Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
CAFETERIA
2012
ndice
1. Descripcin de la empresa, nombre del proyecto y objetivos.
a. Naturaleza de la empresa.
b. Antecedentes de la empresa.
c. Experiencia del emprendedor.
d. La idea.
e. Por qu?
f. Misin.
g. Visin.
h. Objetivos.
i. Planes de la empresa (Pronsticos).
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
6
7
8
8
9
9
10
11
11
12
12
13
13
14
14
15
15
16
4. Estrategia de Mercadotecnia.
a. Mercadotecnia.
Anlisis FODA
b. Poltica de producto y/o Servicio y Atencin a cliente.
c. Poltica de precios, de promociones y descuentos.
d. Poltica de post-venta y seguimiento a clientes.
5. Plan de ventas.
a. Estrategia de ventas.
b. Polticas de crdito y cobranza.
18
18
19
20
21
21
22
22
23
2012
6. Plan de operaciones del proyecto.
a. Proceso de produccin del producto.
b. Distribucin del negocio.
c. Logstica de suministro de insumos.
d. Aseguramiento de la calidad de los insumos.
e. Adquisicin de insumos, almacenamiento y distribucin de los productos
terminados.
f. Compras a crdito.
24
24
25
25
26
26
26
7. Recursos humanos
a. Organizacin funcional.
b. Polticas y reglas sobre recursos humanos.
c. Condiciones de trabajo y remunerativas.
d. Plan de recursos humanos.
27
27
28
29
30
8. Aspectos legales
a. La sociedad.
b. Licencias y derechos.
c. Obligaciones legales.
d. Permisos y limitaciones.
32
32
32
32
32
9. Planes de lanzamiento.
33
34
34
38
83
Conclusiones.
a. Puntos dbiles
b. Puntos fuertes
c. Amenazas
d. Oportunidades
e. Riesgos
f. Seguridad
g. Impactos
92
92
92
92
92
92
93
93
2012
1. Descripcio n de la empresa, nombre del proyecto y objetivos:
a. Naturaleza de la Empresa.
b. Antecedentes de la Empresa.
Es una cafetera que ofrece un concepto innovador, el emprendedor decide poner una
cafetera dentro de la zona de Teotihuacn, por que se da cuenta que no hay espacios
donde la gente puede ir a tomar un caf y pasar un rato agradable, adems de ver la
afluencia poblacional en la comunidad, es por ello que decide implementar su cafetera
como un concepto nuevo e innovador.
2012
d. La idea.
En base a lo anterior decidimos crear una empresa con las siguientes caractersticas:
e. Por qu?
f. Misin.
para los
g. Visin.
2012
Valores:
Al ser nuestra una empresa que busca cumplir sus objetivos y ser reconocida por la
calidad de sus productos, necesitamos adoptar los valores necesarios que nos
ayudaran a cumplir este fin. Nuestros valores son:
h. Objetivos
Cualitativos
Cuantitativos
2012
i. Planes de la Empresa (Pronsticos).
Corto plazo
Mediano plazo
Largo plazo
2012
2. Descripcio n del Entorno
a. Principales tendencias macroeconmicas y financieras que repercuten en el
negocio.
Actualmente en el pas existen unas 40,000 cafeteras que atraviesan retos para
aumentar el consumo per cpita
Para que el consumo en las cafeteras vaya en aumento se tiene que hacer una
mayor difusin de las virtudes del caf, de su variedad y de la calidad que
actualmente existe.
Variacin % Incidencia 1/
Mensual
Mensual
Variacin % Incidencia 1/
Mensual
Mensual
29.66
0.063
Aves
-9.75
-0.054
Combustleo
3.67
0.035
-4.06
-0.035
Gas natural
5.91
0.024
-6.57
-0.027
Turbosina
6.42
0.023
Azcar
-7.51
-0.027
Universidad
1.36
0.020
-1.62
-0.018
Preparatoria
2.12
0.019
Agencias de viajes
-8.57
-0.016
Plata
2.46
0.019
Computadoras y accesorios
-1.66
-0.015
Gasolina
0.93
0.013
Automviles
-0.67
-0.013
Harinas de trigo
5.72
0.011
Caf
-10.16
-0.012
1.43
0.011
Lmina de acero
-3.80
-0.012
Ganado bovino
2.05
0.010
Otros petrolferos
-2.49
-0.012
Refrescos envasados
1.36
0.010
-10.40
-0.009
Contadores
0.69
0.009
Jitomate
-7.72
-0.008
Naranja
17.01
0.009
Telefona celular
-0.85
-0.007
Diesel
0.93
0.008
Otros petroqumicos
-0.74
-0.006
2012
b. Variables que inciden en el desarrollo del negocio.
Sociales y culturales.
http://www.guiadelcafe.com/cafe-y-sociedad/
2012
Polticas.
La regulacin cafetalera mundial est comprendida en el marco de las concertaciones
internacionales sobre el movimiento de productos agrcolas entre pases, de tal manera
que estos convenios dependen de la situacin poltica y econmica mundial, tanto
estructural como coyuntural de las naciones. En el caso cafetalero, la normatividad
internacional emana de la Organizacin Internacional del Caf (OIC), instancia que
forma parte de la Organizacin de las Naciones Unidas y se concentra en los
Convenios Internacionales del Caf.
La OIC se cre despus de un proceso de organizacin fomentado principalmente por
los pases productores del grano en 1962, y tiene su sede en Londres. Sus principales
objetivos eran equilibrar la oferta y la demanda del aromtico, reducir en lo posible los
excedentes del grano, fomentar el consumo del caf, realizar investigaciones, regular la
oferta por medio del establecimiento de Convenios Internacionales del Caf (CIC) as
como administrar y vigilar el cumplimiento de dichos instrumentos, que eran el medio
para establecer un equilibrio razonable entre la oferta y la demanda del aromtico.
El objetivo principal para el que se cre este mecanismo era asegurar a los
consumidores un adecuado abastecimiento de caf a precios equitativos, as como
otorgar precios competitivos a los productores, propiciando un equilibrio a largo plazo
entre la produccin y el consumo. 2
http://vinculando.org/comerciojusto/cafe_mexico/factores_internacionales.html
10
2012
Econmicas.
El consumo de caf en Mxico es bajo (1.3 kilos per cpita al ao), comparado con lo
que se bebe en otros pases (hasta 15 kilos en naciones nrdicas); sin embargo, en la
primera dcada del siglo XXI nuestro gusto por el aromtico ha subido como el humo,
duplicando la cifra.La apertura de nuevas cafeteras es otra muestra del incremento de
consumo de caf en el pas.3
La cosecha cafetalera 2011-2012 dej ms 400 millones de dlares en las
exportaciones y con ella ms de 300 mil trabajadores, entre hombres y mujeres.En este
ciclo de cosecha del caf se logr la produccin de dos millones 280 mil quintales.
Respecto a la cosecha 2010-2011 y la actual, se aument la produccin en ms de un
milln de quintales.
Para el prximo ciclo se prev una produccin de dos millones de quintales de caf,
tomando en cuenta la demanda del mercado internacional.4
Tecnolgicas.
El negocio del caf, especficamente la operacin de una cafetera, tiene un fuerte
potencial de crecimiento en Mxico. En los ltimos 10 aos, el pas ha duplicado el
consumo per cpita de caf, apoyado por la expansin de establecimientos bajo el
modelo de franquicias, tales como Starbucks, Italian Coffee y Caf Punta del Cielo.
Sin embargo, segn los expertos, debido a la enorme competencia existente en este
mercado para obtener el xito deseado en este negocio es necesario ofrecer nuevas
opciones y valor agregado. Como en muchas actividades, la innovacin es la clave para
brillar.5
http://www.expreso.com.mx/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=9531&catid=17&Itemid=71
http://www.lavozdelsandinismo.com/nicaragua/2012-09-26/cosecha-cafetalera-2011-2012-ingreso-mas-400millones-de-dolares-por-exportaciones/
5
http://www.100ideasparaemprender.com/home/2010/04/cafeterias-de-pelicula/
4
11
2012
Ambientales.
El cafeto se desarrolla mejor en zonas clidas y semi-clidas con precipitaciones
promedio de 1,500 mm. Anuales. No obstante, dichas zonas se encuentran
frecuentemente expuestas a fenmenos climticos adversos, y ejemplo de lo anterior
son los incendios y huracanes que han afectado a pases de Centroamrica, las
excesivas lluvias que provocaron inundaciones en Asia, etctera. Como es de
esperarse, estos fenmenos han mermado y en ciertos casos destruido mltiples
plantaciones, entre las que se encuentran algunas cafetaleras.
Por otra parte debemos mencionar que Brasil es uno de los pocos pases que por s
solo puede influir en los precios internacionales del grano, pues es el primer productor
mundial del aromtico con aproximadamente 35 millones de sacos anuales, es decir
30% del caf arbico y 18% del caf robusta. Sin embrago, esta nacin es afectada
peridicamente por sequas y heladas en gran parte de sus cafetales, como sucedi en
1994, lo cual repercuti fuertemente en los precios internacionales del caf durante ese
ao.6
http://vinculando.org/comerciojusto/cafe_mexico/factores_internacionales.html.
12
2012
3. Analisis del Producto y su Mercado.
a. Producto: Visin General.
Nuestro servicio esta enfocado en atender las necesidades de nuestros clientes,
ofreciendo bebidas y alimentos de calidad, para que el cliente tenga la certeza de
consumir sin ninguna preocupacin.
Productos:
Caf
Sndwich
Malteadas
Postres
Baguete
Panques
13
2012
Logotipo y Slogan.
Logotipo:
Slogan
Sabor y calidad en tus encuentros
b.
Fortalezas y Ventajas.
Fortalezas
Ventajas
14
2012
c. El cliente.
Los clientes de Caf-tal, sern todas aquellas personas de la comunidad de San Isidro
del progreso y del Valle de Teotihuacn que demanden de nuestro servicio.
d. El Mercado Potencial.
Perfil demogrfico: hombres y mujeres mayores de 20 aos, sin importar estado civil.
Perfil geogrfico: habitantes del Valle de Teotihuacn.
Perfil socioeconmico: personas con ingresos de clase media/baja, media/alta, sin
importar la ocupacin que estas tengan.
Personalidad: personas que gustan del caf y de disfrutar un rato agradable.
Clientes reales.
Los clientes reales son todas las personas de San Isidro del Progreso y San Juan
Teotihuacn, que demandan de nuestros productos y servicios.
Clientes potenciales.
Los clientes potenciales son las personas de los municipios aledaos al Valle de
Teotihuacn, que soliciten nuestro servicio y quieran disfrutar de un lugar agradable en
un futuro cercano.
15
2012
Mercado actual: la empresa est enfocada a ofrecer sus productos y servicios a la
comunidad de San Isidro del Progreso, San Juan Teotihuacn, ya que es el municipio
donde se ubica caf-tal.
A mediano plazo se tendr la capacidad para trabajar con clientes de los municipios
aledaos.
A largo plazo la empresa contar con clientes en otros municipios del Estado de
Mxico.
e. Competitividad.
Competencia directa.
COMPETENCIA DIRECTA
Nombre
Caf del Da
Fortalezas
Debilidades
Ubicacin.
Calidad.
Atencin al cliente.
Precios.
Horario.
Variedad de productos.
16
2012
Competencia indirecta
COMPETENCIA INDIRECTA
Nombre
Fortalezas
Debilidades
Calidad.
Don Mincho
Experiencia.
Ubicacin.
Precios elevados
Instalaciones.
Antares
Experiencia.
Ubicacin.
El cafetal
Innovador.
Instalaciones.
Ubicacin.
Atencin al cliente.
Precios elevados.
Stock de productos.
Atencin al cliente.
Poca variedad de productos.
4. Estrategia de Mercadotecnia
a. Mercadotecnia
En este tiempo se har una campaa de promocin dentro de la regin para dar
a conocer a la empresa y el servicio que ofrece que ofrece.
17
2012
Planeacin tctica a mediano plazo.
Consultora empresarial.
Anlisis FODA:
Fortalezas
Debilidades
Falta de capital.
Adecuadas Instalaciones.
El negocio es nuevo.
Excelente
Depreciacin
comunicacin
entre
personal y clientes.
de
equipo
mobiliario.
Honestidad laboral.
.
Amenazas
Oportunidades
Apoyo gubernamental.
Entrada
Acudir
de
nuevos
competidores
directos e indirectos.
un
servicio
de
consultora empresarial.
Implementacin
de
nuevas
tecnologas.
Crisis econmica
18
2012
Estrategias FODA:
Se tendrn cartas de men para los comensales y les sea mas fcil la toma de decisin
al momento de hacer su pedido.
Atencin al cliente.
Garantas.
19
2012
c. Poltica de precios, de promociones y descuentos.
Poltica de precios.
En caso de que existiera inconformidad del cliente con el servicio, la empresa buscar
una solucin de tal manera que el cliente se vaya satisfecho.
20
2012
5. Plan de ventas
a. Estrategia de Ventas.
Canal de distribucin:
Estimaciones de venta:
Unidades
38,040
41,083
43,137
46,588
48,918
Monto
$456,240
$527,231
$581,272
$671,718
$740,569
Proyeccin de ventas.
21
2012
b. Polticas de crdito y cobranza.
22
2012
6. Plan de operaciones del proyecto
a. Proceso de produccin del producto.
Bienvenida
Entrega de
orden
Entrega de la
cuenta
Dar alguna
sugerencia del
menu.
Preparacion
de Alimentos
Se efectua el
pago
Toma de orden
Solicitud de
orden al
cocinero
Se despide al
cliente
23
2012
b. Distribucin del negocio.
Proveedor
Condiciones de
% de compra
pago
Caf Veracruzano
Contado
40%
Bimbo
Contado
10%
Coca-Cola
Contado
10%
Lala y Fud
Contado
20%
Central de Abastos
Contado
20%
24
2012
c. Aseguramiento de la calidad de los insumos.
La empresa se ocupa de verificar que la materia prima y mercanca sea de alta calidad
se evalan las caractersticas de cada producto y se identifica a las empresas que
abastecen los mejores productos, para convertirlos en proveedores. Porque de esto
depender la calidad de nuestro servicio, y el tiempo de vida de la empresa.
Los proveedores hacen llegar la materia prima hasta las instalaciones, y se procede a
almacenarlo en el lugar destinado para cada uno, hasta su utilizacin.
f. Compras a crdito.
Se pretende solicitar crdito a los proveedores a largo plazo conforme el desarrollo que
vaya teniendo la empresa.
25
2012
7. Recursos humanos
a. Organizacin funcional
Gerente
Cocinero
Mesero
cajera
Funciones.
Gerente
Encargado del rea administrativa, as como cortes de caja, realizar las compras,
supervisin en cocina y comedor, realizara la contratacin del personal, pago de
nomina y capacitacin del mismo.
Cocinero
Elaborar los platillos de la carta y hacer lista de faltantes del almacn, realizar la
limpieza del rea de cocina y cumplir con los reglamentos de higiene de su rea.
26
2012
Mesero
Encargado de recibir y atender a los clientes, de dar un buen trato y entregar la cuenta,
se encargara de la limpieza y orden del rea de comedor.
Cajera
Responsable en cobro de cuentas, pagar a proveedores en caso de no estar la gerente,
encargada del personal y supervisin.
Se establecieron las siguientes reglas y polticas con el fin de lograr los objetivos
establecidos por la empresa, adems de mantener la seguridad y orden entre el
personal.
Polticas
Honestidad.
27
2012
Reglas
Remunerativas:
Puesto
Sueldo mensual
Gerente
$3,500.00
Cocinero
$2,500.00
Mesero
$2,000.00
Cajera
$2,000.00
Condiciones de trabajo:
28
2012
d. Plan de recursos humanos.
Seleccin de personal
Requisitos que debe tener el personal a ocupar para las distintas reas de la empresa:
COCINERO:
Sexo: femenino
Edad: de 25 a 40 aos
Trabajadora, Proactiva
Responsable
Sociable
MESERO:
Sexo: Indistinto
Edad: de 25 a 35 aos
Trabajador, Proactivo
Sociable con actitud de servicio, responsable y atencin al cliente
CAJERA:
Sexo: femenino
Edad: de 25 a 35 aos
Organizada
Amplia habilidad numrica
Honesta proactiva
Habilidad en resolucin de problemas
Experiencia mnima de 1 ao.
29
2012
Formacin del personal.
30
2012
8. Aspectos legales
a. La sociedad.
b. Licencias y derechos.
c. Obligaciones legales.
d. Permisos y limitaciones.
31
2012
9. Planes de lanzamiento.
Se dar a conocer la empresa y el servicio que ofrece distribuyendo volantes
publicitarios y tarjetas de presentacin en la regin del Valle de Teotihuacn.
Presupuesto:
Tipo de publicidad
Costo
$500.00
Millar de tarjetas
$300.00
Total
$800.00
32
2012
10. Plan Financiero y evaluacio n del proyecto
Presupuestos de operacin.
Inversin inicial.
Se inici el negocio con una inversin total de $200, 000.00, $30,000.00 en terreno, $
100,000.00 en edificio, $20,000.00 en la compra de mobiliario y equipo y $50.000.00
para maquinaria y equipo.
INTEGRACIN DE LA INVERSIN INICIAL
ACTIVO
Inverisones adicionales
Inversin inicial
(primer mes)
Concepto
Terreno
30,000
Edificio
100,000
Equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
20,000
Maquinaria y equipo
50,000
Equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
200,000
$200,000
$59,616
Fuentes
1. Capital propio
2. Capital externo (Invers. Adicionales)
$259,616
Porcentaje
80%
0%
Estructura de capital
4. Credito Banc. L/P
20%
Monto
$207,693
2. Capital externo
(Invers. Adicionales)
0%
1. Capital propio
80%
$0
0%
$0
20%
$51,923
100%
$259,616
33
2012
Capital de trabajo.
$59,616
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
Efectivo para arranque e imprevistos
Equivalente a costos fijos y variables, gastos de venta y administracin
*Constante
Ventas
a crdito
Ventas
de contado
Total
de ventas
0%
100%
100%
Inventarios:
Inventario requerido para el siguiente periodo
20%
de las ventas.
'*Constante
*Constante
Compras
Ventas
Total
a crdito
de contado
de compras
0%
100%
100%
Escenario inercial.
primer mes
mes.
Zona 1
Producto
Producto 1
Producto 2
Producto 3
Producto 4
Producto 5
Producto 6
Producto 7
Producto 8
Producto 9
Producto 10
Zona 1
Caf
620
Cuernos
240
Sincronizadas
320
Sopa Maruchan
410
Sandwich
170
Orden de Burritos
150
Coctel de Frutas
250
Jugos
250
Postres
280
240
Producto
Producto 1
Producto 2
Producto 3
Producto 4
Producto 5
Producto 6
Producto 7
Producto 8
Producto 9
Descripcin
Caf
Cuernos
Sincronizadas
Sopa Maruchan
Sandwich
Orden de Burritos
Coctel de Frutas
Jugos
Postres
T
1
$
8.00
15.00
14.00
10.00
13.00
20.00
15.00
12.00
15.00
7.00
34
2012
Escenario optimista.
mes
mes.
Zona 1
Producto
Producto 1
Producto 2
Producto 3
Producto 4
Producto 5
Producto 6
Producto 7
Producto 8
Producto 9
Producto 10
Zona 1
Caf
650
Cuernos
260
Sincronizadas
340
Sopa Maruchan
440
Sandwich
200
Orden de Burritos
170
Coctel de Frutas
280
Jugos
270
Postres
300
260
Producto
Producto 1
Producto 2
Producto 3
Producto 4
Producto 5
Producto 6
Producto 7
Producto 8
Producto 9
Descripcin
Caf
Cuernos
Sincronizadas
Sopa Maruchan
Sandwich
Orden de Burritos
Coctel de Frutas
Jugos
Postres
T
1
$
8.00
15.00
14.00
10.00
13.00
20.00
15.00
12.00
15.00
7.00
Escenario pesimista
mes
mes.
Zona 1
Producto
Producto 1
Producto 2
Producto 3
Producto 4
Producto 5
Producto 6
Producto 7
Producto 8
Producto 9
Producto 10
Zona 1
Caf
600
Cuernos
200
Sincronizadas
300
Sopa Maruchan
400
Sandwich
150
Orden de Burritos
120
Coctel de Frutas
220
Jugos
250
Postres
220
120
Producto
Producto 1
Producto 2
Producto 3
Producto 4
Producto 5
Producto 6
Producto 7
Producto 8
Producto 9
Descripcin
Caf
Cuernos
Sincronizadas
Sopa Maruchan
Sandwich
Orden de Burritos
Coctel de Frutas
Jugos
Postres
T
1
$
8.00
15.00
14.00
10.00
13.00
20.00
15.00
12.00
15.00
7.00
35
2012
Costos y gastos
A continuacin se muestran las tablas con los costos y gastos generados por la
empresa.
Gastos indirectos.
rea de produccin
Gastos fijos mensuales
Concepto
Renta (m)
Luz
Agua
Seguros
Impuestos
Gas
Materiales y artculos de limpieza
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Monto
100.00
50.00
100.00
500.00
100.00
850.00
Gastos de administracin.
Gastos fijos mensuales
Concepto
Sueldos
Renta (m)
Gasolina
Telefono
Inernet
Mantenimiento de maquinas
Impuestos
Monto
$
$
$
$
$
4,550.00
-
$
$
Total $
4,550.00
Monto
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Total $
2,600.00
200.00
200.00
100.00
3,100.00
36
Escenario pesimista.
Estado de resultados.
Estado de resultados del primer ao en el escenario pesimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
AO 1
Acumulado
Mes 12
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$30,790
$369,480
Costo de ventas
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$17,747
$212,960
Materia prima
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$10,630
$5,850
$127,560
$70,200
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$13,043
$156,520
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$98,800
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$54,600
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$54,600
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$37,200
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$31,200
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$4,810
$57,720
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$512
$498
$484
$470
$455
$441
$427
$413
$398
$384
$370
$356
$5,208
$4,298
$4,312
$4,326
$4,340
$4,355
$4,369
$4,383
$4,397
$4,412
$4,426
$4,440
$4,454
$52,512
$258
$259
$260
$260
$261
$262
$263
$264
$265
$266
$266
$267
$3,151
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,040
$4,053
$4,067
$4,080
$4,093
$4,107
$4,120
$4,134
$4,147
$4,160
$4,174
$4,187
$49,362
13.12%
13.16%
13.21%
13.25%
13.29%
13.34%
13.38%
13.42%
13.47%
13.51%
13.56%
13.60%
13.36%
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$1,423
$0
$17,075
(=)
6% ISR
37
2012
Estado de resultados del segundo ao en el escenario pesimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
AO 2
Acumulado
Mes 24
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$34,593
$415,111
Costo de ventas
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$19,352
$232,224
Materia prima
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$11,943
$143,314
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$73,710
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$15,241
$182,887
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$103,090
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$57,330
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$57,330
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$38,760
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$32,760
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$7,233
$79,797
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$1,841
$1,786
$1,730
$1,674
$1,618
$1,562
$1,506
$1,450
$1,394
$1,338
$1,283
$1,227
$18,409
$5,392
$5,447
$5,503
$5,559
$5,615
$5,671
$5,727
$5,783
$5,839
$5,895
$5,951
$6,006
$61,388
$323
$327
$330
$334
$337
$340
$344
$347
$350
$354
$357
$360
$3,683
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,068
$5,121
$5,173
$5,226
$5,278
$5,331
$5,383
$5,436
$5,488
$5,541
$5,594
$5,646
$57,705
14.65%
14.80%
14.95%
15.11%
15.26%
15.41%
15.56%
15.71%
15.87%
16.02%
16.17%
16.32%
13.90%
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$67,075
(=)
6% ISR
38
2012
Estado de resultados del tercer ao en el escenario pesimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
AO 3
Acumulado
Mes 36
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$38,138
$457,660
Costo de ventas
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$20,883
$250,599
Materia prima
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$13,167
$158,003
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$77,396
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$17,255
$207,061
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$107,595
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$40,398
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$34,398
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$8,872
$99,466
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$1,171
$1,115
$1,059
$1,003
$947
$891
$835
$779
$724
$668
$612
$556
$10,360
$7,701
$7,757
$7,813
$7,869
$7,925
$7,981
$8,037
$8,093
$8,149
$8,205
$8,260
$8,316
$89,106
$462
$465
$469
$472
$476
$479
$482
$486
$489
$492
$496
$499
$5,346
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$7,239
$7,292
$7,344
$7,397
$7,450
$7,502
$7,555
$7,607
$7,660
$7,712
$7,765
$7,817
$83,760
18.98%
19.12%
19.26%
19.40%
19.53%
19.67%
19.81%
19.95%
20.08%
20.22%
20.36%
20.50%
18.30%
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$5,590
$0
$67,075
(=)
6% ISR
39
2012
Estado de resultados del cuarto ao en el escenario pesimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
AO 4
Acumulado
Mes 48
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$42,047
$504,570
Costo de ventas
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$22,233
$266,794
Materia prima
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$14,517
$174,199
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$77,396
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$19,815
$237,776
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$107,595
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$40,398
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$34,398
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$11,432
$130,181
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$500
$458
$417
$375
$333
$292
$250
$208
$167
$125
$83
$42
$3,250
$10,932
$10,973
$11,015
$11,057
$11,098
$11,140
$11,182
$11,223
$11,265
$11,307
$11,348
$11,390
$126,931
$656
$658
$661
$663
$666
$668
$671
$673
$676
$678
$681
$683
$7,616
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$10,276
$10,315
$10,354
$10,393
$10,433
$10,472
$10,511
$10,550
$10,589
$10,628
$10,668
$10,707
$119,315
24.44%
24.53%
24.62%
24.72%
24.81%
24.90%
25.00%
25.09%
25.18%
25.28%
25.37%
25.46%
23.65%
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$50,000
(=)
6% ISR
40
2012
Estado de resultados del quinto ao en el escenario pesimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
AO 5
Acumulado
Mes 60
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$46,357
$556,288
Costo de ventas
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$24,043
$288,519
Materia prima
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$16,005
$192,054
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$81,265
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$22,314
$267,769
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$112,324
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$63,206
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$63,206
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$42,118
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$36,118
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$155,445
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$13,537
$155,445
(=)
(-)
(-)
(=)
6% ISR
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$812
$9,327
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$12,725
$146,118
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
27.45%
26.27%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
41
2012
Escenario pesimista.
Balance general.
Balance general del primer ao en el escenario pesimista.
Balance General
AO 1
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
Mes 12
Acumulado
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
$53,577
$0
$6,158
$59,735
$57,207
$0
$6,158
$63,365
$60,851
$0
$6,158
$67,009
$64,508
$0
$6,158
$70,666
$68,179
$0
$6,158
$74,337
$71,863
$0
$6,158
$78,021
$75,560
$0
$6,158
$81,718
$79,271
$0
$6,158
$85,429
$82,995
$0
$6,158
$89,153
$86,732
$0
$6,158
$92,890
$90,483
$0
$6,158
$96,641
$93,486
$0
$6,919
$100,405
$93,486
$0
$6,919
$100,405
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
$30,000
$100,000
-$417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$167
$50,000
-$417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$333
$50,000
-$833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$1,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$500
$50,000
-$1,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$1,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$667
$50,000
-$1,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$833
$50,000
-$2,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,000
$50,000
-$2,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,167
$50,000
-$2,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$3,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,333
$50,000
-$3,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$3,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,500
$50,000
-$3,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$4,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,667
$50,000
-$4,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$4,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,833
$50,000
-$4,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,000
$50,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,000
$50,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$199,000
$198,000
$197,000
$196,000
$195,000
$194,000
$193,000
$192,000
$191,000
$190,000
$189,000
$188,000
$188,000
Activo total
$258,735
$261,365
$264,009
$266,666
$269,337
$272,021
$274,718
$277,429
$280,153
$282,890
$285,641
$288,405
$288,405
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$49,801
$48,378
$46,955
$45,532
$44,109
$42,686
$41,263
$39,841
$38,418
$36,995
$35,572
$34,149
$34,149
Pasivo total
$49,801
$48,378
$46,955
$45,532
$44,109
$42,686
$41,263
$39,841
$38,418
$36,995
$35,572
$34,149
$34,149
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$204,894
$0
$4,040
$204,894
$4,040
$4,053
$204,894
$8,093
$4,067
$204,894
$12,160
$4,080
$204,894
$16,240
$4,093
$204,894
$20,333
$4,107
$204,894
$24,440
$4,120
$204,894
$28,560
$4,134
$204,894
$32,694
$4,147
$204,894
$36,841
$4,160
$204,894
$41,001
$4,174
$204,894
$45,175
$4,187
$204,894
$45,175
$4,187
$208,934
$212,988
$217,054
$221,134
$225,228
$229,334
$233,455
$237,588
$241,735
$245,895
$250,069
$254,256
$254,256
Pasivo + Capital
$258,735
$261,365
$264,009
$266,666
$269,337
$272,021
$274,718
$277,429
$280,153
$282,890
$285,641
$288,405
$288,405
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
42
2012
Balance general del segundo ao en el escenario pesimista.
Balance General
AO 2
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
Mes 24
Acumulado
$243,965
$0
$6,919
$250,884
$244,496
$0
$6,919
$251,415
$245,080
$0
$6,919
$251,998
$245,716
$0
$6,919
$252,634
$246,405
$0
$6,919
$253,323
$247,146
$0
$6,919
$254,064
$247,940
$0
$6,919
$254,858
$248,786
$0
$6,919
$255,705
$249,685
$0
$6,919
$256,604
$250,636
$0
$6,919
$257,555
$251,640
$0
$6,919
$258,559
$251,988
$0
$7,628
$259,615
$251,988
$0
$7,628
$259,615
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,167
$50,000
-$5,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,333
$50,000
-$5,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$6,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,500
$50,000
-$6,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$6,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,667
$50,000
-$6,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,833
$50,000
-$7,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,000
$50,000
-$7,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,167
$50,000
-$7,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$8,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,333
$50,000
-$8,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$8,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,500
$50,000
-$8,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$9,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,667
$50,000
-$9,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$9,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,833
$50,000
-$9,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,000
$50,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,000
$50,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$187,000
$186,000
$185,000
$184,000
$183,000
$182,000
$181,000
$180,000
$179,000
$178,000
$177,000
$176,000
$176,000
Activo total
$437,884
$437,415
$436,998
$436,634
$436,323
$436,064
$435,858
$435,705
$435,604
$435,555
$435,559
$435,615
$435,615
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$178,560
$172,970
$167,380
$161,791
$156,201
$150,612
$145,022
$139,433
$133,843
$128,254
$122,664
$117,075
$117,075
Pasivo total
$178,560
$172,970
$167,380
$161,791
$156,201
$150,612
$145,022
$139,433
$133,843
$128,254
$122,664
$117,075
$117,075
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$204,894
$49,362
$5,068
$204,894
$54,430
$5,121
$204,894
$59,550
$5,173
$204,894
$64,723
$5,226
$204,894
$69,949
$5,278
$204,894
$75,227
$5,331
$204,894
$80,558
$5,383
$204,894
$85,942
$5,436
$204,894
$91,378
$5,488
$204,894
$96,866
$5,541
$204,894
$102,407
$5,594
$204,894
$108,000
$5,646
$204,894
$108,000
$5,646
$259,324
$264,445
$269,618
$274,844
$280,122
$285,453
$290,836
$296,272
$301,760
$307,301
$312,895
$318,541
$318,541
Pasivo + Capital
$437,884
$437,415
$436,998
$436,634
$436,323
$436,064
$435,858
$435,705
$435,604
$435,555
$435,559
$435,615
$435,615
43
2012
Balance general del tercer ao en el escenario pesimista.
Balance General
AO 3
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
Mes 36
Acumulado
$254,638
$0
$7,628
$262,265
$257,340
$0
$7,628
$264,968
$260,095
$0
$7,628
$267,723
$262,902
$0
$7,628
$270,530
$265,762
$0
$7,628
$273,390
$268,675
$0
$7,628
$276,303
$271,640
$0
$7,628
$279,268
$274,658
$0
$7,628
$282,285
$277,728
$0
$7,628
$285,355
$280,850
$0
$7,628
$288,478
$284,026
$0
$7,628
$291,653
$286,472
$0
$8,409
$294,881
$286,472
$0
$8,409
$294,881
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,167
$50,000
-$10,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,333
$50,000
-$10,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$11,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,500
$50,000
-$11,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$11,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,667
$50,000
-$11,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,833
$50,000
-$12,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,000
$50,000
-$12,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,167
$50,000
-$12,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$13,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,333
$50,000
-$13,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$13,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,500
$50,000
-$13,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$14,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,667
$50,000
-$14,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$14,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,833
$50,000
-$14,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,000
$50,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,000
$50,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$175,000
$174,000
$173,000
$172,000
$171,000
$170,000
$169,000
$168,000
$167,000
$166,000
$165,000
$164,000
$164,000
Activo total
$437,265
$438,968
$440,723
$442,530
$444,390
$446,303
$448,268
$450,285
$452,355
$454,478
$456,653
$458,881
$458,881
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$111,485
$105,895
$100,306
$94,716
$89,127
$83,537
$77,948
$72,358
$66,769
$61,179
$55,590
$50,000
$50,000
Pasivo total
$111,485
$105,895
$100,306
$94,716
$89,127
$83,537
$77,948
$72,358
$66,769
$61,179
$55,590
$50,000
$50,000
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$204,894
$113,647
$7,239
$204,894
$120,886
$7,292
$204,894
$128,178
$7,344
$204,894
$135,522
$7,397
$204,894
$142,919
$7,450
$204,894
$150,369
$7,502
$204,894
$157,871
$7,555
$204,894
$165,425
$7,607
$204,894
$173,033
$7,660
$204,894
$180,692
$7,712
$204,894
$188,405
$7,765
$204,894
$196,169
$7,817
$204,894
$196,169
$7,817
$325,780
$333,072
$340,417
$347,814
$355,263
$362,765
$370,320
$377,927
$385,587
$393,299
$401,064
$408,881
$408,881
Pasivo + Capital
$437,265
$438,968
$440,723
$442,530
$444,390
$446,303
$448,268
$450,285
$452,355
$454,478
$456,653
$458,881
$458,881
44
2012
Balance general del cuarto ao en el escenario pesimista.
Balance General
AO 4
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
Mes 48
Acumulado
$293,581
$0
$8,409
$301,990
$300,729
$0
$8,409
$309,139
$307,917
$0
$8,409
$316,326
$315,143
$0
$8,409
$323,553
$322,409
$0
$8,409
$330,819
$329,714
$0
$8,409
$338,124
$337,058
$0
$8,409
$345,468
$344,442
$0
$8,409
$352,851
$351,864
$0
$8,409
$360,274
$359,326
$0
$8,409
$367,735
$366,827
$0
$8,409
$375,236
$373,505
$0
$9,271
$382,776
$373,505
$0
$9,271
$382,776
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,167
$50,000
-$15,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,333
$50,000
-$15,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$16,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,500
$50,000
-$16,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$16,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,667
$50,000
-$16,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,833
$50,000
-$17,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,000
$50,000
-$17,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,167
$50,000
-$17,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$18,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,333
$50,000
-$18,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$18,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,500
$50,000
-$18,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$19,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,667
$50,000
-$19,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$19,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,833
$50,000
-$19,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,000
$50,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,000
$50,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$163,000
$162,000
$161,000
$160,000
$159,000
$158,000
$157,000
$156,000
$155,000
$154,000
$153,000
$152,000
$152,000
Activo total
$464,990
$471,139
$477,326
$483,553
$489,819
$496,124
$502,468
$508,851
$515,274
$521,735
$528,236
$534,776
$534,776
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$45,833
$41,667
$37,500
$33,333
$29,167
$25,000
$20,833
$16,667
$12,500
$8,333
$4,167
$0
$0
Pasivo total
$45,833
$41,667
$37,500
$33,333
$29,167
$25,000
$20,833
$16,667
$12,500
$8,333
$4,167
$0
$0
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$204,894
$203,987
$10,276
$204,894
$214,263
$10,315
$204,894
$224,578
$10,354
$204,894
$234,932
$10,393
$204,894
$245,325
$10,433
$204,894
$255,758
$10,472
$204,894
$266,229
$10,511
$204,894
$276,740
$10,550
$204,894
$287,290
$10,589
$204,894
$297,879
$10,628
$204,894
$308,508
$10,668
$204,894
$319,175
$10,707
$204,894
$319,175
$10,707
$419,157
$429,472
$439,826
$450,219
$460,652
$471,124
$481,635
$492,185
$502,774
$513,402
$524,070
$534,776
$534,776
Pasivo + Capital
$464,990
$471,139
$477,326
$483,553
$489,819
$496,124
$502,468
$508,851
$515,274
$521,735
$528,236
$534,776
$534,776
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
45
2012
Balance general del quinto ao en el escenario pesimista.
Balance General
AO 5
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
Mes 60
Acumulado
$387,230
$0
$9,271
$396,501
$400,954
$0
$9,271
$410,226
$414,679
$0
$9,271
$423,951
$428,404
$0
$9,271
$437,676
$442,129
$0
$9,271
$451,400
$455,854
$0
$9,271
$465,125
$469,579
$0
$9,271
$478,850
$483,303
$0
$9,271
$492,575
$497,028
$0
$9,271
$506,300
$510,753
$0
$9,271
$520,025
$524,478
$0
$9,271
$533,749
$538,203
$0
$9,271
$547,474
$538,203
$0
$9,271
$547,474
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,167
$50,000
-$20,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,333
$50,000
-$20,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$21,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,500
$50,000
-$21,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$21,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,667
$50,000
-$21,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,833
$50,000
-$22,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,000
$50,000
-$22,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,167
$50,000
-$22,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$23,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,333
$50,000
-$23,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$23,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,500
$50,000
-$23,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$24,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,667
$50,000
-$24,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$24,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,833
$50,000
-$24,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$10,000
$50,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$10,000
$50,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$151,000
$150,000
$149,000
$148,000
$147,000
$146,000
$145,000
$144,000
$143,000
$142,000
$141,000
$140,000
$140,000
Activo total
$547,501
$560,226
$572,951
$585,676
$598,400
$611,125
$623,850
$636,575
$649,300
$662,025
$674,749
$687,474
$687,474
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Pasivo total
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$204,894
$329,882
$12,725
$204,894
$342,607
$12,725
$204,894
$355,332
$12,725
$204,894
$368,056
$12,725
$204,894
$380,781
$12,725
$204,894
$393,506
$12,725
$204,894
$406,231
$12,725
$204,894
$418,956
$12,725
$204,894
$431,681
$12,725
$204,894
$444,405
$12,725
$204,894
$457,130
$12,725
$204,894
$469,855
$12,725
$204,894
$469,855
$12,725
$547,501
$560,226
$572,951
$585,676
$598,400
$611,125
$623,850
$636,575
$649,300
$662,025
$674,749
$687,474
$687,474
Pasivo + Capital
$547,501
$560,226
$572,951
$585,676
$598,400
$611,125
$623,850
$636,575
$649,300
$662,025
$674,749
$687,474
$687,474
46
2012
Escenario pesimista.
Flujo de efectivo.
Estado de flujo de efectivo del primer ao en el escenario pesimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
Mes 12
AO 1
Acumulado
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$4,040
-$1,000
$5,040
$4,053
-$1,000
$5,053
$4,067
-$1,000
$5,067
$4,080
-$1,000
$5,080
$4,093
-$1,000
$5,093
$4,107
-$1,000
$5,107
$4,120
-$1,000
$5,120
$4,134
-$1,000
$5,134
$4,147
-$1,000
$5,147
$4,160
-$1,000
$5,160
$4,174
-$1,000
$5,174
$4,187
-$1,000
$5,187
$49,362
-$12,000
$61,362
$0
-$6,158
-$6,158
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$761
-$761
$0
-$6,919
-$6,919
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,118
$5,053
$5,067
$5,080
$5,093
$5,107
$5,120
$5,134
$5,147
$5,160
$5,174
$4,427
$54,443
$0
$51,224
$0
-$1,423
$49,801
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$0
$0
-$1,423
-$1,423
$0
$51,224
$0
-$17,075
$34,149
-$200,000
$0
$0
-$200,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$200,000
$0
$0
-$200,000
$204,894
$204,894
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$204,894
$204,894
$54,695
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
-$1,423
$39,043
$53,577
$3,630
$3,644
$3,657
$3,671
$3,684
$3,697
$3,711
$3,724
$3,737
$3,751
$3,004
$93,486
$53,577
$53,577
$57,207
$57,207
$60,851
$60,851
$64,508
$64,508
$68,179
$68,179
$71,863
$71,863
$75,560
$75,560
$79,271
$79,271
$82,995
$82,995
$86,732
$86,732
$90,483
$90,483
$93,486
$0
$93,486
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
Generacin Neta Operativa
Fuentes de Instituciones de Crdito
Recursos por financiemiento corto plazo
Recursos por financiemiento largo plazo
Amortizacin de crditos bancarios corto plazo
Amortizacin de crditos bancarios largo plazo
Caja inicial
Caja final
47
2012
Estado de flujo de efectivo del segundo ao en el escenario pesimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
AO 2
Acumulado
Mes 24
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$5,068
-$1,000
$6,068
$5,121
-$1,000
$6,121
$5,173
-$1,000
$6,173
$5,226
-$1,000
$6,226
$5,278
-$1,000
$6,278
$5,331
-$1,000
$6,331
$5,383
-$1,000
$6,383
$5,436
-$1,000
$6,436
$5,488
-$1,000
$6,488
$5,541
-$1,000
$6,541
$5,594
-$1,000
$6,594
$5,646
-$1,000
$6,646
$64,285
-$12,000
$76,285
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$709
-$709
$0
-$709
-$709
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$6,068
$6,121
$6,173
$6,226
$6,278
$6,331
$6,383
$6,436
$6,488
$6,541
$6,594
$5,937
$75,576
$0
$150,000
$0
-$5,590
$144,410
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$150,000
$0
-$67,075
$82,925
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$144,410
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
$82,925
$150,479
$531
$584
$636
$689
$741
$794
$846
$899
$951
$1,004
$347
$158,501
$93,486
$243,965
$243,965
$244,496
$244,496
$245,080
$245,080
$245,716
$245,716
$246,405
$246,405
$247,146
$247,146
$247,940
$247,940
$248,786
$248,786
$249,685
$249,685
$250,636
$250,636
$251,640
$251,640
$251,988
$93,486
$251,988
Caja inicial
Caja final
48
2012
Estado de flujo de efectivo del tercer ao en el escenario pesimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
AO 3
Acumulado
Mes 36
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$7,239
-$1,000
$8,239
$7,292
-$1,000
$8,292
$7,344
-$1,000
$8,344
$7,397
-$1,000
$8,397
$7,450
-$1,000
$8,450
$7,502
-$1,000
$8,502
$7,555
-$1,000
$8,555
$7,607
-$1,000
$8,607
$7,660
-$1,000
$8,660
$7,712
-$1,000
$8,712
$7,765
-$1,000
$8,765
$7,817
-$1,000
$8,817
$90,340
-$12,000
$102,340
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$782
-$782
$0
-$782
-$782
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$8,239
$8,292
$8,344
$8,397
$8,450
$8,502
$8,555
$8,607
$8,660
$8,712
$8,765
$8,035
$101,558
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
$0
$0
$0
-$67,075
-$67,075
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$5,590
-$67,075
$2,650
$2,702
$2,755
$2,807
$2,860
$2,913
$2,965
$3,018
$3,070
$3,123
$3,175
$2,446
$34,484
$251,988
$254,638
$254,638
$257,340
$257,340
$260,095
$260,095
$262,902
$262,902
$265,762
$265,762
$268,675
$268,675
$271,640
$271,640
$274,658
$274,658
$277,728
$277,728
$280,850
$280,850
$284,026
$284,026
$286,472
$251,988
$286,472
49
2012
Estado de flujo de efectivo del cuarto ao en el escenario pesimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
AO 4
Acumulado
Mes 48
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$10,276
-$1,000
$11,276
$10,315
-$1,000
$11,315
$10,354
-$1,000
$11,354
$10,393
-$1,000
$11,393
$10,433
-$1,000
$11,433
$10,472
-$1,000
$11,472
$10,511
-$1,000
$11,511
$10,550
-$1,000
$11,550
$10,589
-$1,000
$11,589
$10,628
-$1,000
$11,628
$10,668
-$1,000
$11,668
$10,707
-$1,000
$11,707
$125,895
-$12,000
$137,895
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$862
-$862
$0
-$862
-$862
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$11,276
$11,315
$11,354
$11,393
$11,433
$11,472
$11,511
$11,550
$11,589
$11,628
$11,668
$10,845
$137,033
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
$0
$0
-$50,000
-$50,000
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$50,000
$7,109
$7,148
$7,188
$7,227
$7,266
$7,305
$7,344
$7,383
$7,423
$7,462
$7,501
$6,678
$87,033
$286,472
$293,581
$293,581
$300,729
$300,729
$307,917
$307,917
$315,143
$315,143
$322,409
$322,409
$329,714
$329,714
$337,058
$337,058
$344,442
$344,442
$351,864
$351,864
$359,326
$359,326
$366,827
$366,827
$373,505
$286,472
$373,505
50
2012
Estado de flujo de efectivo del quinto ao en el escenario pesimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
AO 5
Acumulado
Mes 60
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$12,725
-$1,000
$13,725
$152,698
-$12,000
$164,698
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$164,698
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$13,725
$164,698
$373,505
$387,230
$387,230
$400,954
$400,954
$414,679
$414,679
$428,404
$428,404
$442,129
$442,129
$455,854
$455,854
$469,579
$469,579
$483,303
$483,303
$497,028
$497,028
$510,753
$510,753
$524,478
$524,478
$538,203
$373,505
$538,203
51
2012
Escenario inercial.
Estado de resultados
Estado de resultados del primer ao en el escenario inercial.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
AO 1
Acumulado
Mes 12
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$34,980
$419,760
Costo de ventas
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$19,077
$228,920
Materia prima
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$11,960
$5,850
$143,520
$70,200
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$15,903
$190,840
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$98,800
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$54,600
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$54,600
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$37,200
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$31,200
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$7,670
$92,040
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$519
$505
$490
$476
$462
$447
$433
$418
$404
$389
$375
$361
$5,279
$7,151
$7,165
$7,180
$7,194
$7,208
$7,223
$7,237
$7,252
$7,266
$7,281
$7,295
$7,309
$86,761
$429
$430
$431
$432
$433
$433
$434
$435
$436
$437
$438
$439
$5,206
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$6,722
$6,735
$6,749
$6,762
$6,776
$6,790
$6,803
$6,817
$6,830
$6,844
$6,857
$6,871
$81,555
19.22%
19.25%
19.29%
19.33%
19.37%
19.41%
19.45%
19.49%
19.53%
19.56%
19.60%
19.64%
19.43%
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$1,442
$0
$17,308
(=)
6% ISR
52
2012
Estado de resultados del segundo ao en el escenario inercial.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
AO 2
Acumulado
Mes 24
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$40,423
$485,075
Costo de ventas
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$20,972
$251,662
Materia prima
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$13,563
$162,752
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$73,710
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$19,451
$233,413
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$103,090
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$57,330
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$57,330
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$38,760
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$32,760
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$11,444
$130,323
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$1,846
$1,790
$1,734
$1,678
$1,622
$1,566
$1,510
$1,454
$1,397
$1,341
$1,285
$1,229
$18,452
$9,597
$9,654
$9,710
$9,766
$9,822
$9,878
$9,934
$9,990
$10,046
$10,102
$10,158
$10,214
$111,871
$576
$579
$583
$586
$589
$593
$596
$599
$603
$606
$609
$613
$6,712
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$9,022
$9,074
$9,127
$9,180
$9,232
$9,285
$9,338
$9,391
$9,443
$9,496
$9,549
$9,602
$105,159
22.32%
22.45%
22.58%
22.71%
22.84%
22.97%
23.10%
23.23%
23.36%
23.49%
23.62%
23.75%
21.68%
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$67,308
(=)
6% ISR
53
2012
Estado de resultados del tercer ao en el escenario inercial.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
AO 3
Acumulado
Mes 36
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$44,566
$534,795
Costo de ventas
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$22,669
$272,029
Materia prima
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$14,953
$179,434
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$77,396
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$21,897
$262,766
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$107,595
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$40,398
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$34,398
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$13,514
$155,171
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$1,173
$1,117
$1,061
$1,005
$949
$893
$837
$780
$724
$668
$612
$556
$10,375
$12,341
$12,397
$12,453
$12,509
$12,566
$12,622
$12,678
$12,734
$12,790
$12,846
$12,902
$12,958
$144,796
$740
$744
$747
$751
$754
$757
$761
$764
$767
$771
$774
$777
$8,688
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$11,601
$11,653
$11,706
$11,759
$11,812
$11,864
$11,917
$11,970
$12,023
$12,075
$12,128
$12,181
$136,108
26.03%
26.15%
26.27%
26.39%
26.50%
26.62%
26.74%
26.86%
26.98%
27.10%
27.21%
27.33%
25.45%
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$5,609
$0
$67,308
(=)
6% ISR
54
2012
Estado de resultados del cuarto ao en el escenario inercial.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
AO 4
Acumulado
Mes 48
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$51,501
$618,009
Costo de ventas
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$24,673
$296,073
Materia prima
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$16,956
$203,478
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$77,396
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$26,828
$321,936
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$107,595
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$40,398
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$34,398
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$18,445
$214,341
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$500
$458
$417
$375
$333
$292
$250
$208
$167
$125
$83
$42
$3,250
$17,945
$17,987
$18,028
$18,070
$18,112
$18,153
$18,195
$18,237
$18,278
$18,320
$18,362
$18,403
$211,091
$1,077
$1,079
$1,082
$1,084
$1,087
$1,089
$1,092
$1,094
$1,097
$1,099
$1,102
$1,104
$12,665
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$16,868
$16,908
$16,947
$16,986
$17,025
$17,064
$17,103
$17,143
$17,182
$17,221
$17,260
$17,299
$198,426
32.75%
32.83%
32.91%
32.98%
33.06%
33.13%
33.21%
33.29%
33.36%
33.44%
33.51%
33.59%
32.11%
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$50,000
(=)
6% ISR
55
2012
Estado de resultados del quinto ao en el escenario inercial.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
AO 5
Acumulado
Mes 60
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$56,780
$681,355
Costo de ventas
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$26,733
$320,800
Materia prima
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$18,695
$224,334
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$81,265
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$30,046
$360,555
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$112,324
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$63,206
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$63,206
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$42,118
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$36,118
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$248,231
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$21,269
$248,231
(=)
(-)
(-)
(=)
6% ISR
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$1,276
$14,894
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$19,993
$233,337
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
35.21%
34.25%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
56
2012
Escenario inercial.
Balance general.
Balance general del primer ao en el escenario inercial.
Balance General
AO 1
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
Mes 12
Acumulado
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
$58,899
$0
$6,996
$65,895
$65,192
$0
$6,996
$72,188
$71,499
$0
$6,996
$78,495
$77,819
$0
$6,996
$84,815
$84,153
$0
$6,996
$91,149
$90,500
$0
$6,996
$97,496
$96,861
$0
$6,996
$103,857
$103,235
$0
$6,996
$110,231
$109,623
$0
$6,996
$116,619
$116,024
$0
$6,996
$123,020
$122,439
$0
$6,996
$129,435
$127,779
$0
$8,085
$135,864
$127,779
$0
$8,085
$135,864
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
$30,000
$100,000
-$417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$167
$50,000
-$417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$333
$50,000
-$833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$1,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$500
$50,000
-$1,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$1,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$667
$50,000
-$1,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$833
$50,000
-$2,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,000
$50,000
-$2,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,167
$50,000
-$2,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$3,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,333
$50,000
-$3,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$3,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,500
$50,000
-$3,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$4,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,667
$50,000
-$4,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$4,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,833
$50,000
-$4,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,000
$50,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,000
$50,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$199,000
$198,000
$197,000
$196,000
$195,000
$194,000
$193,000
$192,000
$191,000
$190,000
$189,000
$188,000
$188,000
Activo total
$264,895
$270,188
$275,495
$280,815
$286,149
$291,496
$296,857
$302,231
$307,619
$313,020
$318,435
$323,864
$323,864
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$50,481
$49,039
$47,596
$46,154
$44,712
$43,269
$41,827
$40,385
$38,942
$37,500
$36,058
$34,615
$34,615
Pasivo total
$50,481
$49,039
$47,596
$46,154
$44,712
$43,269
$41,827
$40,385
$38,942
$37,500
$36,058
$34,615
$34,615
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$207,693
$0
$6,722
$207,693
$6,722
$6,735
$207,693
$13,457
$6,749
$207,693
$20,206
$6,762
$207,693
$26,968
$6,776
$207,693
$33,744
$6,790
$207,693
$40,534
$6,803
$207,693
$47,337
$6,817
$207,693
$54,153
$6,830
$207,693
$60,984
$6,844
$207,693
$67,827
$6,857
$207,693
$74,685
$6,871
$207,693
$74,685
$6,871
$214,415
$221,150
$227,899
$234,661
$241,437
$248,226
$255,030
$261,846
$268,676
$275,520
$282,377
$289,248
$289,248
Pasivo + Capital
$264,895
$270,188
$275,495
$280,815
$286,149
$291,496
$296,857
$302,231
$307,619
$313,020
$318,435
$323,864
$323,864
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
57
2012
Balance general del segundo ao en el escenario inercial.
Balance General
AO 2
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
Mes 24
Acumulado
$282,192
$0
$8,085
$290,276
$286,657
$0
$8,085
$294,742
$291,175
$0
$8,085
$299,260
$295,746
$0
$8,085
$303,830
$300,369
$0
$8,085
$308,454
$305,046
$0
$8,085
$313,130
$309,775
$0
$8,085
$317,859
$314,556
$0
$8,085
$322,641
$319,391
$0
$8,085
$327,475
$324,278
$0
$8,085
$332,362
$329,218
$0
$8,085
$337,302
$333,382
$0
$8,913
$342,295
$333,382
$0
$8,913
$342,295
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,167
$50,000
-$5,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,333
$50,000
-$5,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$6,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,500
$50,000
-$6,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$6,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,667
$50,000
-$6,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,833
$50,000
-$7,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,000
$50,000
-$7,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,167
$50,000
-$7,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$8,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,333
$50,000
-$8,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$8,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,500
$50,000
-$8,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$9,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,667
$50,000
-$9,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$9,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,833
$50,000
-$9,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,000
$50,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,000
$50,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$187,000
$186,000
$185,000
$184,000
$183,000
$182,000
$181,000
$180,000
$179,000
$178,000
$177,000
$176,000
$176,000
Activo total
$477,276
$480,742
$484,260
$487,830
$491,454
$495,130
$498,859
$502,641
$506,475
$510,362
$514,302
$518,295
$518,295
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$179,006
$173,398
$167,789
$162,180
$156,571
$150,962
$145,353
$139,744
$134,135
$128,526
$122,917
$117,308
$117,308
Pasivo total
$179,006
$173,398
$167,789
$162,180
$156,571
$150,962
$145,353
$139,744
$134,135
$128,526
$122,917
$117,308
$117,308
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$207,693
$81,555
$9,022
$207,693
$90,577
$9,074
$207,693
$99,651
$9,127
$207,693
$108,778
$9,180
$207,693
$117,958
$9,232
$207,693
$127,191
$9,285
$207,693
$136,476
$9,338
$207,693
$145,814
$9,391
$207,693
$155,204
$9,443
$207,693
$164,648
$9,496
$207,693
$174,144
$9,549
$207,693
$183,693
$9,602
$207,693
$183,693
$9,602
$298,270
$307,344
$316,471
$325,651
$334,883
$344,169
$353,507
$362,897
$372,341
$381,837
$391,386
$400,987
$400,987
Pasivo + Capital
$477,276
$480,742
$484,260
$487,830
$491,454
$495,130
$498,859
$502,641
$506,475
$510,362
$514,302
$518,295
$518,295
58
2012
Balance general del tercer ao en el escenario inercial.
Balance General
AO 3
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
Mes 36
Acumulado
$340,373
$0
$8,913
$349,287
$347,418
$0
$8,913
$356,331
$354,515
$0
$8,913
$363,428
$361,665
$0
$8,913
$370,578
$368,867
$0
$8,913
$377,781
$376,123
$0
$8,913
$385,036
$383,431
$0
$8,913
$392,344
$390,792
$0
$8,913
$399,705
$398,205
$0
$8,913
$407,118
$405,671
$0
$8,913
$414,585
$413,190
$0
$8,913
$422,104
$419,375
$0
$10,300
$429,675
$419,375
$0
$10,300
$429,675
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,167
$50,000
-$10,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,333
$50,000
-$10,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$11,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,500
$50,000
-$11,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$11,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,667
$50,000
-$11,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,833
$50,000
-$12,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,000
$50,000
-$12,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,167
$50,000
-$12,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$13,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,333
$50,000
-$13,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$13,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,500
$50,000
-$13,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$14,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,667
$50,000
-$14,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$14,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,833
$50,000
-$14,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,000
$50,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,000
$50,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$175,000
$174,000
$173,000
$172,000
$171,000
$170,000
$169,000
$168,000
$167,000
$166,000
$165,000
$164,000
$164,000
Activo total
$524,287
$530,331
$536,428
$542,578
$548,781
$555,036
$561,344
$567,705
$574,118
$580,585
$587,104
$593,675
$593,675
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$111,699
$106,090
$100,481
$94,872
$89,263
$83,654
$78,045
$72,436
$66,827
$61,218
$55,609
$50,000
$50,000
Pasivo total
$111,699
$106,090
$100,481
$94,872
$89,263
$83,654
$78,045
$72,436
$66,827
$61,218
$55,609
$50,000
$50,000
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$207,693
$193,294
$11,601
$207,693
$204,895
$11,653
$207,693
$216,548
$11,706
$207,693
$228,255
$11,759
$207,693
$240,013
$11,812
$207,693
$251,825
$11,864
$207,693
$263,689
$11,917
$207,693
$275,606
$11,970
$207,693
$287,576
$12,023
$207,693
$299,599
$12,075
$207,693
$311,674
$12,128
$207,693
$323,802
$12,181
$207,693
$323,802
$12,181
$412,588
$424,241
$435,947
$447,706
$459,518
$471,382
$483,299
$495,269
$507,292
$519,367
$531,495
$543,675
$543,675
Pasivo + Capital
$524,287
$530,331
$536,428
$542,578
$548,781
$555,036
$561,344
$567,705
$574,118
$580,585
$587,104
$593,675
$593,675
59
2012
Balance general del cuarto ao en el escenario inercial.
Balance General
AO 4
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
Mes 48
Acumulado
$433,077
$0
$10,300
$443,377
$446,818
$0
$10,300
$457,118
$460,598
$0
$10,300
$470,898
$474,417
$0
$10,300
$484,717
$488,275
$0
$10,300
$498,576
$502,173
$0
$10,300
$512,473
$516,110
$0
$10,300
$526,410
$530,086
$0
$10,300
$540,386
$544,101
$0
$10,300
$554,401
$558,155
$0
$10,300
$568,455
$572,248
$0
$10,300
$582,548
$585,325
$0
$11,356
$596,681
$585,325
$0
$11,356
$596,681
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,167
$50,000
-$15,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,333
$50,000
-$15,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$16,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,500
$50,000
-$16,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$16,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,667
$50,000
-$16,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,833
$50,000
-$17,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,000
$50,000
-$17,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,167
$50,000
-$17,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$18,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,333
$50,000
-$18,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$18,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,500
$50,000
-$18,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$19,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,667
$50,000
-$19,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$19,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,833
$50,000
-$19,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,000
$50,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,000
$50,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$163,000
$162,000
$161,000
$160,000
$159,000
$158,000
$157,000
$156,000
$155,000
$154,000
$153,000
$152,000
$152,000
Activo total
$606,377
$619,118
$631,898
$644,717
$657,576
$670,473
$683,410
$696,386
$709,401
$722,455
$735,548
$748,681
$748,681
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$45,833
$41,667
$37,500
$33,333
$29,167
$25,000
$20,833
$16,667
$12,500
$8,333
$4,167
$0
$0
Pasivo total
$45,833
$41,667
$37,500
$33,333
$29,167
$25,000
$20,833
$16,667
$12,500
$8,333
$4,167
$0
$0
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$207,693
$335,983
$16,868
$207,693
$352,851
$16,908
$207,693
$369,758
$16,947
$207,693
$386,705
$16,986
$207,693
$403,691
$17,025
$207,693
$420,716
$17,064
$207,693
$437,780
$17,103
$207,693
$454,884
$17,143
$207,693
$472,026
$17,182
$207,693
$489,208
$17,221
$207,693
$506,429
$17,260
$207,693
$523,689
$17,299
$207,693
$523,689
$17,299
$560,544
$577,451
$594,398
$611,384
$628,409
$645,473
$662,577
$679,719
$696,901
$714,122
$731,382
$748,681
$748,681
Pasivo + Capital
$606,377
$619,118
$631,898
$644,717
$657,576
$670,473
$683,410
$696,386
$709,401
$722,455
$735,548
$748,681
$748,681
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
60
2012
Balance general del quinto ao en el escenario inercial.
Balance General
AO 5
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
Mes 60
Acumulado
$606,318
$0
$11,356
$617,674
$627,311
$0
$11,356
$638,667
$648,304
$0
$11,356
$659,660
$669,297
$0
$11,356
$680,653
$690,290
$0
$11,356
$701,646
$711,284
$0
$11,356
$722,639
$732,277
$0
$11,356
$743,633
$753,270
$0
$11,356
$764,626
$774,263
$0
$11,356
$785,619
$795,256
$0
$11,356
$806,612
$816,249
$0
$11,356
$827,605
$837,242
$0
$11,356
$848,598
$837,242
$0
$11,356
$848,598
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,167
$50,000
-$20,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,333
$50,000
-$20,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$21,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,500
$50,000
-$21,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$21,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,667
$50,000
-$21,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,833
$50,000
-$22,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,000
$50,000
-$22,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,167
$50,000
-$22,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$23,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,333
$50,000
-$23,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$23,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,500
$50,000
-$23,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$24,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,667
$50,000
-$24,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$24,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,833
$50,000
-$24,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$10,000
$50,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$10,000
$50,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$151,000
$150,000
$149,000
$148,000
$147,000
$146,000
$145,000
$144,000
$143,000
$142,000
$141,000
$140,000
$140,000
Activo total
$768,674
$788,667
$808,660
$828,653
$848,646
$868,639
$888,633
$908,626
$928,619
$948,612
$968,605
$988,598
$988,598
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Pasivo total
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$207,693
$540,988
$19,993
$207,693
$560,981
$19,993
$207,693
$580,974
$19,993
$207,693
$600,967
$19,993
$207,693
$620,961
$19,993
$207,693
$640,954
$19,993
$207,693
$660,947
$19,993
$207,693
$680,940
$19,993
$207,693
$700,933
$19,993
$207,693
$720,926
$19,993
$207,693
$740,919
$19,993
$207,693
$760,912
$19,993
$207,693
$760,912
$19,993
$768,674
$788,667
$808,660
$828,653
$848,646
$868,639
$888,633
$908,626
$928,619
$948,612
$968,605
$988,598
$988,598
Pasivo + Capital
$768,674
$788,667
$808,660
$828,653
$848,646
$868,639
$888,633
$908,626
$928,619
$948,612
$968,605
$988,598
$988,598
61
2012
Escenario inercial.
Flujo de efectivo.
Flujo de efectivo del primer ao en el escenario inercial.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
Mes 12
AO 1
Acumulado
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$6,722
-$1,000
$7,722
$6,735
-$1,000
$7,735
$6,749
-$1,000
$7,749
$6,762
-$1,000
$7,762
$6,776
-$1,000
$7,776
$6,790
-$1,000
$7,790
$6,803
-$1,000
$7,803
$6,817
-$1,000
$7,817
$6,830
-$1,000
$7,830
$6,844
-$1,000
$7,844
$6,857
-$1,000
$7,857
$6,871
-$1,000
$7,871
$81,555
-$12,000
$93,555
$0
-$6,996
-$6,996
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,089
-$1,089
$0
-$8,085
-$8,085
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$726
$7,735
$7,749
$7,762
$7,776
$7,790
$7,803
$7,817
$7,830
$7,844
$7,857
$6,782
$85,471
$0
$51,923
$0
-$1,442
$50,481
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$0
$0
-$1,442
-$1,442
$0
$51,923
$0
-$17,308
$34,615
-$200,000
$0
$0
-$200,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$200,000
$0
$0
-$200,000
$207,693
$207,693
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$207,693
$207,693
$58,174
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
-$1,442
$42,308
$58,899
$6,293
$6,307
$6,320
$6,334
$6,347
$6,361
$6,374
$6,388
$6,401
$6,415
$5,340
$127,779
$58,899
$58,899
$65,192
$65,192
$71,499
$71,499
$77,819
$77,819
$84,153
$84,153
$90,500
$90,500
$96,861
$96,861
$103,235
$103,235
$109,623
$109,623
$116,024
$116,024
$122,439
$122,439
$127,779
$0
$127,779
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
Generacin Neta Operativa
Fuentes de Instituciones de Crdito
Recursos por financiemiento corto plazo
Recursos por financiemiento largo plazo
Amortizacin de crditos bancarios corto plazo
Amortizacin de crditos bancarios largo plazo
Caja inicial
Caja final
62
2012
Flujo de efectivo del segundo ao en el escenario inercial.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
AO 2
Acumulado
Mes 24
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$9,022
-$1,000
$10,022
$9,074
-$1,000
$10,074
$9,127
-$1,000
$10,127
$9,180
-$1,000
$10,180
$9,232
-$1,000
$10,232
$9,285
-$1,000
$10,285
$9,338
-$1,000
$10,338
$9,391
-$1,000
$10,391
$9,443
-$1,000
$10,443
$9,496
-$1,000
$10,496
$9,549
-$1,000
$10,549
$9,602
-$1,000
$10,602
$111,739
-$12,000
$123,739
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$829
-$829
$0
-$829
-$829
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$10,022
$10,074
$10,127
$10,180
$10,232
$10,285
$10,338
$10,391
$10,443
$10,496
$10,549
$9,773
$122,910
$0
$150,000
$0
-$5,609
$144,391
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$150,000
$0
-$67,308
$82,692
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$144,391
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
$82,692
$154,413
$4,465
$4,518
$4,571
$4,624
$4,676
$4,729
$4,782
$4,834
$4,887
$4,940
$4,164
$205,602
$127,779
$282,192
$282,192
$286,657
$286,657
$291,175
$291,175
$295,746
$295,746
$300,369
$300,369
$305,046
$305,046
$309,775
$309,775
$314,556
$314,556
$319,391
$319,391
$324,278
$324,278
$329,218
$329,218
$333,382
$127,779
$333,382
Caja inicial
Caja final
63
2012
Flujo de efectivo del tercer ao en el escenario inercial.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
AO 3
Acumulado
Mes 36
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$11,601
-$1,000
$12,601
$11,653
-$1,000
$12,653
$11,706
-$1,000
$12,706
$11,759
-$1,000
$12,759
$11,812
-$1,000
$12,812
$11,864
-$1,000
$12,864
$11,917
-$1,000
$12,917
$11,970
-$1,000
$12,970
$12,023
-$1,000
$13,023
$12,075
-$1,000
$13,075
$12,128
-$1,000
$13,128
$12,181
-$1,000
$13,181
$142,688
-$12,000
$154,688
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,387
-$1,387
$0
-$1,387
-$1,387
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$12,601
$12,653
$12,706
$12,759
$12,812
$12,864
$12,917
$12,970
$13,023
$13,075
$13,128
$11,794
$153,301
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
$0
$0
$0
-$67,308
-$67,308
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$5,609
-$67,308
$6,992
$7,044
$7,097
$7,150
$7,203
$7,255
$7,308
$7,361
$7,414
$7,466
$7,519
$6,185
$85,994
$333,382
$340,373
$340,373
$347,418
$347,418
$354,515
$354,515
$361,665
$361,665
$368,867
$368,867
$376,123
$376,123
$383,431
$383,431
$390,792
$390,792
$398,205
$398,205
$405,671
$405,671
$413,190
$413,190
$419,375
$333,382
$419,375
64
2012
Flujo de efectivo del cuarto ao en el escenario inercial.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
AO 4
Acumulado
Mes 48
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$16,868
-$1,000
$17,868
$16,908
-$1,000
$17,908
$16,947
-$1,000
$17,947
$16,986
-$1,000
$17,986
$17,025
-$1,000
$18,025
$17,064
-$1,000
$18,064
$17,103
-$1,000
$18,103
$17,143
-$1,000
$18,143
$17,182
-$1,000
$18,182
$17,221
-$1,000
$18,221
$17,260
-$1,000
$18,260
$17,299
-$1,000
$18,299
$205,006
-$12,000
$217,006
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,056
-$1,056
$0
-$1,056
-$1,056
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$17,868
$17,908
$17,947
$17,986
$18,025
$18,064
$18,103
$18,143
$18,182
$18,221
$18,260
$17,243
$215,950
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
$0
$0
-$50,000
-$50,000
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$50,000
$13,702
$13,741
$13,780
$13,819
$13,858
$13,898
$13,937
$13,976
$14,015
$14,054
$14,093
$13,077
$165,950
$419,375
$433,077
$433,077
$446,818
$446,818
$460,598
$460,598
$474,417
$474,417
$488,275
$488,275
$502,173
$502,173
$516,110
$516,110
$530,086
$530,086
$544,101
$544,101
$558,155
$558,155
$572,248
$572,248
$585,325
$419,375
$585,325
Caja inicial
Caja final
65
2012
Flujo de efectivo del quinto ao en el escenario inercial.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
AO 5
Acumulado
Mes 60
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$19,993
-$1,000
$20,993
$239,917
-$12,000
$251,917
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$251,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$20,993
$251,917
$585,325
$606,318
$606,318
$627,311
$627,311
$648,304
$648,304
$669,297
$669,297
$690,290
$690,290
$711,284
$711,284
$732,277
$732,277
$753,270
$753,270
$774,263
$774,263
$795,256
$795,256
$816,249
$816,249
$837,242
$585,325
$837,242
66
2012
Escenario optimista.
Estado de resultados.
Estado de resultados del primer ao en el escenario optimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
AO 1
Acumulado
Mes 12
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$38,020
$456,240
Costo de ventas
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$20,147
$241,760
Materia prima
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$13,030
$5,850
$156,360
$70,200
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$17,873
$214,480
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$8,233
$98,800
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$54,600
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$4,550
$54,600
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$3,100
$37,200
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$2,600
$31,200
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$9,640
$115,680
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$498
$485
$471
$457
$443
$429
$415
$402
$388
$374
$360
$346
$5,068
$9,142
$9,155
$9,169
$9,183
$9,197
$9,211
$9,225
$9,238
$9,252
$9,266
$9,280
$9,294
$110,612
$548
$549
$550
$551
$552
$553
$553
$554
$555
$556
$557
$558
$6,637
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$8,593
$8,606
$8,619
$8,632
$8,645
$8,658
$8,671
$8,684
$8,697
$8,710
$8,723
$8,736
$103,975
22.60%
22.64%
22.67%
22.70%
22.74%
22.77%
22.81%
22.84%
22.88%
22.91%
22.94%
22.98%
22.79%
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$1,385
$0
$16,616
(=)
6% ISR
67
2012
Estado de resultados del segundo ao en el escenario optimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
AO 2
Acumulado
Mes 24
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$43,936
$527,231
Costo de ventas
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$22,185
$266,222
Materia prima
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$14,776
$177,312
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$6,143
$73,710
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$21,751
$261,009
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$8,008
$103,090
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$57,330
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$4,778
$57,330
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$3,230
$38,760
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$2,730
$32,760
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$13,743
$157,919
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$1,832
$1,777
$1,721
$1,666
$1,610
$1,555
$1,499
$1,444
$1,388
$1,333
$1,277
$1,222
$18,324
$11,911
$11,966
$12,022
$12,077
$12,133
$12,188
$12,244
$12,299
$12,355
$12,411
$12,466
$12,522
$139,595
$715
$718
$721
$725
$728
$731
$735
$738
$741
$745
$748
$751
$8,376
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$11,196
$11,248
$11,301
$11,353
$11,405
$11,457
$11,509
$11,562
$11,614
$11,666
$11,718
$11,770
$131,219
25.48%
25.60%
25.72%
25.84%
25.96%
26.08%
26.20%
26.31%
26.43%
26.55%
26.67%
26.79%
24.89%
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$66,616
(=)
6% ISR
68
2012
Estado de resultados del tercer ao en el escenario optimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
AO 3
Acumulado
Mes 36
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$48,439
$581,272
Costo de ventas
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$24,007
$288,082
Materia prima
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$16,291
$195,487
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$77,396
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$24,432
$293,190
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$107,595
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$40,398
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$34,398
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$16,050
$185,595
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$1,166
$1,111
$1,055
$1,000
$944
$889
$833
$778
$722
$667
$611
$556
$10,330
$14,883
$14,939
$14,994
$15,050
$15,106
$15,161
$15,217
$15,272
$15,328
$15,383
$15,439
$15,494
$175,265
$893
$896
$900
$903
$906
$910
$913
$916
$920
$923
$926
$930
$10,516
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$13,990
$14,043
$14,095
$14,147
$14,199
$14,251
$14,304
$14,356
$14,408
$14,460
$14,512
$14,564
$164,749
28.88%
28.99%
29.10%
29.21%
29.31%
29.42%
29.53%
29.64%
29.74%
29.85%
29.96%
30.07%
28.34%
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$5,551
$0
$66,616
(=)
6% ISR
69
2012
Estado de resultados del cuarto ao en el escenario optimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
AO 4
Acumulado
Mes 48
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$55,977
$671,718
Costo de ventas
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$26,190
$314,277
Materia prima
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$18,473
$221,682
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$6,450
$77,396
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$29,787
$357,441
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$8,383
$107,595
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$5,016
$60,197
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$3,367
$40,398
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$2,867
$34,398
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$21,404
$249,846
(=)
(-)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
(-)
$500
$458
$417
$375
$333
$292
$250
$208
$167
$125
$83
$42
$3,250
$20,904
$20,946
$20,987
$21,029
$21,071
$21,112
$21,154
$21,196
$21,237
$21,279
$21,321
$21,362
$246,596
$1,254
$1,257
$1,259
$1,262
$1,264
$1,267
$1,269
$1,272
$1,274
$1,277
$1,279
$1,282
$14,796
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$19,650
$19,689
$19,728
$19,767
$19,806
$19,845
$19,885
$19,924
$19,963
$20,002
$20,041
$20,080
$231,800
35.10%
35.17%
35.24%
35.31%
35.38%
35.45%
35.52%
35.59%
35.66%
35.73%
35.80%
35.87%
34.51%
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$4,167
$0
$50,000
(=)
6% ISR
70
2012
Estado de resultados del quinto ao en el escenario optimista.
Estado de Resultados:
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
AO 5
Acumulado
Mes 60
CAF-TAL
(-)
Ventas
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$61,714
$740,569
Costo de ventas
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$28,406
$340,870
Materia prima
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$20,367
$244,404
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$6,772
$81,265
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$850
$10,200
Depreciacin de equipo
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$417
$5,000
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$33,308
$399,700
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$8,777
$112,324
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$63,206
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$5,267
$63,206
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$3,510
$42,118
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$500
$6,000
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$3,010
$36,118
(=)
Utilidad Bruta
(-)
Gastos de Operacin
Gastos de Administracin
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$583
$7,000
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$287,375
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$24,531
$287,375
(=)
(-)
(-)
(=)
6% ISR
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$1,472
$17,243
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$23,059
$270,133
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
37.36%
36.48%
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
71
2012
Escenario optimista.
Balance general.
Balance general del primer ao en el escenario optimista.
Balance General
AO 1
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
Mes 12
Acumulado
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
$62,968
$0
$7,604
$70,572
$71,190
$0
$7,604
$78,794
$79,424
$0
$7,604
$87,028
$87,671
$0
$7,604
$95,275
$95,932
$0
$7,604
$103,536
$104,205
$0
$7,604
$111,809
$112,492
$0
$7,604
$120,096
$120,791
$0
$7,604
$128,395
$129,103
$0
$7,604
$136,707
$137,429
$0
$7,604
$145,033
$145,767
$0
$7,604
$153,371
$152,936
$0
$8,787
$161,723
$152,936
$0
$8,787
$161,723
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
$30,000
$100,000
-$417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$167
$50,000
-$417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$333
$50,000
-$833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$1,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$500
$50,000
-$1,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$1,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$667
$50,000
-$1,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$833
$50,000
-$2,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,000
$50,000
-$2,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$2,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,167
$50,000
-$2,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$3,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,333
$50,000
-$3,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$3,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,500
$50,000
-$3,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$4,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,667
$50,000
-$4,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$4,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$1,833
$50,000
-$4,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,000
$50,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,000
$50,000
-$5,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$199,000
$198,000
$197,000
$196,000
$195,000
$194,000
$193,000
$192,000
$191,000
$190,000
$189,000
$188,000
$188,000
Activo total
$269,572
$276,794
$284,028
$291,275
$298,536
$305,809
$313,096
$320,395
$327,707
$335,033
$342,371
$349,723
$349,723
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$48,464
$47,080
$45,695
$44,310
$42,926
$41,541
$40,156
$38,772
$37,387
$36,002
$34,617
$33,233
$33,233
Pasivo total
$48,464
$47,080
$45,695
$44,310
$42,926
$41,541
$40,156
$38,772
$37,387
$36,002
$34,617
$33,233
$33,233
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$212,515
$0
$8,593
$212,515
$8,593
$8,606
$212,515
$17,199
$8,619
$212,515
$25,818
$8,632
$212,515
$34,450
$8,645
$212,515
$43,095
$8,658
$212,515
$51,753
$8,671
$212,515
$60,424
$8,684
$212,515
$69,109
$8,697
$212,515
$77,806
$8,710
$212,515
$86,516
$8,723
$212,515
$95,239
$8,736
$212,515
$95,239
$8,736
$221,108
$229,714
$238,333
$246,965
$255,610
$264,268
$272,939
$281,623
$290,321
$299,031
$307,754
$316,490
$316,490
Pasivo + Capital
$269,572
$276,794
$284,028
$291,275
$298,536
$305,809
$313,096
$320,395
$327,707
$335,033
$342,371
$349,723
$349,723
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
72
2012
Balance general del segundo ao en el escenario optimista.
Balance General
AO 2
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
Mes 24
Acumulado
$309,581
$0
$8,787
$318,368
$316,278
$0
$8,787
$325,065
$323,027
$0
$8,787
$331,814
$329,828
$0
$8,787
$338,616
$336,682
$0
$8,787
$345,469
$343,588
$0
$8,787
$352,375
$350,546
$0
$8,787
$359,333
$357,556
$0
$8,787
$366,343
$364,618
$0
$8,787
$373,405
$371,733
$0
$8,787
$380,520
$378,899
$0
$8,787
$387,687
$385,218
$0
$9,688
$394,906
$385,218
$0
$9,688
$394,906
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,167
$50,000
-$5,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$5,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,333
$50,000
-$5,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$6,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,500
$50,000
-$6,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$6,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,667
$50,000
-$6,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$2,833
$50,000
-$7,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,000
$50,000
-$7,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$7,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,167
$50,000
-$7,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$8,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,333
$50,000
-$8,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$8,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,500
$50,000
-$8,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$9,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,667
$50,000
-$9,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$9,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$3,833
$50,000
-$9,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,000
$50,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,000
$50,000
-$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$187,000
$186,000
$185,000
$184,000
$183,000
$182,000
$181,000
$180,000
$179,000
$178,000
$177,000
$176,000
$176,000
Activo total
$505,368
$511,065
$516,814
$522,616
$528,469
$534,375
$540,333
$546,343
$552,405
$558,520
$564,687
$570,906
$570,906
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$177,681
$172,130
$166,579
$161,027
$155,476
$149,925
$144,373
$138,822
$133,270
$127,719
$122,168
$116,616
$116,616
Pasivo total
$177,681
$172,130
$166,579
$161,027
$155,476
$149,925
$144,373
$138,822
$133,270
$127,719
$122,168
$116,616
$116,616
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$212,515
$103,975
$11,196
$212,515
$115,172
$11,248
$212,515
$126,420
$11,301
$212,515
$137,721
$11,353
$212,515
$149,073
$11,405
$212,515
$160,478
$11,457
$212,515
$171,935
$11,509
$212,515
$183,445
$11,562
$212,515
$195,006
$11,614
$212,515
$206,620
$11,666
$212,515
$218,286
$11,718
$212,515
$230,004
$11,770
$212,515
$230,004
$11,770
$327,686
$338,935
$350,235
$361,588
$372,993
$384,450
$395,960
$407,521
$419,135
$430,801
$442,519
$454,289
$454,289
Pasivo + Capital
$505,368
$511,065
$516,814
$522,616
$528,469
$534,375
$540,333
$546,343
$552,405
$558,520
$564,687
$570,906
$570,906
73
2012
Balance general del tercer ao en el escenario optimista.
Balance General
AO 3
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
Mes 36
Acumulado
$394,657
$0
$9,688
$404,345
$404,148
$0
$9,688
$413,836
$413,691
$0
$9,688
$423,379
$423,287
$0
$9,688
$432,975
$432,935
$0
$9,688
$442,623
$442,635
$0
$9,688
$452,323
$452,387
$0
$9,688
$462,075
$462,191
$0
$9,688
$471,879
$472,048
$0
$9,688
$481,736
$481,957
$0
$9,688
$491,645
$491,918
$0
$9,688
$501,605
$500,423
$0
$11,195
$511,619
$500,423
$0
$11,195
$511,619
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,167
$50,000
-$10,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$10,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,333
$50,000
-$10,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$11,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,500
$50,000
-$11,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$11,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,667
$50,000
-$11,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$4,833
$50,000
-$12,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,000
$50,000
-$12,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$12,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,167
$50,000
-$12,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$13,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,333
$50,000
-$13,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$13,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,500
$50,000
-$13,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$14,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,667
$50,000
-$14,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$14,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$5,833
$50,000
-$14,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,000
$50,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,000
$50,000
-$15,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$175,000
$174,000
$173,000
$172,000
$171,000
$170,000
$169,000
$168,000
$167,000
$166,000
$165,000
$164,000
$164,000
Activo total
$579,345
$587,836
$596,379
$604,975
$613,623
$622,323
$631,075
$639,879
$648,736
$657,645
$666,605
$675,619
$675,619
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$111,065
$105,514
$99,962
$94,411
$88,860
$83,308
$77,757
$72,205
$66,654
$61,103
$55,551
$50,000
$50,000
Pasivo total
$111,065
$105,514
$99,962
$94,411
$88,860
$83,308
$77,757
$72,205
$66,654
$61,103
$55,551
$50,000
$50,000
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$212,515
$241,774
$13,990
$212,515
$255,765
$14,043
$212,515
$269,807
$14,095
$212,515
$283,902
$14,147
$212,515
$298,049
$14,199
$212,515
$312,248
$14,251
$212,515
$326,500
$14,304
$212,515
$340,803
$14,356
$212,515
$355,159
$14,408
$212,515
$369,567
$14,460
$212,515
$384,027
$14,512
$212,515
$398,539
$14,564
$212,515
$398,539
$14,564
$468,280
$482,322
$496,417
$510,564
$524,763
$539,015
$553,318
$567,674
$582,082
$596,542
$611,054
$625,619
$625,619
Pasivo + Capital
$579,345
$587,836
$596,379
$604,975
$613,623
$622,323
$631,075
$639,879
$648,736
$657,645
$666,605
$675,619
$675,619
74
2012
Balance general del cuarto ao en el escenario optimista.
Balance General
AO 4
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
Mes 48
Acumulado
$516,906
$0
$11,195
$528,101
$533,428
$0
$11,195
$544,624
$549,990
$0
$11,195
$561,185
$566,590
$0
$11,195
$577,785
$583,230
$0
$11,195
$594,425
$599,908
$0
$11,195
$611,104
$616,626
$0
$11,195
$627,822
$633,383
$0
$11,195
$644,579
$650,180
$0
$11,195
$661,375
$667,015
$0
$11,195
$678,210
$683,890
$0
$11,195
$695,085
$699,656
$0
$12,343
$711,999
$699,656
$0
$12,343
$711,999
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,167
$50,000
-$15,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$15,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,333
$50,000
-$15,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$16,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,500
$50,000
-$16,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$16,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,667
$50,000
-$16,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$6,833
$50,000
-$17,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,000
$50,000
-$17,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$17,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,167
$50,000
-$17,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$18,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,333
$50,000
-$18,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$18,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,500
$50,000
-$18,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$19,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,667
$50,000
-$19,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$19,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$7,833
$50,000
-$19,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,000
$50,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,000
$50,000
-$20,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$163,000
$162,000
$161,000
$160,000
$159,000
$158,000
$157,000
$156,000
$155,000
$154,000
$153,000
$152,000
$152,000
Activo total
$691,101
$706,624
$722,185
$737,785
$753,425
$769,104
$784,822
$800,579
$816,375
$832,210
$848,085
$863,999
$863,999
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$45,833
$41,667
$37,500
$33,333
$29,167
$25,000
$20,833
$16,667
$12,500
$8,333
$4,167
$0
$0
Pasivo total
$45,833
$41,667
$37,500
$33,333
$29,167
$25,000
$20,833
$16,667
$12,500
$8,333
$4,167
$0
$0
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$212,515
$413,104
$19,650
$212,515
$432,753
$19,689
$212,515
$452,442
$19,728
$212,515
$472,170
$19,767
$212,515
$491,937
$19,806
$212,515
$511,743
$19,845
$212,515
$531,589
$19,885
$212,515
$551,473
$19,924
$212,515
$571,397
$19,963
$212,515
$591,360
$20,002
$212,515
$611,362
$20,041
$212,515
$631,404
$20,080
$212,515
$631,404
$20,080
$645,268
$664,957
$684,685
$704,452
$724,258
$744,104
$763,988
$783,912
$803,875
$823,877
$843,918
$863,999
$863,999
Pasivo + Capital
$691,101
$706,624
$722,185
$737,785
$753,425
$769,104
$784,822
$800,579
$816,375
$832,210
$848,085
$863,999
$863,999
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
75
2012
Balance general del quinto ao en el escenario optimista.
Balance General
AO 5
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
Mes 60
Acumulado
$723,715
$0
$12,343
$736,058
$747,775
$0
$12,343
$760,118
$771,834
$0
$12,343
$784,177
$795,894
$0
$12,343
$808,236
$819,953
$0
$12,343
$832,296
$844,012
$0
$12,343
$856,355
$868,072
$0
$12,343
$880,415
$892,131
$0
$12,343
$904,474
$916,191
$0
$12,343
$928,533
$940,250
$0
$12,343
$952,593
$964,309
$0
$12,343
$976,652
$988,369
$0
$12,343
$1,000,712
$988,369
$0
$12,343
$1,000,712
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,417
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,167
$50,000
-$20,417
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$20,833
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,333
$50,000
-$20,833
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$21,250
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,500
$50,000
-$21,250
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$21,667
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,667
$50,000
-$21,667
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,083
$0
$0
$20,000
-$8,833
$50,000
-$22,083
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,500
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,000
$50,000
-$22,500
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$22,917
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,167
$50,000
-$22,917
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$23,333
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,333
$50,000
-$23,333
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$23,750
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,500
$50,000
-$23,750
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$24,167
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,667
$50,000
-$24,167
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$24,583
$0
$0
$20,000
-$9,833
$50,000
-$24,583
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$10,000
$50,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$30,000
$100,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$20,000
-$10,000
$50,000
-$25,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$151,000
$150,000
$149,000
$148,000
$147,000
$146,000
$145,000
$144,000
$143,000
$142,000
$141,000
$140,000
$140,000
Activo total
$887,058
$910,118
$933,177
$956,236
$979,296
$1,002,355
$1,025,415
$1,048,474
$1,071,533
$1,094,593
$1,117,652
$1,140,712
$1,140,712
Pasivo Circulante
Proveedores
Crditos bancarios
Total pasivo circulante
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Pasivo total
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
CAF-TAL
Activo circulante
Caja y bancos
Clientes
Inventarios.
Total activo circulante
Activo Fijo
Terreno
Edificio
Dep.Acum, Edificio
Equipo de transporte
Dep.Acum. de equipo de transporte
Mobiliario y equipo
Dep.Acum. de mobiliario y equipo
Maquinaria y equipo
Dep.Acum. de maquinaria y equipo
Equipo de computo
Dep.Acum. de equipo de computo
Pagina de Internet
Dep.Acum. otros activos
Capital Contable
Capital social
Resultados de ejercicios anteriores
Resultado del ejercicio
Total Capital Contable
$212,515
$651,484
$23,059
$212,515
$674,543
$23,059
$212,515
$697,603
$23,059
$212,515
$720,662
$23,059
$212,515
$743,722
$23,059
$212,515
$766,781
$23,059
$212,515
$789,840
$23,059
$212,515
$812,900
$23,059
$212,515
$835,959
$23,059
$212,515
$859,019
$23,059
$212,515
$882,078
$23,059
$212,515
$905,137
$23,059
$212,515
$905,137
$23,059
$887,058
$910,118
$933,177
$956,236
$979,296
$1,002,355
$1,025,415
$1,048,474
$1,071,533
$1,094,593
$1,117,652
$1,140,712
$1,140,712
Pasivo + Capital
$887,058
$910,118
$933,177
$956,236
$979,296
$1,002,355
$1,025,415
$1,048,474
$1,071,533
$1,094,593
$1,117,652
$1,140,712
$1,140,712
76
2012
Escenario optimista.
Flujo de efectivo.
Flujo de efectivo del primer ao en el escenario optimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 1
Mes 2
Mes 3
Mes 4
Mes 5
Mes 6
Mes 7
Mes 8
Mes 9
Mes 10
Mes 11
Mes 12
AO 1
Acumulado
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$8,593
-$1,000
$9,593
$8,606
-$1,000
$9,606
$8,619
-$1,000
$9,619
$8,632
-$1,000
$9,632
$8,645
-$1,000
$9,645
$8,658
-$1,000
$9,658
$8,671
-$1,000
$9,671
$8,684
-$1,000
$9,684
$8,697
-$1,000
$9,697
$8,710
-$1,000
$9,710
$8,723
-$1,000
$9,723
$8,736
-$1,000
$9,736
$103,975
-$12,000
$115,975
$0
-$7,604
-$7,604
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,183
-$1,183
$0
-$8,787
-$8,787
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$1,989
$9,606
$9,619
$9,632
$9,645
$9,658
$9,671
$9,684
$9,697
$9,710
$9,723
$8,553
$107,188
$0
$49,849
$0
-$1,385
$48,464
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$0
$0
-$1,385
-$1,385
$0
$49,849
$0
-$16,616
$33,233
-$200,000
$0
$0
-$200,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$200,000
$0
$0
-$200,000
$212,515
$212,515
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$212,515
$212,515
$60,979
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
-$1,385
$45,748
$62,968
$8,221
$8,234
$8,247
$8,260
$8,273
$8,286
$8,299
$8,312
$8,325
$8,338
$7,168
$152,936
$62,968
$62,968
$71,190
$71,190
$79,424
$79,424
$87,671
$87,671
$95,932
$95,932
$104,205
$104,205
$112,492
$112,492
$120,791
$120,791
$129,103
$129,103
$137,429
$137,429
$145,767
$145,767
$152,936
$0
$152,936
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
Generacin Neta Operativa
Fuentes de Instituciones de Crdito
Recursos por financiemiento corto plazo
Recursos por financiemiento largo plazo
Amortizacin de crditos bancarios corto plazo
Amortizacin de crditos bancarios largo plazo
Caja inicial
Caja final
77
2012
Flujo de efectivo del segundo ao en el escenario optimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 13
Mes 14
Mes 15
Mes 16
Mes 17
Mes 18
Mes 19
Mes 20
Mes 21
Mes 22
Mes 23
AO 2
Acumulado
Mes 24
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$11,196
-$1,000
$12,196
$11,248
-$1,000
$12,248
$11,301
-$1,000
$12,301
$11,353
-$1,000
$12,353
$11,405
-$1,000
$12,405
$11,457
-$1,000
$12,457
$11,509
-$1,000
$12,509
$11,562
-$1,000
$12,562
$11,614
-$1,000
$12,614
$11,666
-$1,000
$12,666
$11,718
-$1,000
$12,718
$11,770
-$1,000
$12,770
$137,799
-$12,000
$149,799
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$901
-$901
$0
-$901
-$901
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$12,196
$12,248
$12,301
$12,353
$12,405
$12,457
$12,509
$12,562
$12,614
$12,666
$12,718
$11,870
$148,898
$0
$150,000
$0
-$5,551
$144,449
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$150,000
$0
-$66,616
$83,384
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$144,449
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
$83,384
$156,645
$6,697
$6,749
$6,801
$6,854
$6,906
$6,958
$7,010
$7,062
$7,115
$7,167
$6,318
$232,282
$152,936
$309,581
$309,581
$316,278
$316,278
$323,027
$323,027
$329,828
$329,828
$336,682
$336,682
$343,588
$343,588
$350,546
$350,546
$357,556
$357,556
$364,618
$364,618
$371,733
$371,733
$378,899
$378,899
$385,218
$152,936
$385,218
Caja inicial
Caja final
78
2012
Flujo de efectivo del tercer ao en el escenario optimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 25
Mes 26
Mes 27
Mes 28
Mes 29
Mes 30
Mes 31
Mes 32
Mes 33
Mes 34
Mes 35
AO 3
Acumulado
Mes 36
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$13,990
-$1,000
$14,990
$14,043
-$1,000
$15,043
$14,095
-$1,000
$15,095
$14,147
-$1,000
$15,147
$14,199
-$1,000
$15,199
$14,251
-$1,000
$15,251
$14,304
-$1,000
$15,304
$14,356
-$1,000
$15,356
$14,408
-$1,000
$15,408
$14,460
-$1,000
$15,460
$14,512
-$1,000
$15,512
$14,564
-$1,000
$15,564
$171,329
-$12,000
$183,329
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,507
-$1,507
$0
-$1,507
-$1,507
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$14,990
$15,043
$15,095
$15,147
$15,199
$15,251
$15,304
$15,356
$15,408
$15,460
$15,512
$14,057
$181,822
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
$0
$0
$0
-$66,616
-$66,616
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$5,551
-$66,616
$9,439
$9,491
$9,543
$9,596
$9,648
$9,700
$9,752
$9,804
$9,857
$9,909
$9,961
$8,506
$115,206
$385,218
$394,657
$394,657
$404,148
$404,148
$413,691
$413,691
$423,287
$423,287
$432,935
$432,935
$442,635
$442,635
$452,387
$452,387
$462,191
$462,191
$472,048
$472,048
$481,957
$481,957
$491,918
$491,918
$500,423
$385,218
$500,423
79
2012
Flujo de efectivo del cuarto ao en el escenario optimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 37
Mes 38
Mes 39
Mes 40
Mes 41
Mes 42
Mes 43
Mes 44
Mes 45
Mes 46
Mes 47
AO 4
Acumulado
Mes 48
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$19,650
-$1,000
$20,650
$19,689
-$1,000
$20,689
$19,728
-$1,000
$20,728
$19,767
-$1,000
$20,767
$19,806
-$1,000
$20,806
$19,845
-$1,000
$20,845
$19,885
-$1,000
$20,885
$19,924
-$1,000
$20,924
$19,963
-$1,000
$20,963
$20,002
-$1,000
$21,002
$20,041
-$1,000
$21,041
$20,080
-$1,000
$21,080
$238,380
-$12,000
$250,380
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$1,148
-$1,148
$0
-$1,148
-$1,148
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$20,650
$20,689
$20,728
$20,767
$20,806
$20,845
$20,885
$20,924
$20,963
$21,002
$21,041
$19,933
$249,233
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
$0
$0
$0
-$50,000
-$50,000
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$4,167
-$50,000
$16,483
$16,522
$16,561
$16,600
$16,640
$16,679
$16,718
$16,757
$16,796
$16,835
$16,875
$15,766
$199,233
$500,423
$516,906
$516,906
$533,428
$533,428
$549,990
$549,990
$566,590
$566,590
$583,230
$583,230
$599,908
$599,908
$616,626
$616,626
$633,383
$633,383
$650,180
$650,180
$667,015
$667,015
$683,890
$683,890
$699,656
$500,423
$699,656
Caja inicial
Caja final
80
2012
Flujo de efectivo del quinto ao en el escenario optimista.
Flujo de Efectivo
Mes 49
Mes 50
Mes 51
Mes 52
Mes 53
Mes 54
Mes 55
Mes 56
Mes 57
Mes 58
Mes 59
AO 5
Acumulado
Mes 60
CAF-TAL
Utilidad neta
+ depreciacin y amortizacin
Generacin bruta de efectivo
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$23,059
-$1,000
$24,059
$276,713
-$12,000
$288,713
Usos Operativos
Financiamiento a cuentas por cobrar
Financiamiento a inventarios
Total usos operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes Operativas
Financiamiento (amort.) proveedores
Total fuentes operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$288,713
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Usos no operativos
Venta (inversin) en activos fijos
Venta (inversin) en activos diferidos
Pago de dividendos
Total de usos no operativos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Fuentes no operativas
Aportaciones (retiros) de capital
Total fuentes no operativas
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$24,059
$288,713
$699,656
$723,715
$723,715
$747,775
$747,775
$771,834
$771,834
$795,894
$795,894
$819,953
$819,953
$844,012
$844,012
$868,072
$868,072
$892,131
$892,131
$916,191
$916,191
$940,250
$940,250
$964,309
$964,309
$988,369
$699,656
$988,369
81
Evaluaciones financieras.
Escenario pesimista.
En la siguiente tabla se seala un Valor Presente Neto mayor a cero, lo que conduce a la
aceptacin del proyecto.
(VPN)
Tasa de descuento
12.74%
Ao
FNE
F. de Desc.
FEND
-$256,118
1.0000
-$256,118
$65,496
0.8870
$58,095
2
3
$86,300
$104,717
0.7868
0.6979
$67,898
$73,077
$133,508
0.6190
$82,641
$158,118
0.5490
$86,814
1.0000
$0
1.0000
1.0000
$0
$0
1.0000
$0
1.0000
VPN
$0
$ 112,408
Se acepta el proyecto
82
2012
Tiempo de recuperacin descontado.
En la siguiente tabla se presenta una recuperacin de la inversin a los 3.69 aos de vida
econmica del proyecto, lo que demuestra que ste es aceptado a causa de que se
recuperar antes de los 5 aos, tiempo de vida de la evaluacin del proyecto.
(TRDI)
Aos
Ao
FEND
FENA
-$256,118
-$256,118
$58,095
-$198,023
2
3
$67,898
$73,077
-$130,125
-$57,048
$82,641
$25,593
$86,814
$112,408
$0
$112,408
7
8
$0
$0
$112,408
$112,408
$0
$112,408
10
$0
TRDI
$112,408
3.69
Aos
Se acepta el proyecto
En el escenario pesimista el proyecto es factible, debido a que la TIR crea una rentabilidad
por el 26.88% de inversin y esta es mayor al 12.74% que corresponden al costo de
financiacin.
(TIR)
FEN
-$256,118
$65,496
$86,300
$104,717
$133,508
$158,118
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
26%
1.0000
0.7937
0.6299
0.4999
0.3968
0.3149
0.2499
0.1983
0.1574
0.1249
0.0992
VPN (+)
TIR Excel
-$256,118
$51,981
$54,359
$52,348
$52,970
$49,788
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5,328
26.88%
Se acepta el proyecto
83
2012
ndice de rendimiento o rentabilidad.
A continuacin la tabla presenta un ndice de rentabilidad que muestra que por cada peso
invertido se obtendrn .44 pesos, demostrando nuevamente la viabilidad del proyecto.
(IRR)
$ 368,526
$256,118
IRR
$1.44
Pesos
Se acepta el proyecto
Punto de equilibrio.
23,573
$281,325
VENTAS
GASTOS FIJOS
GASTOS VARIABLES
UTILIDAD DE OPERACIN (EBIT)
$369,480
$184,200
$127,560
$57,720
100%
49.9%
34.5%
15.6%
84
2012
Escenario inercial.
A continuacin se tiene la tabla que muestra un Valor Presente Neto mayor a cero, lo que
indica que el proyecto califica para ser aceptado.
(VPN)
Tasa de descuento
12.74%
Ao
FNE
F. de Desc.
FEND
-$259,616
1.0000
-$259,616
$97,429
0.8870
$86,419
2
3
$133,675
$156,474
0.7868
0.6979
$105,171
$109,196
$212,425
0.6190
$131,490
$245,337
0.5490
$134,702
1.0000
$0
1.0000
1.0000
$0
$0
1.0000
$0
1.0000
VPN
$0
$ 307,363
Se acepta el proyecto
85
2012
Tiempo de recuperacin descontado.
En la tabla siguiente vemos que se hizo una evaluacin del proyecto a 5 aos dando como
resultado un TRDI de 2.62 aos despus de iniciar su funcionamiento, lo que muestra un
rescate de la inversin en casi la mitad de la vida econmica evaluada, por lo tanto se
acepta el proyecto.
(TRDI)
Aos
Ao
FEND
FENA
-$259,616
-$259,616
$86,419
-$173,197
2
3
$105,171
$109,196
-$68,026
$41,170
$131,490
$172,661
$134,702
$307,363
$0
$307,363
7
8
$0
$0
$307,363
$307,363
$0
$307,363
10
$0
TRDI
$307,363
2.62
Aos
Se acepta el proyecto
En la tabla que a continuacin se muestra tenemos una Tasa Interna de Rendimiento que
garantiza la rentabilidad del proyecto por una inversin del 46.79%, tambin se observa la
viabilidad del proyecto puesto que la TIR es mayor al costo de financiacin que es del
12.74%, en la que por regla esta ha de ser superior al costo de la financiacin o costo de
capital.
Tasa Interna de Rendimiento
(TIR)
FEN
-$259,616
$97,429
$133,675
$156,474
$212,425
$245,337
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
46%
1.0000
0.6849
0.4691
0.3213
0.2201
0.1507
0.1032
0.0707
0.0484
0.0332
0.0227
VPN (+)
TIR Excel
-$259,616
$66,732
$62,711
$50,279
$46,751
$36,983
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$3,840
46.79%
Se acepta el proyecto
86
2012
ndice de rendimiento o rentabilidad.
En la evaluacin del ndice de rentabilidad se observa que por cada peso invertido se
obtendrn 1.18 pesos lo que refleja la viabilidad del proyecto, esto se representa en la
siguiente tabla.
(IRR)
$ 566,979
$259,616
IRR
$2.18
Pesos
Se acepta el proyecto
Punto de equilibrio.
23,445
$279,901
VENTAS
GASTOS FIJOS
GASTOS VARIABLES
UTILIDAD DE OPERACIN (EBIT)
$419,760
$184,200
$143,520
$92,040
100%
43.9%
34.2%
21.9%
87
2012
Escenario optimista.
En la siguiente tabla vemos nuevamente que el Valor Presente Neto es mayor a cero, por lo
tanto el proyecto es aceptado.
(VPN)
Tasa de descuento
12.79%
Ao
FNE
F. de Desc.
FEND
-$262,364
1.0000
-$262,364
$119,556
0.8866
$106,000
2
3
$159,543
$184,952
0.7861
0.6970
$125,415
$128,905
$245,708
0.6179
$151,832
$282,133
0.5479
$154,573
1.0000
$0
1.0000
1.0000
$0
$0
1.0000
$0
1.0000
VPN
$0
$ 404,362
Se acepta el proyecto
88
2012
Tiempo de recuperacin descontado.
(TRDI)
Aos
Ao
FEND
FENA
-$262,364
-$262,364
$106,000
-$156,364
2
3
$125,415
$128,905
-$30,948
$97,956
$151,832
$249,788
$154,573
$404,362
$0
$404,362
7
8
$0
$0
$404,362
$404,362
$0
$404,362
10
$0
TRDI
$404,362
2.24
Aos
Se acepta el proyecto
La tabla siguiente presenta una Tasa Interna de Rendimiento que garantiza la rentabilidad
del proyecto por una inversin del 56.13%, esto denota la viabilidad del proyecto dado que la
TIR es mayor al costo de financiacin que es del 12.79%, segn la regla donde la TIR ha de
ser superior al costo de la financiacin.
(TIR)
FEN
-$262,364
$119,556
$159,543
$184,952
$245,708
$282,133
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
56%
1.0000
0.6410
0.4109
0.2634
0.1689
0.1082
0.0694
0.0445
0.0285
0.0183
0.0117
VPN (+)
TIR Excel
-$262,364
$76,638
$65,558
$48,718
$41,488
$30,537
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$576
56.13%
Se acepta el proyecto
89
2012
ndice de rendimiento o rentabilidad.
En la tabla siguiente vemos que el ndice de rentabilidad indica que por cada peso invertido
se obtienen 1.54 pesos, por lo tanto el proyecto es viable.
(IRR)
$ 666,726
$262,364
IRR
$2.54
Pesos
Se acepta el proyecto
Punto de equilibrio.
23,366
$280,243
VENTAS
GASTOS FIJOS
GASTOS VARIABLES
UTILIDAD DE OPERACIN (EBIT)
$456,240
$184,200
$156,360
$115,680
100%
40.4%
34.3%
25.4%
90
2012
12. Conclusiones
a. Puntos dbiles
b. Puntos fuertes
Precios competitivos.
Variedad en productos.
Atencin al cliente
c. Amenazas
d. Oportunidades
Apoyo gubernamental.
e. Riesgos
Que llegara a ubicarse una empresa del mismo rubro y de gran tamao en la zona.
f. Seguridad
En primer lugar se tiene como punto a favor que no hay competidores directos y nuestra
empresa es innovadora en la comunidad. En segundo lugar las proyecciones financieras a
cinco aos y en los tres escenarios (pesimista, inercial y optimista), realizadas en el sistema
91
2012
SAAFI, arrojaron resultados positivos evaluando al presente como un proyecto viable para
lanzarse al mercado.
g. Impactos
Al inicio de actividades se generarn 4 empleos que beneficiarn a habitantes de la localidad,
aumentando conforme la empresa vaya creciendo, contribuyendo con esto al mejoramiento
de la economa de la poblacin.
92