CONSULTAS EIS (x)

FREC. ABS. (DAS)

0
1
2
3
4
5

Total

FREC. RELATIVAS o
PROBABILIDAD DE
QUE OCURRA EL
SUCESO x
10
20
40
60
40
30
200

0.05
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.15
1

FRE. RELAT. ACUM

0.05
0.15
0.35
0.65
0.85
1

ASIGNACIN DE PESOS
PARA OBTENER EL VALOR
REAL MEDIO
PROBABILSTICO
ESTIMACIN DE LOS PARMETROS ESTADSTICOS A PARTIR DE MUESTRAS ALEATORIAS (CUANDO MAYOR ES NMERO

xi*prob (xi)
0
0.1
0.4
0.9
0.8
0.75
2.95

f(x) seudoaleatoria
0.994898509
0.10676529
0.777959317
0.952451671
0.539479337
0.777062874
0.394149331
0.820702901
0.533127028
0.362697606
0.316826838
0.235832977
0.911350898
0.445376265
0.340360277
0.473976869
0.654732512
0.827517795
0.780367446
0.122953705
0.796655686
0.005185622
0.525395765
0.947292278
0.613123273
0.639220136
0.14820321
0.707951485
0.988249604
0.46280486
0.443804568
0.229168965
0.866646485
0.734455668
0.139482574
0.570869001
0.613023731
0.55366327
0.858742907

Asignacin de x condicional
(alternativa 1)
1
1
4
1
3
4
3
4
3
3
2
2
1
3
2
3
4
4
4
1
4
0
3
1
3
3
1
4
1
3
3
2
1
4
1
3
3
3
1

0.651093197
0.877559967
0.899518436
0.854665363
0.248573956
0.813960573
0.773518557
0.387972429
0.312892183
0.315204261
0.186886792
0.333374435
0.655004059
0.038114558
0.089815508
0.121512254
0.264183168
0.654844352
0.032997819
0.289974115
0.142272725
0.180375676
0.636518188
0.885640694
0.141736908
0.379346718
0.368916684
0.495472983
0.940054606
0.719224764
0.575254424
0.187800434
0.685301517
0.865417189
0.864631484
0.276240364
0.749826323
0.391849449
0.692115175
0.951563905
0.18162022
0.569917153
0.254247848
0.75013383
0.144972049
0.23641372
0.003455607
0.78577694
0.009287072
0.76300335

4
1
1
1
2
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
4
0
1
1
2
4
0
2
1
2
3
1
1
3
3
3
1
4
3
2
4
1
1
2
4
3
4
1
2
3
2
4
1
2
0
4
0
4

0.182331713
0.517228535
0.476615703
0.850260672
0.596157602
0.585467123
0.725169763
0.777631209
0.48890349
0.941131983
0.851982959

2
3
3
1
3
3
4
4
3
1
1

RTIR DE MUESTRAS ALEATORIAS (CUANDO MAYOR ES NMERO DE ENSAYOS n MEJOR ES EL ESTIMADOR)

ESTIMADOR DE LA MEDIA DEL
EXPERIMENTO ALEATORIO
(PUEDE COINCIDIR CON E1 O NO,
YA QUE AL IGUAL QUE LA
MUESTRA ALEATORIA SE
Asignacin de x con BUSCARV
CONVIERTE EN OTRA VAR.
(alternativa 2)
ALEATORIA)
2.36

SUCESO xi
0
1
2
3
4
5

0.35

Probabilidad

0.3
0.25
0.2

0.15
0.1

0.05

0.05
0
0

Esto significa que, al generar un nmero pseudo-aleatorio c

distribucin uniforme entre 0 y 1), estaremos llevando a cab
obtenido de forma aleatoria y segn la distribucin de prob
suceso. As por ejemplo, si el ordenador nos proporciona el n
podremos suponer que ese da se han producido 2 consulta
Es decir, si el eje Y es el resultado seudo-aleatorio, el corresp
que se le asignar a ese valor de la distribucin de probabilid

X es el n de consultas diarias

Distribucin de probabilidad de la variable aleatoria discreta dada por la frec. Relativa de cada x.
Esperanza:

Cuando no es posible determinar el n exacto esperado de consultas diarias por la teora de la probabilidad se
puede usar el Mtodo de Monte Carlo:
Extremo abierto del intervalo del nmero aleatorio para cada x:
Extremo abierto del intervalo del nm
0
0.05
0.05
0.15
0.15
0.35
0.35
0.65
0.65
0.85
0.85
1

N CONSULTAS EIS
0.3
0.2

0.2
0.15

0.1

N CONSULTAS

ue, al generar un nmero pseudo-aleatorio con el ordenador (proveniente de una

iforme entre 0 y 1), estaremos llevando a cabo un experimento cuyo resultado,
rma aleatoria y segn la distribucin de probabilidad anterior, estar asociado a un
ejemplo, si el ordenador nos proporciona el nmero pseudo-aleatorio 0,2567,
oner que ese da se han producido 2 consultas al EIS.
e Y es el resultado seudo-aleatorio, el correspondiente valor de x es el tipo de suceso (n de consultas)
ar a ese valor de la distribucin de probabilidad.

El grfico siguiente nos muestra cada una de las probabilidad

l, se aprecia claramente la relacin existente entre probabil

ste ocupa.

ora de la probabilidad se
Extremo abierto del intervalo del nmero aleatorio para cada x:

ente nos muestra cada una de las probabilidades sobre el nmero de consultas. En

laramente la relacin existente entre probabilidad de cada suceso y el rea que

Supongamos que trabajamos en un gran almacn informtico, y que nos piden consejo para
decidir sobre el nmero de licencias de un determinado sistema operativo que conviene adquirir
las licencias se suministrarn con los ordenadores que se vendan durante el prximo trimestre, y
es lgico pensar que en pocos meses habr un nuevo sistema operativo en el mercado de
caractersticas superiores. Cada licencia de sistema operativo le cuesta al almacn un total de 75
Euros, mientras que el precio al que la vende es de 100 Euros. Cuando salga al mercado la
nueva versin del sistema operativo, el almacn podr devolver al distribuidor las licencias
sobrantes, obteniendo a cambio un total del 25 Euros por cada una. Basndose en los datos
histricos de los ltimos meses, los responsables del almacn han sido capaces de determinar la
siguiente distribucin de probabilidades por lo que a las ventas de licencias del nuevo sistema
operativo se refiere:

n Lic. Vendidas Probabilidad

Prob. Acum.
Ext. Inf. Intervalo
Ext. Sup. Interval.
100
0.3
0.3
0
0.3
150
0.2
0.5
0.3
0.5
200
0.3
0.8
0.5
0.8
250
0.15
0.95
0.8
0.95
300
0.05
1
0.95
1

os piden consejo para

ativo que conviene adquirir
nte el prximo trimestre, y
al almacn un total de 75

Coste de licencia
Ingresos por licencia vendida
Ingresos por licencia devuelta
Cantidad licencias disponibles a comprar
o adquiridas cada mes, o CANTIDAD DE PEDIDO

75
100
25
300

ribuidor las licencias

asndose en los datos
capaces de determinar la
ncias del nuevo sistema

CONSULTAV(valor_buscado; lookup_value, matriz_buscar_en; indicador_columnas; [ordenado

Si ordenado se omite o es VERDADERO, se devolver una coincidencia exacta o aproximada. Si n

En ese caso los valores de la primera columna de matriz_buscar_en deben estar clasificados seg
Si el argumento ordenado es FALSO, CONSULTAV slo buscar una coincidencia exacta. Si hay d
notar que usamos tambin la funcin MIN, ya que en ningn caso podremos vender ms licenc
n Lic. Vendidas
100
150
200
250
300

MODELO DE SIMULACIN DE VENTAS

Num. Aleat. Lic. Vend. Lic. Dev.
0.11262548
100
0.45601776
150
0.33160739
150
0.75846047
200
0.2648266
100
0.19606049
100
0.06486253
100
0.1609528
100
0.07728746
100
0.4072063
150
0.13359873
100
0.1459419
100
0.2418816
100
0.32274624
150
0.93389604
250
0.31545368
150
0.57633788
200
0.22639739
100
0.25413229
100
0.55121035
200
0.44485675
150
0.26149897
100
0.92341235
250
0.55841955
200
0.94738438
250
0.94187509
250
0.56908201
200
0.40149402
150
0.80027594
250
0.2076859
100
0.18266564
100

200
150
150
100
200
200
200
200
200
150
200
200
200
150
50
150
100
200
200
100
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50
100
50
50
100
150
50
200
200

Coste
22500
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0.60870669
0.39985904
0.08010569
0.38854792
0.06252702
0.99441722
0.10769336
0.05579121
0.21032153
0.16742827
0.42240217
0.23722764
0.57936175
0.12631273
0.02589216
0.95039904
0.00792481
0.4451851
0.38919685
0.80886945
0.20502143
0.20813478
0.34190715
0.95033176
0.06418663
0.34179322
0.65614445
0.35323035
0.11977276
0.16350361
0.19155378
0.85121637
0.47738778
0.96211091
0.70425747
0.70769825
0.44198276
0.03583198
0.53184434
0.17589361
0.45737506
0.70367958
0.15984391
0.98941341
0.77538301
0.12518186
0.91848789
0.15767355
0.08442847
0.22961927

200
150
100
150
100
300
100
100
100
100
150
100
200
100
100
300
100
150
150
250
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150
300
100
150
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150
100
100
100
250
150
300
200
200
150
100
200
100
150
200
100
300
200
100
250
100
100
100

100
150
200
150
200
0
200
200
200
200
150
200
100
200
200
0
200
150
150
50
200
200
150
0
200
150
100
150
200
200
200
50
150
0
100
100
150
200
100
200
150
100
200
0
100
200
50
200
200
200

22500
22500
22500
22500
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22500
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0.20559092
0.27968359
0.56845553
0.99734555
0.44294699
0.77308664
0.50570734
0.64257979
0.48772283
0.01921772
0.26720013
0.92298963
0.58558559
0.4007142
0.09319485
0.42434098
0.8846347
0.77625842
0.32243027
0.02060425
0.45870486
0.76764659
0.18928854
0.71542887
0.6580806
0.51247439
0.04061819
0.93076441
0.14459191
0.76139014
0.29284701
0.4899231
0.82649269
0.06551153
0.44609669
0.61215718
0.19885349
0.61037766
0.62737231
0.83081256
0.58090626
0.7118042
0.53097518
0.63687355
0.85137414
0.85686442
0.45472454
0.36107689
0.7496873
0.11420222

100
100
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250
100
150
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100
200
200
250
200
200
200
200
250
250
150
150
200
100

200
200
100
0
150
100
100
100
150
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200
50
100
150
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150
50
100
150
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150
100
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100
100
100
200
50
200
100
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150
50
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150
100
200
100
100
50
100
100
100
100
50
50
150
150
100
200

22500
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0.16151271
0.82909717
0.78044724
0.37193622
0.54172478
0.49852697
0.27339252
0.54091794
0.00214893
0.19913694
0.91583776
0.14145075
0.88011362
0.40655985
0.46745816
0.70045675
0.80628817
0.22247464
0.12370319
0.48543273
0.10182848
0.37884176
0.43632075
0.88851308
0.97162813
0.31406792
0.41331426
0.20240468
0.60824642
0.81783676
0.00086321
0.36707901
0.60748753
0.68745891
0.02281922
0.82253466
0.59942446
0.98143066
0.8592874
0.35157914
0.52934225
0.27168449
0.85965474
0.20636055
0.47359179
0.21274365
0.3772413
0.87202657
0.1193537
0.84049345

100
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100
250

200
50
100
150
100
150
200
100
200
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50
200
50
150
150
100
50
200
200
150
200
150
150
50
0
150
150
200
100
50
200
150
100
100
200
50
100
0
50
150
100
200
50
200
150
200
150
50
200
50

22500
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0.61152432
0.00131441
0.76040874
0.77604047
0.59873532
0.1117819
0.15120947
0.52811399
0.09922031
0.38578303
0.82307838
0.87318325
0.59658145
0.76681904
0.21335259
0.8634178
0.79559642
0.19483216
0.74397878
0.71461595
0.79927366
0.30435702
0.22022584
0.60592434
0.69329296
0.34556894
0.75619212
0.67117481
0.5508059
0.67236201
0.04992895
0.14249941
0.32998924
0.99355702
0.54015396
0.61226845
0.05198926
0.41452173
0.54526789
0.96549533
0.32083239
0.93222289
0.01287273
0.62572307
0.9001694
0.33626601
0.56144124
0.48800624
0.69678259
0.39226334

200
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150

100
200
100
100
100
200
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100
100
200
50
100
200
100
100
100
150
200
100
100
150
100
100
100
100
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0
100
100
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150
100
0
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50
200
100
50
150
100
150
100
150

22500
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0.94098004
0.19869042
0.38144323
0.03384958
0.75527639
0.35835256
0.58779487
0.89067274
0.62320915
0.98883013
0.22794009
0.90967713
0.73258928
0.37317008
0.20480279
0.14715656
0.72686831
0.72873562
0.20510313
0.69869638
0.79912944
0.94376913
0.47242309
0.16734526
0.94172877
0.00135399
0.24325254
0.87885239
0.4583743
0.93313361
0.50325189
0.46381086
0.36836649
0.08480727
0.93021817
0.07826242
0.71547018
0.42576891
0.19538704
0.45738041
0.51835732
0.92911895
0.28086498
0.28345743
0.96925025
0.54821335
0.88983848
0.34965685
0.79717782
0.11977483

250
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50
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22500
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0.67322349
0.4831792
0.09944457
0.56973245
0.39481532
0.54992625
0.1182036
0.90336002
0.6858323
0.55666432
0.20944984
0.84761094
0.00129526
0.64935098
0.44434721
0.35266532
0.58406888
0.76721778
0.42246661
0.3474102
0.09092854
0.3864064
0.06262913
0.86921905
0.3937012
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0.2712388
0.56715834
0.80160624
0.82070982
0.12719253
0.70243236
0.14189872
0.62302955
0.90981878
0.38500907
0.80413087
0.2269378
0.75172629
0.86851966
0.51108378
0.40929512
0.30691205
0.40104852
0.36413848
0.04296047
0.87350023
0.92429944
0.14451467
0.40056379
0.67449595
0.89478881
0.35046725
0.70499313
0.35042557
0.54080759
0.21380069
0.20103386
0.2198743
0.38009894
0.07011206
0.51376783
0.62523395
0.29061641
0.82176449
0.40664489
0.84598216
0.90482646
0.15402236
0.58780823
0.80257413
0.2578593
0.34933846
0.37618289
0.50708448
0.36647019

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0.98225433
0.83099061
0.32323523
0.05993383
0.48773765
0.07515694
0.87800096
0.98034463
0.84946066
0.10652818
0.14894051
0.13098418
0.20206837
0.31280288
0.11320801
0.64538047
0.56460342
0.67239148
0.46971213
0.62014206
0.51907424
0.33186843
0.32311219
0.79569875
0.83141792
0.8048609
0.27507068
0.92350692
0.87772974
0.40713336
0.86466153
0.57691565
0.46388232
0.35665267
0.93481621
0.48331865
0.45308208
0.33533707
0.31618192
0.51973655
0.07102731
0.60061508
0.70372082
0.89543664
0.49377444
0.84481531
0.68580339
0.0891675
0.03434434
0.36631288

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0.77834542
0.88891605
0.38802101
0.09683375
0.1534089
0.26299009
0.14202185
0.54692715
0.16688897
0.62427855
0.43001701
0.5254157
0.36428309
0.3967241
0.75075508
0.74665199
0.96464879
0.61304642
0.50650456
0.05499262
0.8663937
0.68115651
0.35141042
0.81341821
0.76336791
0.20109679
0.62023935
0.39087806
0.3041033
0.61405549
0.9383599
0.79829558
0.27434017
0.20928628
0.22964091
0.38562626
0.19791444
0.0111233
0.02128786
0.89893414
0.43847983
0.57833096
0.19554518
0.8885126
0.69345111
0.47624158
0.1178653
0.38583087
0.89623959
0.84272609

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0.18801924
0.17678228
0.78780996
0.83456972
0.99033457
0.7928511
0.34472852
0.52359208
0.37594229
0.71305867
0.69570347
0.79012096
0.41216377
0.1169991
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0.14886041
0.3326007
0.11084515
0.97860142
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0.05640934
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0.64904997
0.98360256
0.47615246
0.31798594
0.88736198
0.34909691
0.99581049
0.73320794
0.46792163
0.76381025
0.51871265
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0.59806014
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0.96831915
0.81830092
0.48347002
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0.8848335
0.75707462
0.4634354
0.85180296

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0.75301098
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0.30915665
0.49927169
0.16266944
0.64766755
0.07552676
0.32412985
0.22745228
0.93839441
0.52566764
0.01244155
0.82509588
0.9053643
0.50186953
0.47248131
0.15285537
0.04567934
0.72841694

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A partir del modelo anterior es posible tambin realizar what-if anlisis (anlisis de escenarios o
preguntas del tipo qu pasara si cambiamos tal o cual input?). Para ello es suficiente con ir
cambiando los valores de las celdas con fondo amarillo o rojo (inputs del modelo en este
ejemplo). Asimismo, podemos ampliar fcilmente el nmero de iteraciones (observaciones
muestrales) sin ms que repetir los procesos de seleccionar y arrastrar.
En el caso actual, hemos optado por tomar 1.000 iteraciones para cada una de los posibles inputs
asociados a la cantidad de pedido (estos posibles inputs son: 100, 150, 200, 250, y 300). Si se
realizase el experimento, se obtendran unos resultados similares a los que se muestran a
continuacin (ya que 1.000 es un nmero ya bastante considerable para este ejemplo):
A partir de los resultados, parece claro que la decisin ptima es hacer un pedido de 150
unidades, ya que con ello se consigue el beneficio mximo.

ue, matriz_buscar_en; indicador_columnas; [ordenado])

e devolver una coincidencia exacta o aproximada. Si no encuentra ninguna coincidencia exacta, devolver el siguiente valor ms alto inferior a valor_b
mna de matriz_buscar_en deben estar clasificados segn un criterio de ordenacin ascendente; en caso contrario, es posible que CONSULTAV no devu
SULTAV slo buscar una coincidencia exacta. Si hay dos o ms valores en la primera columna de matriz_buscar_en que coinciden con el argumento va
IN, ya que en ningn caso podremos vender ms licencias que las disponibles

Ingresos Venta Ingresos Dev.Beneficios

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CARACTERIZACIN DEL EXPERIMENTO

Media esperada (media muestra aleatoria):
Desviacin estndar:
Valor Min:
Valor Mx:
nivel de significacin (alpha):
Intervalo de confianza:
IC para la media a nivel (1-alpha)%

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3750
5000
3750
5000
1250
3750
2500
3750
3750
0
2500
3750
1250
2500
5000
5000
3750
3750
3750
2500
2500
5000
2500
5000
3750
5000
1250
5000
0
5000
2500

0
-3750
-7500
0
-3750
0
-7500
3750
0
0
-7500
3750
-7500
0
-3750
-3750
0
0
-3750
-3750
-7500
-3750
-7500
3750
-3750
0
-3750
-3750
7500
0
-3750
3750
0
-7500
-7500
-3750
-3750
-3750
0
0
-7500
0
-7500
-3750
-7500
3750
-7500
7500
-7500
0

20000
20000
20000
25000
10000
20000
15000
10000
30000
20000
10000
10000
15000
30000
20000
10000
15000
10000
10000
15000
20000
10000
25000
10000
10000
30000
20000
30000
25000
20000
10000
15000
30000
10000
10000
15000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
10000
20000
15000
20000
10000
25000
20000
20000
20000

2500
2500
2500
1250
5000
2500
3750
5000
0
2500
5000
5000
3750
0
2500
5000
3750
5000
5000
3750
2500
5000
1250
5000
5000
0
2500
0
1250
2500
5000
3750
0
5000
5000
3750
5000
5000
5000
5000
2500
5000
2500
3750
2500
5000
1250
2500
2500
2500

0
0
0
3750
-7500
0
-3750
-7500
7500
0
-7500
-7500
-3750
7500
0
-7500
-3750
-7500
-7500
-3750
0
-7500
3750
-7500
-7500
7500
0
7500
3750
0
-7500
-3750
7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
0
-7500
0
-3750
0
-7500
3750
0
0
0

30000
25000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000
25000
15000
20000
15000
25000
15000
20000
25000
15000
10000
20000
25000
10000
30000
10000
20000
20000
15000
15000
25000
15000
25000
15000
10000
15000
20000
10000
20000
20000
20000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000
25000
25000
10000
20000
15000
15000
20000
20000

0
1250
2500
2500
5000
5000
5000
1250
3750
2500
3750
1250
3750
2500
1250
3750
5000
2500
1250
5000
0
5000
2500
2500
3750
3750
1250
3750
1250
3750
5000
3750
2500
5000
2500
2500
2500
2500
2500
5000
5000
5000
1250
1250
5000
2500
3750
3750
2500
2500

7500
3750
0
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
3750
-3750
0
-3750
3750
-3750
0
3750
-3750
-7500
0
3750
-7500
7500
-7500
0
0
-3750
-3750
3750
-3750
3750
-3750
-7500
-3750
0
-7500
0
0
0
0
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
3750
3750
-7500
0
-3750
-3750
0
0

10000
20000
20000
20000
10000
20000
10000
10000
20000
20000
25000
15000
25000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
10000
20000
20000
15000
15000
15000
10000
10000
15000
15000
20000
15000
15000
20000
10000
25000
20000
10000
20000
10000
25000
20000
30000
15000
10000
20000
15000
20000
10000
10000
10000
10000

5000
2500
2500
2500
5000
2500
5000
5000
2500
2500
1250
3750
1250
3750
5000
5000
5000
3750
5000
2500
2500
3750
3750
3750
5000
5000
3750
3750
2500
3750
3750
2500
5000
1250
2500
5000
2500
5000
1250
2500
0
3750
5000
2500
3750
2500
5000
5000
5000
5000

-7500
0
0
0
-7500
0
-7500
-7500
0
0
3750
-3750
3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
0
0
-3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
-3750
-3750
0
-3750
-3750
0
-7500
3750
0
-7500
0
-7500
3750
0
7500
-3750
-7500
0
-3750
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500

25000
10000
10000
25000
20000
20000
20000
15000
15000
15000
25000
15000
10000
25000
10000
25000
10000
20000
10000
10000
20000
20000
30000
20000
15000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
15000
20000
10000
10000
10000
10000
25000
15000
10000
10000
15000
25000
20000
30000
20000
10000
10000
15000
20000
10000

1250
5000
5000
1250
2500
2500
2500
3750
3750
3750
1250
3750
5000
1250
5000
1250
5000
2500
5000
5000
2500
2500
0
2500
3750
5000
5000
5000
5000
2500
3750
2500
5000
5000
5000
5000
1250
3750
5000
5000
3750
1250
2500
0
2500
5000
5000
3750
2500
5000

3750
-7500
-7500
3750
0
0
0
-3750
-3750
-3750
3750
-3750
-7500
3750
-7500
3750
-7500
0
-7500
-7500
0
0
7500
0
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
0
-3750
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
-3750
3750
0
7500
0
-7500
-7500
-3750
0
-7500

15000
20000
10000
25000
10000
30000
30000
15000
10000
25000
15000
10000
25000
15000
10000
10000
25000
20000
15000
20000
20000
10000
15000
20000
15000
10000
15000
10000
15000
15000
10000
25000
25000
15000
20000
20000
10000
15000
20000
15000
15000
15000
10000
20000
10000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000

3750
2500
5000
1250
5000
0
0
3750
5000
1250
3750
5000
1250
3750
5000
5000
1250
2500
3750
2500
2500
5000
3750
2500
3750
5000
3750
5000
3750
3750
5000
1250
1250
3750
2500
2500
5000
3750
2500
3750
3750
3750
5000
2500
5000
2500
2500
5000
5000
5000

-3750
0
-7500
3750
-7500
7500
7500
-3750
-7500
3750
-3750
-7500
3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
3750
0
-3750
0
0
-7500
-3750
0
-3750
-7500
-3750
-7500
-3750
-3750
-7500
3750
3750
-3750
0
0
-7500
-3750
0
-3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
0
-7500
0
0
-7500
-7500
-7500

15000
25000
25000
15000
20000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
10000
20000
10000
25000
20000
25000
10000
25000
20000
10000
30000
15000
25000
20000
20000
20000
25000
15000
15000
10000
20000
15000
20000
20000
20000
15000
20000
10000
20000
10000
20000
10000
20000
10000
20000
10000
15000
10000
20000
25000

3750
1250
1250
3750
2500
3750
5000
5000
5000
3750
5000
2500
5000
1250
2500
1250
5000
1250
2500
5000
0
3750
1250
2500
2500
2500
1250
3750
3750
5000
2500
3750
2500
2500
2500
3750
2500
5000
2500
5000
2500
5000
2500
5000
2500
5000
3750
5000
2500
1250

-3750
3750
3750
-3750
0
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
0
-7500
3750
0
3750
-7500
3750
0
-7500
7500
-3750
3750
0
0
0
3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
0
-3750
0
0
0
-3750
0
-7500
0
-7500
0
-7500
0
-7500
0
-7500
-3750
-7500
0
3750

25000
20000
15000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
20000
15000
15000
15000
20000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
30000
20000
25000
15000
15000
10000
10000
25000
10000
15000
10000
10000
30000
25000
10000
25000
20000
25000
10000
25000
20000
30000
25000
10000
10000
20000
10000
20000
20000
20000
10000
15000

1250
2500
3750
5000
5000
5000
5000
2500
2500
3750
3750
3750
2500
5000
5000
5000
5000
2500
0
2500
1250
3750
3750
5000
5000
1250
5000
3750
5000
5000
0
1250
5000
1250
2500
1250
5000
1250
2500
0
1250
5000
5000
2500
5000
2500
2500
2500
5000
3750

3750
0
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
0
0
-3750
-3750
-3750
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
0
7500
0
3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
3750
-7500
-3750
-7500
-7500
7500
3750
-7500
3750
0
3750
-7500
3750
0
7500
3750
-7500
-7500
0
-7500
0
0
0
-7500
-3750

20000
20000
20000
10000
15000
20000
20000
10000
10000
15000
20000
20000
10000
10000
10000
10000
15000
15000
20000
25000
10000
20000
15000
20000
25000
15000
10000
15000
25000
20000
10000
15000
20000
20000
10000
15000
15000
25000
25000
20000
20000
10000
15000
25000
20000
20000
20000
20000
10000
25000

2500
2500
2500
5000
3750
2500
2500
5000
5000
3750
2500
2500
5000
5000
5000
5000
3750
3750
2500
1250
5000
2500
3750
2500
1250
3750
5000
3750
1250
2500
5000
3750
2500
2500
5000
3750
3750
1250
1250
2500
2500
5000
3750
1250
2500
2500
2500
2500
5000
1250

0
0
0
-7500
-3750
0
0
-7500
-7500
-3750
0
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-3750
0
3750
-7500
0
-3750
0
3750
-3750
-7500
-3750
3750
0
-7500
-3750
0
0
-7500
-3750
-3750
3750
3750
0
0
-7500
-3750
3750
0
0
0
0
-7500
3750

20000
10000
15000
10000
20000
10000
15000
20000
20000
15000
15000
20000
10000
15000
25000
10000
25000
20000
10000
20000
20000
25000
15000
10000
25000
15000
10000
15000
20000
20000
25000
20000
10000
25000
15000
10000
10000
30000
10000
20000
10000
15000
20000
25000
10000
15000
15000
15000
10000
20000

2500
5000
3750
5000
2500
5000
3750
2500
2500
3750
3750
2500
5000
3750
1250
5000
1250
2500
5000
2500
2500
1250
3750
5000
1250
3750
5000
3750
2500
2500
1250
2500
5000
1250
3750
5000
5000
0
5000
2500
5000
3750
2500
1250
5000
3750
3750
3750
5000
2500

0
-7500
-3750
-7500
0
-7500
-3750
0
0
-3750
-3750
0
-7500
-3750
3750
-7500
3750
0
-7500
0
0
3750
-3750
-7500
3750
-3750
-7500
-3750
0
0
3750
0
-7500
3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
7500
-7500
0
-7500
-3750
0
3750
-7500
-3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
0

10000
20000
25000
25000
10000
20000
10000
20000
25000
15000
25000
10000
20000
25000
20000
15000
15000
15000
15000
10000
25000
25000
10000
15000
20000
25000
15000
20000
15000
20000
10000
10000
10000
15000
10000
20000
20000
10000
25000
15000
25000
25000
10000
20000
25000
10000
15000
15000
20000
15000

5000
2500
1250
1250
5000
2500
5000
2500
1250
3750
1250
5000
2500
1250
2500
3750
3750
3750
3750
5000
1250
1250
5000
3750
2500
1250
3750
2500
3750
2500
5000
5000
5000
3750
5000
2500
2500
5000
1250
3750
1250
1250
5000
2500
1250
5000
3750
3750
2500
3750

-7500
0
3750
3750
-7500
0
-7500
0
3750
-3750
3750
-7500
0
3750
0
-3750
-3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
3750
3750
-7500
-3750
0
3750
-3750
0
-3750
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
0
0
-7500
3750
-3750
3750
3750
-7500
0
3750
-7500
-3750
-3750
0
-3750

30000
25000
15000
10000
15000
10000
25000
30000
25000
10000
10000
10000
10000
15000
10000
20000
20000
20000
15000
20000
20000
15000
15000
20000
25000
25000
10000
25000
25000
15000
25000
20000
15000
15000
25000
15000
15000
15000
15000
20000
10000
20000
20000
25000
15000
25000
20000
10000
10000
15000

0
1250
3750
5000
3750
5000
1250
0
1250
5000
5000
5000
5000
3750
5000
2500
2500
2500
3750
2500
2500
3750
3750
2500
1250
1250
5000
1250
1250
3750
1250
2500
3750
3750
1250
3750
3750
3750
3750
2500
5000
2500
2500
1250
3750
1250
2500
5000
5000
3750

7500
3750
-3750
-7500
-3750
-7500
3750
7500
3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
0
0
0
-3750
0
0
-3750
-3750
0
3750
3750
-7500
3750
3750
-3750
3750
0
-3750
-3750
3750
-3750
-3750
-3750
-3750
0
-7500
0
0
3750
-3750
3750
0
-7500
-7500
-3750

20000
25000
15000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
10000
20000
15000
20000
15000
15000
20000
20000
30000
20000
20000
10000
25000
20000
15000
25000
20000
10000
20000
15000
15000
20000
25000
20000
10000
10000
10000
15000
10000
10000
10000
25000
15000
20000
10000
25000
20000
15000
10000
15000
25000
25000

2500
1250
3750
5000
5000
5000
5000
2500
5000
2500
3750
2500
3750
3750
2500
2500
0
2500
2500
5000
1250
2500
3750
1250
2500
5000
2500
3750
3750
2500
1250
2500
5000
5000
5000
3750
5000
5000
5000
1250
3750
2500
5000
1250
2500
3750
5000
3750
1250
1250

0
3750
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
0
-7500
0
-3750
0
-3750
-3750
0
0
7500
0
0
-7500
3750
0
-3750
3750
0
-7500
0
-3750
-3750
0
3750
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
3750
-3750
0
-7500
3750
0
-3750
-7500
-3750
3750
3750

10000
10000
20000
25000
30000
20000
15000
20000
15000
20000
20000
20000
15000
10000
10000
10000
15000
10000
30000
20000
30000
10000
30000
20000
30000
15000
15000
25000
15000
30000
20000
15000
20000
20000
10000
20000
10000
10000
10000
10000
20000
30000
30000
25000
15000
20000
25000
20000
15000
25000

5000
5000
2500
1250
0
2500
3750
2500
3750
2500
2500
2500
3750
5000
5000
5000
3750
5000
0
2500
0
5000
0
2500
0
3750
3750
1250
3750
0
2500
3750
2500
2500
5000
2500
5000
5000
5000
5000
2500
0
0
1250
3750
2500
1250
2500
3750
1250

-7500
-7500
0
3750
7500
0
-3750
0
-3750
0
0
0
-3750
-7500
-7500
-7500
-3750
-7500
7500
0
7500
-7500
7500
0
7500
-3750
-3750
3750
-3750
7500
0
-3750
0
0
-7500
0
-7500
-7500
-7500
-7500
0
7500
7500
3750
-3750
0
3750
0
-3750
3750

20000
15000
15000
15000
10000
20000
10000
15000
10000
25000
20000
10000
25000
25000
20000
15000
10000
10000
20000

2500
3750
3750
3750
5000
2500
5000
3750
5000
1250
2500
5000
1250
1250
2500
3750
5000
5000
2500

0
-3750
-3750
-3750
-7500
0
-7500
-3750
-7500
3750
0
-7500
3750
3750
0
-3750
-7500
-7500
0

(anlisis de escenarios o
lo es suficiente con ir

na de los posibles inputs

0, 250, y 300). Si se

guiente valor ms alto inferior a valor_buscado

rio, es posible que CONSULTAV no devuelva el valor correcto
r_en que coinciden con el argumento valor_bsqueda, se usar el primer valor encontrado. Si no se encuentra una coincidencia exacta, se devolver e

-2287.5
4429.598
-7500
7500
0.05
274.5443
-2562.04

entra una coincidencia exacta, se devolver el valor de error #N/A.

QU SERVIDOR RESPONDE MS RPIDO A SUS CONSULTAS SQL?

Supongamos que desde un ordenador cliente se realiza consultas SQL a bases de datos situadas
en dos servidores distintos. Nuestro objetivo ser estimar el tiempo esperado (tiempo medio) que
deberemos esperar para recibir la respuesta de ambos servidores. Dada la complejidad de la
consulta que queremos realizar, y basndonos en experiencias anteriores, se calcula que el
tiempo necesario para que cada uno de los servidores responda a la misma sigue una
distribucin normal con los parmetros (media y desviacin estndar, en minutos) que se indican
a continuacin:
Dist.
Media (min) Desv. Est. (min)
Servidor 1 normal
20
3.4
Servidor 2 normal
22
2.6

Total iteraciones:
S1+rpido:
S2+rpido:
Tiempo Medio:
Desv. Est:
IC 95% para Total Esperado:

Frecuencia Porcentaje
1000
100%
658
66%
341
34%
22.8169253 minutos
2.38355922 minutos
22.6691934 22.96466

Finalmente, las funciones PROMEDIO, DESVEST, e INTERVALO.CONFIANZA nos servirn para

obtener, respectivamente, el tiempo muestral medio (esperado) de respuesta, la desviacin
estndar de la muestra (observaciones que generaremos), y un intervalo de confianza, a un nivel
del 95%, para el tiempo medio (este intervalo nos permitir saber si nuestra estimacin es buena
o si, por el contrario, necesitaremos ms iteraciones).
El tiempo medio estimado de respuesta es de:
22.81693 min
Se puede asegurar con un nivel de confianza del 95% que dicho tiempo medio estar entre
22.66919
y
22.96466

El servidor 1 ha respuesto ms rpido que el servidor 2 en el

66% de las iteraciones.

15.5215003
26.2444768
16.8885611
20.579352
16.9068034
24.390854
20.2027569
15.0896072
23.5225511
15.8479105
27.4270229
24.9019577
22.5657766
22.3068031
17.8827692
16.8723832
20.8976559
14.4712935
21.1077614
19.2961174
18.728826
20.710563
17.0044218
16.2543759
24.790211
16.1989806
22.7285782
19.8782012
25.6703085
20.4426649
18.1351933
22.6236245
20.0730412
26.7002666
23.2254089
15.4442808
21.6934455
18.7874816
14.8683793
24.4902785
20.6486026
17.5282339
24.9016115
25.4174662
18.9598585
21.0492749

21.8706391
24.2467546
23.4876377
20.0451308
17.1649278
20.8693971
23.5257109
21.3313238
18.3240178
22.4846331
20.8695971
20.6370369
19.9996085
15.8299383
15.7409535
21.715898
21.6964666
20.8087271
20.0396641
19.974605
20.796306
19.5817649
19.9068965
26.9942676
19.0912597
20.5221538
22.7573643
25.3660541
19.2530172
22.3477372
18.1420253
23.014265
20.3046524
24.2629704
18.4690448
24.5192789
20.2658445
20.0442372
21.6733485
17.523116
23.2656964
18.3353356
22.3754218
14.4577671
22.4925485
16.3787098
15.3860369

17.8545454
25.111223
17.9983429
14.857598
18.8629563
17.4113148
17.1356784
24.5514436
20.5947477
25.7699365
20.5792082
23.9621932
21.0651411
17.6570985
22.3811818
13.2769608
19.0974918
22.8392955
20.3490096
21.4369567
15.1970249
20.3525852
15.7763079
16.3809419
18.909161
24.15044
14.3773259
22.2959403
24.3732435
21.9762026
17.2481377
14.2633875
14.1546538
23.5569891
19.1573176
19.2769047
17.6985283
18.0095139
20.7014654
17.4700163
25.1270437
23.8947792
17.2913181
13.4536141
19.7100463
23.5259573
18.0334141

22.380671
23.8213932
20.7739313
25.1519447
19.3384216
25.0198734
21.9970917
17.1662924
23.1158517
18.8380054
21.4847867
24.2161998
21.6777205
13.2921188
16.3816367
19.2238072
20.2338038
21.4957937
13.9841764
21.0316973
20.2309265
20.1993963
21.8582181
21.4730722
21.5395279
19.8831858
18.1203975
20.0225745
19.6640198
17.9888989
18.3593761
18.9067039
20.7218353
17.3237364
20.947144
28.4325338
18.4947084
19.5625928
21.6841797
29.1746096
20.4913015
17.0982991
16.4292956
18.5788734
17.7754711
23.9886752
11.1618655

17.1120424
11.5357865
19.661292
19.44356
16.3239275
17.6011805
16.1267067
21.0527575
15.8614632
20.7027751
18.9211186
21.5518099
21.6323062
21.4942064
18.7764173
23.9730742
12.7175583
19.532563
21.4661194
24.6371467
21.2411424
19.5397832
15.100432
18.3018038
21.3134086
16.6489512
21.8424484
26.8334643
21.6609826
24.7642423
21.8311089
17.1699965
22.3340646
27.9653721
19.4243364
19.3111666
27.8465259
23.5230874
22.2887482
20.3919261
18.6481198
25.4516423
18.2864592
13.0549563
19.4612254
16.9690629
20.6318372

16.6674782
24.2514647
19.3697814
23.102909
26.351673
18.1202902
22.6346222
18.3833072
26.2414561
20.6374889
16.0057162
17.7089399
25.6907902
21.681535
16.9579793
20.2372199
14.7393147
24.6672899
20.4640804
19.2664306
17.2586214
21.340563
23.5565641
22.6853529
19.4598015
14.733539
19.0330421
15.9518372
12.5809046
22.7409291
18.1971169
15.8361023
17.4722117
20.6976559
20.1304552
20.8582072
23.7751104
17.8931219
17.0434563
19.0115829
26.6582547
21.4902592
20.6133473
21.5017204
22.2492009
23.5655836
23.8100687

26.2348167
20.2305894
26.4379906
16.8852547
16.4808316
19.7352931
20.7887939
14.5476227
23.5465674
15.6842282
22.9583984
24.0074286
19.9659043
17.196018
17.2860432
17.2819299
18.5199324
21.2401729
18.6970037
23.5867301
16.2849581
18.0405157
18.2809395
17.8085698
21.9913347
20.3979788
17.5678322
21.755803
16.4612801
20.6795006
18.6095106
22.4373563
21.2075521
24.2572813
19.6447754
23.1625553
16.832497
20.4689157
19.5679391
16.9264864
19.4205372
22.3658417
15.3229642
19.0760022
16.0576637
18.8816603
21.2572476

16.1769045
26.0869203
21.3146962
25.0419379
17.4349995
18.9524738
16.4661816
19.7969167
15.6063607
20.9620312
13.8037114
21.3787427
22.9662079
13.4337959
22.140622
21.2152495
14.4601318
24.6791394
18.514967
17.5113513
20.2450052
20.6830635
20.0132583
25.3438167
24.5689078
23.0747281
19.2311403
17.6696527
21.8255987
20.8225697
15.1185304
17.8590977
15.5427247
22.7018503
22.3814148
22.6827057
23.2993639
21.2429261
18.1696871
24.4815713
17.063602
17.0639272
21.445255
20.1389459
21.3370731
19.2976935
20.0399907

17.8877114
19.4852334
16.7188272
26.3528571
18.9833445
22.036859
16.062201
19.4709496
19.5583314
24.4889868
20.2920821
12.2156656
24.467982
22.0388629
17.7505936
23.8156666
14.6548983
13.6955023
15.5535854
18.3780207
18.3236246
21.9502876
23.1758592
16.3777801
18.7926066
13.6967053
16.033172
22.9366024
19.4302401
16.7456146
19.149731
21.3907112
19.4407417
22.9356682
23.7235677
25.5434246
17.054198
17.9220873
19.1324783
19.141279
21.8954849
19.5452445
20.6190844
15.6340251
26.0915595
16.1048437
17.3719028

23.7231186
16.9707209
22.2815489
20.6887529
21.3013739
27.5904269
22.1790958
21.4648217
21.9816694
19.6185033
19.4838792
19.9239754
15.024581
22.0325126
15.4295933
20.5922405
25.0022085
19.9880469
22.8028641
15.3048393
15.3026389
21.3387505
18.299896
18.9511457
20.2758971
21.9173861
13.2114039
22.2535526
19.1906186
27.8300084
23.0778505
16.6984133
14.965818
19.4043012
21.9885173
14.6216134
24.8409172
20.5504754
16.9524318
16.3984725
15.419653
23.5967562
16.8908368
22.5293064
18.0640201
9.92461954
10.9661724

15.6420871
18.0561792
19.3217543
20.8922525
19.0928989
16.0823384
18.1341658
22.544657
17.470773
21.7137144
20.4349522
20.270692
15.637287
18.6967469
21.3189952
22.6204679
21.2459699
27.2596472
21.7521328
20.8292743
12.6235643
16.44045
15.0498548
24.4872923
17.3934962
25.8502647
23.700299
20.0492645
23.8763203
17.0325431
19.8214567
21.7085605
24.7753006
26.6981243
18.3731545
25.1285624
25.5059549
16.2383479
21.3965093
17.3802753
23.039218
20.2757136
18.2985788
22.0560894
17.9331658
23.22398
22.0635253

20.3383153
19.9690522
22.6629593
22.8222325
19.3281829
24.4927812
12.7704933
19.6046103
19.8641834
15.9559104
23.8191422
15.7258903
17.9113348
25.4604906
21.255198
14.8599231
16.638961
24.4890527
17.9026602
20.7922251
25.6147894
20.0161139
21.281853
21.8792405
22.1768772
22.4402455
16.465258
23.5859152
21.608149
14.7009831
23.799502
15.1630152
23.2945149
16.2656828
20.8416448
17.1805955
13.7697465
19.7862148
17.7875302
23.5506847
24.0098113
18.070303
15.9964643
21.6798167
21.2542228
17.7486055
17.9898767

22.8966686
17.999381
19.2723176
24.9983032
25.9411915
15.1737374
17.6894754
19.7670558
24.123386
23.2870496
13.9706936
23.2553836
22.7871253
22.2049595
21.8596432
18.4977283
25.8430715
20.6174512
17.4975778
22.7966866
16.9280309
22.4863776
23.1572317
20.2482547
14.1592338
23.0922662
12.543047
21.6397202
23.8736314
12.0089128
24.3342301
21.2628373
20.8092224
23.0007133
20.3012192
15.7053119
16.6592731
17.9566334
18.3192813
16.217523
15.2359921
17.5226218
15.3291484
18.8633004
15.6230692
18.6194751
22.7981025

18.6063886
21.1285554
20.2511736
22.7875899
24.2432223
28.2258335
23.4555296
29.296058
26.9887618
15.4713142
18.3624964
21.1619748
20.359765
20.8594809
18.6035656
20.3685695
15.6320299
20.7012483
22.2915158
18.5303366
26.2543055
20.3688779
24.5266409
23.4248338
20.2543884
18.8344205
19.7228381
19.8334969
17.7986262
16.9818687
22.2880437
22.7970104
17.880722
13.8226639
21.1995716
23.7819664
15.7793239
16.8727832
20.6471178
20.2799359
21.5145608
11.5133822
22.225214
20.641009
20.1582098
19.4828384
16.017848

19.422481
21.7203
16.0843798
22.8220948
20.806609
22.0286191
17.1960477
18.9602693
15.150362
27.7540522
13.7787259
17.9599769
25.9148199
23.626051
27.7913773
19.0459829
22.9782249
19.9795523
23.7840415
17.5895429
10.3434108
13.5862921
24.3001603
21.3568071
14.5061195
22.8947161
21.206396
21.3015344
19.2789641
23.9203489
20.2741329
19.0377158
22.2189886
19.8009921
20.140926
21.2968935
19.5068194
11.5058204
24.7853967
14.4218717
19.35472
18.8402302
18.3632761
16.8039887
20.4871402
21.8028772
17.7907209

16.3332409
19.3732099
22.5980967
16.7352516
20.4398536
13.2914021
20.4703028
17.029382
20.4372111
27.5633954
18.7055834
18.4841252
19.1795443
17.4234978
22.7139516
17.6645151
19.9775923
16.6733564
19.7174033
21.2199885
25.1878567
19.3405884
19.2385463
22.8836422
18.6296111
16.5360425
21.2021777
22.7060795
20.8661955
24.3021507
21.5176591
22.355323
18.9591761
18.2137666
24.2144866
25.3251868
23.5814869
22.2438732
16.5243191
28.0962391
25.8488085
18.3829616
18.2806149
20.8669689
18.4777866
17.1458595
16.4796743

20.0111744
17.1474102
28.1065193
26.1918994
19.4520378
16.3776633
14.3231455
17.5915686
20.4343615
18.7669897
22.039188
26.2065593
17.645895
22.120049
21.7614719
16.8366089
18.7971759
21.1107815
24.1961533
13.0536786
18.7213784
17.5078633
13.549736
17.9577041
20.9532029
22.9037751
18.0917591
18.4001072
7.8647696
24.7984429
13.8356648
19.3250623
22.053344
18.7791342
21.2282018
20.6319499
22.2267556
22.2807024
17.6034712
22.4447282
17.0533339
19.8209298
20.0873076
19.2384544
23.964112
19.1213165
13.8404816

22.3112786
21.7247965
16.2666246
20.3369136
23.5260426
19.2343006
23.6891893
21.1000307
21.3406336
16.8686108
15.7098112
21.7611322
20.165922
24.250276
24.824183
24.1835262
21.0300155
19.5627612
21.2152548
18.8715483
24.1294223
21.6590743
24.4181582
17.243157
18.5765477
14.3458887
21.1985546
16.5842233
22.0701562
16.9492656
18.8970776
22.3735312
26.997453
27.2292909
16.9609022
23.5740163
20.2390361
17.2054669
21.7248774
22.5053436
16.3470923
14.6794707
23.5834161
18.2264361
18.5641079
22.6960543
18.3602646

17.0011713
22.2569529
27.0389981
25.0219433
18.3284406
22.8392995
15.9647308
26.049675
19.8738319
14.9863824
18.8023354
19.9249297
24.0507129
24.5538686
23.4860524
21.3610039
21.3563488
28.7614699
23.127089
21.3303598
20.9913558
23.6851752
13.607897
17.2297749
21.5200763
17.0502077
22.8478896
22.1440156
24.3456002
22.6528294
19.4331468
18.5478459
21.9551592
19.7320197
21.4623699
19.3992297
18.639667
23.3574669
17.3252857
17.0538067
17.7774715
21.5250751
22.2126934
17.9464184
20.7880998
18.982556
17.1138907

15.0834553
24.4856307
19.0846259
16.3269732
20.0686832
16.8977847
19.5994319
23.574313
23.7329161
19.1006766
21.7629065
17.6284378
22.2189174
25.3266983
27.6054673
26.537304
22.0054578
19.0896025
23.292694
21.972518
21.4126934
21.9974347
22.0491201
23.5678254
18.3453026
20.4437829
20.8444091
14.5194917
21.3454275
24.021472
29.5080807
18.1520433
19.3010569
20.6213719
20.3814771
20.9257025
20.4863983
17.8723193
13.2247108
23.901123
20.9176206
17.7486787
21.7292378
19.5431234
24.0619521
18.3474212
20.8095999

15.1724904
25.6934406
19.2358257
18.5093874
14.6911681
20.9181215
13.644689
13.5857341
23.8698379
21.250574
23.6045401
23.3419667
19.6843729
26.661223
25.1814967
14.0251032
19.5548871
20.5462551
18.0740669
18.970079
23.1659934
15.3810672

Servidor 1
19.5632615
12.4258929
18.3758451
24.6573385
17.2989403
16.3550671
15.9150494
18.1040222
20.8088631
14.5321564
22.3096231
19.887553
19.5258247
25.7828155
22.9749471
21.8489774
20.4318126
27.4242787
21.9557611
20.5724724
27.5633276
18.4926007
23.6087975
17.2255616
23.0622634
19.224992
16.0400642
15.3874238
15.3153123
25.7127942
22.4814072
16.0574278
18.5478625
20.5043268
17.5064657
25.166558
21.1128583
20.6986869

Servidor 2
22.12848
17.66585
20.57163
21.40177
19.73112
23.39478
20.14934
22.33254
18.95652
25.9516
23.20399
23.0085
18.70835
23.6304
21.83938
20.36247
22.71815
19.80051
21.52609
22.54323
26.07235
24.2744
22.2989
19.57272
29.16946
19.31101
20.91018
22.6024
19.70347
26.47659
27.17363
22.69763
20.33594
24.72733
21.33236
23.26717
21.31819
23.55353

Total
Servidor ms rpido
22.12848
1
17.66585
1
20.57163
1
24.65734
2
19.73112
1
23.39478
1
20.14934
1
22.33254
1
20.80886
2
25.9516
1
23.20399
1
23.0085
1
19.52582
2
25.78282
2
22.97495
2
21.84898
2
22.71815
1
27.42428
2
21.95576
2
22.54323
1
27.56333
2
24.2744
1
23.6088
2
19.57272
1
29.16946
1
19.31101
1
20.91018
1
22.6024
1
19.70347
1
26.47659
1
27.17363
1
22.69763
1
20.33594
1
24.72733
1
21.33236
1
25.16656
2
21.31819
1
23.55353
1

21.7762978
15.5215003
26.2444768
16.8885611
20.579352
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21.8706391
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17.8545454
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22.380671
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17.1120424
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16.6674782
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26.2348167
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16.1769045
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23.7231186
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20.3383153
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22.8966686
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18.6063886
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19.422481
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23.58149
22.24387
26.42844
28.09624
25.84881
21.11223
26.50368
20.86697
19.79359
24.87208
20.77886

1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
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1
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2
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
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1
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20.0111744
17.1474102
28.1065193
26.1918994
19.4520378
16.3776633
14.3231455
17.5915686
20.4343615
18.7669897
22.039188
26.2065593
17.645895
22.120049
21.7614719
16.8366089
18.7971759
21.1107815
24.1961533
13.0536786
18.7213784
17.5078633
13.549736
17.9577041
20.9532029
22.9037751
18.0917591
18.4001072
7.8647696
24.7984429
13.8356648
19.3250623
22.053344
18.7791342
21.2282018
20.6319499
22.2267556
22.2807024
17.6034712
22.4447282
17.0533339
19.8209298
20.0873076
19.2384544
23.964112
19.1213165
13.8404816

23.31119
19.06646
23.18682
22.98857
21.00064
18.29998
26.48059
17.8466
29.17318
21.61687
24.30398
20.84542
22.79959
21.8115
27.85879
20.36258
22.84728
21.76015
18.83166
16.37776
17.49551
26.24006
22.50357
19.46813
23.58657
22.93888
23.2203
22.78666
21.44461
20.47219
16.9545
22.68218
25.96456
20.93136
20.69292
21.39718
21.7691
23.11563
19.79395
24.19387
22.35761
16.87884
23.89222
22.75456
24.80343
21.00801
20.85339

23.31119
19.06646
28.10652
26.1919
21.00064
18.29998
26.48059
17.8466
29.17318
21.61687
24.30398
26.20656
22.79959
22.12005
27.85879
20.36258
22.84728
21.76015
24.19615
16.37776
18.72138
26.24006
22.50357
19.46813
23.58657
22.93888
23.2203
22.78666
21.44461
24.79844
16.9545
22.68218
25.96456
20.93136
21.2282
21.39718
22.22676
23.11563
19.79395
24.19387
22.35761
19.82093
23.89222
22.75456
24.80343
21.00801
20.85339

1
1
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1
1
1
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22.3112786
21.7247965
16.2666246
20.3369136
23.5260426
19.2343006
23.6891893
21.1000307
21.3406336
16.8686108
15.7098112
21.7611322
20.165922
24.250276
24.824183
24.1835262
21.0300155
19.5627612
21.2152548
18.8715483
24.1294223
21.6590743
24.4181582
17.243157
18.5765477
14.3458887
21.1985546
16.5842233
22.0701562
16.9492656
18.8970776
22.3735312
26.997453
27.2292909
16.9609022
23.5740163
20.2390361
17.2054669
21.7248774
22.5053436
16.3470923
14.6794707
23.5834161
18.2264361
18.5641079
22.6960543
18.3602646

21.50796
21.82691
28.86129
20.89822
18.94976
23.12401
22.53864
23.98021
24.18939
21.72195
20.5266
20.02816
20.31166
25.19099
18.85645
20.46785
27.11915
18.9496
22.43438
21.33259
24.73993
21.59433
22.98979
20.99052
16.96776
21.03023
15.0189
22.81252
24.2687
23.45312
21.38173
21.29548
25.90912
19.12478
16.94334
21.10257
19.08878
18.73901
25.19894
18.58065
23.46483
27.13901
24.33295
23.15091
21.51503
17.12556
25.81563

22.31128
21.82691
28.86129
20.89822
23.52604
23.12401
23.68919
23.98021
24.18939
21.72195
20.5266
21.76113
20.31166
25.19099
24.82418
24.18353
27.11915
19.56276
22.43438
21.33259
24.73993
21.65907
24.41816
20.99052
18.57655
21.03023
21.19855
22.81252
24.2687
23.45312
21.38173
22.37353
26.99745
27.22929
16.9609
23.57402
20.23904
18.73901
25.19894
22.50534
23.46483
27.13901
24.33295
23.15091
21.51503
22.69605
25.81563

2
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
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2
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2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
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17.0011713
22.2569529
27.0389981
25.0219433
18.3284406
22.8392995
15.9647308
26.049675
19.8738319
14.9863824
18.8023354
19.9249297
24.0507129
24.5538686
23.4860524
21.3610039
21.3563488
28.7614699
23.127089
21.3303598
20.9913558
23.6851752
13.607897
17.2297749
21.5200763
17.0502077
22.8478896
22.1440156
24.3456002
22.6528294
19.4331468
18.5478459
21.9551592
19.7320197
21.4623699
19.3992297
18.639667
23.3574669
17.3252857
17.0538067
17.7774715
21.5250751
22.2126934
17.9464184
20.7880998
18.982556
17.1138907

26.59682
18.63424
23.88447
19.15754
18.43187
22.9788
22.28631
20.16339
23.11353
22.52827
23.61304
18.28918
24.24444
22.99765
21.1187
26.49877
21.65732
23.16244
25.8499
22.88345
23.33657
19.00401
18.41132
23.6151
24.85242
23.93839
23.95166
20.2135
21.44251
14.97192
20.20452
21.00911
19.50706
24.83666
23.03696
29.01864
20.56129
25.65963
19.32123
27.44302
28.48399
21.72241
20.97715
19.54766
21.97489
19.04266
24.62738

26.59682
22.25695
27.039
25.02194
18.43187
22.9788
22.28631
26.04968
23.11353
22.52827
23.61304
19.92493
24.24444
24.55387
23.48605
26.49877
21.65732
28.76147
25.8499
22.88345
23.33657
23.68518
18.41132
23.6151
24.85242
23.93839
23.95166
22.14402
24.3456
22.65283
20.20452
21.00911
21.95516
24.83666
23.03696
29.01864
20.56129
25.65963
19.32123
27.44302
28.48399
21.72241
22.21269
19.54766
21.97489
19.04266
24.62738

1
2
2
2
1
1
1
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1
1
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2
1
1
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1
1
1
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1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1

15.0834553
24.4856307
19.0846259
16.3269732
20.0686832
16.8977847
19.5994319
23.574313
23.7329161
19.1006766
21.7629065
17.6284378
22.2189174
25.3266983
27.6054673
26.537304
22.0054578
19.0896025
23.292694
21.972518
21.4126934
21.9974347
22.0491201
23.5678254
18.3453026
20.4437829
20.8444091
14.5194917
21.3454275
24.021472
29.5080807
18.1520433
19.3010569
20.6213719
20.3814771
20.9257025
20.4863983
17.8723193
13.2247108
23.901123
20.9176206
17.7486787
21.7292378
19.5431234
24.0619521
18.3474212
20.8095999

19.34808
18.62918
19.60184
16.71113
16.64775
20.88284
17.11273
20.22264
22.78195
24.51361
22.31216
21.6719
24.41126
25.56414
22.25528
17.20484
22.48692
21.26385
22.0572
23.28628
18.30267
26.01972
17.25356
25.56262
20.09661
17.08946
18.11973
21.15385
21.9325
22.9182
20.46661
23.36146
24.60848
26.74026
21.95495
21.27691
20.6446
22.16438
21.02085
22.8176
24.93972
23.17228
23.56836
19.95687
17.12139
21.3092
22.09515

19.34808
24.48563
19.60184
16.71113
20.06868
20.88284
19.59943
23.57431
23.73292
24.51361
22.31216
21.6719
24.41126
25.56414
27.60547
26.5373
22.48692
21.26385
23.29269
23.28628
21.41269
26.01972
22.04912
25.56262
20.09661
20.44378
20.84441
21.15385
21.9325
24.02147
29.50808
23.36146
24.60848
26.74026
21.95495
21.27691
20.6446
22.16438
21.02085
23.90112
24.93972
23.17228
23.56836
19.95687
24.06195
21.3092
22.09515

1
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15.1724904
25.6934406
19.2358257
18.5093874
14.6911681
20.9181215
13.644689
13.5857341
23.8698379
21.250574
23.6045401
23.3419667
19.6843729
26.661223
25.1814967
14.0251032
19.5548871
20.5462551
18.0740669
18.970079
23.1659934
15.3810672

24.59248
18.27313
20.12258
20.7188
22.64786
20.3622
20.04621
19.2045
18.53556
26.58401
23.20316
23.98204
18.6108
23.7489
16.90296
17.09228
23.41587
23.7914
24.74687
18.9581
25.63808
22.36763

24.59248
25.69344
20.12258
20.7188
22.64786
20.91812
20.04621
19.2045
23.86984
26.58401
23.60454
23.98204
19.68437
26.66122
25.1815
17.09228
23.41587
23.7914
24.74687
18.97008
25.63808
22.36763

1
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Se desea invertir en una empresa un capital inicial de 250. En la empresa los flujos de caja de entrada y salida siguen la siguie
Capital inicial:
Flujo de caja Enero
Entrante
Saliente

250 Eur
Distr.
Normal
NOrmal

Media

Desv. Est
500
400

125
100

a de entrada y salida siguen la siguiente distribucin normal: