Program

1.3
1.4
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
3.1
3.5
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.8
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.7
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
8.5
8.6
8.5xx
8.7
8.8
8.9
8.10
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.5

Name
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop
Expected Value and Variance

Source
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel

Content
Breakeven Analysis
Goal Seek
Expected Value and Variance

Binomial Probabilities
Normal distribution
F Distribution
Exponential Distribution
Poisson distribution
Thompson Lumber
Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example
Triple A Construction Company Sales
Jenny Wilson Realty
Jenny Wilson Realty
MPG Data
MPG Data
Solved Problem 4-2
Triple A Construction Company Sales
Wallace Garden Supply Shed Sales
Port of Baltimore
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Turner Industries
Turner Industries
Sumco Pump Company
Brown Manufacturing
Brass Department Store
Hinsdale Company Safety Stock
Flair Furniture
Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch
High note sound company
Flair Furniture
Win Big Gambling Club
Management Science Associates
Fifth Avenue Industries
Greenberg Motors
Labor Planning Example
ICT Portfolio Selection
Top Speed Bicycle Company
Goodman Shipping
Whole Foods Nutrition Problem
Low Knock Oil Company
Top Speed Bicycle Company
Transportation Example
Fix-It Shop
Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem
Transportation Problem - Birmingham
Fix-It Shop Assignment

Excel
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Binomial Probabilities
Normal distribution
F distribution probabilities
Exponential probabilities
Poisson probabilities
Decision Table
Bayes Theorem
Regression
Multiple Regression
Dummy Variables - Regression
Linear Regression
Nonlinear Regression
Regression
Regression
Weighted Moving Average
Exponential Smoothing
Expo. Smoothing with Trend
Trend Analysis
Trend Analysis
Multiplicative Decomposition
Multiple Regression
EOQ Model
Production Run Model
Quantity Discount Model
Safety Stock
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Transportation
Assignment

9.1
9.2
10.2
10.4
10.5
10.6
10.7
10.9
10.10
10.11
10.12
10.13
12.1
12.2
12.extra
13.1
13.2
13.3
13.4
14.2
14.3
14.4
14.5
14.6
15.3
15.4
16.1
16.2
16.3
16.4
Module
M1.1
M5.1

Executive Furniture Company

Birmingham Plant
Harrison Electric IP Analysis
Bagwell Chemical Company
Quemo Chemical Company
Sitka Manufacturing Company
Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg
Great Western Appliance
Hospicare Corp
Thermlock Gaskets
Solved Problem 10-1
Solved Problem 10-3
PERT - General Foundry Example
Crashing General Foundry Problem
Crashing General Foundry Problem
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Golding Recycling, Inc.
Department of Commerce
Harry's Tire Shop
Generating Normal Random Numbers
Harry's Tire Shop
Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings
Three Hills Power Company
Three Grocery Example
Accounts Receivable Example
Box Filling Example
Super Cola Example
ARCO
Red Top Cab Company

Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel QM
Excel
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel
Excel
Excel QM
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM

AHP
Matrix Multiplication

Excel
Excel

Transportation
Transportation
Integer programming
Integer programming
Integer programming
Integer programming
Integer programming
Nonlinear programming
Nonlinear programming
Nonlinear programming
0-1 programming
Nonlinear programming
Crashing
Crashing
Crashing
Single Server (M/M/1) system
Multi-Server (M/M/m) system
Constant Service Rate (M/D/1)
Finite population
Simulation (inventory)
Random #s and Frequency
Simulation (inventory)
Simulation (waiting line)
Maintenance Simulation
Markov Analysis
Fundamental Matrix & Absorbing States
Quality = x-bar chart
Quality = x-bar chart
p-Chart Analysis
c-Chart Analysis

- Regression

Rate (M/D/1)

ix & Absorbing States

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the
the selling
selling price
price in
in the
the data
data area.
area.

Cost-volume analysis

Data
Rebuilt Springs
1000
5
10

Fixed cost
Variable cost
Revenue

Results
Breakeven points
Units
Dollars $
Graph
Units

200
2,000.00

Costs
0
400

Costs

Revenue
1000
3000

0
4000

Revenue

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the
the selling
selling price
price in
in the
the data
data area.
area.
Data
Fixed cost
Variable cost
Revenue
Volume (optional)

Rebuilt Springs
1000
5
10.71
250

Results
Breakeven points
Units
Dollars $

175
1,875.00

Volume Analysis@
Costs
Revenue
Profit

250
2,250.00
2,678.57
428.57

Graph
Units

$
$
$

Costs
0
350

Revenue
1000
2750

0
3750

X
5
4
3
2
1

P(X)
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
E(X) = XP(X) =

XP(X)
0.5
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.1
2.9

(X - E(X))2P(X)
0.441
0.242
0.003
0.243
0.361
1.290
= Variance
1.136
= Standard deviation

To see the formulas, hold down the CTRL key and press the ` (Grave accent) key

ndard deviation

ave accent) key

The Binomial Distribution

X = random variable for number of successes
n=
5
number of trials
p=
0.5
probability of a succes
r=
4
specific number of successes
Cumulative probabiliP(X < r) = 0.96875
Probability of exactlyP(X = r) = ###

X is a normal random variable

with mean, , and standard deviation, .
=
100
=
20

x=
P(X < x) =
P(X > x) =

75
0.10565
0.89435

F Distribution with df1 and df2 degrees of freedom

To find F given
df1 =
5
df2 =
6

=
F-value =

0.05
4.39

To find the probability to the right of a calculated value, f

df1 =
df2 =

f=
P(F > f) =

5
6
4.2
0.0548

Exponential distribution - the random variable (X) is time

Average number per time period = =
3 per hour
t=
0.5000 hours
P(X < t) =
0.7769
P(X > t) =

0.2231

Poisson distribution - the random variable is the number of occurrences per time period
=
x
0
1
2

2
P(X)
0.1353
0.2707
0.7293

P(X < x)
0.1353
0.4060
0.6767

per time period

Thompson Lumber
Decision Tables
Enter
Enter the
the profits
profits or
or costs
costs in
in the
the main
main body
body of
of the
the data
data table.
table. Enter
Enter probabilities
probabilities in
in the
the first
first row
row
ifif you
want
to
compute
the
expected
value.
you want to compute the expected value.
Data
Results
Favorable Unfavorable
Profit
Market
Market
EMV
Minimum Maximum
Hurwicz
Probability
0.5
0.5
coefficient
0.8
Large Plant
200000
-180000
10000 -180000
200000
124000
Small plant
100000
-20000
40000
-20000
100000
76000
Do nothing
0
0
0
0
0
Maximum
40000
0
200000
124000
Expected Value of Perfect Information
Column best
200000
0

100000 <-Expected value under certainty

40000 <-Best expected value
60000 <-Expected value of perfect information

Regret
Favorable MUnfavorable Market
Expected Maximum
Probability
0.5
0.5
Large Plant
0
180000
90000
180000
Small plant
100000
20000
60000
100000
Do nothing
200000
0
100000
200000
Minimum
60000
100000

Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example

Fill in cells B7, B8, and C7
Probability Revisions Given a Positive Survey
State of
Posterior
Nature P(Sur.PosPrior Prob. Joint Pro Probability
FM
0.7
0.5
0.35
0.78
UM
0.2
0.5
0.1
0.22
P(Sur.pos.)
0.45
Probability Revisions Given a Negative Survey
State of
Posterior
Nature P(Sur.PosPrior Prob. Joint Pro Probability
FM
0.3
0.5
0.15
0.27
UM
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.73
P(Sur.neg.)
0.55

Triple A Construction C
Sales (Y)Payroll (X)
6
3
8
4
9
6
5
4
4.5
2
9.5
5

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple

0.8333

R Square

0.6944

Adjusted

0.6181

Standard

1.3110

Observati

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

Regressio

1 15.6250 15.6250

Residual

6.8750

Total

22.5

F Significance F
9.0909

0.0394

1.7188

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat

P-valueLower 95%

Intercept

1.7425

1.1477

0.3150 -2.8381

Payroll (X

1.25

0.4146

3.0151

0.0394

0.0989

gnificance F

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
6.8381 -2.8381

6.8381

2.4011

2.4011

0.0989

Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE
95000
119000
124800
135000
142800
145000
159000
165000
182000
183000
200000
211000
215000
219000

SF
1926
2069
1720
1396
1706
1847
1950
2323
2285
3752
2300
2525
3800
1740

AGE
30
40
30
15
32
38
27
30
26
35
18
17
40
12

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.8197
R Square
0.6719
Adjusted R Squar0.6122
Standard Error
24313
Observations
14
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
SF
AGE

SS
2
11
13

MS
F
Significance F
10 7E+009 11.262 0.00217877
09 6E+008
10

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat
###
### 5.7543
43.819 10.2810 4.2622
-2899 796.5649 -3.6390

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

0.0001 90545.2073
###
0.0013
21.1911
66.4476
0.0039 -4651.9139 -1145.4586

Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

90545.2073
###
21.1911
66.4476
-4651.9139 -1145.4586

Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE
95000
119000
124800
135000
142800
145000
159000
165000
182000
183000
200000
211000
215000
219000

SF
1926
2069
1720
1396
1706
1847
1950
2323
2285
3752
2300
2525
3800
1740

AGE
30
40
30
15
32
38
27
30
26
35
18
17
40
12

X3 (Exc.X4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0

(Mint)Condition
0
Good
0
Excellent
0
Excellent
0
Good
1
Mint
1
Mint
1
Mint
0
Excellent
1
Mint
0
Good
0
Good
0
Good
0
Excellent
1
Mint

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9476
R Square
0.8980
Adjusted R
0.8526
Standard Err
###
Observation
14
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
SF
AGE
X3 (Exc.)
X4 (Mint)

SS
MS
4 2E+010 4E+009
9 2E+009 2E+008
13 2E+010

F Significance F
###
###

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat
P-value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
121658.45
###
6.981
0.000
###
###
###
###
56.43
6.95
8.122
0.000
40.71
72.14
40.71
72.14
-3962.82 596.03 -6.649
0.000
###
###
###
###
33162.65
###
2.723
0.023 5610.43
### 5610.43
###
47369.25
###
4.448
0.002
###
###
###
###

Upper 95.0%

Automobile Weight vs. MPG

MPG (Y) Weight (X1)
12
4.58
13
4.66
15
4.02
18
2.53
19
3.09
19
3.11
20
3.18
23
2.68
24
2.65
33
1.70
36
1.95
42
1.92

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.862878
R Square 0.744559
Adjusted R 0.719015
Standard Er5.007571
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 730.90901 730.90901 29.148024 0.0003019
10 250.75766 25.075766
11 981.66667

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 47.61934 4.8131509 9.8935905 1.75E-006 36.894975 58.343712
Weight (X1)-8.24597 1.5273451 -5.398891 0.0003019 -11.64911 -4.842833

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
36.894975 58.343712
-11.64911 -4.842833

Automobile Weight vs. MPG

MPG (Y) Weight (X1)
12
4.58
13
4.66
15
4.02
18
2.53
19
3.09
19
3.11
20
3.18
23
2.68
24
2.65
33
1.70
36
1.95
42
1.92

WeightSq.(X2)
20.98
21.72
16.16
6.40
9.55
9.67
10.11
7.18
7.02
2.89
3.80
3.69

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9208
R Square
0.8478
Adjusted R
0.8140
Standard Er
4.0745
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
2 832.25568 416.12784 25.066098
9 149.41099 16.601221
11 981.66667

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Intercept
79.7888 13.5962
5.8685
0.0002
Weight (X1) -30.2224
8.9809
-3.3652
0.0083
WeightSq.(
3.4124
1.3811
2.4708
0.0355

Significance F
0.0002094

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
49.0321 110.5454 49.0321 110.5454
-50.5386
-9.9062 -50.5386
-9.9062
0.2881
6.5367
0.2881
6.5367

Solved Problem 4-2

Advertising ($100) Y
11
6
10
6
12

Sales X
5
3
7
2
8

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.9014
0.8125
0.7500
1.4142
5

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Sales X

SS
1
3
4

MS
26
6
32

F
26
2

Significance F
13 0.0366184

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
4
1.5242
2.6244
0.0787
-0.8506
8.8506
-0.8506
1
0.2774
3.6056
0.0366
0.1173
1.8827
0.1173

Upper 95.0%
8.8506
1.8827

Triple A Construction
Forecasting

Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then
then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the
demand
demand column.
column. IfIf this
this isis causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with
yy first
first and
and enter
enter aa new
new value
value of
of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom in
in order
order to
to forecast
forecast y.
y.

Data
Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Intercept
Slope
Next period

Demand (y) Period(x)

6
3
8
4
9
6
5
4
4.5
2
9.5
5
2
1.25
10.75

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
5.75
0.25
0.25
0.0625
04.17%
7
1
1
1
12.50%
9.5
-0.5
0.5
0.25
05.56%
7
-2
2
4
40.00%
4.5
0
0
0
00.00%
8.25
1.25
1.25
1.5625
13.16%
Total
0
5
6.875
75.38%
Average
0 0.8333333 1.1458333
12.56%
Bias
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE
1.3110111

7
Correlation0.8333333

Wallace Garden Supply

Forecasting

Weighted moving averages - 3 period moving average

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Enter
Enter weights
weights in
in
INCREASING
INCREASING order
order from
from top
top to
to bottom.
bottom.

Data
Period
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

Demand

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute Squared

Weights
10
12
13
16
19
23
26
30
28
18
16
14

Next period 15.3333333

Abs Pct Err

1
2
3
12.1667
14.3333
17
20.5
23.8333
27.5
28.3333
23.3333
18.6667
Total
Average

3.8333
3.8333 14.6944
23.96%
4.6667
4.6667 21.7778
24.56%
6
6
36
26.09%
5.5
5.5
30.25
21.15%
6.1667
6.1667 38.0278
20.56%
0.5
0.5
0.25
01.79%
-10.3333 10.3333 106.7778
57.41%
-7.3333
7.3333 53.7778
45.83%
-4.6667
4.6667 21.7778
33.33%
4.3333 49.0000 323.3333
254.68%
0.4815
5.4444 35.9259
28.30%
Bias
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE
6.79636

Port of Baltimore
Forecasting

Exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha (between
(between 00 and
and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting
forecast
forecast is
is not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha
Data
Period
Quarter 1
Quarter 2
Quarter 3
Quarter 4
Quarter 5
Quarter 6
Quarter 7
Quarter 8

0.1
Demand
180
168
159
175
190
205
180
182

Next period 178.595856

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
175
5
5
25
02.78%
175.5
-7.5
7.5
56.25
04.46%
174.75
-15.75
15.75 248.0625
09.91%
173.175
1.825
1.825 3.330625
01.04%
173.3575 16.6425 16.6425 276.97281
08.76%
175.02175 29.97825 29.97825 898.69547
14.62%
178.01958 1.980425 1.980425 3.9220832
01.10%
178.21762 3.7823825 3.7823825 14.306417 0.02078232
Total 35.958557 82.458557 1526.5399
44.75%
Average 4.4948197 10.30732 190.81749
05.59%
Bias
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE 15.950653

ast.
ast. IfIf the
the starting
starting

Midwestern Manufacturing
Forecasting

Trend adjusted exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha and
and beta
beta (between
(between 00 and
and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then
enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error
analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha
Beta
Data

Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Period 7

0.3
0.4
Forecasts and Error Analysis

Demand
74
79
80
90
105
142
122
Next period

Smoothed
Forecast
Forecast, Smoothed Including
Ft
Trend, Tt Trend, FITt Error

Absolute Squared
74
74
0
0
0
74
0
74
5
5
25
75.5
0.6
76.1
4.5
4.5
20.25
77.27
1.068
78.338
12.73
12.73 162.0529
81.8366 2.46744 84.30404 23.1634 23.1634 536.5431
90.512828 4.9509552 95.463783 51.487172 51.48717 2650.9289
109.42465 10.535301 119.95995 12.575352 12.57535 158.13947
120.57196 10.780107 131.35207
Total
109.45592 109.4559 3552.9144
Average
15.636561 15.63656 507.55919
Bias
MAD
MSE
SE 26.65676

Abs Pct
Err
00.00%
06.33%
05.63%
14.14%
22.06%
36.26%
0.1030767
94.73%
13.53%
MAPE

Midwestern Manufacturing
Time (X)

Demand (Y)
74
79
80
90
105
142
122

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8949096
R Square 0.8008632
Adjusted R 0.7610359
Standard Er12.432389
Observatio
7
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Time (X)

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 3108.0357 3108.0357 20.108369 0.0064933
5 772.82143 154.56429
6 3880.8571

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
56.714286 10.507286 5.3976151 0.002948 29.704447 83.724124 29.704447 83.724124
10.535714 2.3495006 4.4842356 0.0064933 4.4961307 16.575298 4.4961307 16.575298

Midwestern Manufacturing
Forecasting

Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then
then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the demand
demand column.
column. IfIf this
this isis
causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with yy first
first and
and enter
enter aa new
new value
value of
of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom
in
in order
order to
to forecast
forecast y.
y.

Data
Period
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Intercept
Slope
Next period

Demand (y) Period(x)

74
79
80
90
105
142
122

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

56.7142857
10.5357143
141

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute Squared
67.25
6.75
6.75
45.5625
77.7857
1.2143
1.2143
1.4745
88.3214
-8.3214
8.3214
69.2462
98.8571
-8.8571
8.8571
78.4490
109.3929
-4.3929
4.3929
19.2972
119.9286
22.0714
22.0714 487.1480
130.4643
-8.4643
8.4643
71.6441
Total
-4.263256E-014
60.0714 772.8214
Average
-6.090366E-015
8.5816 110.4031
Bias
MAD
MSE
SE
12.432389

8
Correlation0.8949096

Abs Pct Err

09.12%
01.54%
10.40%
09.84%
04.18%
15.54%
06.94%
57.57%
08.22%
MAPE

Turner Industries
Forecasting
4 seasons

Data
Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Period 7
Period 8
Period 9
Period 10
Period 11
Period 12

Multiplicative decomposition
Enter
Enter past
past demands
demands in
in the
the data
data area.
area. Do
Do not
not change
change the
the time
time
period
period numbers!
numbers!

Demand (y) Time (x)

108
125
150
141
116
134
159
152
123
142
168
165

Average
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

131
133
135.25
137.5
140.25
142
144
146.25
149.5

132.000
134.125
136.375
138.875
141.125
143.000
145.125
147.875

Average

Ratios
Season 1

Average

0.8506
0.8475
0.8491

Season 2

Season 3 Season 4
1.1364
1.0513
0.9649
1.1267
1.0629
0.9603
0.9626
1.1315
1.0571

Forecasts
Period
Unadjusted Seasonal Adjusted
13
155.240
0.849
131.810
14
157.583
0.963
151.687
15
159.927
1.132
180.959
16
162.270
1.057
171.535

Ratio

Seasonal Smoothed
Unadjusted
0.8491
127.1979
127.1187
0.9626
129.8589
129.4621
1.136
1.1315
132.5660
131.8056
1.051
1.0571
133.3841
134.1490
0.851
0.8491
136.6200
136.4924
0.965
0.9626
139.2087
138.8359
1.127
1.1315
140.5199
141.1793
1.063
1.0571
143.7899
143.5227
0.848
0.8491
144.8643
145.8662
0.960
0.9626
147.5197
148.2096
1.1315
148.4739
150.5530
1.0571
156.0878
152.8965
Intercept
Slope

124.7753
2.3434

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Adjusted
Error
|Error|
Error^2
Abs Pct Err
107.9327
0.0673
0.0673
0.0045
00.06%
124.6181
0.3819
0.3819
0.1458
00.31%
149.1396
0.8604
0.8604
0.7403
00.57%
141.8086
-0.8086
0.8086
0.6538
00.57%
115.8917
0.1083
0.1083
0.0117
00.09%
133.6411
0.3589
0.3589
0.1288
00.27%
159.7461
-0.7461
0.7461
0.5567
00.47%
151.7175
0.2825
0.2825
0.0798
00.19%
123.8507
-0.8507
0.8507
0.7236
00.69%
142.6641
-0.6641
0.6641
0.4410
00.47%
170.3526
-2.3526
2.3526
5.5346
01.40%
161.6265
3.3735
3.3735
11.3807
02.04%
Total
0.0107
10.8547
20.4014
07.14%
0.0009
0.9046
1.7001
00.59%
Bias
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE
1.84397092

Year

Quarter
1
2
3
4
2
1
2
3
4
3
1
2
3
4
1

Sales X1 Time PeriodX2 Qtr 2 X3 Qtr 3 X4 Qtr 4

108
1
0
0
0
125
2
1
0
0
150
3
0
1
0
141
4
0
0
1
116
5
0
0
0
134
6
1
0
0
159
7
0
1
0
152
8
0
0
1
123
9
0
0
0
142
10
1
0
0
168
11
0
1
0
165
12
0
0
1

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997177
R Square 0.994362
Adjusted R 0.991141
Standard Er1.832251
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

4
7
11

SS
MS
F
Significance F
4144.75 1036.1875 308.6516 6.03E-008
23.5 3.3571429
4168.25

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 104.1042 1.3321935 78.144928
X1 Time Pe 2.3125 0.1619496 14.279132
X2 Qtr 2
15.6875 1.5047667 10.425204
X3 Qtr 3
38.70833 1.5306881 25.288192
X4 Qtr 4
30.0625 1.5729413 19.112283

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
1.48E-011 100.95403 107.2543 100.95403 107.2543
1.96E-006 1.92955 2.69545 1.92955 2.69545
1.62E-005 12.129292 19.245708 12.129292 19.245708
3.86E-008 35.088831 42.327835 35.088831 42.327835
2.67E-007 26.343085 33.781915 26.343085 33.781915

Sumco Pump Company

Inventory
Economic Order Quantity Model
Enter
the
data
in
the
Enter the data in the shaded
shaded area
area
Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost, H
Unit Price, P

1000
10
0.5 (fixed amount)
0

Results
Optimal Order Quantity, Q*
Maximum Inventory
Average Inventory
Number of Setups

200
200
100
5

Holding cost
Setup cost

$50.00
$50.00

Unit costs
Total cost, Tc

$0.00

COST TABLE

Inventory: Cost vs Quantity

Setup cost
Holding
cost
Total cost

$100.00

Start at

25 Increment b

Q
25
40
55
70
85
100
115
130
145
160
175
190
205
220
235
250
265
280
295

15

Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost

400
6.25
406.25
250
10
260
181.81818
13.75 195.56818
142.85714
17.5 160.35714
117.64706
21.25 138.89706
100
25
125
86.956522
28.75 115.70652
76.923077
32.5 109.42308
68.965517
36.25 105.21552
62.5
40
102.5
57.142857
43.75 100.89286
52.631579
47.5 100.13158
48.780488
51.25 100.03049
45.454545
55 100.45455
42.553191
58.75 101.30319
40
62.5
102.5
37.735849
66.25 103.98585
35.714286
70 105.71429
33.898305
73.75 107.64831

310
325
340
355
370

32.258065
30.769231
29.411765
28.169014
27.027027

77.5
81.25
85
88.75
92.5

109.75806
112.01923
114.41176
116.91901
119.52703

Brown Manufacturing
Inventory

Production Order Quantity Model

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. You
You may
may have
have to
to do
do some
some work
work to
to enter
enter the
the daily
daily production
production rate.
rate.
Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost, H
Daily production rate, p
Daily demand rate, d
Unit price, P

10000
100
0.5 (fixed amount)
80
60
0

Inventory: Cost vs Quantity

Setup cost

Holding co

Results
Optimal production quantity, Q*
Maximum Inventory
Average Inventory
Number of Setups

Total cos t

4000
1000
500
2.5

Holding cost
Setup cost

250
250

Unit costs

Total cost, Tc
COST TABLE

500
Start at
Q
1000
1333.3333
1666.6667
2000
2333.3333
2666.6667
3000
3333.3333
3666.6667
4000
4333.3333
4666.6667
5000
5333.3333
5666.6667
6000
6333.3333
6666.6667
7000
7333.3333

1000 Increment b333.33333

Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost
1000
62.5
1062.5
750 83.333333 833.33333
600 104.16667 704.16667
500
125
625
428.57143 145.83333 574.40476
375 166.66667 541.66667
333.33333
187.5 520.83333
300 208.33333 508.33333
272.72727 229.16667 501.89394
250
250
500
230.76923 270.83333 501.60256
214.28571 291.66667 505.95238
200
312.5
512.5
187.5 333.33333 520.83333
176.47059 354.16667 530.63725
166.66667
375 541.66667
157.89474 395.83333 553.72807
150 416.66667 566.66667
142.85714
437.5 580.35714
136.36364 458.33333 594.69697

7666.6667 130.43478 479.16667 609.60145

8000
125
500
625
8333.3333
120 520.83333 640.83333
8666.6667 115.38462 541.66667 657.05128

tion rate.
ction
rate.

Quantity

Setup cost
Holding cost
Total cos t

Brass Department Store

Inventory

Quantity Discount Model

Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost %, I

5000
49
20%
Range 1

Minimum quantity
Unit Price, P

Range 2
0
5

Range 3
1000
4.8

2000
4.75

Results
Range 1
Q* (Square root formula)
Order Quantity
Holding cost
Setup cost

Range 2
Range 3
700 714.4345083118 718.1848464596
700
1000
2000
$350.00
$350.00

$480.00
$245.00

$950.00
$122.50

Unit costs

$25,000.00

$24,000.00

$23,750.00

Total cost, Tc

$25,700.00

$24,725.00
1000

$24,822.50

Optimal Order Quantity

minimum

$24,725.00

6.4

Inventory

Safety stock - Normal distribution

Select
aa model
and
enter
the
in the
area.
The
on
the
left
Select
model
and then
then
the data
data
the shaded
shaded
The model
model
onbottom
the bottom
bottom
left represents
represents
Select
aa model
and
enter
the
in
area.
The
on
left
the
Select
model
and then
then
enterenter
the data
data
in the
theinshaded
shaded
area.area.
The model
model
on the
the
bottom
left represents
represents
the 33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models
the
the 33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models

Model: Demand during leadtime and its standard deviation given

Data
Average demand during lead time,
Standard deviation of dLT
Service level (% of demand met)

Results
Z-value
Safety stock

Model: Daily demand and its standard deviation are given

350
10
95.00%

1.64
16.45

Data
Average daily demand
Standard deviation of daily demand, d
Lead time days
Service level (% of demand met)

Models: Either daily demand, lead time or both are variable

Service level (% of demand met)

Results
Z-value
Average demand during lead time
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, dLT
Safety stock
Reorder point

25
0 Enter 0 if demand is constant
6
3 Enter 0 if lead time is constant
98.00%

2.05
150
75.00
154.03
304.03

287065116.xlsx

3
4
97.00%

Results
Z-value
1.88
Average demand during lead time
60
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, dLT6.00
Safety stock
Reorder Point

Data
Average daily demand
Standard deviation of daily demand
Average lead time (in days)
Standard deviation of lead time, LT

15

11.28
71.28

Flair Furniture
Variables
T (Tables)C (Chairs)
Units Produced
30
40
Objective functio
70
50
Constraints
Carpentry
Painting

4
2

Profit
4100

LHS (Hours used)

3
240
<
1
100
<

RHS
240
100

Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch

Variables
Brand 1Brand 2
Units Produced 8.4
4.8
Objective functi 2
3
Constraints
Ingredient A
Ingredient B
Ingredient C

5
4
0.5

Cost
31.2

LHS (Amt. of Ing.)

10
90
>
3
48
>
0
4.2
>

RHS
90
48
1.5

High Note Sound Company

Variables
CD PlayerReceivers
Units Produced
0
20

Profit

Objective functi

2400

50

120

Constraints

LHS (Hrs. Used)

Electrician Hour

Audio Tech Hour

80
20

RHS
< 80
< 60

7.7
Enter
Enter the
the values
values in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis
Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Linear Programming
Signs
<
=
>

less than or equal to

equals (You need to enter an apostrophe first.)
greater than or equal to

Data
x1

x2

Objective
Constraint 1
Constraint 2

70
4
2

50 sign
3<
1<

Results
Variables
Objective

30

40

RHS
240
100

4100

Page 53

Results
LHS
Slack/Surplus
4100
240
0
100
0

A
1

3
5
6

Newspape
r
X2
5
8500

Radio
30 sec.
X3
6.2069
2400

Radio
1 min.
X4
0
2800

Win Big Gambling Club

2
4

Variables
Solution
Audience per
ad

TV
X1
1.9688
5000

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Constraints
Max. TV
Newspaper
Max. 30-sec.
radio
Max. 1 min.
radio
Cost
Radio dollars
Radio spots

1
1
1
800

925

290
290
1

1
380
380
1

<
<
<
<
<
<
>

RHS
12
5
25
20
8000
1800
5

1
2
3
4
5
6

Total Audience
67240.3017

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

LHS
1.9688
5
6.2069
0
8000
1800
6.2069

A
1

>
>
>
>
<

RHS
2,300
1,000
600
0
0

Management Science Associates

2
3
4
5

Variable
Solution
Min. Cost

X1
0
7.5

X2
600
6.8

X3
X4
X5
140 1000
0
5.5
6.9 7.25

X6
560Total Cost
6.1
15166

Constraints
8 Total Househol
1
9 30 and Younge
1
10 31-50
0
11 Border States
0.85
12 51+ Border St
0
7

1
0
1
0.85
0

1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.85 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15
0.8
0
0 -0.2

LHS
2300
1000
600
395
0

A
1

Fifth Avenue Industries

All silk All poly. Blend 1

3
4
5
6

Variables
Values
Profit

X1
5112
16.24

X2
14000
8.22

X3
16000
8.77

Blend 2

X4
8500
8.66

Total Profit
412028.88

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Constraints
Silk available
0.125
Polyester
available
Cotton
available
Maximum silk
1
polyester
Maximum blend
1
Maximum blend
2
1
Minimum silk
polyester
Minimum blend
1
Minimum blend
2

LHS
0.066
0.08

0.05
0.05

0.044

1
1
1
1
1
1

1200
1920
1174
5112
14000
16000
8500
5112
14000
16000
8500

<
<
<
<
<
<
<
>
>
>
>

20
21
22
23

Calculations to determine the profit per tie.

Polyes
Silk
ter
Blend 1 Blend 1
25 Selling Price per ti 19.24
8.7
9.52
10.64 Cost of material per yard
Yards of silk used
26
in tie
0.125
0
0
0.066
24
Yards of polyester
27
used in tie
0
0.08
0.05
0
6
24

Yards of cotton
used in tie
0
29 Material cost per ti
3
30 Profit per tie
16.24
28

0
0.48
8.22

0.05
0.75
8.77

0.044
1.98
8.66

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

RHS
1200
3000
1600
7000
14000
16000
8500
5000
10000
13000
5000

20
21
22
23
24

f material25
per yard
26
27
28
29
30

Slack/Surplus
0
1080
426
1888
0
0
0
112
4000
3000
3500

A
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32

Greenberg Motors
Variable
Solution
Min. Cost

A1
###
20

A2
A3
A4
B1
B2
B3
B4 IA1 IA2 IA3 IA4 IB1
IB2
IB3 IB4
223.1 ### 792.3 1000 ### 77.8 1700 476.9 0 757.7 450
0
###
0
300
20
22
22
15
15 16.5 16.5 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26

Demand Constraints
Jan. GM3A
1
Feb. GM3A
1
Mar. GM3A
Apr. GM3A
Jan. GM3B
Feb. GM3B
Mar. GM3B
Apr. GM3B
Inv.GM3A Apr.
Inv.GM3B Apr.
Labor Hour Constraints
Hrs Min. Jan. 1.3
Hrs Min. Feb.
1.3
Hrs Min. Mar.
Hrs Min. Apr.
Hrs Max. Jan. 1.3
Hrs Max. Feb.
1.3
Hrs Max.Mar.
Hrs Max. Apr.
Storage Constraints
Jan. Inv. Limit
Feb. Inv. Limit
Mar. Inv. Limit
Apr. Inv. Limit

-1
1
1

-1
1

-1
1

-1

-1
1

1
1

-1
1

-1
1

-1

1
1
0.9
0.9
1.3

0.9
1.3

0.9
0.9
0.9

1.3

0.9
1.3

0.9
1

1
1

1
1

1
1

33
34
35
36
37
38
39

Jan
Feb
Mar
GM3A Units ### 223.1 ###
GMBA Units ### ### 77.8
GM3A Invent 476.9
0.0 757.7
GM3B Invent 0.0 ###
0.0
Labor Hours ### ### ###

Apr
792.3
###
450.0
300.0
###

1
2
3
4 Total Cost
5 169294.9
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

LHS SignRHS
800 =
800
700 =
700
1000 = 1000
1100 = 1100
1000 = 1000
1200 = 1200
1400 = 1400
1400 = 1400
450 =
450
300 =
300

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

2560
2560
2355
2560
2560
2560
2355
2560

>
>
>
>
<
<
<
<

2240
2240
2240
2240
2560
2560
2560
2560

476.92
1322.22
757.69
750

<
<
<
<

3300
3300
3300
3300

27
28
29
30
31
32

Slack/Surplus
320
320
115
320
0
0
205
0

R
33
34
35
36
37
38
39

A
1

P3
2
32

P4
5
32

P5
0
32

Total Cost
1448

Labor Planning Example

2
3
4
5
6

Variables
Values
Cost

F
10
100

P1
0
32

P2
7
32

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

Constraints
9 a.m. - 10 a. 1
10 a.m. - 11 a 1
11 a.m. - noo 0.5
noon - 1 p.m. 0.5
1 p.m. - 2 p.m 1
2 p.m. - 3 p.m 1
3 p.m. - 4 p.m 1
4 p.m. - 5 p.m 1
Max. Full tim 1
Total PT hours

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1
4

LHS
10
17
14
19
24
17
15
10
10
56

Sign RHS
>
10
>
12
>
14
>
16
>
18
>
17
>
15
>
10
<
12
<
56

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

Slack/Surplus
0
5
0
3
6
0
0
0
2
0

A
1

<
<
<
<
>
>
<

RHS
###
###
###
###
0
0
5000000

ICT Portfolio Selection

2
3
4
5

Variable
Solution
Max. Return

X1
X2
X3
X4
750000 950000 2E+006 2E+006Total Return
0.07
0.11
0.19
0.15 712000

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Trade
Bonds
Gold
Construction
Min. Gold+Con
Min. Trade
Total Investe

1
1
1
-0.55
0.85
1

-0.55
-0.15
1

0.45
-0.15
1

1
0.45
-0.15
1

LHS
750000
950000
1500000
1800000
550000
0
5000000

Goodman Shipping
Variables
X1
X2
X3
Values
0.3333
1
0
Load Value 22500 24000 8000
Constraints
Total weigh 7500
% Item 1
1
% Item 2
% Item 3
% Item 4
% Item 5
% Item 6

7500

3000

X4
X5
X6
0
0
0 Total Value
9500 11500 9750
31500

3500

4000

1
1
1
1

LHS
Sign RHS
3500 10000
< 10000
0.333333 <
1
1
<
1
0
<
1
0
<
1
0
<
1
1
0
<
1

A
1

Sign
>
>
>
>
=

RHS
3
2
1
0.425
0.125

Whole Foods Nutrition Problem

2
3
4
5
6

Grain AGrain BGrain C

Variable
Xa
Xb
Xc
Solution
0.025
0.05
0.05
Minimize
0.33
0.47
0.38

Total Cost
0.05075

7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Constraints
Protein
22
Riboflavin
16
Phosphoru
8
Magnesiu
5
Total Weig
1

28
14
7
0
1

21
25
9
6
1

LHS
3
2.35
1
0.425
0.125

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Slack/Surplus
0
0.35
0
0
0

Low Knock Oil Company

Variable
Solution
Cost

X100 ReX100 EcoX220 ReX220 Econ

X1
X2
X3
X4
15000 26666.67 10000 5333.33
Total Cost
30
30
34.8
34.8
1783600

Constraints
Demand Regula
1
Demand Economy
Ing. A in Regula -0.1
Ing. B in Economy

1
1

1
0.15

0.05

-0.25

LHS
Sign
25000
>
32000
>
0
>
0
<

RHS
25000
32000
0
0

Slack/Surplus
0
0
0
0

Top Speed Bicycle Company

N.O. to N.O. to N.O. to Omaha to Omaha to Omaha to
NY
Chicago
LA
NY
Chicago
LA

Variables
Values
Cost
Constraints
NY Demand
Chi. Demand
LA Demand
N.O. Supply
Omaha Supply

X11
10000
2

X12
0
3

X13
8000
5

X21
0
3

X23
7000 Total Cost
4
96000

1
1

X22
8000
1

1
1
1

1
1

LHS
10000
8000
15000
18000
15000

otal Cost

Sign
=
=
=
<
<

RHS
10000
8000
15000
20000
15000

Shipping Cost Per Unit

From\ToAlbuquerque
Boston
Cleveland
Des Moines
5
4
3
Evansville
8
4
3
Fort Lauderdal
9
7
5

Solution - Number of units shipped

Albuquerque
Boston
Cleveland
Total shipped
Supply
Des Moines
100
0
0
100
100
Evansville
0
200
100
300
300
Fort Lauderdal
200
0
100
300
300
Total receive
300
200
200
Demand
300
200
200
Total cost =

3900

Cost for Assignments

erson\Project Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
Adams
11
14
6
Brown
8
10
11
Cooper
9
12
7

Project 1
Adams
0
Brown
0
Cooper
1
Total assigned
1
Total workers
1
Total cost =

25

Made
Project 2
0
1
0
1
1

Project 3 Total pSupply

1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1

Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem

From\To
Toronto
Detroit
Chicago
Buffalo

Shipping Cost Per Unit

Chicago
Buffalo NYC
Phil. St.Louis
4
7
5
7
6
4
5
2
3
4

Toronto
Detroit
Chicago
Buffalo
Total receiv
Demand

Solution - Number of
Chicago
Buffalo NYC
650
150
0
300
0
450
650
450
450
450

Total cost =

9550

units shipped
Phil. St.Louis
Total shipped
Supply
800
800
300
700
350
300
650
0
0
450
350
300
350
300

9.4

Birmingham
Transportation
Enter
Enter the
the transportation
transportation data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
Data
Analysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Data
COSTS
Origin 1
Origin 2
Origin 3
Origin 4
Demand
Shipments
Shipments
Origin 1
Origin 2
Origin 3
Origin 4
Column Total
Total Cost

Dest 1
73
85
88
84
10000

Dest 2
103
80
97
79
12000

Dest 3
88
100
78
90
15000

Dest 4
Supply
108
15000
90
6000
118
14000
99
11000
9000 46000 \ 46000

Dest 1
Dest 2
Dest 3
Dest 4
Row Total
10000
0
1000
4000
15000
0
1000
0
5000
6000
0
0
14000
0
14000
0
11000
0
0
11000
10000
12000
15000
9000 46000 \ 46000
3741000

Page 76

9.4

Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
Data

Page 77

9.5

A
1

Fix-It Shop Assignment

2
3
4
5
6
7

Assignment
Enter
Enter the
the assignment
assignment costs
costs in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area.Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on
Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
DataTab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Data
9 COSTS
10 Adams
11 Brown
12 Cooper
8

Project 1 Project 2 Project 3

11
14
6
8
10
11
9
12
7

13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Assignments
Shipments
Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Row Total
Adams
1
1
Brown
1
1
Cooper
1
1
Column Total
1
1
1
3

20
21

Total Cost

25

22

Page 78

9.5

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22

Page 79

Harrison Electric Integer Programming Analysis

Variables
Values
Profit

Chandeliers Fans
X1
X2
5
0
7
6

Constraints
Wiring hours
Assembly hours

2
6

3
5

Total Profit
35
LHS
10
30

Sign
<
<

RHS
12
30

Bagwell Chemical Company

Xyline (bags) Hexall (lbs)
Variables
X
Y
Values
44
20
Total Profit
Profit
85
1.5
3770
Constraints
Ingredient A
Ingredient B
Ingredient C

30
18
2

0.5
0.4
0.1

LHS
1330
800
90

sign
<
<
<

RHS
2000
800
200

Quemo Chemical Company

Catalytic Conv.
Variables
X1
Values
1
Net Present Val
25000
Constraints
Year 1
Year 2

8000
7000

Software
X2
0
18000

6000
4000

Warehouse Expan.
X3
1
NPV
32000
57000

12000
8000

LHS
20000
15000

sign
<
<

RHS
20000
16000

Sitka Manufacturing Company

Baytown
Variables
X1
Values
0
Cost
340000
Constraints
Minimum capacity
Maximum in Baytown
Maximum in L. C.
Maximum in Mobile

Lake Charles
X2
1
270000

Mobile
X3
1
290000

Baytown units
X4
0
32

1
1

-21000
-20000
-19000

L. Charles units
Mobile units
X5
X6
19000
19000
33
30

1
1

Cost
1757000
LHS
38000
0
-1000
0

Sign RHS
>
38000
<
0
<
0
<
0

Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg

Variables
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
X6
X7
Values
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
Return ($1,000s) 50
80
90
120 110
40
75
Constraints
Texas
1
1
1
Foreigh Oil
1
1
California
1
1
$3 Million
480 540 680 1000 700 510 900

Return
360
LHS
2
1
1
2890

Sign
>
<
=
<

RHS
2
1
1
3000

Great Western Appliance

Variables
Values

MicroSelf-Clean
X1
X2
0
1000

Terms
X1
Calculated Values 0
Profit
28
Constraints
Capacity
1
Hours Available 0.5

X2
1000
21

1
0.4

X22
###
0.25

Profit
271000
LHS
1000
400

Sign RHS
< 1000
<
500

Hospicare Corp
Variables
Values
Terms

X1
X2
### 4.1003

X1

Calculated Values###

Profit
Constraints
Nursing
X-Ray
Budget

13

X12 X1*X2 X2

X23

1/X2

###
0

###

### Total Profit

1
###

2
1
8

###
6

###
5

4
1
-2

LHS
90.00
75.00
40.33

Sign RHS
< 90
< 75
< 61

Thermlock Gaskets
Variables
Values
Cost

Value
Constraints
Hardness
Tensile Stre
Elasticity

X1
3.325
5

X2
14.672 Total Cost
7
119.333

X1

X12

X13

X2

X22

3.325

11.058

36.771

14.672

215.276

3
13
0.7

0.25

4
1
1

0.3

LHS Sign
###
>
80
>
17
>

RHS
125
80
17

Solved Problem 10-1

Variables
Values

Maximize
Constraints
Constraint 1
Constraint 2
Constraint 3
Constraint 4

X1
1
50

19
22
1
1

X2
1
45

27
13
1
-1

X3
0
48

Total
95

34
12
1
0

LHS Sign RHS

46
<
80
35
<
40
2
<
2
0
<
0

Forecasting - Exponential Smoothing

Ft+1 = Ft + (Yt-Ft)
Time Period (t)Demand (Yt) Forecast (Ft) Error = Yt - F |error|

= 0.3478

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

110
156
126
138
124
125
160

110
110
125.999999781
125.9999998571
130.1739128932
128.0264649597
126.9737815099
138.461161697

0
46.000
0.000
12.000
-6.174
-3.026
33.026
MAD=

46.000
0.000
12.000
6.174
3.026
33.026
16.704

F1 is assumed to be a perfect forecast.

MAD is based on time periods 2 through 7

General Foundry
Project Management

Precedences; 3 time estimates

Gantt Chart

Enter
Enter the
the times
times in
in the
the appropriate
appropriate column(s).
column(s). Enter
Enter the
the precedences,
precedences, one
one per
per column.
column. (Do
(Do not
not try
try to
to
use
use commas).
commas).

Data
Activity
Optimistic Likely
Pessimistic
Mean
A
1
2
3
B
2
3
4
C
1
2
3
D
2
4
6
E
1
4
7
F
1
2
9
G
3
4
11
H
1
2
3
Precedences
Immediate Predecessors (1 per column)
Activity
Time
Pred 1
Pred 2
A
2
B
3
C
2
A
D
4
B
E
4
C
F
3
C
G
5
D
E
H
2
F
G

2
3
2
4
4
3
5
2

Std dev
Variance
0.3333333 0.1111111
0.3333333 0.1111111
0.3333333 0.1111111
0.6666667 0.4444444
1
1
1.3333333 1.7777778
1.3333333 1.7777778
0.3333333 0.1111111

Column H

Critical A

Noncritical Activity

Slack

Results
Activity
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Early
Start

Early
Finish
0
0
2
0
4
4
8
13

Late
Start

Late
Finish

2
3
4
4
8
7
13
15
15

0
12
2
4
4
10
8
13

Early start computations

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

0
0
2
0
4
4
4
7

0
0
0
0
0
0
8
13

Late finish computations

A
B
A
15

15

Project

Slack
2
15
4
8
8
13
13
15

Variance
0.1111111

0
12
0
4
0
6
0
0

0.1111111
1
1.7777778
0.1111111
3.1111111
1.7638342

Project
Std.dev

D
15

E
15

F
15

G
15

H
15

15

B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Graph
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

15
2
15
15
15
15
15
2

0
0
2
0
4
4
8
13

15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15

15
15
15
4
10
15
15
4

Critical ActiNoncritical Slack

2
0
0
3
2
0
0
4
4
0
0
3
5
0
2
0

15
15
15
15
15
8
15
8

0
12
0
4
0
6
0
0

15
15
15
15
15
8
15
8
9 Graph
8H
7G
6F
5E
4D
3C
2B
1A

15
15
15
15
15
15
13
13

15
15
15
15
15
15
13
13

13
8
4
4
0
2
0
0

15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
Critical Acti Noncritical A
2
0
5
0
0
3
4
0
0
4
2
0
0
3
2
0

Gantt Chart

mn H

ritical Activity

Critical Activity
Slack

Slack
0
0
6
0
4
0
12
0

Crashing

A
3
4
5

Project Management

Crashing

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
Data Analysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER is
is not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Results
Normal time
Minimum time

6
7

Data
Project goal

12

15
7

Minimum crash cost to meet project goal $

Project time

5,000.00
12

Immediate Predecessors (1 per column)

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Activity
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Normal
Time
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
2

Normal
Cost
$22,000
$30,000
$26,000
$48,000
$56,000
$30,000
$80,000
$16,000

Crash
Time
1
1
1
3
2
2
2
1

Crash
Cost
$23,000
$34,000
$27,000
$49,000
$58,000
$30,500
$86,000
$19,000

Pred 1 Pred 2

A
B
C
C
D
F

E
G

20

287065116.xlsx

Pred 3

Pred 4

Intermediate
Computations
Crash
Crash cost/da
days
y
Crash limit
1000
1
0
2000
2
0
1000
1
0
1000
1
0
1
1000
2
500
1
0
2
2000
3
3000
1
0
0
0
0

Crashing

N
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

10
Computations
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

287065116.xlsx

Crashing General Foundry Problem

Values
Minimize cost
A crash max.
B crash max.
C crash max.
D crash max.
E crash max.
F crash max.
G crash max.
H crash max.
Due date
Start
A constraint
B constraint
C constraint
D constraint
E constraint
F constraint
G constraint 1
G constraint 2
H constraint 1
H constraint 2
Finish constraint

YA YB YC YD YE YF YG YH XST XA XB XC XD XE XF XG
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
3
3
7
7
6 10
1000 2000 1000 1000 1000 500 2000 3000
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
-1

1
1
1

1
1
-1

1
-1

1
-1
-1

1
1
1

1
1
-1

1
1

-1
1
1

-1
-1

XH
12

XFIN
12

1
1
-1

Totals
5000
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
12
0
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
5
6
2
0

<
<
<
<
<
<
<
<
<
=
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>

1
2
1
1
2
1
3
1
12
0
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
5
2
2
0

Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines

M/M/1 (Single Server Model)

The
arrival
and
service
RATE
both
must
rates
and
use
the
unit.
time
The
RATE
and
service
RATE
must
be
rates
use
the
time
Thearrival
arrival RATE
RATE
and
service
RATE
bothboth
must be
be
rates
and
useand
the same
same
time
unit. Given
Given
time Given
The
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
both
must
be
rates
and
use time
the same
same
timeaaunit.
unit.
Given aa
such
as
10
minutes,
convert
itconvert
to
aa rate
such
as
66 per
hour.
such
as
10
minutes,
convert
it
to
rate
such
as
per
hour.
time
such
as
10
minutes,
it
to
a
rate
such
as
6
per
hour.
time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
Data
Results
Arrival rate ()
Average server utilization()
2
0.66667
Average number of customers in the queue(L
Service rate ()
3
1.33333
Average number of customers in the system(L2
Average waiting time in the queue(Wq 0.66667
Average time in the system(Ws)
1
Probability (% of time) system is empty
(P
0.33333

Probabilities
Number

e
Probabil Probabilit
ity
y
0
### 0.333333
1
### 0.555556
2
### 0.703704
3
### 0.802469
4
### 0.868313
5
### 0.912209
6
### 0.941472
7
### 0.960982
8
### 0.973988
9
### 0.982658
10
### 0.988439
11
### 0.992293
12
### 0.994862
13
### 0.996575
14
### 0.997716
15
### 0.998478
16
### 0.998985
17
### 0.999323
18
### 0.999549
19
### 0.999699
20
### 0.999800

unit.
unit. Given
Given aa

Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines
M/M/s
The
arrival
RATE
The arrival RATE and
and service
service RATE
RATE both
both must
must be
be rates
rates and
and use
use the
the same
same time
time unit.
unit. Given
Given
aa time
such
as
10
minutes,
convert
it
to
a
rate
such
as
6
per
hour.
time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
Data
Results
Arrival rate ()
Average server utilization()
2
0.33333
Average number of customers in the queue(L q) 0.08333
Service rate ()
3
Number of servers(s)

Average number of customers in the system(L)

Average waiting time in the queue(W q)
Average time in the system(W)
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P 0)

Probabilities
Number
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Probability Cumulative Probability

0.500000 0.500000
0.333333 0.833333
0.111111 0.944444
0.037037 0.981481
0.012346 0.993827
0.004115 0.997942
0.001372 0.999314
0.000457 0.999771
0.000152 0.999924
0.000051 0.999975
0.000017 0.999992
0.000006 0.999997
0.000002 0.999999
0.000001 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000
0.000000 1.000000

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

(lam/mu)^n/Cumsum(n-term2
1
0.6666667
1
0.2222222 1.6666667
0.0493827 1.8888889
0.0082305 1.9382716
0.0010974 1.9465021
0.0001219 1.9475995
1.16E-005 1.9477214
9.68E-007 1.947733
7.17E-008 1.947734
4.78E-009 1.947734

Computations
n or s

0.75
0.04167
0.375
0.5

P0(s)
2
0.3333333333
0.0634920635
0.0098765432
0.0012662235
0.0001371742
0.000012835
1.05569378546059E-006
7.74175442671098E-008
5.12020795417393E-009

0.33333
0.5
0.5122
0.51331
0.51341
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

2.90E-010
1.61E-011
8.25E-013
3.93E-014
1.75E-015
7.28E-017
2.85E-018
1.06E-019
3.71E-021
1.24E-022
3.92E-024
1.19E-025

1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734

3.08313597240581E-010
1.70369367459144E-011
8.69753527569206E-013
4.12575391282828E-014
1.82757648408783E-015
7.59282983727312E-017
2.96998446015785E-018
1.09750556974159E-019
3.84311714656988E-021
1.27871411410371E-022
4.05275511573853E-024
1.22628006974231E-025

0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342

Rho(s)

Lq(s)

L(s)

Wq(s)

W(S)

0.6666667
0.3333333
0.2222222
0.1666667
0.1333333
0.1111111
0.0952381
0.0833333
0.0740741
0.0666667

1.3333333
0.0833333
0.0092915
0.0010139
0.0001
8.80E-006
6.94E-007
4.93E-008
3.18E-009
1.88E-010

2
0.75
0.6759582
0.6676806
0.6667667
0.6666755
0.6666674
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667

0.6666667
0.0416667
0.0046458
0.000507
5.00E-005
4.40E-006
3.47E-007
2.46E-008
1.59E-009
9.39E-011

1
0.375
0.3379791
0.3338403
0.3333833
0.3333377
0.3333337
0.3333334
0.3333333
0.3333333

0.0606061
0.0555556
0.0512821
0.047619
0.0444444
0.0416667
0.0392157
0.037037
0.0350877
0.0333333
0.031746
0.030303

1.02E-011
5.15E-013
2.41E-014
1.06E-015
4.36E-017
1.69E-018
6.22E-020
2.17E-021
7.17E-023
2.26E-024
6.82E-026
1.97E-027

0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667
0.6666667

5.11E-012
2.57E-013
1.21E-014
5.30E-016
2.18E-017
8.47E-019
3.11E-020
1.08E-021
3.59E-023
1.13E-024
3.41E-026
9.84E-028

0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333
0.3333333

Garcia-Golding Recycling
Waiting Lines

M/D/1 (Constant Service Times)

The
arrival
and
service
RATE
both
must
rates
and
use
the
unit.
time
The
RATE
and
service
RATE
must
be
rates
use
the
time
Thearrival
arrival RATE
RATE
and
service
RATE
bothboth
must be
be
rates
and
useand
the same
same
time
unit. Given
Given
time Given
The
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
both
must
be
rates
and
use time
the same
same
timeaaunit.
unit.
Given
as
10
minutes,
convert
it
to
a
rate
such
as
6
per
hour.
aasuch
time
such
as
10
minutes,
convert
it
to
a
rate
such
as
6
per
hour.
such
as
10
minutes,
convert
it
to
a
rate
such
as
6
per
hour.
time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.

Data
Arrival rate ()

Service rate ()

12

Results
Average server utilization()
0.6667
Average number of customers in the
queue(Lq)
0.6667
Average number of customers in the
system(Ls)
1.3333
Average waiting time in the queue(W
)
0.0833
q
Average time in the system(Ws) 0.1667
Probability (% of time) system is empty
0.3333(P0)

Department of Commerce
Waiting Lines

M/M/s with a finite population

The
arrival
rate
for
each
member
the
population.
they
go
for
service
every
20
The
arrival
rate
is
for
each
member
of
the
population.
IfIfIfIf
they
go
for
service
every
20
minutes
The
arrival
rate
for
each
member
of
the
population.
they
go
for
service
every
20
The
arrival
rate
isisis
for
each
member
ofof
the
population.
they
go
for
service
every
20
minutes then
then enter
enter 33 (per
(per
minutes
hour).
minutes then
then enter
enter 33 (per
(per hour).
hour).
hour).

Data

Results

Arrival rate () per

customer
Service rate ()

0.05
0.5

Number of servers

Population size (N)

Average server utilization()

0.436
Average number of customers in the
queue(Lq)
0.2035
Average number of customers in the
system(Ls)
0.6395
Average waiting time in the queue(W
)
0.9333
q
Average time in the system(Ws) 2.9333
Probability (% of time) system is empty
0.564(P0)
Effective arrival rate
0.218

Probabilities
Number, n

Probability, Cumulative
P(n)
Probability Number waiting
0 0.56395218 0.56395218
1 0.28197609 0.84592827
2 0.11279044 0.9587187
3 0.03383713 0.99255583
4 0.00676743 0.99932326
5 0.00067674
1
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

Arrival
rate(n)
0
0.25
0
0.2
1
0.15
2
0.1
3
0.05
4
0

27
28
29
30
31

1.7732
Sum term
Sum term Decum
Term 1
1
Term 2
2
term 2
P0(s)
1
1
1
1
0.7732
0.5
1.5
0.5
1.5
0.2732 0.5639522
0.2
1.7
0.0732
0.06
1.76
0.0132
0.012
1.772
0.0012
0.0012
1.7732
0

Harry's Tire Shop

Probability
0.05
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.15

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the bo

Probability
Range
(Lower)

Cumulative Tires
Probability Demand
0
0.05
0.05
0.15
0.15
0.35
0.35
0.65
0.65
0.85
0.85
1

Day
0
1
2
3
4
5

Results (Frequency table)

Tires
Demanded Frequency Percentage Cum %
0
1
10%
10%
1
2
20%
30%
2
4
40%
70%
3
0
0%
70%
4
2
20%
90%
5
1
10%
100%
10

Random Simulated
Number
Demand
1 0.8342608
4
2 0.9046753
5
3 0.2841882
2
4 0.2540957
2
5 0.3044601
2
6 0.0458965
0
7 0.2391596
2
8 0.1470438
1
9 0.801786
4
10 0.111169
1
Average
2.3

ame as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Generating Normal Random Numbers

Random number
37.6960361215
52.2265146286
37.0349709018
41.2209116598
38.209363689
29.5940947446
35.1865307077
32.1370583827
51.4264452717
41.8014917161
35.1233332978
36.8013603956
42.2473096989
46.2542428657
38.8414840922
36.5725592611
37.854570563
40.271637877
36.0099281694
36.9883143622
35.2848760376
39.9344055623
37.680488466
43.9263752003
39.5514530372
39.846193795
38.3702152662
40.7890982674
44.7229633111
37.0114166099
43.0984045321
39.2505512841
37.9154214138
43.1369461744
42.1772994446
37.2683106454
42.821404475
36.9534172996
35.0475922184
35.0921076631
37.5409480306
38.843486782
40.0777571438
46.581816751
35.3784656716
33.6626232578
40.9801231538

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the

Value
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56

Frenquency Percentage
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.5%
4
2.0%
11
5.5%
20
10.0%
37
18.5%
31
15.5%
32
16.0%
29
14.5%
17
8.5%
9
4.5%
4
2.0%
4
2.0%
1
0.5%
0
0.0%
200

35.5556990638
40.3002722054
42.0354409875
36.7566876755
37.9885072079
47.5006333417
33.6330061865
44.1612104001
33.8861397838
45.590610456
38.7134594966
43.6147722409
50.0920835132
36.6307973037
35.2566903399
41.6664439482
36.5804459499
49.118992844
36.7314402674
40.399043857
43.0147576193
36.9032768898
36.0041372202
42.7932459068
40.7442945862
34.4117227443
45.9368657009
38.6683022654
41.0225320695
40.8775301415
37.1914999745
47.5952623524
34.5197983657
41.3293392234
34.9138150559
32.4070768304
40.3422485426
44.4679410458
50.3367732963
41.0273252185
45.9621673067
46.3636289303
36.3912415169
39.1105666913
35.8741808158
44.5292796495
39.3974659566
39.5766280952
40.5790908654
42.8344177825

42.2134322698
41.1848525704
41.1799355251
34.7054096384
46.0085496901
32.2116403325
42.7370137512
40.3756150605
45.169174257
40.8200729095
41.1260309919
36.7778621561
37.4819564131
31.3521413455
43.8992071881
38.2389423073
43.485250098
35.3055009628
43.023835431
39.9441636576
37.779485036
36.2659271998
45.927494979
44.1258662422
33.5080869173
31.3184620072
33.5171722464
37.6781829196
40.9694839062
34.3205384083
35.6967289891
37.0072553317
37.7604660634
45.1389921588
42.4493864901
42.8993284655
36.244358272
47.9541095036
43.3058593225
38.4910116279
39.136491727
43.2012512021
40.0837672197
33.3174865185
38.5489281876
44.4891341873
41.479550653
36.096417895
31.1884593664
49.5460389596

46.439258903
37.7847284537
37.4475316549
41.2094522314
39.0536604054
40.5580311205
40.7415097415
39.3084024408
30.4981133665
35.0998040963
38.569876636
33.9635979314
38.0925711005
44.9031818162
38.1064118445
35.8407901446
50.444441516
45.4530973146
40.4050527501
34.9529372647
37.7915303183
37.9210524983
43.2271149444
38.5251086399
44.155667497
43.2517714013
49.9664429046
42.168898439
43.5595929877
39.4828880043
42.5952920535
32.188646592
42.2298213924
39.5324138405
37.0272449907
47.7278937923
41.5200708446
44.5527889211
38.9023044865
41.0871471587
39.4462188339
38.6653450611
43.8149737116
40.5143905402
43.3227239525
48.3318504978
45.8115935335
37.5122936836
39.6588693067
38.6621764874

40.3287182181
34.3068669361
42.7555901783

ay not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Harry's Auto Tire

Simulacin

Datos
Nmeros
aleatorios

Categora
0 Categora 1
5 Categora 2
15 Categora 3
35 Categora 4
65 Categora 5

Valor esperado

Valor

85 Categora6
Total
Ensayos de la Simulacin
Pruebas
Num. Aleatorios Valor
1 77.3420415586
2 24.1319586057
3
2.9146083863
4 85.5930966791
5 50.1009735046
6 52.5892642327
7 28.8375408389
8 55.8238450205
9 67.8710101871
10 20.6150172977
11 54.9642608035
12 36.2330085132
13 28.8951875642
14 13.9982203254
15 56.3498942647
16
5.2490338683
17 53.6207194673
18 28.5611371044
19 48.9147158805
20 41.9438521843
21 64.5054129418
22
7.8003878938
23 76.1779319961
24 24.5161347324
25
57.24174676
26 29.6503145946
27 94.4184402004

Frequencia
0
10
1
20
2
40
3
60
4
40
5

4
2
0
5
3
3
2
3
4
2
3
3
2
1
3
1
3
2
3
3
3
1
4
2
3
2
5

30
200

Probabilidad
Probabilidad Acumulativa
0.05
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.35
0.3
0.65
0.2
0.85
0.15

1
Esperado

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73

23.2038607122
67.0407327591
54.3423673138
34.0998475673
84.0071459534
53.6769590341
92.5777181285
79.761215602
41.2666788558
17.264951719
5.5185448378
15.9916645847
94.2658249522
96.8204006087
66.6288404725
99.1765163373
9.3948103487
4.2175927665
72.5643119775
67.5245662685
51.3633828377
68.1064879987
26.0207669344
73.1069580186
12.5004953938
22.419529804
32.4305865448
13.086040155
24.607943953
94.8930406012
9.6458560089
94.8338554474
57.2826460004
25.9744455339
88.4745377814
78.7788975751
15.6506230123
5.8047144208
26.9796922337
97.0840151887
28.7853748538
5.4432337638
66.5979084326
2.0021795062
74.1610198282
68.3693959611

2
4
3
2
4
3
5
4
3
2
1
2
5
5
4
5
1
0
4
4
3
4
2
4
1
2
2
1
2
5
1
5
3
2
5
4
2
1
2
5
2
1
4
0
4
4

74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119

36.4948912757
90.4462488834
45.322813536
42.2130369814
51.2619663496
27.7624963783
63.7197072618
18.4785476653
16.5777225047
40.2431580238
97.0221959753
48.7254426815
52.3299402324
12.280638027
30.2347305231
60.2845737012
43.6177675379
78.3799848752
51.593996305
14.9190393742
25.2150886925
25.7625547238
94.6600274881
91.7867954122
82.8955886886
25.7220293162
6.6378206015
55.3712391993
17.8574051242
48.4578235541
64.4323234679
29.8527669162
64.6215988789
51.4765664702
71.3359097485
2.6328492677
40.5571334064
10.810861201
8.267752477
67.488921457
55.3728696425
12.1371751884
90.8510362031
70.2614543261
42.5255664857
25.5278307246

3
5
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
3
5
3
3
1
2
3
3
4
3
1
2
2
5
5
4
2
1
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
4
0
3
1
1
4
3
1
5
4
3
2

120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165

72.3899576347
85.4563351488
59.7377620637
73.6784641864
64.0298478073
63.5062131332
69.2759870319
15.0074958568
56.0504778987
34.4211109914
2.3168245796
15.994406864
16.0137124127
29.1331741493
94.5012461394
53.9513181662
76.1423566611
22.2697642632
75.3252619877
57.3780210689
31.7652852042
98.4764344292
35.2450274397
28.2073076814
32.9091604101
5.0299012335
83.3833537763
91.9312209124
3.2650303328
99.0694331937
5.9891516576
48.0868377956
54.1417422472
78.5147084156
86.5735463565
23.9296889864
87.4474581331
70.1508912956
93.679171917
71.7821697472
24.8963178834
74.7493598377
94.3430393701
39.8839033674
25.6275295513
63.3548865793

4
5
3
4
3
3
4
2
3
2
0
2
2
2
5
3
4
2
4
3
2
5
3
2
2
1
4
5
0
5
1
3
3
4
5
2
5
4
5
4
2
4
5
3
2
3

166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199

85.5907329591
50.2451695036
39.11352742
29.2608168675
4.1042866651
99.0019934485
61.8195776129
80.3323905915
80.8491934557
18.7262856169
14.4688327564
3.5024145618
40.2117566671
27.7466922533
12.6050158404
75.3907115432
6.9576641545
30.2892502863
79.6953449724
77.3894149577
46.9938693102
96.6368889203
32.4255996849
55.3703775164
99.5525663253
65.7947613392
75.6359953433
93.5613138601
95.4673710046
78.0358163873
3.8945825072
88.5056596715
18.8889802434
71.2955966126

5
3
3
2
0
5
3
4
4
2
1
0
3
2
1
4
1
2
4
4
3
5
2
3
5
4
4
5
5
4
0
5
2
4

200

56.5611822065

Resultados de la simulacin
Valor *
Frequencia
0
20
80
180
160

Ocurrencias de la
Ocurrencias*
Simulacin
Porcentaje Valor
0
9
0.045
0
1
21
0.105
21
2
47
0.235
94
3
53
0.265
159
4
39
0.195
156

150

Valor

Totals

31
200

0.155
1
Average

155
585
2.925

Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings

Day

Previously Random
delayed
number
Arrivals
1
0 0.5663578
2
0 0.184354
3
0 0.7600885
4
3 0.8330157
5
4 0.7328529
6
5 0.4055855
7
6 0.6129298
8
4 0.748203
9
4 0.7239822
10
5 0.2922658

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be

Total to be Random Possibly

unoaded Number
unloaded Unloaded
3
3 0.8465745
4
3
1
1 0.0104298
1
1
4
4 0.0159585
1
1
4
7 0.3725479
3
3
4
8 0.2453926
3
3
2
7 0.0091665
1
1
3
9 0.9029687
5
5
4
8 0.7836567
4
4
4
8 0.3892426
3
3
1
6 0.6004162
3
3

Barge Arrivals
Demand Probability Lower
CumulativeDemand
0
0.13
0
0.13
1
0.17
0.13
0.3
2
0.15
0.3
0.45
3
0.25
0.45
0.7
4
0.2
0.7
0.9
5
0.1
0.9
1

0
1
2
3
4
5

Unloading rates
Number
Probability Lower
1
0.05
0
2
0.15
0.05
3
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.7
5
0.1
0.9

umbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

CumulativeUnloading
0.05
1
0.2
2
0.7
3
0.9
4
1
5

Three Hills Power Company

Breakdown
number
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Random
number
0.2942
0.7723
0.5301
0.8771
0.7834
0.2516
0.3685
0.5402
0.3149
0.4253

Demand
Time Table
between
breakdown
s
Probability
0.5
0.05
1.0
0.06
1.5
0.16
2.0
0.33
2.5
0.21
3.0
0.19

Time
Time
between
Time of
repairperson is
breakdowns breakdowns
free
2
2
2
2.5
4.5
4.5
2
6.5
6.5
3
9.5
9.5
2.5
12
12
1.5
13.5
13.5
2
15.5
15.5
2
17.5
17.5
2
19.5
19.5
2
21.5
22.5

Random
Number
0.7913
0.0675
0.5819
0.1021
0.0555
0.2979
0.7562
0.2528
0.8901
0.6402

Repair
time
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
2

Repair
ends
4
5.5
8.5
10.5
13
15.5
17.5
18.5
22.5
24.5

Repair times

Lower
0
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81

Cumulative
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81
1

Demand
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3

Time
1
2
3

Probability
0.28
0.52
0.20

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are

Lower CumulativeLead time

0.00
0.28
1
0.28
0.80
2
0.80
1.00
3

ok, but the formulas are the same.

Three Grocery Example

Time

State Probabilities
American Food StFood Mart
Atlas Foods
#1
#2
#3
Matrix of Transition Probabilities
0
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.8
0.1
0.1
1
0.41
0.31
0.28
0.1
0.7
0.2
2
0.415
0.314
0.271
0.2
0.2
0.6
3
0.4176
0.3155
0.2669
4
0.41901
0.31599
0.265
5
0.419807
0.316094
0.264099
6
0.4202748
0.3160663
0.2636589

Accounts Receivable Example

P=

I:0
A:B

I-B=

1
0
0.6
0.4

0
1
0
0.1

0.8
-0.3

-0.2
0.8

F = (I - B) inverse

1.3793103 0.3448276
0.5172414 1.3793103

FA =

0.9655172 0.0344828
0.862069 0.137931

0
0
0.2
0.3

0
0
0.2
0.2

Box Filling Example

Quality Controlx Enter
barthe
chart
population standard deviation
Number of
Sample siz

1
36

Population
standard
deviation

Data

Enter the population standard deviation

then
then enter
enter the
the data
data from
from each
each sample.
sample.
Finally,
Finally,you
you may
may change
change the
the number
number of
of
standard
standard deviations.
deviations.

Results
Mean

Sample 1

16

Average

16

x-bar va
16
z value
3
Sigma x 0.3333
Upper co
Center l
Lower co

17
16
15

Super Cola Example

Quality Controlx bar chart
Number of
Sample si

1
5

Enter
Enter the
the mean
mean and
and range
range from
from
each
each sample.
sample.

Data

Results

Mean
Range
Sample 1
16.01
0.25
Average
16.01
0.25

Xbar
Range
x-bar valu
16.01
R bar

Upper con16.1543 0.52875

Center li
16.01
0.25
Lower con15.8658
0

Table

Sample
size, n

0.25

Mean
Upper
Lower
Factor, A2 Range, D4 Range, D3
2
1.88
3.268
0
3
1.023
2.574
0
4
0.729
2.282
0
5
0.577
2.115
0
6
0.483
2.004
0
7
0.419
1.924
0.076
8
0.373
1.864
0.136
9
0.337
1.816
0.184
10
0.308
1.777
0.223
11
0.285
1.744
0.256
12
0.266
1.716
0.284
13
0.249
1.692
0.308
14
0.235
1.671
0.329
15
0.223
1.652
0.348
16
0.212
1.636
0.364
17
0.203
1.621
0.379
18
0.194
1.608
0.392
19
0.187
1.596
0.404
20
0.18
1.586
0.414
21
0.173
1.575
0.425
22
0.167
1.566
0.434
23
0.162
1.557
0.443
24
0.157
1.548
0.452
25
0.153
1.541
0.459

ARCO
Quality Control p chart
Number o
Sample si

20
100

Enter
Enter the
the sample
sample size
size then
then enter
enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects in
in each
each sample.
sample.

Data
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample

Results
Total Sam
Total Def
Percentag
Std dev o
z value

# Defects
1
6
2
5
3
0
4
1
5
4
6
2
7
5
8
3
9
3
1
2
1
6
1
1
1
8
1
7
1
5
1
4
1
11
1
3
1
0
2
4

Graph information
Sample 1
0.06
Sample 2
0.05
Sample 3
0
Sample 4
0.01
Sample 5
0.04
Sample 6
0.02
Sample 7
0.05
Sample 8
0.03
Sample 9
0.03
Sample 1
0.02
Sample 1
0.06

% Defects
0.06
0.05
0
0.01
0.04
0.02
Upper Co
0.05
Center L
0.03
Lower Co
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.01
0.08
0.07
0.05
0.04
0.11 Above UCL
0.03
0
0.04

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04

0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879

2000
80
0.04
###
3
###
0.04
0

p-chart

Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2

0.01
0.08
0.07
0.05
0.04
0.11
0.03
0
0.04

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04

0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879

Red Top Cab Company

c-chart

Quality Controlc chart

Number of

Enter
Enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects for
for each
each of
of the
the
samples/items.
samples/items.

Data

Results
Total un
9
Total Def
54
Defect rate,
6
Standard 2.4495
z value
3

# Defects
Sample 1

Sample 2

Sample 3

Sample 4

Sample 5

Sample 6

Sample 7

Sample 8

Sample 9

Graph information
Sample 1
Sample 2
Sample 3
Sample 4
Sample 5
Sample 6
Sample 7
Sample 8
Sample 9

3
0
8
9
6
7
4
9
8

Upper C13.348
Center
6
Lower C
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6

13.348469
13.348469
13.348469
13.348469
13.348469
13.348469
13.348469
13.348469
13.348469

c-chart

AHP

n=

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

0.33333

Sys.3

0.11111 0.16667

Column Total 1.44444 4.16667

16

Hardware

Software

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Wt. sum vector Consistency vector

Sys.1

0.6923

0.7200

0.5625

0.6583

2.0423

3.1025 Lambd

Sys.2

0.2308

0.2400

0.3750

0.2819

0.8602

3.0512 CI

Sys.3

0.0769

0.0400

0.0625

0.0598

0.1799

3.0086 CR

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

0.5

0.125

Sys.1

0.0909

0.0769

0.0943

0.0874

Wt. sum vector

0.2623

3.0014 Lambd

Sys.2

0.2

Sys.2

0.1818

0.1538

0.1509

0.1622

0.4871

3.0028 CI

Sys.3

0.7273

0.7692

0.7547

0.7504

2.2605

3.0124 CR

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.3

Column Total

11

6.5

1.325

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.1

0.4615

0.4286

0.6000

0.4967

1.5330

3.0863 Lambd

Sys.2

Sys.2

0.4615

0.4286

0.3000

0.3967

1.2132

3.0582 CI

0.16667 0.33333

Sys.3

0.0769

0.1429

0.1000

0.1066

0.3216

3.0172 CR

Column Total 2.16667 2.33333

10

Vendor

Sys.3

Factor

Hard.

Soft.

Vendor

Wt. sum vector

Hardware

Software

Vendor

Priority

Hardware

0.0833

0.0857

0.0769

0.0820

0.2460

3.0004 Lambd

Software

0.6667

0.6857

0.6923

0.6816

2.0468

3.0031 CI

Vendor

0.2500

0.2286

0.2308

0.2364

0.7096

3.0011 CR

Hardware

Software

Vendor

Priority

Sys.1

0.658

0.087

0.497

0.231

Sys.2

0.282

0.162

0.397

0.227

Sys.3

0.060

0.750

0.107

0.542

Hardware

0.125 0.33333

Software

Vendor

0.33333

Column Total

12

1.45833 4.33333

RI

0.00

0.58

0.90

1.12

1.24

1.32

1.41

Wt. sum vector

onsistency vector
3.0541
0.0270
0.0466

3.005543075
0.0028
0.0048

3.0539
0.0269
0.0464

3.0015
0.0008
0.0013

Matrix Multiplication

A=

1
1

2
2

3
0

B=

AxB =

2
1
3

1
1
2

13
4

9
3

-0.5
1

Matrix Inverse
A=

2
4

1
3

A-inverse=

1.5
-2

4
2

det(A)=

-10

Matrix Determinant
A=

3
4