TALLER

Regresin exponencial
Estadstica - Viviana bustos
Jefferson acua Bonilla - 20112079073
29/04/2015
U. Distrital Francisco Jos de Caldas

Hacer regresin aplicando modelo exponencial, de los siguientes datos:

X
1
2
3
4
5
6

Y
10
40
100
300
800
500

1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0

MODELO EXPONENCIAL:
________________________________________________________________________________
= 0 1
= 0 1
= 0 + 1
= + 1
= 0 + 1
METODO DE MINIMOS CUADRADOS:
1 =

( ) ( )( )
2 ( )2
0 =

SOLUCION:
X

y=Ln Y

XY

X2

1
2
3
4
5
6

10
40
120
300
800
500

2.30258509
3.68887945
4.78749174
5.70378247
6.68461173
6.2146081

2.30258509
7.37775891
14.3624752
22.8151299
33.4230586
37.2876486

1
4
9
16
25
36

1 =

6(117.57)(21)(29.38)
6(91)(21)2

1 = 0.842

0 =

29.38

(0.842

21
)
6

0 = 1.950

0 = 0
0 = 0
0 = 7.03

= 7.03 0.842
X

1
2
3
4
5
6

16.315236
37.864428
87.87583
203.94238
473.30982
1098.4583

1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0

error

regrecion

total

1
2
3
4
5
6

10
40
120
300
800
500

16.315236
37.864428
87.87583
203.94238
473.30982
1098.4583

39.8822075
4.5606669
1031.96228
9227.06659
106726.47
358152.288

164.230277
1180.91393
7119.28075
40177.1472
220721.272
1198933.59

42.25
1332.25
13572.25
87912.25
634412.25
246512.25

CUADRO DE ANNOVA:
SC
REGRESION 1468296.43
ERROR
475182.23
TOTAL
983783.5

GL
1
4
5

CM
1468296.43
118795.557