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BioStatistics Assignment Illustrations and Solutions
Question-1:
A manufacture has developed a new type of BPA free water bottles and proposes to sell
them with an unconditional 6-year guaranty. To see whether this is economically feasible,
an SRS of 20 prototype bottles are subjected to an accelerated life test to simulate 6 years
of use. 14 bottles survive the accelerated test. The proposed warranty will be modified only
if the sample data strongly suggests that fewer than 90% of such bottles would survive the
6-year period. Let p denote the proportion of all bottles that survive the accelerated test.
Test H0: p = 0.9 versus Ha: p < 0.9 at
= 0.01 using the p-value method. Make sure that
you conduct the appropriate test.

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Solution:
Given information:
Sample size, n = 20 bottles
No. of bottles survive the accelerated test, x = 14 bottles
Sample proportion, p = x/n = 14/20 = 0.70
Hypotheses:
Null hypothesis, H0: p = 0.90
Alternative hypothesis, Ha: p < 0.90

(left-tailed test)

Level of significance, = 0.01

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Test to be applied: Single Proportion Test

Test statistic: Z =

Z=

p p
p(1 p) / n

0.70 0.90
= 2.981
0.90 * (1 0.90) / 20

P-value = P[Z < 2.98] = 0.0014 < 0.01

Conclusion: Since the p-value of the test statistic is less than 0.01, we reject the null
hypothesis at 1% level of significance. Hence, the evidence is sufficient to conclude that the
proportion of all bottles that survive the accelerated test is less than 0.90. This suggests
that the proposed warranty would be modified.

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