Issued: Monday, Nov 23, 2009 Updated daily by 9 AM

Ytd Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

Predictive Service Areas
Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24 Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27 Nov 28 Nov 29

SC01 - Eastern Sierra      2 2 

SC02 - Central Sierra      2 2 
SC03 - Southern Sierra   2 2  2 2 
SC04 - Sierra Foothills      1 1 1
SC05 - Central Valley   1  2 2 1 1
Legend:    2  2 2 1
SC06 - Central Coast Interior
Fuel Dryness SC07 - Central Coast  2 2 2  2 2 2
Moist - Little or no risk for large fires. SC08 - South Coast  2 3 3 3 2 2 2
SC09 - Western Mountains  2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the
absence of a "High Risk" event. SC10 - Eastern Mountains  3 3 3 3 2  3
SC11 - Southern Mountains  2 2 3 3 2 2 3
Very Dry - Low/Moderate risk of large
fires in the absence of a "High Risk" SC12 - Lower Deserts   2 2 2 2 2 2
event. SC13 - Eastern Deserts  2 3 3  3 2 2
SC14 - Central Mojave  2 2 2  2 2 2
High Risk Days SC15 - Upper Deserts  2 2 3  2 2 2
At least a 20% chance of a "Large Fire" SC16 - Northern Deserts        
due to a combination of either "Dry" or
"Very Dry" fuel dryness and an Ignition
Trigger. High Risk Days will include a Weather Discussion:
symbol indicating the type of trigger Local gusty north winds will continue through noon today, primarily over Santa Barbara county as well as
event. the Grapevine where winds of 15-20 mph with local gusts to 45 mph can be expected. Temperatures
today will be warmer with highs in the 70s along coast to the lower 80s in the inland valleys. Relative
At least a 20% chance of a new "Large humidity minimums will be lower this afternoon with readings falling into the teens over many areas.
Fire" or significant growth on existing Tonight, northeasterly offshore winds are expected to develop south of Point Conception with wind
fires due to a combination of either "Dry" velocities generally in the 10-15 mph range in some of the favored passes and canyons late tonight into
or "Very Dry" fuel dryness and a Critical Tuesday morning. Relative humidity recovery will be poor over many areas tonight, especially in some
Burn Environment. High Risk Days will areas of the Inland Empire and other areas adjacent to the mountains. Tuesday will be sunny with slightly
include a symbol indicating the type of warmer temperatures and lower afternoon relative humidity levels. The offshore pattern is expected to
trigger event.
remain in place through Wednesday, allowing well above normal temperatures and dry conditions to
continue through midweek. The strongest winds during this offshore pattern will occur Tuesday
night into Wednesday morning when winds of 20-25 mph will be possible in Santa Ana Canyon,
Ignition Trigger Cajon Pass and other passes across southern California. Additionally, Wednesday appears to be the

Lightning - Defined differently in each warmest day of the week with temperatures rising to well above normal readings along with relative
Predictive Service Area. See "Product humidity readings possibly falling into the single digits in the southern and eastern mountains and along
Description and Explanation Page" for the south coast. A trough will approach northern California Thursday leading to cooler temperatures with
details. higher humidity Friday and Saturday. The respite from dry weather and above normal temperatures will be
brief as the next offshore event will likely arrive Sunday morning. END/RK
Critical Burn Environment
W Windy and Dry - Defined differently in Fire Potential Discussion:
each Predictive Service Area. See Fuels over southern California will begin drying in earnest Tuesday as offshore flow produces above
"Product Description and Explanation normal temperatures and low relative humidity readings over much of the area. The potential for large
Page" for details. fire will become slightly elevated Wednesday as a result of low relative humidity readings, above
normal temperatures and poor nighttime relative humidity recovery Tuesday night. The threat will
be primarily focused on the south coast area from Los Angeles County southward toward San
Diego County and the eastern and southern mountains. Gusty winds through the canyons and passes
Wednesday morning would lead to wind-driven fire behavior. By Wednesday night into Thursday, the
threat will have largely passed as onshore flow and much higher relative humidity return. The next
offshore flow event Sunday may lead to another period of higher than normal large fire potential beginning
early next week.

CWCG Preparedness Level:

NOTICE: Forecast for the following PSA's may be
CWCG Preparedness Level 3, MACS Mode 2
unavailable or unrepresentative of actual
conditions due to missing observations from the
stations listed below:
EASTERN SIERRA
Owens Valley Ca Additional Links
Walker California
PDF Version of this page
CENTRAL SIERRA
Shaver Californ National Map
7-Day ERC, F10, and F100 Projections
SOUTHERN SIERRA
Cedar Grove Ca 7-Day Temperature and Humidity Projections
Park Ridge Cali Product Description and Explanation Page
Sugarloaf

SIERRA FOOTHILLS
Mariposa Califo
Fancher Creek C
Catheys Valley

CENTRAL COAST MTNS & VLYS

Hernandez Calif
Parkfield Calif

SOUTH COAST
Case Springs Ca

SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS

Fawnskin

DESERTS
Yucca Valley Ca