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DAILY COMMODITY REPORT

4rd FEBRUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP


4rd FEBRUARY 2014
COMMODITY GOLD SILVER CRUDE NATURAL GAS COPPER NICKEL LEAD ZINC ALUMINIUM CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE %CHANGE OI (in lots)

05 FEB 2014 05 MAR 2014 19 FEB 2014 25 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014

29500.00 43250.00 6151.00 302.80 444.40 876.20 132.75 123.50 105.80

29885.00 44150.00 6151.00 311.20 446.00 887.90 132.75 123.70 106.10

29399.00 42928.00 6058.00 298.60 442.80 867.60 130.65 122.45 103.95

29485.00 43220.00 6156.00 320.30 447.05 866.80 132.70 124.25 107.10

0.80 1.05 -0.68 -3.43 -0.82 0.54 -1.43 -1.17 -2.94

15518 12662 10740 15006 11910 4986 3221 2211 4746

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (31 JAN- 2014)


METAL TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM COPPER LEAD NICKEL ZINC


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-7600 -650 -50 -540 -4350


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INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
4rd FEBRUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY


COMEX GOLD GOLD SPOT COMEX SILVER COMEX COPPER PLATINUM SPOT

UNITS
USD/T OZ. USD/T OZ. USD/T OZ. USD/LB. USD/T OZ.

PRICE
1,256.20 1,256.56 19.33 318.15 1,381.63

CHANGE
-3.70 -1.09 -0.08 -0.20 -0.87

% CHANGE
-0.29% -0.09% -0.41% -0.06% -0.06%

CONTRACT
APR 14 N/A MAR 14 MAR 14 N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY


CRUDE OIL (WTI) CRUDE OIL (BRENT) RBOB GASOLINE NYMEX NATURAL GAS NYMEX HEATING OIL

UNITS
USD/BBL. USD/BBL. USD/GAL. USD/MMBTU USD/GAL.

PRICE
96.58 105.99 260.99 5.05 300.46

CHANGE
+0.15 -0.05 -2.15 +0.10 +0.75

% CHANGE
+0.16% -0.05% -0.82% +1.94% +0.25%

CONTRACT
MAR 14 MAR 14 MAR 14 MAR 14 MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-FEB

100.80

102.30

103.10

104.60

105.40

COPPER

28-FEB

439.10

440.95

442.30

444.15

445.50

CRUDEOIL

19-FEB

5951

6004

6044

6097

6137

GOLD

5-FEB

29048

29224

29534

29710

30020

LEAD

28-FEB

127.60

129.05

129.85

131.30

132.10

NATURALGAS

25-FEB

288.53

293.57

302.13

307.17

315.73

NICKEL

28-FEB

842.7

855.1

863.0

875.4

883.3

SILVER

5-MAR

41919

42423

43141

43645

44363

ZINC
YOUR MINTVISORY

28-FEB

121.05

121.75

122.30

123.00

123.55
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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

Symbol
SILVERMICRO NATURAL GAS CRUDE OIL SILVER M SILVER COPPER LEADMINI COPPERMINI NICKEL NICKELMINI

Expiry Date
28-02-2014 25-02-2014 19-02-2014 28-02-2014 05-03-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014

LTP
43710.00 309.30 6114.00 43715.00 43675.00 443.40 130.85 443.30 871.50 871.10

Value (In Lacs)


3,97,17,96,570.00 2,68,23,114.60 41,33,73,654.00 2,03,64,63,275.00 1,05,35,28,350.00 76,18,498.80 17,65,166.50 56,44,982.20 1,08,34,488.00 1,03,44,312.50

Volume (In Lots)


90,867 86,722 67,611 46,585 24,122 17,182 13,490 12,734 12,432 11,875

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Gold import likely below 500 tonnes in FY14: GJF Hedging by gold miners at decade low in Sept quarter Gold falls 1% as Fed taper weighs, China demand fades Zinc down by 0.6% on subdued demand Coffee exports up 38% in Jan on strong global prices Chana down 0.70% on increased supply, weak demand Oil prices mixed after Fed taper decision Oil prices down in Asian trade Oil rebounds in Asia on bargain hunting Commexes seek reforms: Urge series of steps on govt, FMC Mentha oil down 0.7% on sluggish demand

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

Gold held on to sharp overnight gains on Tuesday as Asian equities slumped and investors worried over U.S. economic growth after disappointing manufacturing data. Asian shares tumbled with Nikkei falling 3 per cent, after Wall Street suffered its worst drop since June and as markets continued to fret over an emerging market rout. Equities have come under pressure this year due to slowing growth in China and capital outflows from emerging nations where the US Federal Reserve's stimulus tapering is taking a toll. Gold is gaining as it is often seen as an alternative investment to stocks and other risky assets Bullion snapped five weeks of advances last week, falling 2 per cent, but posted a 3.2 per cent gain in January for the first monthly increase in five, owing to weakness in global equities gripped by concerns over emerging economies US gold futures for February delivery rose 1.8 per cent to $1,262.20 an ounce.

The Indian Government Monday cut the import tariff value on gold and silver to $404 per ten grams and $635 per kg, respectively, taking into account the volatility in the global prices. Import tariff value is the base price at which customs duty is determined to prevent under-invoicing. The tariff value is revised on a fortnightly basis after analysing the global price trend. The notification in this regard has been issued by the Central Board of Excise and Customs ( CBEC),

U.S. manufacturing activity registered modest growth in the month of January, the Institute for Supply Management showed on Monday. The ISM said its purchasing managers index fell to 51.3 in January from a revised 56.5 in December. A reading above 50 indicates continued growth in the manufacturing sector. With the much steeper than expected decrease, the purchasing managers index fell to its lowest level since hitting 50.0 in May of 2013,

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 43550 Immediate Resistance @ 44250 SILVER MCX Closed @ 43858 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 1222. Open Interest was UP 12092, Volumes were 25648 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER ABOVE 43950 TGTS 44150/44450 SL 43550 SELL SILVER BELOW 43550 TGTS 43350/43050 SL 43950

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 28850Immediate Resistance @ 29050 GOLD MCX Closed @ 29017 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 420 Open Interest was UP 9641 Volumes were 12613 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 29050 TGTS 29130/29230 SL 28940 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28850 TGTS 28770/28670 SL 28960

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4173.7

RESISTANCE 2

4217.3

PIVOT

4143.7

SUPPORT 1

4099.0

SUPPORT 2

4069.0

Castorseed Feb. looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis immediate support @ 4040 &immediate resistance @ 4120. BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4120 TGTS 4150,4200 SL 4070 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4040 TGTS 4010,3960 SL 4090

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8950.3

RESISTANCE 2

9018.7

PIVOT

8860..3

SUPPORT 1

8792.7

SUPPORT 2

8702.7

From last 3 days profit booking was continue from upper side today, now expecting rally will continue in up upside. Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum indicator RSI and MACD signs bull. Immediate support @ 8015 and immediate resistance @ 8150. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8150 TGTS 8180,8230 SL 8100 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8015 TGTS 8085,8035 SL 8065

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TODAYS ECONOMIC EVENTS


4rd FEBRUARY 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 4

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

04:30

KRW

SOUTH KOREAN CPI (YOY)

1.1%

1.1%

1.1%

09:00

AUD

INTEREST RATE DECISION

2.50%

2.50%

2.50%

09:00

AUD

RBA RATE STATEMENT

13:30

EUR

SPANISH UNEMPLOYMENT CHANGE

-21.0K

-107.6K

15:00

GBP

CONSTRUCTION PMI

61.5

62.1

19:30

USD

TREASURY SECRETARY LEW SPEAKS

20:30
YOUR MINTVISORY

USD

FACTORY ORDERS (MOM)

-1.7%

1.8%
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DISCLAIMER
4rd FEBRUARY 2014
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