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mexico
spicing Up the North American Energy Revolution
head of the Toluca Summit - which marked the 20th anniversary of the North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and saw the reunion of US President
Barack Obama, Mexican President Enrique Pea Nieto and Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper - Petrleos Mexicanos (Pemex) CEO Emilio Lozoya asserted that,
North America will become the worlds cheapest source of energy if Canada, Mexico and
the US pool their resources to reduce costs and generate industrial growth across the
continent. He continued to say that the trio should work together on matters such as
regulation and infrastructure to make the most efficient use of the continents growing
energy production, currently reshaping global markets.
69
shale oil and gas has shifted the debate from one centered on energy
Guillermo
Garcia Alcocer,
director general
exploitation and
exploration of
hydrocarbons,
SENER
For many years, Mexico and Canada have been the United States
top oil suppliers. Pemex is the third largest oil exporter to the USA,
after Canada and Saudi Arabia, but ahead of Venezuela and Nigeria.
Canada and the US share the largest integrated energy market in the
world with energy trade between the two exceeding US $100 billion
in 2011.
Guillermo Pineda
M., energy leader,
PwC
ploration and exploitation of hydrocarbons at Mexicos Secretariat of Energy (SENER, Mexicos ener-
Over the past few years, a new energy dynamic has emerged be-
tween the United States and Mexico. Unable to match domestic con-
imported natural gas. Coinciding with the shale boom in the United
just 15 years (from 18,856 billion cubic feet (Bcf) to 22,916 Bcf), the
US is a key exporter of natural gas to its neighbors. Enabled by ex-
will actually become one of the major energy exporting hubs of the world.
dustrial use, demand growth for natural gas in Mexico is robust and
sector would make North America the largest provider of fuel in the
gas exports to Mexico will more than double in three years, from an
Mexico has the opportunity to be the party that extracts the larg-
until it starts tapping its own shale gas reserves. Until then, the US is
70
11.7
Oil production
(Million of barrels per day)
4.7
103
11
12
20
20
09
20
07
20
05
20
03
20
01
20
99
19
97
31
13
19
2.5
Sources: Average price of the Mexican Crude Export Mix, PMI Comercio Internacional
1997 2012. Production: Pemex Institutional Database, 1997 2012. Investment:
Pemex Annual Statistics, 1997-2012.
the Mexican energy industry, and former CFO at Pemex. The coun-
fied natural gas at rates nearly five times higher than the US pipelined
facturing base that accounts for 35 percent of its GDP, keeping energy
72
iven the broad implications of the reforms and the potential opportunities they are expected to generate for investors, two entrepreneurs and business leaders share their views on the importance of an industry-wide collective effort
for a successful reform, and the breadth of opportunities to be had.
ABOUT US
Constructora y Perforadora
LATINA (CP LATINA) is a
Mexican private drilling
company focused on the
energy sector, with more than
40 years of experience in the
exploration, development,
operation and maintenance
of oil, gas, and geothermal
projects in Mexico and
Central America.
73
74
or SEMARNAT) is to acquire a new directorate mandated with overseeing industrial safety and environmental protection across the energy sector. Finally,
the Finance Ministry (Secretara de Haciena y Crdito Pblico or SHCP) has
been charged with defining the fiscal terms applicable to the various energy
contract types and with designing the parameters of a brand new sovereign
wealth fund, modeled on the Norwegian system, to be financed exclusively
from oil revenues.
Independent regulators
Significantly, both the Hydrocarbon Regulator (Comisin Nacional de Hidrocarburos or CNH) and Energy Regulatory Commission (Comisin Reguladora
de Energia CRE) have been granted autonomy and had their functions
boosted. The CNH will oversee regulation of upstream activities, which will
entail the technical management of the bidding process and supervision of
compliance with production requirements laid out in the licenses. Meanwhile,
the CRE will regulate midstream and downstream activities by awarding and
monitoring permits for the storage, transport and sale of petrochemicals.
Operators unleashed
Pemex and the Federal Electricity Commission (Comisin Federal de
Electricidad or CFE) must transition from monopoly status to productive
enterprises. Neither has been privatized, so each will continue to be publically owned, but both will be exposed to competitive market forces and
obliged to create economic value in the same way as classic private sector actors. Two new entities the National Natural Gas Control Center
(CENAGAS) and National Electricity Control Center (CENACE) will own
and operate the national pipeline system and electricity grid, respectively.
6
The Ministry shall determine
the technical and contractual
guidelines of bidding rounds
while the Ministry of Finance
will establish fiscal terms, and
the CNH shall conduct the
bidding round to select the
contractor.
2
The Energy Ministry,
with technical assistance
from the National Hydrocarbons Commission
(CNH) shall review Pemexs
request and issue the
corresponding resolution.
(180 days)
5
Pemex may propose
to the Ministry of
Energy for its approval,
migration of allocated
entitlements
into new contracts.
3
Pemex will maintain
exploration entitlements
in those areas where it has
made commercial or discoveries exploration investments.
(3-5 year period)
4
Pemex will maintain
extradition entitlements
in producing fields.
75
Transformed into a competitive entity, the NOC will have the abil-
providing Pemex with the tools to tackle the issues it has with its ex-
Marco Bernal, chairman of the energy committee at the Mexican Chamber of Deputies, points
out that energy security is a high priority as it is
Marco Bernal,
chairman, Energy
Committee,
Mexican Chamber
of Deputies
Taking Pemexs experience and execution capacity into consideration, industry experts are in general agreement as to which areas the
state giant will propose to retain, and those which it will relinquish to
Vielma points out that Pemex is perhaps one of the most experi-
view is shared with Ernesto Iniesta, subsea systems commercial direcLuis Vielma
Lobo, CEO
CBM Ingenieria
Exploracion y
Produccion
tor for LatAm at FMC Technologies, a leading global provider of technology solutions for the energy industry. The drilling of [shallow water] wells is more efficient than years ago, and as a result, Pemex has
been able to improve the drilling time, utilizing more efficient pro-
phase also.
Norwegians came to Mexico to study Pemexs techniques and methods, declares Guillermo Garca.
will look to maintain its grasp on the shallow water areas that still hold
recovery factors that would permit the life extension of the reservoir.
Ernesto Iniesta,
subsea systems
commercial.
LatAm at FMC
Technologies
partners with CBM Exploration and Production Engineering, who together have advised Pemex and the local authorities on a variety of
notable technical and organizational matters, suggests that Pemex
ductive company over a two year time period. Luis Vielma, CEO at
stream regulator, the CNH, with a list of the areas it wants to keep as
part of the round zero. Although the NOC did not provide further
details about how much acreage it wanted to retain, it did say the list
define the projects it aims to retain in the future, and those it will
comprised areas where it was currently producing oil and gas, or had
doing so, he believes that Pemex is now being challenged, for the
first time, to carefully select those resources it can effectively and ef-
76
that are likely to constitute the portfolio of assets Mexico will offer
deepwater oil and gas projects which the firm lacks the resources
that will drive production growth in Mexico over the mid-term, since
output from new exploration and production will take about a de-
shale gas and shale oil and other complex wells that rely on cutting
cade or so to materialize.
onstrated over the past decade that Pemex has not been able to
and financial partnerships not only to tap into the unexplored re-
Jos R. Serrano
Lozano, president,
Colegio de
Ingenieros
Petroleros de
Mexico
the field resource potential while viewing their third party service
lishing the five field labs, Pemex was able to realize a highly signifi-
production.
Sergio Rivas,
president, Nordic
Chamber in Mexico
& Intsok Oil and
Gas Advisor
Managing transitions
For many, 2014 will be more about strategic anal-
Nicolas Borda,
partner, Greenberg
Traurig
slowed.
had more attractive projects to pursue. Had it not been for the vast
taking place in Mexico, new exploration activities are on hold for the
now, but the overall level of activity is comparatively less than be-
being reassigned from Pemex to the SENER and the CNH. We are
78
ships in the areas it choses, we dont have to wait until 2016 for the
private sector to come in and start work on Mexican fields. International companies will be keen to embrace the
John D. Lawrence,
CEO, DTK-Group
tions in 2013.
In light of the reforms, Latina worked diligently
After reviewing the main points of the energy reform, my opinion is that
there are a large number of big companies that are interested in investing in Mexico. Simultaneously however, many of them that already have
operations in our country and were anticipating the highly publicized
energy reforms which will open a range of new investment opportunities
for them. My observation is that all these players will face a tremendous
amount of challenges at the implementation of the new legislations and
procedures. That will be the time when they will turn their attention towards companies such as Grupo PAE that can lessen that burden.
Enrique Romo,
CFO, Constructora
y Perforadora
LATINA
In terms of the clients you Grupo PAE works with, what opportunities
have you identified for expanding your client base in Mexico?
With the major amendments in the tax laws ahead, we are focused on
finding and implementing a solution allowing our foreign clients that
wish to invest in Mexico to do so in an efficient and safe manner. We
intend to help them streamline the cost of doing business in Mexico by,
for instance, developing the most efficient tax structures which simultaneously minimize the risks they incur. In this regard, I would say that in
2014, we will see an increased level of activity in the market, although
the players will be more or less the same.
Present in Europe and the Americas, Mexico has, and will continue
Financing growth
company has experienced strong growth over the recent years, par-
new strong growth we have forecasted for the company will largely
also huge.
be operational before the end of April, 2014. We have also set out to
In light of the depth of the reforms and the complexity of the pro-
cesses involved, Guillermo Garca says it will likely take until late 2015
ready for that. The banking sector has thus far expressed a general
80
Although Mexican banks are rather liquid and robust in terms of their
capital ratios, they are also rather risk averse and reluctant to enter the
energy sector, explains Mena. As a result of the 1994/5 banking crisis in
Mexico, most of the sector was taken over by international banks and the
government did its part by issuing government securities to clean their
Manuel Rodriguez
Arregui, CEO, GBM
Infraestructura
balance sheets. Today, the balance sheets of the banking system are heavily
weighted with investment in securities, representing close to 30 percent of
the banks balance sheets. Instead of branching out into unfamiliar territo-
Reliable Formation
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Innovative and
Proven Technology
ries, local banks understandably chose to pursue their more traditional lines of business; providing mortgages, credit card loans, personal lines of credit, and so on. The local banking
sector has therefore never developed the expertise unique to the financing of energy projects, leading to a significant gap in the market.
As a result of the domestic financial industrys relative inexperience with the energy sector,
some Mexican companies were left with little choice but to look elsewhere for their financing
needs. In financing its recent offshore rig acquisitions, Latina for instance had to turn to Norwegian investors. Through its indirect subsidiary, the company successfully raised USD 175
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Conventional core analysis
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Micro imaging
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MATERIALS FOR
DRILLING FLUIDS
DTK Group
Av. Universidad No. 288
Col. El Recreo
86020 Villahermosa, Tabasco
www.dtk-group.com
info@dtk-group.com
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81
DTKFR_OGFJ_1405 1
4/23/14 5:24 PM
puts it, if the reforms are successful in their goals, the increased
local market.
At the same time, instead of just waiting for the
financial industry to catch up, Reynoso and Blue
Juan Reynoso
Durand, CEO,
Blue Marine
Technologies
nities unlocked by these are so great that not only will this have a
positive impact on our company and niche, but on all players active in
try. This creates strong synergies between our organization and inves-
tors, allowing us to raise the funds we need to acquire assets and al-
the constitutional level, domestic and foreign investors alike are now
eagerly anticipating the final hurdle that arguably lies between the
the general consensus agrees that the secondary laws will promote
trys energy sector, the first attempt to do so since the sectors nation-
Having played all its cards right so far, will Mexico finally break the
bach at Ainda Consultores, who was involved in the design of the bills
North American energy revolution? Only once the details of the sec-
key elements.
Despite Mexicos questionable history with reforms, industry leaders have expressed great optimism, and in some cases even disbelief,
answer these questions. Having missed the planned April 20 deadline, the ball is still in the legislators court.