Greenville Satellite Town

sheet No. / Title :

STUDENT'S NAME.
Abuja, Nigeria
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04
Population
/Land Use
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COURSE/SEM.
SCHOOL
SUPERVISORS
DATE
Urban Design
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
Mathematical & Direct Method: Direct methods operate with past population
records, usually population changes approx. to geometric progression.Graphical methods
aremost useful for short-termprojectionswhendemographic changesshow stabletrends.
Other methods of projecting population data are:
Employment Method: Useof workerspopulationtoco-relatetotal city population.
Ratio Method: Useof Changesinageographical areaasafunctionof thoseexperienced
inwider areas,
Male Female
Both
sexes
Growth
Rate
2006
733,172 673,067 1,406,239 9.3 778, 567 1,902,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2,087,921 2,291,413 2,514,738 2,759,829 3,028,807 3,324,000
source: (http://nigeria.unfpa.org/abuja.html).accessed, Jan 2013
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6
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7
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8
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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3
YEARS
POPULATION
SIZE
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
5,500,000
6,000,000
6,500,000
FIG: CURVE SHOWING POPULATION INCREASE PROJECTED OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS
Using the direct mathematical method of population projection, we have
arrived at thecurveabovewhich explains how steep theincreaseshall bein
thecoming 10 years.
LAND USE AND DENSITY PROJECTIONS
60% of Abuja Population (2,800,000) livein 5 satelliteTowns
1,680,000 livein 5 satellitetowns.
Assuming an annual population growth rateof 9.3 as given,
I n 10 years time, by 2023:
Abuja Population will =6,623,277
Now all things being equal, 60% or moreof thesewould still haveto
livein satellitetowns.
Therefore, 60% of 6,623,277 =3,973,966 (thisisthefigurewehavetoaccommodatein
10yrs)
THE APPROACH
I f weadopt a 5-phasedevelopment plan:
Every 2 years wewould haveto providefor 3,973,966 / 5 =794,793
I nvariably, Every 6 months wewould havetoo cater for 794,793 / 4
which is =158,988
(approximately 160,000 persons giving allowancefor possibleincrease).
CONCLUSI ON
Thereforethesatellitetown would bedeveloped to cater for
Housing needs of 100,000 persons.This represents morethan half
of thepopulation demand whiletheremaining would be
distributed evenly over theother satellitetowns and themain
Abuja municipality.
Development of thenew township would beconducted in phases.
And in collaboration with industries and privateinvestors.
FEASI BI LI TY CHECK
Roughly: I block of (36nos.) 3BHK flats having averagedensity of 5
persons per dwelling unit would house 160 persons,
thereforeabout 10 of such blocks can accomodate1,600 persons and 10
clusters of such blocks can accomodate16,000.
(whichisclosetoour figure) andis feasibletoconstruct within6months)
AT PRESENT,
Sizeis thephysical extent of thecity or theareameasured in Sq.kms, whereas
Density refers to thedistribution of population over theextent of thecity.
Density can be calculated in several ways number oI people per square
kilometer or number of dwelling units per squarekilometer etc.
when development is well spread out over aland area= low density
when development is compact on agiven land area= high density
CATEGORY SUB - CATEGORY TYPI CAL
DENSI TY
HOUSI NG TYPE / DESCRI PTI ON
RESI DENTI AL LOW DENSITY
I NCOME
LEVEL
10-15 DU/AC high income
earners
attached (and detatched) g+1 housing models
This classification is characterized by single
family residential development ranging from
large lot with on-site well and septic systems
MEDIUM DENSITY 20-30 DU/AC above average &
middle income
earners
3bhk housing models
This classification is characterized by townhouse
and condominium development
HIGH DENSITY
35-45 DU/AC low income
earners
1bhk & 2bhk housing models
This classification would permit multi-story
multifamily housing
COMMERCI AL NEIGHBOURHOOD
COMMERCIAL
COMMUNITY
COMMERCIAL
REGIONAL
COMMERCIAL
20,000 sf/ac
12,500 sf/ac
10,000 sf/ac
this classification is to provide neighborhood
commercial services. These areas contain act
as local centers of economic activity.
supports retail, office, or institutional uses that serve
multiple neighborhoods, but generally do not attract
residents from outside the area. An example includes
neighborhood shopping centers.
reserved for large scale shopping centers and regional
malls, big box retailers, entertainment centers and similar
retail uses that have the potential to attract consumers
from major portions of the city,
MI XED-USE
NEIGHBORHOOD
MIXED-USE
COMMUNITY
MIXED-USE
REGIONAL
MIXED-USE
includes residential units located either above
and/or next to the commercial, office, or
institutional uses.
OFFI CI AL /
ADMI NSTRATI VE
LIGHT INDUSRIAL 12,500 sf/ac
Light industrial uses should be located within
industrial parks,with rail and highway access and
in limited locations on major arterials but not
within close proximity of residential uses.
Typical uses include light assembly, fabrication,
warehouse flex etc.
I NDUSRI AL
I NSTI TUI ONAL
AGRI CULTURE
10,000 -
15,000 sf/ac
all government offices, courts, police stations,
police posts, etc
Institutional uses include schools, health
intitutions, Hotels and houses of worship.
RECREATI ONAL open spaces, parks, Theatres,
Hotels,Restaurants, Bars etc
Agriculture includes the full range of agricultural
activities consistent with city health and
nuisance requirements, including cropland and
animal husbandry.
PROJ ECTED
LAND SI ZE
At amax net density of 45du/ac, and assumingapopulation
of 5personsper dwellingUnit,
45x 5=225persons/acr
thereforefor atarget pop. of 100,000: 100,000/225=444acr
approx. 450acres(or more) excludinglandfor agricultureandcommercial activities
PRODUCED BY AN AUTODESK EDUCATIONAL PRODUCT
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