The German energy transition up to 2015

The ratio of green energy, nuclear energy, fossil energy and trends

The German Energy transition

Three years ago the Germans were criticized for plans to shut down its nuclear power so drastically
that they were considered to be obliged increasing the burning of fossil fuels to maintain the electric
power production.
Data collected in 2012, data trend analysis that has been recorded in the following Skribd:
https://www.scribd.com/doc/119117288/Karnkraftsavveckling-och-elenergiutveckling-i-Tyskland
Sources
1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Germany
Data are gathered and processed from the diagram to the right of this site.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renewable_energy_in_Germany
Data have been interpreted and processed from the table at the bottom of the site.
2. http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf43.html
Data for 2011 have been added to the statistics from this site.

Monitoring the consumption of electricity in Germany up to 2015

When the aim is to find coherent data on annual consumption of electricity in Germany for a number
of years, one is struck by the varying figures reported. One simply have to choose data so that the
result appears logical and probable.

Follow-up and extrapolation into the future

Using data with source references reported below and simple trend analysis, the following result is
obtained:

Current data from the five main groups hydro, green, nuclear and fossil are displayed, the sum is
calculated and all is presented in point form. Trend curves are developed with help of the point data
and an extrapolation until 2030 is provided.

2013-02-28 Lars Snsterd

The German energy transition up to 2015

The ratio of green energy, nuclear energy, fossil energy and trends

It turns out that the Germans are sticking to their plan phasing out nuclear power by the year 2022
and the growth of the green energy is astonishing!
Affected by the recession in the world, the Germans have not increased its electrical power
consumption. The German power consumption seems on the contrary to be reduced gradually,
perhaps with the help of consciously induced energy efficiency. These factors, together with a base of
hydropower, have made the fossil electric power production to be reduced slightly!
But the Germans seem not to get rid of the fossil-burning until the year of around 2031!
Nuclear Electric Power
If the nuclear power production had been retained until 2026 and then settled in quickly, the
dismantling of the fossil fuel combustion had gone faster to be ready already by the year 2026.

On the whole, this might not matter so much, and the negative voices can be neglected. It depends on
whether the carbon dioxide danger in time perspective is as great as climate experts claim.
But one cannot avoid the idea of a German emotional reaction as a result of the accident in
Fukushima March 2011.

Sources

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_Germany
Data har hmtats och bearbetats frn diagrammet till hger i denna sajt.
http://energytransition.de/2012/10/key-findings/
http://energytransition.de/2014/12/infographs/
http://www.triplepundit.com/2014/04/german-renewable-electricity-consumption-hits-record-high-25-4-percent-2013/
http://us.boell.org/sites/default/files/german-coal-conundrum.pdf
http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Country-Profiles/Countries-G-N/Germany/

2013-02-28 Lars Snsterd

The German energy transition up to 2015

The ratio of green energy, nuclear energy, fossil energy and trends

https://estore.enerdata.net/germany-energy.html
http://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/downloads/pdf-files/data-nivc-/stromproduktion-aus-solar-und-windenergie-2014.pdf
https://www.energy-charts.de/energy.htm
https://www.energy-charts.de/energy.htm

Discussion
The above facts refer to Germany's electricity consumption. In 2014 however, was exported 33.9
TWh. German electricity exports have increased gradually from 2011 when the energy transition
began. Imports have been virtually non-existent during the same period. This is likely due to the
green energy variations, that an amount of energy must be added when necessary and that it is
difficult precisely controlling this process. Only energy source in Germany that has ability to start and
stop when necessary is of fossil and the export is derived from this. It's probably about coal because
this is indigenous and provides cheap electricity. Electricity from coal as observers believes dump
prices in Europe?

Germany is already a world leader in sustainable energy!

Within a few years, green electricity is likely to produce such a large surplus during peak season that
a portion of the surplus can be accumulated. This ability is in such case growing gradually over the
years, and finally will be reached self-sufficiency based on sustainable sources. It is also mentioned
that green electricity creates more jobs and is more competitive than previously assumed. In such a
case a faith in future will be created, which really is something for investors!

Speculations around accumulation of green electric energy and

development of new fuels for vehicles.
Electric vehicles that are loaded at night not only provide a cleaner environment, they are making the
uneven green electricity smoother. But batteries do not solve the problems completely.

Production of hydrogen from Green excess electricity

To begin with, hydrogen gas will be mixed up with natural gas. Gas power thus has the potential to
solve the entire energy storage problem, and not only that, the gas may be used for vehicles.
We are witnessing a process in which green electricity slowly and steadily can be on our way to
phase out fossil fuels, solve the energy problems of the world and Germany is showing the way.
This can generate a belief in future sustainable clean industry which the world really need!

2013-02-28 Lars Snsterd