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x (n)

Ao (X)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
171

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
36063

Numero
de
Pasajeros
329
360
339
435
522
627
670
909
939
1,108
1,232
1,372
1,594
1,783
1,933
1,869
2,106
2,205
20332

x*y

ln y

1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289
324
2109

108241
129600
114921
189225
272484
393129
448900
826281
881721
1227664
1517824
1882384
2540836
3179089
3736489
3493161
4435236
4862025
30239210

329
720
1017
1740
2610
3762
4690
7272
8451
11080
13552
16464
20722
24962
28995
29904
35802
39690
251762

5.7961
5.8861
5.8260
6.0753
6.2577
6.4409
6.5073
6.8123
6.8448
7.0103
7.1164
7.2240
7.3740
7.4861
7.5668
7.5332
7.6525
7.6985
123.1084

Con estos valores y la aplicacin de las ecuaciones se obtienen los coeficientes "a" y "b", y el coeficiente d

n= 18
TIPO D
AJUSTE
Lineal
Exponencial
Logartmico
Potencial

x
(n)
1
2
3
4
5
6

COEF.
a
-19.621
288.867
-313.445
190.300

COEF. COEF. CORRELACIONCURVA DE REGRESIN


b
r
120.966
0.987
Y= a+bx
0.124
0.987
Y= a*EXP(bx)
713.661
0.875
Y= a+b*lnx
0.787
0.944
Y= ax^b

Tabla 2. Proyeccin de la poblacin obtenidas con las ecuaciones de ajuste


Ao
Pasajeros
Ajuste
Ajuste
Ajuste
Lineal
Exponencial Logaritmica
1995
329
101
-314
326
1996
360
222
181
369
1997
339
343
470
418
1998
435
464
675
473
1999
522
585
835
535
2000
627
706
965
606

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

670
909
939
1,108
1,232
1,372
1,594
1,783
1,933
1,869
2,106
2,205

827
948
1069
1190
1311
1431
1552
1673
1794
1915
2036
2157
2278
2399
2520
2641
2762
2883
3004
3125
3246
3367
3488
3609
3730
3851
3972
4093
4214
4335

685
775
877
993
1123
1271
1438
1628
1842
2084
2358
2668
3019
3416
3865
4373
4948
5598
6334
7167
8110
9176
10382
11747
13291
15039
17016
19253
21784
24648

1075
1170
1254
1329
1397
1459
1517
1569
1619
1665
1708
1749
1787
1824
1859
1892
1924
1954
1983
2011
2038
2064
2089
2113
2137
2159
2181
2203
2223
2243

(ln y)

x*(ln y)

ln x

(ln x)

(y)*(ln x)

33.5943
34.6462
33.9423
36.9098
39.1584
41.4858
42.3447
46.4080
46.8515
49.1445
50.6431
52.1865
54.3759
56.0410
57.2569
56.7485
58.5615
59.2666
849.5654

5.7961
11.7722
17.4780
24.3014
31.2883
38.6457
45.5509
54.4988
61.6033
70.1031
78.2803
86.6883
95.8620
104.8047
113.5024
120.5305
130.0933
138.5727
1229.3722

0.0000
0.6931
1.0986
1.3863
1.6094
1.7918
1.9459
2.0794
2.1972
2.3026
2.3979
2.4849
2.5649
2.6391
2.7081
2.7726
2.8332
2.8904
36.3954

0.0000
0.48045
1.2069
1.9218
2.5903
3.2104
3.7866
4.3241
4.8278
5.3019
5.7499
6.1748
6.5790
6.9646
7.3335
7.6872
8.0271
8.3542
84.5206

0.0000
249.5330
372.4296
603.0380
840.1266
1123.4332
1303.7598
1890.2124
2063.1939
2551.2643
2954.2070
3409.2919
4088.5293
4705.4392
5234.6610
5181.9683
5966.7473
6373.2697
48911.1045

icientes "a" y "b", y el coeficiente de correlacion "r", as como las ecuaciones de ajuste mostrados en la tabla 2.

Regresion Lineal
REGRESIN
2278.732026
3019.178931
1787.886258
1929.646722

Coef. De Regresion.
Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Ajuste
potencial
190
328
451
566
675
779


2
2

Regresion Exponencial Recta o Curva de Regresion


Coef. De Regresion.

nes de ajuste

FORMULAS EMPLEADAS
Recta o Curva de Regresion

ln
2

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln
2
ln

ln

Regresion Logaritmica Recta o Curva de Regresion


Coef. De Regresion. =
Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln ln
ln 2
ln 2

ln

ln
2

ln

ln
2

879
977
1071
1164
1255
1344
1431
1517
1602
1685
1767
1849
1929
2009
2087
2165
2242
2318
2394
2469
2544
2617
2691
2764
2836
2907
2979
3050
3120
3190

Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1
Regresion Potencial

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion

Coef. De Regresion. =

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln ln ln ln
ln 2
ln 2

Incremento
Taza Promedio

ln

ln

ln ln

ln

1 100

Valor Futuro

(ln x) (ln y)
0.00000
4.07994
6.40052
8.42222
10.07133
11.54063
12.66258
14.16587
15.03960
16.14184
17.06437
17.95103
18.91394
19.75612
20.49135
20.88635
21.68129
22.25148
257.52
la tabla 2.

PLEADAS
Y= a+bx

=
ln

ln

ln

ln

= + ln
=

ln

ln

ln

ln

ln

ln

ln

ln

+1
100

x (n)

Ao (X)

Numero de
Pasajeros (y)

x*y

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

341,305
335,054
350,132
410,065
476,058
438,156
425,201
423,474
455,772
471,232
497,072
552,045
738,045
729,804
642,746
712,985
657,805

1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289

1.16489E+11
1.12261E+11
1.22592E+11
1.68153E+11
2.26631E+11
1.91981E+11
1.80796E+11
1.7933E+11
2.07728E+11
2.2206E+11
2.47081E+11
3.04754E+11
5.4471E+11
5.32614E+11
4.13122E+11
5.08348E+11
4.32707E+11

341305
670108
1050396
1640260
2380290
2628936
2976407
3387792
4101948
4712320
5467792
6624540
9594585
10217256
9641190
11407760
11182685

153

34051

8656951

1785

4711357744591

88025570

Con estos valores y la aplicacin de las ecuaciones se obtienen los coeficientes "a" y "b", y el c

n= 17
TIPO D
AJUSTE
Lineal
Exponencial
Logartmico
Potencial

x
(n)
1
2
3
4
5
6

COEF.
a
286151.287
317316.946
230457.358
279286.703

COEF. CORRELACION
CURVA DE REGRESIN
COEF.
b
r
24786.792
0.910
Y= a+bx
0.049
0.931
Y= a*EXP(bx)
141446.516
0.818
Y= a+b*lnx
0.288
0.865
Y= ax^b

Tabla 2. Proyeccin de la poblacin obtenidas con las ecuaciones de ajuste


Ao
Pasajeros
Ajuste
Ajuste
Lineal
Exponencial
1995
341,305
310938
333200
1996
335,054
335724
349879
1997
350,132
360511
367393
1998
410,065
385298
385783
1999
476,058
410085
405095
2000
438,156
434872
425372

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

Ao

Pasajeros (y)

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

341,305
335,054
350,132
410,065
476,058
438,156
425,201
423,474

------------1.83
4.50
17.12
16.09
-7.96
-2.96
-0.41

425,201
423,474
455,772
471,232
497,072
552,045
738,045
729,804
642,746
712,985
657,805

459658
484445
509232
534019
558805
583592
608379
633166
657953
682739
707526
732313
757100
781887
806673
831460
856247
881034
905821
930607
955394
980181
1004968
1029755
1054541
1079328
1104115
1128902
1153688
1178475

446665
469024
492501
517154
543041
570224
598768
628740
660213
693261
727963
764403
802666
842845
885035
929337
975856
1024705
1075998
1129859
1186416
1245804
1308165
1373647
1442407
1514609
1590426
1670037
1753634
1841415

2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

455,772
471,232
497,072
552,045
738,045
729,804
642,746
712,985
657,805
i
689050
721779
756063
791975
829593
868998
910275
953513
998804
1046247
1095943
1148000
1202530
1259650
1319483
1382158
1447810
1516580
1588617

7.63
3.39
5.48
11.06
33.69
-1.12
-11.93
10.93
-7.74
75.94

4.75

ln y

(ln y)

x*(ln y)

ln x

(ln x)

12.7405
12.7220
12.7661
12.9241
13.0733
12.9903
12.9603
12.9562
13.0297
13.0631
13.1165
13.2214
13.5118
13.5005
13.3735
13.4772
13.3967

162.3212
161.8505
162.9724
167.0316
170.9110
168.7487
167.9698
167.8643
169.7743
170.6447
172.0423
174.8050
182.5677
182.2643
178.8506
181.6353
179.4706

12.7405
25.4441
38.2982
51.6963
65.3665
77.9420
90.7222
103.6500
117.2677
130.6311
144.2814
158.6566
175.6529
189.0074
200.6026
215.6355
227.7433

0.0000
0.6931
1.0986
1.3863
1.6094
1.7918
1.9459
2.0794
2.1972
2.3026
2.3979
2.4849
2.5649
2.6391
2.7081
2.7726
2.8332

0.0000
0.48045
1.2069
1.9218
2.5903
3.2104
3.7866
4.3241
4.8278
5.3019
5.7499
6.1748
6.5790
6.9646
7.3335
7.6872
8.0271

222.8233

2921.7245

2025.3382

33.5051

76.1664

obtienen los coeficientes "a" y "b", y el coeficiente de correlacion "r", as como las ecuaciones de ajuste mostrados en la tabla 2.

FORMULAS EMPLEADAS
Recta o Curva de Regresion

Regresion Lineal
CURVA DE REGRESIN
Y= a+bx
Y= a*EXP(bx)
Y= a+b*lnx
Y= ax^b

757100.328
802666.643
646937.994
651778.936

s ecuaciones de ajuste
Ajuste
Ajuste
Logaritmica potencial
230457
279286
328500
340951
385852
383155
426543
416231
458106
443840
483895
467753

Coef. De Regresion.
Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Recta o Curva de Regresion


=

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln
2

Regresion Logaritmica

Recta o Curva de Regresion

Coef. De Regresion. =
Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Regresion Exponencial
Coef. De Regresion.

ln
ln 2

ln

505699
524587
541247
556149
569631
581938
593260
603742
613501
622630
631205
639290
646937
654193
661094
667674
673962
679982
685756
691303
696642
701786
706749
711544
716182
720673
725026
729248
733348
737333

488974
508132
525653
541838
556907
571030
584338
596936
608908
620325
631244
641714
651778
661472
670827
679869
688623
697110
705349
713357
721148
728736
736133
743351
750400
757288
764025
770618
777075
783401

Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Regresion Potencial

Recta o Curva de Regresion

Coef. De Regresion. =

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln ln
ln 2

Incremento
Taza Promedio

ln

ln

ln

1 100

(y)*(ln x)

(ln x) (ln y)

0.0000
232241.7354
384659.3179
568470.7972
766185.7937
785070.1620
827402.9413
880589.4274
1001433.4401
1085051.7785
1191926.5990
1371780.2915
1893048.0485
1925994.5954
1740588.4346
1976814.1701
1863701.9038

0.00000
8.81825
14.02496
17.91657
21.04066
23.27555
25.21961
26.94176
28.62928
30.07891
31.45197
32.85391
34.65698
35.62868
36.21612
37.36678
37.95561

18494959.4364

442.08

uste mostrados en la tabla 2.

FORMULAS EMPLEADAS
Recta o Curva de Regresion

Y= a+bx

Recta o Curva de Regresion


ln
2
ln

ln

ln

ln

= + ln

ln
ln 2
ln

ln

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion

=
ln

ln

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion


ln ln

ln 2
ln ln

ln

=
ln

ln

ln

ln

ln

ln

100

Valor Futuro

+1
100

x (n)

Ao (X)

Numero de
Pasajeros (y)

x*y

ln y

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

34,195
38,128
40,291
38,610
38,963
55,861
49,884
44,827
42,081
42,479
60,406
68,474
76,259
78,117
62,381
62,566
61,487

1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289

1169298025
1453744384
1623364681
1490732100
1518115369
3120451321
2488413456
2009459929
1770810561
1804465441
3648884836
4688688676
5815435081
6102265689
3891389161
3914504356
3780651169

34195
76256
120873
154440
194815
335166
349188
358616
378729
424790
664466
821688
991367
1093638
935715
1001056
1045279

10.4398
10.5487
10.6039
10.5613
10.5704
10.9306
10.8175
10.7106
10.6474
10.6568
11.0088
11.1342
11.2419
11.2660
11.0410
11.0440
11.0266

153

34051

895009

1785

50290674235

8980277

184.2493

Con estos valores y la aplicacin de las ecuaciones se obtienen los coeficientes "a" y "b", y el coeficie

n= 17
TIPO D
AJUSTE
Lineal
Exponencial
Logartmico
Potencial

x
(n)
1
2
3
4
5
6

COEF.
a
32238.853
34290.147
26002.652
30047.998

COEF.
b
2267.637
0.044
13519.264
0.268

COEF. CORRELACION
CURVA DE REGRESIN
r
0.813
Y= a+bx
0.838
Y= a*EXP(bx)
0.764
Y= a+b*lnx
0.804
Y= ax^b

Tabla 2. Proyeccin de la poblacin obtenidas con las ecuaciones de ajuste


Ao
Pasajeros
Ajuste
Ajuste
Ajuste
Lineal
ExponencialLogaritmica
1995
34,195
34506
26002
35830
1996
38,128
36774
35373
37440
1997
40,291
39041
40855
39123
1998
38,610
41309
44744
40881
1999
38,963
43577
47761
42718
2000
55,861
45844
50225
44637

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

Ao

Pasajeros
(y)

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

34,195
38,128
40,291
38,610
38,963
55,861
49,884
44,827

---------11.50
5.67
-4.17
0.91
43.37
-10.70
-10.14

49,884
44,827
42,081
42,479
60,406
68,474
76,259
78,117
62,381
62,566
61,487

48112
50379
52647
54915
57182
59450
61718
63985
66253
68521
70788
73056
75323
77591
79859
82126
84394
86662
88929
91197
93465
95732
98000
100267
102535
104803
107070
109338
111606
113873

46643
48739
50929
53217
55609
58107
60718
63447
66297
69276
72389
75642
79041
82593
86304
90182
94234
98468
102893
107516
112347
117396
122671
128183
133942
139961
146250
152822
159688
166864

52309
54115
55707
57131
58420
59596
60678
61680
62613
63486
64305
65078
65809
66502
67162
67791
68392
68967
69519
70049
70559
71051
71526
71984
72427
72856
73272
73676
74068
74449

2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

42,081
42,479
60,406
68,474
76,259
78,117
62,381
62,566
61,487
i
64524
67711
71055
74565
78248
82113
86169
90425
94891
99578
104497
109659
115076
120760
126725
132985
139554
146447
153681

-6.13
0.95
42.20
13.36
11.37
2.44
-20.14
0.30
-1.72
79.07

4.94

(ln y)

x*(ln y)

ln x

(ln x)

(y)*(ln x)

108.9901
111.2752
112.4423
111.5404
111.7327
119.4785
117.0173
114.7162
113.3661
113.5666
121.1946
123.9706
126.3801
126.9219
121.9040
121.9694
121.5855

10.4398
21.0974
31.8117
42.2451
52.8518
65.5837
75.7222
85.6845
95.8262
106.5677
121.0973
133.6105
146.1446
157.7235
165.6152
176.7036
187.4519

0.0000
0.6931
1.0986
1.3863
1.6094
1.7918
1.9459
2.0794
2.1972
2.3026
2.3979
2.4849
2.5649
2.6391
2.7081
2.7726
2.8332

0.0000
0.48045
1.2069
1.9218
2.5903
3.2104
3.7866
4.3241
4.8278
5.3019
5.7499
6.1748
6.5790
6.9646
7.3335
7.6872
8.0271

0.0000
26428.3157
44264.1877
53524.8253
62708.5294
100089.4757
97069.7819
93215.1260
92461.4074
97811.5122
144847.2618
170151.4979
195600.4731
206155.2414
168930.8796
173469.7860
174205.7889

1998.0517

1676.1767

33.5051

76.1664

1900934.0900

cientes "a" y "b", y el coeficiente de correlacion "r", as como las ecuaciones de ajuste mostrados en la tabla 2.

FORMULAS EMPLEADAS
Recta o Curva de Regresion

Regresion Lineal

DE REGRESIN
75323.9608
79041.4803
65809.2984
66093.9086

Coef. De Regresion.
Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1


2
2

Regresion Exponencial
Coef. De Regresion.

Ajuste
potencial
30047
36174
40322
43550
46232
48544

Recta o Curva de Regresion


=

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1
Regresion Logaritmica

ln
2

ln
2
ln

ln

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion

Coef. De Regresion. =
Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln ln
ln 2
ln 2

ln

ln
2

ln

ln
2

50589
52431
54110
55658
57097
58442
59708
60905
62040
63121
64154
65144
66093
67007
67888
68739
69562
70359
71132
71883
72613
73324
74016
74690
75349
75992
76621
77236
77837
78427

Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Regresion Potencial
Coef. De Regresion.

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion


=

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln ln ln ln
ln 2
ln 2

Incremento
Taza Promedio

ln

ln

ln ln

ln

ln

1 100

Valor Futuro

ln

(ln x) (ln y)
0.00000
7.31180
11.64956
14.64102
17.01235
19.58505
21.04980
22.27200
23.39462
24.53811
26.39805
27.66747
28.83488
29.73152
29.89963
30.62041
31.24066
365.85

bla 2.

EADAS
Y= a+bx
=

ln

ln

= + ln

ln

=
=

ln

ln

ln
ln

ln

+1
100

x (n)

Ao (X)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Numero de
Pasajeros
(y)
30,623
4,207
6,193
15,954
19,668
27,439
19,813
20,899
21,293
18,275
17,230
16,381
11,770
721
16,349
22,989
32,341

153

34051

302145

x*y

ln y

1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289

937768129
17698849
38353249
254530116
386830224
752898721
392554969
436768201
453391849
333975625
296872900
268337161
138532900
519841
267289801
528494121
1045940281

30623
8414
18579
63816
98340
164634
138691
167192
191637
182750
189530
196572
153010
10094
245235
367824
549797

10.3295
8.3445
8.7312
9.6775
9.8867
10.2197
9.8941
9.9475
9.9661
9.8133
9.7544
9.7039
9.3733
6.5806
9.7019
10.0428
10.3841

1785

6550756937

2776738

162.3511

Con estos valores y la aplicacin de las ecuaciones se obtienen los coeficientes "a" y "b", y el coeficien

n= 17
TIPO D
AJUSTE
Lineal
Exponencial
Logartmico
Potencial

x
(n)
1
2
3
4
5
6

COEF.
a
16506.331
14470.152
17424.137
14260.954

COEF.
b
140.767
-0.003
177.128
-0.008

COEF. CORRELACION
CURVA DE REGRESIN
r
0.083
Y= a+bx
-0.018
Y= a*EXP(bx)
0.016
Y= a+b*lnx
-0.007
Y= ax^b

Tabla 2. Proyeccin de la poblacin obtenidas con las ecuaciones de ajuste


Ao
Pasajeros
Ajuste
Ajuste
Ajuste
Lineal
Exponencial Logaritmica
1995
30,623
14422
17424
16647
1996
4,207
14374
17546
16787
1997
6,193
14327
17618
16928
1998
15,954
14279
17669
17069
1999
19,668
14232
17709
17210
2000
27,439
14185
17741
17350

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

Ao

Pasajeros (y)

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

30,623
4,207
6,193
15,954
19,668
27,439
19,813
20,899

----------86.26
47.21
157.61
23.28
39.51
-27.79
5.48

19,813
20,899
21,293
18,275
17,230
16,381
11,770
721
16,349
22,989
32,341

17491
17632
17773
17914
18054
18195
18336
18477
18617
18758
18899
19040
19180
19321
19462
19603
19743
19884
20025
20166
20307
20447
20588
20729
20870
21010
21151
21292
21433
21573

14138
14092
14045
13999
13952
13906
13860
13815
13769
13724
13678
13633
13588
13543
13498
13454
13409
13365
13321
13277
13233
13189
13146
13102
13059
13016
12973
12930
12887
12845

17768
17792
17813
17831
17848
17864
17878
17891
17903
17915
17925
17936
17945
17954
17963
17971
17979
17987
17994
18001
18007
18014
18020
18026
18032
18038
18043
18048
18053
18058

2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

21,293
18,275
17,230
16,381
11,770
721
16,349
22,989
32,341
i
78080
188508
455114
1098781
2652786
6404621
15462676
37331538
90129532
217599729
525351025
1268354979
3062189425
7393043928
17849025955
43092903363
104039196589
251181832324
606428297779

1.89
-14.17
-5.72
-4.93
-28.15
-93.87
2167.55
40.61
40.68
2262.93

141.43

(ln y)

x*(ln y)

ln x

(ln x)

(y)*(ln x)

106.6987
69.6308
76.2334
93.6533
97.7478
104.4427
97.8931
98.9519
99.3238
96.3006
95.1485
94.1652
87.8589
43.3048
94.1273
100.8573
107.8293

10.3295
16.6890
26.1935
38.7099
49.4337
61.3183
69.2587
79.5797
89.6952
98.1329
107.2985
116.4465
121.8530
92.1289
145.5288
160.6843
176.5295

0.0000
0.6931
1.0986
1.3863
1.6094
1.7918
1.9459
2.0794
2.1972
2.3026
2.3979
2.4849
2.5649
2.6391
2.7081
2.7726
2.8332

0.0000
0.48045
1.2069
1.9218
2.5903
3.2104
3.7866
4.3241
4.8278
5.3019
5.7499
6.1748
6.5790
6.9646
7.3335
7.6872
8.0271

0.0000
2916.0702
6803.7059
22116.9402
31654.4249
49164.0881
38554.3178
43458.2488
46785.5029
42079.7426
41315.7356
40705.2558
30189.4539
1902.7603
44273.9127
63739.0421
91628.9528

1564.1675

1459.8101

33.5051

76.1664

597288.1546

cientes "a" y "b", y el coeficiente de correlacion "r", as como las ecuaciones de ajuste mostrados en la tabla 2.

FORMULAS EMPLEADAS
Recta o Curva de Regresion

Regresion Lineal

E REGRESIN
19180.9069
13588.4945
17945.6784
13940.4437

iones de ajuste
Ajuste
potencial
14260
14184
14140
14109
14084
14065

Coef. De Regresion.
Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Recta o Curva de Regresion


=

Regresion Logaritmica

ln
2

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln
2
ln

ln

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion

Coef. De Regresion. =
Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Regresion Exponencial
Coef. De Regresion.


2
2

ln ln
ln 2
ln 2

ln

ln
2

ln

ln
2

14048
14033
14021
14009
13999
13989
13981
13973
13965
13958
13952
13946
13940
13934
13929
13924
13919
13915
13910
13906
13902
13898
13895
13891
13887
13884
13881
13877
13874
13871

Coef. De Correlacion
Valido de -1 a +1

Regresion Potencial

ln

Recta o Curva de Regresion

Coef. De Regresion. =

Coef. De Correlacion =
Valido de -1 a +1

ln ln ln ln
ln 2
ln 2

Incremento
Taza Promedio

ln

ln

ln ln

ln

ln

1 100

Valor Futuro

ln

(ln x) (ln y)
0.00000
5.78397
9.59218
13.41581
15.91211
18.31128
19.25302
20.68515
21.89783
22.59593
23.39005
24.11323
24.04206
17.36668
26.27329
27.84447
29.42035
319.90

abla 2.

LEADAS
Y= a+bx

=
ln

ln

= + ln
=

ln

=
ln

ln

ln
ln

ln

+1
100