Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
05/Feb/2015
Turmeric Apr Turmeric futures traded lower despite a decline in major spot markets, prices
STOCK: TURMERIC
made low of 8004 levels and finally closed at lower around 8048 level. Expected lower production
APR
in major producing states such as Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu and pickup in demand may
Call: SELL
support the prices in coming days. According to reports, new turmeric crops have started arriving
CMP: 8048
in the spot market of Nizamabad in Telangana at a high pace of around 5000-6,500 bags (1 bag =
Initiation Level:
70 kg). But the quality of produce is down, due to very high moisture content of around 20%. This
Around 8300
is due to lack of sunlight as low temperature and cold wave situation. As per reports from Spice
Board of India, the estimated exports of Turmeric during April-December 2013 was pegged at
8100
58000 MT, up by 17% same period previous year. In value terms, it was up by 45% at Rs 463.8 Cr.
However, unable coming demand from overseas so could see a downside in market and major
7900
weakness is seen only if prices rupture support of 7840 could see downside bias towards 7580
followed by 7240 that could negate present uptrend in the near term. Hence, we recommend sell
Conviction Level:
on rise around 8300 could see downside bias towards 8100 followed by 7900 for the days.
Moderate Risk.
Reasoning. (Read
Technical
commentary).
Short term Trend:
Bearish.
Medium Term Trend:
Bullish.
For the Traders: SELL
For Aggressive
Traders: SELL
Support: 8000-79007700
Resistance-83008480-8630
Duration: 4-5 Days
Recommendation:On the basics of technical
and fundamental analysis
we are Recommending to
sell on rise Tmc Apr
around (8350) with the
Stop Loss of 8550 for the
Target of 8200 and 7900.
Mar
Jeera Mar NCDEX: Jeera prices slumped melt like ice in previous session from the high
of 15355 made low of 14640 level and finally closed lower at 14650 level in previous day,
Call: SELL
besides, the decrease in OI may keep profit booking for the next couple of days, as prices
CMP: 14790
cleared the down trend line support of 14300 for the strong downside rallies to 13800
followed by 13050 or even lower to 12680 levels in the near term. Jeera as overall
14800
Fundamentals remained strong. The exports are likely to slow down, Good domestic and
export demand along with forecast of a 33% drop in productivity could also support prices in
the near term. Improved export demand amidst firmness in Dollar vs Re supported the prices.
On the other hand, a cooler weather in Gujarat and Rajasthan is expected to be beneficial for
14450
the crop growth, As well, the sustained export demand amid a supply crunch in the global
market may limit sharp fall in prices. On the other side, if prices breach the resistance of
Conviction Level:
15300 could turn the outlook into positive territory in the near term.
Moderate Risk.
Reasoning. (Read
Technical commentary).
Hence, we recommend sell around 14800 could see downward bias towards 14620 followed
by 14400 for the day.
Call: SELL
CMP: 3538
Initiation Level:
Around 3550
Book Profit (Level 1):
3500
Book Profit (Level 2):
3460
Stop Loss: Above 3600
Conviction Level:
Moderate Risk.
Chana Apr NCDEX: Prices rebounded firmly from the resistance of 3609 levels on dated 02
February 2015, made low of 3500 levels in previous day and finally closed lower at 3538 levels
as subdued domestic market demand kept trend down. Lower production possibilities could
support the market sentiments Bullish but as harvesting of the new crop picks up in coming
days; this could prevent prices from shooting up a lot as arrivals rise. Demand will pick up as
skies clear. High Pulses stocks and bearishness in International markets kept pressure on the
domestic market sentiments. But a fall in Rabi sowing area for Rabi Pulses and lower
International production prospects could support prices in medium to long term. Prices are
however at strong psychological Support level of 3300 for February 2015 contract. As per 1st
Advanced crop estimates for 2014-15 by Govt of India, India is likely to produce Kharif Food
grains of 120.27 million tonnes, which is down by 8.97 million tonnes from the record 129.24
million tonnes achieved in Kharif 2013-14.
Hence, we recommend sell on rise around 3550 could see downward bias towards 3500
followed by 3460 for the day.
Reasoning. (Read
Technical commentary).
Short term Trend:
Bearish.
Medium Term Trend:
Bullish.
For the Traders: SELL
For Aggressive
Traders: SELL
Support: 3480-34303380
Resistance-3560
3580-3630
Duration: 4-5 Days
Recommendation:On the basics of Technical
and fundamental analysis
we are Recommending sell
Chana Apr NCDEX around
3550 for targets of 3460
3400 with a strict a stop
loss of above 3630.
CHANA APR DAILY TECHINICAL CHART
DISCLAIMER
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to
be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion.
Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been
made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on
analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable.
Entering our site means that you have read, understood and agreed to everything that is written and implied in this
disclaimer note. RESEARCH is published solely for informational purposes and must in no way be construed as investment
advice for a specific individual. The information and views in this website & all the services we provide are believed to be
reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the
product/s that suits them the most.
Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information
contained herein is based on analysis and on sources that we consider reliable. We, however, do
not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. This material is for personal information
and we are not responsible for any loss incurred due to it & take no responsibility whatsoever for
any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above.