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DAILY REPORT

15st JANUARY. 2013

Global markets at a glance Asia is down on US crash, Nikkei drops to 1-month low as trade numbers there hurt. European equities trade in red after a negative lead from Wall Street overnight. A pullback in the yen was welcomed by Japanese shares, with the Nikkei .N225 bouncing 1.4 percent after suffering its sharpest daily drop in five months on Tuesday. Progress elsewhere was patchy with investors suffering whiplash after several days of wild swings. Australia made the early running with a bounce of 0.6 percent .AXJO, while Seoul .KS11managed a rise of 0.2 percent. Wall Street Update U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, erasing much of the previous session's steep drop, as a strong December retail sales reading eased concerns that economic growth might be slowing. Google rose 2.4 percent to $1,149.40, giving a large boost to the outperforming Nasdaq, a day after the company announced plans to acquire Nest Labs Inc. The $3.2 billion deal will give Google a promising line of products and a prized design team. Previous day Roundup The market slips after trading range bound in the earlier part of yesterday. Nifty manages to hold 6200-level. Metal, realty, bank stocks drag during the day. The Sensex is down 74.34 points at 21059.87, and the Nifty is down 20.05 points at 6252.70. About 1146 shares have advanced, 1432 shares declined, and 308 shares are unchanged. Indian shares fell on Tuesday led by declines in software exporters such as Tata Consultancy Services Ltd on profit-taking after the recent run-upon better-thanexpected quarterly results by peer Infosys Ltd. Index stats The Market was down in yesterday session where Bankex and Bank Nifty both closed (down 66% and down 66% respectively). Among the sartorial indices almost the sectors which were down are; Capital Goods [down-59.89 pts], AUTO [down 57.37pts], PSU [down -38.61pts], , Metals [down-134.44 pts], Power [down 14.05pts], Consumer Durables [down 29.36pts], IT [down64.06pts], Healthcare [up67.61 pts], FMCG [down-30.26 pts] Realty [own-2.65pts], TECK [dowm-33.43pts].

World Indices
Index DJl S&P 500 NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100 Nikkei 225 Hong Kong Value 16,373.86 1838.88 4,183.02 3,119.53 6,766.86 15,719.17 22,985.78
CMP Change

% Change +0.71 +1.08 +1.69 +0.24 +0.14 +1.92 +0.85


% Chg

Top Gainers
Company

CIPLA LUPIN CAIRN DRREDDY INFY

410.50 937.10 329.30 2,647.25 3,691.90


CMP

8.25 17.15 5.90 20.70 26.90


Change

2.05 1.86 1.82 0.79 0.73


% Chg

Top Losers
Company

TATASTEEL NMDC DLF JINDALSTEL RANBAXY

374.25 138.10 157.00 254.10 429.40Prev. Close

-11.70 -3.55 -4.05 -6.10 -9.40


Change

-30.3 -2.51 -2.51 -2.34 -2.14


%Chg

Stocks at 52 Weeks high


Symbol

DRREDDY DIVISLAB APOLLOTYRE GATI INFY

2,647.25 1,261..65 117.05 62.20 3,665.00

20.70 24.35 -.015 2.20 26.90

0.70 1.93 -0.13 3.54 0.73

Stocks at 52 Weeks Low


Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

--

Indian Indices
Company NIFTY SENSEX CMP Change % Chg

6241.85 21032.88

-30.90 -101.33

-0.49 -0.48

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DAILY REPORT
15st JANUARY. 2013

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1.ADANIENT FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. SKS MICRO

ADANIENT FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 246 levels. We advice buying around 245-246 levels with strict stop loss 241 for the targets of 250-255 levels. 2.CESC FUTURE

SKS MICRO is looking strong on charts. We advice buying above 186 levels with strict stop loss of 180 for the targets of 192-198 levels. MACRO NEWS Energy major Reliance Industries is looking to pick up an 11 percent stake in Venezuela's Petrocarabobo project that was recently surrendered by Malaysia's Petronas, and is eyeing exploration assets in Mexico, India's growth rate is expected to slip to 4.9 percent in the current fiscal but will improve significantly to 5.6 percent in 2014-15, India Ratings expectation for improved growth in FY'15 is based on a partial recovery in the industrial and services sector growth, and an uptick in investment due to project clearances by the Cabinet Committee on Investment (CCI), The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has come under a lot of flak for its inflation-controlling measures that have impacted growth. But former RBI chief D Subbarao refutes such criticism saying the central bank has always been flexible with monetary policy and has moved away from rigid inflation targeting methods to flexible inflation targeting.

CESC FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 460 levels. We advice buying on dips around 460 levels with strict stop loss 455 for the targets of 465-472 levels .

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15st JANUARY. 2013

FUTURE & OPTION

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION


Symbol Option Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest

NIFTY NIFTY BANKNIFTY BANKNIFTY BANKNIFTY INFY INFY SBIN


Symbol

PE PE PE PE PE PE PE PE
Option Type

6,200 6,100 10,500 11,000 10,900 3,650 3,700 1,650


Strike Price

49.95 25.1 67.5 234 186 34.65 54.1 55.7


LTP

3,28,955 63,98,350 2,12,738 52,97,950 14,325 13,261 7,023 1,994 1,945 1,655
Traded Volume (Contracts)

2,71,850 2,05,650 1,21,575 2,10,375 2,61,125 1,82,000


Open Interest

STOCKS IN NEWS ITC ups Bristol cigarette price by 15% to Rs 45/pack: Sources VA Tech Wabag bags order worth Rs 250 crore from Karnataka Govt Coal India Board is meeting today for special dividend Derive Investments buy 4.7 lakh shares at Rs 61/ share NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION

NIFTY NIFTY NIFTY BANKNIFTY BANKNIFTY SBIN RELIANCE RELIANCE


TCS

CE CE CE CE CE CE CE CE
CE

6,300 6,400 6,200 11,200 11,000 1,700 900 880


2,200

53.8 21.75 108.7 133 213.1 17.45 11.15 19.3


58.60

3,31,213 53,08,600 2,50,872 49,97,450 1,31,964 32,70,850 18,869 17,127 5,984 5,230
1,357

1,53,450 1,76,925 7,38,875 Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We buying around 6230-6250 levels with strict stop loss 5,97,250 of 6200 for the targets of 6280-6320 levels.
1,70,000

5,337 14,33,000

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS


BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY Amount in Crores
13113.49 37758.83 32378.03 2578.77

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts INDEX FUTURES INDEX OPTIONS STOCK FUTURES STOCK OPTIONS
87783 443571 55724 58071 2704.17 13607.45 1830.51 1889.19 58111 412359 58305 57991 1790.56 12587.27 1876.76 1855.97 422590 1211223 1029140 79248

NET AMOUNT
913.62 1020.18 -46.26 33.22 1920.76

TOTAL

INDICES
NIFTY NIFTYJUNIOR BANK NIFTY YOUR MINTVISORY

S2
6151.51 12425.05 10713.26

S1
6212.13 12491.65 10867.43

PIVOT
6250.16 12584.0 10968.81

R1
6310.78 12650.6 11122.98

R2
6348.81 12742.95 11224.36

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DAILY REPORT
15st JANUARY. 2013

COMMODITY MCX
COMMODITY ROUNDUP Spot gold eased 0.1 percent to $1,243.19 an ounce by 0011 GMT. It touched a one-month peak of $1,255 early on Tuesday before ending the day 0.7 percent lower. U.S. retail sales edged up in December with a core spending gauge posting a big jump, a sign the economy gathered steam at the end of last year and was poised for stronger growth in 2014.The Federal Reserve should bring its bondbuying program to a swift close, according to two of its most hawkish policymakers who take up voting power this year, with one vowing to use his vote to support cuts to the program even if stocks take a tumble. Oil prices rose on Tuesday after data revealed U.S. retail sales came in stronger than expected in December, which investors viewed as sign the U.S. economy continues to recover and will demand more fuel and energy going forward. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude for delivery in March traded at USD93.00 a barrel during U.S. trading, up 1.07%. New York-traded oil futures hit a session low of USD91.74 a barrel and a high of USD93.08 a barrel. The March contract settled down 1.01% at USD92.01 a barrel on Monday. Nymex oil futures were likely to find support at USD91.65 a barrel, Monday's low, and resistance at USD93.09 a barrel, Monday's high. Natural gas futures carried Monday's robust gains into Tuesday as speculation remained firm that a recent blast of arctic air will take its toll on inventories. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD4.369 per million British thermal units during U.S. trading, up 2.21%. The commodity hit session high of USD4.381 and a low of USD4.288. The February contract settled up 5.45% on Monday to end at USD4.274 per million British thermal units. Natural gas futures were likely to find support at USD4.119 per million British thermal units, Monday's low, and resistance at USD4.428, the high from Jan. 7.

RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 45250 TGTS 45450/45750 SL 44850 SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44350/44000 SL 45000 GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 29250 TGTS 29330/29430 SL 29150 SELL GOLD BELOW 28980 TGTS 28900/28800 SL 29100

Gold retreated for a second session on Wednesday, moving further away from a one-month high, as a rally in stock markets prompted by strong U.S. retail sales data dented the metal's appeal as a safe haven.

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DAILY REPORT
15st JANUARY. 2013

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED

NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change

CASTOR SEED CHANA CORIANDER COTTON SEED OILCAKE JEERA MAIZE FEED/ INDUSTRIAL GRADE MUSTARD SEED SOY BEAN TURMERIC BUYCASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4410 TGTS 4440,4500 SL 4360 SELLCASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4310 TGST 4280,4230SL 4460 DHANIYA

4305 3045 7634 1549 12470 1185 3589 3605.5 6748

0.07 0.03 0.14 0 -0.04 0 0.14 0.43 -0.24

NCDEX ROUNDUP MENTHA OIL Higher stocks and moderate arrivals in mandis kept pressurizing the market sentiments for Mentha Oil even as winter season demand continued to be noted. Higher stocks prevented any strong upsurge in rates even as winter season demand rose in the mandis CHANA Moderate recovery was noted for Chana on short covering in the Futures market even as arrivals remained high amidst moderate demand in mandis. Good sowing reports for Chana from MP, UP and Rajasthan amidst high stocks and fall in demand in mandis are keeping sentiments weak for the commodity in the Spot and Futures markets. GUARSEED Some range bound trend is seen in guar with increased arrival pressure in spot mandis. it is to be noted that production of guar this year is likely to increase that is not letting the sentiments to move up significantly. Higher production reports, better arrivals and only moderate pickup in exports have ensured a fall in rates for Guar over last few weeks. Farmers have started bringing in supplies from the new harvest into local markets.

BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 7930 TGTS 7960,8010 SL 7880 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 7820 TGTS 7790,7740 SL 7930

TURMERIC Lack of good upcountry demand Mamist moderate arrival trend remained weak. Traders are purchasing only limited quantity as buying interest has reduced.

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DAILY REPORT
15st JANUARY. 2013

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate


Currency Rate Currency Rate

Rupee- $ Euro EUR/INR

61.5200 Yen-100 84.100 GBP

59.4900 101.4772

CURRENCY ROUNDUP The dollar fell to one-month lows against the yen on Monday and was trading close to one week lows against the euro after Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls showed that the economy added far fewer than expected jobs last month. USD/JPY hit lows of 103.26, the weakest level since December 18 and was last down 0.74% to 103.39. The latest employment report showed that the U.S. economy added 74,000 jobs in December, the smallest increase since January 2011 and well below expectations for 196,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate fell to a five year low of 6.7% from 7% in November, but this was due in part to people dropping out of the labor force. A fall in prices would raise expectations the Reserve Bank of India would keep monetary policy on hold for a second consecutive month on Jan. 28 after data on Friday showed a surprise fall in industrial output. Confidence in the economy is a key driver for shares as well as for the rupee, given concerns about weakening growth are trumping the appeal of higher yields. A softer CPI should be great for the rupee. Going ahead, primarily the U.S. economic condition will drive rupee direction but a softer CPI will lead to better stability/appreciation and reduce chances of a sharper fall. The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.55/56 per dollar compared with 61.89/90 on Friday. It rose to 61.41 during the session, its strongest since Dec. 11. The unit rose 0.55 percent on day, its biggest single-day gain since Dec. 16.

SELL EUR/INR BELOW 84.09 TGTS 83.94, 83.72 SL84.44. BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 84.57 TGTS 84.72, 84.94 SL 84.25. USD/INR

The dollar slipped to a three-week low against the yen before data tomorrow that economists said will show U.S. reSELL USD/INR BELOW 61.50 TGTS 61.38, 61.18 SL 61.85. tail-sales growth slowed, strengthening the case against BUY USD/INR ABOVE 62.04 TGTS 62.20, 62.40 SL 61.69. faster tapering by the Federal Reserve.

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DAILY REPORT
15st JANUARY. 2013

CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs MCX GOLD MCX GOLD MCX SILVER MCX SILVER NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX DHANIYA NCDEX DHANIYA EUR/INR EUR/INR GBP/INR GBP/INR

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

14/01/14 14/01/14 14/01/14 14/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14 13/01/14

FEB. FEB. MAR. MAR. FEB. FEB. FEB. FEB. JAN. JAN. JAN. JAN.

BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY

29300 29000 45200 44300 4500 4395 8150 8050 84.28 84.69 101.70 102.54

29400-29500 28900-28800 45500-45800 44000-43700 4530-4580 4365-4315 8180-8130 8020-7970 84.14-84.00 84.83-85.01 101.55-101.38 102.71-102.91

29150 29150 44900 44600 4450 4445 8100 8100 84.64 84.33 102.09 102.15

SL TRIGGERD CALL OPEN BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED SL TRIGGERD BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED FULL PROFIT BOOKED PROFIT NOTEXECUTED BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION FUTURE FUTURE FUTURE CASH FUTURE CASH

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

14/01/14 14/01/14 14/01/14 14/01/14 13/01/14 09/01/14

NIFTY APPOLO TYRE BHARAT FORGE TCI ITC GRAVITA

BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY

6250 117 345 110 323 46

6300-6350 120-122 352-358 115-120 329-334 50-54

6200 115 337 104 319 41

CALL OPEN CALL OPEN CALL OPEN NOT EXECUTED BOOKED PROFIT CALL OPEN

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DAILY REPORT
15st JANUARY. 2013

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD MONDAY, JAN .13 2 PM 10 am FEDERAL BUDGET Factory orders DEC. Nov. TUESDAY,JAN .14 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 10 AM RETAIL SALES RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS IMPORT PRICE INDEX BUSINESS INVENTORIES DEC. DEC. DEC. NOV. WEDNESDAY, JAN.15 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM PRODUCER PRICE INDEX CORE PPI EMPIRE STATE INDEX DEC DEC. JAN. THURSDAY, JAN.16 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 10 AM 10 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CORE CPI HOME BUILDERS' INDEX PHILLY FED 1/11 DEC. DEC. JAN. JAN. FRIDAY, JAN.17 8:30 AM 9:15 AM 9:15 AM 9:55 AM HOUSING STARTS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION CAPACITY UTILIZATION UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX DEC. DEC. DEC. JAN. Disclaimer
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ACTUAL

CONSENSUS FORECAST

PREVIOUS

-1.6%

-$1 BLN -0.9%

-0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%

0.7% 0.4% -0.6% 0.7%

0.4% 0.2% 4.3

-0.1% 0.1% 1.0

N/A 0.3% 0.1% N/A 9.4

330,000 0.0% 0.2% 58 7.0

1.01 MLN 0.2% 79.0% 85.0

1.091 MLN 1.1% 79.0% 82.5

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