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Empleado 2%

Empresa 5%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 600
Min 350
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00
22,500,000,000.00
* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
2% 4%
Población 100,000.00 102,206.10 105,797.89
Salario 5,868.00 5,028.00 5,256.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 11,736,000.00 10,277,844.97 11,121,474.46
Aporte de la empresa 5% 29,340,000.00 25,694,612.43 27,803,686.15
Diferencia del Estado 166,166,184.46 218,135,394.33 194,277,222.87

Reclamos prom anual 2,960.60 3,551.76 3,148.89


70% de la población 70,000.00 71,544.27 74,058.52
Costo total 207,242,184.46 254,107,851.73 233,202,383.48

1 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%


2 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
3 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
4 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
5 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
6 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
7 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
8 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
9 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
10 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
11 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
12 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
13 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
14 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
15 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
16 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
17 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
18 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
19 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
20 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
21 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
22 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
23 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
24 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
25 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
26 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
27 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
28 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
29 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
30 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
31 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
32 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
33 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
34 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
35 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
36 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
37 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
38 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
39 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
40 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
41 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
42 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
43 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
44 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
45 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
46 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
47 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
48 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
49 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
50 2,118,607,861.28 1,800,000,000.00 9.42%
2 225 0.008888888888889

1800000000

que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
3% 3% -1% 0%
109,060.54 112,528.06 111,613.33 111,559.81
5,400.00 6,252.00 6,660.00 4,560.00
11,778,538.85 14,070,508.64 14,866,895.68 10,174,254.75
29,446,347.12 35,176,271.61 37,167,239.19 25,435,636.88
61,477,134.90 209,161,612.21 196,072,597.01 187,552,415.64

1,345.28 3,280.56 3,175.59 2,857.69


76,342.38 78,769.64 78,129.33 78,091.87
102,702,020.87 258,408,392.47 248,106,731.88 223,162,307.28

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
2300000000
8.00%
8.00% 2200000000
8.00% 2100000000
8.00%
2000000000
8.00%
1900000000
VPN

8.00%
1800000000
1700000000
1600000000
1500000000
13
14

20
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22

26
27

31
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33

37
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39

43
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45
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23
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30

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36

40
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42

46
2200000000
2100000000
2000000000
1900000000

VPN
8.00% 1800000000
8.00% 1700000000
8.00%
8.00% 1600000000
8.00% 1500000000

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

13
14

20
21
22

26
27

31
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43
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45
8.00%

10
11
12
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17
18
19

23
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25
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30

34
35
36

40
41
42

46
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACIONES
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
VALOR PRESENTE NETO APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTADO
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00%
8.00% 10.00%
PORCENTAJE

8.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
8.00% 8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 7.00%
8.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10
11
12

16
17
18

22
23
24

27
28
29

36
37
38

42
43
44
1
2
3
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8
9

13
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19
20
21

25
26

30
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39
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45
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACIONES
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE APORTE DEL ESTADO APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTAD
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
0% 3% 0% 2% 1%
111,659.94 115,047.76 114,712.46 117,345.66 118,611.66
6,576.00 4,380.00 6,684.00 5,172.00 5,940.00
14,685,515.41 10,078,184.12 15,334,761.17 12,138,234.79 14,091,065.46
36,713,788.52 25,195,460.30 38,336,902.94 30,345,586.98 35,227,663.65
143,408,737.32 72,379,807.40 221,506,416.58 86,614,034.15 225,553,454.85

2,492.36 1,336.75 3,426.93 1,571.64 3,310.59


78,161.96 80,533.43 80,298.72 82,141.96 83,028.16
194,808,041.24 107,653,451.82 275,178,080.69 129,097,855.93 274,872,183.95
20
21
22

26
27

31
32
33

37
38
39

43
44
45

49
50
17
18
19

23
24
25
28
29
30

34
35
36

40
41
42

46
47
48
20 17
21 18
22 19
23 20
21

ESTADO
24 22
25 23
26 24
27 25
28 26

SIMULACIONES
ULACIONES
29 27
30 28
31 29
32 30
33 31
34
32
33
35 34
36 35
37 36
38 37
39 38
40 39
41
40
42
41
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43 43
44 44
45 APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTADO 45
46 46
47

APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTADO


47 48
48 49
49 50
50
13 14 15 16 17
0% 1% 3% 3% 0%
118,220.73 119,745.17 123,628.32 127,321.44 127,207.50
5,280.00 6,300.00 5,472.00 5,412.00 4,932.00
12,484,108.70 15,087,891.02 13,529,883.88 13,781,272.67 12,547,748.14
31,210,271.76 37,719,727.54 33,824,709.70 34,453,181.67 31,369,370.34
71,964,206.71 209,015,741.10 214,491,696.84 166,400,197.23 181,252,735.23

1,397.61 3,123.58 3,025.73 2,408.24 2,528.71


82,754.51 83,821.62 86,539.83 89,125.01 89,045.25
115,658,587.17 261,823,359.66 261,846,290.41 214,634,651.57 225,169,853.72
18 19 20
0% 0% 0%
127,314.52 127,767.62 127,951.12
5,772.00 5,616.00 4,716.00
14,697,188.62 14,350,859.37 12,068,349.41
36,742,971.55 35,877,148.42 30,170,873.52
261,858,037.94 76,168,847.51 274,619,878.34

3,515.46 1,413.24 3,537.72


89,120.17 89,437.34 89,565.78
313,298,198.11 126,396,855.29 316,859,101.26
Empleado 3%
Empresa 7%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 600
Min 350
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
3% 0%
Población 100,000.00 103,107.93 103,192.16
Salario 4,440.00 5,448.00 7,164.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 13,320,000.00 16,851,960.69 22,178,059.83
Aporte de la empresa 5% 31,080,000.00 39,321,241.62 51,748,806.26
Diferencia del Estado 97,520,139.33 160,431,947.63 125,112,591.00

Reclamos prom anual 2,027.43 3,001.09 2,755.46


70% de la población 70,000.00 72,175.55 72,234.51
Costo total 141,920,139.33 216,605,149.94 199,039,457.09

1 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%


2 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
3 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
4 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
5 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
6 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
7 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
8 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
9 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
10 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
11 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
12 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
13 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
14 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
15 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
16 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
17 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
18 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
19 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
20 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
21 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
22 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
23 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
24 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
25 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
26 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
27 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
28 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
29 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
30 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
31 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
32 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
33 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
34 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
35 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
36 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
37 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
38 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
39 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
40 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
41 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
42 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
43 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
44 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
45 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
46 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
47 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
48 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
49 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
50 1,749,871,976.10 1,800,000,000.00 7.78%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
1% -1% 2% 3%
103,958.82 103,379.54 105,796.01 109,424.14
5,820.00 6,156.00 6,492.00 5,772.00
18,151,210.48 19,092,133.12 20,604,831.71 18,947,883.46
42,352,824.46 44,548,310.60 48,077,940.65 44,211,728.08
80,208,134.42 160,401,677.47 51,634,226.37 207,166,428.28

1,933.63 3,095.97 1,624.65 3,529.20


72,771.18 72,365.68 74,057.21 76,596.90
140,712,169.36 224,042,121.19 120,316,998.73 270,326,039.82

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 1,810,000,000.00
8.00% 1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,790,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,780,000,000.00
8.00% 1,770,000,000.00
8.00%
VPN

8.00% 1,760,000,000.00 VPN


APORTE MAXIM
1,750,000,000.00 ESTADO
1,740,000,000.00
1,730,000,000.00
1,720,000,000.00
1,790,000,000.00
1,780,000,000.00
1,770,000,000.00

VPN
1,760,000,000.00 VPN
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
1,750,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 1,740,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,730,000,000.00
8.00% 1,720,000,000.00
8.00%

13
19
25

39
45
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2
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5
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31
32
33
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35
36
37
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40
41
42
43
44
46
47
48
49
50
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACION
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00% 10.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
PORCENTAJE

8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 7.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 6.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
5.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 4.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00% 2.00%
8.00%
10

15
16
18
21
23
24
26
29
32
35
37
38
41
43
44

49
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
17
19
20
22
25
27
28
30
31
33
34
36
39
40
42
45
46
47
48
50
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACIONES
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
4% 2% 3% 0% 4%
113,531.94 115,666.79 119,008.98 119,562.96 124,027.44
4,416.00 5,820.00 5,592.00 4,392.00 6,612.00
15,040,711.02 20,195,422.41 19,964,946.21 15,753,616.13 24,602,082.35
35,094,992.38 47,122,652.28 46,584,874.48 36,758,437.63 57,404,858.81
187,965,843.57 84,386,203.85 134,591,550.85 216,792,166.98 228,607,188.62

2,996.03 1,873.66 2,414.48 3,217.72 3,577.71


79,472.36 80,966.76 83,306.28 83,694.07 86,819.21
238,101,546.96 151,704,278.54 201,141,371.54 269,304,220.73 310,614,129.78

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
34 25
26
35
36 27
28
37 29
30
38
39 31
32
40 33
34
41
42 35
36
43 37
38
44
45 39
40
46 41
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48 43
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49 45
46
50 47
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50
VPN

ESTADO
ESTADO

DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
APORTE MAXIMO DEL

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
13 14 15 16 17
0% 0% 2% 3% 3%
123,853.29 123,887.14 126,581.97 130,599.88 133,995.96
6,780.00 6,012.00 5,532.00 5,376.00 4,392.00
25,191,759.79 22,344,284.22 21,007,543.84 21,063,149.09 17,655,307.14
58,780,772.84 52,136,663.19 49,017,602.30 49,147,347.88 41,195,716.66
41,875,646.55 153,155,912.78 98,012,362.45 87,603,506.69 121,465,225.69

1,451.58 2,624.93 1,896.43 1,726.25 1,922.41


86,697.31 86,721.00 88,607.38 91,419.92 93,797.17
125,848,179.18 227,636,860.19 168,037,508.59 157,814,003.66 180,316,249.49
18 19 20
1% 1% 4%
135,132.98 136,297.94 141,717.07
4,704.00 5,736.00 7,104.00
19,069,965.88 23,454,148.98 30,202,741.26
44,496,587.04 54,726,347.61 70,473,062.95
283,146,879.21 132,587,895.53 259,284,913.75

3,665.31 2,209.11 3,628.57


94,593.08 95,408.56 99,201.95
346,713,432.13 210,768,392.12 359,960,717.96
Empleado 4%
Empresa 8%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 600
Min 350
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
2% 3%
Población 100,000.00 101,568.21 104,984.37
Salario 6,792.00 5,148.00 6,996.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 23,772,000.00 18,300,559.37 25,706,473.03
Aporte de la empresa 5% 54,336,000.00 41,829,850.00 58,757,652.64
Diferencia del Estado 46,728,873.98 170,409,644.93 120,325,017.46

Reclamos prom anual 1,783.38 3,242.58 2,786.66


70% de la población 70,000.00 71,097.74 73,489.06
Costo total 124,836,873.98 230,540,054.30 204,789,143.13

1 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%


2 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
3 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
4 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
5 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
6 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
7 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
8 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
9 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
10 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
11 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
12 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
13 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
14 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
15 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
16 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
17 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
18 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
19 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
20 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
21 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
22 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
23 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
24 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
25 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
26 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
27 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
28 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
29 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
30 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
31 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
32 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
33 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
34 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
35 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
36 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
37 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
38 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
39 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
40 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
41 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
42 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
43 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
44 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
45 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
46 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
47 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
48 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
49 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
50 1,666,858,378.12 1,800,000,000.00 7.41%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
0% 1% 1% 4%
105,435.88 106,570.26 107,246.58 111,153.37
4,932.00 5,760.00 6,444.00 5,076.00
18,200,341.63 21,484,565.12 24,188,393.26 19,747,507.32
41,600,780.88 49,107,577.42 55,287,756.01 45,137,159.59
93,217,853.17 105,668,743.36 33,158,200.70 163,183,545.35

2,073.28 2,362.77 1,500.34 2,931.19


73,805.12 74,599.18 75,072.60 77,807.36
153,018,975.68 176,260,885.91 112,634,349.97 228,068,212.26

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 1,850,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 1,750,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
VPN

8.00% 1,700,000,000.00 VPN


APORTE MAXIM
ESTADO
1,650,000,000.00

1,600,000,000.00
3
9
5

9
5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
4
5
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
0
1,750,000,000.00

VPN
1,700,000,000.00 VPN
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 1,650,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00

13
19
25

39
45
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
15
16
17
18
20
21
22
23
24
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29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
40
41
42
43
44
46
47
48
49
50
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACION
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00% 10.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
PORCENTAJE

8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 7.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 6.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
5.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 4.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00% 2.00%
8.00%
10

15
16
18
21
23
24
26
29
32
35
37
38
41
43
44

49
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
17
19
20
22
25
27
28
30
31
33
34
36
39
40
42
45
46
47
48
50
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACIONES
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
1% -1% 1% 0% 3%
112,314.53 111,556.35 112,537.96 112,629.74 116,385.78
5,820.00 5,580.00 4,452.00 4,440.00 4,896.00
22,878,469.79 21,786,955.72 17,535,664.92 17,502,662.29 19,943,867.35
52,293,645.23 49,798,755.94 40,081,519.82 40,006,085.22 45,585,982.51
159,128,576.43 185,285,843.39 223,410,120.76 159,494,197.41 221,061,164.08

2,980.16 3,289.45 3,567.40 2,752.42 3,517.75


78,620.17 78,089.45 78,776.57 78,840.82 81,470.05
234,300,691.45 256,871,555.06 281,027,305.50 217,002,944.92 286,591,013.94

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
5

9
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
0
34 25
26
35
36 27
28
37 29
30
38
39 31
32
40 33
34
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42 35
36
43 37
38
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45 39
40
46 41
42
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48 43
44
49 45
46
50 47
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49
50
VPN

ESTADO
ESTADO

DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
APORTE MAXIMO DEL

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
13 14 15 16 17
2% -1% -1% 2% 2%
118,136.70 117,112.01 116,500.02 118,277.41 120,629.86
5,976.00 6,204.00 7,008.00 6,408.00 5,148.00
24,709,473.00 25,429,701.04 28,575,124.79 26,527,258.10 21,735,088.26
56,478,795.42 58,125,030.96 65,314,570.96 60,633,732.81 49,680,201.75
154,907,661.68 119,836,822.06 156,124,969.80 99,390,429.63 188,731,319.47

2,855.00 2,481.04 3,065.78 2,253.19 3,080.81


82,695.69 81,978.40 81,550.01 82,794.19 84,440.90
236,095,930.10 203,391,554.06 250,014,665.56 186,551,420.54 260,146,609.48
18 19 20
0% 0% -1%
120,345.86 120,029.25 119,089.60
5,148.00 6,072.00 6,564.00
21,683,916.56 25,508,616.55 27,359,645.41
49,563,237.85 58,305,409.25 62,536,332.36
223,602,154.91 44,079,890.99 71,634,157.95

3,500.02 1,522.18 1,937.68


84,242.10 84,020.48 83,362.72
294,849,309.32 127,893,916.79 161,530,135.72
Empleado 4%
Empresa 10%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 600
Min 350
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
1% 3%
Población 100,000.00 101,169.39 104,048.85
Salario 4,764.00 5,256.00 6,444.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 19,056,000.00 21,269,853.24 26,819,630.92
Aporte de la empresa 5% 47,640,000.00 53,174,633.11 67,049,077.29
Diferencia del Estado 37,603,166.62 20,890,795.02 86,020,683.93

Reclamos prom anual 1,489.99 1,346.19 2,469.85


70% de la población 70,000.00 70,818.58 72,834.19
Costo total 104,299,166.62 95,335,281.37 179,889,392.14

1 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%


2 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
3 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
4 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
5 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
6 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
7 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
8 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
9 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
10 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
11 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
12 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
13 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
14 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
15 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
16 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
17 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
18 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
19 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
20 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
21 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
22 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
23 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
24 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
25 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
26 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
27 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
28 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
29 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
30 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
31 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
32 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
33 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
34 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
35 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
36 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
37 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
38 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
39 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
40 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
41 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
42 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
43 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
44 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
45 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
46 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
47 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
48 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
49 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
50 1,096,069,187.06 1,800,000,000.00 4.87%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
3% 2% 0% 3%
106,845.91 108,877.91 108,804.21 111,742.57
5,532.00 5,760.00 5,724.00 4,320.00
23,642,862.87 25,085,471.41 24,911,811.55 19,309,115.88
59,107,157.18 62,713,678.52 62,279,528.89 48,272,789.69
74,369,440.84 19,250,590.93 48,946,367.08 49,055,691.11

2,100.75 1,404.58 1,787.45 1,491.15


74,792.14 76,214.54 76,162.95 78,219.80
157,119,460.89 107,049,740.86 136,137,707.52 116,637,596.67

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00% 1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00% 1,400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,200,000,000.00
8.00% 1,000,000,000.00
VPN

8.00% VPN
800,000,000.00 APORTE MAXIM
600,000,000.00 ESTADO
400,000,000.00
200,000,000.00
-
1,400,000,000.00
1,200,000,000.00
1,000,000,000.00

VPN
VPN
800,000,000.00 APORTE MAXIM
8.00%
8.00% 600,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 200,000,000.00
8.00% -
8.00%

12
18
24
30

38
44
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
15
16
17
19
20
21
22
23
25
26
27
28
29
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
39
40
41
42
43
45
46
47
48
49
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACION
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00% 10.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
PORCENTAJE

8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 7.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 6.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
5.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 4.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00% 2.00%
8.00%
10

15
16
18
21
23
24
26
29
32
35
37
38
41
43
44

49
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
17
19
20
22
25
27
28
30
31
33
34
36
39
40
42
45
46
47
48
50
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACIONES
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
2% 0% 3% 2% 2%
114,262.02 114,242.02 117,105.32 119,758.33 121,693.74
4,884.00 7,152.00 5,868.00 6,648.00 4,476.00
22,322,227.87 32,682,357.66 27,486,960.64 31,846,135.64 21,788,047.19
55,805,569.67 81,705,894.14 68,717,401.59 79,615,339.10 54,470,117.97
134,747,658.75 122,447,979.81 85,431,215.07 125,239,859.23 35,679,469.69

2,661.50 2,961.59 2,215.78 2,823.56 1,314.04


79,983.41 79,969.42 81,973.72 83,830.83 85,185.62
212,875,456.29 236,836,231.60 181,635,577.29 236,701,333.96 111,937,634.85

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
34 28
29
35
36 30
31
37 32
33
38
39 34
35
40 36
37
41
42 38
39
43 40
41
44
45 42
43
46 44
45
47
48 46
47
49 48
49
50 50
VPN

ESTADO
ESTADO

DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
APORTE MAXIMO DEL

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
13 14 15 16 17
0% -1% 4% 1% 3%
121,868.42 120,905.93 125,389.34 126,943.45 130,652.38
6,108.00 6,792.00 4,476.00 5,268.00 6,072.00
29,774,891.29 32,847,723.60 22,449,707.12 26,749,522.86 31,732,849.33
74,437,228.22 82,119,309.01 56,124,267.79 66,873,807.14 79,332,123.32
184,024,293.40 146,740,153.30 197,088,179.37 114,318,674.19 213,329,797.16

3,378.78 3,092.22 3,140.64 2,340.10 3,546.98


85,307.89 84,634.15 87,772.54 88,860.41 91,456.66
288,236,412.92 261,707,185.91 275,662,154.28 207,942,004.19 324,394,769.81
18 19 20
1% 0% 3%
131,529.43 131,855.21 136,153.91
6,624.00 6,492.00 6,084.00
34,850,038.36 34,240,160.03 33,134,415.12
87,125,095.90 85,600,400.08 82,836,037.80
7,114,495.32 107,530,837.85 122,602,291.46

1,402.07 2,463.43 2,503.18


92,070.60 92,298.64 95,307.74
129,089,629.58 227,371,397.96 238,572,744.38
Empleado 3%
Empresa 5%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 600.00
Min 350.00
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
2% 1%
Población 100,000.00 101,842.95 103,205.16
Salario 5,604.00 6,864.00 5,124.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 16,812,000.00 20,971,501.16 15,864,697.62
Aporte de la empresa 5% 28,020,000.00 34,952,501.94 26,441,162.70
Diferencia del Estado 171,262,858.19 114,037,832.50 96,107,523.44

Reclamos prom anual 3,087.07 2,384.09 1,915.93


70% de la población 70,000.00 71,290.07 72,243.61
Costo total 216,094,858.19 169,961,835.60 138,413,383.75

1 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%


2 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
3 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
4 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
5 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
6 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
7 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
8 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
9 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
10 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
11 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
12 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
13 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
14 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
15 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
16 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
17 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
18 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
19 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
20 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
21 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
22 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
23 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
24 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
25 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
26 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
27 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
28 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
29 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
30 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
31 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
32 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
33 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
34 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
35 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
36 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
37 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
38 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
39 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
40 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
41 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
42 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
43 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
44 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
45 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
46 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
47 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
48 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
49 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
50 1,990,304,705.85 1,800,000,000.00 8.85%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
3% 3% 1% 3%
106,209.09 109,327.54 110,123.98 113,479.94
5,928.00 4,416.00 4,212.00 5,916.00
18,888,224.34 14,483,712.26 13,915,266.25 20,140,419.72
31,480,373.91 24,139,520.43 23,192,110.42 33,567,366.19
80,841,216.20 120,969,803.82 195,724,422.56 157,615,486.63

1,764.85 2,085.39 3,020.39 2,660.30


74,346.36 76,529.28 77,086.79 79,435.96
131,209,814.45 159,593,036.50 232,831,799.23 211,323,272.53

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,050,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,950,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,900,000,000.00
8.00%
VPN

8.00% 1,850,000,000.00 VPN


APORTE MAXIM
1,800,000,000.00 ESTADO

1,750,000,000.00

1,700,000,000.00
1,950,000,000.00

1,900,000,000.00

VPN
1,850,000,000.00 VPN
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% 1,800,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 1,750,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,700,000,000.00
8.00%

13
19
25

39
45
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
15
16
17
18
20
21
22
23
24
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
40
41
42
43
44
46
47
48
49
50
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACION
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00% 10.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
PORCENTAJE

8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 7.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 6.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
5.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 4.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00% 2.00%
8.00%
10

15
16
18
21
23
24
26
29
32
35
37
38
41
43
44

49
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
17
19
20
22
25
27
28
30
31
33
34
36
39
40
42
45
46
47
48
50
8.00%
8.00% SIMULACIONES
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
0% 0% -1% 0% -1%
113,918.96 113,750.73 112,735.79 112,847.04 111,860.26
5,988.00 5,088.00 7,056.00 6,204.00 5,904.00
20,464,402.29 17,362,911.75 23,863,912.95 21,003,090.17 19,812,689.66
34,107,337.16 28,938,186.25 39,773,188.25 35,005,150.29 33,021,149.43
178,955,401.32 227,256,348.88 205,617,147.11 137,345,143.39 200,251,514.19

2,928.49 3,435.55 3,411.95 2,447.73 3,232.16


79,743.27 79,625.51 78,915.06 78,992.92 78,302.18
233,527,140.77 273,557,446.89 269,254,248.31 193,353,383.85 253,085,353.28

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
34 25
26
35
36 27
28
37 29
30
38
39 31
32
40 33
34
41
42 35
36
43 37
38
44
45 39
40
46 41
42
47
48 43
44
49 45
46
50 47
48
49
50
VPN

ESTADO
ESTADO

DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
APORTE MAXIMO DEL

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
13 14 15 16 17
1% 1% 3% 4% 1%
112,567.13 114,057.40 117,845.84 122,320.18 124,059.03
4,848.00 5,604.00 7,140.00 7,140.00 5,184.00
16,371,763.14 19,175,329.57 25,242,579.33 26,200,982.25 19,293,660.59
27,286,271.91 31,958,882.62 42,070,965.55 43,668,303.75 32,156,100.98
231,652,846.41 174,415,585.48 197,947,698.35 203,636,163.01 226,204,099.71

3,493.93 2,825.02 3,215.60 3,194.26 3,197.26


78,796.99 79,840.18 82,492.09 85,624.12 86,841.32
275,310,881.46 225,549,797.67 265,261,243.22 273,505,449.01 277,653,861.28
18 19 20
0% 4% 3%
123,542.75 127,960.86 132,187.32
6,312.00 5,988.00 4,932.00
23,394,055.13 22,986,888.75 19,558,436.19
38,990,091.89 38,311,481.26 32,597,393.65
128,230,998.41 60,160,257.33 160,514,806.77

2,204.15 1,355.98 2,298.37


86,479.92 89,572.60 92,531.13
190,615,145.44 121,458,627.34 212,670,636.60
Empleado 4%
Empresa 7%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 630.00
Min 367.50
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
-1% 2%
Población 100,000.00 99,229.81 101,200.83
Salario 7,140.00 6,276.00 6,924.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 28,560,000.00 24,910,652.62 28,028,582.25
Aporte de la empresa 5% 49,980,000.00 43,593,642.09 49,050,018.94
Diferencia del Estado 68,660,682.85 182,774,300.73 60,201,125.57

Reclamos prom anual 2,102.87 3,617.56 1,937.87


70% de la población 70,000.00 69,460.87 70,840.58
Costo total 147,200,682.85 251,278,595.44 137,279,726.76

1 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%


2 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
3 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
4 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
5 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
6 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
7 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
8 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
9 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
10 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
11 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
12 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
13 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
14 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
15 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
16 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
17 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
18 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
19 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
20 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
21 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
22 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
23 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
24 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
25 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
26 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
27 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
28 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
29 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
30 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
31 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
32 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
33 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
34 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
35 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
36 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
37 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
38 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
39 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
40 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
41 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
42 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
43 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
44 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
45 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
46 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
47 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
48 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
49 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
50 1,455,142,428.69 1,800,000,000.00 6.47%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
2% 1% 2% 2%
103,595.21 104,823.39 106,752.44 108,419.57
6,192.00 4,896.00 4,548.00 5,328.00
25,658,461.39 20,528,612.40 19,420,403.18 23,106,379.20
44,902,307.43 35,925,071.70 33,985,705.57 40,436,163.60
178,561,245.99 65,239,703.84 121,396,260.83 147,852,428.57

3,435.38 1,658.48 2,339.22 2,785.41


72,516.65 73,376.37 74,726.71 75,893.70
249,122,014.80 121,693,387.94 174,802,369.58 211,394,971.36

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00%
1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
1,200,000,000.00
8.00% VPN
1,000,000,000.00
APORTE MAXIM
800,000,000.00 ESTADO

600,000,000.00
400,000,000.00
1,600,000,000.00
1,400,000,000.00
1,200,000,000.00
VPN
1,000,000,000.00
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% 800,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 600,000,000.00
8.00% 400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 200,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% -

37
41
45
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00%
10.00%
8.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 7.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
6.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 5.00%
8.00%
4.00%
8.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2.00%
10
13
14
16
19
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
15
17
18
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
40
42
44
45
46
8.00% 48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
2% 0% 1% 1% 2%
110,684.72 111,058.91 112,706.57 114,033.21 116,375.12
4,680.00 6,336.00 7,056.00 4,668.00 5,100.00
20,720,179.42 28,146,770.42 31,810,301.91 21,292,280.92 23,740,524.18
36,260,313.98 49,256,848.23 55,668,028.33 37,261,491.60 41,545,917.31
169,749,635.40 132,825,121.17 81,109,209.96 126,480,280.04 96,907,607.42

2,926.33 2,704.21 2,136.87 2,318.05 1,991.03


77,479.30 77,741.24 78,894.60 79,823.25 81,462.58
226,730,128.80 210,228,739.81 168,587,540.20 185,034,052.57 162,194,048.90

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
37
41
45
49
50
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
37
40
42
44
45
46
48
13 14 15 16 17
0% 0% 0% 4% 0%
116,653.43 116,609.09 117,022.04 121,456.40 121,630.13
6,108.00 7,032.00 6,852.00 5,424.00 6,180.00
28,500,766.32 32,799,803.79 32,073,401.40 26,351,180.82 30,066,967.56
49,876,341.05 57,399,656.63 56,128,452.44 46,114,566.43 52,617,193.23
56,238,425.67 206,586,571.35 114,527,371.78 123,122,186.99 29,472,343.06

1,648.54 3,635.91 2,474.86 2,300.51 1,317.30


81,657.40 81,626.36 81,915.43 85,019.48 85,141.09
134,615,533.04 296,786,031.77 202,729,225.63 195,587,934.24 112,156,503.85
18 19 20
1% 4% 1%
123,408.09 128,042.68 128,853.63
6,180.00 5,352.00 6,564.00
30,506,480.05 27,411,376.18 33,831,808.20
53,386,340.09 47,969,908.31 59,205,664.36
155,401,436.47 121,295,660.07 76,872,418.01

2,770.07 2,194.32 1,883.75


86,385.66 89,629.87 90,197.54
239,294,256.61 196,676,944.55 169,909,890.57
Empleado 5%
Empresa 9%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 661.50
Min 385.88
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
3% -1%
Población 100,000.00 103,291.23 102,661.35
Salario 4,320.00 4,212.00 4,788.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 21,600,000.00 21,753,133.33 24,577,127.13
Aporte de la empresa 5% 38,880,000.00 39,155,639.99 44,238,828.84
Diferencia del Estado 175,366,301.98 54,332,636.23 128,900,261.31

Reclamos prom anual 3,369.23 1,593.85 2,751.30


70% de la población 70,000.00 72,303.86 71,862.94
Costo total 235,846,301.98 115,241,409.55 197,716,217.28

1 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%


2 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
3 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
4 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
5 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
6 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
7 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
8 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
9 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
10 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
11 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
12 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
13 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
14 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
15 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
16 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
17 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
18 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
19 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
20 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
21 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
22 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
23 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
24 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
25 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
26 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
27 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
28 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
29 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
30 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
31 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
32 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
33 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
34 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
35 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
36 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
37 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
38 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
39 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
40 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
41 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
42 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
43 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
44 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
45 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
46 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
47 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
48 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
49 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
50 1,441,957,857.45 1,800,000,000.00 6.41%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
4% 3% -1% 1%
106,387.33 109,604.47 108,906.34 110,226.21
6,864.00 6,120.00 6,780.00 5,424.00
36,512,130.24 33,538,966.35 36,919,250.73 29,893,348.94
65,721,834.44 60,370,139.42 66,454,651.32 53,808,028.09
58,015,651.65 53,523,746.80 170,485,096.90 60,311,536.01

2,151.84 1,921.62 3,592.33 1,866.46


74,471.13 76,723.13 76,234.44 77,158.35
160,249,616.33 147,432,852.57 273,858,998.95 144,012,913.04

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00%
1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
1,200,000,000.00
8.00% VPN
1,000,000,000.00
APORTE MAXIM
800,000,000.00 ESTADO

600,000,000.00
400,000,000.00
1,600,000,000.00
1,400,000,000.00
1,200,000,000.00
VPN
1,000,000,000.00
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% 800,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 600,000,000.00
8.00% 400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 200,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% -

37
41
45
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00%
10.00%
8.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 7.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
6.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 5.00%
8.00%
4.00%
8.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2.00%
10
13
14
16
19
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
15
17
18
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
40
42
44
45
46
8.00% 48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
2% 0% 2% 3% 1%
112,722.14 112,356.10 114,160.42 117,404.20 118,751.28
6,552.00 4,812.00 6,348.00 4,668.00 6,036.00
36,927,772.11 27,032,877.99 36,234,515.84 27,402,139.96 35,839,136.87
66,469,989.80 48,659,180.38 65,222,128.51 49,323,851.94 64,510,446.37
181,305,347.45 99,501,722.25 128,714,461.58 91,275,419.43 204,883,982.83

3,608.15 2,227.53 2,880.30 2,044.24 3,671.94


78,905.50 78,649.27 79,912.29 82,182.94 83,125.90
284,703,109.36 175,193,780.61 230,171,105.93 168,001,411.33 305,233,566.07

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
37
41
45
49
50
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
37
40
42
44
45
46
48
13 14 15 16 17
0% 3% 2% 3% 0%
118,629.21 122,015.59 124,210.70 128,098.47 128,211.52
6,636.00 6,144.00 6,288.00 7,116.00 6,648.00
39,361,172.02 37,483,190.32 39,051,843.54 45,577,433.98 42,617,509.98
70,850,109.63 67,469,742.57 70,293,318.37 82,039,381.16 76,711,517.96
119,941,760.93 73,384,511.24 82,171,281.57 113,534,224.82 162,649,136.63

2,771.58 2,087.99 2,202.67 2,689.35 3,141.89


83,040.45 85,410.92 86,947.49 89,668.93 89,748.07
230,153,042.58 178,337,444.12 191,516,443.47 241,151,039.96 281,978,164.57
18 19 20
1% 3% -1%
129,045.53 133,278.07 132,120.96
6,372.00 5,592.00 6,768.00
41,113,907.41 37,264,548.53 44,709,734.04
74,005,033.33 67,076,187.35 80,477,521.27
172,777,551.45 128,551,337.45 93,925,761.26

3,187.10 2,496.31 2,369.18


90,331.87 93,294.65 92,484.67
287,896,492.19 232,892,073.32 219,113,016.57
Empleado 4%
Empresa 8%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 694.58
Min 405.17
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
0% -1%
Población 100,000.00 99,993.73 99,067.67
Salario 4,260.00 6,852.00 5,556.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 17,040,000.00 27,406,281.91 22,016,799.04
Aporte de la empresa 5% 34,080,000.00 54,812,563.83 44,033,598.09
Diferencia del Estado 158,957,803.38 63,870,982.82 167,205,693.94

Reclamos prom anual 3,001.11 2,087.13 3,363.59


70% de la población 70,000.00 69,995.61 69,347.37
Costo total 210,077,803.38 146,089,828.56 233,256,091.07

1 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%


2 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
3 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
4 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
5 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
6 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
7 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
8 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
9 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
10 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
11 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
12 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
13 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
14 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
15 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
16 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
17 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
18 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
19 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
20 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
21 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
22 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
23 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
24 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
25 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
26 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
27 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
28 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
29 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
30 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
31 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
32 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
33 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
34 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
35 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
36 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
37 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
38 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
39 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
40 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
41 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
42 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
43 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
44 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
45 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
46 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
47 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
48 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
49 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
50 1,584,732,722.56 1,800,000,000.00 7.04%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
3% 1% 2% 2%
102,319.10 103,348.36 105,022.90 106,939.20
4,812.00 6,216.00 5,976.00 5,220.00
19,694,380.59 25,696,537.03 25,104,675.18 22,328,905.69
39,388,761.17 51,393,074.05 50,209,350.37 44,657,811.38
57,123,680.79 184,817,939.55 135,318,340.85 105,698,321.66

1,622.47 3,620.32 2,865.12 2,306.85


71,623.37 72,343.85 73,516.03 74,857.44
116,206,822.55 261,907,550.63 210,632,366.40 172,685,038.74

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 1,850,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
1,750,000,000.00
8.00%
1,700,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,650,000,000.00
8.00%
1,600,000,000.00

1,550,000,000.00

1,500,000,000.00
1,750,000,000.00

1,700,000,000.00

1,650,000,000.00
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,550,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,500,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,450,000,000.00

43
44
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% VPN APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTADO
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00% 10.00%
8.00%
9.00%
8.00%
8.00% 8.00%
8.00% 7.00%
8.00%
6.00%
8.00%
8.00% 5.00%
8.00% 4.00%
8.00%
3.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2.00%
10
11
13
14
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

12

15

24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE APORTE DEL ESTADO APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTAD
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
0% 0% 4% 1% 4%
106,790.64 107,286.30 111,415.33 112,397.81 116,722.25
4,656.00 4,488.00 4,728.00 6,840.00 5,784.00
19,888,687.87 19,260,036.41 21,070,866.37 30,752,042.18 27,004,859.80
39,777,375.74 38,520,072.81 42,141,732.74 61,504,084.35 54,009,719.61
58,997,033.51 159,387,823.98 86,617,196.13 193,368,773.95 123,972,993.32

1,587.39 2,891.70 1,921.12 3,630.28 2,508.86


74,753.44 75,100.41 77,990.73 78,678.47 81,705.58
118,663,097.12 217,167,933.20 149,829,795.24 285,624,900.47 204,987,572.73
22 17
23 18
24 19
25 20

ESTADO
26 21
27
22
23
28 24
29 25
30 26
31 27
32 28
33 29
30
34 31
35 32
36 33
37 34
38 35

RTE MAXIMO DEL ESTADO


39 36
37
40 38
41 39
42 40
43 41
44 42
45 43
44
46 45
47 46

APORTE MAXIMO DEL ESTADO


48 47
49 48
50 49
50
13 14 15 16 17
0% 3% 1% 0% -1%
116,279.36 119,986.54 121,531.57 122,078.27 120,961.27
5,652.00 4,368.00 4,776.00 6,132.00 7,044.00
26,288,438.02 20,964,047.63 23,217,391.47 29,943,358.54 34,082,047.51
52,576,876.05 41,928,095.27 46,434,782.94 59,886,717.08 68,164,095.02
127,365,716.30 59,761,673.53 129,287,497.82 153,357,552.56 122,771,892.10

2,533.69 1,460.33 2,338.48 2,845.80 2,657.50


81,395.55 83,990.58 85,072.10 85,454.79 84,672.89
206,231,030.37 122,653,816.44 198,939,672.23 243,187,628.18 225,018,034.63
18 19 20
3% 1% 3%
123,987.80 125,575.47 128,989.26
5,916.00 5,004.00 4,692.00
29,340,471.92 25,135,185.28 24,208,704.77
58,680,943.84 50,270,370.57 48,417,409.54
137,831,180.33 144,180,767.86 231,009,254.59

2,602.24 2,498.06 3,362.80


86,791.46 87,902.83 90,292.48
225,852,596.08 219,586,323.72 303,635,368.90
Empleado 4%
Empresa 10%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 729.30
Min 425.43
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
-1% 2%
Población 100,000.00 99,307.63 101,335.29
Salario 5,064.00 4,668.00 6,792.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 20,256,000.00 18,542,720.44 27,530,771.48
Aporte de la empresa 5% 50,640,000.00 46,356,801.09 68,826,928.69
Diferencia del Estado 105,784,091.85 91,647,112.26 38,505,084.59

Reclamos prom anual 2,524.00 2,251.97 1,901.22


70% de la población 70,000.00 69,515.34 70,934.70
Costo total 176,680,091.85 156,546,633.79 134,862,784.76

1 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%


2 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
3 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
4 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
5 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
6 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
7 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
8 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
9 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
10 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
11 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
12 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
13 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
14 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
15 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
16 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
17 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
18 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
19 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
20 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
21 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
22 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
23 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
24 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
25 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
26 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
27 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
28 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
29 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
30 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
31 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
32 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
33 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
34 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
35 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
36 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
37 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
38 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
39 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
40 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
41 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
42 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
43 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
44 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
45 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
46 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
47 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
48 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
49 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
50 1,191,359,899.31 1,800,000,000.00 5.29%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
4% 2% 3% 4%
105,069.62 107,631.53 110,595.14 114,541.07
6,336.00 4,956.00 5,400.00 4,524.00
26,628,844.53 21,336,875.38 23,888,549.90 20,727,352.66
66,572,111.33 53,342,188.46 59,721,374.76 51,818,381.66
56,873,603.75 82,206,820.83 133,300,175.14 182,233,390.00

2,040.48 2,082.31 2,801.86 3,177.64


73,548.73 75,342.07 77,416.60 80,178.75
150,074,559.61 156,885,884.68 216,910,099.81 254,779,124.32

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00%
1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
1,200,000,000.00
8.00% VPN
1,000,000,000.00
APORTE MAXIM
800,000,000.00 ESTADO

600,000,000.00
400,000,000.00
1,600,000,000.00
1,400,000,000.00
1,200,000,000.00
VPN
1,000,000,000.00
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% 800,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 600,000,000.00
8.00% 400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 200,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% -

37
41
45
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00%
10.00%
8.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 7.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
6.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 5.00%
8.00%
4.00%
8.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2.00%
10
13
14
16
19
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
15
17
18
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
40
42
44
45
46
8.00% 48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
-1% -1% 3% 3% 3%
113,456.02 112,458.71 115,291.65 119,106.75 122,804.97
5,508.00 6,396.00 6,480.00 5,916.00 4,560.00
24,996,630.90 28,771,436.89 29,883,595.29 28,185,421.26 22,399,626.93
62,491,577.25 71,928,592.22 74,708,988.24 70,463,553.14 55,999,067.33
46,823,696.76 183,304,125.94 14,580,651.83 87,408,942.77 68,887,808.96

1,691.18 3,607.73 1,476.67 2,231.59 1,713.36


79,419.22 78,721.10 80,704.15 83,374.72 85,963.48
134,311,904.91 284,004,155.04 119,173,235.36 186,057,917.16 147,286,503.22

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
37
41
45
49
50
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
37
40
42
44
45
46
48
13 14 15 16 17
1% 3% 2% 1% 2%
123,542.31 127,758.30 130,097.34 131,071.30 134,109.28
5,220.00 5,220.00 6,960.00 4,908.00 6,012.00
25,795,633.54 26,675,933.44 36,219,100.33 25,731,918.55 32,250,600.61
64,489,083.85 66,689,833.59 90,547,750.83 64,329,796.37 80,626,501.53
107,464,753.89 197,548,444.09 33,103,276.41 42,390,632.73 143,179,143.90

2,286.66 3,252.95 1,755.50 1,443.62 2,727.59


86,479.61 89,430.81 91,068.14 91,749.91 93,876.50
197,749,471.29 290,914,211.12 159,870,127.57 132,452,347.65 256,056,246.04
18 19 20
0% 2% 4%
134,423.20 137,414.45 142,572.50
5,856.00 5,952.00 6,384.00
31,487,291.32 32,715,631.75 36,407,314.00
78,718,228.31 81,789,079.38 91,018,285.01
48,926,667.90 55,590,874.07 235,791,426.24

1,691.16 1,768.33 3,639.42


94,096.24 96,190.11 99,800.75
159,132,187.53 170,095,585.21 363,217,025.25
Empleado 4%
Empresa 10%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 765.77
Min 446.70
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
1% 2%
Población 100,000.00 101,303.58 102,864.12
Salario 7,104.00 5,928.00 5,964.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 28,416,000.00 24,021,104.19 24,539,263.37
Aporte de la empresa 5% 71,040,000.00 60,052,760.49 61,348,158.42
Diferencia del Estado 69,986,367.80 53,854,357.72 138,742,873.01

Reclamos prom anual 2,420.61 1,945.05 3,119.65


70% de la población 70,000.00 70,912.50 72,004.88
Costo total 169,442,367.80 137,928,222.40 224,630,294.80

1 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%


2 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
3 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
4 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
5 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
6 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
7 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
8 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
9 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
10 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
11 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
12 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
13 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
14 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
15 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
16 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
17 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
18 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
19 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
20 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
21 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
22 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
23 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
24 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
25 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
26 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
27 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
28 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
29 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
30 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
31 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
32 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
33 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
34 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
35 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
36 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
37 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
38 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
39 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
40 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
41 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
42 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
43 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
44 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
45 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
46 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
47 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
48 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
49 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
50 1,069,689,900.47 1,800,000,000.00 4.75%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
1% 2% 0% 3%
103,633.02 105,919.59 106,409.06 109,680.42
6,852.00 7,032.00 6,852.00 5,544.00
28,403,739.28 29,793,063.28 29,164,594.25 24,322,729.94
71,009,348.19 74,482,658.21 72,911,485.63 60,806,824.84
78,465,231.40 104,887,194.74 22,812,833.41 88,423,000.06

2,452.04 2,821.05 1,676.67 2,260.50


72,543.12 74,143.72 74,486.34 76,776.29
177,878,318.87 209,162,916.23 124,888,913.29 173,552,554.84

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00%
1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
1,200,000,000.00
8.00% VPN
1,000,000,000.00
APORTE MAXIM
800,000,000.00 ESTADO

600,000,000.00
400,000,000.00
1,600,000,000.00
1,400,000,000.00
1,200,000,000.00
VPN
1,000,000,000.00
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% 800,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 600,000,000.00
8.00% 400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 200,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% -

37
41
45
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00%
10.00%
8.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 7.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
6.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 5.00%
8.00%
4.00%
8.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2.00%
10
13
14
16
19
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
15
17
18
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
40
42
44
45
46
8.00% 48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
3% 1% 3% 2% 2%
113,241.03 114,566.29 118,542.69 120,994.90 123,325.20
5,376.00 5,040.00 6,648.00 7,116.00 6,492.00
24,351,351.62 23,096,563.17 31,522,871.83 34,439,988.99 32,025,088.64
60,878,379.04 57,741,407.92 78,807,179.57 86,099,972.47 80,062,721.61
155,453,484.73 160,039,619.24 43,816,680.41 40,266,084.24 89,228,815.19

3,036.29 3,003.60 1,857.64 1,898.62 2,332.01


79,268.72 80,196.40 82,979.88 84,696.43 86,327.64
240,683,215.38 240,877,590.33 154,146,731.80 160,806,045.70 201,316,625.44

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
37
41
45
49
50
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
37
40
42
44
45
46
48
13 14 15 16 17
2% 1% 0% 3% 1%
125,463.65 126,209.52 125,982.62 129,327.95 130,213.07
5,424.00 7,020.00 5,568.00 7,116.00 5,712.00
27,220,592.69 35,439,634.51 28,058,848.79 36,811,907.32 29,751,081.74
68,051,481.73 88,599,086.28 70,147,121.97 92,029,768.30 74,377,704.35
35,007,764.74 67,256,355.56 153,860,782.48 103,036,885.19 100,450,510.63

1,483.41 2,165.28 2,858.29 2,561.36 2,244.45


87,824.55 88,346.67 88,187.83 90,529.56 91,149.15
130,279,839.17 191,295,076.35 252,066,753.23 231,878,560.81 204,579,296.73
18 19 20
3% 1% 2%
134,769.02 135,946.76 138,841.80
5,952.00 7,080.00 6,324.00
32,085,809.07 38,500,122.89 35,121,422.86
80,214,522.68 96,250,307.21 87,803,557.14
76,164,470.79 112,622,308.28 14,435,971.76

1,997.75 2,599.47 1,413.33


94,338.32 95,162.73 97,189.26
188,464,802.54 247,372,738.38 137,360,951.75
Empleado 4%
Empresa 10%
Diferencia Estado
Cobertura 100,000 personas
Max 600
Min 350
Crecimiento ¨-1 a 4% anual Distribuido uniformemente
Max 4
Min -1
Reclamos 70% de las personas presentan reclamos
Promedio $2,500 x empleado anuales
σ 400
Producto Interno bruto 22,500,000,000.00 1,800,000,000.00

* Proponga un modelo que permita determinar el valor presente de los pagos anuales que hay que hacer en el sistema, para l
salud.
* Supóngase que para que el escenario sea factible, el valor presente neto de la aportación del estado sea equivalente a no m
cual, para este año se estima en B/. 22.5 mil millones. Igualmente

* En caso de que no se cumpla con el requerimiento anterior, determine cuales son los parámetros más sensitivos para que se

Ingresos

1 2 3
2% 2%
Población 100,000.00 102,130.04 104,353.06
Salario 5,952.00 6,924.00 5,508.00
Aporte de empleados 2% 23,808,000.00 28,285,936.54 22,991,065.49
Aporte de la empresa 5% 59,520,000.00 70,714,841.36 57,477,663.72
Diferencia del Estado 167,680,085.19 28,855,774.23 46,514,232.50

Reclamos prom anual 3,585.83 1,788.43 1,738.37


70% de la población 70,000.00 71,491.03 73,047.14
Costo total 251,008,085.19 127,856,552.13 126,982,961.71

1 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%


2 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
3 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
4 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
5 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
6 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
7 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
8 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
9 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
10 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
11 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
12 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
13 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
14 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
15 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
16 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
17 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
18 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
19 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
20 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
21 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
22 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
23 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
24 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
25 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
26 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
27 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
28 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
29 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
30 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
31 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
32 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
33 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
34 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
35 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
36 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
37 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
38 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
39 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
40 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
41 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
42 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
43 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
44 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
45 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
46 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
47 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
48 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
49 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
50 1,203,156,990.11 1,800,000,000.00 5.35%
que hay que hacer en el sistema, para los diferentes participantes del sistema de

tación del estado sea equivalente a no más del 8% de PIB actual del país, el

s parámetros más sensitivos para que se cumpla ese requerimiento

4 5 6 7
3% 3% 2% 1%
107,003.95 110,357.67 112,478.24 113,374.27
4,620.00 6,264.00 6,000.00 6,384.00
19,774,330.05 27,651,216.99 26,994,778.15 28,951,254.42
49,435,825.12 69,128,042.47 67,486,945.37 72,378,136.06
56,031,834.77 166,867,843.17 84,328,838.00 172,722,323.06

1,672.06 3,412.89 2,271.05 3,453.19


74,902.77 77,250.37 78,734.77 79,361.99
125,241,989.94 263,647,102.63 178,810,561.52 274,051,713.54

8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2,000,000,000.00
8.00%
1,800,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,600,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 1,400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00%
1,200,000,000.00
8.00% VPN
1,000,000,000.00
APORTE MAXIM
800,000,000.00 ESTADO

600,000,000.00
400,000,000.00
1,600,000,000.00
1,400,000,000.00
1,200,000,000.00
VPN
1,000,000,000.00
8.00% APORTE MAXIM
8.00% 800,000,000.00 ESTADO
8.00%
8.00% 600,000,000.00
8.00% 400,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% 200,000,000.00
8.00%
8.00% -

37
41
45
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
12.00%
8.00%
8.00% 11.00%
8.00%
10.00%
8.00%
8.00% 9.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00% PORCENTAJE DE
8.00% 7.00% DEL ESTADO
8.00% APORTE MAXIMO
6.00%
8.00% ESTADO
8.00% 5.00%
8.00%
4.00%
8.00%
8.00% 3.00%
8.00%
8.00% 2.00%
10
13
14
16
19
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
15
17
18
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
40
42
44
45
46
8.00% 48
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8 9 10 11 12
4% 2% -1% 3% 3%
117,518.15 120,207.63 119,065.42 123,024.13 126,785.68
6,264.00 6,228.00 5,928.00 6,816.00 5,724.00
29,445,347.47 29,946,125.84 28,232,792.16 33,541,297.61 29,028,849.03
73,613,368.67 74,865,314.59 70,581,980.40 83,853,244.02 72,572,122.57
25,651,234.81 99,094,058.81 73,355,725.39 14,843,601.81 206,004,669.13

1,564.62 2,423.25 2,065.74 1,535.57 3,465.98


82,262.70 84,145.34 83,345.79 86,116.89 88,749.98
128,709,950.95 203,905,499.24 172,170,497.95 132,238,143.44 307,605,640.73

VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
VPN
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
37
41
45
49
50
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
40
42
43
44
46
47
48

PORCENTAJE DE APORTE
DEL ESTADO
APORTE MAXIMO DEL
ESTADO
36
38
39
41
43

47
49
50
37
40
42
44
45
46
48
13 14 15 16 17
1% -1% 3% 1% 2%
128,079.78 127,068.81 130,422.60 131,323.78 133,445.12
5,616.00 6,780.00 5,280.00 5,292.00 5,004.00
28,771,842.58 34,461,062.14 27,545,252.23 27,798,618.64 26,710,374.96
71,929,606.46 86,152,655.34 68,863,130.57 69,496,546.59 66,775,937.41
27,199,472.58 175,272,814.57 121,693,133.72 88,423,027.99 64,879,102.28

1,426.58 3,326.51 2,388.95 2,020.29 1,695.35


89,655.85 88,948.17 91,295.82 91,926.65 93,411.58
127,900,921.62 295,886,532.05 218,101,516.51 185,718,193.22 158,365,414.65
18 19 20
1% 0% 3%
134,629.37 135,280.22 139,441.14
4,800.00 5,628.00 6,756.00
25,848,839.87 30,454,284.01 37,682,572.86
64,622,099.67 76,135,710.01 94,206,432.15
159,565,168.38 28,953,341.94 150,877,747.09

2,653.17 1,431.35 2,896.94


94,240.56 94,696.16 97,608.80
250,036,107.92 135,543,335.96 282,766,752.10

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