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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy157

Chapter15
MonetaryPolicy
.1

Brief Chapter Summary and Chapter Objectives

15.1 TheGoalsofMonetaryPolicy(pages443446)
DescribetheGoalsofMonetaryPolicy.
TheFedhasmanygoalsformonetarypolicy,includingpricestability,highemployment,
economicgrowth,stabilityoffinancialmarketsandinstitutions,interestratestability,andforeign
exchangemarketstability.
15.2 MonetaryPolicyToolsandtheFederalFundsRate(pages446452)
UnderstandhowtheFedusesmonetarypolicytoolstoinfluencethefederalfundsrate.
AlthoughtheFedsetsatargetforthefederalfundsrate,theactualrateisdeterminedbythe
interactionofdemandandsupplyforbankreservesinthefederalfundsmarket.
Toanalyzethedeterminantsofthefederalfundsrate,weneedtoexaminethebankingsystems
demandforandtheFedssupplyofreserves.
Thoughothertoolsareavailable,theFedusesopenmarketoperationstohititstargetforthe
federalfundsrate.
15.3 MoreontheFedsMonetaryPolicyTools(pages452458)
Tracehowtheimportanceofdifferentmonetarypolicytoolshavechangedovertime.
OpenmarketoperationshavetraditionallybeentheFedspreferredtoolinconductingmonetarypolicy.
DiscountpolicywasusedextensivelyinresponsetotheFinancialCrisisof20072009.
Interestonreservesisanewtoolintroducedduringtherecentfinancialcrisis.
15.4 MonetaryTargetingandMonetaryPolicy(pages459470)
Explaintheroleofmonetarytargetinginmonetarypolicy.
Traditionally,theFedhasreliedontwotypesoftargets:(1)policyinstruments,sometimescalled
operatingtargets,and(2)intermediatetargets;thisisnolongerthefavoredapproach.
TheTaylorrulesummarizesthefactorstypicallyusedinsettingatargetforthefederalfundsrate.
Inflationtargetinghasbecomeanincreasinglypopularapproachtomonetarypolicy,particularly
beforetherecentfinancialcrisis.
Althoughthereareinstitutionaldifferencesinthewaysinwhichcentralbanksconductmonetary
policy,mostuseshortterminterestratesasapolicyinstrumenttoachieveanultimategoalsuch
aslowinflation.

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.2

Key Terms and Concepts

DiscountpolicyThepolicytoolofsettingthe
discountrateandthetermsofdiscountlending.

PrimarycreditDiscountloansavailabletohealthy
banksexperiencingtemporaryliquidityproblems.

DiscountwindowThemeansbywhichtheFed
makesdiscountloanstobanks,servingasthe
channelformeetingtheliquidityneedsofbanks.

QuantitativeeasingAcentralbankpolicythat
attemptstostimulatetheeconomybybuying
longtermsecurities.

EconomicgrowthIncreasesintheeconomys
outputofgoodsandservicesovertime;agoalof
monetarypolicy.

ReserverequirementTheregulationrequiring
bankstoholdafractionofcheckabledepositsas
vaultcashordepositswiththeFed.

FederalfundsrateTheinterestratethatbanks
chargeeachotheronveryshorttermloans;
determinedbythedemandandsupplyfor
reservesinthefederalfundsmarket.

SeasonalcreditDiscountloanstosmallerbanks
inareaswhereagricultureortourismisimportant.

OpenmarketoperationsTheFederalReserves
purchasesandsalesofsecurities,usuallyU.S.
Treasurysecurities,infinancialmarkets.

TaylorruleAmonetarypolicyguideline
developedbyeconomistJohnTaylorfor
determiningthetargetforthefederalfundsrate.

SecondarycreditDiscountloanstobanksthatare
noteligibleforprimarycredit.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy159

.3

Chapter Outline

BernankesDilemma
Duringthefinancialcrisisof20072009,theFedundertookextraordinarypolicyactionstokeepthe
financialsystemfromimploding.Unfortunately,asBernanketestifiedbeforeCongressinlateJuly2010,
theeconomywasrecoveringataslowerratethantheFedhadhoped.
15.1 The Goals of Monetary Policy (pages 443446)
LearningObjective:DescribetheGoalsofMonetaryPolicy.
A. PriceStability
Inflation,orpersistentlyrisingprices,erodesthevalueofmoneyasamediumofexchangeand
asaunitofaccount. Inamarketeconomy,inwhichpricescommunicateinformationabout
costsandaboutdemandforgoodsandservicestohouseholdsandfirms,inflationmakesprices
lessusefulassignalsforresourceallocation. Severeinflationinflictsevengreatereconomic
costs.
B. HighEmployment
Highemployment,oralowrateofunemployment,isanotherkeymonetarypolicygoal.
Unemployedworkersandunderusedfactoriesandmachinesloweroutput.Unemployment
causesfinancialdistressforworkerswholackjobs. AlthoughtheFediscommittedtohigh
employment,itdoesnotseekazeropercentrateofunemployment. Instead,theFedattemptsto
reducelevelsofcyclicalunemployment,whichisunemploymentassociatedwithbusinesscycle
recessions.
C. EconomicGrowth
Policymakersseeksteadyeconomicgrowth,orincreasesintheeconomysoutputofgoodsand
servicesovertime.Economicgrowthprovidestheonlysourceofsustainedrealincreasesin
householdincomes. Policymakersattempttoencouragestableeconomicgrowthbecausea
stablebusinessenvironmentallowsfirmsandhouseholdstoplanaccuratelyandencouragesthe
longterminvestmentthatisneededtosustaingrowth.

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D. StabilityofFinancialMarketsandInstitutions
Thestabilityoffinancialmarketsandinstitutionsmakespossibletheefficientmatchingof
saversandborrowers.ThefinancialcrisisledtoreneweddebateoverwhethertheFedshould
takeactiontoforestallassetpricebubblessuchasthoseassociatedwiththedotcomboomon
theU.S.stockmarketinthelate1990sandtheU.S.housingmarketinthe2000s.
E. InterestRateStability
Likefluctuationsinpricelevels,fluctuationsininterestratesmakeplanningandinvestment
decisionsdifficultforhouseholdsandfirms. Inaddition,sharpinterestratefluctuationscause
problemsforbanksandotherfinancialfirms.
F. ForeignExchangeMarketStability
Astabledollarsimplifiesplanningforcommercialandfinancialtransactions. Inaddition,
fluctuationsinthedollarsvaluechangetheinternationalcompetitivenessofU.S.industry.
15.2 Monetary Policy Tools and the Federal Funds Rate (pages 446452)
LearningObjective:UnderstandhowtheFedusesmonetarypolicytoolstoinfluencethefederal
fundsrate.
TheFedstraditionalpolicytoolsincludeopenmarketoperations,discountpolicy,andreserve
requirements.Duringthefinancialcrisis,theFedaddednewtoolsincludinginterestonreserve
balancesandtermdepositfacility.
A. TheFederalFundsMarketandtheFedsTargetFederalFundsRate
AlthoughtheFedsetsatargetforthefederalfundsrate,theactualrateisdeterminedbythe
interactionofdemandandsupplyforbankreservesinthefederalfundsmarket.Toanalyzethe
determinantsofthefederalfundsrate,weneedtoexaminethebankingsystemsdemandforand
theFedssupplyofreserves. Banksdemandreservesbothtomeettheirlegalobligationtohold
requiredreservesandbecausetheymaywishtoholdexcessreservestomeettheirshortterm
liquidityneeds.TheFedsuppliesborrowedreserves,intheformofdiscountloans,and
nonborrowedreserves,throughopenmarketoperations.

Teaching Tips
Itmayprovebeneficialtospendalittleextratimedevelopingthegraphofthefederalfundsmarket,Figure15.1
onpage447.Studentscaneasilyglossoveritandtreatitasaregularsupplyanddemandgraph(i.e.,upward
slopingsupplycurve).Makingitclearthatthesupplycurveisverticalduetothesupplyofreservesbeing
independentofthefederalfundsrateduetotheFedscontroloverreservesshouldhelpstudentsunderstandthe
concept.Also,carefulexplanationastothereasoningbehindthehorizontalportionsofeachcurvewillhelp
studentsgainabetterunderstandingoftheuniqueshapesofthesupplyanddemandforreserves
(comparedtothecurvesthattheyhaveseenbefore).
B. OpenMarketOperationsandtheFedsTargetfortheFederalFundsRate
TheFedusesopenmarketoperationstohititstargetforthefederalfundsrate.Anopenmarket
purchaseincreasesthesupplyofreserves,whichdecreasesthefederalfundsrate.
C. TheEffectofChangesintheDiscountRateandinReserveRequirements

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Typically,theFedhasraisedorloweredthediscountrateatthesametimethatitraisesor
lowersthetargetforthefederalfundsrate.Asaresult,changesinthediscountratehaveno
independenteffectonthefederalfundsrate. TheFedrarelychangestherequiredreserveratio.
Iftheotherfactorsunderlyingthedemandandsupplycurvesforreservesareheldconstant,an
increaseintherequiredreserveratioincreasesthedemandforreservesbecausebankshaveto
holdmorereserves,resultinginahigherfederalfundsrate.

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15.3 More on the Feds Monetary Policy Tools (pages 452-458)


LearningObjective:Tracehowtheimportanceofdifferentmonetarypolicytoolshavechangedovertime.
A. OpenMarketOperations
WhentheFedcarriesoutanopenmarketpurchaseofTreasurysecurities,thepricesofthese
securitiesincrease,therebydecreasingtheiryield.Becausethepurchasewillincreasethemonetary
base,themoneysupplywillexpand. Attheendofeachmeeting,theFOMCissuesastatement
thatincludesitstargetforthefederalfundsrateanditsassessmentoftheeconomy,particularly
withrespecttoitspolicygoalsofpricestabilityandeconomicgrowth.InconductingtheFeds
openmarketoperations,thetradingdeskmakesbothdynamic,orpermanent,openmarket
operationsanddefensive,ortemporary,openmarketoperations. Openmarketoperationshave
severalbenefitsthatotherpolicytoolslack:control,flexibility,andeaseofimplementation.
Duringtherecentfinancialcrisis,withthefederalfundsalreadynearzero,theFedengagedin
quantitativeeasingwiththeintentofreducinglongterminterestratesinsteadofthefederal
fundsrate.

Teaching Tips
Thoughthefirstroundofquantitativeeasingwasgenerallysupportedbymosteconomists,thesecond
roundannouncedinNovember2010wasmuchmorecontroversial.Opponentsseeitasanewapproachto
monetarypolicywiththeriskofsignificantlyhigherinflationwithouteffectivelystimulatingeconomic
growth.Manyseeitasmonetizingthenationaldebt.Supportersofthepolicybasicallystatethatitisan
extensionofthetraditionaluseofopenmarketoperationsinthattheFednormallyconductsopenmarket
purchasestostimulatetheeconomywhenitisperceivedtobetooweak.Thedifferenceisthatthiswas
typicallyevidencedbyadeclineinthefederalfundsrate.Inthiscase,sincethefederalfundsrateis
alreadynearzero,itisevidencedbyanincreaseintheFedsbalancesheetorthemonetarybase.Have
studentsevaluatethetwosidesofthedebatetobetterunderstandwhattherealitiesofquantitativeeasing
inthecontextoftheeconomyoflate2010.
B. DiscountPolicy
Since1980,alldepositoryinstitutionshavehadaccesstothediscountwindow.TheFeds
discountloanstobanksfallintothreecategories:primarycredit,secondarycredit,andseasonal
credit. Primarycreditisavailabletohealthybankswithadequatecapitalandsupervisory
ratings.Secondarycreditisintendedforbanksthatarenoteligibleforprimarycreditbecause
theyhaveinadequatecapitalorlowsupervisoryratings. Seasonalcreditconsistsoftemporary,
shorttermloanstosatisfyseasonalrequirementsofsmallerbanksingeographicareaswhere
agricultureortourismisimportant.Duringthefinancialcrisisof20072009,theFedsetupa
varietyoftemporarylendingfacilities.
C. InterestonReserveBalances
PayinginterestonreservebalancesgivestheFedanothermonetarypolicytool.Byincreasing
theinterestrate,theFedcanincreasethelevelofreservesbanksarewillingtohold,thereby
restrainingbanklendingandincreasesinthemoneysupply.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy163

15.4 Monetary Targeting and Monetary Policy (pages 459-470)


LearningObjective:Explaintheroleofmonetarytargetinginmonetarypolicy.
Thecentralbanksobjectiveinconductingmonetarypolicyistouseitspolicytoolstoachieve
monetarypolicygoals. ButtheFedoftenfacestradeoffsinattemptingtoreachitsgoals,
particularlythegoalsofhigheconomicgrowthandlowinflation.Althoughithopestoencourage
economicgrowthandpricestability,ithasnodirectcontroloverrealoutputorthepricelevel. The
Fedalsofacestimingdifficultiesinusingitsmonetarypolicytools.
A. UsingTargetstoMeetGoals
TargetsarevariablesthattheFedcaninfluencedirectlyandthathelpachievemonetarypolicy
goals.Traditionally,theFedhasreliedontwotypesoftargets:policyinstrumentssometimes
calledoperatingtargets,andintermediatetargets;thisnolongerthefavoredapproach.TheFed
controlsintermediatetargetvariables,suchasthemortgageinterestrateorM2,onlyindirectly
becauseprivatesectordecisionsalsoinfluencethesevariables.TheFedwouldthereforeneeda
targetthatwasabetterlinkbetweenitspolicytoolandintermediatetargets.Policyinstruments,
oroperatingtargets,arevariablesthattheFedcontrolsdirectlywithitsmonetarypolicytools
andthatarecloselyrelatedtointermediatetargets.
B. TheChoicebetweenTargetingReservesandTargetingtheFederalFundsRate
Traditionally,theFedhasusedthreecriteria(measurable,controllable,andpredictable)when
evaluatingvariablesthatmightbeusedaspolicyinstruments.TheFedsmainpolicy
instrumentshavebeenreserveaggregates,suchastotalreservesornonborrowedreserves,and
thefederalfundsrate.AkeypointtounderstandisthattheFedcanchooseareserveaggregate
foritspolicyinstrument,oritcanchoosethefederalfundsrate,butitcannotchooseboth.
C. TheTaylorRule:ASummaryofFedPolicy
ActualFeddeliberationsarecomplexandincorporatemanyfactorsabouttheeconomy.John
TaylorofStanfordUniversityhassummarizedthesefactorsintheTaylorruleforfederalfunds
ratetargeting:
Federalfundstargetcurrentinflationrateequilibriumrealfederalfundsrate

0.5 inflationgap 0.5 outputgap


AccordingtotheTaylorrule,theFedshouldraisethefederalfundsinresponsetoapositive
inflationgaporpositiveoutputgap.TheTaylorruletrackstheactualfederalfundsratefairly
closely,whichconfirmstheviewthattheFedhasbeenattemptingtoreachitspolicygoals
directlythroughmanipulatingthefederalfundsrateratherthanindirectlythroughusingan
intermediatetarget.

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D. InflationTargeting
Withinflationtargeting,acentralbankpublicallysetsanexplicittargetfortheinflationrate
overaperiodoftime,andthegovernmentandthepublicthenjudgetheperformanceofthe
centralbankonthebasisofitssuccessinhittingthetarget. ArgumentsinfavoroftheFedusing
anexplicitinflationtargetfocusonfourpoints:First,announcingexplicittargetsforinflation
woulddrawthepublicsattentiontowhattheFedcanactuallyachieveinpractice. Second,the
establishmentoftransparentinflationtargetsfortheUnitedStateswouldprovideananchorfor
inflationaryexpectations. Third,announcedinflationtargetswouldhelpinstitutionalizeeffective
U.S.monetarypolicy.Finally,inflationtargetswouldpromoteaccountabilityfortheFedby
providingayardstickagainstwhichitsperformancecouldbemeasured. Opponentsofinflation
targetsalsomakefourpoints:First,rigidnumericaltargetsforinflationdiminishtheflexibility
ofmonetarypolicytoaddressotherpolicygoals.Second,becausemonetarypolicyinfluences
inflationwithalag,inflationtargetingrequiresthattheFeddependonforecastsoffutureinflation,
uncertaintyaboutwhichcancreateproblemsfortheconductofpolicy.Third,holdingtheFed
accountableonlyforagoaloflowinflationmaymakeitmoredifficultforelectedofficialsto
monitortheFedssupportforgoodeconomicpolicyoverall.Finally,uncertaintyaboutfuture
levelsofoutputandemploymentcanimpedeeconomicdecisionmakinginthepresenceofan
inflationtarget.
E. InternationalComparisonsofMonetaryPolicy
Althoughthereareinstitutionaldifferencesinthewaysinwhichcentralbanksconductmonetary
policy,therearetwoimportantsimilaritiesinrecentpractices.First,mostcentralbanksinindustrial
countrieshaveincreasinglyusedshortterminterestratessimilartothefederalfundsratein
theUnitedStatesasthepolicyinstrument,oroperatingtarget,throughwhichgoalsarepursued.
Second,manycentralbanksarefocusingmoreonultimategoalssuchaslowinflationthanon
particularintermediatetargets.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy165

.4

Solutions to the End-of-Chapter Questions and Problems

Answers to Thinking Critically Questions


1.

2.

TheFederalReservewouldbeunderlesspressuretobuyTreasurysecurities,whichwouldlessenthe
likelihoodofanincreaseintheinflationrateinthefuture.Anadditionalbenefitwouldresultiftheprivate
sectorrespondedtothisdevelopmentbyincreasinginvestmentandemployment.Butprojectionsoffuture
deficitsdifferfromactualdeficits.If,forexample,Congressandthepresidentreachedagreementona
budgetthatwasexpectedtoreducedeficitsbyraisingtaxesonbusinesses,thiswouldhaveanegative
impactoninvestmentandemployment.Theresultcouldbelowertaxrevenueandgreateractual
deficits.Cutsinspendingprograms,ratherthanhighertaxes,wouldlikelyhaveapositiveimpacton
businessspending,butpoliticaloppositionmakesspendingcutsdifficulttoachieve.
Thegraphshowsthattheinitialinterestrateonbankreservedeposits,irb1,israisedtoirb2.Thenew,
higherequilibriuminterestrateonfederalfunds,iff2,isequaltotheinterestrateonbankreserve
deposits.TheFedincreasesinterestrateswithoutchangingitstargetforbankreserves.

15.1 The Goals of Monetary Policy


Learningobjective:Describethegoalsofmonetarypolicy.
Review Questions
1.1

Monetarypolicyaimstoadvancetheeconomicwellbeingofthecountryscitizens.Economic
wellbeingistypicallydeterminedbythequantityandqualityofgoodsandservicesthat
individualscanenjoy.

1.2 a. Pricestabilitymeansastableoverallpricelevelthroughouttheeconomyandisofteninterpreted
aslowandsteadyinflation.
b. Highemploymentmeansalowrateofunemploymentequaltothenaturalrateofunemployment.

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c. Economicgrowthmeansincreasesintheeconomysoutputofgoodsandservicesovertime.
d. Stabilityoffinancialmarketsandinstitutionsreferstofinancialmarketsandinstitutionsworking
tomatchsaversandborrowerswithoutpanicsandexcessiveclosures.
e. Interestratestabilitymeansstableinterestrates.
f. Foreignexchangemarketstabilitymeanslimitedfluctuationsintheforeignexchangevalueof
thedollar.
1.3

TheFedseekstoreducecyclicalunemployment.TheFeddoesnotseektoreducethe
unemploymentratetozerobecausethetoolsofmonetarypolicyareaimedataffectingeconomic
conditionsthroughouttheeconomyandareineffectiveinreducingthelevelsoffrictionaland
structuralunemployment.

1.4

Interestratesrepresentthecostofborrowingbyfirmsandhouseholds.Fluctuatinginterestrates
makeinvestmentdecisionsbyfirmsandhouseholdsmoredifficultbecausethecostofborrowing
becomesmoreuncertain.

1.5

Excessfluctuationsintheforeignexchangevalueofthedollarwouldmakeitdifficulttoknow
thecostofyourproductsabroad,thecostofimportedintermediategoods,anddollarvalueof
foreignassets.

1.6

Theseverityofthe20072009financialcrisisandresultingrecessionhasputthemonetary
policygoalofstabilityoffinancialmarketsandinstitutionsfrontandcenter.Untilrecently,most
economistsprobablyconsideredpricestabilitytobetheFedstoppriority.

Problems and Applications


1.7

Deflation,justlikeinflation,complicatestheabilitytodistinguishoverallpricechangesfrom
relativepricechanges,whichdetermineresourceallocation.Unanticipateddeflation
redistributesincomejustasunanticipatedinflationdoes,aswhenborrowerssufferlossesfrom
unanticipateddeflation.

1.8

Foritsgoalofhighemployment,theFedseeksanunemploymentrateequaltothenaturalrateof
unemploymentwithzerocyclicalunemployment.TheFedwouldneedtobeawareofchangesin
thenaturalrateofunemploymentinordertoknowifcyclicalunemploymentexistsornot.

1.9

Nominalinterestratesincludeaninflationpremium.Thenominalinterestrateequalsthereal
interestrateplustheexpectedinflationrate.Highandvariableinflationratesleadtohighand
variablenominalinterestrates.

1.10

Inthelongrunforeignexchangeratesdependuponinflationratedifferentialsacrosscountries.
TheforeignexchangevalueoftheU.S.dollarwilldeclineandfluctuateastheU.S.inflationrate
risesandfluctuates.

1.11

IftheexchangeratebetweentheJapaneseyenandtheU.S.dollarchangesfrom85$1to95$1,
theU.S.dollarwouldhaveappreciatedandU.S.industrieswillbelesscompetitiverelativetoJapanese
industries.TheappreciationofthedollarmakesU.S.exportsmoreexpensiveandJapanese
importstotheU.S.cheaper.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy167

15.2 Monetary Policy Tools and the Federal Funds Rate


Learningobjective:UnderstandhowtheFedusesmonetarypolicytoolstoinfluencethefederal
fundsrate.
Review Questions
2.1

TheFedsthreetraditionalmonetarypolicytoolsareopenmarketoperations,discountpolicy,
andreserverequirements.Openmarketoperationsisthepurchaseorsaleofsecurities,typically
U.S.Treasurysecurities,infinancialmarkets.Discountpolicyissettingthediscountrateandthe
termsofdiscountlending.Thereserverequirementisregulationrequiringbankstoholda
fractionofcheckabledepositsasvaultcashordepositswiththeFed.Themostimportantofthe
threetoolsisopenmarketoperations.

2.2

ThetwonewpolicytoolsavailabletotheFedaretheinterestrateonreservebalancesandthe
termdepositfacility.

2.3

Thefinancialassettradedisbankreserves.Thefederalfundsrateistheinterestratethatbanks
chargeeachotheronveryshorttermloans,whereasthediscountrateistheinterestratethatthe
FederalReservechargesbanksonloans.

2.4

TheFOMCistheFederalOpenMarketCommitteeoftheFederalReserve.TheFOMC
determinesthetargetforthefederalfundsrateanddirectsthebuyingandsellingofsecuritiesin
ordertoreachthefederalfundsratetarget.

2.5

Banksdemandreservesbothtomeettheirlegalobligationtoholdrequiredreservesandtheir
desiretoholdexcessreservestomeettheirshorttermliquidityneeds.Anincreaseinthefederal
fundsratedecreasesthequantityofreservesdemanded.Asthefederalfundsrateincreases,the
opportunitycosttobanksofholdingexcessreservesincreasesbecausethereturntheycouldearn
fromlendingoutthosereservesgoesup.Thedemandcurveforreservesbecomesperfectly
elasticattheinterestratetheFedpaysonbanksreservebalances.

2.6

ThesupplyofreservesisdeterminedbytheFedsupplyingnonborrowedreserves,throughopen
marketoperations,andborrowedreservesintheformofdiscountloans.Thediscountratesetsa
ceilingonthefederalfundsrate,causingthesupplycurveforreservestobecomehorizontal.
Bankswouldnotpayahigherinterestratetoborrowfromotherbanksthanthediscountrate
theycanpaytoborrowfromtheFed.

Problems and Applications


2.7

IfthefederalfundsratewasbelowtheinterestratetheFedpaysonbankreserves,thenbanks
wouldborrowatthelowerfederalfundsrateanddepositthefundsintheirreservebalancesat
theFedandearnariskfreereturn.Competitionamongbankstoobtainthefundstocarryout
thisriskfreearbitragewouldforceupthefederalfundsratetotheratetheFedpaysonbanks
reservebalances.

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2.8

a. Adecreaseintherequiredreserveratiowoulddecreasethedemandforreserves.

b. Adecreaseinthediscountratewouldlowertheinterestrateatwhichthesupplyforreserves
becomeshorizontal.

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c. Adecreaseintheinterestratepaidonreserveswouldlowertheinterestrateatwhichthe
demandcurvebecomeshorizontal.

d. Anopenmarketsaleofgovernmentsecuritieswoulddecreasethesupplyofreserves.

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2.9

Toloweritstargetforthefederalfundsrate,theFedcanconductanopenmarketpurchaseof
securitiesandtoraiseitstargetforthefederalfundsrate,theFedcanconductanopenmarket
saleofsecurities.Inthegraphsbelow,thediscountrateisalsoassumedtobeloweredandraised
alongwiththetargetforthefederalfundsrate.

2.10 a. Toraisethefederalfundsrate,theFedcouldsellsecurities.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy171

b. Tooffsettheeffectonthefederalfundsrateofanincreaseinthedemandforreserves,theFed
couldbuysecurities.Inthegraphbelow,theFedalsolowersthediscountrate.

c. Tooffsettheeffectofanincreaseintherequiredreserveratiowhichwouldincreasethedemand
forreserves,theFedcouldbuysecurities.Thegraphisthesameasforpartb.above.
2.11

AnopenmarketsaleofTreasurysecuritiesbytheFeddecreasesthesupplyofreserves,raising
thefederalfundsrate,unlessthenewsupplycurveofreservesintersectsthedemandcurvefor
reservesonthehorizontalportionattheinterestratetheFedpaysonreserves.

2.12 a. Seethegraphbelow.
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b. Seethegraphforparta.above.TheFedwouldsellTreasurysecurities.
2.13 a. Seethegraphbelow.

b. Seethegraphforparta.above.TheFedwouldbuyTreasurysecurities.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy173

15.3 More on the Feds Monetary Policy Tools


Learningobjective:Tracehowtheimportanceofdifferentmonetarypolicytoolshaschangedover
time.
Review Questions
3.1

a. ThepolicydirectiveisthegeneraldirectiveaftereachFOMCmeetingtotheFederalReserve
SystemsaccountmanagerstatingtheFOMCsoverallobjectivesforinterestratesandopen
marketoperations.
b. TheaccountmanageristheFederalReserveSystemsaccountmanager,whoisavicepresident
oftheFederalReserveBankofNewYorkandwhohastheresponsibilityofimplementingopen
marketoperationsandhittingtheFOMCstargetforthefederalfundsrate.
c. ThetradingdeskistheOpenMarketTradingDeskattheFederalReserveBankofNewYork.
Thetradingdeskislinkedelectronicallytoabout18primarydealers.
d. AprimarydealerisaprivatesecuritiesfirmthattheFedhasselectedtoparticipateinopen
marketoperations.

3.2

AnopenmarketsaleofTreasurysecuritiesdecreasesthepriceofTreasurysecurities,thereby
increasingtheyieldonTreasurysecurities.ThesaleofTreasurysecuritiesdecreasesthe
monetarybaseandthemoneysupply.

3.3

Dynamicopenmarketoperationsareintendedtochangemonetarypolicyasdirectedbythe
FOMC.Defensiveopenmarketoperationsareintendedtooffsettemporaryfluctuationsinthe
demandorsupplyforreserves,nottochangemonetarypolicy.Dynamicopenmarketoperations
arelikelytobeconductedasoutrightpurchasesandsalesofTreasurysecurities,whereas
defensiveopenmarketoperationsareconductedthroughrepurchaseagreementsandreverse
repurchaseagreements.

3.4

Openmarketoperationshavetheadvantagesoverotherpolicytoolsofcontrol,flexibility,and
easeofimplementation.TheFedinitiatesopenmarketoperationsandcompletelycontrolsthe
volumeofopenmarketpurchasesandsales.Openmarketoperationsareflexiblebecausethe
Fedcanmakebothlargeandsmallopenmarketoperations,andtheFedcaneasilyimplement
openmarketoperationsbythetradingdeskplacingbuyorsellorderswiththeprimarydealers.

3.5

Quantitativeeasingisthecentralbankpolicythatattemptstostimulatetheeconomybybuying
longtermsecurities.TheFed,traditionally,purchasesshorttermTreasurysecurities,butwith
thefederalfundsratealreadynearzerobyDecember2008,theFedpurchasedmortgagebacked
securitiesand10yearTreasurysecuritiestoreducetheinterestratesonmortgagesandother
longtermrates.

3.6

Thethreecategoriesofdiscountloansareprimarycredit,secondarycredit,andseasonalcredit.
Primarycreditisdiscountloanstohealthybanksexperiencingtemporaryliquidityproblems.
Secondarycreditisdiscountloanstobanksthatarenoteligibleforprimarycreditbecausethey
haveinadequatecapitalorlowsupervisoryratings.Seasonalcreditisdiscountloanstosmaller
banksinareaswhereagricultureortourismisimportant.Wheneconomistsandpolicymakers
refertothediscountrate,theyarereferringtotheinterestrateonprimarycredit.

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3.7

Before1980,onlymemberbanksoftheFederalReserveSystemcouldreceivediscountloans.
After1980,alldepositoryinstitutionscouldreceivediscountloans.Duringthefinancialcrisisof
20072009,theFedsdiscountlendingexpandedtoincludetemporarylendingfacilitiesthat
madeloanstoprimarydealers(investmentbanksandlargesecuritiesfirms),financialfirmswith
mortgagebackedsecurities,nonfinancialcorporationsthatissuecommercialpaper,and
investorsthatpurchaseassetbackedsecurities.

Problems and Applications


3.8

Tohitthetargetfederalfundsrate,theaccountmanageradjustthesupplyofreservesbyusing
openmarketpurchasesandsalesofTreasurysecurities.Onmostdays,thetradingdeskcarries
outdefensiveopenmarketoperationstooffsettemporaryfluctuationsinthedemandorsupply
forreserves.

3.9

Agree.TheFedcannotmanageboththelevelofreservesandthefederalfundsrate.Ifit
managesthefederalfundsrate,thenthelevelofreservesmustchangewhenthedemandfor
reserveschangesinordertomaintainthedesiredfederalfundsrate.Likewise,iftheFed
managesthelevelofreserves,thenthefederalfundsratewillchangewhenthedemandfor
reserveschanges.

3.10

TheFedtypicallypurchasesshorttermTreasurysecurities,butwithquantitativeeasingtheFed
purchaseslongtermsecuritiessuchasmortgagebackedsecuritiesand10yearTreasurybonds.
Duringthefinancialcrisis,theFedturnedtoquantitativeeasingbecausetheyhadalready
pushedthefederalfundsratetonearlyzerobuttheeconomycontinuedtolingerinrecession.
Thepolicyofquantitativeeasinghasraisedconcernsofhigherinflationratesinthefuture
becausethesebondpurchasesgreatlyexpandedthemonetarybase.

3.11

Byincreasingtheinterestrateitpaysonbankreserves,theFedcanincreasethelevelofreserves
banksarewillingtohold,therebyrestrainingbanklendingandincreasesinthemoneysupply.
Additionally,thetermdepositfacility,theFedsothernewpolicytool,couldtousedtorestrain
banksfromlendinglargeamountsofexcessreservesallatonce.Themorefundsbanksplacein
termdeposits,thelesstheywillhaveavailabletoexpandloansandthemoneysupply.

3.12

Disagree.ThetargetforthefederalfundsrateissetbytheFOMC,butnottheactualfederal
fundsrate,whichisdeterminedbythedemandandsupplyofreserves.

3.13

Ifonlybankscouldborrowandlendinthefederalfundsmarket,thentheactualfederalfunds
ratecouldnotdropbelowtheinterestratetheFedpaysonreservedepositsbecausebankscould
borrowinthefederalfundsmarketandturnaroundanddepositthefundsintheirreserve
balancesattheFedandearnariskfreereturn.Competitionamongbankstoobtainthefundson
thefederalfundsmarketwoulddrivethefederalfundsrateuptotheinterestratetheFedpays
onreserves.

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Chapter15MonetaryPolicy175

3.14

ThePrimaryDealerCreditFacilitywasdesignedtohelpprimarydealersbyproviding
emergencyloanswithmortgagebackedsecuritiesascollateral.TheTermSecuritiesLending
FacilitywasdesignedtohelpfinancialfirmsbyprovidingloansofTreasurysecuritiesin
exchangeformortgagebackedsecurities.TheCommercialPaperFundingFacilitywasdesigned
tohelpnonfinancialcorporationsthatissuedcommercialpaperbytheFeddirectlypurchasing
newissuesofthreemonthcommercialpaper.TheTermAssetBackedSecuritiesLoanFacility
wasdesignedtohelpfirmsthatraisedfundsthroughassetbackedsecurities.TheFedextended
threeyearorfiveyearloanstohelpinvestorspurchaseassetbackedsecurities.

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176Hubbard&OBrienMoney,Banking,andtheFinancialSystem,FirstEdition

15.4 Monetary Targeting and Monetary Policy


Learningobjective:15.4:Explaintheroleofmonetarytargetinginmonetarypolicy.
Review Questions
4.1

Inattemptingtoreachhigheconomicgrowthorhighemployment,theFedwouldpursue
expansionarymonetarypolicy,butthissamepolicycouldcausehigherinflation.

4.2

ThetwotimingdifficultiestheFedfacesinusingitsmonetarypolicytoolsaretheinformation
lagandtheimpactlag?TheinformationlagistheFedsinabilitytoobserveinstantaneously
changesinGDP,inflationorothereconomicvariables,andtheimpactlagisthetimethatis
requiredformonetarypolicychangestoaffectoutput,employment,orinflation.

4.3

TheFedcanmoredirectlycontrolandcanmorequicklyobserveintermediateoroperating
targetsthanpolicygoals.

4.4

Fromthemostinfluencetotheleastinfluence:policytools,policyinstruments,intermediate
targets,andpolicygoals.

4.5

ThecriteriaofpredictableapredictableimpactofthepolicyinstrumentontheFedspolicygoals
leadtheFedtousethefederalfundsrateasitspolicyinstrumentinsteadofthelevelofreserves.

4.6

TheTaylorruleisamonetarypolicyguidelinedevelopedbyeconomistJohnTaylorfor
determiningthetargetforthefederalfundsrate.TheTaylorruleservesasasummarymeasure
ofFedpolicyandcanbecomparedtotheFedsactualtargetforthefederalfundsratetogeta
senseofwhetherFedpolicyistoorestrictiveortooaccommodative.

4.7

Inflationtargetingreferstotheconductingofmonetarypolicysoastocommitthecentralbank
toachievingapubliclyannouncedlevelofinflation.Withthefinancialcrisis,thepolicygoalof
stabilityoffinancialmarketsandinstitutionshasbecomemorepressingthanthegoalofstableprices.

4.8

TheBankofCanadausesinflationtargetingandafocusontheexchangevalueoftheCanadian
dollar.TheBankofEnglandusesinflationtargeting.TheBankofJapanhasnotadopteda
formalinflationtarget,butdoesemphasizepricestability.TheEuropeanCentralBankhasan
inflationtargetandattachesasignificantroletothemonetaryaggregateM3.

Problems and Applications


4.9

TheFedcouldmoreaggressivelyattempttoreducehighcyclicalunemploymentwhenthe
inflationrateislowbecausetheexpansionarymonetarypolicyusedtodecreasecyclical
unemploymentwouldincreaseinflation.Theincreaseininflationwouldbelessofaproblemif
theinflationrateislow.

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter15MonetaryPolicy177

4.10
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
f.
g.
h.
i.
j.

Statewhethereachofthefollowingvariablesismostlikelytobeagoal,anintermediatetarget,
anoperatingtarget,oramonetarypolicytool.
M2wouldbeanintermediatetarget.
Monetarybasewouldbeanintermediatetarget.
Unemploymentratewouldbeapolicygoal.
Openmarketpurchaseswouldbeapolicytool.
Federalfundsratewouldbeanoperatingtarget.
Nonborrowedreserveswouldbeanoperatingtarget.
M1wouldbeanintermediatetarget.
RealGDPgrowthwouldbeapolicygoal.
Discountratewouldbeapolicytool.
Inflationratewouldbeapolicygoal.

4.11

IftheFedusesthefederalfundsrateasapolicyinstrument,thenincreasesinthedemandfor
reserveswillleadtoanincreaseinthelevelofreserves.Conversely,iftheFedusesthelevelof
reservesasapolicyinstrument,thenincreasesinthedemandforreserveswillleadtoanincrease
inthefederalfundsrate.

4.12

CongressauthorizedNOWaccountsonwhichbankscanpayinterestandbanksdeveloped
automatedtransferofsavingaccounts,whichmovecheckabledepositbalancesintohigher
interestCDseachnightandthenbackintocheckabledepositbalancesinthemorning,and
sweepaccounts,whichmovecheckabledepositsofbusinessesintomoneymarketdeposit
accountsattheendofeachweekandthenmovethefundsbackintocheckabledepositsat
thebeginningofthefollowingweek.WithM1becomingmoreofastoreofvaluethana
puremediumofexchangetheshortrunlinkbetweenM1andspendingandthereforeM1
andinflationwasbroken.

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

178Hubbard&OBrienMoney,Banking,andtheFinancialSystem,FirstEdition

4.13 a. M2
b. Changesinthemoneysupplyarenolongerusefulforforecastinginflationintheshortterm,but
areusefulinforecastinginflationinthelongterm.
4.14

Agree.TheFedcannotmanageboththelevelofreservesandthefederalfundsrate.Ifit
managesthefederalfundsrate,thenthelevelofreservesmustchangewhenthedemandfor
reserveschangesinordertomaintainthedesiredfederalfundsrate.Likewise,iftheFed
managesthelevelofreserves,thenthefederalfundsratewillchangewhenthedemandfor
reserveschanges.

4.15

Taylorrulefederalfundsratetarget220.5(1.22)0.5(7)0.10.ThisTaylorrule
federalfundsratetargetfitswithintheFedsactualtargetrangeof0.00to0.25%.

4.16 a. Monetaryexcessesinthiscontextwouldreferprimarilytothefederalfundsratebeingtoo
low.
b. TheevidenceofmonetaryexcessesisthattheFOMCkeptthefederalfundsrateatlevelswell
belowthoseindicatedbytheTaylorrulefrom2002to2006.
Data Exercises
D15.1

ThemostrecentFOMCpressreleasewillchangeovertime.Theanswersbelowapplytothe
pressreleaseofNovember3,2010.
a. TheFOMCmaintainedtherangeforthetargetforthefederalfundsrateat0to1/4percent,
andindicatedthateconomicconditionsarelikelytowarrantexceptionallylowlevelsforthe
federalfundsrateforanextendedperiod.
b. TheFOMCismoreconcernedaboutsloweconomicgrowth.
c. Nomentionofthediscountrate?
d. NomentionoftheinterestratepaidonbankreservesortheTermDepositFacility.TheFed
announcedanotherroundofquantitativeeasing(Q.E.II)withthepurchaseof$600billionof
longertermsecuritiesbetweenNovember,2010andtheendofthesecondquarterof2010.

D15.2

a.
b.

AsoftheearlyDecember2010,theupperlimitofthetargetforthefederalfundsratehas
notchangedoverthelastyear,remainingat0.25%.
Theeffectivefederalfundsratefluctuatedconsiderablyvaryingfrom0.04to0.22%.

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

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