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AO

ENERO

1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998

FEBRERO

MARZO

ABRIL

MAYO

JUNIO

2.2

1.2

1.5

3.2

0.7

1.7

22.5

38.1

22.6

6.9

2.9

122.9

310

299.3

55.6

20.4

0.4

12.3

9.5

0.8

3.1

3.5

18.8

37

3.5

9.2

79.7

22.9

9.7

4.8

16.5

105

209.8

50.1

12.3

8.9

42.2

107.8

49.2

27.4

10.1

28.5

88.5

110.3

30.2

6.6

10.1

18.3

2.9

0.8

9.2

15.4

21.6

4.4

0.9

8.1

22.8

11.7

3.8

0.7

3.4

4.4

0.4

3.5

0.6

183

220

47.5

7.2

0.8

11.8

2.5

1.6

0.6

1.8

18.4

17.2

2.3

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003

0.31

5.63

19.13

19.26

4.67

1.34

METODO DE GUMBEL

Clculo del promedio de caudales Q m :


Qm= 149.43

Clculo de la desviacin estndar de los caudales Q :


Q =

73.22

Clculo de los coeficientes N, YN:


N = 1.06283

YN = 0.52355

Obtencin de la ecuacin del caudal mximo:


Qmax = 149.43

68.8940622 0.52355

(- lnt)

Clculo del caudal mximo para diferentes T :


T=
T=

40 Qmax=
100 Qmax=

367.50
430.63

Clculo de :
Para T=50 aos =
Para T=100 aos =

0.975
0.99

Clculo del intervalo de confianza:


Como > 0.90 entonces el intervalo se calcula con la sgt. formula:
Q= +-

78.54

Clculo del caudal de diseo:


Qd=Qmax+-Q
Para T=50 aosQd=

446.04

Para T=100 aos


Qd=

509.17

JULIO

AGOSTO

SEPTIEMBRE

OCTUBRE

NOVIEMBRE

DICIEMBRE

0.4

11.8

2.9

2.4

1.8

1.8

0.5

0.2

1.4

0.5

0.2

0.1

2.3

5.7

3.6

1.2

0.4

0.4

0.2

3.3

1.7

0.6

0.5

0.3

0.1

2.4

0.8

0.4

0.5

0.1

0.5

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.8

0.28
1.15
7.89
69.58
2.64
6.18
10.80
33.77
21.01
22.48
3.48
4.34
3.95
0.68
0.34
38.38
1.44
3.31
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.57

0.30

0.11

0.07

0.05

0.04

calcula con la sgt. formula:

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.29

20.00

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998

Q
330.92
228.5
224.93
218.21
191.76
189.97
182.93
172.67
161.59
167.34
150.07
148.62
133.56
88.94
81.20
77.5
76.2
71.4
54.78
37.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Q(ordenado) Q2
330.92
109508.046
228.5
52212.25
224.93
50593.5049
218.21
47615.6041
191.76
36771.8976
189.97
36088.6009
182.93
33463.3849
172.67
29814.9289
161.59
26111.3281
167.34
28002.6756
150.07
22521.0049
148.62
22087.9044
133.56
17838.2736
88.94
7910.3236
81.20
6593.44
77.5
6006.25
76.2
5806.44
71.4
5097.96
54.78
3000.8484
37.49
1405.5001
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
0

levi
5795.74043
2730.90264
2644.62884
2485.98761
1909.23545
1872.94993
1733.61738
1540.19857
1344.16627
1444.23291
1154.49286
1131.64069
907.800731
389.266854
321.335477
291.161281
280.912647
244.662167
138.484524
59.877381
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003

0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2988.58
Qm=
149.429

0
0
0
0
0
548450.166

METODO DE NASH

Clculo del promedio de caudales Q m :


149.43
-0.59

Qm=
Xm=

Clculo de los parmetros a y b :


b=
a=

-150.92
60.45

Clculo del caudal mximo:


Qmax =

60.45

40aos
T=100aos

-150.92

Qmax=
Qmax=

356.07
416.63

Clculo de las desviaciones estndar y covarianza:


Sxx=
Sqq=
Sxq=

85.22
2037392.91
-12861.889
Xi=loglog(T/T-1)

T=50aos
T=100aos

X=
X=

T=50
T=100

Qd=
Qd=

-1.96
-2.36
395.350455
459.744569

39.28
43.12

Q=
Q=

1
1
1
1
1
28455.2946

levi
441228.3303
142711.6166
136002.5639
123950.5444
83423.65928
81056.76202
72182.16091
60445.65286
49280.99746
54885.2766
39227.16087
38068.24317
27351.79243
7680.175378
5760.205994
4968.215567
4708.222061
3826.927443
1629.678224
463.3340257
0
0
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1

T
21
10.5
7
5.25
4.2
3.5
3
2.625
2.33333333
2.1
1.90909091
1.75
1.61538462
1.5
1.4
1.3125
1.23529412
1.16666667
1.10526316
1.05
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

T/T+1
1.05
1.10526316
1.16666667
1.23529412
1.3125
1.4
1.5
1.61538462
1.75
1.90909091
2.1
2.33333333
2.625
3
3.5
4.2
5.25
7
10.5
21
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

X
-1.67388341
-1.36185338
-1.17427024
-1.0372975
-0.92775263
-0.83526645
-0.7542622
-0.68136089
-0.61432573
-0.55156174
-0.49184846
-0.43417958
-0.37765197
-0.32137124
-0.26434678
-0.20533821
-0.14257142
-0.07309291
0.00910626
0.12130349
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

QxX
-553.921498
-311.183498
-264.128606
-226.348688
-177.905845
-158.675568
-137.977184
-117.650585
-99.2688948
-92.2983421
-73.811698
-64.527769
-50.4391971
-28.5827577
-21.4649587
-15.9137111
-10.8639425
-5.21883345
0.49884066
4.54766785
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Q2
109508.05
52212.25
50593.50
47615.60
36771.90
36088.60
33463.38
29814.93
26111.33
28002.68
22521.00
22087.90
17838.27
7910.32
6593.44
6006.25
5806.44
5097.96
3000.85
1405.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

X2
2.80188567
1.85464464
1.37891061
1.07598611
0.86072495
0.69767005
0.56891147
0.46425266
0.3773961
0.30422036
0.2419149
0.18851191
0.14262101
0.10327947
0.06987922
0.04216378
0.02032661
0.00534257
8.2924E-05
0.01471454
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
1378821.519

0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-11.791825 -2405.13507

METODO DE LEBEDIEV

Clculo del promedio de caudales Q m :


Qm= 149.43

Clculos previos
()2
()3

28455.29
1378821.52

Clculo del coeficiente de variacin C v


Cv

37.72

Determinacin del coeficiente de asimetra Cs

Cs

1.28

Considerando que la avenida es


producida por una tormenta
Cs=3xCv
Cs=max

113.16
113.16

Obtencin del coeficiente K :


Para el perodo de retorno de 50
aos, el valor de P es:
P=1/T

2.5 %

Para el perodo de retorno de 100


aos, el valor de P es:
P=1/T

1%

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
548450.166

0
0
0
0
0
11.2134395

Clculo de Er
De la figura 6.3:
Cv=
Cv=

37.72
37.72

Er=
Er=

2.25
2.35

Clculo del caudal mximo:


Para T = 50 aos de la ecuacin
(6.39), se tiene:
Qmax=

12831.32

Para T = 100 aos, se tiene:


Qmax=

13394.96

Clculo del intervalo de confianza


Para N = 54 aos se puede tomar A = 0.7
Para T = 50 aos, se tiene:
Q=

Q=

4717.45
Para T = 100 aos, se tiene:
4927.11

Clculo del caudal de diseo


Para T = 50 aos:
Para T = 100 aos:

18112.40 Qd=
18322.07 Qd=

A=

0.7

U
G
h
h^3/2
2g^1/2
Longitud
L1
L2
Long total
q
d
Y

0.5
9.81
0.4
0.25298221
4.42944692
66.9301464
1.5
1.5
69.9301464
0.37352376
0.90838289
0.3641214

25