Forum Research

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President

lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
NDP on track for majority government

Conservatives tumble to third place
TORONTO August 25th, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the
Forum Poll among 1440 Canadian voters, fully 4-in-10 will now vote NDP in the
coming election (40%), ten points ahead of the second place Liberals, with 3-in-10
votes (30%). The incumbent Conservative Party is favoured by fewer than a quarter
(23%). This stands in stark contrast to last week, when the NDP had a five point lead
over the second place Conservatives and Liberals (34% to 29% and 28%,
respectively). It is clear the sharp improvement in the NDPs fortunes has come out
of the Conservative vote, as well as the Green and Bloc Quebecois vote (3% each
now, 4% each last week).
NDP leads in Quebec, Ontario, Prairies, BC

In seat-rich Ontario where elections are won and lost, the NDP are now in the lead
(36%), followed by the Liberals (33%), while the Conservatives trail (26%). In
Quebec, the NDP is completely dominant (54%), while the Liberals (19%), Bloc (14%)
and Conservatives (11%) have little traction. In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals
dominate their customary fief again (47%) with the NDP second (27%) and the
Conservatives third (21%). In the prairies, the NDP now lead (41%), ahead of the
Liberals and Conservatives, who are tied (28% each). In Alberta, the Conservatives
lead (42%), but the NDP is in a strong second place (32%) and even the Liberals are
showing life (22%). The NDP lead in BC (39%), followed by the Liberals (32%) and,
distantly, by the Conservatives (21%).
NDP vote is youngest, Liberal vote oldest, Conservative gender gap
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
HIGHLIGHTS:
Fully 4-in-10 will now vote
NDP in the coming election
(40%), ten points ahead of
the second place Liberals,
with 3-in-10 votes (30%).
In seat-rich Ontario where
elections are won and lost,
the NDP are now in the lead
(36%).
NDP voters are younger
(Under 35 - 49%, 35 to 44 46%), Liberal voters are older
(65+ - 33%), Conservative
voters are mid-aged (45 to 54
- 32%).
Four-in-ten voters who
supported the Conservatives
in 2011 will not be voting for
the party this time, with
either one fifth voting NDP
(19%) or Liberal (19%).
NDP voters are younger (Under 35 - 49%, 35 to 44 - 46%), Liberal voters are older
(65+ - 33%), Conservative voters are mid-aged (45 to 54 - 32%) and more likely to be
male (25%) than female (21%). The Conservative vote is more likely to be wealthy
($80K to $100K - 27%, $100K to $250K - 26%). The Conservative vote skews to the
least educated (high school or less - 29%), while the NDP vote skews to the best
educated (post grad - 45%).
4-in-10 past Conservatives not voting for their party

Four-in-ten voters who supported the Conservatives in 2011 will not be voting for
the party this time, with either one fifth voting NDP (19%) or Liberal (19%). Close to
3-in-10 past Liberals will vote NDP this time (28%). About one fifth of 2011 New
Democrats will vote Liberal in 2015 (17%). Very few Liberals (6%) or, especially, New
Democrats (3%) will vote Conservative in this round.
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Conservatives are most committed voters

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Three quarters of those who will vote Conservative are strong supporters (73%),
whereas just more than one half of Liberal voters (57%) and New Democrats (56%)
are. This is apparent because the Conservative voter base has shrunk to its absolute
floor of the most committed supporters.
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
NDP headed for historic rookie majority
HIGHLIGHTS:
If these results are projected to a 338 seat House of Commons, the NDP would form Three quarters of those who
an historic first-ever majority government with 174 seats, 4 more than required. The
will vote Conservative are
Conservatives would form the Opposition with 87 seats, and the Liberals would
strong supporters (73%).
remain the third party, with 76 seats. The Green Party would retain their leaders
If these results are projected
single seat, and the Bloc Quebecois would not seat any members.
to a 338 seat House of
Commons, the NDP would
NDP now clearly expected to win the election
form an historic first-ever
More than a third believe the election is the NDPs to win (36%), compared to just a
majority government with
quarter who think this of the Conservatives (25%). Fewer than a fifth believe the
174 seats.
Liberals can win (17%). This is in contrast to last week, when the margin in favour of More than a third believe the
the NDP was modest. This is a lagging measure, in that it tends to follow levels of
election is the NDPs to win
voter intention by about two weeks.
(36%), compared to just a
quarter who think this of the
Mulcair now seen as best PM by most
Conservatives (25%).
One third of voters think Tom Mulcair would make the best Prime Minister (32%),
One third of voters think Tom
while fewer than a quarter think this of Justin Trudeau or Stephen Harper (22%
Mulcair would make the best
each). Few think Elizabeth May (8%) or Gilles Duceppe (3%) could do the job, while
Prime Minister (32%), while
about a tenth think none is up to it (8%).
fewer than a quarter think
this of Justin Trudeau or
Mulcairs approval up, Harpers favourables down
Stephen Harper (22% each).
Tom Mulcair has the approval of more than half the voters (54%) and this is an
Tom Mulcair has the
increase since last week (50%). His net favourable score (approve minus disapprove)
approval of more than half
is a sparkling +27, similar to +26 last week. Justin Trudeaus approval is stable at
the voters (54%) and this is
more than 4-in-10 (44%) and his favourable score is +6 (46% and +9 last week).
an increase since last week
Stephen Harper has seen his approval decline even further (from 28% to 26%) and
(50%).
his favourable score has tumbled too (from -37 to a truly abysmal -41, the lowest we
have recorded).

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One half think country is headed in wrong direction

As many as one half of Canadian voters see the country moving in the wrong
direction (50%), and this is especially common to the youngest (57%), males (57%),
the wealthiest (56%), among New Democrats (67%), but not Conservatives (12%) or
past Conservative voters (25%) and among the best educated (59%). This feeling is
least common regionally in Alberta (42%).
One quarter voting strategically

One quarter of voters will vote for a party they believe can defeat the government
(27%), rather than the party they believe in (61%). One tenth will vote for another
reason (9%). Strategic voting for a party that can defeat the government is most
common, not surprisingly, to the surging NDP (40%), rather than the Liberals (27%).
Among 2011 voters, one fifth of the Conservatives (19%), 3-in-10 Liberals (29%) and
one third the past New Democrats will vote strategically this time (33%).
3-in-10 will vote for different party in 2015 than they did in 2011
Three-in-ten voters are supporting a different party this time around (31%), and this
is especially the case among those now voting Liberal and NDP (38%) each. Just a
tenth of those now voting Conservative came from a different party (11%). In total,
just one half of voters will vote the same party in both elections (49%).
One fifth will vote for change

One fifth of voters will vote for a change in government as their prime motivator
(18%), while most say they will vote for the party with the best policies (41%). One
sixth say they vote for a leader (15%) and about a tenth say they vote for the best
local candidate (11%). Less than a tenth will vote for the same party they have
always voted for. New Democrats are especially likely to vote for change (24%),
Conservatives are especially likely to vote for their customary party (13%).
Conservatives are the most likely to say they vote for the best policies (53%) while
the Liberals are less likely to do so (35%).

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TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
HIGHLIGHTS:
As many as one half of
Canadian voters see the
country moving in the wrong
direction (50%).
One quarter of voters will
vote for a party they believe
can defeat the government
(27%), rather than the party
they believe in (61%).
Three-in-ten voters are
supporting a different party
this time around (31%), and
this is especially the case
among those now voting
Liberal and NDP (38%) each.
One fifth of voters will vote
for a change in government
as their prime motivator
(18%), while most say they
will vote for the party with
the best policies (41%).

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This is a historic day for the NDP, when the poll puts them in reach, not only of
their first national government, but of a majority. The Conservative Partys support
has dwindled to a previously unimaginable basement level, and the Liberal, almost
by reaction, are coming back from their brush with electoral death. Unfortunately
for them, with the new seat allocation, their newfound popularity will not vault
them out of third party position. What we are seeing here are the cumulative results
of the Duffy trial and its corrosive effect on the Conservative brand, Moreover, all
the progressives in Canada are gathering under the New Democrat banner. The scale
of volatility, of voter movement, we are seeing in this campaign, is truly epic," said
Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
HIGHLIGHTS:
This is a historic day for the
NDP, when the poll puts
them in reach, not only of
their first national
government, but of a
majority. The Conservative
Partys support has dwindled
to a previously unimaginable
basement level, and the
Liberal, almost by reaction,
are coming back from their
brush with electoral death.
Unfortunately for them, with
the new seat allocation, the
Liberals newfound
popularity will not vault them
out of third party position.
What we are seeing here are
the cumulative results of the
Duffy trial and its corrosive
effect on the Conservative
brand," said Forum Research
President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Methodology
The Forum Poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an
interactive voice response telephone survey of 1440 randomly selected
Canadians 18 years of age or older. The poll was conducted from August 23rd to
24th, 2015.

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TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of
20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such
as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp
Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted by age, region, and
other variables to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according
to the latest Census data.
This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather,
captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a
public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. Forum houses
its poll results in the Data Library of the Department of Political Science at the
University of Toronto.
With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum
Research is one of the countrys leading survey research firms. This Forum
Polland other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive
at www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp

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Federal Party Preference Trending

[Decided/Leaning]
Sample
Cons
Lib
NDP
Green
Bloc
Other
August 23-24th, 2015

August 2nd, 2015
July 29th, 2015
July 21st, 2015
July 14th, 2015
July 8th, 2015
June 29th, 2015
June 23rd, 2015
June 16th, 2015
June 5th, 2015
May 14th, 2015
April 23rd, 2015
April 16th, 2015
March 31st, 2015
March 14th, 2015
February 11th, 2015
January 27-28th, 2015
January 5-6th, 2015
Dec. 10-11th, 2014
Nov. 19-20th, 2014
Oct. 5-8th, 2014
Sept. 5th, 2014
July 18th, 2014
June 16-17th, 2014
May 22nd, 2014
Apr 29th, 2014
Mar 25-28th, 2014
Feb. 18-19th, 2014
Jan. 23-24th, 2014
Jan. 17th, 2014
Dec. 12-13th, 2013
Nov. 12-13th, 2013
Oct. 23rd, 2013
Oct. 21-22nd, 2013
Sept 16-17th, 2013
August 24th, 2013
1440
1473
1392
1399
1397
1208
1251
1200
1221
1268
1281
1156
1286
977
1365
1239
1370
1018
1309
1650
1560
1442
1504
1267
1798
1624
1683
1694
1572
1764
1824
1228
1779
1634
1834
1007
1859
1527
1145
23
29
28
28
33
28
27
32
27
28
26
31
31
35
33
31
32
32
35
33
33
33
34
34
32
28
31
30
30
29
29
28
28
32
29
28
30
31
29
30
28
27
25
25
29
27
26
29
28
28
32
31
31
35
34
36
39
34
37
41
36
38
40
41
44
39
36
39
39
39
38
37
38
38
40
39
36
38
40
34
34
39
33
34
34
32
32
36
34
28
30
23
22
23
21
17
20
20
17
18
19
18
17
18
19
23
20
22
21
24
25
21
22
20
19
21
22
3
4
4
3
4
4
5
3
4
2
5
5
4
6
6
5
6
5
6
5
5
8
4
3
5
3
5
5
4
3
4
4
4
3
4
5
5
4
4
3
4
6
5
4
5
7
5
6
5
7
3
3
5
3
5
4
4
5
4
3
4
4
4
5
5
4
6
6
5
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
7
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
TORONTO
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Seat Distribution Projection Trending
%
August 2nd, 2015
July 29th, 2015
July 21st, 2015
July 14th, 2015
July 8th, 2015
June 29th, 2015
June 23rd, 2015
June 16th, 2015
June 5th, 2015
May 14th, 2015
April 23rd, 2015
April 16th, 2015
March 31st, 2015
March 14th, 2015
February 10th, 2015
January 27-28th, 2015
January 5-6th, 2015
Dec. 10-11th, 2014
Nov. 19-20th, 2014
Oct. 5-8th, 2014
Sept. 5th, 2014
July 18th, 2014
June 16-17th, 2014
May 22nd, 2014
Apr 29th, 2014
Mar 25-28th, 2014
Feb. 18-19th, 2014
Jan. 23-24th, 2014
Jan. 17th, 2013
Dec. 12-13th, 2013
Nov. 12-13th, 2013
Oct. 23rd, 2013
Oct. 21-22nd, 2013
Sept 16-17th, 2013
August 24th, 2013
July 23rd, 2013
June 19th. 2013
Cons
Lib
NDP
Green
87
76
174
123
79
133
120
89
125
118
58
160
156
58
122
121
78
134
107
79
132
155
59
120
104
106
119
116
65
149
112
86
120
151
101
83
131
95
111
146
101
77
142
137
58
129
125
65
130
138
65
112
194
30
145
125
61
137
126
70
Switch from 308 to 338 seat distribution
109
164
34
125
124
52
132
130
44
113
162
30
110
142
51
84
192
30
109
142
53
111
110
75
100
158
39
99
159
40
100
134
51
104
132
65
111
130
61
110
147
48
108
134
53
104
146
47
106
147
33
121
102
45
107
127
63
129
120
44
113
150
39
Bloc
Other
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
1
4
19
2
8
3
18
1
0
12
0
17
4
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
1
2
4
1
3
11
10
9
22
6
5
2
12
10
21
39
10
14
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015

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Expected Federal Election Party Winner
%
August 2nd, 2015
July 29th, 2015
July 21st, 2015
July 14th, 2015
July 8th, 2015
June 29th, 2015
June 23rd, 2015
June 16th, 2015
June 5th, 2015
May 14th, 2015
April 16th, 2015
Sample
Cons
Lib
NDP
Green
Bloc
Other
1440
1473
1392
1399
1397
1208
1251
1200
1221
1268
1281
1156
1286
1365
25
28
30
31
34
30
27
30
30
29
30
31
32
36
17
22
22
18
18
24
24
24
27
25
26
31
30
37
36
32
30
31
29
29
28
28
26
27
25
18
20
10
2
2
3
2
3
2
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
1
1
-
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015

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Federal Vote Preference
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
A federal election has been called for October 19. Which party are you most
likely to vote for in this election?+Even though you may not have made up
your mind, which party are you leaning towards at this time?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic
Green
Bloc Quebecois
Other
1382
23
30
40
3
3
1
245
17
26
49
3
4
1
184
21
27
46
3
3
1
210
32
30
31
4
3
1
328
27
29
35
4
3
1
415
22
33
39
3
3
1
751
25
29
39
3
3
1
631
21
30
41
3
4
1
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic
Green
Bloc Quebecois
Other
1382
23
30
40
3
3
1
168
21
47
27
4
0
0
298
11
19
54
1
14
0
346
26
33
36
3
0
1
164
28
28
41
2
0
1
173
42
22
32
2
0
2
233
21
32
39
7
0
1
1102
27
33
36
4
0
1
280
11
17
55
1
15
0
Past Federal Vote
%
Sample
Conservative
Liberal
New
Democratic
Green
Bloc
Quebecois
Other
Total
Conservative
Liberal
1382
23
30
450
58
19
273
6
64
New
Democratic
340
3
17
64
8
29
Bloc
Quebecois
68
9
3
Other
Parties
42
18
31
40
19
28
76
32
39
32
28
11
46
Green

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Strong Supporter
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Are you a strong supporter of that party?

[Has chosen party]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Yes
No
1374
61
39
242
60
40
183
56
44
209
59
41
327
61
39
413
68
32
748
57
43
626
64
36
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Yes
No
1374
61
39
168
56
44
296
52
48
343
63
37
164
61
39
171
67
33
232
68
32
1096
64
36
278
49
51
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Yes
No
1374
61
39
309
73
27
379
57
43
10
New
Democratic
494
56
44
Green
80
50
50
Bloc
Quebecois
46
72
28
Other
Parties
66
59
41

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Stephen Harper Approval
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Stephen Harper is doing as Prime

Minister?
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
1440
26
68
6
259
18
75
7
188
27
69
4
221
36
57
7
340
29
67
4
432
24
69
7
780
28
67
5
660
25
68
7
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
1440
26
68
6
175
20
76
4
304
18
76
6
361
29
65
6
173
27
67
6
181
43
51
6
246
25
68
7
1154
29
65
6
286
18
75
7
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
1440
26
68
309
86
10
379
12
83
New
Democratic
494
5
91
11
80
12
82
Bloc
Quebecois
46
2
90
Other
Parties
74
51
29
20
Green

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Tom Mulcair Approval
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tom Mulcair is doing as Leader of

the Opposition?
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
1440
54
26
20
259
54
24
22
188
57
23
20
221
49
33
18
340
56
26
18
432
54
25
21
780
54
29
17
660
53
24
23
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
1440
54
26
20
175
52
29
19
304
66
22
12
361
51
23
25
173
55
27
17
181
34
46
21
246
53
26
21
1154
49
28
23
286
68
21
11
Region
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
1440
54
26
309
24
53
379
48
25
New
Democratic
494
83
7
20
23
27
10
12
80
51
25
Bloc
Quebecois
46
46
44
Other
Parties
74
21
56
24
10
23
Green

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Justin Trudeau Approval
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Justin Trudeau is doing as leader of

the Liberal Party?
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
1440
44
38
18
259
50
33
18
188
43
37
20
221
40
44
16
340
40
43
18
432
41
38
21
780
44
40
15
660
43
36
21
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
1440
44
38
18
175
45
35
20
304
40
42
18
361
46
37
18
173
43
36
20
181
33
52
14
246
52
27
21
1154
46
36
18
286
37
44
19
Region
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
1440
44
38
309
14
71
379
80
7
New
Democratic
494
45
36
18
15
13
19
13
80
37
42
Bloc
Quebecois
46
24
64
Other
Parties
74
10
64
21
12
25
Green

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
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forumresearch.com
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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Next Federal Election Winner
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Which party do you expect to win the federal election?

[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic
Green
Bloc Quebecois
Another Party
Don't know
1440
25
17
36
2
2
1
17
259
20
17
41
4
2
1
14
188
27
19
37
1
2
1
13
221
31
17
27
2
2
1
20
340
25
14
33
0
3
2
22
432
25
17
37
1
2
1
17
780
29
15
37
2
2
1
15
660
22
19
34
3
3
1
19
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic
Green
Bloc Quebecois
Another Party
Don't know
1440
25
17
36
2
2
1
17
175
19
28
26
4
0
2
22
304
16
12
53
2
5
2
11
361
28
19
31
1
2
1
19
173
29
16
35
2
2
1
14
181
39
11
27
4
1
3
15
246
22
21
30
4
1
0
21
1154
28
19
30
3
1
1
19
286
15
11
56
1
5
2
10
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Conservative
Liberal
New
Democratic
Green
Bloc
Quebecois
Another Party
Don't know
1440
25
17
309
73
2
379
12
52
New
Democratic
494
9
5
36
15
2
1
17
14
80
9
15
Bloc
Quebecois
46
6
10
Other
Parties
74
58
1
74
19
50
10
20
23
1
16
0
20
0
9
3
30
3
8
8
14
Green

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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Best Prime Minister

Regardless of which party you plan to vote for, who do you think would
make the best Prime Minister?
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Stephen Harper
Justin Trudeau
Tom Mulcair
Elizabeth May
Gilles Duceppe
None of these
Dont know
1440
22
22
32
8
3
8
5
259
15
21
38
9
3
10
4
188
20
23
31
8
7
6
5
221
29
21
24
9
3
8
6
340
25
20
32
7
1
9
6
432
24
22
36
5
3
5
5
780
25
21
33
7
3
8
3
660
19
22
32
9
4
7
7
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Stephen Harper
Justin Trudeau
Tom Mulcair
Elizabeth May
Gilles Duceppe
None of these
Dont know
1440
22
22
32
8
3
8
5
175
19
37
23
7
1
7
6
304
11
16
49
3
9
8
4
361
27
20
28
11
1
8
5
173
25
18
35
7
3
5
6
181
38
20
20
4
1
13
4
246
16
29
29
11
4
4
6
1154
25
24
27
9
2
8
5
286
12
13
50
3
10
8
5
15

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Stephen
Harper
Justin
Trudeau
Tom Mulcair
Elizabeth
May
Gilles
Duceppe
None of
these
Dont know
1440
309
379
New
Democratic
494
22
81
22
32
16
80
Bloc
Quebecois
46
Other
Parties
74
53
60
15
12
15
70
28
38
40
18
24
Green
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015

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Canadas Direction
Do you agree or disagree marijuana should be legal in Canada?
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
Total
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male
Female
Sample
Right direction
Wrong direction
Neither right nor wrong direction
Don't know
1440
26
50
17
6
259
21
57
16
5
188
23
52
18
7
221
32
46
16
6
340
28
46
20
6
432
30
44
19
6
780
26
57
13
4
660
27
44
22
8
Region
%
Sample
Right direction
Wrong direction
Neither right nor wrong
direction
Don't know
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
1440
26
50
175
24
52
304
26
52
361
26
51
173
30
46
181
36
42
246
21
51
1154
27
50
286
26
51
17
15
15
19
18
14
21
18
16
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Right direction
Wrong direction
Neither right
nor wrong
direction
Don't know
1440
26
50
309
65
12
379
20
58
New
Democratic
494
12
67
17
19
15
17
80
13
59
Bloc
Quebecois
46
14
73
Other
Parties
74
42
35
17
22
10
17
Green

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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Vote Motivation
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
In the coming federal election, will you be voting for a party you believe in
or voting for the party that you think can defeat the government?
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
1440
61
1834
259
63
3544
188
60
4554
221
62
5564
340
59
27
25
26
26
9
3
10
2
10
3
9
3
Total
Sample
Voting for a party you believe in
Voting for a party you think can
defeat the government
Something else
Don't know
65+
Male
Female
432
59
780
58
660
63
30
32
31
25
8
3
5
4
8
3
9
3
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Voting for a party you
believe in
Voting for a party you think
can defeat the government
Something else
Don't know
1440
175
304
361
173
181
246
1154
286
61
67
61
59
59
64
61
62
59
27
20
30
28
30
21
28
27
31
9
3
11
2
6
3
10
2
10
2
10
4
5
5
9
3
6
4
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Voting for a party
you believe in
Voting for a party
you think can
defeat the
government
Something else
Don't know
1440
309
379
New
Democratic
494
61
79
65
27
10
9
3
8
3
18
80
Bloc
Quebecois
46
Other
Parties
74
53
46
60
66
27
40
36
23
10
7
1
6
0
11
7
17
0
17
7
Green

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Different Party Vote
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Do you agree or disagree marijuana should be legal in Canada?

[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
1440
31
1834
259
28
3544
188
29
4554
221
36
5564
340
35
49
43
53
47
15
4
0
17
11
1
16
2
0
16
0
0
Total
Sample
Plan to vote for a different party
Do not plan to vote for a different
party
Dont know
Didnt vote in 2011
Dont plan to vote in 2015
65+
Male
Female
432
30
780
34
660
29
51
56
47
51
12
2
0
13
0
0
14
4
0
16
3
1
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Plan to vote for a different
party
Do not plan to vote for a
different party
Dont know
Didnt vote in 2011
Dont plan to vote in 2015
1440
175
304
361
173
181
246
1154
286
31
32
34
31
33
23
31
30
35
49
47
49
48
49
57
50
50
48
15
4
0
16
5
0
14
2
0
16
4
1
13
5
0
17
3
0
14
4
1
15
4
1
15
2
0
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Plan to vote for
a different party
Do not plan to
vote for a
different party
Dont know
Didnt vote in
2011
Dont plan to
vote in 2015
1440
309
379
New
Democratic
494
31
11
38
49
74
15
19
80
Bloc
Quebecois
46
Other
Parties
74
38
44
23
18
41
47
31
49
55
12
15
10
25
21
27
Green

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Vote Description
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015
Which of the following best describes how you vote in a federal election?
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
1440
1834
259
3544
188
4554
221
5564
340
11
15
15
18
11
41
18
5
3
Total
Sample
Vote for the party you have always
voted for
Vote for the best party leader
Vote for the best candidate in your
riding
Vote for the party with the best
policies
Vote for change
Something else
Dont know
65+
Male
Female
432
780
660
12
14
12
14
14
15
10
13
16
10
12
46
37
42
44
34
46
37
16
7
3
19
4
2
18
5
2
17
5
2
19
2
3
15
6
1
20
4
4
Region
Total
Atl
Que
ON
Man/Sask
AB
BC
English
French
Sample
Vote for the party you have
always voted for
Vote for the best party
leader
Vote for the best candidate
in your riding
Vote for the party with the
best policies
Vote for change
Something else
Dont know
1440
175
304
361
173
181
246
1154
286
15
15
16
15
11
11
14
14
18
11
16
10
10
13
16
12
10
41
41
38
42
44
48
38
42
37
18
5
3
13
5
1
20
5
2
19
4
2
15
5
3
17
6
2
15
6
5
17
5
3
20
6
2
20

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Total
Conservative
Liberal
Sample
Vote for the party
you have always
voted for
Vote for the best
party leader
Vote for the best
candidate in your
riding
Vote for the party
with the best
policies
Vote for change
Something else
Dont know
1440
309
379
New
Democratic
494
80
Bloc
Quebecois
46
Other
Parties
74
13
17
15
19
17
13
19
11
13
11
11
20
12
41
53
35
42
34
31
37
18
5
3
3
2
1
18
4
4
24
4
1
31
11
0
18
11
0
6
19
3
For more information:

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D.
President
Forum Research Inc.
Tel: (416) 960-9603
Fax: (416) 960-9602
E-mail: lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
21
Green
TORONTO
August 25th, 2015

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