Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Caribbean
Implications for U.S. National Security
DR. R. EVAN ELLIS, PHD1
Overview
From 2005 through 2013, the Islamic Republic of Iran under President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad engaged in a protracted, high-visibility campaign of diplomatic engagement with the states of
Latin America and the Caribbean,2 generating much discussion in policymaking circles in the
United States and in the region regarding the nature of Irans activities there, as well as the risks
posed in the region by other state and non-state actors acting in the name of radical Islam.3
The election of Hassan Rouhani to the Iranian presidency in August 2013 put an end to his
predecessors high-profile diplomacy in Latin America and the Caribbean. Although since taking
office, Rouhani has spoken of his nations continuing interest in the region,4 he has neither visited it,5 nor received Latin American and Caribbean heads of state.6 Yet it is not clear that Irans
strategic objectives toward the region have fundamentally changed under the nations new president. In addition, the rise of new actors in the Middle East, such as the well-funded Islamic
State in the Levant (ISIL), with its global sources of funding and recruitment, makes attention
to the activities of both state and non-State Islamic extremists more important than ever.
An unusually large part of what has been published on radical Islamic actors in Latin America
and the Caribbean comes from Congressional hearings on the subject, including a July 2011 session of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee for Homeland Security,7 the February 16,
2012 hearing by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere, Peace Corps, and Global Narcotics Affairs,8 and the July 9, 2013 hearing by the House
Committee on Homeland Security, Subcommittee on Oversight and Management Efficiency.9
Beyond such hearings, most of the public works on the topic are relatively recent, and focus
on two actors: Iran and the radical Islamic group Hezbollah. The most significant of these include the CSIS study, Iran in the Americas,10 the Wilson Center volume Iran in the Americas: Threat
or Axis of Annoyance?11 The American Foreign Policy Councils Irans Strategic Penetration of
Latin America,12 the Library of Congress study Latin America: Terrorism Issues,13 and Sean Goforths Axis of Unity: Venezuela, Iran & the Threat to America.14
While at least one work has framed the activities of Hezbollah in the Americas in its broader
global context,15 there is arguably a need for greater attention to the complex interdependence
between state groups such as Iran, versus non-state actors in the region, how each relates to the
global context which shapes their interests and resources, and how each relates to the Latin
America and the Caribbean populations from which radical Muslims are recruited and formed.
3
An estimated 1.5 million Muslims live among Latin America and the Caribbeans approximately 600 million inhabitants, with approximately 2/3 of them concentrated in Argentina and
Brazil.16 Although sometimes mistakenly called turcos (turks) the regions Muslims are a diverse subset of persons who immigrated from Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, and other Middle Eastern
countries from the beginning of the 20th Century and before.
This ethnic group, both muslim and non-muslim, is well-established, including some of the
most politically and economically successful persons in the region. Indeed eight Latin American
and Caribbean heads of state have been of Arabic origin: Antonio Saca (President of El Salvador
from 2004 to 2009), Jamil Mahuad (President of Ecuador from August 1998 to January 2000),
Carlos Flores (President of Honduras from 1998 to 2002), Carlos Menem (President of Argentina from 1989 to 1999), Abdal Bucaram (President of Ecuador from August 1996 to February
1997), Jacobo Majluta (President of the Dominican Republic from July to August 1982), Julio
Turbay (President of Colombia 1978 to 1982), and Julio Salem (leader of Ecuador May 1944).17
Other prominent citizens of Middle Eastern ancestry in the region include Mexican billionaire
Carlos Slim, the actress Salma Hayek, and the pop music star Shakira.
To date, Iran has been the principal, but not the only Middle Eastern state pursuing interests
in the region. Other state actors from the region have also played a modest role in the region in
the past; Libya, prior to the fall of the regime of Muammar Gaddafi, was a significant partner for
Bolivia.18 There is no reason why other Middle Eastern states could not also expand their profile
in the region, including Syria, whose current regime has a long working relationship with Hezbollah,19 currently the most powerful Islamic radical group in Latin America.
Irans agenda in the region in recent years has generally focused on using sympathetic regimes such as Venezuela, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Bolivia, and Suriname to escape international
isolation and circumvent international sanctions, develop missiles and perhaps weapons of mass
destruction, and to gain influence within Muslim groups and communities so as to potentially
use them for actions against the United States, Jewish, or other Western interests if Irans regime
perceives itself as gravely threatened in the future.20
While Iran seeks to mobilize and influence non-state Islamic actors in the region such as Hezbollah for its own purposes, the interests of such groups and the potential challenges they pose
to hemispheric security are not limited solely to Irans agenda.
The combined challenges of both state and other radical Islamic actors in Latin America and
the Caribbean may be grouped into three categories:
Generation of resources for islamic radicals fighting in other parts of the world;
Formation of logistics networks for and launching attacks on targets in the Western Hemisphere; and
Collaboration between radical Islamic actors and Latin American allies in evading international controls and developing weapons.
Generation of resources for Islamic radicals fighting in other parts of the world.
Within the Islamic faith, the tradition of religious charity (zakat)21 dictates that faithful Muslims donate a portion of their earnings to help the needy. As with the Christian practice of tithing, the level of zakat among Muslims is subject to varying interpretations by Islamic scholars,
and is not universally practiced (either in Latin America or elsewhere). Nonetheless, this religious obligation, combined with the sending of remittances from the region to families in the
Middle East, plus donations in support of causes such as Palestine, puts tens of millions of dollars or more in motion annually from Latin America and the Caribbean. Although the overwhelming majority of such funds are spent for legitimate charity, and not terrorism, a portion
does find its way into the hands of organizations such as the Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, Hezbollah, al-Qaeda,22 and now possibly ISIL.23
While the majority of such earnings come from legitimate sources, Muslims in the region also
play important roles in some of Latin America and the Caribbeans most infamous hubs of illicit
activity.24 Examples include the Tri-Border area between Paraguay, Brazil and Argentina,25 the
Tacna-Ilo corridor (Peru), Maicao (Colombia), Colon (Panama) and increasing, Margarita Island (Venezuela).26
A portion of the regions narcotraffickers and other organized crime figures have also been
Muslims,27 including Chekry Harb and Ayman Joumaa, whose activities were exposed in 2008 by
Operation Titan. Harb was a narcotics trafficker of Lebanese descent whose network in the
region included Colombian cartels, paramilitary groups and Hezbollah, and who allegedly paid
12% of his proceeds to the later.28 Joumaa laundered money for the Mexican cartel Los Zetas
through the Lebanese-Canadian Bank and was similarly believed to have donated part of his
earnings to Hezbollah.29
Because of the demands that Hezbollah currently faces to support the Palestinian cause in the
Gaza Strip and the West Bank, maintain its position in Lebanon, and also the fight against ISIL
in Iraq and Syria,30 experts believe that the organization could expand its use of such illicit activities for fundraising in the near future.31
Formation of logistics networks for and launching attacks on targets in the hemisphere
To date, there have been a moderate number of cases of radical Islamic actors planning, preparing for and conducting attacks against U.S. and other Western targets from Latin America
and the Caribbean.
The two best known examples occurred in Argentina: In March 1992 a suicide attack against
the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires killed 29, and the July 1994, 85 were killed in a truck bomb
against the Jewish community center (AMIA) there. Hezbollah and Iran have been implicated in
both attacks.32
Beyond Argentina, in 2007, Islamic radicals including Abdul Kadir, an afro-muslim political
activist and former mayor of Linden, Guyana, his Guyanese compatriot Abdel Nurwere, and
Kareem Ibrahim, a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago, were arrested for planning an attack against
the John F. Kennedy international airport in New York City.33
In October 2011, Iranian-American businessman Manssor Arbabsiar, and Gholam Shakuri of
the Iranian Qods force, was caught in a DEA sting operation trying to contract the Mexican cartel Los Zetas to kill the Saudi Arabian ambassador in Washington DC.34
In December of the same year the Spanish-language television station Univision exposed a
plot involving Iranian diplomats in Mexico City coordinating with students from the National
Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) to launch cyber-attacks and cyber-espionage against
U.S. targets.35
In October 2014, Peruvian authorities arrested Muamad Amadar, a Lebanese Hezbollah operative, in the Lima suburb of Surquillo, on evidence that he was stockpiling explosives in his
apartment for use against targets in the country.36
As noted previously, such activities have consistently been facilitated by state actors such as
Iran. In the case of the plot against the Saudi ambassador in Washington D.C., Iran deposited
$100,000 in the account of the person it believed represented Los Zetas, and planned to provide
a total of $1.5 million to carry out the operation.37
Iranian embassies in the region, and their personnel, have played a key role in these activities.
The most prominent example is Mohsen Rabbani, who served as an accredited Iranian cultural attach in Buenos Aires, and who was implicated by the official report of Argentine special
prosecutor Alberto Nisman of recruiting and managing agents in the region, as well as for his
leading role in the 1994 attack on the AMIA Jewish community center.38 In the case of the cyberattack, the head of the UNAM computer sciences department who recruited the students allegedly took them to the Iranian embassy in Mexico City to present their proposal and seek resources to conduct the operation.39
One of the principal activities of Iranian personnel in the region is constructing networks,
and by extension, building influence within the regions Islamic organizations. One important
vehicle for doing so is through recruitment of both adults and Latin American youth, to include
trips to Iran for religious indoctrination and training.40 Overall, across Latin America and the
Caribbean, more than 1,000 Latin Americans may have traveled to religious sites in Iran such as
Qom for such training since 2008 alone.41 Over time, persons recruited and indoctrinated by
Iran have, themselves, become recruiters and agents for Iran. Examples include Suhail Assad
and Karim Abdul Paz, both Argentine-born disciples of Moshen Rabbani.42
Beyond recruitment, network building activities also include proselyting indigenous communities such as the Wayuu in the Guajira region between Colombia and Venezuela, the Aymara in
the Bolivian province of Chapare,43 indigenous groups in Chiapas,44 and other vulnerable populations, although scale of such efforts in the region appear limited.45
The compliment to extra-regional state actors such as Iran in constructing radical Islamic
networks is receptive governments in the region offering active assistance, or at least a permissive
environment, for such activities.
The governments of Venezuela,46 Suriname,47 St. Kitts and Nevis,48 for example, been implicated in issuing false passports and other identity documents to Islamic radicals, making it more
difficult for international law enforcement to follow their movements.
Many of the eleven ALBA member states offer a relative base from which radical Muslims can
conduct operations across the region. The Center for Iranian-Latin American Cultural Exchange
in Caracas, Venezuela, for example, allegedly served as a base for Islamic radicals such as Abdul
Karim Paz to travel around the region, recruiting and coordinating with others into his network.49 Bolivias Chapare province is another area in which Islamic groups such as Hezbollah
are believed to operate and coordinate with other Latin American criminal organizations with
relative impunity.50
ALBA governments have also supported Islamic networks by working to construct a sense of
shared purpose with their own leftist supporters. The late Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez, for
example, promoted the work of Spanish Marxist Jorge Verstrynge within the Venezuelan armed
forces.51 Verstrynges book, Wars of the Periphery and Radical Islam, argues that revolutionary
socialist movements, such as those of Latin America, should learn from the ethic of all-encompassing struggle and sacrifice manifested by the fighters of Revolutionary Islam.52 Similarly, Bolivia sought to involve Irans in the development of doctrine and training for the ALBA Defense
Academy, established in Santa Cruz in May 2011.53
Beyond ALBA, the construction of Islamic networks in the region has been aided by a semipermissive environment and facilitators. An article in Veja magazine argues that Islamic extremists have operated in parts of Brazil for years.54 In Peru, the socialist leader of the House of
ALBA, Eduard Quiroga, reportedly played a major role in recruiting Peruvian youth for religious indoctrination in Iran.55
Finally, non-state criminal actors at times play an important role in augmenting the capabilities and networks of radical Islamic groups in the region. In Central America, for example, the
Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) street gang is believed to have negotiated with Al Queda to smuggle
its operatives into the United States for pay,56 with senior Al Qaeda operative Adnan G. El Shukrijumah having met with MS-13 leaders in Honduras in July 2004 and perhaps on other occasions.57
Collaboration between radical Islamic actors and Latin American allies in evading international
controls and developing weapons.
In recent years, non-state radical Islamic actors and internationally sanctioned regimes such
as Iran have expanded collaboration with sympathetic partners in Latin America and the Caribbean, such as the ALBA states, to circumvent international financial and other controls, and to
pursue portions of the development of missiles and weapons of mass destruction on Latin American soil.
As examples on the financial side, Venezuela and Ecuador appear to have helped Iran to
evade financial sanctions and launder money.58 Vehicles for doing so have included the Al Taqwa
bank in the Bahamas, the Iran-Venezuela Bi-national fund (established in April 2008),59 the
International Development Bank (IDB) in Venezuela,60 and COFIEC in Ecuador. Prior to 2001,
the Muslim Brotherhood and al Qaeda allegedly used the Al Taqwa Bank for money laundering,
although after the events of September 11, much of this network was shut down.61 The IDB62 in
Venezuela was sanctioned in October 2008 by the U.S. Treasury Office of Foreign Asset Control
(OFAC) for ties with the Export Development Bank of Iran (EDBI) and the Iranian Ministry of
Defense.63 COFIEC in Ecuador has similarly come under scrutiny for accepting deposits from the
sanctioned Iranian bank EDBI.64
Beyond banking, analysts believe that Iranian commercial joint ventures with the countries of
ALBA may serve as a front for the import of components for missiles, missile fuel, or weapons of
mass destruction.65 The Venezuelan military industry company CAVIM has been sanctioned for
supplying technology to Iran.66 Venezuelan joint ventures in the state of Aragua include the Iranian firms Parchin Chemical Industries, which has been tied to Irans missile program, as well as
Kimiaa Sanat, Co., an affiliate of Qods Aviation in Venezuela, listed under United Nations Security Council Resolution 1747 as an entity of concern for WMD related procurement.67 Other
Venezuelan-Iranian joint manufacturing facilities such as the Venir auto factory are believed to
play a similar role, since the wide and technically obscure array of components that they import
for vehicle production can be used as cover to smuggle missile components and other materials
into Venezuela.
On the other hand, although analyses of Iranian activities in the Americas also regularly mention the countrys interest in acquiring uranium from states such as Venezuela,68 Ecuador,69 and
Bolivia,70 the logic of transporting such bulk material from Latin America to the Middle East is
unclear when Iran itself has ample deposits of uranium on its own soil.71
Recommendations
The challenge posed to the U.S. and regional security by radical Islamic groups operating in
Latin America and the Caribbean requires a sustained, well-crafted response which includes
partner nations within the Western Hemisphere and in the broader international community,
and which takes a whole-of-government approach.
While the U.S. State Department was mandated to develop a strategy in December 2012 for
Countering Iran in the Americas,72 the U.S. General Accounting Office has questioned the
implementation of the strategy advanced by the State Department in response to the legislation.73 Moreover, the focus mandated by the Act was arguably too narrow, concentrating on Iran
and groups tied to it, rather than the broader challenge of state and non-state radical Islamic
actors in the region, and by mentioning in only a brief and non-specific fashion, coordination
with international partners.74
Building on the work by the State Department and other organizations done to date, the approach advocated by this work should include not just an analysis of Iranian and Hezbollah activities, but how the challenge presented by the broader array of state and non-state actors affiliated with radical Islam in the region may be understood and managed. Such an analysis should
explicitly link the challenges presented by such actors in the Western Hemisphere to their evolving activities and interests globally, including how their interests and capabilities might change,
and what they in Latin America and the Caribbean in the context of a war with the U.S. or
other Western actors in other parts of the world.
Such analysis should also include the potential role of non-Islamic states such as Russia or
China, which could play a constructive role in combatting radical Islam where it threatens their
own interests, but which might also benefit strategically from encouraging it in the Western
Hemisphere, since such a challenge could potentially distract the U.S. and force it to divert attention and resources from other parts of the world.
A credible analysis will also require better knowledge of facts regarding the magnitude and
sources of the challenge, including the quantity of money that flows from Latin America and the
Caribbean to terrorist groups such as Hezbollah, or the number of youth from the region who
have traveled to Iran for indoctrination, and from where.
Informed by such analysis, the approach taken should reflect consideration of a broad array
of possible scenarios regarding future events in both the Middle East and Latin America and the
Caribbean, including the future status of ALBA governments and their willingness to cooperate
with international legal frameworks, and alternatively, to collaborate with rogue states and Islamic radical groups. The approach should also, however, emphasize certain common elements:
On one hand, any solution must be of the level and effectiveness of law enforcement cooperation across the region to combat issues such as terrorist finance, contraband and the movement
of personnel. While technology should play a role, improved intelligence sharing and international legal frameworks for collaborating against bad actors is also important.75
Particular attention should also be given to the role of the ALBA regimes in creating gateways into the region for such states and groups, and working with the international community
to impose consequences where such regimes permit sanctioned states to evade international
controls and develop weapons on their territory, or help to provide false documents and sanctuary for those planning terrorist acts.
Such collaboration notwithstanding, the approach should include the identification and possible U.S. responses to critical events, such as the imminent acquisition of weapons of mass destruction or delivery systems, or the imminent launch of a major terrorist act by groups harbored
in a state unwilling to cooperate with the United States, such as Venezuela, or with severe internal governance issues that prevents its leadership from responding or consenting to allow others
to help it address the international threat presented from its territory. More specifically, the U.S.
should carefully consider now under what circumstances it would intervene in such a situation,
preferably coordinating with partner nations, and how it would manage the international concerns and pushback that such an intervention would generate.
Finally, particular care should be taken to work with communities of Middle Eastern origin
and the peaceful, law-abiding majority of Muslims in the region to develop an approach that involves them as well in countering terrorism, the radicalization of their communities, and aggression from extra-hemispheric actors. A solution that is seen in the region as a U.S.-led crusade
against Muslims or persons of Middle Eastern origin must be avoided at all cost.
states assert greater control over borders and track flows of goods and persons. Such needs will
inherently point to State Department-led programs, such as those for enhancing banking regulations, export controls, and more effective judicial systems.
In the military domain, special operations forces may be required to conduct missions in
niche areas, always in coordination with partner nations. U.S. mobility assets, logistics and engineering support, or technology may similarly play a role in helping partner nation law enforcement and military exert more effective control over weakly governed areas in their national territory.
While a large-scale U.S. military operation to prevent the deployment or use of weapons of
mass destruction in the region by radical Islamic actors should not be ruled out, the employment
of U.S. ground forces in the region will generally be a sub-optimal option, since doing so would
likely further radicalize Muslim populations both in and beyond the region, while creating political strain with U.S. allies, and generating a rallying point for those who oppose the U.S. in
general.
Conclusions
This work has argued that the potential threat presented to the security of the U.S. and the
Western Hemisphere from radical Islamic actors is serious and requires sustained attention from
leaders in the region.
The challenge goes beyond the question of Iranian activities in the Americas to include nonstate Islamic actors such as Hezbollah, al-Qaeda, and potentially ISIL, plus other state actors, including non-Islamic U.S. geopolitical rivals such as Russia and China, who might benefit strategically from a U.S. distracted by a radical Islamic threat in the Western hemisphere. While terrorist
attacks from the region and the development of weapons of mass destruction are part of the
challenge, illicit and other financing from the region of terrorism globally should not be ignored.
To address the problem, the U.S. requires a strategic plan, coordinated across U.S. government agencies and international partners, which considers the diverse array of scenarios in
which the activities of Islamic radicals may pose a threat. While the U.S. military will not play the
lead role in such a strategy, it will be a necessary cornerstone for the effectiveness of such a strategy, as the U.S. works with its partners to build a region that is prosperous and secure from radicalism for persons of all religious faiths and political persuasions.
Notes
1. Dr. R. Evan Ellis is Research Professor of Latin American Studies with the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies
Institute. The views expressed in this work are solely his own and do not necessarily represent his institution or the U.S.
Government.
2. For the argument that Irans attention to Latin America was a policy position of the Ahmadinejad regime, see Farideh Farhi, Tehrans Perspective on Iran-Latin American Relations, In Cynthia Aranson, Iran in the Americas: Threat or
Axis of Annoyance? ed. Cynthia Arnson, Haleh Esfandairi and Adam Stubits, (Washington D.C.: Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, 2013), pp. 25-34.
3. Within the U.S., such attention was illustrated by then Secretary of State Hillary Clintons public warning to the
states of the region regarding the dangers posed by ties with Iran, as well as multiple congressional hearings on the subject, and the passage of the December 2012 Countering Iran in the Americas Act by the U.S. Congress. See Charley
Keys, Clinton warns of Iranian, Chinese gains in Latin America, CNN. May 1, 2009, http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/05/01/clinton.latin.america/index.html.
4. Ely Karmon, Iran in America Latina - La era del Presidente Rouhani, DEF, October 2012.
5. Rouhani reportedly planned to visit the G-77 summit in Bolivia in June 2014, but pulled out at the last minute,
sending his Vice-President instead. See Iranian president to attend G-77 summit in Bolivia, Press TV, May 18, 2014,
http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2014/05/18/363104/rouhani-to-visit-bolivia-for-g77-summit/.
6. Nor is the absence of Latin American leaders from Iran due to a lack of interest on their part in visiting. Venezuelas president Nicolas Maduro, for example, dropped hints during Rouhanis inauguration of his interest in visiting the
11
13
69. See, for example, Secret document: Venezuela, Bolivia supplying Iran with uranium, Haaretz, May 25, 2009,
http://www.haaretz.com/news/secret-document-venezuela-bolivia-supplying-iran-with-uranium-1.276675.
70.Secret document...
71. See, for example, Iran Says It Has Found New Deposits of Uranium, The New York Times, February 24, 2013.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/24/world/middleeast/iran-says-it-has-found-new-uranium-deposits.html?_r=0.
72. The Countering Iran in the Western Hemisphere Act was signed into law by the Obama Administration in December 2012. See Sarah Miller Llana, Is Irans presence in Latin America a threat? The White House says yes, Christian
Science Monitor, January 7, 2013, http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Americas/2013/0107/Is-Iran-s-presence-in-LatinAmerica-a-threat-The-White-House-says-yes.
73. See Combatting Terrorism: Strategy to Counter Iran in the Western Hemisphere Has Gaps That State Department Should Address, GAO-14-834, (Washington D.C.: Government Accountability Office. September 2014).
74. Countering Iran in the Western Hemisphere Act of 2012, H.R. 3783, 112th Congress, 2nd Session, January 3,
2012, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BILLS-112hr3783enr/pdf/BILLS-112hr3783enr.pdf.
75. A study by the American Foreign Policy Council noted, as of 2013, only 11 countries in the region have laws that
make terrorist activities per se a crime under national law. Ilan Berman, Threat to the Homeland: Irans Extending Influence in the Western Hemisphere, Testimony, Subcommittee on Oversight and Management Efficiency, Homeland
Security Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, July 9, 2013, http://homeland.house.gov/hearing/subcommitteehearing-threat-homeland-iran%E2%80%99s-extending-influence-western-hemisphere.
Dr. Evan Ellis is a research professor of Latin American Studies at the U.S. Army
War College Strategic Studies Institute with a focus on the regions relationships
with China and other non-Western Hemisphere actors. Dr. Ellis has published
over 90 works, including the 2009 book China in Latin America: The Whats and
Wherefores, the 2013 book The Strategic Dimension of Chinese Engagement with Latin
America, and the 2014 book, China on the Ground in Latin America. Dr. Ellis has
presented his work in a broad range of business and government forums in 25
countries. He has given testimony on Chinese activities in Latin America to the
US Congress, and has discussed his work regarding China and other external
actors in Latin America on a broad range of radio and television programs, including CNN International, CNN En Espaol, The John Bachelor Show, Voice of
America, and Radio Marti. Dr. Ellis is cited regularly in the print media in both
the US and Latin America for his work in this area, including the Washington
Times, Bloomberg, America Economia, DEF, and InfoBAE.. Dr. Ellis holds a PhD in
political science with a specialization in comparative politics.