Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Todays Agenda
1. Overview of the Private Equity Industry / Asset Class 2. Basics of PE Investments 3. Current PE Industry Update 4. Useful Resources 5. Selected Case Studies
Alternative investments with a high-risk, high-return profile Typically investing in illiquid, non-publicly traded or unregulated securities High use of debt (financial leverage) to boost equity returns
Alternative asset classes
High Private Private equity equity Hedge Hedge funds funds Commodities Commodities Equity Equity Risk Medium High-yield High-yield bonds bonds Corporate Corporate bonds bonds Government Government bonds bonds Low Low <10% Deposits Deposits Medium 10 20% High >20%
Expected return
Focus of PE101
Private equity VC Early stage First stage Initial expansion of sales or manufacturing Growth capital Expansion stage Second stage Third stage Bridge loans Fundoffunds Buy & build Turnarounds Buyouts LBO
Seed
Start-up
Working Financing Financing capital for of major during the expansion growth transition from being privately to publicly owned
Existing business that experienced trading difficulties, with a view to reestablishing prosperity
Disadvantages
Historically attractive returns Levered returns on equity via high debt-toequity ratios Long-term strategy, ability to add value Diversification Limited correlation to public markets (in theory) Superior governance model Helps to solve the principal-agent problem at the board level No public company costs or need to perform well on a consistent quarterly basis Strong management incentives Typically employ generous stock incentive programs, require co-invest from managers Tax benefits Tax shield through debt Capital gains treatment for profits
Illiquid Typical 3-7 year holding period Usually majority ownership Difficult to mark-to-market High fees 2% annual management fee and 20% of profits (2 and 20) is typical, coming down somewhat Relies on leverage to enhance returns Needs healthy bond and loan markets High risk large range between returns of top and bottom quartile fund Increasingly competitive, particularly in some sectors/markets More deals are intermediated vs. proprietary, more auction processes Large capital inflows into emerging markets
2. Basics of PE Investments
Limited partnerships with a fixed life of 7-10 years Defined investment period Fund may target 7-20 investments over its life
Acquisition 5
Acquisition 4 Marketing and capital raising Marketing and fundraising Acquisition 3 Acquisition 2 Acquisition 1 Marketing and capital raising
Transaction sourcing
Year
-1
10
From screening to close of transaction can often take 6 months or more Hold periods anywhere between 3 and 7 years are typical, depending on the type of investment
Life cycle
Due diligence
Entry
Active ownership
Exit
Activities
Deal Flow Screening Stable CFs Strong Management Value Creation Dynamics
Acquisition price Management Management principles and Incentives structure Financing Structure Re-organisation Maximise Returns Establish and Align Interests monitor aggressive business plan
Key Personnel
Deal Sources
The ability to source transactions is a key success factor for PE firms Successful sourcing draws on deep industry relationships, a firms reputation, and appropriate timing A typical firm will evaluate (on some level) hundreds of potential opportunities per year
Firm level
Overview of the TargetCos strategy and business model Assess the feasibility of managements business plan Identify operational, market, financial, environmental and other risk factors and develop a mitigation plan Explore operational and market upside opportunities Analyse the cash generation and debt capacity of TargetCo Quantify the upside and downside
Macroeconomics outlook, sector thesis and trends Check regulation of the given industry Understand customer trends and behavior of the industry Analyse competitors within the same market segment
Limited Partners
Fund LLP Equity / Shareholder Loans
General Partner
Bank
Investing in high cash-flow generating companies allows high leverage (debt) Pay-down of debt over investment life boosts equity value relative to earnings/enterprise value growth
At Initial Investment EBITDA Purchase Multiple Purchase Price Less: Debt (5x multiple) Initial Equity Investment At Exit EBITDA Exit Multiple Enterprise Value Less: Debt Remaining Exit Equity Value
1,200
250
800
250 in debt repayment 400 in EBITDA growth (50 x 8x multiple) Potential for further growth through multiple expansion
Debt
500
950
Equity
300
Initial Investment
Exit Considerations
Recapitalisation
Could be to a strategic party or another PE firm Sale to strategic is company-dependent (needs to be a strategic fit) Sale to PE firm is dependent on financing markets Typically only a partial monetization at IPO, followed by subsequent secondary offerings to sell down full stake Enables participation in future growth Not an exit, but rather a monetization event Company re-levers and uses proceeds to pay large dividend Often utilized if PE firm wants to partially monetize investment and either i) wants to retain upside in business, or ii) cannot receive value it believes is appropriate
Sale
IPO
PE funds raised peaked in 2007-2008 Fundraising has been slow to recover after the financial crisis, large overhang of dry powder remains
Private Equity Funds Raised (US$ billions)1 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 297.1 260.0 127.6 661.9 676.5
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 1H2011
Note: 1 Includes all PE funds (buyout, VC, mezzanine, secondary, etc.). Source: Preqin
Deal volumes show a similar trend Aggregate values have recovered somewhat since hitting a 5-year low in mid-2009
Note: 1 Includes all PE funds (buyout, VC, mezzanine, secondary, etc.). Source: Preqin
Exit volumes have recovered strongly from the financial crisis as the large volume of deals originated in 2005-2007 reach maturity
Note: 1 Includes all PE funds (buyout, VC, mezzanine, secondary, etc.). Source: Preqin
The leveraged loan markets in the US and Europe began to rebound in 2010, with strong pricing gains and more access to leverage for private equity transactions This trend has continued in the first half of 2011, however the recent European debt crisis and continued market volatility in the US has brought volumes virtually to a halt in 2H 2011 so far Pricing is decreasing and yields increasing in both the leveraged loan and high-yield bond markets
Funds increasingly turning to higher growth emerging markets as US/EU stagnates Risk of over-heating in several markets: China, Brazil, India
Demand from LPs and more competitive marketplace leading firms to increasingly specialize in a particular geography or sector
Larger firms expanding sector teams or raising separate, specialized funds (Carlyle model) Reduced availability of leverage means firms are more reliant on value creation for return Creation or investment in separate portfolio company teams Secondary market for LP interests developed in mid-2000s and has continued to expand Many large secondary funds raised in the last 2 years
Returns performance of many funds raised in 2005-2007 has been poor Fundraising difficulties for funds that have underperformed, firms raising smaller funds Industry is increasingly being targeted by regulators/politicians, particularly in Europe Accusations of asset-stripping, outsized compensation, poor employment record
4. Useful Resources
BVCA: www.bvca.co.uk EVCA: www.evca.eu Emerging Markets Private Equity Association: www.empea.net
News
Subscribe to NYTimes DealBook for daily emails aggregating major PE stories http://dealbook.nytimes.com/ eFinancial News: Comprehensive industry news source www.efinancialnews.com FT Private Equity coverage www.FT.com/privateequity PE Hub: Daily email with industry news and commentary, venture-focused www.pehub.com S&P LCD: Like their facebook page for free access to leverage finance market stats www.facebook.com/lcdcomps
Library Databases
Capital IQ: Very useful for deal info and downloading excel financials / valuation stats for public companies Bloomberg: Transaction searches and public company data (also get their iPhone app, its amazing) VentureXpert
Website aggregates research and case studies on private equity from the academic community Semi-annual publication, Private Equity Findings, very useful for summary of latest PE research Blog on their website: http://www.collerinstitute.com/
Peter Temple