ORIE 3120

Industrial Data and Systems Analysis

Spring 2015

Instructors
Prof. Peter L. Jackson
School of Operations Research and Information Engineering
218 Rhodes Hall
607-255-9122
pj16@cornell.edu
Office Hours T,Th 1:15-2:15 pm.
Prof. Peter Frazier
School of Operations Research and Information Engineering
232 Rhodes Hall
607- 254-5243
pf98@cornell.edu
http://people.orie.cornell.edu/pfrazier/

Class Schedule
Lectures in Hollister B14
T, Th. 11:40 am. 12:55 pm.
Recitations in Rhodes 471
W 2:30pm-4:25 pm
F 12:20pm-2:15pm
F 2:30pm-4:25 pm

Teaching Assistants
Patrick Steele, prs233@cornell.edu
Jian Wu, jw926@cornell.edu

Office Hours
Office hours will typically be held on Tuesday afternoons, but check Blackboard for
specific dates & times, as they may occasionally change.
Office hours for T.A.s will be held in Rhodes 431.

Course Description
Database and statistical techniques for data mining, graphical display, and predictive
analysis in the context of industrial systems (manufacturing and distribution). Database
techniques include structured query language (SQL), procedural event-based
programming (Visual Basic), and geographical information systems (GIS). Statistical
techniques include multiple linear regression, classification, logistic regression,
clustering, and time series forecasting. Industrial systems analysis includes factory
scheduling and simulation, materials planning, inventory planning, and lean
manufacturing.

Course Credits: 4
1

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Prerequisites: ENGRD 2700

If you have not already taken ENGRD 2700, it is okay to take this course concurrently
with ORIE 3120, as long as you are willing to catch up on material from 2700 that we
will use in 3120 if it appears before you see it in that class. Typically this is not a
problem, because the material from 2700 used in 3120 does not appear until later in the
semester.

Resources
A reading packet is available in the Campus Store.
Blackboard: The course website can be found at http://blackboard.cornell.edu/.
Look for ORIE 3120 Industrial Data & Sys. Analy. Jackson,P (11073_2015SP)
Administrative announcements, lecture notes, homework assignments and grades will be
posted on the course website. Please try to check the web page every other day.
Piazza is a way to post questions. Anyone can respond. A faculty member or T.A. will
attempt to respond within 24 hours. If you were registered for the class at the start of the
semester, you should already be enrolled, but if not, you can enroll
at https://piazza.com/cornell/spring2014/orie3120/home

Course Requirements

Weekly Homework and Lab Assignments 20%,

Attendance and participation 5%,
Exam-I 25%,
Exam-II 25%,
Final Examination 25%.

Letter grades will be calculated from your weighted average as follows:

If your weighted average
x falls in the range
97.50 x
92.50 x < 97.50
90.00 x < 92.50
87.50 x < 90.00
82.50 x < 87.50
80.00 x < 82.50
77.50 x < 80.00
72.50 x < 77.50
70.00 x < 72.50
67.50 x < 70.00
62.50 x < 67.50
60.00 x < 62.50
x < 60.00

Then your letter

grade will be
A+
A
AB+
B
BC+
C
CD+
D
DF
2

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We will use Blackboard to round to the nearest 100th of a percentage point before
calculating the letter grade according to the table above. So for example, if your weighted
average was a 92.48 on Blackboard, this falls in the range 90.00 x < 92.50, and so your
grade will be an A-.
End-of-Semester Grading Requests
After the final exam is over, we sometimes receive emailed requests from students asking
to do extra credit, or asking whether their weighted total can be rounded in a way that is
different from the grading scheme described above, or simply asking for a higher grade
without offering any justification.
In response to such requests, we write that no extra credit is offered, and that the grading
scheme described in the syllabus will be applied to all students.
These requests are generally counterproductive: they do not result in a higher grade; they
put the requestor in an unflattering light; and they consume time that the requestor and
instructors could better spend doing something else.
While we are glad to explain any aspect of the grading process that is unclear, we
appreciate if students double-check the syllabus and other freely available course
materials to see if their grading questions are already answered there before emailing.
Homework Submission
Homeworks are due on Wednesdays at 2:30pm in the course drop-box opposite Rhodes
206. Homeworks not received using this mechanism will be penalized at least 20%,
unless you have made special arrangements with your teaching assistant. (Late
homeworks severely disrupt the grading process.) Homeworks not received within one
week of the due date will not be graded.
Some homeworks require electronic submissions through the Blackboard course
management system. These also are due by 2:30pm on Wednesdays.
Homeworks must be labeled with your net id and section number to ensure prompt
recording of your grade and efficient return to you in recitation.
Medical reasons are accepted as excuses for late homework. Job interviews are not. We
will discard your lowest homework score from the semester to make allowance for nonmedical reasons for missing or incomplete homeworks.
Although some homeworks are more difficult than others, we will weight all homeworks
equally when dropping your lowest homework grade, and when computing your overall
homework score.
Credit for attendance and participation

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This includes participating in lecture, attending recitation (this will be recorded by your
T.A.), answering others questions on Piazza, and seeking help in office hours if you have
difficulty in the course. If you need to occasionally go to a recitation that is different
from the one you are enrolled in, this is ok, but make sure that the T.A. marks you as
having attended. 1 point of attendance/participation credit will also be given for filling
out the course evaluation form at the end of the semester.
Academic Integrity
We have experienced problems of academic integrity in this course in previous years. We
have and will continue to prosecute offenses. Unless clearly indicated to the contrary,
assignments must be individual work in this class. You may certainly discuss ideas
together but the graders are instructed to be on the lookout for identical or near-identical
submissions. In such cases where identical assignments are turned in, the grade will be
split between the students sharing the work. If one of the students involved is determined
to be a victim of the copying, academic integrity charges will be brought against the
offending student.
Similarly, rules for exam-taking will be strictly observed. One disturbing trend must be
stopped: students have left the exam room without first requesting permission and then
they have re-entered to resume the exam. They have assumed, incorrectly, that requests to
use the restrooms are unnecessary. Our policy will be that, with the exception of
medical emergencies, students will not be permitted to resume the exam if they have
not first been excused from the room. The exam proctor is authorized to deny requests
to visit the restrooms until the students absence can be monitored adequately. The
objective is to make the conditions under which students take exams to be as uniform as
possible. Fairness, in this case, is achieved by uniformity.
Exam Re-grade Policy
Requests for re-grades must be submitted within one week of a solution being posted.
Include a cover sheet explaining your request in detail. Unless it is an error of addition,
we have the option of re-grading the entire exam. A re-grade request, other than for
addition errors, therefore has the risk of reducing your grade as well as increasing it.
Exam Conflicts
Please do not schedule May travel until after the final exam schedule has been posted.
Do not ask to take the final exam early because of travel or summer job plans. In the case
of exam conflicts, please notify the instructor at least one week prior to the exam.

Recitations
Students can log into the lab computers in Rhodes 471 using their NET ID credentials
(theres no need for a separate ORIE account). If students experience an issue logging
onto these machines, they will need to reset their NET ID password, which can be done
here: https://netid.cornell.edu/NetIDManagement/

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Bibliography (Weeks 1-11)

1. Hoffman, James. 2001. Introduction to Structured Query Language. Version
4.66. http://www.highcroft.com/highcroft/sql_intro.pdf
2. Buede, Dennis M. 2000. The Engineering Design of Systems: Models and
Methods, New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons, pp. 66-74 (16 pages).
3. Hopp, W.J., and M.L. Spearman. 2001. Factory Physics. Second Edition.
McGraw-Hill. Pp. 49-53, 215-219, 252, 265-271.
4. Jackson, P.L., 2011.Fill-Rate-Driven Safety Stock. Class Notes.
5. Muckstadt, J.A., and A. Sapra. 2010. Principles of Inventory Management:
When You Are Down to Four, Order More. New York, NY: Springer. Pp.
262-266.
6. Black, JT , (2007) 'Design rules for implementing the Toyota Production
System', International Journal of Production Research, 45:16, 3639 - 3664
URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00207540701223469
7. McClain, J.O., L.J. Thomas, and J.B. Mazzola. 1992. Operations
Management: Production of Goods and Services. 3rd Edition. Prentice Hall:
Englewood Cliffs, NJ) Pp. 252-260, 291-299.
8. Venables, W.N., D. M. Smith, and the R Core Team, An Introduction to R,
Chapters 1-7, Version 3.0.2, 2013. http://cran.r-project.org/doc/manuals/Rintro.html
9. Ruppert, D., Statistical Computing Using R, ORIE 3120 Class Notes, 2011.
10. Frazier, P. Linear Regression Theory, ORIE 3120 Class Notes, 2013.

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Lecture & Recitation Schedule

Week Week of Lecture Series (3 credits)
Recitation Series ( 1 credit)
1
Jan. 19 Basic Improvement Cycle;
No Recitation
Relational Databases
2
Jan. 26 Database Joins, Functional
#1, Relational database queries
Modeling using IDEF0
3
Feb. 2 Inventory Concepts: Throughput,
#2, Advanced queries
Flow Time, Littles Law
4
Feb 9
Inventory Concepts: Decoupling,
#3, The Distribution Game
Safety Stock
5
Feb. 16 FEB. BREAK / Simulation
#4, Visual Basic Programming:
Programming
The Rocket Game
6
Feb. 23 Simulation Programming
#5, The PULL Game
7
Mar. 2 Geographical Information Systems #6, Geographical Information
/Lean Manufacturing
Systems
EXAM I: Tues. Mar. 3, 2015;
7:30-9:30 pm. Location: KMB
B11 and UPS B17
8
Mar. 9 Aggregate Production Planning
#7, Procedural Programming
with Databases in R
/Lean Manufacturing
9
Mar. 16 Material Requirements Planning
#8, UNION queries and MRP
(MRP) / Flow Shop Simulation
10
Mar. 23 Cyclic Scheduling / Multiple
#9, Bill of Materials, and
Linear Regression
Plotting Using R
Mar. 30 SPRING BREAK
#10, Multiple Linear Regression
11
Apr. 6 Multiple Linear Regression
EXAM II: Tues. Apr. 7, 2015;
7:30-9:30 pm Location: KMB B11
and UPS B17

12

Apr. 13

13

Apr. 20

14
15

Apr. 27
May. 4

Classification and Logistic

Regression
Quality Improvement and Design
of Experiments
Forecasting and Time Series
Clustering

#11, Classification and Logistic

Regression
#12, Quality Improvement and
Design of Experiments
#13, Forecasting Sales
No Recitation

EXAM III. Final Exam Period.

The date & time will be
announced by the registrar on Feb
14, and will be announced to the
class then. The registrar will also
post this information at:
http://registrar.sas.cornell.edu/Sch
ed/EXSP.html

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Recitation Modules for ORIE 3120

(1 credit hour)
1. Relational database queries. Basics of SQLite: tables and queries. Importing
data. Query builder. SQL for simple queries: SELECT, DELETE, INTO,
WHERE, ORDER BY. Exporting data.
2. Advanced relational database queries. JOIN and GROUP BY queries.
Statistical summaries of data. Pareto analysis. Problem focus: Pareto analysis
of problems for throughput improvement.
3. Roles of Inventory: The Distribution Game. Illustrate three of the four roles
of inventory discussed in lecture: pipeline stock, cycle stock, and safety stock.
Problem focus: monitor system wide inventory levels and make replenishment
and allocation decisions to maximize operating profit.
4. Visual Basic Programming. Using MS Excel and Visual Basic for
Applications (VBA). Basics of VBA: modules, declarations, functions, return
values, assignment statements, conditional statements. Transferring data
between Excel and VBA. Problem focus: Create a rocket landing game.
(Lecture) Event graphs for discrete event simulation modeling. Events,
conditional triggers, delays, states, state transitions, and randomized durations.
Using MS Excel to draw and simulate event graphs. Plotting queue length
processes. Statistics of queue length processes. Students have found this approach
to be a fun way to get into procedural programming. It also equips them with a
general-purpose simulation tool early in their career. Problem focus: Simulating
queues in front of a multi-product oven system.
5. Lean Manufacturing. The MFD PULL Game. The Toyota Production
System. Problem focus: Experience scheduling a multi-product press with
long changeover times. Experience scheduling the same press using a kanban
production control system.
6. Geographical information systems. Layers. Joining external databases to
geographical databases using zipcodes. Displaying and highlighting
geographical data queries. Use free GIS package (Quantum-GIS). Problem
focus: Understanding regional sales data.
7. Procedural database operations. Procedural programming with databases in
R. Loops for record processing. Problem focus: Aggregate planning from
sales forecast using procedural code.
8. Recursive computation. Bill of Material and Process Flow Computations.
From-to relationships. UNION queries. Level by level decomposition.
Problem focus: Compute demand rates of raw materials from aggregate
production plan.
9. Plotting Using R. Problem focus: Bills of material, plots of cumulative
demand and production.
10. Multiple linear regression and diagnostics applied to a variety of
engineering relationships. Problem focus: optimizing a product design
11. Classification and logistic regression. Problem focus: discovering how
design parameters affect the likelihood of a defective product
12. Quality Improvement and Design of Experiments including variance

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components, and design of experiments with a focus on their use in quality

improvement. Variance components analysis is the analysis of variance with
the focus on characterizing the sources of variance in a process. Problem
focus: quality improvement of soup package filling operation to minimize
variation
13. Time series and forecasting Problem focus: predicting sales data.

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