Modelo Econ

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.780025758
0.608440183
0.576182118
2.678954092
32
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
1
31
32
Suma de cuadrados
345.7100524
222.4806459
568.1906983
9.100000381
0
0.270000577
Error tpico
#N/A
0.038902182
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
Pronstico 4,09819916131858
2.18700478
2.457005358
2.997006513
3.537007667
3.780008084
3.483007346
2.916006288
2.727005935
2.403005036
2.754005838
2.754005838
2.565005486
2.295004908
2.268004748
2.349004972
3.213006769
3.26700709
4.050008662
5.42701171
4.482009689
4.077008822
4.266009175
Residuos
0.076211994
-1.508525038
-1.412630208
-0.181906651
-0.691743432
2.355285064
2.455500518
1.332815067
1.014421619
3.288032639
-0.476774342
2.467672011
0.070645666
3.567806747
2.85343262
-1.157152056
0.163286588
-3.480224572
-9.631026953
-0.062016689
-2.399110515
-1.76202871
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Coeficientes
Intercepcin
Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
3.807008245
3.861008309
3.240006929
3.159006705
3.024006416
2.997006513
3.186006865
3.240006929
2.997006513
2.862006224
0.111263659
1.472013759
1.466549005
3.538508553
3.87662124
0.549798373
-1.53445762
0.731793775
3.648322374
1.350972586
Promedio de los cuadrados

345.7100524
7.176795029
F
48.17053449
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
#N/A
#N/A
6.940499585 8.72781E-08
Valor crtico de F
1.04223E-07
Inferior 95%
#N/A
Superior 95%
#N/A
0.190659054 0.349342101
Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Residuos estndares
0.028903617
-0.572112443
-0.535744054
-0.068988619
-0.262345679
0.893248609
0.931255608
0.505473933
0.384722306
1.2469958
-0.180818035
0.935871681
0.026792571
1.353100932
1.082172498
-0.438853233
0.061926906
-1.319885141
-3.65259457
-0.023520007
-0.909869537
-0.668254437
Percentil
4.098199161
1.5625 -4.204015244
4.6875
0.56978409
7.8125 0.948480319
10.9375 1.584376304
14.0625 1.651549245
17.1875 1.677898308
20.3125 2.055854712
23.4375 2.263216774
26.5625 2.277231497
29.6875 2.365650574
32.8125 2.503980465
35.9375 3.088264652
39.0625 3.355101016
42.1875 3.417426656
45.3125 3.430293678
48.4375 3.546804886
51.5625 3.918271904
54.6875 3.971800705
57.8125 4.059821002
60.9375
4.21297881
64.0625
4.419993
67.1875 4.706555934
0.042197061
0.558265436
0.556192912
1.341989508
1.470219713
0.208512608
-0.581947449
0.277534886
1.383636715
0.512360225
70.3125
73.4375
76.5625
79.6875
82.8125
85.9375
89.0625
92.1875
95.3125
98.4375
5.032677497
5.202437593
5.333022067
5.371506806
5.835811494
5.83829241
6.042038478
6.645328887
6.697515258
6.900627655
Residuos
9,10000038146973 Grfico de los

residuales
0.1
0.05
0
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
9,10000038146973
Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

#N/A
#N/A
0.190659054
0.349342101
4,09819916131858
Grfico de probabilid
10
5
0
0
-5
20
40
co de los
4,09819916131858
9,10000038146973 Curva de regresin

ajustada
1.2
4
Series1
2
0
0
0.2
60
Muestra percentil
80
100
0.6
0.8
9,10000038146973
rfico de probabilidad normal
40
0.4
120
1.2
Pronstico
4,09819916131858
regresin
Series1
Pronstico
4,09819916131858
SUMMARY OUTPUT
X1(% Pob. Desempleo) Residual

Plot
5
Residuals
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.707822
R Square
0.501012
Adjusted R Square
0.467746
Standard Error
1.616852
Observations
33
0
0.00
5.00
-5
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
10.00
15.00
20.00
X1(% Pob. Desempleo)
SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 78.74444 39.37222 15.06085 2.96E-05
30 78.42629 2.61421
32 157.1707
X1(% Pob. Desempleo) Line Fit

Plot
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
10
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Crecim. PIB)
Intercept 4.327517 1.507325 2.870992 0.007435 1.249149 7.405886 1.249149 Y(%
7.405886
0
-0.24764 0.108448 -2.28353 0.02965
-0.46912 -0.02616 -0.46912 -0.02616
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
Y(% Crecim.
X2(% Crecimiento
0.549616
servicios)
0.12701 4.327331 0.000154 0.290226
0.809006
0.290226 Predicted
0.809006
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Y(% Crecim.
Residuals
PIB) Standard Residuals
1 4.842686 -0.74449 -0.47556
2 4.478673 -2.21546 -1.41517
3 3.575142 -2.62666 -1.67783
4 1.63636 -0.05198 -0.03321
5 2.078137 1.276964 0.815686
6 1.829909 1.258356 0.803799
7 3.119307 2.718985 1.736805
8 4.161858 1.209648 0.772686
9 4.397438 -0.33762 -0.21566
10 3.388112 0.029315 0.018725
11 4.631988 1.410051 0.900697
12 3.161473 -0.88424 -0.56483
13 5.449508 -0.41683 -0.26626
14 5.561282 -3.19563 -2.04127
15 2.901611
2.9342 1.874278
16 5.158665 0.043773 0.027961
17 4.706161 -2.65031 -1.69293
18 4.279517 -0.84922 -0.54246
19 1.195805 -0.62602 -0.39988
20 -1.48519 -2.71883 -1.73671
21 5.847263 -1.42727
-0.9117
-10
PROBABILITY OUTPUT
Percentile
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
1.515152 -4.20402
4.545455 0.569784
7.575758 0.94848
10.60606 1.584376
13.63636 1.651549
16.66667 1.677898
19.69697 2.055855
22.72727 2.263217
25.75758 2.277231
28.78788 2.365651
31.81818 2.50398
34.84848 3.088265
37.87879 3.355101
40.90909 3.417427
43.93939 3.430294
46.9697 3.546805
50 3.918272
53.0303 3.971801
56.06061 4.059821
59.09091 4.098199
62.12121 4.212979
PIB)
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
1.772918
1.765872
2.700503
3.815002
4.053973
5.108893
5.468269
3.62997
2.796636
3.665599
4.709499
4.415933
-0.09502
0.738108
1.217769
1.51802
0.652583
1.588622
1.432358
-0.08316
-1.14509
0.306201
1.93583
-0.20295
-0.0607
0.471481
0.777874
0.969665
0.41685
1.014763
0.914947
-0.05312
-0.73145
0.195592
1.236549
-0.12964
65.15152
68.18182
71.21212
74.24242
77.27273
80.30303
83.33333
86.36364
89.39394
92.42424
95.45455
98.48485
4.419993
4.706556
5.032677
5.202438
5.333022
5.371507
5.835811
5.838292
6.042038
6.645329
6.697515
6.900628
X2(% Crecimiento servicios)

Residual Plot
Residual
-4
0
-2
0
-5
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
10
-5
Normal
Probability Plot
12
10
X2(% Crecimiento servicios) 0Line

0
Fit Plot
-5
Line Fit
Upper 95,0%
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
25.00
Residuals
20
10
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
0
0
10
-10
15

PIB)
40
60
80
Sample Percentile
bability Plot
80
ple Percentile
100
120
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Sumatoria
Promedio
Desempleo
9.10
8.10
9.10
11.10
13.10
14.00
12.90
10.80
10.10
8.90
10.20
10.20
9.50
8.50
8.40
8.70
11.90
12.10
15.00
20.10
16.60
15.10
15.80
14.10
14.30
12.00
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.80
12.00
11.10
10.60
362.9000
11.7939

5.037568867
3.924687168
2.731333906
0.1049672
1.809911379
1.763791663
3.614154276
4.564815299
4.678037231
2.300926168
5.149846261
2.474316216
6.321880691
6.074672651
1.190473955
5.43224512
6.05078141
5.364639367
1.060646358
-1.519345086
10.24466811
2.155734109
2.458317575
3.392852674
5.510743742
4.909213952
6.69341701
7.121996208
3.732242789
2.531435448
4.202587661
5.696393737
4.936976077
131.7169
3.9914
Y(% Crecim. PIB)

4.098199161
2.263216774
0.948480319
1.584376304
3.355101016
3.088264652
5.83829241
5.371506806
4.059821002
3.417426656
6.042038478
2.277231497
5.032677497
2.365650574
5.835811494
5.202437593
2.055854712
3.430293678
0.56978409
-4.204015244
4.419993
1.677898308
2.503980465
3.918271904
5.333022067
4.706555934
6.697515258
6.900627655
3.546804886
1.651549245
3.971800705
6.645328887
4.21297881
118.8188
3.6006
Y-estimado
4.5601
4.9162
4.5601
3.8477
3.1354
2.8148
3.2066
3.9546
4.2039
4.6313
4.1683
4.1683
4.4176
4.7738
4.8094
4.7025
3.5628
3.4916
2.4587
0.6422
1.8888
2.4230
2.1737
2.7792
2.7080
3.5272
3.6340
3.8121
3.8477
3.5984
3.5272
3.8477
4.0258
118.8188
3.6006
U-estimado
0.4619
2.6530
3.6116
2.2634
-0.2197
-0.2734
-2.6317
-1.4169
0.1441
1.2139
-1.8738
1.8911
-0.6151
2.4081
-1.0264
-0.4999
1.5069
0.0613
1.8889
4.8462
-2.5312
0.7451
-0.3303
-1.1391
-2.6250
-1.1794
-3.0635
-3.0885
0.3009
1.9469
-0.4446
-2.7976
-0.1872
0.0000
0.0000
(Y - Ymed)
0.4976
-1.3374
-2.6521
-2.0162
-0.2455
-0.5123
2.2377
1.7709
0.4593
-0.1831
2.4415
-1.3233
1.4321
-1.2349
2.2352
1.6019
-1.5447
-0.1703
-3.0308
-7.8046
0.8194
-1.9227
-1.0966
0.3177
1.7325
1.1060
3.0969
3.3001
-0.0538
-1.9490
0.3712
3.0448
0.6124
0.0000
0.0000
(Yestimado - Ymed)
0.9595
1.3157
0.9595
0.2472
-0.4652
-0.7857
-0.3939
0.3540
0.6033
1.0307
0.5677
0.5677
0.8170
1.1732
1.2088
1.1020
-0.0378
-0.1090
-1.1419
-2.9584
-1.7118
-1.1775
-1.4268
-0.8214
-0.8926
-0.0734
0.0335
0.2115
0.2472
-0.0022
-0.0734
0.2472
0.4252
0.0000
0.0000
(Y - Ymed)^2
0.2476
1.7885
7.0336
4.0650
0.0603
0.2625
5.0074
3.1362
0.2109
0.0335
5.9608
1.7512
2.0509
1.5250
4.9963
2.5660
2.3861
0.0290
9.1857
60.9115
0.6715
3.6967
1.2025
0.1009
3.0014
1.2232
9.5911
10.8904
0.0029
3.7987
0.1378
9.2706
0.3750
157.1707
4.7627
U^2
0.2133
7.0386
13.0436
5.1228
0.0483
0.0748
6.9257
2.0077
0.0208
1.4735
3.5110
3.5761
0.3783
5.7991
1.0535
0.2499
2.2709
0.0038
3.5679
23.4856
6.4070
0.5552
0.1091
1.2975
6.8908
1.3909
9.3850
9.5389
0.0906
3.7903
0.1977
7.8266
0.0350
127.3794
3.8600
1
2
Ecuacion
R^2
SRC
STC
8
6
4
Axis Title
(Yestimado - Ymed)^2
0.9207
1.7310
0.9207
0.0611
0.2164
0.6174
0.1552
0.1253
0.3640
1.0624
0.3223
0.3223
0.6675
1.3764
1.4613
1.2143
0.0014
0.0119
1.3040
8.7520
2.9302
1.3866
2.0359
0.6746
0.7967
0.0054
0.0011
0.0448
0.0611
0.0000
0.0054
0.0611
0.1808
29.7913
0.9028
2
0
0.00
-2
-4
-6
5.00
-0.247644083
0.549616353
4.327517469
4,327517469+(-0,247644083)X1+(0,549616353)X2
0.498987894
78.42629277
157.1707325
Chart Title
y = 0.0376x + 2.9607
R = 0.027
Series1
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
Axis Title
25.00
30.00
35.00
Linear (Series1)
1
9.10
5.03756887
8.10
9.10
3.92468717 2.73133391
11.10
13.10
0.1049672 1.80991138
14.00
1.76379166
12.90
3.61415428
10.80
4.5648153
10.10
8.90
4.67803723 2.30092617
10.20
10.20
5.14984626 2.47431622
1
9.50
6.32188069
8.50
8.40
6.07467265 1.19047395
8.70
11.90
5.43224512 6.05078141
12.10
15.00
5.36463937 1.06064636
1
20.10
-1.51934509
16.60
15.10
10.2446681 2.15573411
15.80
14.10
2.45831757 3.39285267
14.30
12.00
5.51074374 4.90921395
1
11.70
6.69341701
11.20
11.10
7.12199621 3.73224279
11.80
12.00
2.53143545 4.20258766
11.10
10.60
5.69639374 4.93697608

1
5.03756887
9.10
1
3.92468717
8.10
1
2.73133391
9.10
1
0.1049672
11.10
1
1.80991138
13.10
1
1.76379166
14.00
1
3.61415428
12.90
1
4.5648153
10.80
1
4.67803723
10.10
1
2.30092617
8.90
1
5.14984626
10.20
1
2.47431622
10.20
1
6.32188069
9.50
1
6.07467265
8.50
1
1.19047395
8.40
1
5.43224512
8.70
1
6.05078141
11.90
1
5.36463937
12.10
1
1.06064636
15.00
1
-1.51934509
20.10
1
10.2446681
16.60
1
2.15573411
15.10
1
2.45831757
15.80
1
3.39285267
14.10
1
5.51074374
14.30
1
4.90921395
12.00
1
6.69341701
11.70
1
7.12199621
11.20
1
3.73224279
11.10
1
2.53143545
11.80
1
4.20258766
12.00
1
5.69639374
11.10
1
4.93697608
10.60
matrzi x transpuesta x
matriz x transpuesto x a la -1
matriz x transpuesto y
Y
33 389.200004 131.716929
389.200004
4825.0401 1507.08997
131.716929 1507.08997 696.949051
0.86910716 -0.05792257 -0.03900084
-0.05792257 0.00449884 0.00121848
-0.03900084 0.00121848 0.00617076
118.818777
1317.69848
579.839993
4.09819916
2.26321677
0.94848032
1.5843763
3.35510102
3.08826465
5.83829241
5.37150681
4.059821
3.41742666
6.04203848
2.2772315
5.0326775
2.36565057
5.83581149
5.20243759
2.05585471
3.43029368
0.56978409
-4.20401524
4.419993
1.67789831
2.50398047
3.9182719
5.33302207
4.70655593
6.69751526
6.90062766
3.54680489
1.65154925
3.9718007
6.64532889
4.21297881
0
1
4.32751747
-0.2476441
0.54961635
Resumen
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.707822087
0.501012106
0.467746247
1.616851805 Error total
33
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
2
30
32
Suma de cuadrados
78.74443975
78.42629277
157.1707325
Coeficientes
4.327517469
-0.247644083
0.549616353
Error tpico
1.507324926
0.108447777
0.127010466
Pronstico para Y
4.842686445
4.478672548
3.575141996
1.636359739
2.078136774
1.829909043
3.119307181
4.161858459
4.397437895
3.38811187
4.631987587
3.161472521
5.449507687
5.561282189
2.901611217
5.158664743
4.706161383
4.27951749
1.195804801
-1.485185607
5.847262717
Residuos
-0.744487284
-2.215455773
-2.626661677
-0.051983434
1.276964243
1.258355609
2.718985229
1.209648348
-0.337616892
0.029314785
1.410050891
-0.884241024
-0.416830191
-3.195631615
2.934200278
0.04377285
-2.650306671
-0.849223812
-0.626020711
-2.718829637
-1.427269717

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
1.772918434
1.765872445
2.700503112
3.815001908
4.053972738
5.108893188
5.468269365
3.62996972
2.796635557
3.665599372
4.709499201
4.415932877
-0.095020127
0.738108021
1.217768791
1.51802016
0.652583196
1.58862207
1.43235829
-0.083164834
-1.145086312
0.306201333
1.935829686
-0.202954067
Relacion entre R^2 y F

Valor F Tabla
Valor F Calculado

39.37221988
2.614209759
15.06084955 Son iguales por lo tanto esta correctamente

15.06084955
15.06084955
F
15.06084955
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
2.870991778 0.007435298
-2.283533059 0.029650308
4.327331213 0.000154246
Valor crtico de F
2.9604E-05
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
1.24914929 7.405885648
-0.469123991 -0.026164176
0.290226377 0.809006329

Residuos estndares
-0.475555742
-1.415165494
-1.677831268
-0.033205431
0.815685763
0.803799136
1.736804734
0.772686425
-0.215659361
0.01872539
0.90069745
-0.564826164
-0.266258397
-2.04127189
1.874277536
0.02796076
-1.692934969
-0.542458238
-0.399882914
-1.736705347
-0.911696311
Percentil
78.42629277
2.614209759
1.515151515
4.545454545
7.575757576
10.60606061
13.63636364
16.66666667
19.6969697
22.72727273
25.75757576
28.78787879
31.81818182
34.84848485
37.87878788
40.90909091
43.93939394
46.96969697
50
53.03030303
56.06060606
59.09090909
62.12121212
Y
-4.204015244
0.56978409
0.948480319
1.584376304
1.651549245
1.677898308
2.055854712
2.263216774
2.277231497
2.365650574
2.503980465
3.088264652
3.355101016
3.417426656
3.430293678
3.546804886
3.918271904
3.971800705
4.059821002
4.098199161
4.21297881
-0.060695955
0.471480864
0.777873517
0.969664922
0.416850218
1.014763266
0.914946736
-0.053123156
-0.731446168
0.195592061
1.236548889
-0.12964086
65.15151515
68.18181818
71.21212121
74.24242424
77.27272727
80.3030303
83.33333333
86.36363636
89.39393939
92.42424242
95.45454545
98.48484848
4.419993
4.706555934
5.032677497
5.202437593
5.333022067
5.371506806
5.835811494
5.83829241
6.042038478
6.645328887
6.697515258
6.900627655

1.24914929
7.405885648
-0.469123991
-0.026164176
0.290226377
0.809006329
0 = 0 ; 1 ; 2 = 0
&
= 0 ; 1 ; 2 0
Teniendo un intervalo de confianza del 95%, con un intervalo de (-2,36;2,36)
Teniendo en cuenta lo anterior podemos decir que:
0.007567032
0.029909914
0.000163455
0
1
2
Exmen de Cambio Estructural

Resumn Estadstico
El cambio Estructural examina si los coeficientes de distintos conjuntos de datos son iguales y estos exmenes son comnmente utilizados en anlisis de series de tiempo para examinar la presencia de un cambio
estructural. El conjunto de datos de series de tiempo pueden ser divididos en dos subconjuntos y cada subconjunto puede ser examinado uno al otro y en todo el conjunto de datos para determinar estadsticamente si
en verdad hay un inicio de cambio en un periodo de tiempo particular. El exmen de cambio estructural es utilizado con frecuencia para determinar si los variables independientes tienen diferentes impactos sobre
diferentes subgrupos del universo, tales como examinar si, la nueva campaa de marketing, las actividades, eventos grandes, adquisicin, deprivacin, etc. tienen impacto sobre los datos de series de tiempo. Suponga
que el conjunto de datos tiene 100 puntos de datos de series de tiempo, puede ajustar varios puntos de cambio para examinar, por ejemplo, puntos de datos: 10, 30 y 51 ( esto significa que se ejecutarn 3 puntos de
cambio estructural sobre los siguientes conjuntos de datos: punto de datos 1-9 comparado con 10-100; punto de datos 1-29 comparado con 30-100; y 1-50 comparado con 51-100, para ver si en verdad al inicio de los
puntos de datos 10, 30 y 51 existen cambios en la estructura subyacente.
El exmen de una hiptesis unilateral es ejecutada sobre un hiptesis nula Ho, tales que dos datos subconjuntos son estadsticamente simulares al otro, esto es, que no existe una cambio estructural estadsticamente
significante. La hiptesis alternativa es que dos datos subconjuntos son estadsticamente diferentes que el otro, indicando un posible cambio estructural. Si el valor p calculado es menor o igual a 0.01, 0.05 0.10,
significa que la hipotesis ha sido rechazada, pudiendo interpretar que los dos datos subconjuntos son estadsticamente diferentes a 1%, 5% y 10% de nivel de significacin. Un valor alto de p indica que no existe un
cambio estructural significante estadsticamente.
Resultado
Periodo de punto del exmen de Cambio Estructural:
Suma Total de los Cuadrados Residuales:
Primer Suma de Subconjuntos de Cuadrados Residuales:
Segunda Suma de Subconjuntos de Cuadrados Residuales:
Exmen Estadstico Calculado:
Valor P:
*Hay un cambio estructural estadsticamente insignificante
5
100.2819
6.8565
92.3277
0.1605
0.8525

Valor P:
*Hay un cambio estructural estadsticamente insignificante
10
100.2819
14.6949
78.9740
1.0237
0.371884334

Valor P:
*Hay un cambio estructural estadsticamente significativo
16
100.2819
42.6657
42.7071
2.532207806
0.096918637
n1
n2
Ao X1(% Pob. Desempleo)
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
1980
4.0981992 Regresion 1
9.10
1981
2.2632168
8.10
7
8
1982
0.9484803
9.10 y = -0,3562x
+ 7,8012
61983
6 11.10
R = 0,1895
1.5843763
F3.355101
= 0,011331
41984
5 13.10
1985
3.0882647
14.00
2
4
1986
5.8382924 Desemp
12.90
5.3715068
01987
3 10.80
Linear (Desemp)
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
1988
4.059821
10.10
-2
2
1989
3.4174267
8.90
-41990
1 10.20
6.0420385
2.2772315
10.20
-61991
0
Axis
Title
1992
5.0326775
9.50
0.00
5.00
10.00
1993
2.3656506
8.50
1994
5.8358115
8.40
Axis Title
Desemp
SCRr
SCRnr
k
n1
n2
F
F tabla
1
2
F 1/2
F (n1-k)/(n2-k)
Regresion Restr.
Regresion 1
Regresion 2
127.37945
99.275159
2
15
18
SCE1
SCE2
Ao X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

Y(% Crecim. PIB)
y =1995
0.1071x + 2.60528.70
5.202437593
R = 0.014
1996
2.055854712
11.90 8
1997
3.430293678
12.10
1998
0.56978409
15.00 6
1999
-4.204015244
20.10 4
2000
4.419993
16.60
2001
1.677898308
15.10 2
2002
2.503980465
15.80
0
2003
14.10
0.00 3.918271904
5.00
2004
5.333022067
14.30 -2
2005
4.706555934
12.00
-4
2006
6.697515258
11.70
2007
6.900627655
11.20
-6
15.00
20.00
2008
3.546804886
11.10
2009
1.651549245
11.80
2010
3.971800705
12.00
2011
6.645328887
11.10
2012
4.21297881
10.60
37.43303
61.84213
4.104876 HAY CAMIO ESTRUC. PUES F CAL>F CRITICO

2.96 Se rechaza H0: SCEr=SCEnr
2.8794641 LOS SIGMAS ESTIMADOS SON DISTINTOS

3.8651329 FCAL No= a: sigma1/sigma2
0.7449845
13/16
2.397
n
33
15
18
k
2
2
2
SCE
127.3794499
37.43303349
61.84212578
SCEnr
F
2.96
99.27516
4.104875958
2.879464115
3.865132861
Crecim. PIB)
n1
= -0.6775x + 12.367
Regresion
2 y OUTPUT
SUMMARY
R = 0.4799
Multiple R
0.118435217
R Square
0.014026901
Adjusted R Square
-0.061817184
Standard Error 1.696898381
Observations
15
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
0.532539319 0.53253932
37.43303349 2.87946411
37.96557281
F
Significance F
0.1849439 0.67420154
Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
Intercept
2.605244732
2.59500131 1.00394737
0.107139114
0.249131158 0.43005104
P-value
Lower 95%
0.33372578 -3.00091476
0.67420154 -0.43107603
Regression
Residual
Total
1
13
14
n2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.692747406
R Square
0.479898969
Adjusted R Square0.447392655
Observations
18
ANOVA
df
Fcal=1/2
0.744984511
Regression
Residual
1
16
SS
MS
57.06193728 57.0619373
61.84212578 3.86513286
Total
17
118.9040631
Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
Intercept
12.36661641
2.350288062 5.26174498
-0.677544267
0.176338293 -3.84229798
n
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.435370263
F
Significance F
14.7632538
0.0014385
P-value
Lower 95%
7.7499E-05 7.38422829
0.0014385 -1.05136475
R Square
0.189547266
Adjusted R Square0.163403629
Observations
33
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
29.7912826 29.7912826
127.3794499 4.10901451
157.1707325
F
Significance F
7.25022569 0.01133103
Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
Intercept
7.801239023
1.599474806 4.87737537
-0.356171916
0.13227687 -2.69262431
P-value
Lower 95%
3.0515E-05 4.53908865
0.01133103 -0.62595237
Regression
Residual
Total
1
31
32
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

8.21140423 -3.00091476 8.21140423
0.64535426 -0.43107603 0.64535426

17.3490045 7.38422829 17.3490045
-0.30372379 -1.05136475 -0.30372379

11.0633894 4.53908865 11.0633894
-0.08639146 -0.62595237 -0.08639146
n1
n2
Ao X1(% Pob.X2(%
Desempleo)
Crecimiento servicios)
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
1980
5.0375689
4.098199161
9.10
1981
3.9246872
2.263216774
8.10
1982
2.7313339
0.948480319
9.10
1983
0.1049672
1.584376304
11.10
1984
1.8099114
3.355101016
13.10
1985
1.7637917
3.088264652
14.00
1986
3.6141543
5.83829241
12.90
1987
4.5648153
5.371506806
10.80
1988
4.6780372
4.059821002
10.10
1989
2.3009262
3.417426656
8.90
1990
5.1498463
6.042038478
10.20
1991
2.4743162
2.277231497
10.20
1992
6.3218807
5.032677497
9.50
1993
6.0746727
2.365650574
8.50
1994
1.190474
5.835811494
8.40
SCRr
SCRnr
k
n1
n2
78.426293
58.276524
3
15
18
F
F Critico
3.1118521 HAY CAMIO ESTRUC. PUES F CAL>F CRITICO

2.96E-05 Se rechaza H0: SCEr=SCEnr
1
2
F 1/2
F (n1-k)/(n2-k)
Regresion Restr.
Regresion 1
Regresion 2
SCE1
SCE2
Ao
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

8.70
11.90
12.10
15.00
20.10
16.60
15.10
15.80
14.10
14.30
12.00
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.80
12.00
11.10
10.60
31.29705
26.97947
2.6080875 LOS SIGMAS ESTIMADOS SON DISTINTOS

1.7986316 FCAL No= a: sigma1/sigma2
1.4500399
12/15
2.475
n
33
12
15
k
3
3
3
SCE
78.42629277
31.29705052
26.97947326
SCEnr
F
2.9604E-05
58.27652
3.111852068
2.608087543
1.79863155

Y(% Crecim. PIB)n1
5.43224512 5.20243759
6.05078141 2.05585471
5.364639367 3.43029368
1.060646358 0.56978409
-1.519345086 -4.20401524
10.24466811
4.419993
2.155734109 1.67789831
2.458317575 2.50398047
3.392852674
3.9182719
5.510743742 5.33302207
4.909213952 4.70655593
6.69341701 6.69751526
7.121996208 6.90062766
3.732242789 3.54680489
2.531435448 1.65154925
4.202587661
3.9718007
5.696393737 6.64532889
4.936976077 4.21297881
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.41910209
R Square
0.17564656
Adjusted R Square 0.03825432
Standard Error
1.61495744
Observations
15
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
2
6.6685223 3.33426115
12 31.2970505 2.60808754
14 37.9655728
Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
Intercept
-0.05128607
3.0164565 -0.01700209
0.23840124 0.25207207 0.94576617
0.37945632 0.24738924 1.53384329
n2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.87926038
R Square
0.77309881
Standard Error
1.3411307
Observations
18
ANOVA
df
Fcal=1/2
1.450039916
Regression
Residual
SS
MS
2 91.9245898 45.9622949
15 26.9794733 1.79863155
Total
17 118.904063

t Stat
Intercept
6.20603437 2.12804387 2.91630941
-0.41505563 0.13425641 -3.09151451
0.61460222 0.13959987 4.40259879
n
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.70782209
R Square
0.50101211
Standard Error
1.6168518
Observations
33
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
2 78.7444398 39.3722199
30 78.4262928 2.61420976
32 157.170733

t Stat
Intercept
4.32751747 1.50732493 2.87099178
-0.24764408 0.10844778 -2.28353306
0.54961635 0.12701047 4.32733121
F
Significance F
1.27843145 0.31382008
P-value
0.98671437
0.36292317
0.15100105
Lower 95% Upper 95%

-6.62358018 6.52100805
-0.31081663
0.7876191
-0.15955852 0.91847116
Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

-6.62358018 6.52100805
-0.31081663
0.7876191
-0.15955852 0.91847116
F
Significance F
25.5540357 1.4749E-05
P-value
Lower 95%
0.01063686 1.67021623
0.00744515 -0.70121638
0.00051422 0.31705214
Upper 95% Lower 95,0%

10.7418525 1.67021623
-0.12889487 -0.70121638
0.91215229 0.31705214
Upper 95,0%
10.7418525
-0.12889487
0.91215229
F
Significance F
15.0608496 2.9604E-05
P-value
0.0074353
0.02965031
0.00015425
Lower 95%
1.24914929
-0.46912399
0.29022638
Upper 95% Lower 95,0%

7.40588565 1.24914929
-0.02616418 -0.46912399
0.80900633 0.29022638
Upper 95,0%
7.40588565
-0.02616418
0.80900633
X2(% Crecimiento servicios)Y(% Crecim. PIB)

1980
5.037568867
4.098199161
1981
3.924687168
2.263216774
1982
2.731333906
0.948480319
1983
0.1049672
1.584376304
1984
1.809911379
3.355101016
1985
1.763791663
3.088264652
1986
3.614154276
5.83829241
1987
4.564815299
5.371506806
1988
4.678037231
4.059821002
1989
2.300926168
3.417426656
1990
5.149846261
6.042038478
1991
2.474316216
2.277231497
1992
6.321880691
5.032677497
1993
6.074672651
2.365650574
1994
1.190473955
5.835811494
1995
5.43224512
5.202437593
1996
6.05078141
2.055854712
1997
5.364639367
3.430293678
1998
1.060646358
0.56978409
1999
-1.519345086
-4.204015244
2000
10.24466811
4.419993
2001
2.155734109
1.677898308
2002
2.458317575
2.503980465
2003
3.392852674
3.918271904
2004
5.510743742
5.333022067
2005
4.909213952
4.706555934
2006
6.69341701
6.697515258
2007
7.121996208
6.900627655
2008
3.732242789
3.546804886
2009
2.531435448
1.651549245
2010
4.202587661
3.971800705
2011
5.696393737
6.645328887
2012
4.936976077
4.21297881
10
8
6
4
Axis Title
Ao
-4
2
0
-2
-2 0
-4
-6
Axis Title
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
Servicios
y = 0.6167x + 1.1391
R = 0.4143
Servicios
Linear (Servicios)
4
10
12
Axis Title
gression Statistics
0.64364533
0.41427931
0.39538509
1.72325789
33
df
1
31
32
SS
MS
65.11258223 65.1125822
92.0581503 2.96961775
157.1707325
F
21.9262503
Coefficients
1.13910183
0.61668926
Standard Error
t Stat
0.605240176 1.88206579
0.131699523 4.68254742
P-value
0.06924448
5.3246E-05
Significance F
5.3246E-05
Lower 95%
Upper 95%
-0.095293645 2.37349731
0.348086315 0.88529221
Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

-0.09529364 2.37349731
0.34808631 0.88529221
X1(% Pob.
X2(%
Desempleo)
CrecimientoY(%
servicios)
Crecim. PIB)
5.037569 4.098199
9.10
3.924687 2.263217
8.10
2.731334 0.94848
9.10
0.104967 1.584376
11.10
1.809911 3.355101
13.10
1.763792 3.088265
14.00
3.614154 5.838292
12.90
4.564815 5.371507
10.80
4.678037 4.059821
10.10
2.300926 3.417427
8.90
5.149846 6.042038
10.20
2.474316 2.277231
10.20
6.321881 5.032677
9.50
6.074673 2.365651
8.50
1.190474 5.835811
8.40
5.432245 5.202438
8.70
6.050781 2.055855
11.90
5.364639 3.430294
12.10
1.060646 0.569784
15.00
-1.51935 -4.20402
20.10
10.24467 4.419993
16.60
2.155734 1.677898
15.10
2.458318 2.50398
15.80
3.392853 3.918272
14.10
5.510744 5.333022
14.30
4.909214 4.706556
12.00
6.693417 6.697515
11.70
7.121996 6.900628
11.20
3.732243 3.546805
11.10
2.531435 1.651549
11.80
4.202588 3.971801
12.00
5.696394 6.645329
11.10
4.936976 4.212979
10.60
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.231259904
R Square
0.053481143
Adjusted R Square
0.022948277
Standard Error
2.677741909
Observations
33
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
1 12.55944758
31 222.2793537
32 234.8388013

Intercept
12.87499218 0.940472692
-0.27084399 0.20464571
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.231259904
R Square
0.053481143
Adjusted R Square
0.022948277
Standard Error
2.286387621
Observations
33
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
SS
1 9.156570135
31 162.0546189
32 171.211189

6.320266009 1.804090942
-0.19746107 0.149198663
Y(Desemp)XServ
y = -0.2708x + 12.875
R = 0.0535
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
MS
F
Significance F
12.55944758 1.751592618 0.195354903
7.170301733
5.00
0.00
-4
-2
Y(Serv)XDesemp
t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper
95,0%
13.68991603 1.09928E-14 10.95688547 14.79309888
10.95688547
14.79309888
12
-1.32347747 0.195354903 -0.68822166 10
0.14653369 -0.68822166 0.14653369
y = -0.1975x + 6.3203
R = 0.0535
8
6
4
2
0
-2
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
-4
Y(Serv)XDesemp
MS
F
Significance F
9.156570135 1.751592618 0.195354903
5.227568352
t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
3.503296791 0.001420434 2.640798273 9.999733744 2.640798273 9.999733744
-1.32347747 0.195354903 -0.50175375 0.10683161 -0.50175375 0.10683161
Linear (Y(Serv)XDesemp)
0.2708x + 12.875
R = 0.0535
10
12
0.1975x + 6.3203
R = 0.0535
20.00
Y(Serv)XDesemp)
25.00
X1(% Pob.
X2(%
Desempleo)
CrecimientoY(%
servicios)
Crecim. PIB)
5.037569 4.098199
9.10
3.924687 2.263217
8.10
2.731334 0.94848
9.10
0.104967 1.584376
11.10
1.809911 3.355101
13.10
1.763792 3.088265
14.00
3.614154 5.838292
12.90
4.564815 5.371507
10.80
4.678037 4.059821
10.10
2.300926 3.417427
8.90
5.149846 6.042038
10.20
2.474316 2.277231
10.20
6.321881 5.032677
9.50
6.074673 2.365651
8.50
1.190474 5.835811
8.40
5.432245 5.202438
8.70
6.050781 2.055855
11.90
5.364639 3.430294
12.10
1.060646 0.569784
15.00
-1.51935 -4.20402
20.10
10.24467 4.419993
16.60
2.155734 1.677898
15.10
2.458318 2.50398
15.80
3.392853 3.918272
14.10
5.510744 5.333022
14.30
4.909214 4.706556
12.00
6.693417 6.697515
11.70
7.121996 6.900628
11.20
3.732243 3.546805
11.10
2.531435 1.651549
11.80
4.202588 3.971801
12.00
5.696394 6.645329
11.10
4.936976 4.212979
10.60
X1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.4353703
R Square
0.1895473
Adjusted R Square
0.1634036
Standard Error
2.0270704
Observations
33
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
1 29.79128
31 127.3794
32 157.1707
CoefficientsStandard Error
Intercept
7.801239 1.599475
X1(% Pob. Desempleo) -0.3561719 0.132277
x2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.6436453
R Square
0.4142793
Adjusted R Square
0.3953851
Standard Error
1.7232579
Observations
33
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
1 65.11258
31 92.05815
32 157.1707
CoefficientsStandard Error
Intercept
1.1391018 0.60524
0.6166893
0.1317
X1(% Desempleo)
X2(% Crecimiento Serv.)
Y (% Crecim. PIB)
MS
F
29.79128 7.250226
4.109015
Significance F
0.011331033
t Stat
P-value
4.877375 3.05E-05
-2.69262 0.011331
Lower 95%
4.53908865
-0.625952372
MS
F
65.11258 21.92625
2.969618
Significance F
5.3246E-05
t Stat
P-value
1.882066 0.069244
4.682547 5.32E-05
Lower 95%
-0.095293645
0.348086315
X1(% Desempleo)
X2(% Crecimiento Serv.)
7.116327312
-1.405197604
-1.405197604
5.18821785
-2.534635937
3.199518247
Upper 95%
11.0633894
-0.086391461
Lower 95,0%
4.53908865
-0.625952372
Upper 95%
2.373497311
0.885292213
Lower 95,0%
-0.095293645
0.348086315
Y(% Crecim. PIB)

-2.534635937
3.199518247
4.76274947
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
Normal Probability Plot

1.5
1
0.5
0
0
Upper 95,0%
11.0633894
-0.086391461
0.2
0.4
0.6
Sample Percentile
Y(% Crecim. PIB)
X1(% Pob. Desempleo) Line Fit

Plot
Upper 95,0%
2.373497311
0.885292213
10
0
0.00
-10
10.00
20.00
30.00
obability Plot
0.8
1.2
mple Percentile
sempleo) Line Fit
Y(% Crecim. PIB)

30.00

PIB)
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Desempleo
9.10
8.10
9.10
11.10
13.10
14.00
12.90
10.80
10.10
8.90
10.20
10.20
9.50
8.50
8.40
8.70
11.90
12.10
15.00
20.10
16.60
15.10
15.80
14.10
14.30
12.00
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.80
12.00
11.10
10.60
X2(% Crecimiento servicios) Y(% Crecim. PIB)

U
U^2
5.037568867
4.098199161 -0.74448728 0.55426132
3.924687168
2.263216774 -2.21545577 4.90824428
2.731333906
0.948480319 -2.62666168 6.89935156
0.1049672
1.584376304 -0.05198343 0.00270228
1.809911379
3.355101016 1.27696424 1.63063768
1.763791663
3.088264652 1.25835561 1.58345884
3.614154276
5.83829241 2.71898523 7.39288067
4.564815299
5.371506806 1.20964835 1.46324912
4.678037231
4.059821002 -0.33761689 0.11398517
2.300926168
3.417426656 0.02931479 0.00085936
5.149846261
6.042038478 1.41005089 1.98824351
2.474316216
2.277231497 -0.88424102 0.78188219
6.321880691
5.032677497 -0.41683019 0.17374741
6.074672651
2.365650574 -3.19563161 10.2120614
1.190473955
5.835811494 2.93420028 8.60953127
5.43224512
5.202437593 0.04377285 0.00191606
6.05078141
2.055854712 -2.65030667 7.02412545
5.364639367
3.430293678 -0.84922381 0.72118108
1.060646358
0.56978409 -0.62602071 0.39190193
-1.519345086
-4.204015244 -2.71882964 7.39203459
10.24466811
4.419993 -1.42726972 2.03709885
2.155734109
1.677898308 -0.09502013 0.00902882
2.458317575
2.503980465 0.73810802 0.54480345
3.392852674
3.918271904 1.21776879 1.48296083
5.510743742
5.333022067 1.51802016 2.30438521
4.909213952
4.706555934
0.6525832 0.42586483
6.69341701
6.697515258 1.58862207 2.52372008
7.121996208
6.900627655 1.43235829 2.05165027
3.732242789
3.546804886 -0.08316483 0.00691639
2.531435448
1.651549245 -1.14508631 1.31122266
4.202587661
3.971800705 0.30620133 0.09375926
5.696393737
6.645328887 1.93582969 3.74743657
4.936976077
4.21297881 -0.20295407 0.04119035
y
0.55426132
4.90824428
6.89935156
0.00270228
1.63063768
1.58345884
7.39288067
1.46324912
0.11398517
0.00085936
1.98824351
0.78188219
0.17374741
10.2120614
8.60953127
0.00191606
7.02412545
0.72118108
0.39190193
7.39203459
2.03709885
0.00902882
0.54480345
1.48296083
2.30438521
0.42586483
2.52372008
2.05165027
0.00691639
1.31122266
0.09375926
3.74743657
0.04119035
x1
9.10
8.10
9.10
11.10
13.10
14.00
12.90
10.80
10.10
8.90
10.20
10.20
9.50
8.50
8.40
8.70
11.90
12.10
15.00
20.10
16.60
15.10
15.80
14.10
14.30
12.00
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.80
12.00
11.10
10.60
x2
5.03756887
3.92468717
2.73133391
0.1049672
1.80991138
1.76379166
3.61415428
4.5648153
4.67803723
2.30092617
5.14984626
2.47431622
6.32188069
6.07467265
1.19047395
5.43224512
6.05078141
5.36463937
1.06064636
-1.51934509
10.2446681
2.15573411
2.45831757
3.39285267
5.51074374
4.90921395
6.69341701
7.12199621
3.73224279
2.53143545
4.20258766
5.69639374
4.93697608
x1^2
82.81
65.61
82.81
123.21
171.61
196.00
166.41
116.64
102.01
79.21
104.04
104.04
90.25
72.25
70.56
75.69
141.61
146.41
225.00
404.01
275.56
228.01
249.64
198.81
204.49
144.00
136.89
125.44
123.21
139.24
144.00
123.21
112.36
x2^2
25.3771001
15.4031694
7.4601849
0.01101811
3.2757792
3.11096103
13.0621111
20.8375387
21.8840323
5.29426123
26.5209165
6.12224074
39.9661755
36.9016478
1.41722824
29.509287
36.6119557
28.7793555
1.1249707
2.30840949
104.953225
4.64718955
6.0433253
11.5114493
30.3682966
24.1003816
44.8018313
50.72283
13.9296362
6.40816543
17.661743
32.4489016
24.3737328
x1*x2
45.8418786
31.7899676
24.8551396
1.16513596
23.7098398
24.6930833
46.6225888
49.3000061
47.2481778
20.478242
52.5284309
25.2380249
60.0578666
51.6347175
9.99998077
47.2605315
72.0042965
64.9121384
15.9096954
-30.5388368
170.061495
32.5515859
38.8414182
47.839224
78.8036366
58.9105674
78.3129777
79.7663562
41.4278964
29.8709388
50.4310519
63.2299727
52.3319483
Resumen
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.455400289
0.207389423
0.060609687
2.834754875
33
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Variable X 3
Variable X 4
Variable X 5
5
27
32
Suma de cuadrados
56.77034411
216.9675504
273.7378945
Coeficientes
25.2531166
-3.691145977
0.033015001
0.139006424
-0.008840701
0.008472478
Error tpico
13.47991959
2.243396192
1.02101393
0.085511947
0.113392442
0.08112251
Pronstico para Y
3.505168022
4.737783646
3.409616086
1.421617209
0.985671846
1.062272143
1.168244494
1.986631351
2.513871561
3.615278267
2.446260799
2.307049413
3.096786411
4.233382812
4.167283016
3.980419671
1.499325323
1.414831237
Residuos
-2.950906706
0.170460637
3.489735478
-1.418914931
0.644965831
0.521186695
6.224636181
-0.523382227
-2.399886395
-3.614418911
-0.458017285
-1.525167224
-2.923039003
5.978678606
4.442248255
-3.978503609
5.524800128
-0.693650154

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
1.32223861
6.891759827
3.135913802
1.517547026
1.991391173
1.259388089
1.476275067
1.424421841
1.583706669
1.811773608
1.75944671
1.332852011
1.386172147
1.84528747
2.136625415
-0.930336679
0.500274767
-1.098814956
-1.508518201
-1.446587722
0.223572741
0.828110139
-0.998557013
0.940013413
0.239876663
-1.75253032
-0.021629349
-1.292412891
1.902149104
-2.095435062
N*R^ 2 ajustado

11.35406882
8.035835199
2.000119672 chi calculado

chi tabla
F
1.412929526
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
1.873387778 0.071878115
-1.645338434 0.111493804
0.032335505 0.974442351
1.625578988 0.115656595
-0.077965523 0.938430409
0.104440526 0.917591744
2.000119672
11.07
Valor crtico de F
0.25128296
Inferior 95%
-2.405393768
-8.294214745
-2.061932539
-0.036449598
-0.241502774
-0.157977164
Superior 95%
52.91162698
0.91192279
2.127962541
0.314462446
0.223821372
0.17492212

Residuos estndares
-1.133269174
0.065463874
1.340201517
-0.544921515
0.247693325
0.200157062
2.390515528
-0.201000236
-0.921654781
-1.388085067
-0.175897418
-0.585726752
-1.122566833
2.296057734
1.70600548
-1.52790852
2.121749788
-0.266390102
Percentil
1.515151515
4.545454545
7.575757576
10.60606061
13.63636364
16.66666667
19.6969697
22.72727273
25.75757576
28.78787879
31.81818182
34.84848485
37.87878788
40.90909091
43.93939394
46.96969697
50
53.03030303
Y
0.000859357
0.001916062
0.002702277
0.00691639
0.009028824
0.041190353
0.093759256
0.113985166
0.173747408
0.391901931
0.425864828
0.544803451
0.554261316
0.721181083
0.781882189
1.311222661
1.463249125
1.48296083
-0.357287432
0.192126024
-0.421989999
-0.579332845
-0.555549001
0.0858611
0.318028249
-0.383486838
0.361003695
0.092122475
-0.673043504
-0.008306557
-0.496339544
0.730503252
-0.804732985
56.06060606
59.09090909
62.12121212
65.15151515
68.18181818
71.21212121
74.24242424
77.27272727
80.3030303
83.33333333
86.36363636
89.39393939
92.42424242
95.45454545
98.48484848
1.583458838
1.630637677
1.988243514
2.037098846
2.051650271
2.304385206
2.523720081
3.747436574
4.908244283
6.899351564
7.024125451
7.392034594
7.392880675
8.609531271
10.21206142
Variable X 1 Grfico de los residuales

hay homoc
Residuos
10
5
0
0.00
5.00
10.00
-5
15.00
20.00
Variable X 1

Residuos
10
5
0
0.00
50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00
-5
Variable X 3
Variable X 2 Curva de regresin ajustada

-2.405393768
52.91162698
-8.294214745
0.91192279
-2.061932539
2.127962541
-0.036449598
0.314462446
-0.241502774
0.223821372
-0.157977164
0.17492212
-5
15
10
5
0
Y
Pronstico para Y
0
5
Variable X 2
10
15
residuales

Residuos
10
20.00
25.00
5
0
-4
-2
-5
10
Variable X 2
residuales
Residuos
10
5
0
0
350.00 400.00 450.00
20
40
-5
sin ajustada
60
80
100
Variable X 4

15
Y
Pronstico para Y
10
5
Pronstico para Y
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
Variable X 3
400.00
500.00
duales
Residuos
10
10
12
5
0
-50
50
-5
siduales
100
150
200
Variable X 5

15
Y
10
100
120
Pronstico para Y
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Variable X 1
ajustada
15
Y
10
Pronstico para Y
Pronstico para Y
0
20
40
60
Variable X 4
80
100
120
Grfico de probabilidad normal

15
Y
10
5
0
200
20
60
80
100
120
Muestra percentil
ustada

15
Y
10
stico para Y
onstico para Y
40
-50
Pronstico para Y
0
50
100
Variable X 5
150
200
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Desempleo
9.10
8.10
9.10
11.10
13.10
14.00
12.90
10.80
10.10
8.90
10.20
10.20
9.50
8.50
8.40
8.70
11.90
12.10
15.00
20.10
16.60
15.10
15.80
14.10
14.30
12.00
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.80
12.00
11.10
10.60
VARIANZA
7.11632731

5.037568867
4.098199161
3.924687168
2.263216774
2.731333906
0.948480319
0.1049672
1.584376304
1.809911379
3.355101016
1.763791663
3.088264652
3.614154276
5.83829241
4.564815299
5.371506806
4.678037231
4.059821002
2.300926168
3.417426656
5.149846261
6.042038478
2.474316216
2.277231497
6.321880691
5.032677497
6.074672651
2.365650574
1.190473955
5.835811494
5.43224512
5.202437593
6.05078141
2.055854712
5.364639367
3.430293678
1.060646358
0.56978409
-1.519345086
-4.204015244
10.24466811
4.419993
2.155734109
1.677898308
2.458317575
2.503980465
3.392852674
3.918271904
5.510743742
5.333022067
4.909213952
4.706555934
6.69341701
6.697515258
7.121996208
6.900627655
3.732242789
3.546804886
2.531435448
1.651549245
4.202587661
3.971800705
5.696393737
6.645328887
4.936976077
4.21297881
5.18821785
8
6
4
2
0
0.00
5.00
-2
-4
-6
scrn1
scrn2
10.00
Series1
Linear (Series1)
10.00
15.00
C
N
13.9774841
2.52460342
20.00
25.00
4
14
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
Desempleo
20.10
16.60
15.80
15.10
15.00
14.30
14.10
14.00
13.10
12.90
12.10
12.00
12.00
11.90
11.80
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.10
11.10
10.80
10.60
10.20
10.20
10.10
9.50
9.10
9.10
8.90
8.70
8.50
8.40
8.10

-1.519345086
-4.204015244
10.24466811
4.419993
2.458317575
2.503980465
2.155734109
1.677898308
1.060646358
0.56978409
5.510743742
5.333022067
3.392852674
3.918271904
1.763791663
3.088264652
1.809911379
3.355101016
3.614154276
5.83829241
5.364639367
3.430293678
4.909213952
4.706555934
4.202587661
3.971800705
6.05078141
2.055854712
2.531435448
1.651549245
6.69341701
6.697515258
7.121996208
6.900627655
0.1049672
1.584376304
3.732242789
3.546804886
5.696393737
6.645328887
4.564815299
5.371506806
4.936976077
4.21297881
5.149846261
6.042038478
2.474316216
2.277231497
4.678037231
4.059821002
6.321880691
5.032677497
5.037568867
4.098199161
2.731333906
0.948480319
2.300926168
3.417426656
5.43224512
5.202437593
6.074672651
2.365650574
1.190473955
5.835811494
3.924687168
2.263216774
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Resumen
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.908833418
0.825978182
0.791173819
1.182264101
13
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
2
10
12
Suma de cuadrados
66.34281272
13.97748406
80.32029677
Coeficientes
11.24876941
-0.688983396
0.473316036
Error tpico
2.495525091
0.159582322
0.127763291
Pronstico para Y
-3.318927507
4.660610471
1.52639275
1.865463389
1.416039398
4.004630097
3.13999484
2.437832743
3.079746738
4.071521038
5.451239893
5.304578344
4.970120789
Residuos
-0.885087737
-0.240617472
0.977587715
-0.187565081
-0.846255308
1.32839197
0.778277063
0.650431909
0.275354279
1.766771371
-2.020946215
-0.59802241
-0.998320084

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

33.17140636
1.397748406
F
23.73202947
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
4.507576161 0.001129804
-4.317416792 0.001519271
3.704632466
0.00407723
Valor crtico de F
0.000159595
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
5.688392998 16.80914582
-1.044554967 -0.333411825
0.188641683 0.757990388

Residuos estndares
-0.820091752
-0.222947845
0.905799039
-0.173791331
-0.784110964
1.230842155
0.721124668
0.60266776
0.255133772
1.637029379
-1.872539018
-0.554106927
-0.925008937
Percentil
3.846153846
11.53846154
19.23076923
26.92307692
34.61538462
42.30769231
50
57.69230769
65.38461538
73.07692308
80.76923077
88.46153846
96.15384615
Y
-4.204015244
0.56978409
1.677898308
2.503980465
3.088264652
3.355101016
3.430293678
3.918271904
3.971800705
4.419993
4.706555934
5.333022067
5.83829241

Residuos
2
0
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
-2
-4
Variable X 1

10
5
Y

5.688392998
16.80914582
-1.044554967
-0.333411825
0.188641683
0.757990388
0
0.00
-5
5.00
10.00
15.00
Variable X 1
20.00
25.00
Pronstico para Y
residuales
20.00
25.00
Residuos
-4
0
-2
-4
sin ajustada
10
-2
Variable X 2

10
Pronstico para Y
5
0
-5
0
-5
5
Variable X 2
10
15
Pronstico para Y

10
12
5
0
0
-5
ustada
Pronstico para Y
20
40
60
Muestra percentil
80
100
120
Resumen
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.491293233
0.24136904
0.124656585
1.588900067
16
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
2
13
15
Suma de cuadrados
10.44209213
32.81984451
43.26193664
Coeficientes
-0.853551815
0.313502116
0.432177751
Error tpico
3.949005977
0.389713934
0.227976769
Pronstico para Y
2.67168628
4.239314088
5.088176428
4.505082709
4.603221953
4.569818685
3.413514126
4.334563287
4.856894468
4.176442745
3.179739305
2.931025995
4.221612015
4.436554537
2.294362196
3.381977919
Residuos
-1.087309976
-0.692509202
1.557152459
0.866424098
-0.390243143
1.472219792
-1.13628263
-0.274742285
0.175783028
-0.078243584
-2.231258986
0.486400661
0.980825578
-2.070903963
3.541449298
-1.118761145

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

5.221046064
2.524603424
F
2.068065826
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
-0.21614346 0.832230535
0.80444164 0.435607031
1.89570961 0.080447559
Valor crtico de F
0.166034621
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
-9.384860552 7.677756923
-0.528423652 1.155427884
-0.060336114 0.924691617

Residuos estndares
-0.73507346
-0.468169286
1.052709412
0.585744059
-0.263822998
0.995290874
-0.768181312
-0.185738903
0.11883772
-0.052896399
-1.508437611
0.328830071
0.663084922
-1.400029959
2.39418882
-0.756335952
Percentil
3.125
9.375
15.625
21.875
28.125
34.375
40.625
46.875
53.125
59.375
65.625
71.875
78.125
84.375
90.625
96.875
Y
0.948480319
1.584376304
2.263216774
2.277231497
2.365650574
3.417426656
3.546804886
4.059821002
4.098199161
4.21297881
5.032677497
5.202437593
5.371506806
5.835811494
6.042038478
6.645328887

Residuos
4
2
0
-2
0.00
2.00
4.00
-4
6.00
8.00
10.00
Variable X 1

-9.384860552
7.677756923
-0.528423652
1.155427884
-0.060336114
0.924691617

8
6
4
2
0
Y
Pronstico para Y
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
Variable X 1
8.00
10.00
12.00
residuales
10.00
12.00
Residuos
4
2
0
-2
-4

Y
Pronstico para Y
Variable X 2
in ajustada
8
6
4
2
0
Pronstico para Y
0
4
Variable X 2

Y
duales
8
6
4
2
0
0
20
40
60
Muestra percentil
n ajustada
Pronstico para Y
80
100
120
120
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Desempleo
9.10
8.10
9.10
11.10
13.10
14.00
12.90
10.80
10.10
8.90
10.20
10.20
9.50
8.50
8.40
8.70
11.90
12.10
15.00
20.10
16.60
15.10
15.80
14.10
14.30
12.00
11.70
11.20
11.10
11.80
12.00
11.10
10.60
Y(% Crecim. PIB)

4.098199161
2.263216774
0.948480319
1.584376304
3.355101016
3.088264652
5.83829241
5.371506806
4.059821002
3.417426656
6.042038478
2.277231497
5.032677497
2.365650574
5.835811494
5.202437593
2.055854712
3.430293678
0.56978409
-4.204015244
4.419993
1.677898308
2.503980465
3.918271904
5.333022067
4.706555934
6.697515258
6.900627655
3.546804886
1.651549245
3.971800705
6.645328887
4.21297881
Resumen
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.435370263
0.189547266
0.163403629
2.027070426
33
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
1
31
32
Suma de cuadrados
29.7912826
127.3794499
157.1707325
Coeficientes
7.801239023
-0.356171916
Error tpico
1.599474806
0.13227687
Pronstico para Y
4.560074448
4.916246364
4.560074448
3.847730615
3.135386782
2.814832193
3.206621437
3.954582258
4.203902531
4.631309103
4.168285543
4.168285543
4.417605817
4.773777733
4.809395061
4.702543418
3.562793353
3.491558698
2.458660276
0.642183367
1.888785074
2.423042949
Residuos
-0.461875286
-2.65302959
-3.611594128
-2.263354311
0.219714234
0.273432459
2.631670973
1.416924549
-0.144081529
-1.213882447
1.873752934
-1.891054047
0.61507168
-2.408127159
1.026416433
0.499894174
-1.506938641
-0.06126502
-1.888876187
-4.84619861
2.531207925
-0.745144641

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
2.173722675
2.779214865
2.70798055
3.527176026
3.634027669
3.812113627
3.847730615
3.598410341
3.527176026
3.847730615
4.025816573
0.33025779
1.139057038
2.625041517
1.179379908
3.063487589
3.088514028
-0.300925729
-1.946861096
0.444624679
2.797598272
0.187162237
Varianza del Error

29.7912826
4.109014514
3.859983331
F
7.250225692
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
4.87737537 3.05146E-05
-2.692624313 0.011331033
Valor crtico de F
0.011331033
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
4.53908865
11.0633894
-0.625952372 -0.086391461

Residuos estndares
-0.231499485
-1.329742037
-1.81019034
-1.134430382
0.110124386
0.137048843
1.319036747
0.710185873
-0.072216031
-0.608417835
0.939155769
-0.947827371
0.308284036
-1.206992914
0.514456787
0.250555177
-0.755302416
-0.030707035
-0.946735792
-2.428994399
1.268683017
-0.373478742
Percentil
Y
1.515151515 -4.204015244
4.545454545
0.56978409
7.575757576 0.948480319
10.60606061 1.584376304
13.63636364 1.651549245
16.66666667 1.677898308
19.6969697 2.055854712
22.72727273 2.263216774
25.75757576 2.277231497
28.78787879 2.365650574
31.81818182 2.503980465
34.84848485 3.088264652
37.87878788 3.355101016
40.90909091 3.417426656
43.93939394 3.430293678
46.96969697 3.546804886
50 3.918271904
53.03030303 3.971800705
56.06060606 4.059821002
59.09090909 4.098199161
62.12121212
4.21297881
65.15151515
4.419993
0.165530633
0.57091411
1.315713955
0.591124595
1.535470333
1.548013996
-0.150828922
-0.975798781
0.222853197
1.402202237
0.09380879
68.18181818
71.21212121
74.24242424
77.27272727
80.3030303
83.33333333
86.36363636
89.39393939
92.42424242
95.45454545
98.48484848
4.706555934
5.032677497
5.202437593
5.333022067
5.371506806
5.835811494
5.83829241
6.042038478
6.645328887
6.697515258
6.900627655

Residuos
5
0
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
-5
-10
Variable X 1

4.53908865
11.0633894
-0.625952372
-0.086391461
10
5
0
0
-5
Residuos
-0.461875286
-2.65302959
-3.611594128
-2.263354311
0.219714234
0.273432459
2.631670973
1.416924549
-0.144081529
-1.213882447
1.873752934
-1.891054047
0.61507168
-2.408127159
1.026416433
0.499894174
-1.506938641
-0.06126502
-1.888876187
-4.84619861
2.531207925
Variable P
0.055266762
1.82347057
3.379188724
1.327148927
0.012506361
0.019369335
1.794228502
0.520125349
0.005378129
0.381740145
0.909576482
0.926450998
0.098009017
1.502357891
0.272936592
0.064739706
0.588309294
0.000972388
0.924318305
6.08438922
1.659855241
20
40
60
Muestra percentil
80
-0.745144641
0.33025779
1.139057038
2.625041517
1.179379908
3.063487589
3.088514028
-0.300925729
-1.946861096
0.444624679
2.797598272
0.187162237
0.14384532
0.028256653
0.336128637
1.785200188
0.360347921
2.431346305
2.471233186
0.023460281
0.981938988
0.051215533
2.027613961
0.009075092
residuales
10
5
20.00
25.00
0
0.00
-5
dad normal
100
120
5.00
10.00
15.00
Variable X 1
20.00
25.00
Pronstico para Y
ustada
Pronstico para Y
Resumen
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.393115682
0.154539939
0.127267034
2.070387038
33
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
1
31
32
Suma de cuadrados
24.28915547
132.8815771
157.1707325
Coeficientes
4.279466545
-0.678897557
Error tpico
0.459600997
0.285200038
Pronstico para Y
4.241946075
3.041516829
1.985343574
3.37846838
4.270976007
4.266316751
3.061369198
3.926354716
4.275815347
4.020304093
3.661957293
3.650501226
4.212928463
3.259519443
4.09417056
4.235514917
3.880064802
4.278806393
3.651949106
0.148789565
3.152594876
4.181810309
Residuos
-0.143746914
-0.778300055
-1.036863255
-1.794092076
-0.915874991
-1.178052099
2.776923212
1.44515209
-0.215994344
-0.602877438
2.380081184
-1.373269729
0.819749034
-0.893868869
1.741640935
0.966922676
-1.82421009
-0.848512715
-3.082165016
-4.352804809
1.267398123
-2.503912001

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
4.260283173
4.051269634
3.067498498
4.034827222
2.628831478
2.601752372
4.263539417
3.612830564
4.244696445
2.90292438
4.273305487
-1.756302707
-0.132997731
2.265523569
0.671728712
4.06868378
4.298875284
-0.716734532
-1.961281319
-0.27289574
3.742404507
-0.060326677
suma de cuadrados explicada

12.14457774 la suma de cuadrados explicada es igual al chi calculado
Chi de la tabla
5.9915
Hay heterosedasticidad

24.28915547
4.286502486
F
5.666427478
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
9.311264716 1.71252E-10
-2.380425903 0.023623989
Valor crtico de F
0.023623989
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
3.342104132 5.216828958
-1.260566869 -0.097228245

Residuos estndares
-0.070540922
-0.38193518
-0.508819898
-0.880414792
-0.449447328
-0.578105498
1.362719508
0.709179475
-0.105994903
-0.295850041
1.167977222
-0.673904644
0.402275437
-0.438648263
0.854675443
0.474497958
-0.895194604
-0.416390638
-1.512510816
-2.136051872
0.621950272
-1.228744718
Percentil
Y
1.515151515 -4.204015244
4.545454545
0.56978409
7.575757576 0.948480319
10.60606061 1.584376304
13.63636364 1.651549245
16.66666667 1.677898308
19.6969697 2.055854712
22.72727273 2.263216774
25.75757576 2.277231497
28.78787879 2.365650574
31.81818182 2.503980465
34.84848485 3.088264652
37.87878788 3.355101016
40.90909091 3.417426656
43.93939394 3.430293678
46.96969697 3.546804886
50 3.918271904
53.03030303 3.971800705
56.06060606 4.059821002
59.09090909 4.098199161
62.12121212
4.21297881
65.15151515
4.419993
-0.861870415
-0.065265975
1.111760365
0.329637426
1.996625162
2.109587037
-0.351723132
-0.962459568
-0.133918124
1.836510137
-0.02960411
68.18181818
71.21212121
74.24242424
77.27272727
80.3030303
83.33333333
86.36363636
89.39393939
92.42424242
95.45454545
98.48484848
4.706555934
5.032677497
5.202437593
5.333022067
5.371506806
5.835811494
5.83829241
6.042038478
6.645328887
6.697515258
6.900627655

Residuos
0
0
-5
Variable X 1

3.342104132
5.216828958
-1.260566869
-0.097228245
10
5
0
0
-5
20
40
60
Muestra percentil
80
residuales
10
5
Y
6
0
-5
abilidad normal
ra percentil
80
100
120
4
Variable X 1
Pronstico para Y
n ajustada
Pronstico para Y
20
19
3
4
30
22
17
2
12
14
23
6
5
10
18
29
24
31
9
1
33
21
26
13
16
25
8
15
7
11
32
27
28
Y(% Crecim. PIB)

-4.204015244
0.56978409
0.948480319
1.584376304
1.651549245
1.677898308
2.055854712
2.263216774
2.277231497
2.365650574
2.503980465
3.088264652
3.355101016
3.417426656
3.430293678
3.546804886
3.918271904
3.971800705
4.059821002
4.098199161
4.21297881
4.419993
4.706555934
5.032677497
5.202437593
5.333022067
5.371506806
5.835811494
5.83829241
6.042038478
6.645328887
6.697515258
6.900627655
2
15
14
16
10
1
3
13
9
11
12
33
8
4
29
32
28
27
30
17
26
31
18
7
5
6
24
25
19
22
23
21
20
X Desempleo
8.10
8.40
8.50
8.70
8.90
9.10
9.10
9.50
10.10
10.20
10.20
10.60
10.80
11.10
11.10
11.10
11.20
11.70
11.80
11.90
12.00
12.00
12.10
12.90
13.10
14.00
14.10
14.30
15.00
15.10
15.80
16.60
20.10
Diferencai de pocision 1 a la 2
18
4
-11
-12
20
21
14
-11
3
3
11
-27
-3
6
-11
-3
-4
4
-21
-16
7
-10
8
6
11
19
-16
-10
-12
-11
9
6
8
Elevado al cuadrado
324
16
121
144
400
441
196
121
9
9
121
729
9
36
121
9
16
16
441
256
49
100
64
36
121
361
256
100
144
121
81
36
64
5068 sumatoria de cuadrados
r
Desviacion etandar
Z calculado
Z tabla
Hay homocedasticidad
0.15307487
0.1767767
0.86592221
1.96
omocedasticidad

Modelo Econ

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Modelo Econ

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Resumen

Anlisis de los residuales

Promedio de los cuadrados

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

9,10000038146973 Grfico de los

Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

9,10000038146973 Curva de regresin

rfico de probabilidad normal

X1(% Pob. Desempleo) Residual

X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

X1(% Pob. Desempleo) Line Fit

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

X2(% Crecimiento servicios)

Predicted Y(% Crecim.

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

X2(% Crecimiento servicios) 0Line

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

Predicted Y(% Crecim.

X2(% Crecimiento servicios)

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

Anlisis de los residuales

Relacion entre R^2 y F

Promedio de los cuadrados

15.06084955 Son iguales por lo tanto esta correctamente

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

Exmen de Cambio Estructural

Periodo de punto del exmen de Cambio Estructural:

Periodo de punto del exmen de Cambio Estructural:

Ao X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

4.104876 HAY CAMIO ESTRUC. PUES F CAL>F CRITICO

2.8794641 LOS SIGMAS ESTIMADOS SON DISTINTOS

Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

3.1118521 HAY CAMIO ESTRUC. PUES F CAL>F CRITICO

X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

2.6080875 LOS SIGMAS ESTIMADOS SON DISTINTOS

X2(% Crecimiento servicios)

Coefficients Standard Error

Coefficients Standard Error

Coefficients Standard Error

Lower 95% Upper 95%

Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

Upper 95% Lower 95,0%

Upper 95% Lower 95,0%

X2(% Crecimiento servicios)Y(% Crecim. PIB)

Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

Coefficients Standard Error

Coefficients Standard Error

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

Normal Probability Plot

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

X1(% Pob. Desempleo) Line Fit

X1(% Pob. Desempleo)

sempleo) Line Fit

Y(% Crecim. PIB)

Predicted Y(% Crecim.

X2(% Crecimiento servicios) Y(% Crecim. PIB)