Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
December 2015
Agenda
Macro Picture
Performance Highlights
Q&A
Agenda
Macro Picture
Performance Highlights
Q&A
Fundamentals (IIP)
Output conditions
Inflation
Rates
Credit and Deposit growth
Sep-14
Manufacturing
Sep-15
Electricity
IIP
Mar-15
Mar-14
Mining
10%
Food+ (45.9%)
Fuel+ (6.8%)
8%
6%
Core (47.3%)
12%
-2%
-4%
-6%
GDP Deflator
Inflation
CPI
WPI
YoY%
8%
CPI Combined
5.34%
5.32% 2%
5.00%
4%
6%
4.4%
0%
4%
2%
Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15
Source: MOSPI; Axis Bank Research
Retail inflation (CPI) is ~5% in October, while Wholesale inflation is currently negative
GDP deflator, broadest inflation measure, is more aligned to WPI, reflects deflation in tradables
Base Rate
Apr-15
Oct-15
6.75
7.90
9.50
10.25
1 year FD Rate
Oct-14
Repo Rate
9.00
7.75
Apr-14
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
Oct-13
Credit and deposit growth are near multi year lows, but retail credit
growth remains strong
Deposit growth (%, YoY)
20%
17%
FY12
2.2
1.7
FY13
FY11
FY16
FY14
FY12
1.4
1.0
FY13
FY11
FY16
FY14
FY12
Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct NovDec Jan Feb Mar
FY15
14%
11%
FY11
FY14
FY15
0.6
1.2
8%
Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 May-15 Nov-15
FY13
FY15
0.7
-0.2
0.2
Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct NovDec Jan Feb Mar
0.2
-0.3
Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct NovDec Jan Feb Mar
FY15
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
Agenda
Macro Picture
Performance Highlights
Q&A
Includes profits for the half year; 2 Include extension counters; 3 Includes overseas subsidiary in UK
10
11
12
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13
14
In Q2, the Bank sold two assets, worth `1,820 cr to ARCs, against a consideration of `650 cr
We utilised `850 cr from contingent provisions built in prior quarters to absorb the write-off against these loans
15
Card Spends
16
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customer outcomes are starting to become visible
The Awardwinning
Mobile App
Lime: An
integrated
money
management
platform
17
Advances
CMS
Accounts
Current
Accounts
Transactions
Fees
Corporate
Banking
SME
18
18%
12%
18%
31%
11%
31%
16%
7%
60%
16%
6%
8%
15%
14%
6%
15%
6%
9%
7%
64%
9%
8%
63%
11%
7%
61%
7%
8%
8%
SME 1
Sep-15
SME 2
Jun-15
SME 3
Mar-15
SME 4
Dec-14
SME 5-7
Sep-14
12%
57%
32%
20%
10%
15%
11%
15%
34%
11%
35%
11%
28%
11%
29%
9%
29%
9%
31%
9%
Sep-15
30%
AAA
Jun-15
AA
Mar-15
A
Dec-14
BBB
Sep-14
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:9"#$%#5;<#),-).&+/#)'+#05;<=2#$'#3+**+'#4.#5+(*+63+'#78!9
19
Conservative provisioning
Solid retail franchise:
o Strong on both deposit and lending side; extensive network; loyal customer base
20
Agenda
Macro Picture
Performance Highlights
Q&A
&A
21