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Chapter Four
McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2014 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.


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Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

LO41: Explain what projects are and how


projects are organized.
LO42: Analyze projects using networkplanning models.
LO43: Evaluate projects using earned value
management.
LO44: Exemplify how these techniques are
implemented in commercial software
packages.

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A series of related jobs, usually directed toward


some major output and requiring a significant
period of time to perform.
An inter-related set of activities with a definite
starting and ending point, which results in a
unique outcome for a specific allocation of
resources.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

What is a project?

44

A series of related jobs, usually directed toward some


major output and requiring a significant period of time
to perform.

What is project management?


Planning, directing, and controlling resources (people,
equipment, material, etc.) to meet the technical, cost,
and time constraints of the project.

Why is project management important?

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

What is a project?

At the highest levels of an organization, management


often involves juggling a portfolio of projects.

45

Multi
Disciplinary

Specific
Deliverables

What is
a
Project?

Specific Time
Frames

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Specific and
Unique Tasks

Aimed at
meeting
Specific
Needs or
Purposes

46

Continuous
Line
Batch
Job Shop
Project

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Production Systems with Increasing Customization

47

Unc
erta
inty

To improve
performance
, time and
/or cost must
increase

Balancing Project
Goals

Project
Manager
must know
how to tradeoff among
goals

Time

To reduce
time, reduce
performance
and/or
increase cost

Project
Goals
Performance

Cost

Leave some
Flexibility for
Project
Manager

Do not overdetermine
the system

To reduce
cost, reduce
performance
and/or
increase
time

48

Performance

Due
Date
Required
Performance

TARGET

Cost

Budget
Limit

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

GOALS OF A PROJECT

Time

49

Type of
Project
Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Degree of Change

410

A self-contained team works full-time on the project.


Functional Project
Responsibility for the project lies within one functional area
of the firm. Employees from that area work on the project,
usually only part-time.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Pure Project

Matrix Project
A blend of pure and functional project structures people
from different functional areas work on the project, possibly
only part-time.
411

Program
Manager

Manager,
Project A

Marketing

Manufacturing

R&D

Marketing

Manufacturing

Manager,
Project B

Finance

Personnel

R&D

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

President

PURE PROJECT ORGANIZATION


EACH PROJECT HAS FUNCTIONAL
SPECIALISTS FULL TIME

412

Dis
advantages

Duplication of resources
Organizational goals and policies are ignored
Lack of technology transfer
Team members have no functional area "home"
Specialists may have limited, and not deep experience
Projectitis. Tendency to drag projects

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Advantages

The project manager has full authority. He is CEO for


the project
He has all functional specialists. Has all resources
Efficient and effective model for large projects
Team members report to one boss
Shortened communication lines
Team pride, motivation, and commitment are high

413

414

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Disadvantages

Aspects of the project that are not


directly related to the functional area
get short-changed
Motivation of team members is often
weak
Needs of the client are secondary and
are responded to slowly

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Advantages

A team member can work on several


projects
Technical expertise maintained in
functional area
Functional area is home after
project completed
Critical mass of specialized
knowledge

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416

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Disadvantages

Too many bosses Lack of unity of


command Potential for conflicts
Much more coordination across
projects required
Depends on project managers
negotiating skills
Potential for sub-optimization

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Advantages

Better communications between


functional areas
Project manager held responsible for
success
Duplication of resources is
minimized
Functional home for team members
Policies of the parent organization
are followed

417

A written description of the objectives to be


achieved

Task
A further subdivision of a project usually
shorter than several months and performed by
a single group or organization

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Statement of Work

Work Package
A group of activities combined to be assignable
to a single organizational unit
418

Specific events in the life of the project

Work Breakdown Structure


Defines the hierarchy of project tasks,
subtasks, and work packages

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Project Milestone

Activities
Pieces of work that consume time
419

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Overview

Details

420

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Overview

Details
421

WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE

Planning can be performed thoroughly. The Project


Manager and Staff are forced to think about all the
aspects of the project and missing links are identified.

Costs and budgets can be established.

However, it is not easy to prepare a WBS.

a) With too little levels , integration of activities will prove


difficult.

b) If too many levels exist, unproductive time is lost in


creating and analysis of the WBS. Cost of unproductive paper
work and loss of useful time is involved.
Should be easy to understand

422

WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE

DETERMINANTS OF NUMBER OF LEVELS IN WBS:

a) The complexity and technical requirements of the work.

b)The cost of the project and resource requirements.

c)The duration of the project.

d)The client organisations and the project organisations


internal structures for management control and reporting.
423

AUDITORIUM
01
WOOD WORK
&ACOUSTICS
0101

WBS HIERARCHY
PRODUCT ORIENTED
(Partial only)

AIR COOLING
0102

SEATING
0103

REAR
PANELS
010101

SIDE
PANELS
010102

STAGE
PANELS
010103

STAGE
APRONS
010104

STAGE
BAFFLES
010105

AIR
WASHER
010201

DUCTING
010202

EXIT AIR
LOUVRE
010203

THERMO
STATS
010204

HUMIDO
STATS
010205

FLOOR
ELEVATION
010301

SEAT
FRAMES
010302

LOWER
CUSHIONS
010303

STAGE
FLOATS
010106

BACK
CUSHIONS
010304
424

WBS HIERARCHY
FUNCTIONALLY
ORIENTED Partial only

AUDITORIUM
01
CIVIL WORK
0102

CARPENTRY
0101
MAIN
PANELS
010101

AIR
WASHER
010201

STAGE
PANELS
010102

CONTROL
ROOM
010202

AIR
COOLING
010301

FLOATS
010103

FLOOR
ELEVA
TION
010203

CURTAIN
CONTROL
010302

ELECTRICAL
0103

SEAT
FLOOR
HANDLES COVERING
010104
010105

FOR
PROJE
CTION
010204
PROJE
CTION
010303

SOUND
010304

LIGHT
ING
010305
425

A precedes B, which precedes C.

AOA
A
1

AON

B
2

C
3

426

A and B must be completed before C can be started.

AOA
1

AON

A
C

B
2

C
B

427

B and C cannot begin until A has been completed.

AOA
3

A
1

AON

B
A

C
4

428

C and D cannot begin until both A and B have been


completed.

AOA
1

A
B

AON

C
3

429

C cannot begin until both A and B have been completed;


D cannot begin until B has been completed.

AOA
A

AON

Dummy
D
4
6

430

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Description

Design Brochure & Announcement


Identify faculty team
Detailed Outline
Send application
Accept students
Select text
Order and receive text
Prepare rooms and kits

B
A
D
C
E,F
E

Duration
Days

7
8
4
18
7
7
12
4

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Activity

Immediate
Predecessor(s)

431

Expected Time (days)

A-D-E-H
A-D-E-G
B-C-F-G

AON Network

A
7

D
18

36
44
31
E
7

H
4
Finish

Start
B
8

C
4

F
7

G
12

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Path

432

Earliest Start Time:


Is the latest of the EFTs of the immediately
preceding activities;
Is zero for activities with no predecessors.
Earliest Finish Time:
Is EST + Estimated duration t of that
activity

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Move from Start to Finish Node.

433

Latest Finish Time:


Is the earliest of the latest start times of activities
that will immediately follow it.
Concept is activity goes later than this, project will
slip in time, and critical path will take more time
or may change.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Move from Finish Node to Start.

Latest Start Time:


Is Latest Finish Time minus activity duration t

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Total Slack: LS ES or LF EF
There is another type of slack called Free
slack which can be discussed in advanced
course.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Activity Slack:
Is the maximum length of time that an
activity can be delayed without delaying
the entire project.

435

Earliest finish time

Earliest start time


0 A 7
0
7

7 D 25

25 E 32

32 H 36

18

Start

Finish
32 G 44
0 B 8

8 C 12

12 F 19

12

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Earliest Start & Earliest Finish Times

436

Latest start time


D

0 A 7

0 7 7

07 18 25

25

Latest finish time

32

32 H 36

25 7 32

40 4 44

25

Critical path

Start

Finish

13 8 21

8 C 12

12 F 19

21 4 25

25 7 32

32 G 44
32
44

12

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Latest Finish & Latest Start Times


Right to Left

437

The path taking longest time through this network of


activities is called the critical path.
The critical path provides a wide range of scheduling
information useful in managing a project.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

A project is made up of a sequence of activities that


form a network representing a project.

Critical path method (CPM) helps to identify the


critical path(s) in the project networks.

438

Determine the required sequence


and construct a network diagram.
Determine the critical path.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Identify each activity to be done


and estimate how long it will take.

Determine the early start/finish


and late start/finish schedule.
439

..and there is uncertainty associated with time


taken by activities.
This uncertainty needs to be accounted for.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

In most real projects, deterministic time is not


possible,

Probabilistic distributions of activity times


can be calculated using computer simulation
or statistical approach.
440

Completion date is computed for one trial.


Many such trials are done and a final estimate
arrived at.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

In simulation, a time for each activity is


randomly chosen from a probability
distribution for that activity.

We are adopting the statistical analysis


approach in PERT
441

Minimum Or Optimistic (a)is the shortest time


in which an activity can be completed if all goes
well.
Maximum Or Pessimistic (b) is the most
probable time required to perform an activity
Most likely (m) is the probable time required to
perform an activity

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

When activity times vary, a single time


estimate may not be reliable.
Instead, estimate three values

This allows calculation of a probability


estimate of completion time.
442

In a normal distribution, m has to be situated


symmetrically.
A beta distribution allows m to fall anywhere
from a to b.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

In PERT/CPM, a,m,b are parameters of a beta


probability distribution, which is followed by
the random variable (activity).

443

Probability

Probabilistic Time Estimates

Time

Mean
Figure 8.12 (a) Beta Distribution
444

+4+
6

2 =

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

=
=
=
=
2 =

Excel: PERT
Calculations
For the Excel template visit
www.mhhe.com/sie-chase14e
445

446

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

C(7)
0

21

F(8)
28

21

36

28

36

28

A(21)

38

36
G(2)

21

26

21
B(5)
21

28

26

28

D(2)
26

26

33
E(5)

28

31

36

38

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

28

21

36

447

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Probability of finishing in 35 weeks (or less)

448

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Probability
of finishing
in 35
weeks (or
less) is
about 19%

449

Expected time along a path is the sum of the


activity times along the path.
The variance of the path is the sum of the
variances on the path.
The variance of the project is the sum of the
variances on critical path.

Copyright 2014 by McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited. All rights reserved.

Central limit theorem : It states that the sum


of a group of independent randomly
distributed variables approaches a normal
distribution as the number of variables
increases.

450

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