Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de
correlacin mltiple

0.954965

Coeficiente de
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.91195815
0.91167687
0.24776474
315

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
1 199.025673 199.025673 3242.12748
313 19.2142462 0.06138737
314 218.239919
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad
5.5009557 0.02798653 196.557249
0
0.00874141 0.00015352 56.9396828 3.2927E-167
0.87

Valor crtico de F
3.2927E-167

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

5.44589018 5.55602122 5.44589018 5.55602122
0.00843935 0.00904347 0.00843935 0.00904347

P00287PRM
ndice de Tipo de
Cambio Real
Bilateral (base
2009=100)
Ene90
Feb90
Mar90
Abr90
May90
Jun90
Jul90
Ago90
Sep90
Oct90
Nov90
Dic90
Ene91
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104.076590473
97.9146231201
93.1678420937
99.1988214392
116.3570378899
114.2223296997
101.7681318067
92.1572856849
87.8963604838
97.3469118199
104.4284467492
98.5037432113
94.3497257844
88.9002911396
81.7467645853
84.8716668103
90.9766194191
91.829496903
92.9769164212
94.4580930414
98.564551505
107.9130276679
108.8311544795
105.4042821648
104.9894952464
106.1407832232
106.9068922502
106.7050883062

P00336BPM
Importaciones
(mill. US$)
317.13895037
336.24309017
278.31998887
235.985207
229.47874
236.607482
322.06380497
216.01072207
169.94896467
174.77470613
201.32855733
203.99378933
239.27614176
237.91022768
233.42822507
303.29231311
288.21642399
289.54124525
353.74779238
289.99289378
313.55785751
357.16054889
333.83438678
355.34648754
344.20104465
351.64351514
337.57212098
299.507668157
325.394720697
309.460077307
336.98677825
321.51778262
340.19241956
344.78461238
327.91607895
362.21311657
263.17716722
317.2263803
314.65195902
328.50666146

P00460IAM
PBI (ndice
2007=100)
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May93
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Dic96
Ene97

106.6742682151
106.9840168455
106.4101551255
105.4880703733
105.0364439804
106.1054960593
105.9246060836
102.9622488035
102.0341802608
100.6334750268
98.5308473044
97.6717661348
97.2164699274
96.6744433532
96.3524421209
96.7316447072
97.6161562424
96.4440890544
93.6172408493
90.7031795217
92.8552316958
93.1787261381
94.0020647883
93.5874206267
92.7107312393
91.8626411359
90.8359066531
90.5090671555
90.6335913742
90.8691865175
91.8863589079
91.7987298381
92.1793951658
91.3306838718
90.6176411564
90.5100122572
91.7525693014
92.5318749779
91.6404326158
91.7559629023
92.6824037182
94.6440783177
95.4718744645
94.3412259416
95.7119729074

320.88451189
322.83666611
325.16852537
367.28604921
407.08253981
344.56202643
408.87840389
440.15819548
377.97050345
357.25168798
423.27166869
408.35665158
453.72623608
407.86376144
426.67821662
506.39980317
491.80201966
508.46970401
573.74308425
563.67814911
591.49144996
525.65990848
679.17214051
572.39001764
677.19975965
639.93828663
653.78333722
727.06933923
649.85910504
650.59874464
740.38900023
625.34139775
628.89256799
535.31289914
617.52494526
613.2881849
748.59536974
636.49053026
706.67263758
687.6151702
637.78682699
734.60703583
665.76802478
651.65817591
720.22369106

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Feb97
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96.3979104639
95.244124278
95.9948390497
95.3162307432
94.1254432485
93.3266801848
93.3618820163
92.9833830023
93.7250986673
95.6019042815
94.7632436586
95.05165031
95.9164882177
95.0953620742
95.1310231417
95.555299773
97.2853232404
97.2210373066
98.4661972057
101.8247070932
102.6712731779
104.0770419985
104.8009481847
108.8369746703
113.5505728332
112.6606242309
111.8039526949
110.7154592933
110.7413112113
110.2787403962
111.6450525354
113.5505460961
115.6981912581
115.7564681566
115.3268634306
116.1073457026
114.7922094517
114.6798183099
115.3571229963
116.2833182375
116.2751164134
115.7235000685
115.0923738346
115.2963187807
115.73695403

560.54841665
625.17330284
756.54900869
703.50700552
671.30221642
719.06627534
808.78957482
774.62269686
743.75560934
724.20891853
727.78982069
685.72512843
670.50073251
713.7535842
756.80607483
690.16870079
724.42763285
698.44800318
693.18237548
656.29390876
620.55575259
616.35530364
692.52277045
496.47364118
489.31199073
554.00747054
544.38819356
516.21166353
538.27294808
513.60111074
567.59005544
605.18760116
593.85682191
637.37772712
654.2053712
587.25826421
569.5186487
618.49410413
563.54952839
635.56632395
640.46593747
602.99650878
627.98655855
554.23863889
711.79021821

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Nov00
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116.6598384986
116.1196985662
116.7377107294
117.108966883
116.4958354425
118.7470036025
120.6393403959
118.5853209448
117.1305853683
117.0927897105
117.4948091779
116.0508045539
115.7391402697
115.2466151117
116.9355477477
118.015911475
117.3526943615
116.564166726
116.8287731785
118.1531664763
120.0210229852
121.5642288888
122.8522735143
122.0426940312
121.4568793676
118.8927290062
118.4551211638
118.4706029273
117.7027966613
117.0160626566
117.4198045768
118.0256382737
118.0804516277
118.8163512042
118.5608674381
118.2843617632
117.7518066824
116.7471315608
116.5516346758
116.4680442546
116.0645602418
116.616122181
117.4773638101
116.8509360624
115.2402031027

640.04324529
605.66328318
591.59866341
643.55401765
598.82032143
581.265024177
649.819260267
526.965560917
634.864941408
630.153521888
591.068049028
615.272656514
586.895757584
554.200451554
587.516756
532.230273
511.043122
650.979991
658.833646
537.56318
672.499471
611.833721
670.655867
655.942689
630.878405
672.81516
709.914780297
613.444364162
705.745919837
684.19265181
626.179585052
659.469607871
726.543281096
652.815628832
695.065410295
724.817342246
684.781594016
721.878601913
692.993258
656.387817
768.861821
831.583852
759.569101
826.435431
788.029757

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73.2223699647
71.0794325013
74.3427233379
80.667711757
83.2226461043
80.8537747227
79.2070173868
74.2120140865
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77.5989137535
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75.9132671626
74.0974361472
78.6354632251
84.094472395
86.5105704991
83.2874592709
82.1067515732

Ago04
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113.775774558
112.7257700989
112.1118924921
111.483902659
110.1092008678
109.7984117596
110.3734514951
110.534490957
111.0994395762
110.7408077295
110.4343776393
110.8052782784
111.7541706461
114.9708916876
117.5837596512
116.3974635434
117.0909076177
116.3343860997
112.3607174782
114.1990479871
114.318720358
113.6762314289
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113.0886455866
112.9676473311
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111.5684614511
111.1240140629
111.0070949911
111.2354980559
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111.9614514374
111.7145269722
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110.6208071087
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109.0308341512
104.8891366002
104.7367890466
103.4922050134
102.7158304902
100.5373525625
97.096205012
95.3466581713

898.364601
854.09932
853.765054
905.307763
969.378205
917.979251
806.797617
935.096576
1056.667343
993.648561
956.136976
1046.724811
1092.395784
1022.394293
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1113.658071
1050.404394
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1027.01887
1283.817608
1113.051012
1253.409968
1263.142218
1195.581395
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1225.122354
1401.400576
1336.523167
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1438.083
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1404.756
1471.969
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1533.249
1759.123
1819.265
1710.448
2034.678
1771.313
1797.112
2188.649
1881.611
2196.167
2309.883

77.5146231577
77.4025940699
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103.1548291615
104.1106572267
111.8824398193
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100.7098602573
104.1153075203
110.2876643707

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97.772805769
101.0453706365
99.5060502284
100.0449190195
101.8686857488
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2480.625
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112.1209137267
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143.6013583328
122.8225900887

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88.1569886778
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2861.154786
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3944.036493
3175.049568
3275.682095
3514.591854
3797.288927
3202.70725
3760.469314
3945.285051
3424.067778
3782.648044
3388.113687
3146.244654
3845.008939
2969.923897
3370.547117
3570.356747
3486.425295
3306.79374
3561.591514
3647.034267
3374.788358
3555.287862
3255.535015
3098.857799
3254.873566
2762.680249
3238.862723
3031.075815
3021.505666
3291.522739
3166.738417
3161.387097
3116.686216
3112.214622

122.9175223071
132.1305584173
130.1582168021
138.8076698441
136.276188454
138.5505987402
136.1860339783
136.75100066
138.7339087161
137.2524683787
148.240007751
130.4509291422
128.6836682685
135.936908348
141.4059897021
144.6592276029
144.4801765526
145.4061782425
143.6515228112
143.2258967001
147.6832110397
148.0181998606
158.4182605721
135.8398845727
135.6968256608
143.9462477189
145.4686914003
148.411020183
144.8755293807
148.1665644952
145.6952210771
147.4367238516
150.9261331806
147.7658688315
160.2201366398
137.8910668297
137.2301997908
148.0343211541
151.5201889625
150.2067935272
150.7429883206
153.4561108477
149.6581310904
152.4643161349
156.1028995487

Nov15
Dic15
Ene16
Feb16
Mar16
Abr16
May16

101.1015608742
3224.473654 153.8242694536
101.6925951724
3003.160963 170.4582033711
103.1224529881
2980.237242 142.6094127708
105.0835296585
2576.101606 145.7115275975
101.9603763648
2801.552434 153.5411970781
98.9797814327 n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.

HALLANDO Ln
Ln Mt=1+1tiempo
5.7593400071
5.817834381
5.6287714909
5.4637691209
5.435810389
5.466402574
5.774749678
5.3753280457
5.1354981842
5.163497751
5.3049381871
5.3180895489
5.4776182898
5.4718934079
5.4528746426
5.7146970702
5.6637116701
5.6682977575
5.8685842083
5.6698564185
5.7479838965
5.8781853975
5.810645022
5.8730933347
5.8412259188
5.8626179213
5.8217791793
5.7021400204
5.7850389706
5.7348290929
5.8200436959
5.7730528536
5.8295113974
5.8429199101
5.7927577188
5.8922327584
5.572827445
5.7596156524
5.751467136
5.7945571161

TIEMPO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

5.7710812824
5.7771465176
5.7843435875
5.9061409701
6.0090159654
5.8422741219
6.0134178108
6.0871341975
5.9348161594
5.8784405417
6.0480142157
6.0121409386
6.1174940119
6.0109332006
6.0560301381
6.2273264821
6.1980762364
6.2314056346
6.3521817077
6.334483431
6.3826472285
6.2646544418
6.5208746161
6.349820608
6.5179662953
6.4613717446
6.4827760079
6.5890218502
6.4767555779
6.4778930845
6.6071757241
6.438297737
6.443960444
6.2828514341
6.4257194649
6.4188349476
6.6181986102
6.4559695401
6.5605675284
6.5332293358
6.4580041005
6.5993357111
6.5009412987
6.4795201544
6.5795618458

41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85

6.32891562
6.4380288958
6.6287673146
6.5560778346
6.5092194326
6.5779535306
6.6955387779
6.652376068
6.6117124988
6.5850799123
6.5900122987
6.53047686
6.5080247952
6.5705377826
6.6291070447
6.5369360616
6.5853818711
6.5488607352
6.5412931326
6.4866087203
6.4306154517
6.4238235889
6.540341119
6.2075303928
6.1930003039
6.3171781714
6.2996625835
6.246516882
6.2883657699
6.241446915
6.3413994248
6.4055384945
6.3866382498
6.457362458
6.4834213254
6.3754646962
6.3447915281
6.4272876593
6.3342552238
6.4545164502
6.4621959388
6.401911407
6.4425187627
6.3175953501
6.5677832307

86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130

6.4615357448
6.4063241933
6.3828284716
6.467005967
6.3949615889
6.3652068046
6.4766942631
6.2671351971
6.4534122856
6.4459634752
6.381931153
6.4220655135
6.374847219
6.3175264472
6.3759047665
6.2770762397
6.2364539741
6.4784789059
6.4904710686
6.2870462973
6.5110013249
6.4164605479
6.5082561395
6.4860734208
6.4471131419
6.5114706411
6.5651449351
6.4190895741
6.5592552858
6.5282395327
6.439637207
6.4914358875
6.588298056
6.4812947446
6.5440059567
6.5859196814
6.5290999466
6.5818569834
6.5410202704
6.4867517987
6.6449112668
6.7233321378
6.6327513001
6.7171217908
6.6695358518

131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175

6.8005760004
6.7500474868
6.7496560435
6.8082749555
6.8766548402
6.822174788
6.6930728524
6.8406498138
6.9628752183
6.9013835838
6.8629011831
6.9534213406
6.9961285302
6.9299025016
6.993662401
7.0154054353
6.9569305061
6.9750864056
6.9344155837
7.1575934243
7.0148601831
7.1336230905
7.1413577193
7.0863878691
7.1307967251
7.1107959988
7.245227427
7.1978268695
7.2622729578
7.2710662557
7.21918586
7.2476189012
7.2943562393
7.3032690362
7.3351442923
7.4725706684
7.5061878523
7.4445106035
7.6180928544
7.4794763585
7.4939362109
7.6910397375
7.5398836038
7.6944688471
7.7449521529

176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220

7.8162658235
7.9238710741
7.9230808817
7.8117555921
7.9185449526
7.8990132138
7.6189024827
7.5607911499
7.4800064297
7.3401601263
7.358963985
7.4228483014
7.3040222961
7.4185383542
7.4670370809
7.4606087954
7.5189279075
7.5758990898
7.6079353447
7.6037337257
7.6375095269
7.5357307001
7.7779709242
7.7088274919
7.6440618061
7.7380588051
7.8394488801
7.8551279198
7.9000901432
7.8873521797
7.9026837348
7.8958788027
7.9060993417
7.8563382622
7.9731532656
8.0503577934
8.0803730816
8.0838217248
8.0199161829
8.1485747267
8.0686101956
8.0567951695
8.086463997
8.0862181202
8.09714633

221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265

7.9589805936
8.125163663
8.0674543857
8.1759781518
8.0803497786
8.2207683284
8.2402574537
8.1555474245
8.2323712393
8.1857224761
8.0642651081
8.2799599685
8.0630785232
8.0942813997
8.164678682
8.2420426508
8.0717517467
8.2322990461
8.2802764869
8.138584532
8.2381795841
8.128028611
8.0539648473
8.2545312068
7.9962916076
8.1228303594
8.1804207989
8.1566322195
8.1037343403
8.1779627784
8.2016695867
8.1240878926
8.1761913128
8.0881119083
8.0387888706
8.0879087109
7.9239565922
8.0829775357
8.0166728899
8.013510551
8.0991055753
8.0604574467
8.058766165
8.0445256061
8.0430898489

266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310

8.0785250078
8.0074206673
7.9997581877
7.8540325298
7.9379289832

311
312
313
314
315

Ene90
Feb90
Mar90
Abr90
May90
Jun90
Jul90
Ago90
Sep90
Oct90
Nov90
Dic90
Ene91
Feb91
Mar91
Abr91
May91
Jun91
Jul91
Ago91
Sep91
Oct91
Nov91
Dic91
Ene92
Feb92
Mar92
Abr92
May92
Jun92
Jul92
Ago92
Sep92
Oct92
Nov92
Dic92
Ene93
Feb93
Mar93
Abr93

P00287PRM

P00336BPM

P00460IAM

ndice de
Tipo de
Cambio Real
Bilateral
(base
2009=100)
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
104.07659
97.9146231
93.1678421
99.1988214
116.357038
114.22233
101.768132
92.1572857
87.8963605
97.3469118
104.428447
98.5037432
94.3497258
88.9002911
81.7467646
84.8716668
90.9766194
91.8294969
92.9769164
94.458093
98.5645515
107.913028
108.831154
105.404282
104.989495
106.140783
106.906892
106.705088

Importacione
s (mill. US$)
317.13895
336.24309
278.319989
235.985207
229.47874
236.607482
322.063805
216.010722
169.948965
174.774706
201.328557
203.993789
239.276142
237.910228
233.428225
303.292313
288.216424
289.541245
353.747792
289.992894
313.557858
357.160549
333.834387
355.346488
344.201045
351.643515
337.572121
299.507668
325.394721
309.460077
336.986778
321.517783
340.19242
344.784612
327.916079
362.213117
263.177167
317.22638
314.651959
328.506661

PBI (ndice
2007=100)
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.

Jan-03

May93
Jun93
Jul93
Ago93
Sep93
Oct93
Nov93
Dic93
Ene94
Feb94
Mar94
Abr94
May94
Jun94
Jul94
Ago94
Sep94
Oct94
Nov94
Dic94
Ene95
Feb95
Mar95
Abr95
May95
Jun95
Jul95
Ago95
Sep95
Oct95
Nov95
Dic95
Ene96
Feb96
Mar96
Abr96
May96
Jun96
Jul96
Ago96
Sep96
Oct96
Nov96
Dic96
Ene97
Feb97
Mar97
Abr97

106.674268
106.984017
106.410155
105.48807
105.036444
106.105496
105.924606
102.962249
102.03418
100.633475
98.5308473
97.6717661
97.2164699
96.6744434
96.3524421
96.7316447
97.6161562
96.4440891
93.6172408
90.7031795
92.8552317
93.1787261
94.0020648
93.5874206
92.7107312
91.8626411
90.8359067
90.5090672
90.6335914
90.8691865
91.8863589
91.7987298
92.1793952
91.3306839
90.6176412
90.5100123
91.7525693
92.531875
91.6404326
91.7559629
92.6824037
94.6440783
95.4718745
94.3412259
95.7119729
96.3979105
95.2441243
95.994839

320.884512
322.836666
325.168525
367.286049
407.08254
344.562026
408.878404
440.158195
377.970503
357.251688
423.271669
408.356652
453.726236
407.863761
426.678217
506.399803
491.80202
508.469704
573.743084
563.678149
591.49145
525.659908
679.172141
572.390018
677.19976
639.938287
653.783337
727.069339
649.859105
650.598745
740.389
625.341398
628.892568
535.312899
617.524945
613.288185
748.59537
636.49053
706.672638
687.61517
637.786827
734.607036
665.768025
651.658176
720.223691
560.548417
625.173303
756.549009

n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.

May97
Jun97
Jul97
Ago97
Sep97
Oct97
Nov97
Dic97
Ene98
Feb98
Mar98
Abr98
May98
Jun98
Jul98
Ago98
Sep98
Oct98
Nov98
Dic98
Ene99
Feb99
Mar99
Abr99
May99
Jun99
Jul99
Ago99
Sep99
Oct99
Nov99
Dic99
Ene00
Feb00
Mar00
Abr00
May00
Jun00
Jul00
Ago00
Sep00
Oct00
Nov00
Dic00
Ene01
Feb01
Mar01
Abr01

95.3162307
94.1254432
93.3266802
93.361882
92.983383
93.7250987
95.6019043
94.7632437
95.0516503
95.9164882
95.0953621
95.1310231
95.5552998
97.2853232
97.2210373
98.4661972
101.824707
102.671273
104.077042
104.800948
108.836975
113.550573
112.660624
111.803953
110.715459
110.741311
110.27874
111.645053
113.550546
115.698191
115.756468
115.326863
116.107346
114.792209
114.679818
115.357123
116.283318
116.275116
115.7235
115.092374
115.296319
115.736954
116.659838
116.119699
116.737711
117.108967
116.495835
118.747004

703.507006
671.302216
719.066275
808.789575
774.622697
743.755609
724.208919
727.789821
685.725128
670.500733
713.753584
756.806075
690.168701
724.427633
698.448003
693.182375
656.293909
620.555753
616.355304
692.52277
496.473641
489.311991
554.007471
544.388194
516.211664
538.272948
513.601111
567.590055
605.187601
593.856822
637.377727
654.205371
587.258264
569.518649
618.494104
563.549528
635.566324
640.465937
602.996509
627.986559
554.238639
711.790218
640.043245
605.663283
591.598663
643.554018
598.820321
581.265024

n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.

May01
Jun01
Jul01
Ago01
Sep01
Oct01
Nov01
Dic01
Ene02
Feb02
Mar02
Abr02
May02
Jun02
Jul02
Ago02
Sep02
Oct02
Nov02
Dic02
Ene03
Feb03
Mar03
Abr03
May03
Jun03
Jul03
Ago03
Sep03

120.63934
118.585321
117.130585
117.09279
117.494809
116.050805
115.73914
115.246615
116.935548
118.015911
117.352694
116.564167
116.828773
118.153166
120.021023
121.564229
122.852274
122.042694
121.456879
118.892729
118.455121
118.470603
117.702797
117.016063
117.419805
118.025638
118.080452
118.816351
118.560867

649.81926
526.965561
634.864941
630.153522
591.068049
615.272657
586.895758
554.200452
587.516756
532.230273
511.043122
650.979991
658.833646
537.56318
672.499471
611.833721
670.655867
655.942689
630.878405
672.81516
709.91478
613.444364
705.74592
684.192652
626.179585
659.469608
726.543281
652.815629
695.06541

Oct03

118.284362 724.817342 77.5989138

Nov03
Dic03
Ene04
Feb04
Mar04
Abr04
May04
Jun04
Jul04
Ago04
Sep04
Oct04
Nov04
Dic04
Ene05
Feb05

117.751807
116.747132
116.551635
116.468044
116.06456
116.616122
117.477364
116.850936
115.240203
113.775775
112.72577
112.111892
111.483903
110.109201
109.798412
110.373451

684.781594
721.878602
692.993258
656.387817
768.861821
831.583852
759.569101
826.435431
788.029757
898.364601
854.09932
853.765054
905.307763
969.378205
917.979251
806.797617

n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
73.22237
71.0794325
74.3427233
80.6677118
83.2226461
80.8537747
79.2070174
74.2120141
73.8678356

75.5725389
78.0097327
75.9132672
74.0974361
78.6354632
84.0944724
86.5105705
83.2874593
82.1067516
77.5146232
77.4025941
79.6324554
82.7195638
85.6503023
79.9791613
80.1344602

Mar05
Abr05
May05
Jun05
Jul05
Ago05
Sep05
Oct05
Nov05
Dic05
Ene06
Feb06
Mar06
Abr06
May06
Jun06
Jul06
Ago06
Sep06
Oct06
Nov06
Dic06
Ene07
Feb07
Mar07
Abr07
May07
Jun07
Jul07
Ago07
Sep07
Oct07
Nov07
Dic07
Ene08
Feb08
Mar08
Abr08
May08
Jun08
Jul08
Ago08
Sep08
Oct08
Nov08
Dic08
Ene09
Feb09

110.534491
111.09944
110.740808
110.434378
110.805278
111.754171
114.970892
117.58376
116.397464
117.090908
116.334386
112.360717
114.199048
114.31872
113.676231
113.53102
113.328564
113.088646
112.967647
111.950425
111.568461
111.124014
111.007095
111.235498
111.693861
111.961451
111.714527
111.501918
110.620807
110.171836
109.030834
104.889137
104.736789
103.492205
102.71583
100.537353
97.096205
95.3466582
97.7728058
101.045371
99.5060502
100.044919
101.868686
103.919375
102.16782
101.461385
103.016353
106.400853

935.096576
1056.66734
993.648561
956.136976
1046.72481
1092.39578
1022.39429
1089.70511
1113.65807
1050.40439
1069.64961
1027.01887
1283.81761
1113.05101
1253.40997
1263.14222
1195.5814
1249.87238
1225.12235
1401.40058
1336.52317
1425.49294
1438.083
1365.377
1404.756
1471.969
1485.147
1533.249
1759.123
1819.265
1710.448
2034.678
1771.313
1797.112
2188.649
1881.611
2196.167
2309.883
2480.625
2762.444
2760.262
2469.462
2747.77
2694.622
2036.326
1921.365
1772.25217
1540.95884

81.3964132
87.0734473
92.1414554
88.4557733
87.2766009
82.9894834
82.0878668
84.8027242
90.4951179
91.545927
85.6590428
84.6285224
91.2286931
91.7780027
97.7619066
95.0729001
92.9616004
91.554763
88.7693299
92.182207
94.7874215
99.4183591
89.9488919
88.6754173
96.7166808
96.6358439
104.744753
101.255861
102.534732
100.11395
100.225944
103.154829
104.110657
111.88244
98.5149773
100.70986
104.115308
110.287664
112.120914
112.21161
112.320516
108.922293
110.725068
111.641044
110.655001
117.493523
103.013102
101.019866

Mar09
Abr09
May09
Jun09
Jul09
Ago09
Sep09
Oct09
Nov09
Dic09
Ene10
Feb10
Mar10
Abr10
May10
Jun10
Jul10
Ago10
Sep10
Oct10
Nov10
Dic10
Ene11
Feb11
Mar11
Abr11
May11
Jun11
Jul11
Ago11
Sep11
Oct11
Nov11
Dic11
Ene12
Feb12
Mar12
Abr12
May12
Jun12
Jul12
Ago12
Sep12
Oct12
Nov12
Dic12
Ene13
Feb13

104.261909
101.54814
98.8807863
99.9505283
100.339659
98.7012927
97.4793646
96.1848847
96.7879301
96.0774502
95.4190622
95.0535884
94.6866642
94.8460282
94.8827112
94.3053401
93.4786987
92.6694441
92.3760927
92.65022
93.1506828
93.4791692
92.6079134
92.1605272
92.7057728
93.880071
92.9810176
92.4256042
91.0241374
90.9689101
90.9514278
90.0827224
88.7385088
87.9968875
88.3554718
88.1569887
87.7398537
87.0816833
87.3460482
87.292548
85.9132659
85.33229
84.8210107
84.4307662
84.5049239
83.0332272
82.6973378
84.3022432

1570.20896
1673.7942
1486.26612
1666.59575
1749.41562
1738.20595
1842.59081
1950.61325
2014.11535
2005.67056
2074.57072
1873.81305
2387.42564
2227.92846
2088.20851
2294.01493
2538.80526
2578.92499
2697.52548
2663.38242
2704.53084
2686.18917
2713.78425
2582.04826
2901.99371
3134.91642
3230.43823
3241.59809
3040.92244
3458.44632
3192.66157
3155.16215
3250.1746
3249.37556
3285.08015
2861.15479
3378.42081
3188.97359
3554.53009
3230.36295
3717.35744
3790.51607
3482.64529
3760.7408
3589.33589
3178.81927
3944.03649
3175.04957

107.121547
108.808083
114.224648
108.887627
110.717741
109.795539
110.865829
112.955998
113.624205
122.425577
106.153026
106.146323
115.833732
117.484525
123.028903
123.162706
121.894426
119.60786
122.292317
123.835094
123.761085
132.102
116.607351
114.949282
125.021518
126.557045
130.030006
126.941055
129.392947
127.436349
128.310944
129.418113
129.644813
143.601358
122.82259
122.917522
132.130558
130.158217
138.80767
136.276188
138.550599
136.186034
136.751001
138.733909
137.252468
148.240008
130.450929
128.683668

Mar13
Abr13
May13
Jun13
Jul13
Ago13
Sep13
Oct13
Nov13
Dic13
Ene14
Feb14
Mar14
Abr14
May14
Jun14
Jul14
Ago14
Sep14
Oct14
Nov14
Dic14
Ene15
Feb15
Mar15
Abr15
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Ago15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dic15
Ene16
Feb16
Mar16
Abr16
May16

84.2802393
84.0956811
85.6003736
88.9188621
89.4093553
89.8359132
89.0997817
88.5341138
89.4740433
88.9072803
89.7125402
89.624979
89.5368172
89.0973383
88.9715759
89.2274833
88.5490514
89.3781648
90.8720224
91.6287544
91.8680884
92.2734974
93.0460769
95.4303529
95.6769922
96.3718128
97.2609701
97.611477
97.7951356
99.0360909
98.2519991
98.9745741
101.101561
101.692595
103.122453
105.08353
101.960376
98.9797814
n.d.

3275.6821
3514.59185
3797.28893
3202.70725
3760.46931
3945.28505
3424.06778
3782.64804
3388.11369
3146.24465
3845.00894
2969.9239
3370.54712
3570.35675
3486.4253
3306.79374
3561.59151
3647.03427
3374.78836
3555.28786
3255.53502
3098.8578
3254.87357
2762.68025
3238.86272
3031.07582
3021.50567
3291.52274
3166.73842
3161.3871
3116.68622
3112.21462
3224.47365
3003.16096
2980.23724
2576.10161
2801.55243
n.d.
n.d.

135.936908
141.40599
144.659228
144.480177
145.406178
143.651523
143.225897
147.683211
148.0182
158.418261
135.839885
135.696826
143.946248
145.468691
148.41102
144.875529
148.166564
145.695221
147.436724
150.926133
147.765869
160.220137
137.891067
137.2302
148.034321
151.520189
150.206794
150.742988
153.456111
149.658131
152.464316
156.1029
153.824269
170.458203
142.609413
145.711528
153.541197
n.d.
n.d.

LnPBI=2+2tiempo

TIEMPO
4.2935009749
4.2637980193
4.3086857977
4.3903383931
4.4215194995
4.3926422729
4.3720648983
4.306926052
4.302277491
4.3515534291
4.3250929747
4.3568335966
4.3295914671
4.3053809318
4.3648227838
4.4319408382
4.4602666088
4.4222979889
4.408020249
4.3504666045
4.3490202951
4.3774217411
4.4154561372
4.4502727547
4.3817661175
4.3837059758
4.3993312087
4.4667519843
4.5233249548
4.4825026901
4.469082396
4.4187138934
4.4077902197
4.4403276673
4.5052959034
4.5168407805
4.4503747972
4.4382713534
4.5133694652
4.5193726464

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

4.5825349986
4.5546439669
4.5321865091
4.5169372962
4.4860412061
4.5237671288
4.5516367162
4.5993367955
4.499241641
4.4849827062
4.571785888
4.5709497275
4.6515264696
4.6176505874
4.6302015881
4.6063090419
4.6074270745
4.6362310553
4.6454543453
4.7174486756
4.5902085907
4.6122437121
4.6454990111
4.7030920829
4.7195778758
4.7203864633
4.7213565344
4.6906347163
4.7070502662
4.7152887563
4.7064172643
4.7663832128
4.6348561838
4.6153171882
4.6739641416
4.6895856232
4.7381671046
4.6903164067
4.7069840909
4.6986198962
4.7083207223
4.7269983411
4.7328965584
4.8075033124
4.6648816912
4.6648185463
4.7521558157
4.7663066251

41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88

4.8124193082
4.8135062921
4.8031553085
4.7842185625
4.8064142218
4.8189507902
4.8183529707
4.8835743525
4.7588123168
4.7444910016
4.8284858696
4.8406931517
4.8677652415
4.8437228413
4.8628538767
4.8476170187
4.8544565692
4.8630483455
4.864798503
4.9670411157
4.8107409572
4.8115135801
4.8837905127
4.8687507628
4.9330893048
4.9146836239
4.9312355928
4.9140218479
4.9181617587
4.9325577727
4.9218220648
4.9988326343
4.8709971342
4.8573572089
4.9121908689
4.9516351126
4.974380822
4.9731423117
4.9795310555
4.9673903862
4.9644230811
4.9950695137
4.9973352382
5.0652387541
4.9114768728
4.9104231742
4.9694399502
4.9799608841

89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136

4.999985588
4.9758749557
4.9983370767
4.9815169129
4.9933990929
5.0167905329
4.9956290538
5.0765487236
4.9264640026
4.9216598062
4.9974441466
5.0207188765
5.0120129682
5.0155763226
5.0334146033
5.0083535669
5.0269305761
5.0505154023
5.0358108434
5.1384901252
4.960109514
4.9816288288
5.0339689159

137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.97742151
0.95535281
0.95506843
0.0488806
159

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
1 8.02679922 8.02679922 3359.45859
157 0.37512219 0.00238931
158 8.40192142
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad
4.32050522 0.00778968 554.644546 2.2585E-260
0.00489525 8.4458E-005 57.9608367 6.6364E-108
0.49

Valor crtico de F
6.6364E-108

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

4.30511913 4.33589132 4.30511913 4.33589132
0.00472843 0.00506207 0.00472843 0.00506207

Ene90
Feb90
Mar90
Abr90
May90
Jun90
Jul90
Ago90
Sep90
Oct90
Nov90
Dic90
Ene91
Feb91
Mar91
Abr91
May91
Jun91
Jul91
Ago91
Sep91
Oct91
Nov91
Dic91
Ene92
Feb92
Mar92
Abr92
May92
Jun92
Jul92
Ago92
Sep92
Oct92
Nov92
Dic92
Ene93
Feb93
Mar93
Abr93

P00287PRM

P00336BPM

P00460IAM

ndice de
Tipo de
Cambio Real
Bilateral
(base
2009=100)
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
104.07659
97.9146231
93.1678421
99.1988214
116.357038
114.22233
101.768132
92.1572857
87.8963605
97.3469118
104.428447
98.5037432
94.3497258
88.9002911
81.7467646
84.8716668
90.9766194
91.8294969
92.9769164
94.458093
98.5645515
107.913028
108.831154
105.404282
104.989495
106.140783
106.906892
106.705088

Importacione
s (mill. US$)
317.13895
336.24309
278.319989
235.985207
229.47874
236.607482
322.063805
216.010722
169.948965
174.774706
201.328557
203.993789
239.276142
237.910228
233.428225
303.292313
288.216424
289.541245
353.747792
289.992894
313.557858
357.160549
333.834387
355.346488
344.201045
351.643515
337.572121
299.507668
325.394721
309.460077
336.986778
321.517783
340.19242
344.784612
327.916079
362.213117
263.177167
317.22638
314.651959
328.506661

PBI (ndice
2007=100)
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.

May93
Jun93
Jul93
Ago93
Sep93
Oct93
Nov93
Dic93
Ene94
Feb94
Mar94
Abr94
May94
Jun94
Jul94
Ago94
Sep94
Oct94
Nov94
Dic94
Ene95
Feb95
Mar95
Abr95
May95
Jun95
Jul95
Ago95
Sep95
Oct95
Nov95
Dic95
Ene96
Feb96
Mar96
Abr96
May96
Jun96
Jul96
Ago96
Sep96
Oct96
Nov96
Dic96
Ene97
Feb97
Mar97
Abr97

106.674268
106.984017
106.410155
105.48807
105.036444
106.105496
105.924606
102.962249
102.03418
100.633475
98.5308473
97.6717661
97.2164699
96.6744434
96.3524421
96.7316447
97.6161562
96.4440891
93.6172408
90.7031795
92.8552317
93.1787261
94.0020648
93.5874206
92.7107312
91.8626411
90.8359067
90.5090672
90.6335914
90.8691865
91.8863589
91.7987298
92.1793952
91.3306839
90.6176412
90.5100123
91.7525693
92.531875
91.6404326
91.7559629
92.6824037
94.6440783
95.4718745
94.3412259
95.7119729
96.3979105
95.2441243
95.994839

320.884512
322.836666
325.168525
367.286049
407.08254
344.562026
408.878404
440.158195
377.970503
357.251688
423.271669
408.356652
453.726236
407.863761
426.678217
506.399803
491.80202
508.469704
573.743084
563.678149
591.49145
525.659908
679.172141
572.390018
677.19976
639.938287
653.783337
727.069339
649.859105
650.598745
740.389
625.341398
628.892568
535.312899
617.524945
613.288185
748.59537
636.49053
706.672638
687.61517
637.786827
734.607036
665.768025
651.658176
720.223691
560.548417
625.173303
756.549009

n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
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May97
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Dic98
Ene99
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Abr99
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Dic99
Ene00
Feb00
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Abr00
May00
Jun00
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Ago00
Sep00
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Nov00
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Ene01
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95.3162307
94.1254432
93.3266802
93.361882
92.983383
93.7250987
95.6019043
94.7632437
95.0516503
95.9164882
95.0953621
95.1310231
95.5552998
97.2853232
97.2210373
98.4661972
101.824707
102.671273
104.077042
104.800948
108.836975
113.550573
112.660624
111.803953
110.715459
110.741311
110.27874
111.645053
113.550546
115.698191
115.756468
115.326863
116.107346
114.792209
114.679818
115.357123
116.283318
116.275116
115.7235
115.092374
115.296319
115.736954
116.659838
116.119699
116.737711
117.108967
116.495835
118.747004

703.507006
671.302216
719.066275
808.789575
774.622697
743.755609
724.208919
727.789821
685.725128
670.500733
713.753584
756.806075
690.168701
724.427633
698.448003
693.182375
656.293909
620.555753
616.355304
692.52277
496.473641
489.311991
554.007471
544.388194
516.211664
538.272948
513.601111
567.590055
605.187601
593.856822
637.377727
654.205371
587.258264
569.518649
618.494104
563.549528
635.566324
640.465937
602.996509
627.986559
554.238639
711.790218
640.043245
605.663283
591.598663
643.554018
598.820321
581.265024

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May01
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Dic02
Ene03
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Abr03
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Dic03
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May04
Jun04
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Dic04
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120.63934
118.585321
117.130585
117.09279
117.494809
116.050805
115.73914
115.246615
116.935548
118.015911
117.352694
116.564167
116.828773
118.153166
120.021023
121.564229
122.852274
122.042694
121.456879
118.892729
118.455121
118.470603
117.702797
117.016063
117.419805
118.025638
118.080452
118.816351
118.560867
118.284362
117.751807
116.747132
116.551635
116.468044
116.06456
116.616122
117.477364
116.850936
115.240203
113.775775
112.72577
112.111892
111.483903
110.109201
109.798412
110.373451
110.534491
111.09944

649.81926
526.965561
634.864941
630.153522
591.068049
615.272657
586.895758
554.200452
587.516756
532.230273
511.043122
650.979991
658.833646
537.56318
672.499471
611.833721
670.655867
655.942689
630.878405
672.81516
709.91478
613.444364
705.74592
684.192652
626.179585
659.469608
726.543281
652.815629
695.06541
724.817342
684.781594
721.878602
692.993258
656.387817
768.861821
831.583852
759.569101
826.435431
788.029757
898.364601
854.09932
853.765054
905.307763
969.378205
917.979251
806.797617
935.096576
1056.66734

n.d.
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73.22237
71.0794325
74.3427233
80.6677118
83.2226461
80.8537747
79.2070174
74.2120141
73.8678356
77.5989138
75.5725389
78.0097327
75.9132672
74.0974361
78.6354632
84.0944724
86.5105705
83.2874593
82.1067516
77.5146232
77.4025941
79.6324554
82.7195638
85.6503023
79.9791613
80.1344602
81.3964132
87.0734473

May05
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Dic05
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Jun07
Jul07
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Dic07
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Dic08
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110.740808
110.434378
110.805278
111.754171
114.970892
117.58376
116.397464
117.090908
116.334386
112.360717
114.199048
114.31872
113.676231
113.53102
113.328564
113.088646
112.967647
111.950425
111.568461
111.124014
111.007095
111.235498
111.693861
111.961451
111.714527
111.501918
110.620807
110.171836
109.030834
104.889137
104.736789
103.492205
102.71583
100.537353
97.096205
95.3466582
97.7728058
101.045371
99.5060502
100.044919
101.868686
103.919375
102.16782
101.461385
103.016353
106.400853
104.261909
101.54814

993.648561
956.136976
1046.72481
1092.39578
1022.39429
1089.70511
1113.65807
1050.40439
1069.64961
1027.01887
1283.81761
1113.05101
1253.40997
1263.14222
1195.5814
1249.87238
1225.12235
1401.40058
1336.52317
1425.49294
1438.083
1365.377
1404.756
1471.969
1485.147
1533.249
1759.123
1819.265
1710.448
2034.678
1771.313
1797.112
2188.649
1881.611
2196.167
2309.883
2480.625
2762.444
2760.262
2469.462
2747.77
2694.622
2036.326
1921.365
1772.25217
1540.95884
1570.20896
1673.7942

92.1414554
88.4557733
87.2766009
82.9894834
82.0878668
84.8027242
90.4951179
91.545927
85.6590428
84.6285224
91.2286931
91.7780027
97.7619066
95.0729001
92.9616004
91.554763
88.7693299
92.182207
94.7874215
99.4183591
89.9488919
88.6754173
96.7166808
96.6358439
104.744753
101.255861
102.534732
100.11395
100.225944
103.154829
104.110657
111.88244
98.5149773
100.70986
104.115308
110.287664
112.120914
112.21161
112.320516
108.922293
110.725068
111.641044
110.655001
117.493523
103.013102
101.019866
107.121547
108.808083

May09
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Dic11
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Mar12
Abr12
May12
Jun12
Jul12
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Nov12
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98.8807863
99.9505283
100.339659
98.7012927
97.4793646
96.1848847
96.7879301
96.0774502
95.4190622
95.0535884
94.6866642
94.8460282
94.8827112
94.3053401
93.4786987
92.6694441
92.3760927
92.65022
93.1506828
93.4791692
92.6079134
92.1605272
92.7057728
93.880071
92.9810176
92.4256042
91.0241374
90.9689101
90.9514278
90.0827224
88.7385088
87.9968875
88.3554718
88.1569887
87.7398537
87.0816833
87.3460482
87.292548
85.9132659
85.33229
84.8210107
84.4307662
84.5049239
83.0332272
82.6973378
84.3022432
84.2802393
84.0956811

1486.26612
1666.59575
1749.41562
1738.20595
1842.59081
1950.61325
2014.11535
2005.67056
2074.57072
1873.81305
2387.42564
2227.92846
2088.20851
2294.01493
2538.80526
2578.92499
2697.52548
2663.38242
2704.53084
2686.18917
2713.78425
2582.04826
2901.99371
3134.91642
3230.43823
3241.59809
3040.92244
3458.44632
3192.66157
3155.16215
3250.1746
3249.37556
3285.08015
2861.15479
3378.42081
3188.97359
3554.53009
3230.36295
3717.35744
3790.51607
3482.64529
3760.7408
3589.33589
3178.81927
3944.03649
3175.04957
3275.6821
3514.59185

114.224648
108.887627
110.717741
109.795539
110.865829
112.955998
113.624205
122.425577
106.153026
106.146323
115.833732
117.484525
123.028903
123.162706
121.894426
119.60786
122.292317
123.835094
123.761085
132.102
116.607351
114.949282
125.021518
126.557045
130.030006
126.941055
129.392947
127.436349
128.310944
129.418113
129.644813
143.601358
122.82259
122.917522
132.130558
130.158217
138.80767
136.276188
138.550599
136.186034
136.751001
138.733909
137.252468
148.240008
130.450929
128.683668
135.936908
141.40599

May13
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Jul14
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Dic14
Ene15
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Abr15
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Jun15
Jul15
Ago15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dic15
Ene16
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85.6003736
88.9188621
89.4093553
89.8359132
89.0997817
88.5341138
89.4740433
88.9072803
89.7125402
89.624979
89.5368172
89.0973383
88.9715759
89.2274833
88.5490514
89.3781648
90.8720224
91.6287544
91.8680884
92.2734974
93.0460769
95.4303529
95.6769922
96.3718128
97.2609701
97.611477
97.7951356
99.0360909
98.2519991
98.9745741
101.101561
101.692595
103.122453
105.08353
101.960376
98.9797814
n.d.

3797.28893
3202.70725
3760.46931
3945.28505
3424.06778
3782.64804
3388.11369
3146.24465
3845.00894
2969.9239
3370.54712
3570.35675
3486.4253
3306.79374
3561.59151
3647.03427
3374.78836
3555.28786
3255.53502
3098.8578
3254.87357
2762.68025
3238.86272
3031.07582
3021.50567
3291.52274
3166.73842
3161.3871
3116.68622
3112.21462
3224.47365
3003.16096
2980.23724
2576.10161
2801.55243
n.d.
n.d.

144.659228
144.480177
145.406178
143.651523
143.225897
147.683211
148.0182
158.418261
135.839885
135.696826
143.946248
145.468691
148.41102
144.875529
148.166564
145.695221
147.436724
150.926133
147.765869
160.220137
137.891067
137.2302
148.034321
151.520189
150.206794
150.742988
153.456111
149.658131
152.464316
156.1029
153.824269
170.458203
142.609413
145.711528
153.541197
n.d.
n.d.

LnTC=3+3tiempo

4.645127075
4.5840959063
4.5344026202
4.5971261336
4.7566633769
4.7381468096
4.622697008
4.5234967443
4.4761583986
4.5782810089
4.6485021168
4.5900945496
4.5470083654
4.4875154174
4.4036262321
4.4411403134
4.510602544
4.519933563
4.5323512518
4.5481562763
4.5907116788
4.6813256033
4.6897976398
4.657803263
4.6538602999
4.6647663565
4.6719582898
4.6700688451
4.6697799691
4.672679448
4.6673010153
4.6585978695
4.6543073755
4.664433845
4.6627275777
4.6343624046
4.6253078577
4.6114849561
4.5903696698
4.581612532

TIEMPO

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

4.5769401408
4.5713490796
4.5680127409
4.5719405951
4.581043015
4.5689634524
4.5392145636
4.5075924119
4.5310416319
4.5345194353
4.5433167479
4.5388959794
4.529484229
4.5202944302
4.5090546552
4.5054500353
4.5068249101
4.5094209615
4.5205525843
4.5195984613
4.5237366258
4.5144868086
4.5066489088
4.5054604773
4.5190954898
4.5275531795
4.5178725784
4.5191324756
4.5291786349
4.5501233117
4.5588316959
4.5469182727
4.5613433994
4.5684845257
4.5564433247
4.5642944301
4.5572001083
4.5446283953
4.5361060282
4.5364831465
4.5324207998
4.5403660154
4.5601927391
4.551381609
4.5544204313
4.5634778985
4.5548801994
4.5552551324

41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
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68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88

4.5597051351
4.5776481375
4.5769871212
4.5897133137
4.623252777
4.6315323619
4.6451314133
4.6520628194
4.6898511174
4.7322483133
4.7243799743
4.7167469151
4.7069634803
4.7071969518
4.7030111642
4.715324665
4.7322480778
4.750985001
4.7514885718
4.7477703874
4.7545151572
4.7431236197
4.7421440567
4.7480327339
4.7560296119
4.7559590763
4.7512037257
4.7457350567
4.7475054995
4.7513199785
4.7592623369
4.7546215433
4.7599296296
4.7631048422
4.7578555251
4.7769952098
4.7928054367
4.7756327095
4.7632894267
4.7629666949
4.7663941554
4.7540280655
4.751338868
4.7470743115
4.7616229091
4.7708194584
4.7651838821
4.7584419087

89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136

4.7607093858
4.7719818037
4.787666919
4.8004427559
4.8109826052
4.8043709346
4.7995592975
4.7782216497
4.7745341645
4.7746648532
4.7681627749
4.762311213
4.7657555863
4.7709018744
4.7713661856
4.7775790339
4.775426478
4.7730915709
4.7685790762
4.7600103272
4.7583343909
4.7576169371
4.7541465901
4.7588875335
4.7662456666
4.7608990718
4.7470186726
4.7342296217
4.7249580559
4.7194974127
4.7138802097
4.7014726085
4.6986460641
4.7038696293
4.7053276076
4.7104256523
4.7071924053
4.704421477
4.7077744111
4.716301554
4.7446789806
4.7671509277
4.7570107442
4.7629506213
4.7564686831
4.7217143877
4.7379429608
4.73899034

137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
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148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
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165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
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184

4.7333543325
4.7320761027
4.7302912487
4.7281719854
4.7271014709
4.7180561372
4.7146384065
4.7106468215
4.7095941181
4.711649558
4.7157617411
4.7181546285
4.7159467511
4.7140417953
4.7061082008
4.7020412896
4.6916307243
4.6529039505
4.651450432
4.639496296
4.6319662481
4.6105293257
4.5757022912
4.5575192834
4.5826464788
4.6155696302
4.6002184486
4.6056192753
4.6236845893
4.6436153566
4.6266167565
4.6196782871
4.6348877438
4.6672135939
4.6469060932
4.6205329687
4.5939149453
4.6046753468
4.6085610222
4.5920980433
4.5796407107
4.5662722212
4.5725222969
4.5651546392
4.5582783715
4.5544408207
4.5505731692
4.5522548214

185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232

4.55264151
4.5465378174
4.5377335885
4.5290387972
4.5258682087
4.5288313273
4.534218427
4.5377386217
4.5283745962
4.5235319171
4.5294307452
4.5420181275
4.532395361
4.5264040416
4.5111247173
4.5105178006
4.5103256034
4.5007283855
4.4856939416
4.4773014451
4.4813681304
4.4791191874
4.4743762289
4.4668465667
4.4698777948
4.4692650986
4.4533382511
4.4465529288
4.4405432801
4.4359318639
4.4368098032
4.4192408558
4.4151874102
4.4344084743
4.4341474286
4.4319552116
4.4496896475
4.4877242923
4.4932253217
4.4979848199
4.4897568842
4.4833879447
4.4939485637
4.4875940327
4.4966105605
4.4956340644
4.4946499066
4.4897294612

233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280

4.4883169467
4.491189101
4.4835566516
4.4928764106
4.5094521697
4.5177451347
4.5203537265
4.5247569647
4.5330948211
4.5583966929
4.5609778534
4.56821376
4.577397779
4.5809950785
4.5828748377
4.5954843387
4.5875355978
4.5948629898
4.6161255648
4.6219544899
4.6359171461
4.6547555545
4.6245842708
4.5949156013

281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlaci 0.1899007531
Coeficiente de determi 0.036062296
R^2 ajustado
0.0328704493
Error tpico
0.1035111452
Observaciones
304
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Regresin
1 0.12105579 0.12105579 11.2982544
Residuos
302 3.23579627 0.01071456
Total
303 3.35685206

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Coeficientes
Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad
4.6562363916
0.0119029 391.185159
0
-0.000227392 6.7650E-005 -3.36128761 0.00087559
-0.02

Valor crtico de F
0.00087559

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

4.63281327 4.67965951 4.63281327 4.67965951
-0.00036052 -9.427E-005 -0.00036052 -9.427E-005

Ene03
Feb03
Mar03
Abr03
May03
Jun03
Jul03
Ago03
Sep03
Oct03
Nov03
Dic03
Ene04
Feb04
Mar04
Abr04
May04
Jun04
Jul04
Ago04
Sep04
Oct04
Nov04
Dic04
Ene05
Feb05
Mar05
Abr05
May05
Jun05
Jul05
Ago05
Sep05
Oct05
Nov05
Dic05
Ene06
Feb06
Mar06
Abr06

P00287PRM

P00336BPM

P00460IAM

ndice de
Tipo de
Cambio Real
Bilateral
(base
2009=100)
118.455121
118.470603
117.702797
117.016063
117.419805
118.025638
118.080452
118.816351
118.560867
118.284362
117.751807
116.747132
116.551635
116.468044
116.06456
116.616122
117.477364
116.850936
115.240203
113.775775
112.72577
112.111892
111.483903
110.109201
109.798412
110.373451
110.534491
111.09944
110.740808
110.434378
110.805278
111.754171
114.970892
117.58376
116.397464
117.090908
116.334386
112.360717
114.199048
114.31872

Importacione
s (mill. US$)
709.91478
613.444364
705.74592
684.192652
626.179585
659.469608
726.543281
652.815629
695.06541
724.817342
684.781594
721.878602
692.993258
656.387817
768.861821
831.583852
759.569101
826.435431
788.029757
898.364601
854.09932
853.765054
905.307763
969.378205
917.979251
806.797617
935.096576
1056.66734
993.648561
956.136976
1046.72481
1092.39578
1022.39429
1089.70511
1113.65807
1050.40439
1069.64961
1027.01887
1283.81761
1113.05101

PBI (ndice
2007=100)
73.22237
71.0794325
74.3427233
80.6677118
83.2226461
80.8537747
79.2070174
74.2120141
73.8678356
77.5989138
75.5725389
78.0097327
75.9132672
74.0974361
78.6354632
84.0944724
86.5105705
83.2874593
82.1067516
77.5146232
77.4025941
79.6324554
82.7195638
85.6503023
79.9791613
80.1344602
81.3964132
87.0734473
92.1414554
88.4557733
87.2766009
82.9894834
82.0878668
84.8027242
90.4951179
91.545927
85.6590428
84.6285224
91.2286931
91.7780027

May06
Jun06
Jul06
Ago06
Sep06
Oct06
Nov06
Dic06
Ene07
Feb07
Mar07
Abr07
May07
Jun07
Jul07
Ago07
Sep07
Oct07
Nov07
Dic07
Ene08
Feb08
Mar08
Abr08
May08
Jun08
Jul08
Ago08
Sep08
Oct08
Nov08
Dic08
Ene09
Feb09
Mar09
Abr09
May09
Jun09
Jul09
Ago09
Sep09
Oct09
Nov09
Dic09
Ene10
Feb10
Mar10
Abr10

113.676231
113.53102
113.328564
113.088646
112.967647
111.950425
111.568461
111.124014
111.007095
111.235498
111.693861
111.961451
111.714527
111.501918
110.620807
110.171836
109.030834
104.889137
104.736789
103.492205
102.71583
100.537353
97.096205
95.3466582
97.7728058
101.045371
99.5060502
100.044919
101.868686
103.919375
102.16782
101.461385
103.016353
106.400853
104.261909
101.54814
98.8807863
99.9505283
100.339659
98.7012927
97.4793646
96.1848847
96.7879301
96.0774502
95.4190622
95.0535884
94.6866642
94.8460282

1253.40997
1263.14222
1195.5814
1249.87238
1225.12235
1401.40058
1336.52317
1425.49294
1438.083
1365.377
1404.756
1471.969
1485.147
1533.249
1759.123
1819.265
1710.448
2034.678
1771.313
1797.112
2188.649
1881.611
2196.167
2309.883
2480.625
2762.444
2760.262
2469.462
2747.77
2694.622
2036.326
1921.365
1772.25217
1540.95884
1570.20896
1673.7942
1486.26612
1666.59575
1749.41562
1738.20595
1842.59081
1950.61325
2014.11535
2005.67056
2074.57072
1873.81305
2387.42564
2227.92846

97.7619066
95.0729001
92.9616004
91.554763
88.7693299
92.182207
94.7874215
99.4183591
89.9488919
88.6754173
96.7166808
96.6358439
104.744753
101.255861
102.534732
100.11395
100.225944
103.154829
104.110657
111.88244
98.5149773
100.70986
104.115308
110.287664
112.120914
112.21161
112.320516
108.922293
110.725068
111.641044
110.655001
117.493523
103.013102
101.019866
107.121547
108.808083
114.224648
108.887627
110.717741
109.795539
110.865829
112.955998
113.624205
122.425577
106.153026
106.146323
115.833732
117.484525

May10
Jun10
Jul10
Ago10
Sep10
Oct10
Nov10
Dic10
Ene11
Feb11
Mar11
Abr11
May11
Jun11
Jul11
Ago11
Sep11
Oct11
Nov11
Dic11
Ene12
Feb12
Mar12
Abr12
May12
Jun12
Jul12
Ago12
Sep12
Oct12
Nov12
Dic12
Ene13
Feb13
Mar13
Abr13
May13
Jun13
Jul13
Ago13
Sep13
Oct13
Nov13
Dic13
Ene14
Feb14
Mar14
Abr14

94.8827112
94.3053401
93.4786987
92.6694441
92.3760927
92.65022
93.1506828
93.4791692
92.6079134
92.1605272
92.7057728
93.880071
92.9810176
92.4256042
91.0241374
90.9689101
90.9514278
90.0827224
88.7385088
87.9968875
88.3554718
88.1569887
87.7398537
87.0816833
87.3460482
87.292548
85.9132659
85.33229
84.8210107
84.4307662
84.5049239
83.0332272
82.6973378
84.3022432
84.2802393
84.0956811
85.6003736
88.9188621
89.4093553
89.8359132
89.0997817
88.5341138
89.4740433
88.9072803
89.7125402
89.624979
89.5368172
89.0973383

2088.20851
2294.01493
2538.80526
2578.92499
2697.52548
2663.38242
2704.53084
2686.18917
2713.78425
2582.04826
2901.99371
3134.91642
3230.43823
3241.59809
3040.92244
3458.44632
3192.66157
3155.16215
3250.1746
3249.37556
3285.08015
2861.15479
3378.42081
3188.97359
3554.53009
3230.36295
3717.35744
3790.51607
3482.64529
3760.7408
3589.33589
3178.81927
3944.03649
3175.04957
3275.6821
3514.59185
3797.28893
3202.70725
3760.46931
3945.28505
3424.06778
3782.64804
3388.11369
3146.24465
3845.00894
2969.9239
3370.54712
3570.35675

123.028903
123.162706
121.894426
119.60786
122.292317
123.835094
123.761085
132.102
116.607351
114.949282
125.021518
126.557045
130.030006
126.941055
129.392947
127.436349
128.310944
129.418113
129.644813
143.601358
122.82259
122.917522
132.130558
130.158217
138.80767
136.276188
138.550599
136.186034
136.751001
138.733909
137.252468
148.240008
130.450929
128.683668
135.936908
141.40599
144.659228
144.480177
145.406178
143.651523
143.225897
147.683211
148.0182
158.418261
135.839885
135.696826
143.946248
145.468691

May14
Jun14
Jul14
Ago14
Sep14
Oct14
Nov14
Dic14
Ene15
Feb15
Mar15
Abr15
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Ago15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dic15
Ene16
Feb16
Mar16
Abr16
May16

88.9715759
89.2274833
88.5490514
89.3781648
90.8720224
91.6287544
91.8680884
92.2734974
93.0460769
95.4303529
95.6769922
96.3718128
97.2609701
97.611477
97.7951356
99.0360909
98.2519991
98.9745741
101.101561
101.692595
103.122453
105.08353
101.960376
98.9797814
n.d.

3486.4253
3306.79374
3561.59151
3647.03427
3374.78836
3555.28786
3255.53502
3098.8578
3254.87357
2762.68025
3238.86272
3031.07582
3021.50567
3291.52274
3166.73842
3161.3871
3116.68622
3112.21462
3224.47365
3003.16096
2980.23724
2576.10161
2801.55243
n.d.
n.d.

148.41102
144.875529
148.166564
145.695221
147.436724
150.926133
147.765869
160.220137
137.891067
137.2302
148.034321
151.520189
150.206794
150.742988
153.456111
149.658131
152.464316
156.1029
153.824269
170.458203
142.609413
145.711528
153.541197
n.d.
SUMA
n.d.
PROMEDIO

LnMt=1+2LnPBI+3LnTCt

LnM

LnPBI

6.5651449351
6.4190895741
6.5592552858
6.5282395327
6.439637207
6.4914358875
6.588298056
6.4812947446
6.5440059567
6.5859196814
6.5290999466
6.5818569834
6.5410202704
6.4867517987
6.6449112668
6.7233321378
6.6327513001
6.7171217908
6.6695358518
6.8005760004
6.7500474868
6.7496560435
6.8082749555
6.8766548402
6.822174788
6.6930728524
6.8406498138
6.9628752183
6.9013835838
6.8629011831
6.9534213406
6.9961285302
6.9299025016
6.993662401
7.0154054353
6.9569305061
6.9750864056
6.9344155837
7.1575934243
7.0148601831

4.29350097
4.26379802
4.3086858
4.39033839
4.4215195
4.39264227
4.3720649
4.30692605
4.30227749
4.35155343
4.32509297
4.3568336
4.32959147
4.30538093
4.36482278
4.43194084
4.46026661
4.42229799
4.40802025
4.3504666
4.3490203
4.37742174
4.41545614
4.45027275
4.38176612
4.38370598
4.39933121
4.46675198
4.52332495
4.48250269
4.4690824
4.41871389
4.40779022
4.44032767
4.5052959
4.51684078
4.4503748
4.43827135
4.51336947
4.51937265

LnTC

4.77453416
4.77466485
4.76816277
4.76231121
4.76575559
4.77090187
4.77136619
4.77757903
4.77542648
4.77309157
4.76857908
4.76001033
4.75833439
4.75761694
4.75414659
4.75888753
4.76624567
4.76089907
4.74701867
4.73422962
4.72495806
4.71949741
4.71388021
4.70147261
4.69864606
4.70386963
4.70532761
4.71042565
4.70719241
4.70442148
4.70777441
4.71630155
4.74467898
4.76715093
4.75701074
4.76295062
4.75646868
4.72171439
4.73794296
4.73899034

7.1336230905
7.1413577193
7.0863878691
7.1307967251
7.1107959988
7.245227427
7.1978268695
7.2622729578
7.2710662557
7.21918586
7.2476189012
7.2943562393
7.3032690362
7.3351442923
7.4725706684
7.5061878523
7.4445106035
7.6180928544
7.4794763585
7.4939362109
7.6910397375
7.5398836038
7.6944688471
7.7449521529
7.8162658235
7.9238710741
7.9230808817
7.8117555921
7.9185449526
7.8990132138
7.6189024827
7.5607911499
7.4800064297
7.3401601263
7.358963985
7.4228483014
7.3040222961
7.4185383542
7.4670370809
7.4606087954
7.5189279075
7.5758990898
7.6079353447
7.6037337257
7.6375095269
7.5357307001
7.7779709242
7.7088274919

4.582535
4.55464397
4.53218651
4.5169373
4.48604121
4.52376713
4.55163672
4.5993368
4.49924164
4.48498271
4.57178589
4.57094973
4.65152647
4.61765059
4.63020159
4.60630904
4.60742707
4.63623106
4.64545435
4.71744868
4.59020859
4.61224371
4.64549901
4.70309208
4.71957788
4.72038646
4.72135653
4.69063472
4.70705027
4.71528876
4.70641726
4.76638321
4.63485618
4.61531719
4.67396414
4.68958562
4.7381671
4.69031641
4.70698409
4.6986199
4.70832072
4.72699834
4.73289656
4.80750331
4.66488169
4.66481855
4.75215582
4.76630663

4.73335433
4.7320761
4.73029125
4.72817199
4.72710147
4.71805614
4.71463841
4.71064682
4.70959412
4.71164956
4.71576174
4.71815463
4.71594675
4.7140418
4.7061082
4.70204129
4.69163072
4.65290395
4.65145043
4.6394963
4.63196625
4.61052933
4.57570229
4.55751928
4.58264648
4.61556963
4.60021845
4.60561928
4.62368459
4.64361536
4.62661676
4.61967829
4.63488774
4.66721359
4.64690609
4.62053297
4.59391495
4.60467535
4.60856102
4.59209804
4.57964071
4.56627222
4.5725223
4.56515464
4.55827837
4.55444082
4.55057317
4.55225482

7.6440618061
7.7380588051
7.8394488801
7.8551279198
7.9000901432
7.8873521797
7.9026837348
7.8958788027
7.9060993417
7.8563382622
7.9731532656
8.0503577934
8.0803730816
8.0838217248
8.0199161829
8.1485747267
8.0686101956
8.0567951695
8.086463997
8.0862181202
8.09714633
7.9589805936
8.125163663
8.0674543857
8.1759781518
8.0803497786
8.2207683284
8.2402574537
8.1555474245
8.2323712393
8.1857224761
8.0642651081
8.2799599685
8.0630785232
8.0942813997
8.164678682
8.2420426508
8.0717517467
8.2322990461
8.2802764869
8.138584532
8.2381795841
8.128028611
8.0539648473
8.2545312068
7.9962916076
8.1228303594
8.1804207989

4.81241931
4.81350629
4.80315531
4.78421856
4.80641422
4.81895079
4.81835297
4.88357435
4.75881232
4.744491
4.82848587
4.84069315
4.86776524
4.84372284
4.86285388
4.84761702
4.85445657
4.86304835
4.8647985
4.96704112
4.81074096
4.81151358
4.88379051
4.86875076
4.9330893
4.91468362
4.93123559
4.91402185
4.91816176
4.93255777
4.92182206
4.99883263
4.87099713
4.85735721
4.91219087
4.95163511
4.97438082
4.97314231
4.97953106
4.96739039
4.96442308
4.99506951
4.99733524
5.06523875
4.91147687
4.91042317
4.96943995
4.97996088

4.55264151
4.54653782
4.53773359
4.5290388
4.52586821
4.52883133
4.53421843
4.53773862
4.5283746
4.52353192
4.52943075
4.54201813
4.53239536
4.52640404
4.51112472
4.5105178
4.5103256
4.50072839
4.48569394
4.47730145
4.48136813
4.47911919
4.47437623
4.46684657
4.46987779
4.4692651
4.45333825
4.44655293
4.44054328
4.43593186
4.4368098
4.41924086
4.41518741
4.43440847
4.43414743
4.43195521
4.44968965
4.48772429
4.49322532
4.49798482
4.48975688
4.48338794
4.49394856
4.48759403
4.49661056
4.49563406
4.49464991
4.48972946

8.1566322195
8.1037343403
8.1779627784
8.2016695867
8.1240878926
8.1761913128
8.0881119083
8.0387888706
8.0879087109
7.9239565922
8.0829775357
8.0166728899
8.013510551
8.0991055753
8.0604574467
8.058766165
8.0445256061
8.0430898489
8.0785250078
8.0074206673
7.9997581877
7.8540325298
7.9379289832
1201.6798129898
7.5577346729

4.99998559
4.97587496
4.99833708
4.98151691
4.99339909
5.01679053
4.99562905
5.07654872
4.926464
4.92165981
4.99744415
5.02071888
5.01201297
5.01557632
5.0334146
5.00835357
5.02693058
5.0505154
5.03581084
5.13849013
4.96010951
4.98162883
5.03396892
749.227889
4.71212509

4.48831695
4.4911891
4.48355665
4.49287641
4.50945217
4.51774513
4.52035373
4.52475696
4.53309482
4.55839669
4.56097785
4.56821376
4.57739778
4.58099508
4.58287484
4.59548434
4.5875356
4.59486299
4.61612556
4.62195449
4.63591715
4.65475555
4.62458427
733.105622
4.61072718

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlaci 0.96929478
Coeficiente de determin 0.93953236
R^2 ajustado
0.93875714
Error tpico
0.13957708
Observaciones
159
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Regresin
2 47.2216919 23.6108459 1211.94625
Residuos
156 3.03915456 0.01948176
Total
158 50.2608465
Coeficientes
9.5444067
1.51935967
-1.98365344

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
0.0012

Error tpico Estadstico t

1.35246082 7.05706706
0.09590066
15.843058
0.20440271 -9.70463378

Probabilidad
5.2381E-011
2.6491E-034
1.0290E-017

Valor crtico de F
9.0948E-096

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

6.87290774 12.2159057 6.87290774 12.2159057
1.3299283 1.70879104
1.3299283 1.70879104
-2.38740756 -1.57989932 -2.38740756 -1.57989932