Siena College Research Institute

October 1-2, 2014

471 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 55
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Right track 38% 62% 17% 31% 39% 37% 70% 18% 39% 38% 45% 32% 35% 35% 48% 73% 46% 14% 70% 7%
Wrong direction 49% 24% 72% 57% 48% 50% 20% 71% 49% 49% 40% 58% 54% 53% 35% 16% 41% 77% 16% 86%
Don't know/No opinion 12% 14% 11% 12% 13% 12% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 10% 11% 11% 17% 11% 13% 9% 14% 7%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 48% 74% 25% 45% 46% 50% 80% 27% 44% 52% 59% 38% 46% 46% 56% 79% 61% 21% 90% 9%
Unfavorable 46% 24% 67% 49% 48% 44% 16% 68% 51% 43% 34% 57% 50% 48% 40% 17% 34% 74% 6% 88%
Don't know/No opinion 6% 2% 8% 6% 6% 6% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 25% 9% 41% 28% 30% 21% 9% 37% 18% 29% 20% 30% 29% 24% 20% 3% 18% 43% 5% 57%
Unfavorable 43% 63% 26% 36% 39% 47% 62% 32% 43% 44% 48% 38% 44% 41% 47% 72% 51% 23% 65% 16%
Don't know/No opinion 32% 28% 33% 36% 31% 32% 29% 31% 39% 27% 32% 32% 26% 35% 33% 25% 31% 34% 31% 26%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 6% 7% 3% 8% 7% 5% 8% 5% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 8% 9% 5% 6% 7% 4%
Unfavorable 13% 15% 13% 9% 13% 12% 12% 15% 16% 10% 14% 12% 13% 11% 15% 12% 15% 12% 14% 12%
Don't know/No opinion 81% 78% 83% 83% 80% 83% 80% 81% 78% 83% 80% 83% 81% 84% 77% 79% 80% 83% 80% 84%
I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or
institution I name. [Q2-Q7 ROTATED]
Q4. Howie Hawkins
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q3. Rob Astorino
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q2. Andrew Cuomo
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q1. Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD550914 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
471 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 55
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 38% 58% 26% 26% 40% 36% 74% 22% 35% 41% 49% 28% 38% 35% 44% 63% 38% 29% 53% 22%
Unfavorable 36% 25% 47% 36% 35% 36% 12% 51% 34% 36% 32% 39% 41% 37% 27% 19% 37% 46% 23% 52%
Don't know/No opinion 26% 17% 26% 38% 24% 28% 14% 27% 31% 22% 20% 33% 21% 28% 29% 18% 25% 25% 24% 25%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 60% 41% 78% 65% 58% 62% 21% 88% 59% 60% 54% 66% 69% 61% 46% 30% 55% 83% 41% 85%
Unfavorable 23% 40% 13% 14% 27% 20% 58% 6% 22% 25% 25% 22% 17% 23% 36% 54% 27% 7% 35% 7%
Don't know/No opinion 17% 19% 9% 21% 15% 18% 21% 6% 18% 15% 21% 13% 14% 16% 18% 16% 18% 10% 23% 8%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 27% 40% 18% 21% 24% 30% 39% 21% 26% 28% 29% 24% 27% 27% 29% 39% 31% 18% 41% 16%
Unfavorable 57% 46% 69% 57% 64% 52% 47% 65% 59% 56% 53% 61% 56% 60% 55% 51% 56% 64% 45% 70%
Don't know/No opinion 16% 13% 13% 22% 13% 19% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 15% 16% 13% 17% 10% 13% 18% 15% 14%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic,
Working Families and Independence Party
lines
47% 77% 21% 41% 43% 50% 80% 24% 44% 50% 60% 34% 45% 45% 55% 79% 62% 16%
Rob Astorino on the Republican and
Conservative Party lines
37% 12% 64% 39% 41% 34% 6% 61% 39% 36% 24% 50% 43% 40% 25% 3% 23% 72%
Howie Hawkins on the Green Party line 7% 7% 6% 8% 6% 7% 9% 6% 6% 7% 8% 6% 4% 9% 7% 13% 6% 5%
Vol: Someone else 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 9% 2% 10% 12% 9% 9% 4% 9% 10% 8% 9% 9% 7% 6% 13% 6% 8% 8%
Q8. If the 2014 election for Governor was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View
Q7. New York State Senate
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q6. Rich Funke
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q5. Ted OBrien
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
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Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
471 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 55
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
48% 57% 49% 35% 51% 46% 62% 41% 37% 57% 50% 47% 46% 51% 50% 63% 42% 48% 52% 49%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
35% 36% 31% 42% 35% 35% 23% 39% 40% 31% 36% 34% 37% 29% 40% 29% 36% 38% 34% 35%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
15% 6% 19% 19% 12% 17% 12% 18% 21% 9% 12% 17% 14% 19% 8% 4% 20% 13% 12% 14%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Don't know/No opinion 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Ted O'Brien on the Democratic and
Working Families Party lines
32% 61% 10% 26% 33% 32% 29% 36% 40% 25% 28% 33% 41% 70% 40% 9% 56% 5%
Rich Funke on the Republican, Conservative
and Independence Party lines
57% 28% 84% 63% 56% 58% 62% 53% 46% 67% 64% 59% 44% 19% 48% 88% 30% 93%
Don't know/No opinion 11% 11% 6% 11% 11% 10% 9% 11% 13% 8% 9% 7% 15% 11% 12% 3% 15% 1%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
58% 63% 59% 51% 59% 56% 59% 57% 51% 63% 62% 54% 61% 61% 50% 70% 49% 62% 54% 65%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
32% 25% 35% 34% 33% 30% 29% 33% 35% 30% 29% 34% 31% 29% 33% 23% 37% 31% 31% 31%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
9% 11% 6% 12% 6% 12% 11% 8% 14% 5% 8% 10% 7% 9% 15% 4% 13% 5% 13% 4%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Q11. How likely would you say you are to vote for [O'BRIEN/FUNKE]?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q10. If the election for State Senator was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q9. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CUOMO/ASTORINO/HAWKINS]?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD550914 Crosstabs.xlsx 3 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
471 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 55
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Property taxes 13% 10% 14% 17% 13% 13% 10% 16% 11% 15% 14% 12% 12% 13% 14% 6% 15% 16% 10% 16%
State budget 7% 5% 9% 10% 9% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 4% 12% 7% 8% 7% 8% 5% 8%
State taxes 19% 11% 25% 21% 22% 17% 11% 24% 24% 15% 13% 25% 20% 16% 20% 6% 17% 24% 13% 30%
Ethics reform 7% 4% 7% 13% 12% 3% 7% 7% 6% 9% 7% 8% 8% 7% 5% 8% 8% 6% 5% 8%
Health care 10% 18% 8% 4% 5% 15% 12% 10% 8% 12% 16% 5% 13% 10% 9% 13% 11% 10% 15% 6%
Education 15% 23% 8% 11% 9% 19% 24% 8% 18% 12% 17% 12% 16% 14% 14% 24% 17% 8% 20% 7%
Creating jobs 20% 22% 20% 18% 19% 21% 22% 20% 23% 19% 18% 23% 23% 19% 22% 22% 22% 19% 25% 17%
Vol: Something else 4% 4% 4% 1% 6% 2% 5% 3% 1% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 10% 1% 3% 4% 3%
Don't know/No opinion 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 2% 5% 4% 5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F O'Brien Funke
Under
55
55 and
older North South Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Only the Democrats 19% 41% 3% 11% 19% 19% 45% 3% 16% 22% 26% 12% 15% 18% 26% 55% 17% 7% 35% 0%
Only the Republicans 26% 5% 48% 28% 31% 21% 4% 41% 27% 23% 19% 32% 27% 30% 19% 2% 15% 51% 4% 58%
A coalition of Democrats and Republicans,
like we have now
49% 51% 44% 51% 42% 55% 47% 49% 50% 48% 50% 47% 50% 46% 50% 37% 62% 39% 53% 39%
Don't know/No opinion 7% 4% 5% 10% 8% 5% 4% 7% 6% 7% 5% 9% 7% 6% 5% 6% 7% 3% 8% 3%
Q13. Currently, the New York State Senate is controlled by a bipartisan coalition of all the Republicans in the Senate and five Democrats known as the Independent Democratic Caucus. In
November, all 63 Senate seats will be up for election. After the election, who would you like to see control the State Senate: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q12. What is the most important issue you want your State Senator to be working on in Albany: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
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Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
471 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 55
MOE +/- 4.5%
Party
Democrat 37%
Republican 35%
Independent/Other 23%
Political View
Liberal 16%
Moderate 43%
Conservative 35%
Region
North: Irondequoit/Penfield/Rochester 49%
South: East Rochester/Mendon/
Perinton/Pittsford/Rush/Ontario County 51%
Religion
Catholic 38%
Protestant 32%
Other 23%
Age
Under 55 44%
55 and older 54%
Gender
Male 47%
Female 53%
Nature of the Sample
Likely Voters
New York State Senate District 55
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