September 8-9, 2014 New York, NY SEATING IS LIMITED TO 275 Use Discount Code: NY14 ValueInvestingCongress.com/congress/register-now-partners REGISTER TODAY AND SAVE! 9th annual new york value investing congress
Date A|exander I. koepers September 16, 2013 Ins|ghts from 2S ears of Construct|ve Shareho|der Act|v|sm 9 th Annua| Va|ue Invest|ng Congress - New ork 2 Agenda III. Investment Ideas 17 19 Introduct|on 3 I. Corporate Act|on, Act|v|sm & 1akeovers: Ga|n|ng Momentum S 14 II. Ins|ghts from 2S ears of Construct|ve Shareho|der Act|v|sm IV. I|ve New Investment Ideas V. &A 6 12 33 I. Introduct|on to At|ant|c 3 III. kev|ew of Last ear's Investment Ideas 11 3 lnLroducLlon - ALlanLlc lnvesLmenL ManagemenL value-orlenLed global equlLy lnvesLmenL flrm wlLh $1.7 bllllon ln asseLs under managemenL
lnvesLmenL approach:
ConcenLraLlon of caplLal on hlghesL convlcLlon lnvesLmenL opporLunlLles
SelecLlon from well-deflned areas of compeLence, unlverse of lndusLrlal, consumer producLs and servlces companles wlLh solld balance sheeLs
use of slgnlflcanL mlnorlLy sLakes (2-7) Lo enhance and acceleraLe shareholder value Lhrough consLrucLlve shareholder acLlvlsm
SLrlcL buy/sell dlsclpllne based on cash flow valuaLlon mulLlples, comblned wlLh acLlve Lradlng around core poslLlons
Long/shorL and long-only acLlvlsL equlLy funds
lounded ln 1988 by Alex 8oepers, SLC reglsLered
new ?ork and 1okyo offlces, 28 Leam members, lncludlng 11 senlor equlLy analysLs
Note: AUM as of September 13, 2013. 4 Cambrlan lund - erformance 8ecord
ALlanLlc's largesL fund wlLh $900 mllllon of AuM
21-year audlLed Lrack record
ConslsLs of 6 Lo 7 u.S. acLlvlsL poslLlons (10-20 of caplLal each)
1he fund does noL use leverage or derlvaLlves
Note: Figures are as of September 13, 2013. Cambrian Fund returns are net of all fees and represent Class A Series 1 shares. S&P 500 Index includes the reinvestment of dividends. Inception is October 1, 1992. Prior to June 1, 1996, performance is based on the audited record of a managed account with a similar strategy and fee structure as Cambrian Fund. Cambrian Fund returns are audited through 2012 and unaudited thereafter. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Cambr|an Iund S& S00 2013 ?1u 26.6 20.2 S.l. CAC8 19.2 9.0 3 Cambrlan lund - erformance 8ecord 7.7x the tota| return of the S& S00 s|nce |ncept|on $0 $3,000 $10,000 $13,000 $20,000 $23,000 $30,000 $33,000 $40,000 $43,000 1992 1996 2000 2004 2009 2013 Cambrlan lund 8erkshlre PaLhaway (88k A) S& 300 +312 +1,710 +3,927 Note: Figures are as of September 13, 2013. Cambrian Fund returns are net of all fees and represent Class A Series 1 shares. S&P 500 Index includes the reinvestment of dividends. Inception is October 1, 1992. Prior to June 1, 1996, performance is based on the audited record of a managed account with a similar strategy and fee structure as Cambrian Fund. Cambrian Fund returns are audited through 2012 and unaudited thereafter. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. 2.3x 7.7x 6 lnslghLs from 23 ?ears of value lnvesLlng
nave a we||-thought-out |nvestment strategy Iocus on carefully deflned unlverse of lnvesLmenL prospecLs SLay wlLh whaL you know we|| (area of compeLence") SLay wlLh whaL you can ana|yze Invest, don'L speculaLe
8e cons|stent, d|sc|p||ned, pers|stent and pat|ent nave conv|ct|on based on knowledge and your own on-golng due dlllgence Do your homework !" $% you are buylng Lhe whole buslness kead ] Ca|| ] V|s|t - crunch numbers and klck Lhe Llres flrsL! 8e st|ngy - WalL unLll Lhe opporLunlLy falls lnLo your lap. SLlck Lo a pre-deLermlned valuaLlon level, don'L chase sLocks Don't be greedy - Scale-ouL aL a pre-deLermlned valuaLlon level Don't use |everage - noL ln your porLfollo, and sLay away from levered companles Concentrate funds on your hlghesL convlcLlon ldeas
And most |mportant|y. 8e honest and transparent wlLh your lnvesLors, company execuLlves of your lnvesLmenL poslLlons, and parLners/Leam members of your flrm
7 lnslghLs from 23 ?ears of ConsLrucLlve Shareholder AcLlvlsm
Cur Approach:
1) Work w|th management behlnd Lhe scenes as much as posslble 2) Ma|nta|n ||qu|d|ty Lo allow Lradlng and Lo sell 3) Ma|nta|n construct|ve, respectfu| dlalogue wlLh managemenL
Cur Cb[ect|ve: Lnhance and acce|erate process of shareholder value creaLlon whlle reLalnlng llquldlLy Cur rocess: 8u||d strong rapport wlLh CLC/ClC Lhrough mulLlple on-slLe and face-Lo- face meeLlngs ropose w|n-w|n so|ut|ons for managemenL and shareholders Subm|t proposa|s |n wr|t|ng Lo CLC and, as needed, Lo Lhe 8oard of ulrecLors 8roaden d|scuss|on of proposa|s, as approprlaLe, Lo lnclude oLher large shareholders, flnanclal medla and prlvaLe equlLy groups 8
1a||or-made proposa|s to un|ock va|ue address|ng any of the fo||ow|ng areas:
Use of Cap|ta|: dlvldend, share buyback, debL repaymenL, CALx, M&A
Corporate Structure: sell underperformers, spllLs or splns, sLreamllnlng
Cperat|ona|: resLrucLurlng Lo close gap Lo Lop peers ln relaLlon Lo proflL marglns, worklng caplLal, managemenL changes aL operaLlonal or C-level, eLc.
lnslghLs from 23 ?ears of ConsLrucLlve Shareholder AcLlvlsm 9 Companles ln whlch ALlanLlc was a ConsLrucLlvely Lngaged Shareholder 1989 2000 2010 resent A|exander & 8a|dw|n 8a|| Charter ower Systems Ch|cago Northwestern ka||road Lster||ne I|owserve Greyhound-D|a| narman narsco narn|shfeger ILk D|str|but|on kennameta| Nashua u|xote Corp 1erex U.S. Shoe 8a|| Corp 8|ack & Decker Cooper Industr|es De|Monte Ioods Do|e Iood Laton Goodr|ch IMC kennameta| I.M. Smucker New ork 1|mes act|v rec|s|on Castparts k.k. Donne||ey Sonoco roducts Sm|th Internat|ona| Sk ACS Ash|and 8aker nughes Lnerg|zer I|owserve narman I11 Corp Ioy G|oba| kennameta| C|| States Internat|ona| Cwens-I|||no|s kockwood kerox Un|ted States: 10 Companles ln whlch ALlanLlc was a ConsLrucLlvely Lngaged Shareholder 2004 resent Lurope: Ad|das Aggreko Amec Atos 8CC Group Charter Internat|ona| C|ar|ant Compass Group Iaurec|a ILSm|dth G4S GkN Lanxess Metso M1U Aero Lng|nes Crk|a uma rysm|an kexam khe|nmeta|| khod|a Safran Sandv|k Secur|tas SkI Sm|ths Group 1echn|p 1ha|es 1N1 1re||eborg Va|eo Da| N|ppon r|nt|ng InI I1CCnU 1echno So|ut|ons ko|to Manufactur|ng kuraray M|raca no|d|ngs Nomura kesearch Cmron Secom Iapan: Sh|madzu Sum|tomo L|ectr|c Sum|tomo neavy Industr|es 1nk amamoto no|d|ngs 11 8evlew of LasL ?ear's lnvesLmenL ldeas noLe: Average prlce sold based on scale-ouL of ALlanLlc core poslLlon. oslLlons ALlanLlc has sold (Ln8, lLS uC, !C?), change ls based on prlce sold. oslLlons ALlanLlc ls sLlll holdlng (8CC and CLn vx), change ls based on currenL prlce. Company Status Company Status VIC 8 Cct 2, 2012 VIC 9 Sep 13, 2013 Sca|e-out Change Lnerg|zer no|d|ngs (LNk) Sold 574 $94 596 29 kockwood no|d|ngs (kCC) Poldlng 547 566 n/a 39 C|ar|ant (CLN Vk) Poldlng CnI 11 CnI 16 n/a 42 ILSm|dth (ILS DC) Sold Dkk 34S ukk 310 Dkk 328 -S Ioy G|oba| (IC) Sold 5S6 $34 561 8 Share r|ce 12 llve new lnvesLmenL ldeas noLe: llgures are as of SepLember 13, 2013. 1oLals may noL add due Lo roundlng. 8Pl, LC l and Lx S C? valuaLlons are based on ALlanLlc 2014 esLlmaLes. 8Pl and 4739 ! are based on ALlanLlc l?2013 esLlmaLes. 1argeL upslde based on ALlanLlc's esLlmaLes of earnlngs and valuaLlons mulLlples. llgures aL Lhe boLLom are equal-welghLed averages and shown for MarkeL Cap, /L, Lv/L8l1 and 1argeL/upslde. Company 1|cker Country r|ce Market Cap (5 b||||on) ]L LV]L8I1 r|ce 1arget 1arget] Ups|de 8aker nughes 8Pl u.S. $30 $22.1 12.8x 8.7x $71 43 Iaurec|a LC l lrance t22 $3.2 9.1x 7.1x t 31 41 Itochu 1echno-So|ut|ons 4739 ! !apan 3,303 $2.2 12.3x S.2x 3,800 63 Lanxess LxS C? Cermany t 32 $3.7 11.Sx 10.9x t 73 43 narman PA8 u.S. $66 $4.6 12.9x 9.Sx $84 26 Average: 57.6 11.7x 8.3x 44 Va|uat|on 12-Month 1arget 44 average ups|de potent|a| 13 8aker Pughes (8Pl, $30) rlce 1argeL: $71 - upslde: 43 46 3 23 21 3 of 2014e L8I1 CLher LaLln Amerlca Mlddle LasL / Asla aclflc norLh Amerlca Lurope/ Afrlca/ ClS Source: Share prlce and MarkeL Cap are as of SepLember 13, 2013. Sales, Lv, L8l1 are based on ALlanLlc 2014 esLlmaLes. 1oLals may noL add due Lo roundlng. Sa|es 524.4 8|n Market Cap 522.1 8|n LV 52S.2 8|n L8I1 52.9 8|n 14 8aker Pughes 8us|ness Descr|pt|on 1hlrd largesL ollfleld servlces companles ln Lhe world afLer PalllburLon and Schlumberger. Leadlng provlder of compleLlon servlces, speclalLy chemlcals, drlll blLs and arLlflclal llfL, boLh onshore and offshore. Clobal lnfrasLrucLure wlLh 30 of revenues derlved from fasLer growlng lnLernaLlonal markeLs.
1hes|s 8road based opporLunlLy for self help Lo enhance proflLablllLy and cash flow Lhrough beLLer execuLlon ln Lhe fleld and more efflclenL use of caplLal. Wlll generaLe meanlngful free cash flow for Lhe flrsL Llme ln several years Lhrough enhanced proflLablllLy, lncreased emphasls on worklng caplLal efflclency and lower CALx. norLh Amerlca (nA") margln lmprovemenL: 8Pl wlll begln Lo close gap wlLh peers ln Lhe crlLlcal nA markeL as lL fully dlgesLs Lhe 2010 8! Servlces acqulslLlons and as lL reallzes Lhe beneflLs of conLlnulng lnfrasLrucLure lnvesLmenL. lmprovemenL ln $6 bllllon pressure pumplng operaLlons has begun. lnLernaLlonal proflLs conLlnue Lo lmprove. lmprovemenL ln operaLlng managemenL: recenL hlgh-level hlres from PalllburLon and Schlumberger.
13 8aker Pughes
Cata|ysts We are ln an acLlve dlalogue wlLh managemenL on ways Lo lmprove shareholder value. lmproved caplLal allocaLlon: pay down debL, slzeable share repurchases llkely ln 2014, no more large acqulslLlons. 8eLLer worklng caplLal efflclency and free cash flow beglnnlng ln P2-2013, more ln 2014. roposed lnvesLor uay Lo be held shorLly: Lo presenL a credlble roadmap Lo achleve LS of $3.30+ by 2016.
kecent Deve|opments 8eporLed C2-2013 earnlngs wlLh solld progress across Lhe board masked by problem wlLh LaLAm unlL. lmprovlng nA operaLlons as manlfesLed by lmproved uLlllzaLlon of Lhe ressure umplng fleeL.
r|ce 1arget 571/share based on 12x 2014e L8l1, represenLlng 43 upslde poLenLlal.
noLe: As of SepLember 13, 2013. 16 8aker Pughes $20 $30 $40 $30 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 !an-08 Aug-08 Mar-09 nov-09 !un-10 !an-11 Sep-11 Apr-12 nov-12 !ul-13 leb-14 Sep-14 r|ce 1arget: 571 +43 Ups|de Source: 8loomberg, as of SepLember 13, 2013. 17 29 27 34 10 laurecla S.A (LC l, t22) 1argeL rlce: t31 - upslde: 41 Sa|es 524.6 8|n Market Cap 53.2 8|n LV 56.0 8|n L8I1 50.9 8|n Source: Share prlce and MarkeL Cap are as of SepLember 13, 2013. Sales, Lv, L8l1 are based on ALlanLlc 2014 esLlmaLes. 1oLals may noL add due Lo roundlng. AuLomoLlve exLerlors of 2014e L8I1 lnLerlor SysLems Lmlsslon ConLrol 1echnologles AuLomoLlve seaLlng 18 laurecla 8us|ness Descr|pt|on Leadlng global suppller of auLomoLlve emlsslon conLrol Lechnologles, seaLlng, lnLerlor and exLerlor sysLems. Clobal fooLprlnL Lo serve global plaLforms: facLorles and 8&u cenLers ln norLh Amerlca, Lurope, 8razll and Chlna. Cerman CLMs accounL for 38 of producL sales, norLh Amerlcan 29, lrench 21, Aslan 7. eugeoL S.A (SA") owns 37 of laurecla buL are enLlrely separaLe buslnesses.
1hes|s Marglns Lo recover from 3.0 ln 2012 Lo over 4 ln 2013 due Lo resLrucLurlng ln Lurope, lmproved operaLlonal performance ln norLh Amerlca and operaLlng leverage. $30 bllllon order book due Lo sLrong 8&u efforLs. lnLer-dependence of laurecla and SA ls oversLaLed. SA accounLs for [usL 12 of laurecla's sales. ue-leveraglng wlLh a LargeL neL uebL: L8l1uA raLlo of 0.3x versus 1.8x aL uecember 2012.
19 laurecla
Cata|ysts SLrong earnlngs growLh, supporLed by large backlog. Converslon of t460 mllllon of converLlble bonds wlll reduce Lhe leverage raLlo by 0.4 polnLs and dlluLe SA's ownershlp Lo below 30. Luropean producLlon (Lv) plcklng up: each lncremenLal polnL of Lv ls +t20 mllllon or +4 Lo laurecla's L8l1. SA dlvesLmenL of laurecla sLake becomlng more llkely.
kecent Deve|opments 8eLLer-Lhan-expecLed C2-2013 resulLs and neL debL. CuLlook for Luropean llghL vehlcle producLlon (Lv) lmprovlng: l P S expecL 19.3 mllllon unlLs ln 2014, +4 year-over-year. new hlghly regarded ClC from 8LxLL S.A. and formerly valeo.
1arget r|ce 31/share ln 12-18 monLhs based on 9.0x 2014e L8l1 and 0.30x Lv/sales, represenLlng 41 upslde. noLe: As of SepLember 13, 2013. 20 laurecla t0 t3 t10 t13 t20 t23 t30 t33 Sep-08 !un-09 Mar-10 uec-10 Sep-11 !un-12 Mar-13 uec-13 Sep-14 r|ce 1arget: 31 Source: 8loomberg, as of SepLember 13, 2013. +41 Ups|de 21 40 20 40 l1CCPu 1echno-SoluLlons (4739 !, 3,303) 1argeL rlce: 3,800 - upslde: 63 Sa|es 53.6 8|n Market Cap 52.2 8|n LV 51.S 8|n L8I1 50.3 8|n Source: Share prlce and MarkeL Cap are as of SepLember 13, 2013. Sales, Lv, L8l1 are based on ALlanLlc l?2013 (ends March) esLlmaLes. 1oLals may noL add due Lo roundlng. of 201Se Sa|es Servlce roducL Sales AppllcaLlon uevelopmenL / lnfrasLrucLure SysLem lnLegraLlon 22 l1CCPu 1echno-SoluLlons 8us|ness Descr|pt|on !apan's Lhlrd largesL l1 servlce provlder. SLrong cllenLele lncludes 1elecommunlcaLlon (e.g., kuul, n11 uoCoMo), 8eLall (e.g., lamllymarL) and ManufacLurlng (e.g., nlssan MoLor). 1he company has sLrengLh ln bulldlng l1 sysLem lnfrasLrucLure uslng locallzed ClSCC & C8ACLL producLs as well as offerlng malnLenance/operaLlon servlces.
1hes|s l1 spendlng recovery ln !apan - afLer slugglsh l1 spendlng over Lhe pasL several years, !apanese corporaLlons have flnally sLarLed spendlng on l1 (+9 year-over-year, 8C! !une 1ankan Survey). 8ecurrlng revenues Lhrough Servlce - 40 of LoLal sales are from malnLenance/operaLlon sales wlLh 33-40 gross marglns under mulLl-year conLracLs from a broad lnsLalled base. PealLhy balance sheeL - 47 bllllon of neL-cash (23 of MarkeL Cap). Laggard wlLh aLLracLlve valuaLlon - Lhe share prlce has been a laggard slnce lasL november, l1CCPu 1echno ls down 17 vs 1Clx +39 vs nomura 8esearch (#2 l1 servlce provlder) +89. 1rades aL 3.2x l?2013 (ends March) L8l1 vs. nomura 8esearch aL 9.1x.
23 l1CCPu 1echno-SoluLlons Cata|ysts We are ln acLlve dlalogue wlLh managemenL Lo enhance shareholder value. ConLlnulng sLrong order lnLake Lhrough l1 spendlng recovery ln !apan. unleashlng penL-up demand from 1elecommunlcaLlon cusLomers. Share buybacks / accreLlve M&A.
kecent Deve|opments 8eporLed weaker-Lhan-expecLed C1-l?2014 resulLs ln laLe !uly due Lo one-off sales recognlLlon Llmlng from 1elecommunlcaLlon cusLomers as well as Lhe rapld yen depreclaLlon, order backlog remalns solld and grew 11 year-over-year.
1arget r|ce S,800/share ln 12-18 monLhs based on 10x l?2013e (ends March) L8l1, represenLlng 6S upslde poLenLlal. noLe: As of SepLember 13, 2013. 24 l1CCPu 1echno-SoluLlons 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 3,000 6,000 7,000 !an-07 Sep-07 May-08 leb-09 CcL-09 !ul-10 Mar-11 nov-11 Aug-12 Apr-13 uec-13 Sep-14 r|ce 1arget: S,800 Source: 8loomberg, as of SepLember 13, 2013. +6S Ups|de 23 34 23 21 Lanxess (LxS C?, t32) 1argeL rlce: t73 - upslde: 43 Sa|es 511.7 8|n Market Cap 5S.7 8|n LV 58.9 8|n L8I1 50.8 8|n noLe: Share prlce and MarkeL Cap are as of SepLember 13, 2013. Sales, Lv, L8l1 are based on ALlanLlc 2014 esLlmaLes. 1oLals may noL add due Lo roundlng. of 2014e L8I1 erformance olymers erformance Chemlcals Advanced lnLermedlaLes 26 Lanxess 8us|ness Descr|pt|on Leadlng global maker of erformance olymers - crlLlcal parLner Lo Lhe global Llre lndusLry ln formulaLlng hlgh performance rubber compounds LhaL reduce Llre rolllng reslsLance, savlng fuel and reduclng emlsslons. Advanced lnLermedlaLes - unlque, lnLegraLed neLwork of planLs, supplylng a broad array of cusLomers wlLh aromaLlcs, chlefly ln agrlculLural chemlcals. erformance Chemlcals - seven dlsLlncL speclalLy chemlcals buslnesses, key franchlses are ln lnorganlc plgmenLs, leaLher, rubber and waLer chemlsLry.
1hes|s A proven managemenL Leam: CLC led LxS slnce lC ln 2003 compleLlng a comprehenslve porLfollo resLrucLurlng and lnsLllllng a prlce-over-volume sLraLegy. 2013 proflLs are noL Lhe new normal", we expecL a solld rebound ln 2014. ALLracLlve growLh plpellne underplnnlng 2013-2016 earnlngs progress. uesplLe lndusLry capaclLy bullL, supply/demand ln LxS key rubber grades should remaln balanced. enL-up demand for replacemenL Llres globally. Creen Llre leglslaLlon should acceleraLe demand for hlgh performance rubbers. CurrenL share prlce below replacemenL value.
27 Lanxess Cata|ysts We are ln acLlve dlalogue wlLh managemenL Lo enhance shareholder value. SLraLegy updaLe on SepLember 18/19 - llkely Lo lnLroduce an efflclency program Lo boosL proflLablllLy. 8amp-up of Slngapore planL was headwlnd ln 2013, wlll Lurn Lo Lallwlnd ln 2014. lurLher counLrles adopLlng Llre labellng leglslaLlon. lmprovlng demand for replacemenL Llres ls sLarLlng Lo Lake hold.
kecent Deve|opments Whlle reporLlng weak P1-2013 resulLs and lowerlng guldance, company re-relLeraLed LhaL 2014 wlll see a subsLanLlal recovery and reLalned 2018 goal of $1.8 bllllon L8l1uA. lmprovlng markeL envlronmenL: - oslLlve ouLlook sLaLemenLs by global Llre makers lndlcaLes LhaL replacemenL Llre demand ls lmprovlng. - 8ecovery ln key commodlLy prlces (buLadlene, naLural rubber) suggesLs LhaL de-sLocklng phase ln global Llre lndusLry may have come Lo an end.
1arget r|ce 7S/share ln 12-18 monLhs based on 11x 2013e L8l1, represenLlng 4S upslde poLenLlal. noLe: As of SepLember 13, 2013. 28 Lanxess t0 t10 t20 t30 t40 t30 t60 t70 t80 t90 t100 !an-08 Aug-08 Mar-09 nov-09 !un-10 !an-11 Sep-11 Apr-12 nov-12 !ul-13 leb-14 Sep-14 r|ce 1arget: 7S Source: 8loomberg, as of SepLember 13, 2013. +4S Ups|de 29 Parman lnLernaLlonal (PA8, $66) 1argeL rlce: $84 - upslde: 26 Sa|es 5S.3 8|n Market Cap 54.6 8|n LV 54.4 8|n L8I1 50.S 8|n Source: Share prlce and MarkeL Cap are as of SepLember 13, 2013. Sales, Lv, L8l1 are based on ALlanLlc l?2013 (ends !une) esLlmaLes. 1oLals may noL add due Lo roundlng. of 201Se L8I1 44 33 22 rofesslonal LlfesLyle (Car and home audlo)
lnfoLalnmenL 30 Parman 8us|ness Descr|pt|on 1he leadlng provlder of auLomoLlve lnfoLalnmenL sysLems wlLh a 22 markeL share, a 1,900+ paLenL porLfollo and relaLlonshlps wlLh 9 of Lhe world's 13 largesL CLs A leader ln Lhe car and home audlo markeLs, wlLh lconlc brands such as !8L, Parman/kardon and lnflnlLy. rofesslonal dlvlslon ls Lhe global leader ln audlo sysLems for concerL halls, sLadlums and oLher publlc sLrucLures.
1hes|s PA8 ls aL an lnflecLlon polnL: embarklng on a perlod of susLalnable hlgher sales growLh and proflLablllLy. $20 bllllon order backlog hlghllghLs PA8's poslLlon wlLh Lhe auLomakers and anchors lLs earnlngs ouLlook. LS llkely Lo grow aL up Lo 30 CAC8 for Lhe nexL Lhree years. Margln expanslon as hlgher margln scalable sofLware based lnfoLalnmenL sysLems become a larger parL of Lhe mlx and proflLablllLy ln oLher segmenLs lmproves. lnfoLalnmenL buslness beneflLs from hlgh barrlers Lo enLry as sofLware emphasls provlde a Lechnologlcal and cosL advanLage. PA8 has proven lLs rellablllLy and lLs CL relaLlonshlps are sLlcky. 31 Parman Cata|ysts We are ln acLlve dlalogue wlLh managemenL Lo enhance shareholder value. 8apld adopLlon of lnfoLalnmenL sysLems due Lo consumer preference for Lhe connecLed car. PA8 ls a poLenLlal Lake ouL candldaLe, wlLh CCCC, AL, 8osch, Sl8l poLenLlal buyers. rlvaLe equlLy bld for Lhe company ln 2007. lncreased share repurchases: we called for $700 mllllon ln Lhe nexL 2 - 3 years.
kecent Deve|opments Long Lerm flnanclal LargeLs polnL Lo a 3 year earnlngs CAC8 of 23+. 8acklog grew 23 over Lhe lasL 13 monLhs ended !uly Lo $20 bllllon. A new $200 mllllon share repurchase auLhorlzaLlon and doubllng of dlvldend ln !une.
1arget r|ce 584/share based on 12x l?2013e (ends !une) L8l1, represenLlng 26 upslde poLenLlal. Shares could Lrade above $100 by l?2016 based on 13x /L on our esLlmaLe of $7 LS ln l?2016, whlch lncludes lmplemenLaLlon of subsLanLlal share buybacks. noLe: As of SepLember 13, 2013. 32 Parman $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 !an-07 Sep-07 May-08 leb-09 CcL-09 !ul-10 Mar-11 nov-11 Aug-12 Apr-13 !an-14 Sep-14 r|ce 1arget: 584 Source: 8loomberg, as of SepLember 13, 2013. +26 Ups|de 33 & A 34 1hls documenL shall noL consLlLuLe an offer Lo sell lnLeresL ln any lund or a sollclLaLlon of an offer Lo purchase any securlLles descrlbed hereln. Any such offer wlll only be made pursuanL Lo a prlvaLe placemenL memorandum or oLher slmllar maLerlals. 1hls presenLaLlon ls lnLended excluslvely for Lhe person Lo whom lL has been dellvered by ALlanLlc lnvesLmenL ManagemenL, lnc. (ALlanLlc") and ls noL Lo be reproduced or redlsLrlbuLed Lo any oLher person.
1he analyses and concluslons of ALlanLlc conLalned ln Lhls documenL are based on publlcly avallable lnformaLlon. 1hese oplnlons and facLs are noL lnLended Lo be a forecasL of fuLure evenLs or a guaranLee of fuLure resulLs. lnformaLlon conLalned ln Lhls documenL has been obLalned from sources whlch ALlanLlc belleves Lo be rellable, however, ALlanLlc does noL make any represenLaLlon Lo lLs accuracy or compleLeness.
AcLual resulLs may vary maLerlally from Lhe esLlmaLes and pro[ecLed resulLs conLalned hereln. ALlanLlc does noL underLake any obllgaLlon Lo updaLe any oplnlons, facLs, pro[ecLlons and oLher forward-looklng sLaLemenLs Lo reflecL any developmenLs afLer Lhe daLe of Lhls documenL. ast performance may not be |nd|cat|ve of future resu|ts. nedge funds are specu|at|ve and |nvo|ve r|sk of |oss. Jen Cahill Chief Marketing Officer Phone: +1 (212) 484 5080 cahill@atlanticinvestment.net 666 Fifth Avenue, 34th Floor New York, New York 10103 Phone: +1 (212) 484 5051 www.atlanticinvestment.net Rema Davis Head of Client Relations Phone: +1 (212) 484 5055 davis@atlanticinvestment.net