Extraction Budgets

Proved Reserves

Current Extraction

Principled Extraction Limits for 2° Budget Compatib ility
Equal Share
Fuel Mix: Oil 40%,
Gas First: Gas 100%,
Oil First: Oil 100%,
Coal First: Coal 30%,
Equal Per Capita
2011
Fossil
Of Reserves
Gas 40%, Coal 11% Of Reserves
Oil 10%, Coal 6% Of Reserves
Gas 2%, Coal 2% Of Reserves
Oil 4%, Gas 4% Of Reserves
Extraction
Oil
Gas
Coal Potential
Oil
Gas Coal Emissions Extraction
Total
Oil
Gas Coal Total
Oil
Gas Coal Total
Oil
Gas
Coal Total
Oil
Gas Coal
Bn bl Trn m3 Mio t Emissions 2011 2011 2011
2011
% of
% of
% of
% of
% of
% of
% of
Country
2010 2010 2011
Gt CO2 Mio bl Bn m3 Mio t Mio t CO2 Potential Gt CO2 Potential Gt CO2 Potential Gt CO2 Potential Bn bl Trn m3 Bn t Gt CO2 Potential Bn bl Trn m3 Bn t Gt CO2 Potential Bn bl Trn m3 Bn t Gt CO2 Potential Bn bl Trn m3 Bn t
USA
30.9
8.2 237295
500.8 2862
651 993
4195
0.8
24.6
5
105.2
21
62.7
13
12.3
3.3 26.1
45.9
9
3.1
8.2 14.2
19.6
4
30.9
0.2
4.7
143.4
29
1.2
0.3 71.2
Russia
86.6
44.4 157010
430.2 3752
607 334
3071
0.7
11.2
3
90.3
21
81.0
19
34.6
17.8 17.3
110.3
26
8.7
44.4 9.4
35.5
8
86.6
0.9
3.1
98.9
23
3.5
1.8 47.1
China
14.8
2.9 114500
239.4 1493
103 3520
7718
3.2
105.3
44
50.3
21
29.3
12
5.9
1.1 12.6
19.9
8
1.5
2.9 6.9
9.4
4
14.8
0.1
2.3
69.1
29
0.6
0.1 34.4
Australia
3.8
3.7 76400
161.3
177
45 415
977
0.6
1.8
1
33.9
21
20.2
13
1.5
1.5
8.4
16.6
10
0.4
3.7 4.6
4.4
3
3.8
0.1
1.5
46.2
29
0.2
0.1 22.9
India
5.8
1.1 60600
125.3
313
46 588
1369
1.1
94.5
75
26.3
21
15.0
12
2.3
0.5
6.7
9.8
8
0.6
1.1 3.6
4.3
3
5.8
0.0
1.2
36.5
29
0.2
0.0 18.2
Iran
151.2
33.1
0
114.1 1577
152
0
804
0.7
5.9
5
24.0
21
45.6
40
60.5
13.2
0.0
71.0
62
15.1
33.1 0.0
49.2
43
151.2
0.7
0.0
4.6
4
6.0
1.3
0.0
Venezuela
296.5
5.5
479
105.9
993
31
9
394
0.4
2.3
2
22.2
21
42.1
40
118.6
2.2
0.1
20.4
19
29.7
5.5 0.0
94.2
89
296.5
0.1
0.0
4.5
4
11.9
0.2
0.1
Saudi Arabia
264.5
8.0
0
99.9 4074
99
0
1490
1.5
2.1
2
21.0
21
40.0
40
105.8
3.2
0.0
24.4
24
26.5
8.0 0.0
84.2
84
264.5
0.2
0.0
4.0
4
10.6
0.3
0.0
Germany
0.0
0.1 40699
81.5
0
10 189
397
0.5
6.4
8
17.1
21
9.0
11
0.0
0.0
4.5
5.0
6
0.0
0.1 2.4
1.6
2
0.0
0.0
0.8
24.4
30
0.0
0.0 12.2
Kazakhstan
30.0
1.9 33600
80.5
672
19 116
483
0.6
1.3
2
16.9
21
12.7
16
12.0
0.8
3.7
8.7
11
3.0
1.9 2.0
10.9
14
30.0
0.0
0.7
20.7
26
1.2
0.1 10.1
Canada
175.2
1.8 6582
72.3 1285
160
68
865
1.2
2.8
4
15.2
21
25.1
35
70.1
0.7
0.7
9.9
14
17.5
1.8 0.4
55.9
77
175.2
0.0
0.1
6.3
9
7.0
0.1
2.0
Ukraine
0.0
0.9 33873
69.6
0
18
87
210
0.3
3.6
5
14.6
21
8.2
12
0.0
0.4
3.7
5.9
9
0.0
0.9 2.0
1.4
2
0.0
0.0
0.7
20.4
29
0.0
0.0 10.2
South Africa
0.0
0.0 30156
60.3
0
0 255
510
0.8
4.0
7
12.7
21
6.6
11
0.0
0.0
3.3
3.6
6
0.0
0.0 1.8
1.2
2
0.0
0.0
0.6
18.1
30
0.0
0.0
9.0
Qatar
24.7
25.0
0
57.9
629
147
0
493
0.9
0.1
0
12.2
21
23.2
40
9.9
10.0
0.0
50.9
88
2.5
25.0 0.0
8.8
15
24.7
0.5
0.0
2.3
4
1.0
1.0
0.0
UAE
97.8
6.1
0
43.2 1213
52
0
488
1.1
0.7
2
9.1
21
17.3
40
39.1
2.4
0.0
15.3
35
9.8
6.1 0.0
31.2
72
97.8
0.1
0.0
1.7
4
3.9
0.2
0.0
Iraq
115.0
3.2
0
42.8 1021
2
0
327
0.8
2.6
6
9.0
21
17.1
40
46.0
1.3
0.0
10.0
23
11.5
3.2 0.0
36.6
85
115.0
0.1
0.0
1.7
4
4.6
0.1
0.0
Kuwait
101.5
1.8
0
35.7 1046
13
0
357
1.0
0.3
1
7.5
21
14.3
40
40.6
0.7
0.0
6.8
19
10.2
1.8 0.0
32.2
90
101.5
0.0
0.0
1.4
4
4.1
0.1
0.0
Turkmenistan
0.6
13.4
0
26.9
79
60
0
144
0.5
0.4
1
5.7
21
10.8
40
0.2
5.3
0.0
26.8
99
0.1
13.4 0.0
0.7
3
0.6
0.3
0.0
1.1
4
0.0
0.5
0.0
Nigeria
37.2
5.1
0
22.0
897
40
0
364
1.7
13.0
59
4.6
21
8.8
40
14.9
2.0
0.0
11.4
52
3.7
5.1 0.0
12.0
55
37.2
0.1
0.0
0.9
4
1.5
0.2
0.0
Indonesia
4.2
3.0 5529
18.3
344
76 325
910
5.0
18.6
101
3.8
21
4.1
23
1.7
1.2
0.6
6.7
37
0.4
3.0 0.3
1.7
9
4.2
0.1
0.1
3.6
20
0.2
0.1
1.7
Brazil
14.2
0.4 4559
14.5
800
17
6
300
2.1
15.2
105
3.0
21
3.1
22
5.7
0.2
0.5
1.8
13
1.4
0.4 0.3
4.7
33
14.2
0.0
0.1
2.9
20
0.6
0.0
1.4
Algeria
12.2
4.5
0
12.9
631
78
0
356
2.8
2.9
23
2.7
21
5.2
40
4.9
1.8
0.0
9.4
73
1.2
4.5 0.0
4.0
31
12.2
0.1
0.0
0.5
4
0.5
0.2
0.0
Poland
0.0
0.1 5709
11.7
0
4 139
287
2.5
3.0
26
2.4
21
1.4
12
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.9
8
0.0
0.1 0.3
0.2
2
0.0
0.0
0.1
3.4
29
0.0
0.0
1.7
Mexico
11.7
0.3 1211
6.8 1072
52
16
476
7.0
8.8
129
1.4
21
2.0
30
4.7
0.1
0.1
1.2
18
1.2
0.3 0.1
3.8
55
11.7
0.0
0.0
0.9
13
0.5
0.0
0.4
Norway
6.8
2.0
0
6.2
744
101
0
439
7.0
0.4
6
1.3
21
2.5
40
2.7
0.8
0.0
4.3
69
0.7
2.0 0.0
2.2
36
6.8
0.0
0.0
0.2
4
0.3
0.1
0.0
Angola
13.5
0.0
0
4.3
637
0
0
202
4.7
1.6
37
0.9
21
1.7
40
5.4
0.0
0.0
0.4
10
1.4
0.0 0.0
4.3 100
13.5
0.0
0.0
0.2
4
0.5
0.0
0.0
UK
2.8
0.2
228
1.7
401
45
18
254
14.5
4.8
277
0.4
21
0.6
32
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.5
30
0.3
0.2 0.0
0.9
52
2.8
0.0
0.0
0.2
11
0.1
0.0
0.1
Spain
0.0
0.0
530
1.1
0
0
7
13
1.2
3.6
342
0.2
21
0.1
11
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
6
0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
30
0.0
0.0
0.2
Japan
0.0
0.0
350
0.7
0
0
1
3
0.4
10.0 1422
0.1
21
0.1
11
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
30
0.0
0.0
0.1
Italy
1.4
0.1
0
0.6
40
8
0
28
4.4
4.6
723
0.1
21
0.3
40
0.6
0.0
0.0
0.2
37
0.1
0.1 0.0
0.5
71
1.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.0
0.0
South Korea
0.0
0.0
126
0.3
0
0
2
4
1.7
3.9 1550
0.1
21
0.0
11
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
30
0.0
0.0
0.0
All Other Countries 119.1
19.4 51502
179.5 3752
640 608
3684
2.1
189.9
106
37.7
21
41.9
23
47.6
7.8
5.7
48.7
27
11.9
19.4 3.1
40.6
23
119.1
0.4
1.0
34.0
19
4.8
0.8 15.5
Total
1622
196 860938
2628 30505 3276 7695
31613
1.2
550
21
552
21
552
21
649
78
95
547
21
162
196
52
556
21
1622
4
17
553
21
65
8 258
Total 2° Budget 2013-2050:
550 Gt CO2
Share of potential to be extracted: 21%
2° Budget per year 2013-2050: 14.5 GtCO2
Country choices:
best option
medium options
worst option
Sources: BP Statistical Review 2012 (Reserves), http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population (Population)
Conversions: Billion Barrels of Oil to GtCO2: 0.317; Trillion Cubic Meters of Gas to GtCO2: 2; Billion Tons of Coal to GtCO2: 2
More information: Leave it in the Ground Coalition (LINGO), http://leaveitinthegroundcoalition.wordpress.com/
Contact: Kjell Kühne, kjell.kuehne@gmail.com

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