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# Fixed Income Investments - Government Bonds The U.S. Government issues four types of securities: 1.

Treasury Bills - Treasury bills have a maturity of less than 12 months, no coupon rate, are issued at a discount to par value, mature at par value and pay no coupon interest. The return the investor receives is the difference between the purchase price and the maturity price. 2.Treasury Notes - Treasury notes have a maturity of one to ten years. They have a coupon rate set by the market place at issue. They are issued approximately at par value and mature at par value. 3.Treasury Bonds - Treasury bonds are the same as treasury notes except that they have maturities that are greater than ten years. The U.S. Government has not issued this type of bond for a while, but there are still some issues that are outstanding. 4.Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) - TIPS are issued as notes or bonds and help to protect the investor against inflation risk. The example below illustrates how these securities work. Example: • The coupon rate on an issue is set at a fixed rate, which is determined when the bonds are auctioned. • This is considered the "real rate" because it is what the investor will earn over the inflation rate.

The inflation index the government uses is the non-seasonally adjusted U.S. City Average All Item Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) These indexes work in deflationary environments as well, but the government has structured them so that the investor receives the higher inflation-adjusted amount, or par value, when redeemed at a later date.

Now on to the number crunching part concerning TIPS: Coupon Rate = 4% Annual Inflation Rate = 2% Investor buys 1,000,000.00 USD of TIPS At the end of the first six months the investor's coupon she will receive: Inflation rate (2%/2) =1% Coupon rate (4%/2) = 2% Answer: Inflation adjusted principle amount = (par value * 1+ semi-annual inflation rate) = 1,000,000 * 1.01 = 1,010,000.00 Coupon Payment = (Inflation adjusted principle amount * semi-annual coupon rate) = 1,010,000 * .02 = 20,200.00 Now let's move ahead another six months:

Coupon rate= 4% or 2% in semi-annual terms Inflation rate = 3 % or 1.5 % in semi-annual terms Inflation adjusted principle amount = (new par value * 1 + semi-annual inflation rate) = 1,010,000 * 1.015 = 1,025,150 Coupon Payment = (Inflation adjusted principle amount * semi-annual coupon rate) = 1,025,250 * .02 = 20,503.00 On-the-run vs. Off-the-run Government Securities On-the-run Securities On-the-run securities are the most current security issued by the U.S.Treasury Department. These issues tend to be more liquid in the marketplace. Off-the-run Securities Off-the-run securities are the securities that are replaced by the on-the-run securities. These issues tend to be less liquid in the marketplace. How Stripped Government Securities, & Coupon and Principal Strips Are Created The U.S. government does not issue zero coupon notes and bonds and there is a strong demand for an instrument with no credit risk and a maturity of greater than one year. Based on consumer demand, therefore, the private sector created securities with these features. • Let's look at a treasury bond that has five years to maturity with a coupon rate of 7 %. This constitutes ten interest payments of US\$70 based on \$1,000 par value and one principal payment of \$1,000 for a total of 11 payments. • You now can discount these 11 single payments and create zero coupon instruments with maturity dates that correspond with the payment dates of the Treasury securities.

These are issued through the Treasury's Separate Trading and Registered Interest and Principal Securities (STRIPS) program to facilitate the stripping process. The zero-coupon securities created are the obligations of the U.S. Government.

These securities come in two different forms: 1.Coupon Strips Coupon strips come from the coupon payment part of the security. 2.Principal Strips Principal strips come from the principal payment. The difference between coupon strips and principal strips, besides maturity dates and amount received, has to do with taxes. Coupon strips accrue interest and are taxed each year even though interest is not paid until maturity. This causes negative cash flows for a taxable entity. Foreign investors often like principal strips because of the preferred tax treatments they can receive in their home countries.

Fixed Income Investments - Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) An investment instrument that represents ownership of an undivided interest in a group of mortgages. Principal and interest from the individual mortgages are used to pay investors' principal and interest on the MBS. When you invest in a mortgage-backed security you are lending money to a homebuyer or business. An MBS is a way for a smaller regional bank to lend mortgages to its customers without having to worry if the customers have the assets to cover the loan. Instead, the bank acts as a middleman between the homebuyer and the investment markets. A mortgage-backed security (MBS) is secured by the collateral of mortgages on real estate for which the borrower has agreed to make a predetermined series of payments. The mortgage gives the lender the right to take a property in case the borrower fails to make the payments on his loan, thus ensuring that the debt is paid off. These securities are amortizing, meaning they will decrease to zero as the payments are made. The cash flows consist of a principal payment and an interest payment that can be paid in full at anytime by the borrower. The investor in an MBS does not receive the full payment made by the borrower because the issuer charges servicing fees for doing the administrative work and prepayments. Example: Let's look at a \$150,000 mortgage with a mortgage rate of 6%, a monthly payment of \$1,000 and a term of 30 years or 360 months.

Beginning Mont Month h Mortgage Bal

Schedule Mortga End of d ge Intere Month Principle Payme st Mortgage Repaym nt Bal ent

1

\$150,000 \$1,000 \$750

\$250

\$149,750

2

\$149,750 \$1,000

\$748. \$251 75

\$149,498. 75

3

\$149,498 \$747. \$149,246. \$1,000 \$252.51 .75 49 62

This process continues until the mortgage balance reaches zero, either by the scheduled payments or through any sort of prepayment.As you can see the interest decreases through the term of the loan as the mortgage balance decreases. This also means that that as the loan matures, more of the scheduled mortgage payment is applied to the mortgage balance. Prepayment Prepayment occurs when a bond's payments to its holders incorporates both interest and principal. Typically, in asset-backed securities (ABS) and Mortgagebacked securities (MBS) there is always a chance for a prepayment. To go back to an old example, a homeowner may only have to pay \$500 a month on his mortgage, but decide to pay \$700 a month. This additional amount is an example of prepayment. It can occur in chunks like this or it may be paid off in one lump sum. Risk of Prepayment The risk of prepayment is that they typically occur in declining rate environments. When this happens, individuals tend to refinance their mortgages or credit cards at lower rates, causing the securities that were made of these obligations to be prepaid before their stated maturity date. This causes the investors in these securities to have to reinvest their proceeds at a lower market rate.

Fixed Income Investments - Federal Issues Central governments can develop entities that issue bonds. These securities are referred to as semi-government bonds or government agency bonds. In the U.S. they are referred to as federal agency securities. The agency bond market can be further broken down into two categories: 1. Federally Related Institutions Federally related institutions are arms of the federal government. They include Export-Import, Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae). With exception to TVA and the Private Export Funding Corp., these securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government. 2.Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) Government sponsored enterprises are privately owned, publicly chartered entities that were developed to help lower the cost of funding in certain sectors of the marketplace that the government feels are important enough to warrant assistance. They include the more familiar names such as: • Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) - provides credit for the residential housing sector. • Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) - provides credit for the residential housing sector.

• • • • Federal Home Loan Bank .Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs) CMOs are a derivative securities. they issue securities that are backed by the mortgage loans that they purchase. These layers have different par values and prepayment speeds. while discount notes are short-term papers with maturities ranging from overnight to 360 days. The monthly cash flows include net interest.provides credit for the residential housing sector. provide credit and support for the housing sector.provide credit for agricultural part of the economy Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae) -provides support for higher education. just know that the name exists in case they want three examples of Freddie or Fannie.provide credit for farm proprieties Federal Farm Credit System . provide credit and support for the .Mortgage Pass through Securities Mortgage pass through securities are created when one or more bondholders form a pool (or collection) of mortgages and sell shares or certificates in the pool. GSEs issue two forms of debt: debentures are notes or bonds with typical maturities of one to 20 years. while discount notes are short-term papers with maturities ranging from overnight to 360 days. Motivation Behind CMO Creation The motivation behind creating a CMO is to spread the risk of prepayment among different classes of bonds. The cash flows depend on the payments of the mortgage and opens the investor to prepayment risk. The tranches offer investors different payment rules and par values. 3. A CMO has several tranches that splits the mortgage pool into different layers. The loans act as collateral for the bonds and they come in three forms: 1. 2.Stripped Mortgage-Backed Securities For CFA exam purposes. This aids investors in helping them manage the risk exposures they want in this arena. They help an investor pick the type of cash flows he wants to be exposed to based on how the pool of mortgages are sliced up into tranches. scheduled principal payments and any principal prepayments. as noted above. GSEs issue two forms of debt: debentures are notes or bonds with typical maturities of one to 20 years. as noted above. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. For example Tranche A might receive all principal payments until the balance is zero then the payments would flow to Tranche B and so on. In doing so. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Federal Agriculture Mortgage Corporation .

2. This factor includes: trends. Character includes: strategic direction. In doing so. These layers have different par values and prepayment speeds. whether or not they are conservative. track record. 3. For example Tranche A might receive all principal payments until the balance is zero then the payments would flow to Tranche B and so on.Stripped Mortgage-Backed Securities For CFA exam purposes. position in the industry. They help an investor pick the type of cash flows he wants to be exposed to based on how the pool of mortgages are sliced up into tranches.Collateral Collateral is the assets pledged to secure the debt. they issue securities that are backed by the mortgage loans that they purchase. Motivation Behind CMO Creation The motivation behind creating a CMO is to spread the risk of prepayment among different classes of bonds. parent support and event risk.housing sector. regulatory environment. financial philosophy. control systems and succession planning. 3. The cash flows depend on the payments of the mortgage and opens the investor to prepayment risk. A CMO has several tranches that splits the mortgage pool into different layers.Covenants Covenants are the limitations or restrictions placed on the borrowers' activities. The loans act as collateral for the bonds and they come in three forms: 1. The rating can be affected by how senior or junior the issue is compared to the structure of the entity.Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs) CMOs are a derivative securities. just know that the name exists in case they want three examples of Freddie or Fannie. The tranches offer investors different payment rules and par values.Character Character is a factor that is used to determined the quality of management in a corporation.Mortgage Pass through Securities Mortgage pass through securities are created when one or more bondholders form a pool (or collection) of mortgages and sell shares or certificates in the pool. 4.Capacity Capacity describes a corporation's ability to pay its obligations. . This aids investors in helping them manage the risk exposures they want in this arena. Determining Credit Rating A credit rating can be determined for a single issue or for an entire corporation. 2. There are four main factors that rating agencies look at in developing their ratings: 1. This also includes the unpledged assets of the firm. scheduled principal payments and any principal prepayments. The monthly cash flows include net interest.

typical through a third-party guarantee. a company may have no real assets and use stocks. Medium-term Notes The main difference between medium-term notes and corporate bonds is the way they are issued in the marketplace.There are positive and negative covenants. subordinated debenture bonds. The LOC requires that the bank that issued the LOC make payments to the trustee when requested so that funds will be available for the issuer to make its payments. The holders fall in the same range as general creditors if a default occurs. both of which were discussed earlier in the chapter. • . deleveraged floaters. When a firm what to issue this type of debt they have to file a "shelf registration" that lists the details of the offering. Unsecured Debt Unsecured debt is known as a debenture bond. bonds and other securities they own in other companies as the collateral. secured debt is paid first. which may finance at higher rates but still uses the parent company to guarantee the debt to reduce those funding costs. MTNs can be offered to investors by the issuer's agent instead of being underwritten by investment banks and then sold to the public in one shot. The collateral can be either real property or personal property the bondholder has a lien against in case of default. Credit Enhancements Credit enhancements are a way to reduce risk for the bondholders. which is pledged to ensure that there is payment of the debt.With these issues. maturities and the investment banks acting as their agent. Secured Debt Secured debt is a type of corporate bond that has some form of collateral. • • This helps to cover the funding gap between commercial paper and longterm bonds. or those held junior holders are finally paid. Another form of secured debt is Collateral Trust Bonds.Other Types of Bonds Corporate Bonds vs. This helps finance special projects for the parent company. such as rates. unsecured is paid second and if there is anything left.It is the same as a secured bond only it doesn't have the collateral pledge. In case of default. There tend to be limitations placed on how much a company can issue of this type of debt and this applies not only in the indenture but also through various tests. hence the "medium-term" designation. Even though this may reduce a layer of risk. range notes and index amortizing notes. It is also important to know that MTNs can also come in different structures instead of mirroring a corporate bond. Such tests include issuance tests and earnings tests. This entails another company guaranteeing their loans. Fixed Income Investments . inverse floaters. the issuer and the firm that grants the LOC should be analyzed to ensure the bond is a solid investment.These include: step up notes. Letters of Credit (LOC) are another form of enhancement.

CDs are generally issued by commercial banks and are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). A simple example would be a 5 year bond tied together with an option contract for increasing the returns.A savings certificate entitling the bearer to receive interest.What is a Structured Note? A synthetic medium-term debt obligation with embedded components and characteristics that adjust the risk/return profile of the security. The risk to investors is that the issuing company will not be able to place the new commercial paper to pay off their older debt. What is Commercial Paper? Commercial paper is a short term unsecured promissory note that is fewer than 270 days to maturity and is issued as a zero-coupon security.000 * 1.000 CD with an interest rate of 5% compounded annually and a term of one year. a specified fixed interest rate and can be issued in any denomination.05). A certificate of deposit is a promissory note issued by a bank. Although it is still possible to withdraw the money. Banker's acceptances are very similar to T-bills and are often used in money market funds. A motivation for their issuance is the fact that they allow investors to realize a profit from favorable price movements. It is a time deposit that restricts holders from withdrawing funds on demand. Bank Obligations Negotiable CDs . An example would include GE Capital. Almost all large CDs.Directly Placed The issuing company sells the paper directly to the investing public without the help of an agent or intermediary. Acceptances are traded at a discount from face value on the secondary market.Dealer-Placed The issuing company uses an agent to help sell its paper in the marketplace. 2.A short-term credit investment created by a non-financial firm and guaranteed by a bank. this action will often incur a penalty. The term of a CD generally ranges from one month to five years.000 are called "small CDs". Bankers Acceptances . Companies continue to "roll over" or pay off the holders by issuing new commercial paper in the market.000 are called "large CDs" or "jumbo CDs". For example. Commercial paper has its own credit rating and can de divided into financial and non-financial companies. CDs for more than \$100. At year's end. the CD will have grown to \$10. let's say that you purchase a \$10. CDs of less than \$100. A CD bears a maturity date. .500 (\$10. as well as some small CDs. are negotiable. Commercial Paper is issued in two ways: 1. A structured note is a hybrid security that attempts to change its profile by including additional modifying structures.

Internal Enhancements Internal enhancements come in the form of reserve funds over collateralization and senior/subordinated structures. consumer loans. it looks like the company doesn't have a liability when they really do. SPVs/SPEs are household words. One problem with external enhancements is that one not only has to analyze the assets and the company that owns them but also the company that is "wrapping" or insuring the debt. such as a receivable. As we saw with the Enron bankruptcy. and move it off the balance sheet. if things go wrong. . letter of credit and bond insurance. The SPV is usually a subsidiary company with an asset/liability structure and legal status that makes its obligations secure even if the parent company goes bankrupt. A corporation can use such a vehicle to finance a large project without putting the entire firm at risk.Backed Securities? The primary motive for issuing asset-backed securities is to take an asset. ABSs are essentially the same thing as a mortgage-backed security except that the security is backs assets such as loans. Thanks to Enron. commercial assets (planes. due to accounting loopholes. the results can be devastating. receivables). These entities aren't all bad though. These will be covered in more detail in the CFA Level II exam. The enhancement can come from the parent company or from the newly created company that holds the assets. etc and not mortgage based securities. They were originally (and still are) used to isolate financial risk. a loan or some other form of illiquid asset.Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) An asset-backed security is a security that is backed by a pool of loans or receivables. This helps the parent to clean up its balance sheet and monetize those receivables rather than waiting for the payments to come in. Essentially. credit cards. home equity loans. credit card debt. Problem is. Why Issue Asset. Special Purpose Vehicles and Their Effect on Asset-backed Securities SPVs are also referred to as a "bankruptcy-remote entity" whose operations are limited to the acquisition and financing of specific assets. royalties.Fixed Income Investments . It can also help protect those assets in case the parent defaults. These include: corporate guarantee. It comes in two forms: 1. This is possible because the SPV that was created is a separate entity. 2. leases. These include: auto loans. and manufactured housing loans. these vehicles became a way for CFOs to hide debt. a company's receivables.External Enhancements External enhancements come in three forms of third-party guarantees. Types of Credit Enhancements Credit enhancement is designed to reduce risk.

The higher the risk. they makes it more costly for the banks to do business. If the Fed raises rates. loans and other assets.50% . They are: 1. CDOs are unique in that they represent different types of debt and credit risk. 4. The Discount Rate This is the rate at which banks can borrow on a collateralized basis at the Fed's discount window. Fixed Income Investments . Similar in structure to a collateralized mortgage obligation (CMO) or collateralized bond obligation (CBO). CDOs do not specialize in one type of debt but are often non-mortgage loans or bonds. In the case of CDOs. these different types of debt are often referred to as 'tranches' or 'slices'.00% 1. Bank Reserve Requirements This is hardly used these days.Collateralized Debt Obligations An investment-grade security backed by a pool of bonds. Open Market Operations The Fed buys Treasuries or adds funds to the system. The Fed also sells Treasuries or takes funds out of the system to increase short-term rates. If they lower the rate. 2. this reduces short-term rates. If the Fed eases this rate. which drains cash from the system. long-term rate as well.Yield Curves The U. Each slice has a different maturity and risk associated with it. money is kept out of the economy. which will add cash to the system. banks will find it cheaper to borrow additional funds.S Federal Reserve (the Fed) has four tools it uses to directly influence short-term and. additional money will hit the economy. As an example: 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 1.Verbal persuasion to influence how bankers supply credit to businesses and consumers This simple method requires no additional explanation. 3. What is a Yield Curve? A yield curve represents the relationship between maturity and yields. indirectly. If the Fed raises these requirements. the more the CDO pays.25% 1.

Yield Curve Shapes Yield Curves come in three shapes: 1. If you are searching for a point on the yield curve that does not have a maturity represented by an actual "on the run security". Upward or Normal Yield Curve This curve occurs when short-term rates are lower than long-term rates.00% If you were to graph this data you would see the yield curve develop. as noted in the above example. This date is only good for one single point in time because rates are constantly moving. .75% 2. that point will only be an approximation.1 Year 2 Year 5 Year 10 Year 30 Year 1.68% 3.00% 2.35% 2. 2.Inverted Yield Curve This curve is formed when short-term rates are higher than the longer part of the curve.

. the yield premium will also increase with maturity. It is based on the idea that the two-year yield is equal to a one-year bond today plus the expected return on a one-year bond purchased one year from today. Because of the longer maturity. Fixed Income Investments . Pure Expectation Theory Pure expectation is the simplest and most direct of the three theories. Also know as the Biased Expectations Theory.Liquidity Preference Theory This theory states that investors want to be compensated for interest rate risk that is associated with long-term issues. The theory explains the yield curve in terms of expected short-term rates. there is a greater price volatility associated with these securities.3. The structure is determined by the future expectations of rates and the yield premium for interest-rate risk. 2.The Term Structure of Interest Rates There are three main theories that try to describe the future yield curve: 1. The one weakness of this theory is that it assumes that investors have no preference when it comes to different maturities and the risks associated with them.Flat Yield Curve This curve occurs when there is little or no change between short-term andlongterm rates. Because interest-rate risk increases with maturity.

in marketable size. The LIBOR is fixed on a daily basis by the British Bankers' Association. the higher the taxable equivalent yield would be needed in the taxable bond market.25 % for the investor at the 31% tax bracket in order to beat the 5% yield offer in the tax-exempt bond.69 = .London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) An interest rate at which banks can borrow funds.00% Marginal Tax Rate = 31% Answer: Taxable-equivalent yield = .given time.2464 % This means that a taxable issue must yield more than 7.075 * (1-. It is computed with the following formula.6 Taxable-equivalent yield = tax-exempt yield / (1marginal tax rate) Example: Tax-Exempt Yield Tax exempt yield = 5. Example: Taxable Bond Yield Taxable bond yield is 7.31) = . Look Out! Notice that the higher the marginal tax rate.05 / (1-. from other banks in the London interbank market. Fixed Income Investments .31) = .5% The Marginal tax rate for this investor is 31% Answer: After-tax yield = . The LIBOR is derived from a filtered average of the world's most creditworthy banks' interbank deposit rates for larger loans with . Formula 14.05175 = 5.072464 = 7.175% Tax-Equivalent Yield The tax-equivalent yield is the yield that must be offered on a taxable bond issue to give the same after-tax yield as a tax-exempt issue.05 / .

7 The Importance of Embedded Options 14.maturities between overnight and one full year.18 Event Risk 14.17 Inflation Risk 14. a multinational corporation with a very good credit rating may be able to borrow money for one year at LIBOR plus 4 or 5 points.9 Interest Rate Risk 14. Fixed Income Investments                     14. England.6 Refunding 14.5 Provisions for Redeeming Bonds 14. of course.3 Basic Coupon Structures 14.13 Credit Risk 14.1 Introduction 14.2 Bond Features 14.10 Call and Prepayment Risk 14.11 Reinvestment Risk 14. The LIBOR is the world's most widely used benchmark for short-term interest rates. Switzerland and. Canada.15 Exchange-Rate Risk 14.8 Institutional Investors and Financing Purchases 14.20 Duration . It is also the rate upon which rates for less preferred borrowers are based. Countries that rely on the LIBOR for a reference rate include the United States.14 Liquidity Risk 14. For example. It's important because it is the rate at which the world's most preferred borrowers are able to borrow money.19 Pricing Bonds 14.16 Volatility Risk 14.4 Early Retirement 14.12 Yield Curve Risk 14. 14.

24 Federal Issues 14.46 Measuring Interest Rate Risk 14.50 Price Value of a Basis Point (PVBP) .49 Convexity 14.23 Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) 14.                              14.34 London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) 14.43 Differentiating Between Spreads 14. Intramarket Sector Spreads 14. Modified.39 Typical Yield Measures 14.45 Forward Rates vs Spot Rates 14.47 Price Volatility 14.28 Yield Curves 14.27 Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) 14.29 The Term Structure of Interest Rates 14.42 Spot Rates and Bond Valuation 14.35 Bond Valuation Basics 14.22 Government Bonds 14. and Macaulay Duration 14.48 Effective.25 Bondholder's Rights 14.33 After Tax Yield of a Taxable Security 14.26 Other Types of Bonds 14.31 Intermarket vs.44 What are Forward Rates? 14.41 Importance of Reinvestment Income and Reinvestment Risk 14.37 Bond Value and Price 14.38 Arbitrage-free Valuation Approach 14.32 Options and their Benefits 14.21 International Bonds 14.30 Types of Yield Measures 14.40 Assumptions Underlying Traditional Yield Curve Measures 14.36 Cash Flow 14.

Bond Valuation Basics The fundamental principle of valuation is that the value is equal to the present value of its expected cash flows. a corporation may issue new bonds at a lower cost and call the older bonds. puttable bonds. such as reference rates. If rates decline. As rates decline. 3. The same thing happens with MBSs and ABSs. Determine the appropriate interest rate or interest rates that should be used to discount the cash flows. a puttable bond will be sold back to the issuing corporation at the put price once the increase in rates drives the price of the security below the put price. A floating-rate bond would be an example of this type of category. prices or exchange rates. This causes the bond to be paid off earlier than the stated maturity date. These include callable bonds.Fixed Income Investments . 2. Bonds for which investor has the option to convert or exchange the security for common stock. 2. Estimate the expected cash flows. borrowers have the right to refinance their loans at cheaper rates.Bonds for which the issuer or investor has an option or right to change the contract due date for the payment of the principal. 3.Bonds for which coupon payment rate is reset occasionally based on a formula with values that change.When rates increase. The problems when estimating the cash flows of these types of bonds include: 1.For bonds in which the coupon payment rate is reset occasionally based on a . Fixed Income Investments .In the case of bonds for which the issuer or investor has the option/right to change the contract due date for the payment of principal. the bonds can be affect by future interest rates. MBSs and ABSs. The valuation process involves the following three steps: 1. 3.Cash Flow Bonds With Difficult Expected Cash Flow Estimation The bonds for which it is difficult to estimate expected cash flows fall into three categories: 1. 2. Calculate the present value of the expected cash flows found in step one by using the interest rate or interest rates determined in step two.

8 Value = present value @ T1 + present value @ T2 + present value @Tn . or the Treasury market for a U. for bonds that give the investor the option to convert or exchange the security for common stock.S. To figure out the value the PV of each individual cash flow must be found. because each cash flow is unique in its timing. because the rate is always changing based on other variables it is hard to estimate the cash flows. an investor could just use the final maturity date of the issue compared to the Treasury security. The present value is the amount that would be needed to be invested today to generate that future cash flow. As for the maturity. PV is dependant on the timing of the cash flow and the interest rate used to calculate the present value. Free Trading Guide . 4. just add the figures together to determine the bonds price. the rate or yield that would be required would be the on-the-run government security plus a premium that takes up the additional risks that come with non-treasury bonds. For non-treasury bonds such as corporate bonds. investor. Computing a Bond's Value First of all.GFT Formula 14. the cash flows will stop altogether once the investor decides that it would be more profitable to exchange the fixed income security for equity. Then. The investor will have no certain idea as to when this may occur. you will need to add the individual cash flows: Formula 14. it is hard to determine whether the bonds may be converted into those securities. The Treasury security that is most often used is the on-the-run issues because they reflect the latest yields and are the most liquid securities.7 PV at time T = expected cash flows in period T / (1 + I) to the T power After you develop the expected cash flows.formula with changing values. making it difficult to value the cash flows until the maturity of the bond.Because the value of the bond rests on the performance of the securities that back the bond. However. we need to find the present value (PV) of the future cash flows in order to value the bond. Also. Determining Appropriate Interest Rates The minimum interest rate that an investor should accept is the yield that is available in the market place for a risk-free bond. it would be better to use the maturity that matches each of the individual cash flows.

086. For simplicity's sake.81 Year five = 1070 / (1.070. the lower the value of a bond and the lower the discount rate the higher the value of the bond.37 Value = 1.60 = \$ 886. Example: The Value of a Bond Bond GHJ matures in five years with a coupon rate of 7% and a maturity value of \$1.10) to the 1 st power = \$ 63.67 Year two = 70 / (1. • We can also compute the change in value from an increase in the discount rate used in our example. an important property of PV is that for a given discount rate.47 Year four = 70 / (1.85 + 52.05) to the 5th power = \$ 838.49 Year three = 70 / (1.85 Year three = 70 / (1.Bond Value and Price How Does the Value of a Bond Change? As rates increase or decrease.10) to the 4th power = \$ 47.05) to the 1 st power = \$66.37 Now to find the value of the bond: Value = 66.47 + 57.60 Answer: Value = 63.63 Year two = 70 / (1.59 Year five = 1070 / (1.63 Year four = 70 / (1.10) to the 5th power = \$ 664. Example: The Value of a Bond when Discount Rates Change PV of the cash flows is: Year one = 70 / (1. The change = 1.81 + 664.07. Answer: The cash flow for each of the years is: Year one = \$70 Year Two = \$70 Year Three = \$70.886. Let's change the discount rate in the above example to 10% to see how it affects the value of the bond.52 = 200.49 + 60. the discount rate that is used also changes appropriately. • Another property of PV is that the higher the discount rate. 086.10) to the 3rd power = \$ 52.05) to the 2nd power = \$ 63.63 + 47. the older a cash flow value is.67 + 63.63 + 57.000.59 . Year Four is \$70 and Year Five is \$1.59 + 838.59 Fixed Income Investments .05) to the 4th power = \$ 57. the lower its present value.52 • As we can see from the above examples. PV of the cash flows is: Year one = 70 / (1. the bond pays annually and the discount rate is 5%. Look Out! .10) to the 2nd power = \$ 57.05) to the 3rd power = \$ 60.Let's throw some numbers around to further illustrate this concept.

If a bond is at par.9 Maturity value / (1 + I) to the power of the number of years * 2 Where I is the semi-annual discount rate.If a bond is at a premium. An individual can also decompose the change that results when a bond approaches its maturity date and the discount rate changes.49 Year three = 70 / (1.67 + 63. its price will move closer to par. its price will remain the same. The two figures should equal the overall change in the bond's price. 2.92 As the price of the bond decreases.67 Year two = 70 / (1. and then adding it to the change in the discount rate. The break down on the three scenarios is as follows: 1.05) to the 4th power = \$880. let's look at a zero coupon with a maturity of three . Example: The Value of a Zero-Coupon Bond For illustration purposes.the maturity value.05) to the 1 st power = \$66. PV of the cash flows is: Year one = 70 / (1.47 Year four = 1070 / (1.070.47 + 880. You should also be able to see how the amount by which the bond price changes is attributed to it being closer to it's maturity date.29 Answer: Value = 66. How Does a Bond's Price Change as it Approaches its Maturity Date? As a bond moves closer to its maturity date.05) to the 2nd power = \$ 63. the PV will be higher than par value.29 = 1.If the discount rate is higher than the coupon rate the PV will be less than par. This is accomplished by first taking the net change in the price that reflects the change in maturity.05) to the 3rd power = \$ 60. but now let's assume a year has passed and a discount rate remains the same at 5%. Example: Price Changes Over Time Let's compute the new value to see how the price moves closer to par.If a bond is at a discount. the price will decline over time towards its par value.67.49 + 60. If the discount rate is lower than the coupon rate. Theamount of change attributed to the year's difference is 15. the price will increase over time towards its par value 3. To show how this works lets use our original example of the 7% bond. it moves closer to its par value. Computing the Value of a Zero-coupon Bond This may be the easiest of securities to value because there is only one cash flow . Value of a zero coupon bond that matures N years from now is: Formula 14.

.Any capital gain or loss (negative dollar return) when the bond matures. It isthe rate that will make the present value of a bond's cash flows equal toits market price plus accrued interest.Current Yield Current yield relates the annual dollar coupon interest to the bond's market price: Formula 14. Answer: Step1 .05102= 5. The opposite is true for a premium bond.Income from the reinvestment of interim cash flows such as interest payments and any prepayments of principal prior to the final or stated maturity date.1% Current yield is greater when bond is selling at a discount. make the bond "whole" and sell it at a higher price than that of the purchased strips. To find YTM. the current yield will equal the coupon rate. is called or is sold. This section is all about formulas and bond math.Figure out the annual dollar coupon interest= .The coupon payment made by the issuer. the dealer will buy the strips. This is also known as interest on interest. 3.05 * \$100 = 5\$ Current Yield = \$5 / 98 = .10 Current Yield = annual dollar coupon interest / price Example: Current Yield IBM ten-year bond with a rate of 5% and market price of 98.Yield to Maturity (YTM) Yield to maturity is the most popular measure of yield in the market. if the market price is more than the value using the arbitrage-free valuation. one has to develop the cash flows and then. This is the difference between the purchase price and the price when the bond is no longer owned by you. 2. 1.On the other hand. You take the interim payment and invest it in another fixed income security to earn additional returns. some of the questions you see on your CFA Level 1 exam will almost certainly come out of this section. Fixed Income Investments . 2. If a bond is selling at par.Typical Yield Measures There are three sources of return an investor can expect to receive by investing in bonds: 1. The drawback using current yield is that it only considers the coupon interest and nothing else.

Yield to First Call Yield to first call is computed for a callable bond that is not currently callable.5 2.Yield to Refunding Yield to refunding is used when the bonds are currently callable but there are certain restrictions on the source of funds used to buy back the debt when a call . are as follows: Semi-annual interest RatePercent Value 2. of \$100. just double the semi-annual rate. Now that we have found this we must make it into a market convention rate or the bondequivalent yield. In this example. yield to first par call is the same procedure as above. The present values.8%98. Example: Yield to Maturity An example using the above IBM bond the cash flows will consist of 20 payments of \$2. Current Yield and Yield to Maturity • For a bond selling at par: Coupon Rate = Current Yield = Yield to Maturity • For a bond selling at a discount: Coupon Rate < Current Yield < Yield to Maturity • For a bond selling at a premium: Coupon Rate > Current Yield > Yield to Maturity The limitations of the yield to maturity measure are that it assumes that thecoupon rate will be reinvested at an interest rate equal to the YTM. Bond Price. Hence the semi-annual yield to maturity is 2.8% yield to maturity.6%99. with the difference being that the maturity date that will be used instead of the stated maturity date is the first time the issuer can call the bonds at par value. Besides that it does take into considerationthe coupon income and capital gains orloss as well as the timing of the cash flows.5 2. find the interest rate thatmakes the present value of cash flow equal to the market price plus accrued interest. The actual calculation is the same as the Yield to Maturity with the only difference being that instead of using a par value and the stated maturity. using various semi-annual discounts. the analyst will use the call price and the first call date in calculating the yield.5%100 2. twenty six-month periods from now. it would be 5. FXCM -Online Currency Trading Free \$50.50 every six months and a payment. Coupon Rate.through trial and error.Yield to First Par Call Again.9%98.00 When the rate is 2.00.7%99. 5.00 2.9%. To get this yield. This is basically a special type of internal rate of return (IRR). 4.000 Practice Account 3.9% is used the present value of the cash flows is equal to a price of \$98.

one uses the first put date. 8. 8. The cash flows of these securities are interest and principal payments. This measure means little to the potential return. The calculation is the same as YTM.6%. The rate that exists when the prepayments occurs is called the prepayment rate or prepayment speed. What makes this complicated is that the borrowers who make up the mortgage or asset pool can prepay their loans in whole or in part prior to the scheduled principal payment. The yield is the interest rate that will make the present value of the estimated cash flows equal the price plus accrued interest. it is supposed to measures the worst possible return the investor will receive if the bond is called or put.6%. a yield can be calculated.is exercised. The refunding date is the first date the bond can be called using a lower-cost debt. 7.79% Fixed Income Investments .8% then: Cash flow yield = 2*{ 1. 6. It is calculated the same way as YTM but instead of the stated maturity of the bond.Yield to Worst Yield to worst is the yield occurs when one calculates every possible call and put date that has the lowest possible yield.the effective semi-annual yield must be computed from the monthly yield by compounding it for six months. The math here is a little different than in the above examples: Step 1 . For example if you calculate all the call dates and the yield comes out as follows 5. Example: Cash Flow Yield Because cash flows for these securities are usually monthly.Cash Flow Yield Cash flow yield deals with mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities. the cash flows have to be estimated and an assumption must be made as to when these principle prepayments may occur. Because of this. Cash flow yield = 2 * {(1 + monthly yield) to the sixth power-1} Answer: So if the monthly yield is .008) to the sixth power -1} = 2*.Assumptions Underlying Traditional Yield Curve Measures . a bond-equivalent yield must be developed.2% and 7.04897 = 9. Effective semi-annual yield = (1 + monthly yield) to the 6 th power -1 Step 2 .Once this rate is estimated.5%. the yield to worst would be 5.Yield to Put Yield to put is the yield to the first put date.Double the effective semi-annual yield to get the annual cash flow on a bond equivalent basis. 7.6%.

The main underlying assumptions used concerning the traditional yield measures are: 1. 6. Coupons can be reinvested at the yield to maturity Limitations: 1. capital gain/loss. which equals a bond equivalent basis of 6%. Example: Reinvestment Income let's look at an investor that has \$96 to invest in a certificate of deposit (CD) that will mature in five years. 5. reinvestment income is not taken into consideration. the comparison of different yields to call with the YTM are meaningless because the cash flows stop once the issuer calls the bond. 2. Yield to Maturity .Yield to call assumes investor will hold the bond to the assumed call price and that the issuer will call the bond on that date which both are unrealistic.Yield to Worst . The bank will pay 3% every six months. It does not take into consideration the capital gain when a bond is purchased at a discount or the capital loss when the bond is purchased at a premium.Cash Flow Yield . because cash flow yield tend to be used for MBSs or ABSs there is a risk that the bonds will be prepaid and the measure of cash flow yield will be thrown out the window.Yield to Call .Importance of Reinvestment Income and Reinvestment Risk Reinvestment income can make up a large portion of the return for a bond.Current yield only considers the coupon interest and no other sources for an investors return. and reinvestment income). Also. Also. Before beginning with calculations. 2. Fixed Income Investments .Cash flow yield assumes that the coupons will be reinvested at the coupon rate and that the bond will be held to maturity.This measure does not identify the potential return over some time horizon and fails to take into account that the calculation for a YTW has different exposures to reinvestment risk. 4. which is equal to the dollars the investor will realize from the three sources of income for a bond (coupon payment.This assumes that coupon payments will be reinvested at the calculated yield and that the bonds will be put on the first date. it is important to understand the difference between total future dollars.Current yield.The bond will be held to maturity.Yield to maturity measures assume that the coupon payments will be reinvested at the coupon rate 3.Yield to Put . The total future value of this investment today . which is equal to all the dollars an investor expects to receive and the total dollar return. However.

03) to the tenth power = \$129. reinvestment income accounts for 12% of the total return.50 for ten periods or \$25.03) to 10 -1 power . That equals \$29 without the reinvestment of the coupon payments. illustrating how important reinvestment income can be for an investor. the more the bond's total return depends on reinvestment revenue to realize the yield to maturity at purchase time. This must occur in order to produce the yield to maturity at the time of purchase.02 can be generated if the coupon payments are invested at a 3% semi-annual rate at the time it is paid. This \$4. Longer maturity = greater reinvestment risk. To continue this with the three sources of income would produce the following: Capital Gain of \$4 Coupon Interest of \$25 Reinvestment Income or \$4. If you were to continue this effort.For a given yield to maturity and a given non-zero coupon rate. For a given coupon-paying bond with a given maturity and yield to maturity.02 Now let's turn to a bond that has a price of \$96.50 = \$0.02.02 Return of Principle =96.02.would be: Answer: 96 * (1. Therefore. 2.02 when compared to the CD example above. Factors That Affect Reinvestment Risk There are two characteristics that affect reinvestment risk: 1.02 to provide a yield of 6% or the total dollar return must be \$33. you would find the reinvestment income would equal \$4. the sources of return are a capital gain of: \$4 (\$100 .02 The total would be \$33. the more the total dollar return depends on the reinvestment of the coupon payments.76.02 So the investment of \$96 for five years at 6% on a BEY will generate \$129. this leads to a shortfall of \$4.50(1.02. which is unlikely to be required on the exam. the higher the coupon rate.2.00 Total interest= 33.\$96) and coupon interest of \$2. For the first payment the reinvestment income earned is: \$2. As shown above an investor must generate \$129. So with this bond.02 To further break it down: Total Future Dollars = 129. As we can see. . five-year maturity and with a coupon of 5% and YTM of 6%. the longer the maturity.

5 power .078461 = 7.5 power .16% Look . such as with non-U.0816 = 8. government bonds which pay annual interest compared to semi-annual interest in the U.12 Yield on annual-pay basis = [(1 + yield on bond-equivalent basis/2) 2-1 Example: The yield of a U. Example: Now if you want to convert the bond equivalent yield of a U.S.04) to the 2nd power . The computation is as follows: Formula 14.08) to the .S.1] = .Fixed Income Investments .1] = 2 [.S.S.03923] = . bond quoted on a bond-equivalent basis of 8%: Answer: Yield on annual-pay basis = [(1 + 8/2 to the 2 nd power) -1] = [(1. Answer: Bond-equivalent yield = 2 [(1 + . an adjustment needs to be made in order to compare their yields.95% Look Out! The bond equivalent yield will always be less than the annualyield. bond into an annual-pay bond the calculations are as follows: Formula 14.1] Example: Assume that the YTM on an annual-pay bond is 8%..11 Bond-equivalent yield of an annual-pay bond = 2[(1 + yield on annual-pay bond) to the .Spot Rates and Bond Valuation On some occasions.

Out! The yield on an annual-pay basis is always greater than the yield on a bond-equivalent basis.055) to the third power.06 * \$100 * .5 year = .25% for 1 year and 5.18 (1 + x3) to the third power = 103 /94.06 * \$100 * .00 1. We have a six month annualized yield of 4% and similarly of the 1 year Treasury Security the rate is 4.18 Limitations of the Nominal Spread As we discussed earlier. Answer: Bond price = 40/ (1.02 + 3 / (1.5 = 3. For our example let's use a coupon of 6% with them selling at par.27 This can be applied to any maturity.05) + 40 / (1. all you need to do is to continue theformula out to that maturity to discover the price of the bond. then the nominal spread is 125 basis points.0525) to the second power + 1040 / (1.25% and the comparable Treasury is at 5%.06 * \$100 * . Example: Computing the Value of a Bond Using Spot Rates Suppose you have a bond that matures in 1. This is because of compounding.09 + 36.5 year = . This . Example: Compute the Theoretical Treasury Spot Rate Curve Using Bootstrapping Again let's look at an example to get through this LOS.5 = 3. if an IBM is trading at a YTM or 6.5 year theoretical spot rate of a zero coupon bond.5 years that has a coupon rate of 8% and the spot curve is 5% for six months. Answer: First let's get the cash flows: 0. 5.02) to the second power + 103 / (1 +x3) to the third power = 100 2.94+ 2.00/ 1.06 Bond Price = 1005.88 + 103 / (1 + X3 ) to the third power =100 103/ (1 +x3) to the third power = 94.00 1. For example.5= 3. Given these two rates we can compute the 1. a nominal spread is the spread between a non-treasury bond's yield and the yield to maturity on the comparable Treasury security in terms of maturity.00 +100(par value) = 103 On to the next step: 3.12 + 931.40%.50% for 1. Bond Price = 38.0 year = .5 years.

0275= z2 F = ( 1.030 or . The investor could also buy a six-month Treasury bill and reinvest the proceeds every six months for two years.05575 Once you have developed the future rate curve. The proceeds will equal: X (1 + z6)6.03) = 1.055 = 0.025) -1 F = .025 = z1 1-year spot rate is 0. If he bought the six-month bill and reinvested the proceeds for another six months the dollar return would be calculated like this: X(1 +z1) (1 + F) For the one year investment the future dollars would be x(1 +z) 2 So F = (1 + z2)2/ (1 + z1) .1 Then double F to get the BEY.02575)2 = 1.05575 X(1. Fixed Income Investments .Forward Rates vs Spot Rates Let's say an investor buys a two-year zero-coupon bond. In this case.0275)2/ (1. the value would be: X (1 + z1)(1+ future rate at time 1)(1 + future rate at time 2)(1+ future rate at time 3) (1 + future rate at time 4) Because these two investments must be equal this tells us that: X (1 + z6)6 = X (1 + z1)(1+ future rate at time 1)(1 + future rate at time 2)(1+ future rate at time 3) So Z6 = [(1 + z1)(1+ future rate at time 1)(1 + future rate at time 2)(1+ future rate at time 3)]¼ . Here are some numbers to try in this formula: Six-month spot rate is 0.from now.1 This equation states that the two-year spot rate depends on the current sixmonth rate and the following three six-month spot rates. you can continue to run and gun in the basic bond equation using the forward rates instead of the discount rate to value the bond.06 or 6% BEY To confirm this: X(1.025)(1.05 = 0. .

02125 Answer: So 3f5 =[(1.0175)5]1/3 -1 S3f5 = . Using spot rates. Each bond is . a 2 f 8 would be the 1-year (two six-month periods) forward rate beginning four years (eight six-month periods) from now. short-term forward rates must equal spot rates or else an arbitrage opportunity can exist in the market place. This rate change can be parallel or non-parallel.25%/2 = . To solve for tFm use the following equation: Formula 15. an investor may evaluate the portfolio based on an increase in rates of 50. and Forward Rates if Given Spot Rates Computing a forward rate by using spot rates is covered above.5 year spot rate) = 3.13 tFm =[ (1 + Zm+t)m+t / (1 + Zm)m] 1/t -1 So for a 3f5 it would equal an equation of: [(1 + z 8)8/ (1 + z5)5]1/3 -1 Example: Z3(the 1.For example.58% Fixed Income Investments .027916 Doubling this rate gives you a rate of 5.As we can see. It is also referred to as a scenario analysis because it involves the way in which your exposure will change as a result of certain interest rate scenarios.5%/2 = . There are two elements to the forward rate.Measuring Interest Rate Risk The Full Valuation Approach The full valuation approach to measuring the interest rate risk is to re-value the bond or portfolio for a given interest-rate change scenario. The first is when the future rate begins.02125)/ (1. 100 and 200 basis points. Compute Spot Rates if Given Forward Rates. The notation is length of time of the forward rate f when the forward rate began. The second is the length of time for that rate. an investor can develop any forward rate.0175 Z5 (the 2.5 year spot rate) = 4. For example.

. 2. the percentage price change is not the same for an increase in yield as it is for a decrease in yield 4. You can use this for any type of scenario concerning a change in yields.125 / 125 = -. 3. as compared to a one time move for the duration/convexity approach. There are four properties concerning the price volatility of an option free bond: 1.valued and then the total value of the portfolio is computed under the various scenarios. the percentage price increase is greater than the percentage price decrease. the duration/convexity approach just looks at one time parallel move in interest rates using the properties of price volatility.04 = a 4 % decrease in the price of the bond due to a 50 bps change Scenario 2 is an increase of 100 bps that drives the price down to 114. it is convex.125 / 125 = .8% decrease in price due to a 100 bps change. it bears that the full valuation approach is better suited to measuring interest-rate risk even though it can be very time consuming. For small changes in yields. Example: Compute the Interest-Rate Risk Exposure Let's take an option-free bond with an 8% coupon. Fixed Income Investments . This relationship is not linear. Price moves in the opposite direction of a change in yields.Price Volatility Price Volatility for Option-free Bonds The fundamental change in price is that which causes yields to increase as price decreases and vice versa.088 = an 8. For large changes in yields. To see the percentage change you take the new price after the yield change and subtract it from the initial price after the change divided by the initial price. 120 . but the percentage change is not the same for all bonds. the percentage change is roughly the same no matter what direction rates move. however. ten-year bond with a price of 125. . 114 . For a given large change in yield. The Duration/Convexity Approach In contrast. Yield to maturity is 7% Answer: Scenario 1 is an increase of 50bps that drives the price down to 120 (this is just an estimate). Because the full valuation approach uses various outcomes to measure the risk of the bond or portfolio.

To compute duration. the puttable bond's price will decrease at the same rate as an option-free bond. When rates decline. for example. These bonds contain negative convexity. for a bond that could be called at \$101 as rates drop? In essence. option-free bonds will continue to see an increase in price as rates fall. the investor can exercise the put option and stem his losses to the put price. the price increase of a callable bond will be held to that call price because of the increased chance of the bonds being called by the issuer. Modified. on the other hand. Price Volatility Characteristics of Putable Bonds A bondholder can redeem puttable bonds on certain dates and at certain prices. the price increase when rates decline will be greater than the price decrease when rates rise. at higher rates they will exhibit positive convexity just like an option-free bond. The bonds will not always exhibit negative convexity. Fixed Income Investments . Value of puttable bond = value of option free bond + the option. Would you pay \$105. you give \$4 dollars away. you can apply the following equation that . the price appreciation is less than its price decline when rates change by a large amount. Positive Convexity Positive convexity is what market participants refer to the yield/price relationship of option free bonds. Meanwhile. The price of a puttable bond will react same way as an option-free bond at low yield levels. Price-Volatility Characteristics of Callable and Prepayable Securities The price of a callable bond will react in the same way as an option-free bond when market rates are high. The advantage of these bonds to an investor is that if market yields rise and the value of the bond falls below the put price. This can not be done with an optionfree bond. Property four states that with a long a bond.Although the above properties apply to percentage change they still apply to dollar changes. It is for this same reason that bonds are unlikely to be called by issuer when the rates are low.Effective. and Macaulay Duration Effective Duration Duration is the approximate percentage change in price for a 100 basis point change in rates. Properties three and four involve the convex shape of the price yield relationship. This is because there is less of a chance of the bonds being called by the issuer because they probably will not be able to refinance the bonds at a lower interest rate. That is. As rates rise. but the decline will be lessened because of the value of the put option.

943% And for a large change.104 / 2 *(106) * (. (+0. Price if yield decline . Formula 14.717 This means that for a 100 basis point change. The new price for the increase in 50 bps would be 104 and the new price for a decrease in rates would be 109. Let's change rates by 50 bps. Percentage Price Change = .5%. Then: Answer: Duration = 109 .price if yield rise / 2(initial price)(change in yield in decimal) Let's make: ?y = change in yield in decimal (? = "delta") V1 = initial price V2 = price if yields decline by ? y V3 = price if yields increase by ? y Duration = V2 . let's see the approximate change for a small movement in rates such as a 20 bps increase.was presented earlier in the guide.V3 / 2(V1)(? y) Example: Stone & Co 9% of 10 are option free and selling at 106 to yield 8.4.79% .717% Price Change Given the Effective Duration and Change in Yield Once you have computed the effective duration of a bond it is easy to find the approximate price change given at change in yield.0020) * 100 = -.06 Duration = 4.717 * (+0.717. the approximate change would be 4.duration * change in yield * 100 Example: Using the duration for 4.13 Approximate Percent Price change = .717% obtained from the previous example. a 250 bps increase: Percentage Price Change = -4.005) Duration = 5 / 1.0250) * 100 = -11.

As noted before. 12 for monthly and so on. the estimate will be close but will underestimate the new price of the bond regardless of whether the movement in rates is up or down. The bracket part of the equation was developed by Frederick Macaulay in 1938 and is referred to as Macaulay Duration. assuming that the bond's expected cash flow does not change when the yield changes... . When is Effective Duration a Better Measure? When a bond has an embedded option. Macaulay Duration In order to better understand Macaulay duration. let's first turn to the modified duration equation: Formula 14. these changes are estimates. so are Macaulay durations.14 modified duration= 1/(1+yield/k)[1 * pvcf1 + 2*pvcf2 +. the estimate will be almost dead on. For small changes in rates. For larger movements in rates. But because modified duration is flawed by not incorporating the change in cash flows due to an embedded option. It takes into account both the discounting that occurs at different interest rates as well as changes in cash flows. n= the number of periods to maturity yield=YTM of the bond pvcf= the present value of cash flows discounted at the yield to maturity. the cash flows can change when interest rates change because of prepayments and the exercise of calls and puts.+n *pvcfn / k *Price Where: k= the number of periods: two for semi-annual. So Modified duration = Macaulay's Duration/ (1 + yield/k) Macaulay's duration gives the analysis a short cut to measure modified duration. This is a more appropriate measure for any bond with an option embedded in it. This works for option-free bonds such as Treasuries but not with option-embedded bonds because the cash flows may change due to a call or prepayment. Modified Duration Modified duration is the approximate percentage change in a bond's price for a 100 basis points change in yield. Effective Duration Effective duration takes into account the way in which changes in yield will affect the expected cash flows.

000.400.935.000 market value of Yankee Corp.000 = .000 = .15 Portfolio Duration = w1D1 + w2D2 . .548 Zack Stores weighted average is 3.000 / 10935.311 Yankee Corp. it is a quick way to calculate the change in a bond's value.Effective duration takes into consideration the changes in cash flows and values that can occur from these embedded options.535. weighted average is 1. Once you understand duration.000 = . you can tell a client that the duration of measure of 7 for their portfolio would equal roughly a 7% change in their portfolio's value if rates change.535.5) + .8) + .935.400.119%.000 market value of Stone & Co 7% of 10 with duration of 5.. Formula 14.+ wkDk Example: Let's take 3 bonds: \$6. duration gives an approximate percentage change for a 100 basis point change in rates.000 / 10. weighted average is 6. Why is duration the best interpretation of a measure of the sensitivity of a bond or portfolio to changing interest rates? As expressed throughout this guide.000 market value of Zack Stores 5% or 15 with duration of 7. plus or minus 100 basis points.000.935. It also allows a manager or investor a way to compare bonds regarding the interest rate risk under certain assumptions.5 \$3.311(7. 9% or 20 with duration of 12 Total market valve of \$10.000 / 10.548(5.8 \$1. For example. The weight is proportional to how much of the portfolio consists of a certain bond.14 So the portfolio duration = . A portfolio's duration is equal to the weighted average of the durations of the bonds in the portfolio. It also allows an investor to get a "feel" for the price change.14 (12) = 7..000 Answer: First let's find the weighted average of each bond Stone & Co. Keep in mind that the individual bonds will not change by this much because each will have their own duration.119 This means that if rates change by 100 bps the portfolio's value will change by approximately by 7.

17 .600 Yankee Corp = -12 * .Convexity Convexity helps to approximate the change in price that is not explained by duration.5 * .005 * 3.You can also use this to figure out the dollar amount of the change. the duration measure can be way off because of the convex nature of the yield curve. If you go back to the third property of a bond's price volatility you will see that when there is a large change in rates.2(V1) / 2V1(change in yield) squared Estimate a Bond's Price Given Duration.000 Zack Stores = -7. To calculate convexity the formula is: Formula 14.535. This is done by using the dollar duration equation and adding up the change for all of the bonds in the portfolio.8 * . Convexity and Change in Yield This is done by simply adding the convexity adjustment and the percentage price change due to duration equations to achieve an estimate that is closer than just a duration measure. Going back to our example of those three bonds and a 50 bps yield change. Formula 14.005 * 1.16 Convexity adjustment to the percentage price change= C* change in yield squared * 100 To find the C in the equation.000.000 = 165. or there must be a parallel shift in the yield curve for the duration measure to be useful.100 So the dollar change for a 50 bp change would be equal to approximately \$389.700 Limitations of the Portfolio Duration Measure The primary limitation of this measure is that each of the bonds in the portfolio must change by the 100 or 50bps. use this equation that has the same notation as duration: C = V3 +V2 .000 = 132. Fixed Income Investments .005 * 6. Percentage price change = -duration * change in yield * market value Stone & Co = -5.000 = 92.400.

25 + 2.34 So if rates decrease by 150 bps.34 % Again. Answer: Price Increase Total Price Change = (-5. assumes that cash flow does change due to a change in interest rates.Price Value of a Basis Point (PVBP) . the effective convexity could be negative even if the modified convexity is positive.157 So if rates increase by 150 bps. whereas when it comes to bonds with options.5 * -.0150* 100) + (93 * -.0925 = 6. if you refer to the properties of price volatility.157% Now let's look at a decrease of 150 bps in yield. let's add a convexity of 93 and an increase of 150 bps in yield. For option-free bonds.25 + 2. Answer: Price Decrease Total Price Change = (-5.0150 squared * 100) = 8. Effective Convexity. either convexity measure will be a positive value. Fixed Income Investments . on the other hand.5 * . the price will decrease by 6.5.0150 squared * 100) = -8. the price increase will be greater than the decrease in price when rates rise. it is best to use effective convexity just like you should use effective duration. Modified Convexity vs.0925 = 10. bonds that had duration of 5. the price will increase by 10. you can see that as rates decrease. When bonds have options.Total Price change = (-duration * change in yield * 100) + (C * change in yield squared * 100) Example: Total Price Change Using the Stone & Co. Effective Convexity With modified convexity the cash flows do not change due to a change in interest rates.0150 * 100) + (93 * .

. Instead of using a 100 basis point change you are simply using a 1 basis point change. It is another way to measure interest-rate risk. We also recommend attempting several different practice exams on Fixed Income with Investopedia's CFA Level 1 Quizzer. because such a small move in rates will be about the same in either direction according to the second property of a bond's price . Formula 14.055% change If the price was 98 the dollar price change would be: .0001 * 100 = .price if yield is changed by 1 basis point Example: Price Value of a Basis Point Assume that the initial price is 98 and the new price is 97. It does not matter if it is an increase or decrease in rates.Because of a 1 bps increase in rates the PVBP would be . It is just a special case of dollar duration. DV01 is related to duration.97.055% * 98 = \$ 0.This measure is the absolute value of the change in price of a bond for a one basis point change in yield.5 5. bonds with duration of 5.18 PVBP = initial price.25 (98 .5 * 0.53 Conclusion Congratulations! You just finished a section on one of the more complicated topics on your upcoming exam. An example using the Stone & Co.75).75. This is also know as Dollar Value of an 01 (DV01). Ensure you practice all examples presented in this section.