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September 2015
Iowa Questionnaire
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Iowa?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
September 2015
40
54
6
100
September 2015
40
52
7
100
July 2015
43
50
7
100
July 2015
43
49
8
100
February 2015
43
50
7
100
February 2015
43
49
8
100
September 2015
29
22
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
<1
<1
<1
<1
July 2015
17
8
12
1
February 2015
NA
6
16
NA
7
15
2
6
NA
17
9
NA
5
NA
4
NA
1
14
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=390, MOE +/5.0%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=342, MOE +/5.3%; February 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=320, MOE +/5.5%
If the 2016 Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Scott Walker
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Bobby Jindal
Mike Huckabee
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Rick Santorum
George Pataki
Rick Perry
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Undecided
Total
8
100
5
19
4
4
1
7
2
2
<1
<1
3
<1
1
14
100
100
September 2015
21
12
11
9
6
6
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
0
8
100
September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/5.3%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320, MOE +/5.5%
If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Undecided
Total
September 2015
48
37
4
2
1
8
100
July 2015
55
26
4
2
1
September 2015
38
27
20
4
2
1
8
100
July 2015
49
25
10
3
1
<1
11
100
13
100
September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/5.3%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320, MOE +/5.5%; February 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=321, MOE +/5.5%
If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and if Vice President
Joe Biden enters the race):
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Undecided
Total
February 2015
68
7
12
<1
1
NA
12
100
September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/5.3%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320,
MOE +/- 5.5%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents:
n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of
Hillary Clinton?
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015
67
27
6
100
September 2015
32
61
7
100
September 2015
33
60
8
100
July 2015
74
20
6
100
July 2015
37
56
7
100
July 2015
37
56
7
100
September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/5.3%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129,
MOE +/- 2.9%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe
Biden?
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015
74
17
10
100
September 2015
42
44
14
100
September 2015
41
42
17
100
September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/5.3%; Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%, Residents: n=1129,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320,
MOE +/- 5.5%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents:
n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of
Bernie Sanders?
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=390, MOE +/5.0%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=342,
MOE +/- 5.3%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%;
Residents:n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Jeb
Bush?
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=390, MOE +/5.0%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=342,
MOE +/- 5.3%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%;
Residents:n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of
Scott Walker?
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015
July 2015
65
14
21
100
September 2015
36
29
35
100
September 2015
34
28
38
100
54
15
31
100
July 2015
30
27
44
100
July 2015
28
26
46
100
September 2015
July 2015
49
37
14
100
September 2015
36
48
16
100
September 2015
51
33
16
100
July 2015
34
46
20
100
July 2015
34
46
19
100
32
46
22
100
September 2015
52
17
31
100
September 2015
29
31
39
100
September 2015
July 2015
56
10
33
100
July 2015
30
31
39
100
July 2015
28
30
42
100
29
29
42
100
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=390, MOE +/5.0%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=342,
MOE +/- 5.3%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%;
Residents:n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of
Donald Trump?
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015
July 2015
58
33
9
100
September 2015
36
55
9
100
September 2015
45
44
11
100
July 2015
32
60
8
100
July 2015
31
36
55
9
100
60
9
100
September 2015
39
50
11
100
September 2015
43
48
9
100
September 2015
44
46
10
100
September 2015
49
45
7
100
February 2015
48
40
12
100
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=390, MOE +/5.0%; Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/- 5.3%;
Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; July 2015: Potential
Republican Electorate: n=342, MOE +/- 5.3%; Potential Democratic
Electorate: n=320, MOE +/- 5.5%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/3.2%
Are you are more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for
president who supports:
ISSUES
Common Core education standards
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
September 2015
36
41
17
6
100
September 2015
53
19
22
6
100
September 2015
46
28
19
6
100
July 2015
42
46
4
8
100
July 2015
65
18
8
9
100
July 2015
56
29
8
7
100
September 2015
30
53
12
5
100
September 2015
57
22
16
5
100
September 2015
41
40
15
4
100
July 2015
31
56
7
5
100
July 2015
62
26
8
4
100
July 2015
44
44
7
5
100
September 2015
45
36
12
7
100
September 2015
20
59
17
5
100
September 2015
34
44
16
6
100
September 2015
July 2015
53
39
8
100
September 2015
50
45
5
100
July 2015
54
37
9
100
50
44
6
100
September 2015
July 2015
48
52
100
September 2015
49
51
100
July 2015
49
51
100
49
51
100
February 2015
65
29
6
100
February 2015
64
28
8
100
February 2015
48
52
100
February 2015
49
51
100