TABELA 01: SIMULAO DA PROBABILIDADE DE SE CAUTELAR 6 MUNIES COM CULOTE INTEIRO PEGA

APENAS SEIS MUNIES NA RESERVA

Munies
Totais Na
Reserva

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

Munies
Com Culote
Intacto

38.4
38.4
38.4
38.4
38.4
38.4
38.4
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
26

Tentativas
Bem
Sucedidas

0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.54

Tentativas
Mal
Mucedidas

0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.46

Munies
cauteladas

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6

Munies
que podem
ter culote
inteiro
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

26
26
26
26
26
26
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
14
14
14

0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.29
0.29
0.29

0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.71
0.71
0.71

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6

5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

14
14
14
14
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21

0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6

3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

ES COM CULOTE INTEIRO PEGANDO

VA
Probabilidade de pegar todas
as ensimas munies,
considerando as seis
cauteladas, todas com culote
intacto
26.21%
39.32%
24.58%
8.19%
1.54%
0.15%
0.01%
12.63%
31.21%
32.12%
17.64%
5.45%
0.90%
0.06%
8.78%
26.34%
32.92%
21.95%
8.23%
1.65%
0.14%
5.96%
21.46%
32.19%
25.75%
11.59%
2.78%
0.28%
3.94%
16.89%
30.15%
28.72%
15.38%
4.40%
0.52%
2.53%

30.00%

25.00%

20.00%

15.00%

10.00%

5.00%

0.00%
0

12.82%
27.13%
30.60%
19.42%
6.57%
0.93%
1.56%
9.38%
23.44%
31.25%
23.44%
9.38%
1.56%
0.93%
6.57%
19.42%
30.60%
27.13%
12.82%
2.53%
0.52%
4.40%
15.38%
28.72%
30.15%
16.89%
3.94%
0.28%
2.78%
11.59%
25.75%
32.19%
21.46%
5.96%
0.14%
1.65%
8.23%
21.95%
32.92%
26.34%
8.78%
0.06%
0.90%
5.45%

17.64%
32.12%
31.21%
12.63%
0.02%
0.44%
3.30%
13.18%
29.66%
35.60%
17.80%
0.01%
0.19%
1.77%
8.97%
25.57%
38.87%
24.62%

36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
16
14
12
10

TABELA 01: SIMULAO DA PROBABILIDADE DE SE CAUTELAR 6 MUNIES COM CULOTE INTEIRO PEG
MUNIES NA RESERVA

Munies
Totais Na
Reserva

Munies Com
Culote Intacto

Tentativas Bem
Sucedidas

Tentativas Mal
Mucedidas

Munies
cauteladas

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

36
36
36
36
36
36
36
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
28
28
28
28
28

0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58

0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42

12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

28
28
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
16
16
16
16
16
16
16

0.58
0.58
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33

0.42
0.42
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67

12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

14
14
14
14
14
14
14
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21

0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79
0.79

12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12

30.00%

ES COM CULOTE INTEIRO PEGANDO APENAS SEIS

A
25.00%

Probabilidade de pegar
Munies que
todas as ensimas
podem ter culote munies, considerando as
inteiro
doze cauteladas, todas com
culote intacto

20.00%

15.00%

6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2

4.01%
1.15%
0.24%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
7.18%
2.54%
0.65%
0.12%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
11.13%
4.77%
1.49%
0.33%
0.05%
0.00%
0.00%
15.32%
7.88%
2.95%
0.79%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
19.05%
11.66%
5.21%
1.65%
0.35%

10.00%

5.00%

0.00%
0

1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

0.05%
0.00%
21.63%
15.69%
8.30%
3.12%
0.79%
0.12%
0.01%
22.56%
19.34%
12.08%
5.37%
1.61%
0.29%
0.02%
21.63%
21.92%
16.19%
8.50%
3.01%
0.65%
0.06%
19.05%
22.86%
20.00%
12.45%
5.23%
1.33%
0.16%
15.32%
21.88%
22.79%
16.88%
8.44%
2.56%
0.36%
11.13%
19.08%
23.84%
21.20%
12.72%
4.62%
0.77%

6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

7.18%
14.96%
22.70%
24.50%
17.85%
7.88%
1.60%
4.01%
10.32%
19.36%
25.81%
23.23%
12.67%
3.17%
1.86%
6.06%
14.39%
24.30%
27.70%
19.14%
6.06%

36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
16
14
12
10

TABELA 01: SIMULAO DA PROBABILIDADE DE SE CAUTELAR ENSIMAS MUNIES COM CULOTE

INTEIRO
Tentativas Bem
Sucedidas
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50

Tentativas Mal Munies Totais Munies Com

Mucedidas
Na Reserva
Culote Intacto
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50

48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
48

48
46
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

Aqui esta sendo considerado a chance de se cautelar qualquer munio das 48 que existem, embasando
probabilidade de estar ou no com culote inteiro. Apesar de estar mais relacionado coma prtica
a condio de igualdade do culote, 50%sim, 50% no, o valor total das munies da reserva vai interfer

NSIMAS MUNIES COM CULOTE

Probabilidade Se De
Cautelar Ensimas
Munies com Culote
Intacto
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0023%
0.0248%
0.1714%
0.8011%
2.5970%
5.9457%
9.7293%
11.4567%
9.7293%
5.9457%
2.5970%
0.8011%
0.1714%
0.0248%
0.0023%
0.0001%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%

Probabilidade Se De Cautelar Ensima

12.0000%

10.0000%

8.0000%

6.0000%

4.0000%

2.0000%

0.0000%
0

munio das 48 que existem, embasando-se na

tar mais relacionado coma prtica
otal das munies da reserva vai interferir na curva do grfico

12

16

20

24

28

32

36

40

telar Ensimas Munies com Culote Intacto

Probabilidade Se De Cautelar Ensimas

Munies com Culote Intacto

28

32

36

40

44

48

52