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Capital accumulation, interest rate, and the incomepollution

pattern. A simple model


Giuseppe Di Vita

Faculty of Law, University of Catania, via Gallo n 24, 95124 Catania, Italy
Accepted 27 April 2007
Abstract
In this paper we use a modified RamseyCassKoopmans model to show that the inverse U-shaped incomepollution
relationship may be explained through the decreasing of the interest rate over time and with a growth in income. If the problem of
the benevolent planner is (whether and how) to implement a policy for environmental pollution abatement to maximize social
welfare, the rate of interest plays a fundamental role in determining the moment at which such a policy should be adopted. In
particular, growth and capital accumulation together reduce the marginal rate of return of savings (and capital), making it possible
to implement environmentally friendly devices at the moment when the country grows richer and its rate of interest becomes lower
than the social discount rate.
2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
JEL classification: O41; Q20
Keywords: Environmental Kuznets Curve; Growth; Interest rate; Pollution emissions
1. Introduction
The incomepollution relationship is currently one of the most important topics of research in economic literature.
The so-called Environmental Kuznets Curve (hereafter EKC) is an issue in both theoretical and empirical studies
because of its immediate relevance for the policy-maker, who uses it to define the most appropriate measures to adopt
for environmental protection.
Since the pioneering article of Grossman and Krueger (1991), which established an inverse U-shaped income
pollution pattern, many other researchers have attempted to support this relationship with possible theoretical
arguments. Without meaning to be exhaustive, we can refer to the transit from an agricultural economy to an
industrialized one and later to the implementation of cleaner production processes; to government corruption, backstop
technologies, institution failures, satiation of consumers, increasing returns to scale in pollution abatement processes,
negative externalities on production or consumption, and so on (John and Pecchenino, 1994; Arrow et al., 1995; Selden
Available online at www.sciencedirect.com
Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
www.elsevier.com/locate/econbase

Tel.: +39 95 230335; fax: +39 95 321654.


E-mail address: gdivita@lex.unict.it.
0264-9993/$ - see front matter 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2007.04.017
and Song, 1995; Jaeger, 1998; Stokey, 1998; Suri and Chapman, 1998; Rothman, 1998; Jones and Manuelli, 2000;
Lpez and Mitra, 2000; Magnani, 2000; Panayotou, 2000; Andreoni and Levinson, 2001; Tahvonen and Salo, 2001; Di
Vita, 2004).
1
In this paper we attempt to supply a new explanation for the inverse U-shaped pattern followed by some pollutants
in relation to a growth in income (Harbaugh et al., 2002), by means of capital accumulation and the dynamics of the
interest rate, which in the steady state should be equal to the marginal rate of return of capital.
We assume the marginal rate of return of capital to be high at a lower level of income, such that individuals want to
invest in capital accumulation and to satisfy their present needs, without considering the negative externality
represented by pollution in their utility function. It is not until the country becomes wealthier and the marginal return of
capital decreases that agents will prove more willing to invest their savings in pollution abatement devices. This is also
because impatience decreases as people grow richer (Chavas, 2004).
The theoretical justification for choosing to delay adoption of more environmentally friendly measures until the
interest rate drops may alone explain why pollution initially increases together with income and later falls as production
grows. By means of the simple mechanism of a decrease in the interest rate as the economy develops, well-known since
the paper of Ramsey (1928) and the theoretical framework elaborated by Cass (1965) and Koopmans (1965) (for the
sake of simplicity called the RCK model)we are able to explain the inverse U-shaped behavior of some pollutants as
income rises. The question that we bear in mind in writing this paper is: can the decrease in the interest rate as income
grows explain the inverse U-shaped incomepollution pattern? We will show that pollution emissions first increase and
later decrease as income grows, depending on whether the interest rate is greater or lower than the discount rate.
We are thus able to derive an inverse U-shaped EKC. Moreover, emissions increase in the rate of interest and
decrease in the pure time preference parameter index. Using the simple theoretical framework outlined above, we
demonstrate that even if some human resources are allotted to the pollution abatement sector and with increasing
returns to scale in the green sector, pollution emissions will not necessarily fall. It is only at some levels of income, and
for a lower marginal rate of return on capital (saving), that pollution emissions and income move in opposite directions.
This may also explain why pollution abatement policies cannot be adopted during the early stages of economic
development of a country.
The relevance of the interest rate in explaining the relationship between income and pollution is a recent topic and
has not been discussed in economic literature before now. The only paper concerning this question, by Gruver (1976),
was written before the EKC was discovered: in it the author introduces the portfolio choice between investments in
productive capital and pollution control capital and underlines the fact that, at some optimal level of capital
accumulation, savings are allotted to the green industry to reduce emissions. The results of this paper are not general but
based on some configuration of parameters of capital and do not explicitly deal with the EKC (Pfaff et al., 2004). The
added value of the present paper is that here the interest rate is held to be endogenous, while in previous analyses it was
considered exogenous (see for example Di Vita, in press). This has allowed us to obtain more interesting results from
the analysis, because it is well-known that in real economy the interest rate declines with a growth in income. The next
step is to render the discount rate endogenous also. Other researchers have tackled the question using a very different
theoretical framework, less general than the model we have employed here.
The novelty of this simple but original explanation of the up-and-down behavior of some pollutants explains why
there are no econometric analyses considering the interest rate as an explanatory variable of pollution dynamics.
In the paper we use a very simple RCK growth model of a closed economy with an infinite temporal horizon,
slightly modified in order to consider two sectors: the primary good is produced in the first; the second is the green
sector dealing with the pollution abatement policy. In the economy we have depicted in our model, if no labor time is
allotted to the emissions abatement sector only the industry in which inputs are transformed into a final output will be
considered. Avery simple production function is used, exhibiting constant returns to scale in inputs, capital and labor.
The population is assumed to be constant, and normalized to one, for the sake of simplicity. In the hypothesis where
pollution reduction does take place, the labor will be divided between the two sectors. The emissions abatement
technology is described by a simple production function that exhibits increasing returns to scale (Andreoni and
Levinson, 2001). The utility function is additively separable into two areas: per-capita consumption and stock of
pollution (Hoel, 1978; Huhtala, 1999; Lusky, 1976; Plourde, 1972; Smith, 1972). We assume a functional form of the
utility function that satisfies the constant intertemporal elasticity of substitution (CIES) in both.
1
For a more detailed survey of the theoretical explanations of the EKC see Borghesi, 1999 and the introduction of Di Vita, in press.
226 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
After this brief introduction, we set up the theoretical model in the section which follows. Section 3 sets out the main
results of the paper for a series of hypotheses. Comments and summary remarks conclude the work. Mathematical
details are produced in the Appendix.
2. Theoretical framework
To describe the model we start from the technology. The final output Y is obtained by combining two inputs,
physical capital K and labor effort v, allotted to the first sector of the economy. The production function is thus:
Y K
a
1
v
a
2
; with a
1
a
2
1; 1
which satisfies the so-called Inada conditions. Assuming the total labor force L available in our economy to be constant
and equal to one, (1v) is the number of workers involved in pollution abatement, if this activity takes place. The final
product Y may be utilized for consumption or investment purposes indifferently. This is why the amount of product that
is not consumed will be saved by the individuals in a closed economy. The law motion of physical capital is
d
K Y C; where K0 K
0
and Kt z 0: 2
(2) is a constraint which considers the change of K over time. For the sake of simplicity, depreciation in K is not
considered here. Aggregate consumption is denoted by C=xY, with 0bx1. Aggregate saving is S=sY=K

, where
0s b1, and s =(1x).
The production and consumption of final output creates some pollution emissions E=Y

, with 0b1 indicating


the rate at which emissions increase as income rises.
This functional form takes into account the empirical evidence for which, as income grows, the amount of total
output becoming emissions decreases, for example as a result of a structural change in production or output
dematerialization. E is the only control variable that governs the dynamics of pollution stock M over time, if no
pollution abatement policies are adopted. Otherwise, the behavior over time of M depends also upon the amount of
emissions that are abated E
a
by means of the labor effort devoted to this aim. The transition equation of the pollution
stock is thus:
d
M rE E
a
pM; 3
where 0b1 is a constant accounting for the emissions immediately absorbed by the ecosystem (with b). E
a
is
equal to Y
1
(1v)
2
, representing the pollution abatement technology, where
1
+
2
N1. Without loss of generality,
from here on we put
1
=1 just to simplify the formal analysis. Finally, 0b1 is the natural rate at which M decreases
over time. To distinguish better between and , we can consider a pollutant, for instance CO
2
: the first parameter
regards the rate at which emissions are immediately absorbed by the atmosphere (for example, the concentration of
pollution is higher close to its source and lower at the upper level of the atmosphere); the second parameter considers
the rate at which the previously accumulated stock of pollutant dissipates over time.
It is worth spending a few words on E
a
and the assumption of increasing returns of scale. This is based on the
empirical evidence described by Andreoni and Levinson (2001) and on a simple consideration that the greater the
amount of pollution, the lower the marginal and average costs of abatement. Obviously if v=1, this implies that E
a
=0.
The instantaneous utility function of infinitely-lived households choosing between consumption and saving to
maximize their dynastic utility, subjected to an intertemporal budget constraint, can be indicated by
u uC; M
C
1h
1
1 h

M
1x
1
1 x
; with h; g N 0: 4
(4) has continuous first and second partial derivatives, with u
C
N0, u
CC
b0, u
M
b0, u
MM
b0 and U
C,M
=0. Here
and are two parameters representing the elasticity of marginal utility with respect to consumption () and pollution
stock ().
Not many words are necessary to clarify why utility depends on the per-capita consumption, whereas it could be
useful to explain why u depends on M. The reason for including the stock of pollution in the utility function is that the
accumulation of pollution has only negative effects on welfare (Keeler et al., 1971).
227 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
An exogenous social discount rate N0 is applied to the flow of utility. The total welfare W associated with any
particular time path for C and M is derived by summing the discounted flow, as follows:
W
_
l
0
uC; Me
dt
dt; 5
this reflects that current agents in this economy take into account the welfare and resources of their present or future
descendants.
The function to be maximized is (5), subject to (1)(4). The appropriate Hamiltonian for the problem is
H
C
1h
1
1 h

M
1x
1
1 x
_ _
e
dt
k
1
K
a
1
v
a
2
C k
2
fK
a
1
v
a
2

g
r 1 v
b
2
pMg 6
where
i
, i =1, 2, are the current values of shadow-prices of capital and pollution stocks, respectively. Note that it is
assumed that
2
b0 because pollution always reduces welfare, creating a negative externality on consumption.
The first-order conditions are straightforward and easy to calculate:
AH
AC
e
dt
C
h
k
1
0; or e
dt
C
h
k
1
; 7
AH
Av
a
2
k
1
Y
v
k
2
Y
g
a
2
gr1 v a
2
g1 v
b
2
1 v 1 v
b
2
b
2
v
1 vv
_ _
0;
or k
2

a
2
k
1
Y
1g
a
2
gr a
2
g1 v
b
2
1 v
b
2
1
b
2
v
; 8
d
k
1

AH
AK
a
1
k
1
Y
K

k
2
ga
1
Y
g
r 1 v
b
2

K
; 9
d
k
2

AH
AM
M
x
e
dt
pk
2
; 10
The growth rates of the dynamic multipliers are
g
k
1

d
k
1
k
1
a
1
Y
K

k
2
k
1
ga
1
Y
g
r 1 v
b
2

K
_ _
; 11
g
k
2

d
k
2
k
2

M
x
e
dt
k
2
p: 12
Differentiating Eq. (7) logarithmically, the result will be:
g
k
2
hg
c
; 13
The transversality conditions are:
lim
tYl
e
dt
Ht 0; 14
lim
tYl
e
dt
k
1
tKt 0; 15
lim
tYl
e
dt
k
2
tMt 0: 16
228 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
First of all, we want to prove that our model exhibits a locally stable saddle point. To this aim we have to find the
optimal values of physical capital, pollution stock and consumption. We know the equations that describe K

and M

,
thus we want to derive the motion equation of consumption. To this aim we can calculate the partial derivative to
time of (7) and again substitute it for
1
in (9); after eliminating
2
by means of (8) and with a little algebra, we
obtain:
d
C
C
uWCC=uVC
d r
a
2
gr1 1
b
2
b
2
a
2
g
1
b
2
b
2
a
2
g
_ _ _ _
; 17
where r =
1
Y/ K is the rate of interest (that in the steady state should be equal to the marginal rate of return of
capital, Cass, 1965; Romer, 1996). From our specification of the utility function (CIES) we know that u(C)C/ u
(C) = and letting
2
(1v) (1v)
2
(
2

2
v) / (1v)
2
v (
2

2
) = (where N0), to simplify the
analysis, we may rewrite (17) as:
d
C
C
h
fru dg: 18
Given that v is constant in the steady state, we can see that (18), together with (2) and (3), constitutes a system of
three unknowns in three equations that we can solve mathematically. By means of (8) and (10) it is also possible to
unite the two differential equations of physical capital and pollution stock in a single one, by integrating (3) with
respect to time and using the two equations mentioned above.
The result is:
d
K

K
a
1

a
2

12g1x
p
2
a
2
C
h
g1x
_
C: 19
Letting

C=K

=0 we may thus calculate the optimal values of consumption and capital respectively. By means of
(18) and (19), we find

C/ Kb0 and K / Cb0, from which we now possess all the information necessary to sketch
our phase diagram in (K, C) space, as in the figure below (Fig. 1).
This shows that we have a locally stable saddle point equilibrium. Moreover, we can prove this result by calculating
the characteristic roots of the system of equations represented by (18) and (19), evaluated in the steady state, to find that
we have two real roots, with opposite signs (see Appendix for analytical details).
Fig. 1. Phase diagram.
229 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
3. Decreasing marginal rate of return of capital and pollution dynamics
To study the relationship between the interest rate and the dynamics of pollution stock, we have to find the equation
that describes r. By means of (17) we obtain:
r d h
d
c
c
_ _
1
u
; 20
where the term 1/ N0 represents the effect on r of the internalization of the negative externality on the environment,
represented by pollution (we remember that combines the parameters of the model). In other words, the rate of
interest is lower when the negative externality of production is internalized. Without including the stock of pollution in
the utility function and the effort to reduce emissions in the model, the rate of interest would in fact be greater, because
equal to + (c
d
/ c). This is because the marginal productivity of capital would be higher if the adverse effect of
production on the environment were accounted for.
Now, putting in evidence (1v)
2
in (17) and then substituting in (3), we get the equation that links the
dynamics of the pollution stock with the interest rate:
d
M K
a
1

a
2

g
r hg
c
d
ra
2
g
_ _
a
2
g r 1
b
2
1
_ _
1
b
2
1
b
2

_ _
pM: 3
From the equation above we can see that M is a direct function of the interest rate. To express it simply, if the interest
rate is high the absolute change in pollution stock is also high and vice-versa. Now we can consider two different
hypotheses: in the first, no pollution abatement policy is adopted (i.e. v=1); in the second, some labor effort is devoted
to making the environment cleaner (i.e. vb1).
3.1. Case I: v=1
If we assume that no labor effort is allotted to the green sector (i.e. v=1), we have to rewrite the appropriate
Hamiltonian and derive the relative first order conditions. If we repeat the process outlined above to derive the equation
describing the dynamics of pollution stock in terms of interest rate, pure time preference and growth rate of
consumption, we find:
d
M r d hg
C

Ke
dt
uVc
k
2
ga
1
pM: 21
Seeing that K Y
1
a
1
v

a
2
a
1
from (1), and substituting in (21) we obtain:
d
M r d hg
C
Y
1
a
1

a
2
a
1
e
dt
uVc
k
2
ga
1
pM: 22
Calculating the first and second partial derivative of M with respect to the final output, we find:
A
d
M
AY
Y

1a
1
a
1
r d hg
C

a
2
a
1
e
dt
uVc
k
2
ga
2
1
; 23
and
A
2
d
M
AY
2
Y
12a
1
a
1
a
1
1
a
2
1
r d hg
C

a
2
a
1
e
dt
uVc
k
2
ga
1
: 24
It is worth noting that M

/ YT0 and
2
M / Y
2
T0 depending on whether r T+g
C
. Thus in the steady state, in
which r =+g
C
, the pollution stock will decline at the rate . It is worth noting that this occurs for any positive value
of the term Ke
t
u(c) /
2

1
. In this way we are able to show that the pollution stock will decline without any
230 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
environmental policy or technological change process, merely as a result of growth. During the transitional dynamics,
M

may be positive or negative depending on whether the first addend is greater or lower than the second in (22). We
thus obtain a fairly inverse U-shaped EKC in which the peak occurs for [r g
C
]Ke
t
u(c) /
2

1
=M.
Note that the declining behavior of the rate of interest has two effects. Firstly, income grows as a result of capital
accumulation, thus making it possible to implement more environmentally friendly devices, because the country
becomes richer. Secondly, the aggregate investment and production levels increase, and the level of pollution may rise
so much that it could counterbalance the former effect.
2
To understand better why we find that pollution emissions decline starting from a given income level, we can take
the partial derivative of pollution emissions M with respect to the interest rate, using Eq. (23) to obtain:
A
d
M
Ar
Y
1
a
1

a
2
a
1
e
dt
uV
c
k
2
ga
1
: 25
If we compare (23), that accounts for the effect of income growth on pollution (positive for the environment), and
(25), that considers the effect of an increase in production and in the level of emissions (negative for the environment),
knowing that Y
1
a
1
c=k
2
ga
1
bY

1a
1
a
1
c=k
2
ga
2
1
, we are able to say that, when r b(+g
C
), the effect of an income
increase on the pollution emissions level is greater than the effect of the reduction in the interest rate. In other words,
when capital accumulation is low (the country is poor) the two effects work in the same direction (for r N+g
C
).
When the interest rate becomes low and capital accumulation is high, the two effects work in opposite directions and
the first is greater in magnitude than the second, such as to explain the declining branch of the EKC.
3.2. Case II: vb1
Now we can consider the case in which some resources are allotted to improving the quality of the environment (i.e.
vb1). In this case the dynamics of M are described by (3), by means of which we calculate the first and second partial
derivative of M

with respect to Y, to obtain


A
d
M
AY
Y
g
r hg
c
d
ra
2
_ _
a
2
g r 1
b
2
1
_ _
1
b
2
1
b
2

_ _
; 26
and
A
2
d
M
AY
2
Y
g2
g 1
r hg
c
d
ra
2
_ _
a
2
g r 1
b
2
1
_ _
1
b
2
1
b
2

_ _
: 27
It is worth noting that M

/ YT0 depending on whether r T+g


c
. At the very first stage of the economy it will
probably be true that M / YN0 basically for three different reasons. i) The rate of interest is high as a consequence of
low accumulation of capital; ii) few resources are devoted to pollution abatement (i.e. u is very close to 1); iii) g
c
is far
from its steady state value.
This implies, as suggested by the general theory of growth, that if the rate of interest is greater than the discount rate,
amplified by the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption, pollution will increase over time. The opposite occurs
when the country becomes wealthy and may devote some resources to making the environment cleaner. Note that

2
M

/ Y
2
T0 depending on whether r T+g
c
. In this way a quite inverse U-shaped incomepollution pattern is
generated as income grows and the rate of interest decreases with time, as we report in Fig. 2, below.
The upper part of Fig. 2 shows the relationship between the discount rate (that is constant) and the interest rate; it is
easy to understand that the peak of the EKC occurs at the level of per-capita income at which r =. The shape of the
EKC, first concave increasing and subsequently convex decreasing, is consistent with the findings of some other
scholars (John and Pecchenino, 1994; Jaeger, 1998; Stokey, 1998),
3
as well as with some econometric analyses (Brock
2
I am grateful to one of the referees for this suggestion.
3
The analytical condition to get a different shape of the EKC is to assume that there are not increasing returns to scale in pollution (i.e.
1
+
2
b1).
231 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
and Taylor, 2005; Galeotti et al., 2006; Panayotou, 2000). The exact shape of the relationship between the per-
capita income and harmful emissions in the real world, however, probably depends on the kind of pollutant accounted
for.
Eq. (3) is also interesting because it allows us to clarify the relationship between pollution dynamics and the interest
rate. Calculating the appropriate partial derivative we get:
A
d
M
Ar
Y
g
hg
c
d
r
2
a
2
g
a
2
g r 1
b
2
1
_ _
1
b
2
1
b
2

_ _
N 0; 28
such that we may affirm unequivocally that M and r are positively related. In other words, when the country has a high
rate of interest as a result of limited availability of capital, the pollution stock increases. It is only when the marginal return
of capital decreases such that rb+g
c
, that the country will allot more labor effort to the green industry. Finally, we
can also demonstrate that there is an inverse relationship between M and the pure time preference, deriving [3] with
respect to :
A
d
M
Ad

Y
g
ra
2
g
a
2
g r 1
b
2
1
_ _
1
b
2
1
b
2

_ _
b 0: 29
From (29) it is evident that the dynamics of pollution are decreasing in the discount rate, as highlighted in a recent
article (Di Vita, in press).
Fig. 2. Incomepollution pattern.
232 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
4. Final remarks
Without an environmental policy, pollution dynamics show a fairly inverse U-shaped pattern. The up-and-down
behaviour e of emissions depends on the level of the rate of interest. When the latter declines to a value at which M is
zero, a further increase in income will imply a drop in pollution accumulation.
Using both versions of the model we may prove the existence of a direct relationship between the interest rate and
pollution emissions dynamics. This is why it is only when people become rich that they are prepared to allot resources
to the green sector of the economy.
The abatement effort is not necessary to reduce emissions and to explain the falling branch of the incomepollution
pattern. The same occurs for the assumption of increasing returns to scale in the pollution abatement function. It is only
when the interest rate becomes lower than the discount rate that the country is willing to implement some environmentally
friendly devices. In cases where an environmental policy is launched, the question is whether or not this policy anticipates
the time at which the peak in the incomepollution pattern is reached; it is basically an empirical matter.
In this paper we assume that the discount rate is exogenously given, but we know that impatience in Fisher (1930)
means a decrease in income growth (Chavas, 2004; Das, 2003), such that our results could be biased. An interesting
topic for further research is to make the pure time preference index endogenous.
By means of the mechanism outlined in this paper we are able to explain why we find a positive relationship
between income and pollution emissions in developing countries and a negative one in wealthy nations.
Obviously, more econometric analyses are necessary to support the results of this paper.
Acknowledgements
I am grateful to Reyer Gerlagh for encouraging me to write this paper, and to an anonymous referee, Roberto Cellini
and Efrem Castelnuovo for their useful suggestions and comments. An earlier version of this study was presented at
seminars held at the University of Catania, University of Padua, Third World Congress of Environmental and Resource
Economists, Kyoto (Japan) July 37, 2006, Eighth International Meeting of the Society for Social Choice and Welfare,
Instanbul (Turkey) July 1317, 2006 and 62nd Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance, Paphos,
Cyprus, August 2831, 2006. All errors are the Author's alone.
Appendix A
To check that our model exhibits a saddle point equilibrium, we have to calculate the characteristic roots of the
differential equation system represented by (18) and (19), to form the Jacobian matrix and evaluate it at the steady state
point (K

, C

)
J
P
A
d
K
P
A
d
K
AK AC
P
A
d
C
P
A
d
C
AK AC
_

_
_

_
K

;C

A1
Calculating the four partial derivatives at K

, C

we obtain:
A
d
K
AK

K
a
1
12xgx

a
2
12xgx

1
g1x
g 1x
a
1
1 2xg x
K
b 0; A2
A
d
K
AC
p
2
g1x
a
2
C
h

1
g1x
g 1x
h
C
1 N 0; A3
A
d
C
AK
a
1
K
a
1
2
a
1
1
a
2
C
u
h
b 0; A4
A
d
C
AC

1
h
ru d S 0: A5
233 G. Di Vita / Economic Modelling 25 (2008) 225235
Thus the qualitative Jacobian matrix takes the form
J

?
_ _
; A6
The qualitative information we need about the characteristic roots
1
and
2
to confirm that we have an equilibrium
is conveyed by the result that
q
1
q
2
J
K

;C

p
2
g1x
a
2
C
h

1
g1x
g 1x
h
C
_ _
1 K
a
1
2
a
1
1
a
2
C
h
b
2
1
1
b
2
1
r 1 b
2

_ _
b 0:
A7
This implies that the two roots have opposite signs, which establishes the steady state to be locally a saddle point.
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