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Correspondence to: Edward Mozley Roche, Affiliate Researcher, Columbia Institute for Tele-Information, Columbia Business School, Uris Hall, Columbia
University, 2033 Broadway, Suite 1A, New York, NY 10027, +1 212-758-1296 (phone), emr96@columbia.edu
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Introduction
he role of information and information technology (IT) in decision making and the control of
complex organizations is well known, particularly
among managers of multinational enterprises (MNEs).
Over the past several decades, companies have spent literally trillions of dollars acquiring the latest technologies
and building their internal information processing and
analysis capabilities. And yet with all this expenditure of
time, money, and effort, large enterprises still are caught
off-guard on an almost daily basis because they fail to
anticipate critical developments in their competitive environment. In short, the executives are guilty of what Paul
Kinsinger (2013) has called knowledge negligence and
have failed to turn information into useful intelligence
for strategy formulation and decision making. There are
many reasons for this, but in general, imprecise, hurried,
and wasteful data collection followed by inappropriate
methods of analysis have often led to inadequate decisions that generate suboptimal strategies and eventually
cause a decline in the performance of the enterprise. Further, upper management typically is insulated from the
full cost of their strategic blunders, as clearly seen in the
fallout of the 2008 global financial crisis. Many of these
problems can be mitigated by adopting an intelligence
mind-set and learning lessons from professional intelligence organizations like those found in government and
the military.
The US intelligence community, comprising 16 individual organizations, has gone through a series of dramatic transformations since the Second World War, as
technologies and needs have changed. In particular,
the trauma of 9/11 drove development of revolutionary
approaches to both collection and analysis of intelligence, as the focus shifted from a Cold War orientation to
uncovering hidden social networks of terrorists and criminal cartels. Unfortunately, there were no parallel breakthroughs in business use of intelligence. Even though
these new analytic techniques and software systems could
be used by MNEs to strengthen their strategy and decision-making processes, a troubling gap has opened up in
the capabilities of the MNE. In examining the business
intelligence function of a number of multinationals, it
appears the best practices in place are about five to seven
years behind. We currently know of only a single multinational in the initial stages of adopting some parts of these
analytic techniques and supporting technologies.
Three key differences exist between the way government and the military view intelligence and the way even
the most advanced companies handle information. The
first difference involves the quantity and type of information each collects. Most corporations data-mine their own
internally generated information on production, marketing, finance, and the like, and then supplement it with
targeted commercially available content. Intelligence
organizations, however, collect a vastly greater quantity
of highly heterogeneous public and private information
from a wide variety of legal (and illegal) sources. The
second difference involves the techniques and supporting
software used to analyze this information. Corporations
tend to use a standard set of commercially available analytic tools, developed by companies such as IBM and SAP
and often marketed as decision support and business
intelligence. The intelligence community has developed
proprietary techniques that collect, process, store, and
analyze astounding quantities of real-time heterogeneous
(all-source) information. Intelligence organizations
have been at the vanguard of a revolution in software
and analysis tools that thus far remain unknown in the
business world. The third difference involves the uses of
the data being gathered and processed. Most corporations use historical data to analyze competitors, economic
and financial trends, and customer behavior and make
structured decisions that remain fairly similar over time.
They drive into the future through the rearview mirror.
Conversely, the decisions made by government and the
military often are highly unpredictable or unstructured
and require many different analytic techniques and the
development of new approaches each time. The end
result is that professional intelligence organizations are
much better able to identify critical developments in their
environments, provide advanced warnings for key events,
and develop and implement strategies to cope with these
problems.
Although the adoption of professional intelligence
techniques could clearly benefit MNEs, in most cases,
large enterprises do not employ these techniques or use
intelligence tradecraft to analyze their environment or
make decisions. There are three basic reasons for this.
First, there are organizational issues, particularly the
role of business intelligence in the organization. Second,
there are managerial and human resources issues, specifically, the general lack of knowledge about these practices
among most managers. Finally, there are technological
issues, like the need for more specialized analytical tools
and supporting software. Accordingly, we have identified
seven specific problems concerning the use of business
intelligence in the MNE. The remainder of this article
gives a brief overview of each problem and discusses the
corresponding best practices found in professional intelligence organizations. Based on this review, we suggest
DOI: 10.1002/tie
The Intelligence Gap: What the Multinational Enterprise Can Learn From Government andMilitary Intelligence Organizations
We have identified seven key differences between intelligence activities in the MNE and professional intelligence
organizations. These are summarized briefly in Table 1.
The following discussion identifies the gap between professional intelligence organizations and what we see in
the typical MNE and describes best practices found in the
government and military.
DOI: 10.1002/tie
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TABLE
1 Seven Differences Between the Intelligence Function in MNEs and Professional Intelligence Organizations
Difference
Best Practice
Implementation
Organizational Issues
1. Most companies do not exploit Use of intelligence is built into almost all manageclassical intelligence tradecraft.
ment decision making.
2. The intelligence function is not Intelligence is integrated into strategic decision makintegrated with the top levels of ing. A constant back-and-forth movement of quesdecision making.
tions and intelligence between management and
the intelligence organization is standard operating
procedure.
Start with either technology intelligence or competitor intelligence as an initial training opportunity to synchronize
communication between management and the intelligence
group.
4. There is no established career Intelligence analysis is a specific discipline recogpath for intelligence profession- nized within the enterprise. Intelligence analysts are
als in the MNE.
recognized as professionals.
HR defines a career path for business intelligence personnel and division of authority and functions within the business intelligence organization. Repositioning of some staff.
Analytical Tradecraft
5. Corporations have failed to
keep pace with new analytic
techniques.
Staff is training in multiple structured analytic techniques; specific techniques are matched against
corresponding problem types.
6. Most companies do not colEvery type of intelligence source is utilized, includlect the correct information in the ing nontraditional sources. Extensive training in colmost efficient manner.
lection methodology and procedures.
Work with intelligence analysis software vendors to transition systems designed for military and political intelligence
into your enterprise domain; train your intelligence team on
use of these advanced technologies.
them. The decision makers are accustomed to daily intelligence briefings and make important decisions with full
consideration of analysis provided by the intelligence
organization. Intelligence is not a distant or ad hoc department that may be consulted as needed or when convenient. Instead, it is intimately designed to support strategy
creation and implementation. Perhaps out of necessity,
these organizations would never rely on outsiders to assist
in sensitive, strategic decisions; in contrast to the private
sector, it would be anathema to even consider making
important decisions without the benefit of intelligence
input. Finally, since leaders use intelligence on a regular
basis, they have developed the habits necessary to work
effectively with intelligence support.
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The Intelligence Gap: What the Multinational Enterprise Can Learn From Government andMilitary Intelligence Organizations
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of the highest standard. However, if something is not valued at the highest level, as often is the case with the intelligence function in many corporations, it fails to attract
the best personnel and delivers unsatisfactory output,
which generates suboptimal decisions that can lead to the
decline or marginalization of the organization.
2 Tool Sets and Techniques Developed Within the Intelligence Community Can Be Used in the Multinational
Enterprise to Improve Decisions and Strategy Formulation
TABLE
Tool Set
Focusing of information collection efforts for advance warning of important industry events, such as an acquisition or
entry into new product area of competitor; other applications in monitoring of government regulation
Data mining of social networks and financial and Use in analysis of customer preferences and activities;
travel records combined with profiling to discover identification of research networks of competitors; analysis
hidden networks of terrorists, criminals, or other of supply chains and industrial network organization
persons of interest
Machine translation
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TABLE
Software
General Capabilities
Kapow
i2 Analysts
Notebook
Access multiple types of data real-time visualization; 18 languages; Sentiment analysis, social graphing, viral tracking; comtargeted at supporting intelligence analysts
plex social network analysis, customer engagement and
retention, risk scorecard
Statistical Analysis
System (SAS)
TH!NK Suite
(Globalytica)
Use by business intelligence teams for comparing evidence against scenarios or hypotheses for future events
in the business environment
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Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the editors, staff, and anonymous
reviewers at the Thunderbird International Business Review
as well as Vince Swoyer, former CIO of Sara Lee, and Joe
Ferreira for their helpful comments, which have significantly strengthened the final version of this article. Any
remaining errors and omissions are our sole responsibility.
Edward M. Roche holds a PhD in political science from Columbia University and is a member of the California
Bar. He is an affiliate researcher at the Columbia Institute for Tele-Information, Columbia Business School. He has
taught at the Stern School of Management; the Haas School at the University of California, Berkeley; and Grenoble
Ecole de Management. He consulted with Booz-Allen Hamilton, then was chief scientist at Concours Group and
chief research officer at Gartner. Ed has written on international business, industrial espionage, global technology
management, and cybersecurity. His books include Managing Information Technology in Multinational Enterprises,
Corporate Spy: Industrial Espionage and Counterintelligence in the Multinational Enterprise, and Snake Fish:
The Chi Mak Spy Ring. Residing in New York City, he is president of Barraclough NY LLC, a provider of litigation
services.
Michael James Blaine holds an MBA in finance from New York University and a PhD in international business from
Ohio State University, where he taught. He also worked as a consultant for many years and as a senior strategist
for IBM. He has written on a wide range of topics, including economic development, American competitiveness,
Japanese business, and international finance. A fervent critic of war, radical capitalism, and quantitative easing, he
blogs occasionally on these and other subjects. Dr. Blaine and Professor Roche have collaborated on numerous
articles, books, and other projects, including the edited works Information Technology, Development and Policy
(Avebury, 1996) and Information Technology in Multinational Enterprises (Edward Elgar, 2000). He currently
resides in Columbus, Ohio.
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Recommended References
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