Resultados

Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribucin Gumbel

Serie de datos X:
---------------------------------------N
X
---------------------------------------1
8.7
2
12.4
3
11.6
4
12.9
5
12.6
6
12.1
7
14.3
8
11.6
9
11.0
10
13.2
11
11.8
12
12.5
13
10.8
14
13.8
15
12.4
16
12.0
17
12.8
18
14.9
19
12.9
20
9.1
21
13.8
22
12.5
23
11.5
24
10.9
25
14.5
26
14.9
27
11.4
28
16.0
29
12.7
30
15.1
31
14.5
32
12.3
33
15.7
34
14.6
35
10.6
36
9.7
37
10.9
38
12.7
39
12.6
40
13.8
41
13.2
42
13.8
43
16.8
44
12.5
45
11.3
46
10.4

47
14.2
48
13.8
49
14.7
----------------------------------------

Clculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------m
X
P(X)
G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1
8.7
0.0200
0.0000
0.0001
0.0200
2
9.1
0.0400
0.0003
0.0009
0.0397
3
9.7
0.0600
0.0054
0.0095
0.0546
4
10.4
0.0800
0.0437
0.0569
0.0363
5
10.6
0.1000
0.0669
0.0825
0.0331
6
10.8
0.1200
0.0967
0.1140
0.0233
7
10.9
0.1400
0.1140
0.1318
0.0260
8
10.9
0.1600
0.1140
0.1318
0.0460
9
11.0
0.1800
0.1328
0.1510
0.0472
10
11.3
0.2000
0.1977
0.2154
0.0023
11
11.4
0.2200
0.2216
0.2387
0.0016
12
11.5
0.2400
0.2464
0.2627
0.0064
13
11.6
0.2600
0.2720
0.2873
0.0120
14
11.6
0.2800
0.2720
0.2873
0.0080
15
11.8
0.3000
0.3247
0.3377
0.0247
16
12.0
0.3200
0.3783
0.3887
0.0583
17
12.1
0.3400
0.4051
0.4141
0.0651
18
12.3
0.3600
0.4581
0.4641
0.0981
19
12.4
0.3800
0.4840
0.4886
0.1040
20
12.4
0.4000
0.4840
0.4886
0.0840
21
12.5
0.4200
0.5094
0.5126
0.0894
22
12.5
0.4400
0.5094
0.5126
0.0694
23
12.5
0.4600
0.5094
0.5126
0.0494
24
12.6
0.4800
0.5342
0.5361
0.0542
25
12.6
0.5000
0.5342
0.5361
0.0342
26
12.7
0.5200
0.5583
0.5590
0.0383
27
12.7
0.5400
0.5583
0.5590
0.0183
28
12.8
0.5600
0.5817
0.5812
0.0217
29
12.9
0.5800
0.6044
0.6027
0.0244
30
12.9
0.6000
0.6044
0.6027
0.0044
31
13.2
0.6200
0.6674
0.6628
0.0474
32
13.2
0.6400
0.6674
0.6628
0.0274
33
13.8
0.6600
0.7704
0.7624
0.1104
34
13.8
0.6800
0.7704
0.7624
0.0904
35
13.8
0.7000
0.7704
0.7624
0.0704
36
13.8
0.7200
0.7704
0.7624
0.0504
37
13.8
0.7400
0.7704
0.7624
0.0304
38
14.2
0.7600
0.8231
0.8142
0.0631
39
14.3
0.7800
0.8344
0.8254
0.0544
40
14.5
0.8000
0.8552
0.8462
0.0552
41
14.5
0.8200
0.8552
0.8462
0.0352
42
14.6
0.8400
0.8647
0.8557
0.0247

43
14.7
0.8600
0.8736
0.8647
0.0136
44
14.9
0.8800
0.8898
0.8811
0.0098
45
14.9
0.9000
0.8898
0.8811
0.0102
46
15.1
0.9200
0.9040
0.8957
0.0160
47
15.7
0.9400
0.9370
0.9299
0.0030
48
16.0
0.9600
0.9491
0.9427
0.0109
49
16.8
0.9800
0.9713
0.9667
0.0087
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
------------------------------------------------------Como el delta terico 0.1104, es menor que el delta tabular 0.1943. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribucin Gumbel, con un nivel de significacin del 5%
------------------------------------------------------Parmetros de la distribucin Gumbel:
------------------------------------------------------Con momentos ordinarios:
Parmetro de posicin ()= 11.9612
Parmetro de escala (alfa)= 1.3684
Con momentos lineales:
Parmetro de posicin (l)= 11.9185
Parmetro de escala (alfal)= 1.4423
-----------------------------Caudal de diseo:
-----------------------------El caudal de diseo para un periodo de retorno de aos, es