Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
on
Risk management in banks
Submitted to:
Submitted by
Sweta kukreja
Lecturer
Imba 38
A3907508032
1
Acknowledgement
I would like to thank my guide Mrs. Priya Soloman for her support
and guidance throughout the project.
The realization of the project marks the beginning of an evergrowing experience in my life.
Abstract
Risk management underscores the fact that survival of an
organization depends heavily on its capabilities to anticipate and
prepare to change rather than just wait for its occurrence.
The core study of the project is to basically analyze what is risk in
context of banks and various types of risks i.e., credit risk ,
operational , market etc.
It also deals with measures to control these risk types. The report
also delas with functions of risk in banks.
It also includes the comparison of private and public sector that is
judged on key parameters that enable banks to achieve better
bottom line and remain competitive in a highly volatile and
regulatory environment.
Research methodology
The data used in the project report is been taken from secondary
sources like
A) Annual reports of banks
B) RBI Bulletin
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Content
Pg.no
Acknowledgement
Abstract
Research methodology
Introduction
7-27
28-36
Sector banks
Conclusion
37
Bibliography
38
INTRODUCTION
Risk definition
When we use the term Risk, we all mean financial risk or uncertainty of
financial loss. If we consider risk in terms of probability of occurrence
frequently, we mea- sure risk on a scale, with certainty of occurrence at one
end and certainty of non-occurrence at the other end.
Risk is the potentiality that both the expected and unexpected events may
have an adverse impact on the banks capital or earnings. The expected loss
is to be borne by the borrower and hence is taken care of by adequately
pricing the products through risk premium and reserves created out of the
earnings. It is the amount expected to be lost due to changes in credit quality
resulting in default. Each trans- action that the bank undertakes changes the
risk profile of the bank. The extent of calculations that need to be performed
to understand the impact of each such risk on the transactions of the bank
makes it nearly impossible to continuously update the risk calculations.
Hence, pro- viding real time risk information is one of the key challenges of
risk management exercise.
Till recently all the activities of banks were regulated and hence operational
environment was not conducive to risk taking. Better insight, sharp intuition
and longer experience were adequate to manage the limited risks.
Business is the art of extracting money from others pocket, sans resorting to
violence. But profiting in business without exposing to risk is like trying to
live without being born.
Every one knows that risk taking is failure- prone as otherwise it would be
treated as sure taking. Hence risk is inherent in any walk of life in general
and in financial sectors in particular. In the process of financial
intermediation, the gap of which becomes thinner and thinner, banks are
exposed to severe competition and hence are compelled to encounter various
types of financial and non-financial risks. Risks and uncertainties form an
integral part of banking which by nature entails taking risks. The essential
functions of risk management are to identify, measure and more importantly
monitor the profile of the bank.
Credit risk consists of primarily two components, viz Quantity of risk, which
is nothing but the outstanding loan balance as on the date of default and the
quality of risk, viz, the severity of loss defined by both Probability of
Default as reduced by the recoveries that could be made in the event of
default. Thus credit risk is a combined outcome of Default Risk and
Exposure Risk.
The instruments and tools, through which credit risk management is carried
out, are detailed below:
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2) MARKET RISK
Market Risk may be defined as the possibility of loss to bank caused by the
changes in the market variables. It is the risk that movements in equity and
interest rate markets, currency exchange rates and commodity prices will
adversely affect the value of on-/off-balance sheet positions. Market risk is
the risk to the banks earnings and capital due to changes in the market level
of interest rates or prices of securities, foreign exchange and equities, as well
as the volatilities, of those prices. Market Risk Management provides a
comprehensive and dynamic frame work for measuring, monitoring and
managing liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange and equity as well as
commodity price risk of a bank that needs to be closely integrated with the
banks business strategy.
Scenario analysis and stress testing is yet another tool used to assess areas of
potential problems in a given port- folio. Identification of future changes in
economic conditions like economic/industry overturns, market risk events,
liquidity conditions etc that could have unfavorable effect on banks
portfolio is a condition precedent for carrying out stress testing. As the
underlying assumption keep changing from time to time, out- put of the test
should be reviewed periodically as market risk management system should
be responsive and sensitive to the happenings in the market.
a) Liquidity Risk:
Bank Deposits generally have a much shorter contractual maturity than loans
and liquidity management needs to provide a cushion to cover anticipated
deposit withdrawals.
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c) Forex Risk
Foreign exchange risk is the risk that a bank may suffer loss as a result of
adverse exchange rate movement during a period in which it has an open
position, either spot or forward or both in same foreign currency. Even in
case where spot or forward positions in individual currencies are balanced
the maturity pattern of forward transactions may produce mismatches.
There is also a settlement risk arising out of default of the counter party and
out of time lag in settlement of one currency in one center and the settlement
of another currency in another time zone. Banks are also exposed to interest
rate risk, which arises from the maturity mismatch of foreign currency
position. The Value at Risk (VaR) indicates the risk that the bank is exposed
due to uncovered position of mismatch and these gap positions are to be
valued on daily basis at the prevalent forward market rates announced by
FEDAI for the remaining maturities.
Currency Risk is the possibility that exchange rate changes will alter the
expected amount of principal and return of the lending or investment. At
times, banks may try to cope with this specific risk on the lending side by
shifting the risk associated with exchange rate fluctuations to the borrowers.
However the risk does not get extinguished, but only gets converted in to
credit risk.
By setting appropriates limits-open position and gaps, stop-loss limits, Day
Light as well as overnight limits for each currency, Individual Gap Limits
and Aggregate Gap Limits, clear cut and well defined division of
responsibilities between front, middle and back office the risk element in
foreign exchange risk can be managed/monitored.
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3) Country Risk
This is the risk that arises due to cross border transactions that are growing
dramatically in the recent years owing to economic liberalization and
globalization. It is the possibility that a country will be unable to service or
repay debts to foreign lenders in time. It comprises of Transfer Risk arising
on account of possibility of losses due to restrictions on external remittances;
Sovereign Risk associated with lending to government of a sovereign nation
or taking government guarantees; Political Risk when political environment
or legislative process of country leads to government taking over the assets
of the financial entity (like nationalization, etc.) and preventing discharge of
liabilities in a manner that had been agreed to earlier; Cross border risk
arising on account of the borrower being a resident of a country other than
the country where the cross border asset is booked; Currency Risk, a
possibility that exchange rate change, will alter the expected amount of
principal and return on the lending or investment.
In the process there can be a situation in which seller (exporter) may deliver
the goods, but may not be paid or the buyer (importer) might have paid the
money in advance but was not delivered the goods for one or the other
reasons.
As per the RBI guidance note on Country Risk Management published
recently, banks should reckon both fund and non-fund exposures from their
domestic as well as foreign branches, if any, while identifying, measuring,
monitoring and controlling country risk. It advocates that bank should also
take into account indirect country risk exposure.
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The exposures should be computed on a net basis, i.e. gross exposure minus
collaterals, guarantees etc. Netting may be considered for collaterals
in/guarantees issued by countries in a lower risk category and may be permitted for banks dues payable to the respective countries.
RBI further suggests that banks should eventually put in place appropriate
systems to move over to internal assessment of country risk within a
prescribed period say by 31.3.2004, by which time the new capital accord
would be implemented. The system should be able to identify the full
dimensions of country risk as well as incorporate features that acknowledge
the links between credit and market risks. Banks should not rely solely on
rating agencies or other external sources as their only country riskmonitoring tool.
With regard to inter-bank exposures, the guidelines suggests that banks
should use the country ratings of international rating agencies and broadly
classify the country risk rating into six categories such as insignificant, low,
moderate, high, very high & off-credit. However, banks may be allowed to
adopt a more conservative categorization of the countries.
Banks may set country exposure limits in relation to the banks regulatory
capital (Tier I & II) with suitable sub limits, if necessary, for products,
branches, maturity etc. Banks were also advised to set country exposure
limits and monitor such exposure on weekly basis before eventually
switching over to real tie monitoring.
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Always banks live with the risks arising out of human error, financial fraud
and natural disasters. The recent happenings such as WTC tragedy, Barings
debacle etc. has high- lighted the potential losses on account of operational
risk. Exponential growth in the use of technology and increase in global
financial inter-linkages are the two primary changes that contributed to such
risks. Operational risk, though defined as any risk that is not categorized as
market or credit risk, is the risk of loss arising from inadequate or failed
internal processes, people and systems or from external events. In order to
mitigate this, internal control and internal audit systems are used as the
primary means.
Risk education for familiarizing the complex operations at all levels of staff
can also reduce operational risk. Insurance cover is one of the important
mitigators of operational risk. Operational risk events are associated with
weak links in internal control procedures. The key to management of
operational risk lies in the banks ability to assess its process for
vulnerability and establish controls as well as safeguards while providing for
unanticipated worst-case scenarios.
Operational risk involves breakdown in internal controls and corporate
governance leading to error, fraud, performance failure, compromise on the
interest of the bank resulting in financial loss. Putting in place proper
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5) REGULATORY RISK
When owned funds alone are managed by an entity, it is natural that very
few regulators operate and supervise them. However, as banks accept
deposit from public obviously better governance is expected of them. This
entails multiplicity of regulatory controls. Many Banks, having already gone
for public issue, have a greater responsibility and accountability. As banks
deal with public funds and money, they are subject to various regulations.
The very many regulators include Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Securities
Exchange Board of India (SEBI), Department of Company Affairs (DCA),
etc. More over, banks should ensure compliance of the applicable provisions
of The Banking Regulation Act, The Companies Act, etc.
Thus all the banks run the risk of multiple regulatory-risk which inhibits free
growth of business as focus on compliance of too many regulations leave
little energy and time for developing new business. Banks should learn the
art of playing their business activities within the regulatory controls.
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6) ENVIRONMENTAL RISK
As the years roll by and technological advancement take place, expectation
of the customers change and enlarge. With the economic liberalization and
globalization, more national and international players are operating the
financial markets, particularly in the banking field. This provides the
platform for environmental change and exposes the bank to the
environmental risk. Thus, unless the banks improve their delivery channels,
reach customers, innovate their products that are service oriented, they are
exposed to the environmental risk resulting in loss in business share with
consequential profit.
permanent component of the core capital of the counter party. While Basel
standards currently require banks to have a capital adequacy ratio of 8%
with Tier I not less than 4%, RBI has mandated the banks to maintain CAR
of 9%. The maintenance of capital adequacy is like aiming at a moving target as the composition of risk-weighted assets gets changed every minute on
account of fluctuation in the risk profile of a bank. Tier I capital is known as
the core capital providing permanent and readily available support to the
bank to meet the unexpected losses.
In the recent past, owner of PSU banks, the government provided capital in
good measure mainly to weaker banks. In doing so, the government was not
acting as a prudent investor as return on such capital was never a
consideration. Further, capital infusion did not result in any cash flow to the
receiver, as all the capital was required to be reinvested in government
securities yielding low interest. Receipt of capital was just a book entry with
the only advantage of interest income from the securities. where certain
minimum capital adequacy has to be maintained in the face of stiff norms in
respect of income recognition, asset classification and provisioning. It is
clear that multi pronged approach would be required to meet the challenges
of maintaining capital at adequate levels in the face of mounting risks in the
banking sector.
3.
given below.
Pillar I Pillar II Pillar III Pillar
Focus area -
review
Foundation Internal Rating Based Approach: Under this, bank rates the
borrower and results are translated into estimates of a potential future loss
amount which forms the basis of minimum capital requirement.
3) Advanced Internal Rating Based Approach: In Advanced IRB approach,
the range of risk weights will be well diverse. Market Risk Menu:
1) Standardized Approach 2) Internal Models Approach Operational Risk
Menu:
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1)
loss data estimation, for each combination of business line, bank is required
to calculate an expected loss value to ascertain the required capital to be
allocated/assigned.
The Reserve Bank of India presently has its supervisory mechanism by way
of on-site inspection and off-site monitoring on the basis of the audited
balance sheet of a bank. In order to enhance the supervisory mechanism, the
RBI has decided to put in place, beginning from the last quarter of the
financial year 02-03, a system of Risk Based Supervision. Under risk based
supervision, super- visors are expected to concentrate their efforts on
ensuring that financial institutions use the process necessarily to identify,
measure and control risk exposure. The RBS is expected to focus
supervisory attention in accordance with the risk profile of the bank. The
RBI has already structured the risk profile templates to enable the bank to
make a self-assessment of their risk profile. It is designed to ensure
continuous monitoring and evaluation of risk profile of the institution
through risk matrix. This may optimize the utilization of the supervisory
resources of the RBI so as to minimize the impact of a crises situation in the
financial system. The transaction based audit and supervision is getting
shifted to risk focused audit.
Risk based supervision approach is an attempt to over- come the deficiencies
in the traditional point-in-time, transaction-validation and value based
supervisory system. It is for- ward looking enabling the supervisors to
differentiate between banks to focus attention on those having high-risk
profile. The implementation of risk based auditing would imply that greater
emphasis is placed on the internal auditors role for mitigating risks. By
focusing on effec- tive risk management, the internal auditor would not only
offer remedial measures for current trouble-prone areas, but also anticipate
problems to play an active rolecin protecting the bank from risk hazards.
The performance of the two sectors is being judged on key parameters that
enable banks to achieve better bottom line and remain competitive in a
highly volatile and regulatory environment.
Parameter1: Banks Network
Today banks follow a willful strategy of building a network of branches and
ATMs with effective penetration so that they can continue to enlarge their
geographical coverage of centers with potential for growth. The banks try to
deeply entrench across the country with significant density in areas
conducive to the growth of their businesses.
The private sector banks are spreading its wings at a much faster rate than
public sector banks. The customer base of these banks has grown manifold
since they are able to provide innovative services to the customers at a much
faster pace. This is leading them to capture more market share and eating up
some of the share of their public sector counterparts.
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Every bank aspires to grow and its growth can be judged by various
parameters like growth in balance sheet size i.e. asset base, improvement in
the bottom line and many others.
% Growth in
% Growth in Total
Income
2010
2011
2010
2011
10.86%
23.51%
-2.19%
14.63%
17.93%
19.21%
12.46%
16.71%
New Private
Sector Banks
Public Sector
Banks
The public sector banks asset base and income grew at a decent rate in the
last 2 years whereas there was a great fluctuation in case of new private
sector banks mainly due to recession. But the growth of these banks was
phenomenal during 2010-11 that shows their ability to recover fast after such
a catastrophe.
Parameter3: Productivity
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These ratios can be misleading since banks can improve these ratios by
trimming their employees during recessionary environment. This is evident
since asset base and profit levels declined during 2009-10 for new private
sector banks but still the above ratios showing a continuous increasing trend.
This was only possible when there is large lay-off of employees which is
actually what had happened with these banks during the period 2008-10. It
was only in 2010 when the business started to pick up back again they
started to hire. Overall public sector banks scores higher when it comes to
employee retention which is also evident from the graph.
Parameter4: Capital Adequacy
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Asset Quality reflects the amount of existing credit risk associated with the
loan and investment portfolio as well as off-balance sheet activities.
Loan & Investment Portfolio: The asset quality of banks can be judged by
the non-performing assets (NPA) ratio. Non-performing assets (NPA) are
assets which fail to make either interest or principal payments for more than
90 days. RBI has set guidelines to classify NPA into different categories like
sub-standard, doubtful or loss assets.
There are two effects of NPA on bank financial statements:
1) Loss incurred due to non-payment of principal and interest by borrowers
2) Reduction of capital base due to its allocation to provision for doubtful
assets
It is mandatory for all banks to have their asset base well diversified so that
risk can be mitigated. It has been seen that both private and public sector
banks have followed this practice meticulously.
However there is huge difference in asset qualities of public & new private
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sector banks. The main reason being that public sector banks have higher
NPAs in services sector. The NPAs in other sectors like Agriculture,
Industry and Personal Loans are almost similar for these banks. The asset
quality of a bank directly affects its credit rating for example recently
Moody downgraded State Bank of India (SBI) credit rating due to its low
asset quality.
Off-Balance Sheet (BS) activities: These are activities of banks which are
not recorded on its balance sheet. It is very important to consider the effect
of these items since it can have disastrous effect on banks business.
This makes their business highly susceptible to market risk but these banks
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Parameter7: Liquidity
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Bibliography
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Websites
1.www.google.com
2.www.wikipedia.com
3. www.rbi.org
4.http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opinion/policy/risk-management-inbanks-simple-steps-for-difficult-situations/articleshow/8478370.cms
5.http://www.businessweek.com/stories/2009-09-14/how-banks-shouldmanage-riskbusinessweek-business-news-stock-market-and-financial-advice
Research paper
1. Risk management in banks by R.S Raghavan
2. Operational
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