Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Monterrey
Campus Estado de Mxico
PROYECTO FINAL
EVALUACIN DE
PROYECTOS
Prof.:
julio de 2002
50
70
80
95
95
95
% de utilizacin de la capacidad
instalada
1
50%
2
70%
3
80%
4-10
95%
Las ventas para Estados Unidos representan el 70% de la produccin anual
a un precio de $700.00 por tonelada y las ventas para Japn representan el
30% de la produccin anual a un precio de $850.00 por tonelada.
Costos variables
Costos variables
Concepto
% Costo por tonelada
Agua
10% $
22.00
Bixido de
carbono
20% $
44.00
Cloruro de
polivinil
22% $
48.40
Resinas
30% $
66.00
Energa elctrica 18% $
39.60
100
Total
%
$
220.00
Costos fijos.
Costos fijos
Concepto
%
Costo por ao
Mano de obra
50%
$ 500,000.00
Mantenimien
to
20%
$ 200,000.00
Supervisin
30%
$ 300,000.00
Total
100%
$ 1,000,000.00
Gastos administrativos
Gastos administrativos
Gasto por
Concepto
%
ao
Gastos generales
$
oficina
25% 150,000.00
Sueldos y salarios
$
admn..
75% 450,000.00
100
$
Total
% 600,000.00
Inversiones
Inversiones
Activo Fijo
%
$
Maquinaria y
$
equipo
32% 3,200,000.00
$
Obra civil
28% 2,800,000.00
$
Terreno
15% 1,500,000.00
$
Transportes
5%
500,000.00
Muebles y
$
enceres
5%
500,000.00
TOTAL A.F.
ACTIVO DIFERIDO
$
Gastos indirectos 6%
600,000.00
$
Ingeniera
5%
500,000.00
$
Otros
4%
400,000.00
TOTAL A.D.
100
$
TOTAL
% 10,000,000.00
Capital inicial de trabajo.
Concepto
Costos
variables
Costos fijos
1,000,000.00/a
o
2,200,000.00
$
1,000,000.00
$
3,200,000.00
Costo por 3
meses.
183,333.33
$
83,333.33
$
266,666.67
$
800,000.00
Depreciacin
Activo
Maquinaria, equipo y
muebles
Obra civil
Transporte
Activos diferidos
Dt(%
)
10%
5%
20%
5%
ANLISIS ECONMICO
Ao
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
INFORMACIN
Inversiones:
Anlisis Activo
antes de
depreciaciones
e impuestos
y sin efecto inflacionario.
Fijo=
$
8,500,000.00
FENAI
VR(A.F.)
VR(A.C)
FENAI
Activo Diferido= $
1,500,000.00
-$
10,800,000.00
-$
10,800,000.00
Activo 3,650,000.00
Circulante=$
800,000.00
$
$
3,650,000.00
10,800,000.00
$Totales=
5,750,000.00$
$
5,750,000.00
$
6,800,000.00
$ de recuperacin
8,375,000.00
Valores
de activos
$
8,375,000.00
VR(AF)=
$
2,000,000.00 recup al 20%
8,375,000.00
VL= $
$
3,650,000.00
$
8,375,000.00
VRN(AF)=
$
2,742,500.00
$
8,375,000.00
VR(AC)=
$
20,000.00
8,375,000.00
Total $recuperado=
$
2,762,500.00
$
8,375,000.00 $ 2,000,000.00 $
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
800,000.00 $
VPN= $
TIR=
6,800,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
11,175,000.00
34,092,073.88
54%
8,500,000.00
1,500,000.00
800,000.00
10,800,000.00
Dt(%)
10%
5%
20%
10%
0%
5%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Total= $ 10,000,000.00 Dep. anual= $
n=
Dt($)
320,000.00
140,000.00
100,000.00
50,000.00
75,000.00
685,000.00
10
Dep. acum.
$ 3,200,000.00
$ 1,400,000.00
$ 1,000,000.00
$
500,000.00
$
$
750,000.00
$
$
VL(total)=
VL
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
1,400,000.00
1,500,000.00
750,000.00
3,650,000.00
Dt
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
Tasa de imptos=
34%
Ingreso gravable pago imptos.
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
345,000.00
345,000.00
345,000.00
345,000.00
345,000.00
VRN(AF)
VR(AC)
FENDI
-$10,800,000.00
$ 117,300.00
$ 457,300.00
$ 117,300.00
$ 457,300.00
$ 117,300.00
$ 457,300.00
$ 117,300.00
$ 457,300.00
$ 117,300.00 $ 2,742,500.00 $20,000.00 $ 3,219,800.00
Trema=
10%
VPN=
-$ 7,351,178.06
TIR=
-16.39%
Inflacin Ao
FENAI ($cts.)
FENAI ($corr.)
5%
0
-$
10,800,000.00 -$ 10,800,000.00
5%
1
$
3,650,000.00 $
3,832,500.00
5%
2
$
5,750,000.00 $
6,339,375.00
5%
3
$
6,800,000.00 $
7,871,850.00
5%
4
$
8,375,000.00 $ 10,179,864.84
5%
5
$
8,375,000.00 $ 10,688,858.09
5%
6
$
8,375,000.00 $ 11,223,300.99
5%
7
$
8,375,000.00 $ 11,784,466.04
5%
8
$
8,375,000.00 $ 12,373,689.34
5%
9
$
8,375,000.00 $ 12,992,373.81
5%
10
$
8,375,000.00 $ 13,641,992.50
=Suma de In. Ad. En AC
=RecuperacinTotal de AC
3,147,500.00
5,654,375.00
7,186,850.00
9,494,864.84
10,003,858.09
10,638,300.99
11,199,466.04
11,788,689.34
12,407,373.81
13,056,992.50
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
1,416,375.00
2,544,468.75
3,234,082.50
4,272,689.18
4,501,736.14
4,787,235.45
5,039,759.72
5,304,910.20
5,583,318.21
5,875,646.62
VRN(AF)
VR(AC)
$ 4,467,243.51
TREMA(f)=15.5%
$1,303,115.70
VPN(f)=
TIR(f)=
VPN=
TIR=
5,400,000.00
0.015
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
585,000.00
585,000.00
585,000.00
585,000.00
585,000.00
FENDI($corr.)
FENDI($const)
-$ 10,800,000.00 -$ 10,800,000.00
$ 2,376,125.00 $ 2,262,976.19
$ 3,752,906.25 $ 3,403,996.60
$ 4,593,667.50 $ 3,968,182.70
$ 5,860,870.66 $ 4,821,752.80
$ 6,138,501.70 $ 4,809,676.70
$ 6,385,014.28 $ 4,764,595.97
$ 6,691,102.50 $ 4,755,241.62
$ 7,012,495.12 $ 4,746,332.72
$ 7,349,957.38 $ 4,737,848.06
$ 13,474,651.96 $ 8,272,267.43
$24,348,869.01
39.78%
$15,874,086.24
33%
Dt
Inflacin
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
Ao
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Pago de Prestamo
-504360.0000
-511925.4000
-519604.2810
-527398.3452
-535309.3204
-543338.9602
-551489.0446
-559761.3803
-568157.8010
-576680.1680
B. Grav
IMPTOS
- 1,189,413.00
- 2,314,102.32
- 3,000,260.57
- 4,035,359.92
- 4,260,846.94
- 4,497,732.91
- 4,746,589.65
- 5,008,017.58
- 5,282,647.20
- 5,571,140.55
trema real =
Ao
10%
Capital
FENAI ($cts.)
5,400,000.00
3,650,000.00
5,750,000.00
6,800,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
0
2,643,140.00
5,142,449.60
6,667,245.72
8,967,466.50
9,468,548.77
9,994,962.03
10,547,977.00
11,128,927.96
11,739,216.01
12,380,312.33
-$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
interes
FENDI
5,400,000.00
2,138,727.00
3,513,347.28
4,351,985.15
5,617,106.57
5,892,701.82
6,182,229.12
6,486,387.35
6,805,910.38
7,141,568.80
7,494,171.78
TIR =
VPN =
Monto
-$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
FENAI ($corr.)
5,400,000.00
3,832,500.00
6,339,375.00
7,871,850.00
10,179,864.84
10,688,858.09
11,223,300.99
11,784,466.04
12,373,689.34
12,992,373.81
13,641,992.50
Interes
0.0000
81000.0000
73434.6000
65755.7190
57961.6548
50050.6796
42021.0398
33870.9554
25598.6197
17202.1990
8679.8320
DPN
0
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
-$
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
685,000.00
FENDI/Def
5,400,000.00
2036882.857
3346045.029
4144747.758
5349625.309
5612096.972
5887837.254
6177511.759
6481819.408
6801494.099
7137306.459
64%
$24,623,210.83
pago
Saldo insoluto
0.0000
1.0000
2.0000
3.0000
4.0000
5.0000
6.0000
7.0000
8.0000
9.0000
10.0000
5400000.0000
5400000.0000
4895640.0000
4383714.6000
3864110.3190
3336711.9738
2801402.6534
2258063.6932
1706574.6486
1146813.2683
578655.4673
0.0000
81000.0000
73434.6000
65755.7190
57961.6548
50050.6796
42021.0398
33870.9554
25598.6197
17202.1990
8679.8320
5400000.0000
5481000.0000
4969074.6000
4449470.3190
3922071.9738
3386762.6534
2843423.6932
2291934.6486
1732173.2683
1164015.4673
587335.2994
0.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
-585360.0000
5400000.0000
4895640.0000
4383714.6000
3864110.3190
3336711.9738
2801402.6534
2258063.6932
1706574.6486
1146813.2683
578655.4673
1975.2994
223.355414
0
10%
0
8,036,484.72
22%
296.4779339
3738047.64 VPN
15.50% TIR
0
10%
0
$5,742,134.92 VPN
18.24% TIR
$1,543,512.20
13%
=
VPN
TIR
0
10%
9239.41157
$3,738,047.64 VPN
15.50% TIR
despues
de
$0.00
10%
193.8188455
0
10%
0
6,902,511.70
29%
Analisis de sensibilidad
financiamiento.
para
la
capacidad
despues
del
Capacidad total
=
6501.835881
VPN
0
TIR
10%
CONCLUSINES
CONCLUSIONES DEL EQUIPO
Despus de realizar el estudio econmico de la inversin se concluye que
se debe de realizar la inversin, ya que el valor presente neto es positivo y la
tasa interna de retorno es mayor a la trema. Esto nos indica que el proyecto es
rentable, considerando los impuestos y la inflacin, por esta razn, creemos que
la inversin es conveniente.
CONCLUSIONES PERSONALES
Zahia:
La elaboracin de este proyecto me ayudo a repasar todo lo visto e el
curso ya que abarca desde lo que es el primer parcial hasta lo del cuarto parcial
ANEXO
Ao
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Capacidad total =
Capacidad instalada
20000
Produccin Total
50%
70%
80%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
10000
14000
16000
19000
19000
19000
19000
19000
19000
19000
7000
9800
11200
13300
13300
13300
13300
13300
13300
13300
3000
4200
4800
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
4,900,000.00
6,860,000.00
7,840,000.00
9,310,000.00
9,310,000.00
9,310,000.00
9,310,000.00
9,310,000.00
9,310,000.00
9,310,000.00
Costos fijos
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
2,550,000.00
3,570,000.00
4,080,000.00
4,845,000.00
4,845,000.00
4,845,000.00
4,845,000.00
4,845,000.00
4,845,000.00
4,845,000.00
Costos Variables
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,200,000.00
3,080,000.00
3,520,000.00
4,180,000.00
4,180,000.00
4,180,000.00
4,180,000.00
4,180,000.00
4,180,000.00
4,180,000.00
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
7,450,000.00
10,430,000.00
11,920,000.00
14,155,000.00
14,155,000.00
14,155,000.00
14,155,000.00
14,155,000.00
14,155,000.00
14,155,000.00
Gastos administrativos
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
FENAI
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Ventas Totales
3,650,000.00
5,750,000.00
6,800,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
8,375,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00
600,000.00