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Population and growth rate for vehicles in Mumbai Metro Region. Average Purchase Price of Cars How much it has increased in last year. Trend in New Registration of Cars by Choice of Fuel. Expected Usage of Bandra-Worli Sea-Link. How Many Vehicles (and people in them) Pass Major Traffic Junctions. How Much Auto Fuel Mumbai Consumes? How Many People Use Regular, AC & BRTS Buses? Operational Performance of BEST bus operation Growth of Public Transport in Mumbai Parking Offences and Fines in Mumbai
Information from MMRDA Transport and Communications Division's Basic Transport and communications statistics for Mumbai Metropolitan Region - August 2008
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70%
24%
6%
100%
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Utilisation , Benefits & Revenue Forecast for the Sea Link - Dar Consultants
Year Number of vehicles* using the Link (per day) Vehicles/hr - peak time (8.3% of day) Toll collection/Rs. Cr/day Toll collection - Rs. Cr/p.a. Savings in vehicle operating cost- Rs. Cr/p.a. Savings in operating & time cost -Rs. Cr/p.a. Per vehicle crossing Toll fees - Rs. Savings in vehicle operating cost -Rs.** Savings in operating & time cost -Rs. 2009 79335 6585 0.36 83 262 550 45 90 190 2013 121794 10109 0.40 147 396 814 45 89 183 2017 124720 10352 0.55 202 403 827 45 89 182
* Most vehicles would be cars , with no 2 wheelers and very few buses. Converted into Standard Passenger Car Units-PCU ( A bus and truck are equal to 3 PCUs). This is based on the assumed traffic and toll ( by Dar Consultants). **Dar Consultants asumed saving of Rs.90 per crossing in operating cost. Out of which Saving in fuel would be Rs.15 for 0.3 litres of Petrol.It is difficult to estimate the cost of time and other vehicle operating costs.
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Now we should compare the actual performance of the Sea Link in terms of : 1. Average time saved per vehicle in crossing in peak and other hours 2. How many vehicles pay the toll and how many don't during different hours of the day 3. What is the r evenue earned per day and per year We give below figures from a recent traffic count at Mahim which shows that over 13000 people use 4400 vehicles per peak hour.
# This count was conducted for 1 peak hour and can be considered adequately representative. * Based on 1.8 persons per private vehicle and 55 per bus.
It is good to understand, question and evaluate the projections and the reality. What is your guess about usership and toll collection? Please give your forecast which can be shared with others
Pl voice your views of how we should tackle the parking problem .
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How Many Vehicles (and people in them) Pass Some Major Traffic Junctions in Mumbai
All Buses Cars / Auto 2 wheelers Comm. Taxis Rickshaws Vehicles Total PCU Locations Status Passengers In** Buses 119 112 213 68 160 1328 3300 2957 2550 6004 452 0 0 0 0 466 992 900 560 880 73 90 81 30 90 2397 4233 4136 3029 6774 ChemburAkbarally's Mahim Church Dar Consultants Haji Ali Agripada (CES) Curr. Actual Curr. Actual In 2005 Curr. Actual DEC-07 5950 5600 10650 3400 8000 4 2 wheelers wheelers 3204 839 5940 5323 4590 10807 1786 1620 1008 1584 Total
** Passengers in auto rickshaws are added under 4 wheeler volumes. Above working leads to following hypotheses: The locations chosen for traffic & passenger count are among the high volume junctions. It means that current pass volume in peak hr/peak direction is nowhere more than 20,000 . This "high figure" is on western exp highway with 6-7 lanes in each direction. IT is incorrect to justify very high cost metro/mono rail projects for these volumes by assuming a secular growth in traffic at 5% plus on these arteries. As more economically and environmentally sustainable land use can reduce the traffic growth while improving on economic growth. On the other hand, if we adopt bus lane - whether median or at least at kerb - where median lane is not possible- , introduce better traffic management as well as ensure "no parking on such arteries - at least in peak hr/peak direction" and introduce 20% vehicle restraint based on the last digit of the number plates , we can achieve 30% reduction in congestion, pollution and stress reduction and improve liveability. It is possible to implement these solutions within a year and with very small investments but a stronger emphasis on fair, equitable and disciplined use of road space . It is high time we focus on such approaches especially as a strong consensus is emerging that Rs. 1600 cr Bandra Worli sea link is not going to provide any solution to the traffic jams. Let us focus on state of art discipline and traffic management which would cost Rs. 100 Cr/pa in recurring cost for extra force, training, use of IT , management of road marking, laning and other related areas . This cost can be more than recovered through higher parking fees and higher and foucssed fines which will help Mumbai to be closer to a world class city.
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Data received in response to a RTI query from : The office of Dy.Commissioner of Sales Tax
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*Compiled from responses from BEST vide letters dated 27.10.2008 , 26.11.2008 The figures in bold are key parameters for the BEST operations, and have been derived by us from the data received from BEST in response to our queries under RTI. 1. AC service as well as the current version of BRTS carry fewer passengers per day compared to regular buses 2. These services carry fewer passengers, earn less revenue than reg. buses, in spite of higher ticket price. since they drive fewer miles and have poor occupancy especially in off peak direction. 3. A point to point service using fly-overs and Sea Link, should be significantly faster and should have much higher occupancy during off peak direction and hence it should score over all other services in terms of the above key parameters.
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Source : MMRDA Transport & Communications Division (August 08)(for existing data) Basic Transport & communication statistics for Mumbai Metropolitan Region Over last several years, operational performance of BEST has remained stagnant.
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Load factor has declined from 73% to 61% Kms per bus per day have remained in a narrow range of 209 km to 214 km per day Number of passengers per bus per day has remained constant at 1300+ during last 8 years. Daily earnings have stagnated at Rs. 7000+ during the last two years .
How can the operating efficiency of buses be substantially improved in next 12 months Develop several point to point routes using flyovers, Sea Link increasing speed and number of passengers. Introduce priority bus lanes, bus stops segregated by plastic cones at suitable locations. Innovative services, use of IT, market segmentation between short and long distance users. city management should become "bus centric rather than car centric" discipline improvement at bus stops ( segrageted lane wherever possible, preventing confilcts at This will reduce congestion,make a difference to the public transport and improve profitability of BEST
Let us actually Think Rail and Act Bus - Now! What do you think? Please share your views for others.
Pl voice your views of how we should tackle the parking problem .
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Source : MMRDA Transport & Communications Division-August 08 Basic Transport & communication statistics for Mumbai Metropolitan Region * Covers western and Central Railways While the Suburban Railways have peaked out capacity, the usage of BEST has been stagnant for last 28 years! **Whereas,raising road user awareness of bus lane restrictions has resulted in clearer bus lanes and and an improved and more reliable bus service.This has encouraged more people to travel by bus, with usage up by 40 per cent In the past five years. In turn, this has helped to reduce congestion on London's roads.
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Source : Data received from Office of the Traffic Police in response to a query under RTI * Total offences include the Parking offences While traffic police apprehend a total of 23 lakh cases per year the total fine collected and fine per case is quite low. There is a urgent need to revise the fines substantially upwards, so that it provides a stronger deterrence Even for parking offences, 2/3rd amount goes for towing charges. While the vehicles are growing at 9% p.a. the number of offences apprehended have grown at a much smaller rate. This could be due to the shortage of police personnel and lack of usage of Info.Technology.
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We have gathered this information from official / reliable sources. Although we have taken maximum care about authenticity and accuracy, however we should not be held responsible for accuracy. You may reproduce any material but with due credit given to MESN
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