SpencerReformulated BkLow 2003 Sharm

Spencer_forSARA2003
A
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
-10.00 -5.00 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00

10.00
Embankment
xn
5.00
0.00
Ei
ybot
-5.00
slope angle
10
hc
11
12
13
27
1.73
10
Pw Mw
15
61.518
yc
0.2
4.91
7.95
W rad
R
13.40
-5.89
xn
17.467
'
x0
( x ix 0 )
( x n x 0)
'
Lx
### #VALUE! 0.012
###
12.12
###
### #VALUE! 0.025
###
11.24
###
### #VALUE! 0.038
###
10.30
1.37
###
### #VALUE! 0.050
###
9.32
1.25
###
### #VALUE! 0.062
###
8.34
###
1.17
###
### #VALUE! 0.072
###
7.36
0.496
###
1.12
###
### #VALUE! 0.082
###
6.38
###
0.415
###
1.07
###
### #VALUE! 0.090
###
5.40
###
0.336
###
1.04
###
### #VALUE! 0.096
###
4.42
###
0.259
###
1.02
###
### #VALUE! 0.101
###
3.43
###
###
0.184
###
1.00
###
### #VALUE! 0.103
###
2.45
###
###
###
0.110
###
0.99
###
### #VALUE! 0.105
###
1.47
###
###
###
###
0.037
###
0.98
###
### #VALUE! 0.104
###
0.49
###
###
###
### -0.037
###
0.98
###
### #VALUE! 0.101
###
-0.49
-5.31
###
###
###
###
-0.110
###
0.99
###
### #VALUE! 0.097
###
-1.47
-5.13
###
###
###
### -0.184
###
1.00
###
### #VALUE! 0.091
###
-2.45
0.98
-4.87
###
###
###
### -0.259
###
1.02
###
### #VALUE! 0.083
###
-3.43
18
0.00
-4.53
###
###
###
### -0.336
###
1.04
###
### #VALUE! 0.074
###
-4.42
19
-0.98
-4.10
###
###
###
### -0.415
###
1.07
###
### #VALUE! 0.064
###
-5.40
20
-1.96
-3.56
###
###
###
### -0.496
###
1.12
###
### #VALUE! 0.053
###
-6.38
21
-2.94
-2.92
###
###
###
### -0.582
###
1.17
###
### #VALUE! 0.040
###
-7.36
22
-3.93
-2.14
###
###
###
### -0.673
###
1.25
###
### #VALUE! 0.027
###
-8.34
23
-4.91
-1.18
###
###
###
### -0.770
###
1.37
###
### #VALUE! 0.014
###
-9.32
24
-5.89
0.00
###
###
###
### -0.879
###
1.54
###
### #VALUE! 0.000
###
-10.30
16
17.47
3.27
###
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
16.58
1.37
###
###
###
30
###
1.136
###
2.10
###
15.70
0.00
###
###
###
30
###
0.997
###
1.63
14.72
-1.18
###
###
###
###
0.879
###
1.54
13.74
-2.14
###
###
###
###
0.770
###
12.76
-2.92
###
###
###
###
0.673
###
11.78
-3.56
###
###
###
###
0.582
10.79
-4.10
###
###
###
###
9.81
-4.53
###
###
###
8.83
-4.87
###
###
###
10
7.85
-5.13
###
###
###
11
6.87
-5.31
###
###
12
5.89
-5.42
###
13
4.91
-5.46
14
3.93
-5.42
15
2.94
16
1.96
17
50
xmin xmax
Undrained shear strength profile of soft clay

depth
(m)
0
1.5
3
5
7
10
cu
40
28
20
20
26
37 (kPa)
clay
16
(kN/m )
3
0
0
2
Depth
46
47
48
49
###
Varying side-force angle
Pi
45
Varying
Array formulas
15
44
Forces
framed
framed cells contain equations
ybot ytop ave
1.287
= sin
14
43
1.287
Center of Rotation
Units: m, kN/m3, kN/m2, kN,

or other consistent set of units.
P
Q
DumEq
#VALUE!
Ti
xc
ru
0.105
Ei-1
-10.00
i-1Ei-1
Wi
iEi
Soft clay
SPENCER method
x0
ytop
4
6
8
10
15
0.000
cu (kPa)
25
50
Embankment
cm m
10
30
(kPa)
( o)
Depth
Spencer_forSARA2003
4
6
8
A
51
10
Spencer_forSARA2003
R
1
2
3
Varying
4
1
5
6
7
8
10
11 x0
12
( x ix
0)
'
= sin
13
( x n x 0 )
14
15
Ly
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
5.63
7.26
8.54
9.61
10.47
11.19
11.78
12.26
12.64
12.95
13.17
13.31
13.39
13.39
13.31
13.17
12.95
12.64
12.26
11.78
11.19
10.47
9.61
8.54
43
Embankment
m
44
45
20
46 (kN/m3)
47
48
49
50
Spencer_forSARA2003
R
51
from Spencer_forSARA2003
SPENCER: Search for

noncircular slip surface
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
-15.00
-5.00
5.00
15.00
x0
Embankment
10
x
n
yt
y5t
0
initial
-5
iEi
yb
critical
slope angle
hc
27
1.73
10
Pw Mw
15
62.321
ru
xc
yc
0.2
8.00
8.00
xn
=' sin
###
30
###
1.250
###
1.97
###
###
###
###
30
###
1.153
###
1.53
###
###
###
###
###
###
1.031
###
2.85
###
###
###
###
###
0.887
###
2.32
###
-5.66
###
###
###
###
0.766
###
2.03
8.26
-6.79
###
###
###
###
0.658
###
6.80
-7.70
###
###
###
###
0.559
###
5.33
-8.44
###
###
###
###
0.465
3.86
-9.02
###
###
###
###
10
2.40
-9.45
###
###
###
###
15.37
3.27
###
14.75
1.40
###
###
14.12
0.00
###
12.66
-2.45
11.19
-4.25
9.73
6
7
Varying
###
Pi
W rad
yt ave
1.000
framed
framed cells
cells contain
contain equations
equations
yb
1.000
###
Ti
Center of Rotation

0.000
DumEq
Array formulas
Ei
Soft clay
-10
Forces M
i-1Ei-1
Ei-1
Wi
x0
( x ix 0 )
( x n x 0 )
Lever arms
'
Lx
Ly
### 0.000
###
7.06
5.67
### 0.000
###
6.44
7.30
###
### 0.000
###
5.39
9.22
###
### 0.000
###
3.93
11.35
###
###
### 0.000
###
2.46
12.95
1.85
###
###
### 0.000
###
0.99
14.22
1.73
###
###
### 0.000
###
-0.47
15.25
###
1.64
###
###
### 0.000
###
-1.94
16.07
0.376
###
1.58
###
###
### 0.000
###
-3.40
16.73
0.289
###
1.53
###
###
### 0.000
###
-4.87
17.24
l P
15.00 0.000
11
0.93
-9.76
###
###
###
###
0.205
###
1.50
###
###
### 0.000
###
-6.34
17.61
12
-0.53
-9.94
###
###
###
###
0.123
###
1.48
###
###
### 0.000
###
-7.80
17.85
13
-2.00 -10.00
###
###
###
###
0.041
###
1.47
###
###
### 0.000
###
-9.27
17.97
14
-3.47
-9.94
###
###
###
### -0.041
###
1.47
###
###
### 0.000
###
-10.73
17.97
15
-4.93
-9.76
###
###
###
### -0.123
###
1.48
###
###
### 0.000
###
-12.20
17.85
16
-6.40
-9.45
###
###
###
### -0.205
###
1.50
###
###
### 0.000
###
-13.66
17.61
17
-7.86
-9.02
###
###
###
### -0.289
###
1.53
###
###
### 0.000
###
-15.13
17.24
18
-9.33
-8.44
###
###
###
### -0.376
###
1.58
###
###
### 0.000
###
-16.60
16.73
19
-10.80
-7.70
###
###
###
### -0.465
###
1.64
###
###
### 0.000
###
-18.06
16.07
20
-12.26
-6.79
###
###
###
### -0.559
###
1.73
###
###
### 0.000
###
-19.53
15.25
21
-13.73
-5.66
###
###
###
### -0.658
###
1.85
###
###
### 0.000
###
-20.99
14.22
22
-15.19
-4.25
###
###
###
### -0.766
###
2.03
###
###
### 0.000
###
-22.46
12.95
23
-16.66
-2.45
###
###
###
### -0.887
###
2.32
###
###
### 0.000
###
-23.93
11.35
24
-18.12
0.00
###
###
###
### -1.031
###
2.85
###
###
### 0.000
###
-25.39
9.22

depth
0
1.5
3
5
7
10 (m)
cu
40
28
20
20
26
37 (kPa)
cu (kPa)
0
0
2
depth
clay
16
(kN/m )
3
4
6
8
10
25
50
Embankment
cm m m
10
30
20
(kPa) (o) (kN/m3)
depth
2
4
6
8
10
Ka
0.33
hc
1.73205
Read the Low (2003) paper "Practical Probabilistic Slope Stability

Analysis", downloadable from http://alum.mit.edu/www/bklow.
For hands-on:
(1) Click the button "InitialCircle"
(2) Invoke Solver (Menu bar: Tools/Solver); click Solve. Then click OK to
accept the solution found. May run Solver one more time.
xmin xmax
-18.12
15.37
-2.944
17.028
xc
yc
-15.180
-1.661
-2
18.00
xi
ybi
yti
EquilCheck
15.37
3.27
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
14.75
1.40
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
14.12
0.00
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
12.66
-2.45
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
11.19
-4.25
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
9.73
-5.66
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
8.26
-6.79
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
6.80
-7.70
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
5.33
-8.44
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
3.86
-9.02
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
2.40
-9.45
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
0.93
-9.76
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-0.53
-9.94
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-2.00
-10.00
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-3.47
-9.94
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-4.93
-9.76
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-6.40
-9.45
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-7.86
-9.02
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-9.33
-8.44
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-10.80
-7.70
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-12.26
-6.79
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-13.73
-5.66
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-15.19
-4.25
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-16.66
-2.45
#VALUE!
### #VALUE!
-18.12
0.00
#VALUE!
-10
-5
10.00
xn
10
15
Embankment
5.00
x0
SPENCER: Search for

noncircular slip surface
25
yt
yt
0.00
20
initial
iEi
yb
-5.00
Soft clay
27
slope angle
l Ti
hc
Pw Mw
ru
xc
yc
1.78
10
15.869 66.455
0.2
8.00
8.00
yb
yt ave
W rad
1.000
Forces M
###
1.000
Varying
###
Pi
xn
'
= sin
framed
framed cells
cells contain
contain equations
equations
0.098
DumEq
Center of Rotation

Array formulas
Ei
critical
-10.00
i-1Ei-1
Ei-1
Wi
( x ix 0 )
( x n x 0 )
Lever arms
'
Lx
Ly
### 0.015
###
8.71
5.56
### 0.029
###
7.68
7.17
###
### 0.041
###
6.72
8.43
###
### 0.052
###
5.83
9.27
###
###
### 0.062
###
4.94
10.06
10.77
l P
x0
17.22
3.22
###
16.19
1.66
###
###
### 30.949
###
0.990
###
1.87
###
###
15.17
0.00
###
###
### 30.949
###
1.016
###
1.95
###
###
14.28
-0.86
###
###
###
###
0.769
###
1.24
###
13.38
-1.69
###
###
###
###
0.744
###
1.21
###
12.49
-2.43
###
###
###
###
0.697
###
1.16
15.87 0.000
11.60
-3.11
###
###
###
###
0.648
###
1.12
###
###
### 0.071
###
4.04
10.71
-3.72
###
###
###
###
0.600
###
1.08
###
###
### 0.079
###
3.15
11.41
9.81
-4.30
###
###
###
###
0.578
###
1.07
###
###
### 0.086
###
2.26
12.01
8.92
-4.79
###
###
###
###
0.505
###
1.02
###
###
### 0.091
###
1.37
12.55
10
8.03
-5.14
###
###
###
###
0.370
###
0.96
###
###
### 0.095
###
0.47
12.97
11
7.14
-5.37
###
###
###
###
0.256
###
0.92
###
###
### 0.097
###
-0.42
13.26
12
6.24
-5.53
###
###
###
###
0.174
###
0.91
###
###
### 0.098
###
-1.31
13.45
13
5.35
-5.62
###
###
###
###
0.097
###
0.90
###
###
### 0.097
###
-2.20
13.57
14
4.46
-5.63
###
###
###
###
0.016
###
0.89
###
###
### 0.094
###
-3.10
13.63
15
3.57
-5.57
###
###
###
### -0.069
###
0.89
###
###
### 0.090
###
-3.99
13.60
16
2.67
-5.43
###
###
###
### -0.162
###
0.90
###
###
### 0.084
###
-4.88
13.50
17
1.78
-5.18
###
###
###
### -0.268
###
0.93
###
###
### 0.077
###
-5.77
13.30
18
0.89
-4.78
###
###
###
### -0.424
###
0.98
###
###
### 0.069
###
-6.66
12.98
19
0.00
-4.17
###
###
###
### -0.600
###
1.08
###
###
### 0.059
###
-7.56
12.47
20
-0.90
-3.41
###
###
###
### -0.703
###
1.17
###
###
### 0.048
###
-8.45
11.79
21
-1.79
-2.59
###
###
###
### -0.744
###
1.21
###
###
### 0.037
###
-9.34
11.00
22
-2.68
-1.79
###
###
###
### -0.732
###
1.20
###
###
### 0.025
###
-10.23
10.19
23
-3.57
-0.91
###
###
###
### -0.777
###
1.25
###
###
### 0.013
###
-11.13
9.35
24
-4.47
0.00
###
###
###
### -0.796
###
1.28
###
###
### 0.000
###
-12.02
8.46

depth
0
1.5
3
5
7
10 (m)
cu 34.07 22.74 15.91 15.85 22.46 34.82 (kPa)
16
(kN/m3)
depth
clay
cu (kPa)
25
50
Embankment
cm m m
10.47 30.95 20.76
(kPa) (o) (kN/m3)
4
6
8
10
Ka
hc
0.32
1.78151
mean StDev
Read the Low (2003) paper "Practical

Probabilistic Slope Stability Analysis",
downloadable from
http://alum.mit.edu/www/bklow.
DistName
lognormal
lognormal
lognormal
For hands-on: Read the section in paper

related to Figure 6.
lognormal
lognormal
lognormal
lognormal
lognormal
lognormal
cm
m
m
cu1
cu2
cu3
cu4
cu5
cu6
vi
mi
mN
sN
10.472107
10
1.50
###
###
30.948505
30
3.00
###
###
20.757609
20
1.00
###
###
34.072981
40
6.00
###
###
22.735506
28
4.20
###
###
15.906807
20
3.00
###
###
15.852003
20
3.00
###
###
22.463107
26
3.90
###
###
34.81741
37
5.55
###
###
EqvN(, 1)
EquilCheck
Array formula: Ctrl+Shift, then Enter
### #VALUE!
=SQRT(MMULT(TRANSPOSE(vn),MMULT(MINVERSE(crmat),vn)))
### #VALUE!
### #VALUE!
### #VALUE!
### #VALUE!
### #VALUE!
EqvN(, 2)
DeterministicCritical Normals, reliability-based critical

x
yb
yt
x
yb
yt
### #VALUE!
18.07
3.27
5.00
17.2543
3.2144 5.0000
### #VALUE!
16.88
1.68
5.00
16.2395
1.6480 5.0000
### #VALUE!
15.70
0.00
5.00
15.2246
0.0000 5.0000
### #VALUE!
14.72
-0.95
5.00
14.3227
-0.8758 5.0000
### #VALUE!
13.74
-1.84
5.00
13.4208
-1.7092 5.0000
### #VALUE!
12.76
-2.63
5.00
12.5188
-2.4603 5.0000
### #VALUE!
11.78
-3.37
5.00
11.6169
-3.1408 5.0000
### #VALUE!
10.79
-4.01
5.00
10.7150
-3.7526 5.0000
### #VALUE!
9.81
-4.63
5.00
9.8131
-4.3359 5.0000
### #VALUE!
8.83
-5.15
4.50
8.9111
-4.8270 4.5404
### #VALUE!
7.85
-5.52
4.00
8.0092
-5.1699 4.0809
### #VALUE!
6.87
-5.78
3.50
7.1073
-5.3990 3.6213
### #VALUE!
5.89
-5.94
3.00
6.2054
-5.5524 3.1618
### #VALUE!
4.91
-6.02
2.50
5.3034
-5.6343 2.7022
### #VALUE!
3.93
-6.00
2.00
4.4015
-5.6452 2.2427
### #VALUE!
2.94
-5.88
1.50
3.4996
-5.5803 1.7831
### #VALUE!
1.96
-5.65
1.00
2.5976
-5.4312 1.3236
### #VALUE!
0.98
0.00
-0.98
-5.28
-4.73
-4.08
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.6957
0.7938
-0.1081
-5.1821 0.8640
-4.7721 0.4045
-4.1579 0.0000
-1.96
-3.39
0.00
-1.0101
-3.4079 0.0000
-2.94
-2.61
0.00
-1.9120
-2.5921 0.0000
-3.93
-1.81
0.00
-2.8139
-1.7930 0.0000
-4.91
-0.93
0.00
-3.7158
-0.9136 0.0000
-5.89
0.00
0.00
-4.6178
0.0000 0.0000
vn
Correlation matrix, "crmat"

m cu1 cu2 cu3 cu4 cu5
cm
#VALUE!
-0.3
0.5
#VALUE!
-0.3
0.5
#VALUE!
0.5
0.5
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
0.6065
#VALUE!
0.3679 0.6065
#VALUE!
0.1889 0.3114 0.5134
#VALUE!
0.097 0.1599 0.2636 0.5134
#VALUE!
0.0357 0.0588 0.097 0.1889 0.3679
(v-m )/s
N
0.6065 0.3679 0.1889 0.097 0.0357

1
EqvN(, 2)
Array formula: Ctrl+Shift, then Enter ###
ANSPOSE(vn),MMULT(MINVERSE(crmat),vn)))
0.6065 0.3114 0.1599 0.0588 1.5
1.5
0.5134 0.2636 0.097
0.5134 0.1889
1
7
3
5
0.3679
10
10
dv
Equation 9 autofilled
PrFail
###
cu6
=normsdist(-)
Probability of failure
LogNormals, reliability-based critical
6.0000
4.0000
2.0000
-10.0000
17.22 3.218
16.19 1.655
15.17
14.28 -0.86
13.38 -1.69
12.49 -2.43
11.6
-3.11
10.71 -3.72
9.813 -4.3
0.0000
8.921 -4.79 4.545
-5.0000
0.0000
5.0000
10.0000
8.028
-5.14 4.091
-2.0000
-4.0000
-6.0000
-8.0000
15.0000
7.136 -5.37 3.636

6.243 -5.53 3.181
deterministic critical
5.351 -5.62 2.726

4.458 -5.63 2.272
3.566 -5.57 1.817
2.674 -5.43 1.362
1.781 -5.18 0.908
0.889 -4.78 0.453
0
-4.17
-0.9
-3.41
-1.79 -2.59
-2.68 -1.79
-3.57 -0.91
-4.47
###
20.0000
Case1
12
Page 12
Case1
21
24
Page 13
Case1
1.940582171
Page 14
Case2
14
Page 15
Case2
19
24
Page 16
Case2
1.230582584
Page 17

SpencerReformulated BkLow 2003 Sharm

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SpencerReformulated BkLow 2003 Sharm

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Spencer_forSARA2003

-10.00 -5.00 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00

### #VALUE! 0.012

### #VALUE! 0.025

### #VALUE! 0.038

### #VALUE! 0.050

### #VALUE! 0.062

### #VALUE! 0.072

### #VALUE! 0.082

### #VALUE! 0.090

### #VALUE! 0.096

### #VALUE! 0.101

### #VALUE! 0.103

### #VALUE! 0.105

### #VALUE! 0.104

### #VALUE! 0.101

### #VALUE! 0.097

### #VALUE! 0.091

### #VALUE! 0.083

### #VALUE! 0.074

### #VALUE! 0.064

### #VALUE! 0.053

### #VALUE! 0.040

### #VALUE! 0.027

### #VALUE! 0.014

### #VALUE! 0.000

Undrained shear strength profile of soft clay

Varying side-force angle

ybot ytop ave

Units: m, kN/m3, kN/m2, kN,

Varying side-force angle

SPENCER: Search for

Varying side-force angle

Units: m, kN/m3, kN/m2, kN,

Undrained shear strength profile of soft clay

(kPa) (o) (kN/m3)

Read the Low (2003) paper "Practical Probabilistic Slope Stability

SPENCER: Search for

Varying side-force angle

Units: m, kN/m3, kN/m2, kN,

Undrained shear strength profile of soft clay

10.47 30.95 20.76

(kPa) (o) (kN/m3)

Read the Low (2003) paper "Practical

For hands-on: Read the section in paper

Array formula: Ctrl+Shift, then Enter

DeterministicCritical Normals, reliability-based critical

Correlation matrix, "crmat"

0.1889 0.3114 0.5134

0.097 0.1599 0.2636 0.5134

0.0357 0.0588 0.097 0.1889 0.3679

0.6065 0.3679 0.1889 0.097 0.0357

Array formula: Ctrl+Shift, then Enter ###

0.6065 0.3114 0.1599 0.0588 1.5

0.5134 0.2636 0.097

LogNormals, reliability-based critical

7.136 -5.37 3.636

5.351 -5.62 2.726

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