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AOL Q4 2011 Earnings Presentation

AOL Q4 2011 Earnings Presentation

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Fourth Quarter 2011 Earnings Summary

Cautionary Statement Concerning Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding business strategies, market potential, future financial and operational performance and other matters. Words such as “anticipates,” “estimates,” “expects,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “intends,” “plans,” “will,” “believes” and words and terms of similar substance used in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance identify forwardlooking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and beliefs about future events. As with any projection or forecast, they are inherently susceptible to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Except as required by law, we are under no obligation to, and expressly disclaim any obligation to, update or alter any forwardlooking statements whether as a result of such changes, new information, subsequent events or otherwise. Various factors could adversely affect our operations, business or financial results in the future and cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements, including those factors discussed in detail in “Item 1ARisk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010 (“Annual Report”). In addition, we operate a web services company in a highly competitive, rapidly changing and consumer and technology-driven industry. This industry is affected by government regulation, economic, strategic, political and social conditions, consumer response to new and existing products and services, technological developments and, particularly in view of new technologies, the continued ability to protect intellectual property rights. Our actual results could differ materially from management’s expectations because of changes in such factors. Achieving our business and financial objectives, including growth in operations and maintenance of a strong balance sheet and liquidity position, could be adversely affected by the factors discussed or referenced under the “Risk Factors” section contained in the Annual Report as well as, among other things: 1) changes in our plans, strategies and intentions; 2) continual decline in market valuations associated with our cash flows and revenues; 3) the impact of significant acquisitions, dispositions and other similar transactions; 4) our ability to attract and retain key employees; 5) any cost reductions, restructuring actions or similar efforts, including with respect to any associated savings, charges or other amounts; 6) market adoption of new products and services; 7) the failure to meet earnings expectations; 8) asset impairments; 9) decreased liquidity in the capital markets; 10) our ability to access the capital markets for debt securities or bank financings; and 11) the impact of “cyber-warfare” or terrorist acts and hostilities. This presentation is not an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities. Non-GAAP Financial Measures: This presentation includes information regarding the historical financial performance of AOL through December 31, 2011 reflected in certain non-GAAP financial measures such as Adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization (OIBDA) and Free Cash Flow. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the GAAP financial measures the Company considers most comparable are set forth herein.
Page 2

Q4 Noteworthy Items
 AOL grew global advertising revenue 10%, its third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.  AOL’s total revenue decline was its lowest rate of revenue decline in 5 years.  Global Advertising revenue reflects strong growth, including: o 15% growth in global display revenue, its fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. o 20% growth in third party network revenue, its third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth and sixth consecutive

quarter of sequential growth.
o The lowest rate of search and contextual revenue decline in approximately 3 years, due in large part to growth in search

revenue on AOL.com.
o Sequential growth in search and contextual revenue for the first time in 3 years.  Subscription revenue declined at the lowest rate of decline in 5 years (18%), while monthly average churn of 2.2% continues

the trend of year-over-year churn reduction.
 AOL’s Adjusted OIBDA expenses, excluding Traffic Acquisition Costs (TAC) and an $8.5 million legal settlement were $360.4

million, down from $391.3 million and $368.0 million in Q2 and Q3 2011, respectively.
 AOL’s operating income and Adjusted OIBDA grew $46.2 million and $37.4 million sequentially. Both declined year-over-year

due to lower total revenue, strategic investments and an $8.5 million legal settlement. Net income declines year-over-year also reflect the gain on sale of AOL’s investment in Brightcove in Q4 2010.  AOL continued to make progress in key internet growth areas: o Video: AOL grew its videos, video views, video ad impressions and revenue at double-digit rates. o Brand Advertising: Project Devil advertisers, impressions and revenue grew at double-digit rates. o Local: Patch grew traffic, advertisers and ad impressions over 100% year-over-year. o Traffic: Consumer usage was flat to Q3 2011 as growth in the Huffington Post Media Group sites offset declines at MapQuest and AIM.
 AOL repurchased 3.3 million shares of common stock between its last earnings release and today at an average price of

$14.31 per share (approximately $48 million) and 13.0 million shares to date at an average price of $13.62 per share (approximately $178 million). AOL has $72 million left on its share repurchase authorization.
 Free Cash Flow grew 3% year-over-year, reflecting an approximate 50% reduction in capital expenditures and lower

restructuring payments. At December 31, 2011, AOL had $407.5 million of cash. Q4 2011 cash from continuing operations and Page 3 Free Cash Flow were negatively impacted by an $8.5 million legal settlement.

Quarterly Revenue Breakdown
$1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600
(in Millions)

$864 $801 $774 $807

Advertising Subscription Other

Y/Y % Chg. 10% -18% -35%

Q/Q % Chg. 15% 1% -17%

$ 664 $592 $596 $564 $551 $542 $532 $577

$500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10
Other

Q4'10

Q1'11

Q2'11

Q3'11

Q4'11

Advertising

Subscription

Page 4

Advertising Revenue By Quarter
$500 $450 $400 $354 $350 $305
(in Millions)

$469 $440 $417 $412

Display Search & Contextual Third Party Network

Y/Y % Chg. 15% -8% 20%

Q/Q % Chg. 25% 4% 9%

$364 $332 $314 $294 $319 $318

$300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10

Q3'10

Q4'10

Q1'11

Q2'11

Q3'11

Q4'11

Display

Search & Contextual

Third Party Network
Page 5

Quarterly Adj. OIBDA & Acquisition Related Incentive Compensation
$350
$312

$300

$285

$250

$246

$241 $231

$200
(in Millions)

$192 $166 $158

$133M excluding an $8.5M legal settlement

$150
$125

$100

$99 $77 $87

$50
$0.3 $0.2 $0.4 $1.4 $4.1 $8.4 $10.6 $9.9 $6.3

$-

$0.0

$0.2

$0.3

Q1'09

Q2'09

Q3'09

Q4'09
(1)

Q1'10

Q2'10

Q3'10

Q4'10

Q1'11

Q2'11
(2)

Q3'11

Q4'11

Adjusted OIBDA

Incentive Compensation Related to Acquired Companies

(1) Adjusted OIBDA excludes the impact of restructuring costs, noncash equity based compensation and the impact of gains and losses on all disposals of assets and noncash asset impairments. Adjusted OIBDA includes incentive compensation related to acquisitions. See page 11 for a reconciliation of Adjusted OIBDA to operating income. (2) These amounts relate to incentive cash compensation arrangements with employees of acquired companies made at the time of acquisition. Incentive compensation amounts are recorded as compensation expense over the future service period of the employees of the acquired companies. For tax purposes, a portion of these costs are treated as additional basis in the acquired entity and are not deductible until disposition of the acquired company.

Page 7

Access Subscribers and Churn Rate
9,000 8,000
Subscribers Churn Rate

4.0% 3.5% 3.0%

(in thousands)

7,000 6,000 2.5% 5,000 2.0% 4,000 3,000 2,000 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11 1.5% 1.0%

Churn Rate

Subscribers

Q1'09
Domestic AOL-brand access subscribers (in thousands) (1) Y/Y % Change Q/Q % Change 6,309 -27% -8% $18.48 3.7%

Q2'09
5,799 -28% -8% $18.27 3.5%

Q3'09
5,360 -28% -8% $18.54 3.3%

Q4'09
4,999 -27% -7% $18.53 3.0%

FY'09
4,999 -27% $18.46 3.4%

Q1'10
4,656 -26% -7% $18.31 3.0%

Q2'10
4,362 -25% -6% $18.10 2.6%

Q3'10
4,083 -24% -6% $18.10 2.6%

Q4'10
3,852 -23% -6% $18.12 2.3%

FY'10
3,852 -23% $18.16 2.6%

Q1'11
3,621 -22% -6% $17.96 2.5%

Q2'11
3,433 -21% -5% $17.53 2.2%

Q3'11
3,452 -15% 1% $17.49 2.2%

Q4'11
3,272 -15% -5% $17.87 2.2%

FY'11
3,272 -15% $17.71 2.3%

Domestic average monthly subscription revenue per AOL-brand access subscriber (ARPU)⁽² ⁾ (3) Domestic AOL-brand access subscriber monthly average churn

(1) Domestic AOL-brand access subscribers include subscribers participating in introductory free-trial periods and subscribers that are paying no monthly fees or reduced monthly fees through member service and retention programs. Individuals who have registered for our free offerings, including subscribers who have migrated from paid subscription plans, are not included in the AOL-brand access subscriber numbers presented above. (2)The average monthly subscription revenue per subscriber is calculated as average monthly subscription revenue divided by the average monthly subscribers for the applicable period. (3) Churn represents the percentage of subscribers that terminate or cancel our services, factoring in new and reactivated subscribers. Monthly average churn is calculated as the monthly average number of terminations plus cancellations divided by the initial subscriber base plus any new registrations and reactivations for the applicable period. *The increase from Q3 to Q4 2011 in ARPU reflects the impact of a price rationalization program AOL began in late Q3 2011. This program significantly reduced the number of price points and more clearly defined and enhanced the value of our product offerings for consumers. Partially offsetting the increase is the impact from the migration of certain customers into a higher priced plan that includes access.

Page 8

Unique Visitors
Q4 2011 Unique Visitors (in millions) Domestic average monthly unique visitors to AOL Properties Domestic average monthly unique visitors to AOL Advertising Network (1) 107 187 112 181 -4% 3% 107 187 0% 0% Q4 2010 Y/Y Change Q3 2011 Q/Q Change

(1) We also utilize unique visitors to evaluate the reach of our total advertising network, which includes both AOL Properties and the Third Party Network.

Page 9

Items Impacting Comparability
Three Months Ended December 31,
(in millions, except per share amounts)

Years Ended December 31,

2011
(1)

2010
$ – 0.3 – 8.0 – (8.9) (4.1) (13.6) – (18.3) 6.6 (11.7) 0.5 $ $ $ 1.6 (9.6) (0.09) (0.09) 39.9% $ $ $

2011
– (38.3) – – – (42.5) (35.2) – (8.5) (124.5) 40.2 (84.3) – – (84.3) (0.81) (0.80) 39.0% $ $ $ $

2010
(40.0) (33.8) (1,414.4) 8.0 17.5 (36.1) (6.2) 116.2 – (1,388.8) (28.2) (1,417.0) 300.0 8.2 (1,108.8) (10.40) (10.40) 39.9%

Accelerated amortization of intangible assets Restructuring costs Goodwill impairment charge Gain on sale of Brightcove investment Gain on sale of Kayak Software Corporation Equity-based compensation expense

$

– (2.8) – – – (10.8)

Retention compensation expense related to acquired companies ICQ operating income, including impact of ICQ sale Legal settlement Pre-tax impact Income tax impact (4) After-tax impact Income tax benefit related to worthless stock deduction Discontinued operations, net of tax (5) After-tax impact of items impacting comparability of net income Impact per basic common share Impact per diluted common share Effective tax rate (6)
(3)

(2)

(6.3) – (8.5) (28.4) 9.4 (19.0) – $ $ $ – (19.0) (0.20) (0.19) 39.0%

(1) Amortization of intangible assets for the year ended December 31, 2010 included the impact of the reevaluation of the useful lives of certain intangible assets in the fourth quarter of 2009 in connection with our restructuring initiative. (2) These amounts relate to incentive cash compensation arrangements with employees of acquired companies made at the time of acquisition. Incentive compensation amounts are recorded as retention compensation expense over the future service period of the employees of the acquired companies. For tax purposes, a portion of these costs are treated as additional basis in the acquired entity and are not deductible, until disposition of the acquired entity. (3) AOL sold its ICQ operations on July 8, 2010. The three months ended December 31, 2010 include an adjustment to the gain on sale of ICQ and the year ended December 31, 2010 includes the results of ICQ operations for the portion of the year prior to the sale and the gain on the sale of ICQ. (4) The income tax impact is calculated by applying the normalized effective tax rate to deductible items. Items that are not deductible include the majority of the goodwill impairment charge and a portion of the retention compensation expense, discussed above. (5) Discontinued operations, net of tax includes the results of operations of buy.at through disposition date. The results for the year ended December 31, 2010 include the pre-tax loss on the sale of buy.at and the income tax benefit associated with the capital loss deferred tax asset generated by the buy.at sale. (6) For the three months and years ended December 31, 2011 and 2010, the effective tax rates were calculated based on AOL’s normalized annual effective tax rates for 2011 and 2010, respectively.

Page 10

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures
2009 2010

(1)

2011

(in millions)
March 31

Three months ended June 30 Sep 30

Dec 31

Year ended Dec 31

March 31

Three months ended June 30 Sep 30

Dec 31

Year ended Dec 31

March 31

Three months ended June 30 Sep 30

Dec 31

Year ended Dec 31

Adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization (OIBDA): Operating income (loss) $ Add: Depreciation Add: Amortization of intangible assets Add: Restructuring costs Add: Equity-based compensation Add: Asset impairments Add: Losses/(gains) on disposal of consolidated businesses, net Add: Losses/(gains) on other asset sales Adjusted OIBDA $ Free Cash Flow:
( 3)

( 2)

141.9 $ 68.6 34.8 58.3 6.2 2.3 (0.2) 311.9 $

159.7 $ 72.2 33.3 14.4 1.6 4.3 (0.4) 285.1 $

128.6 $ 65.4 31.6 10.2 2.8 7.3 (0.1) 245.8 $

32.4 $ 462.6 54.9 261.1 38.2 137.9 106.3 189.2 1.9 12.5 9.2 23.1 (1.8) (2.5) 241.1 $ 1,083.9

$

$

80.7 $ (1,331.8) $ 54.3 51.9 62.2 35.7 23.4 11.1 9.7 9.2 1.4 1,415.9 (0.4) (0.1) 231.3 $ 191.9 $

201.1 $ 46.9 22.8 (0.4) 8.3 7.8 (119.6) (0.7) 166.2 $

67.4 $ (982.6) 43.2 196.3 24.6 145.3 (0.3) 33.8 8.9 36.1 1.4 1,426.5 13.6 (106.0) (0.8) (2.0) 158.0 $ 747.4 -

$

$

(11.8) $ 44.4 24.2 27.8 10.4 1.5 1.6 1.0 99.1 $

(5.8) $ 42.4 26.7 0.6 11.0 2.7 (1.0) 76.6 $

8.6 $ 38.3 22.6 7.1 10.3 0.9 (0.1) 87.2 $

54.8 $ 35.8 18.5 2.8 10.8 2.5 (0.6) 124.6 $

45.8 160.9 92.0 38.3 42.5 7.6 1.6 (1.2) 387.5

Cash provided (used) by continuing operations Less: Capital expenditures and product development costs Less: Principal payments on capital leases Free Cash Flow

$

$

316.6 $ 31.1 7.2 278.3 $

280.0 $ 36.0 7.6 236.4 $

176.8 $ 36.7 8.1 132.0 $

133.3 $ 31.5 8.2 93.6 $

906.7 135.3 31.1 740.3

$

$

162.9 $ 29.5 8.3 125.1 $

159.0 $ 15.8 8.7 134.5 $

164.5 $ 24.7 9.9 129.9 $

107.1 $ 25.9 10.6 70.6 $

593.5 95.9 37.5 460.1

$

$

(9.3) $ 21.2 11.0 (41.5) $

104.8 $ 14.9 12.7 77.2 $

81.1 $ 12.9 11.8 56.4 $

97.9 $ 12.8 12.5 72.6 $

274.5 61.8 48.0 164.7

(1)This schedule includes the financial measures Adjusted OIBDA and Free Cash Flow, which are non-GAAP financial measures. These measures may be different than similarly-titled non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies. The presentation of this financial information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). (2)We define Adjusted OIBDA as operating income before depreciation and amortization excluding the impact of restructuring costs, noncash equity-based compensation, gains and losses on all disposals of assets (including those recorded in costs of revenues) and noncash asset impairments. We consider Adjusted OIBDA to be a useful metric for management and investors to evaluate and compare the performance of our business on a consistent basis across reporting periods, as it eliminates the effect of noncash items such as depreciation of tangible assets, amortization of intangible assets that were primarily recognized in business combinations and asset impairments, as well as the effect of restructurings and gains and losses on asset sales, which we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. (3)We define Free Cash Flow as cash provided by continuing operations, less capital expenditures and product development costs and principal payments on capital leases. We consider Free Cash Flow to be a liquidity measure that provides useful information to management and investors about the amount of cash generated by the continuing business that, after capital expenditures, capitalized product development costs and principal payments on capital leases, can be used for strategic opportunities, including investing in our business, making strategic acquisitions, and strengthening the balance sheet. Analysis of Free Cash Flow also facilitates management's comparisons of our operating results to competitors' operating results.

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