand for larger vehicles. Other
considerations to factor in the big picture focus on collapsing
revenues that could lead to political instability in fragile parts
of the world including the Middle East. Cheap oil can hurt
investments in exploring new areas such as the arctic and
West Africa. As oil prices fall against areas of a fragile world
economy, it could trigger additional volatility.
110
900
800
90
80
621
700
588
70
584
594
604
591
549
515
532
60
594
600
543
490
465
520
500
50
Deal volume
100
400
40
300
30
20
55
56
58
63
65
69
66
58
72
75
80
84
86
88
93
97
102
105
107
109
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Global light vehicle assembly outlook
200
Source: PwC Autofacts 2016 Q1 Data Release, Thomson Reuters and other publicly available sources, PwC Analysis.
Driving value
Across all regions, local deals dominated the M&A activity with
83% of all deal volume consisting of local deals.
However,
the two
Source:
PwC Analysis
largest deals of the year, as well as four of the twelve megadeals,
were cross-border. This led to a significant increase in cross-border
deal value from the previous year (up to $29.7 in 2015).
In 2015, North America led the M&A market again in share of deal
value by target region at 49%. However, share of disclosed deal
value by acquirer plummeted down to 13%. Deal volume by target
region remained stable at 159 in 2015, although disclosed deal value
by target region jumped 77%. These results highlight a year where
M&A activity remained very strong in the United States, but large
megadeals by acquirer in other regions stole the show. It appears
other regions are looking to North America to seize strategic and
growth opportunities.
Asia
Asias share of deal volume by both acquirer and target region showed
marginal declines in 2015 to 22% and 18%, respectively. However,
the region saw a significant increase in its share of deal value by
both acquirer and target as two of the top five deals involved Asian
companies. Overall, Asian based companies have shown consistency
in their M&A trend by acquirer volume, but in 2015, companies have
taken the next step by being involved in much larger deals.
90%
7%
27%
9%
27%
9%
33%
10%
25%
10%
25%
100%
9%
90%
22%
80%
20%
25%
23%
46%
41%
30%
30%
60%
8%
32%
8%
25%
8%
23%
24%
29%
10%
18%
40%
40%
41%
20%
10%
10%
Europe
2011
US
2012
Asia
2013
2014
0%
2015
Rest of World
45%
43%
27%
24%
43%
36%
2010
Europe
Driving value
22%
30%
35%
31%
2010
20%
50%
20%
0%
7%
28%
70%
28%
27%
50%
40%
4%
31%
80%
70%
60%
Europe
Europes share of deal volume by acquirer and target region
marginally increased in 2015, helping Europe maintain its position
as the most active region for M&A activity. On the other hand,
Europe experienced a major drop in its share of deal value by
target region, due to the two largest megadeals that occurred
having targets outside Europe.
North America
100%
2011
US
2012
Asia
2013
40%
2014
45%
2015
Rest of World
100%
90%
2%
36%
4%
31%
5%
21%
4%
46%
13%
100%
90%
31%
41%
50%
46%
43%
20%
Europe
2011
US
2012
2013
Asia
22%
2014
0%
2015
Rest of World
30%
48%
2%
1%
12%
25%
49%
35%
42%
39%
25%
24%
14%
2010
Europe
US
Local: 136 deals, $5.65 billion
Inbound: 23 deals, $24.48 billion
Outbound: 28 deals, $2.62 billion
4%
47%
28%
10%
12%
2010
33%
30%
31%
20%
0%
26%
2%
44%
40%
39%
10%
2%
60%
13%
38%
40%
45%
70%
24%
50%
1%
80%
39%
31%
70%
30%
1%
21%
28%
80%
60%
2011
US
2012
Asia
2013
2014
2015
Rest of World
Europe
Local: 223 deals, $12.37 billion
Inbound: 44 deals, $3.36 billion
Outbound: 20 deals, $16.18 billion
Driving value
10
Vehicle Manufacturers
35
303
Others
After significant declines during the peak of the recession, the
Others categoryincluding retail/dealership, aftermarket,
rental/leasing, financing and wholesale has experienced
3 consecutive years of increase in deal volume. The segment
transacted 332 deals in 2015, representing a 40% increase from
2014 for a deal value of $23.6 billion representing an increase of
349% from 2014.
190
200
189
150
14
100
7
50
$4.4
$10.2
$9.2
$12.1
$16.8
$32.9
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Deal volume
25
85
69
80
60
40
5
20
$12.1
$15.4
$15.1
$4.8
$16.7
$5.7
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
250
205
15
157
151
238
205
200
193
150
10
100
5
50
$8.3
$19.2
$5.9
$4.9
$5.2
$23.6
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
350
300
20
Deal volume
332
Deal volume
100
70
Driving value
250
220
Deal volume
97
21
120
86
202
20
10
300
236
15
28
278
Deal volume
Components Suppliers
91
350
Deal volume
11
Whos buying:
180
25
160
145
20
149
160
140
141
120
117
15
115
100
80
10
60
Deal volume
Financial buyers saw increases in both deal value and deal volume
in 2015. Financial volume increased by 3%, and with 149 deals,
represents the most deals for financial buyers in 4 years.
40
20
0
$10.0
$13.7
$4.2
$9.2
$9.8
$20.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Financial value
442
398
36
400
350
373
379
27
300
18
200
80%
500
Deal volume
434
45
100
$14.8
$31.2
$26.1
$12.5
$29.0
$42.1
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
60%
40%
27%
25%
27%
25%
27%
20%
0%
24%
40%
30%
14%
42%
25%
32%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Driving value
12
Driving value
13
Driving value
14
Contact us
Automotive leadership
Jeff Zaleski
PwC US, US Automotive Deals Leader
Richard Hanna
PwC US, Global Automotive Leader
Hitoshi Kiuchi
PwC, Japan, Asia Pacific Automotive Leader
jeffrey.e.zaleski@us.pwc.com
+1 (313) 394 3525
richard.hanna@us.pwc.com
+1 (313) 394 3450
hitoshi.kiuchi@jp.pwc.com
+81 (0)80 3158 6934
Christopher Becker
PwC US, Senior Associate, Automotive Deals
Felix Kuhnert
PwC Germany, European Automotive Leader and
Global Automotive Advisory Leader
Evan Hirsh
PwC US, US Automotive Advisory Leader
christopher.j.becker@us.pwc.com
+1 (313) 394 3237
felix.kuhnert@de.pwc.com
+49 (711) 25034 3309
evan.hirsh@strategyand.us.pwc.com
+1 (312) 578 4725
Steven Perrin
France
Taizo Iwashima
Japan
humberto.tognelli@br.pwc.com
+55 (11) 3674 3855
steven.perrin@fr.pwc.com
+33 (0)156 578 296
taizo.iwashima@jp.pwc.com
+81 (3) 6266 5572
Damiano Peluso
Canada
Martin Schwarzer
Germany
Jason Wakelam
UK
damiano.peluso@ca.pwc.com
+1 (416) 814 5776
martin.schwarzer@de.pwc.com
+49 (0) 69 9585 5667
jason.wakelam@uk.pwc.com
+44 (0) 77 1471 1133
Leon Qian
China
Sanjeev Krishan
India
Paul Elie
US
leon.qian@cn.pwc.com
+86 (10) 6533 2940
sanjeev.krishan@in.pwc.com
+91 (12) 4330 6017
paul.g.elie@us.pwc.com
+1 (313) 394 3517
Tang Xun
China
Francesco Giordano
Italy
xun.tang@cn.pwc.com
+86 (21) 2323 3396
francesco.giordano@it.pwc.com
+39 348 1505447
Driving value
15
About Autofacts
Autofacts is a key strategic asset of PwCs global automotive practice. Fully integrated with PwCs more than 5,000 global
automotive professionals, Autofacts provides ongoing auto industry analysis our clients use to shape business strategy, assess
implications and support a variety of operational decisions. The Autofacts team also draws from the strengths of PwCs
marketing, sales and financial services groups to support other key areas of automotive companies functions. Since 1985,
our market-tested approach, diverse service offerings and dedication to client service have made Autofacts a trusted advisor
throughout the industry. For more information, visit www.autofacts.com.