Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
Government support and lower costs boost solar electricity installations in the US
Solar energy capacity addition growing at high rate
Solar energy propelling growth of overall electricity generation capacity in the US
Solar electricity generation has been witnessing high growth rate in the US, driven by an increase in affordability and accessibility.
Installed Solar Photovoltaic (PV) capacity in the US rose to over 14,500 megawatts (MW) in 1H14 from just ~140MW in 2004. This
growth has been contributed equally by Distributed Generation (DG) companies (added ~7,100MW to capacity over the period) and
utility companies (added ~7,300MW to capacity). Overall, there has been an uptrend in the contribution of solar electricity generation
compared with other sources since 2012.
33.7 GW
100%
2%
80%
41%
16.4 GW
20%
0%
3%
14%
0%
8%
7%
10%
30%
60%
40%
4.7 GW
46%
16%
53%
31%
29%
10%
2012
Solar
Natural Gas
2013
Coal
1H 14
Wind
Other
Source: Greentech Media Research, Solar Energy Industries Association, Aranca Research
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
36,000
27,000
18,000
9,000
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
DG PV
2012
2013
2014E
2015E
2016E
Utility PV
Source: Greentech Media Research, Solar Energy Industries Association, Aranca Research
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
Hence, with low upfront installation payments and running costs, the DG solar energy model helps customers save 1530% in utility
bills over traditional electricity sources. In addition, the business model does not require grids to transmit power to customers, thereby
eliminating grid (transmission & distributions) losses of at least 67% percent, which would have been passed on to the customer in
case of traditional utilities.
In recent times, DG utilities have also started offering battery storage systems that provide power backup in case the utility grid goes
down. The size of a battery unit is similar to that of a solar power inverter, and can be mounted on the wall or near an electrical panel.
DG Utilities also benefit from this business model in the form of long-term contracts (typically for about 20 years) providing revenue
visibility and stable recurring cash flows. In addition, the federal government offers a 30% Investment Tax Credit (ITC) to such
companies under Section 48(a) of the Internal Revenue Code for installation of solar power facilities. However, this tax credit would
reduce to 10% from January 1, 2017.
Decline in generation cost and threat from DG pushing utility companies toward PV installations
The Utility PV segment has emerged from a greenhorn in the solar market to fastest growing sector in the industry. Utilities build large,
centralized PV systems that feed power directly to the grid.
Utilities providing electricity to the US have started considering residential solar systems as a threat. According to a study by Lawrence
Berkeley National Laboratory, if rooftop solar gains 10% of the market share in the next decade, utility earnings could decline by about
41%.
Utilities have also started considering solar energy as a means to reduce costs. Government initiatives have helped lower solar power
generation cost from $0.21 per kilowatt-hour in 2010 to $0.11 per kilowatt-hour in 2013. The falling price of utility PV projects since
SunShots inception has driven major expansions in the segment, with utilities quadrupling their capacities to 7,308MW since 1H2012.
11.0
10.5
10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.0
7.5
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
7.0
Residential
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
6.5
Non Residential
1H 12
Utility
1H 14
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
24
Module
Inverter
Other Hardware
Soft Costs
18
12
2020 Target
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
Source: www.freeingthegrid.org
Grades in the above map represent various levels of effectiveness of the Net Metering Policies in each state depending on the fee,
additional charges, and other obstacles in installation of the Net Metering Systems, with A being the most effective and E the least.
States with grade equivalent to N/A do not have any statewide net metering policy.
Some utilities perceive this net metering as lost revenue opportunities. On the other hand, proponents of this methodology claim that
net metering policies create a smoother demand curve for electricity and allow utilities to better manage their peak electricity loads,
thereby increasing reliability of the system.
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
Solar Easements: allow a property owner to negotiate for the rights to unobstructed sunlight on their property
Solar Access Laws: provide more protection to solar customers by prohibiting or limiting private restrictions on solar
energy installations
establishes national net metering and interconnection standards, solar access rights, and 30-year government power
contracting authority.
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
Other renewable
Sources
15%
Coal
28%
Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly October 2014, Greentech Media Research, Solar Energy Industries Association, Aranca Research
Reduced electricity usage from grid to adversely impact prices due to fixed grid maintenance charges
Electricity demand from utilities has declined following the increase in DGs reach. However, utilities would still be required to incur fixed
costs associated with maintaining grids, as customers with installed solar rooftops would still be connected to the grid. This would result
in higher electricity rates for existing utility customers; this would encourage more people to install solar rooftop panels for cheaper
electricity.
Traditional utilities trying to limit solar rooftop installation growth, sighting DG companies as threat
Consumers with rooftop solar installations have already reduced their electricity usage from the traditional grid. Not only is the solar
rooftop energy model cost efficient but also the net metering system provides end users with electricity credit for the excess energy
generated and exported to the grid. Traditional utilities are protesting against the net metering laws and battery backups wired to solar
panels, stating that the power flowing back to the grid may not be clean energy. The net metering policy requires utilities to purchase
electricity from consumers with solar installations (obligatory by state legislation or voluntarily by some utilities) at the price that
customers pay for the grid. This results in loss of revenues for utilities. Furthermore, utilities are demanding a maintenance or
connection charge from rooftop solar owners. Alternatively, utilities in a few states have proposed lower prices to be paid for exported
excess solar electricity.
The Arizona Public Service Company (an electric utility engaged in retail and wholesale electric distribution in the State of Arizona), for
instance, demanded a $50 per month charge from its rooftop solar owners. The regulator approved a charge of $5 for the same.
Currently, there are pending proposals to scale back net metering laws in 20 states. While new regulatory laws are expected to be
issued at some point in future, how much would those favor solar rooftop installations or hamper their growth is anybodys guess.
Research Note by: Kartik Sabharwal and Jay Thakker
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Solar
Installation A new trend in US Utilities
January 2015
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