Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
SITIO DE PRESA
AOS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
153.7
229.6
146.6
83.4
51.0
116.3
49.0
28.6
158.6
73.5
14.7
21.8
33.0
16.4
11.5
29.6
43.3
58.0
30.0
41.0
46.5
58.4
87.7
36.4
51.2
58.4
76.8
73.5
16.1
16.5
16.3
134.7
192.6
150.3
59.7
79.9
126.4
65.7
16.8
102.0
74.1
20.3
64.8
29.6
0.4
17.8
65.2
27.8
75.3
69.6
27.3
64.8
90.1
83.2
33.5
66.1
61.7
73.1
22.9
15.6
16.6
15.8
152.0
243.2
135.0
111.2
72.1
149.9
105.3
84.1
91.4
84.3
43.7
86.3
63.6
41.7
81.7
71.3
22.9
96.8
79.9
50.8
64.3
72.0
81.3
99.1
103.6
106.6
70.2
56.7
16.0
16.7
16.5
191.4
233.6
131.3
99.9
88.7
109.9
70.0
87.1
92.7
96.5
72.4
89.2
63.0
65.9
85.8
78.5
44.9
64.6
111.2
77.9
73.9
93.1
80.3
91.5
86.5
108.6
78.8
80.6
15.8
16.7
16.3
225.0
199.9
131.5
82.6
104.0
128.1
56.1
88.6
87.6
103.8
84.0
63.6
85.1
48.8
66.7
45.7
70.1
96.3
85.4
56.7
62.0
94.7
80.0
69.4
87.3
75.8
62.7
124.3
15.7
16.4
16.1
255.5
162.6
146.1
105.3
102.4
132.6
96.1
78.1
101.9
143.3
140.4
85.9
91.3
33.5
88.9
55.0
44.8
64.6
105.7
39.0
68.6
67.9
97.7
81.5
88.3
54.7
53.0
89.6
15.6
15.7
15.5
62.2
62.7
82.9
87.0
84.3
87.8
dQ=
16.27
Cv=
0.24
Cs=
0.72
10
2.4
2.45
1.82
1.84
1.33
1.34
2.41
1.82
1.33
Cs=3+3
PROBABILIDAD EN PORCENTAGES
Cs
0.01
0.1
1
0.7
5.28
4.1
2.82
0.8
5.5
4.24
2.89
Interpolaci
0.72
5.33
4.13
2.84
Qi=
155.53
136.03
114.94
108.04
98.49
90.48
75
50
25
0
0
10
20
P (%)
1
1.61
4.84
8.06
11.29
14.52
17.74
20.97
24.19
27.42
10
30.65
11
33.87
12
37.10
13
40.32
14
43.55
15
46.77
16
50.00
17
53.23
18
56.45
19
59.68
20
62.90
21
66.13
22
69.35
23
72.58
24
75.81
25
79.03
AOS
1970
1974
1971
1972
1993
1983
1995
1991
1987
1985
1997
1977
1986
1989
1981
1984
1975
1973
1990
1994
1982
1979
1988
1980
1999
ENE
229.6
158.6
153.7
146.6
116.3
87.7
83.4
76.8
73.5
73.5
58.4
58.4
58.0
51.2
51.0
49.0
46.5
43.3
41.0
36.4
33.0
30.0
29.6
28.6
21.8
FEB
192.6
150.3
134.7
126.4
102.0
90.1
83.2
79.9
75.3
74.1
73.1
69.6
66.1
65.7
65.2
64.8
64.8
61.7
59.7
33.5
29.6
27.8
27.3
22.9
20.3
MAR
243.2
152.0
149.9
135.0
111.2
106.6
105.3
103.6
99.1
96.8
91.4
86.3
84.3
84.1
81.7
81.3
79.9
72.1
72.0
71.3
70.2
64.3
63.6
56.7
50.8
ABR
233.6
191.4
131.3
111.2
109.9
108.6
99.9
96.5
93.1
92.7
91.5
89.2
88.7
87.1
86.5
85.8
80.6
80.3
78.8
78.5
77.9
73.9
72.4
70.0
65.9
MAY
225.0
199.9
131.5
128.1
124.3
104.0
103.8
96.3
94.7
88.6
87.6
87.3
85.4
85.1
84.0
82.6
80.0
75.8
70.1
69.4
66.7
63.6
62.7
62.0
56.7
30
26
82.26
27
85.48
28
88.71
29
91.94
30
95.16
31
98.39
Tabla 2:
Prob %
2000
1998
1996
1978
1976
1992
16.5
16.4
16.3
16.1
14.7
11.5
17.8
16.8
16.6
15.8
15.6
0.4
43.7
41.7
22.9
16.7
16.5
16.0
64.6
63.0
44.9
16.7
16.3
15.8
158.36
149.44
84.69
73.50
49.00
29.92
20.20
16.22
14.77
149.520
129.72
85.27
74.34
64.80
27.70
19.55
16.28
15.61
151.895
140.96
105.69
97.26
81.30
64.16
48.67
20.40
16.51
188.395
119.24
102.51
92.78
85.80
73.60
65.51
33.62
16.27
196.480
129.46
103.86
89.82
82.60
63.42
56.52
33.98
16.07
56.1
48.8
45.7
16.4
16.1
15.7
JUL
161.775
144.42
113.77
102.00
88.30
62.68
50.54
26.36
15.60
160.430
142.00
99.17
88.96
78.90
57.44
45.41
27.48
15.16
200.00
150.00
Q (m3/s)
100.00
50.00
0.00
0
Meses
10
L (MODELIZACIN HIDROLGICA)
PRESA
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
Promedio
(Qi-Qm)^2
257.1
160.5
159.1
130.6
87.2
98.9
81.5
99.8
123.0
97.0
81.0
66.3
93.2
38.7
83.1
45.5
45.2
55.2
87.9
35.6
87.8
62.4
58.0
70.8
72.0
46.5
58.7
78.9
14.9
15.2
15.3
250.9
156.6
168.7
119.0
124.3
87.8
85.6
86.5
107.7
115.6
97.6
77.3
73.1
38.1
52.3
28.9
43.9
31.8
54.7
32.9
68.4
45.0
63.9
25.3
48.0
38.5
60.1
61.6
14.8
15.5
15.1
248.7
149.0
138.9
135.8
105.9
88.2
78.6
82.8
75.9
75.3
58.3
49.8
66.7
39.0
35.4
9.1
35.9
43.5
33.8
43.9
40.9
30.8
46.7
11.9
16.6
29.5
54.5
49.5
15.8
15.6
15.7
206.0
131.1
130.0
109.0
80.8
84.4
74.2
45.2
33.5
76.7
36.3
44.6
45.5
24.8
54.7
17.0
32.4
58.6
31.4
25.8
27.8
49.2
62.6
23.5
18.1
59.1
39.4
31.5
16.0
16.6
17.6
192.8
102.6
85.1
72.9
79.5
46.8
36.4
46.2
9.6
40.7
22.4
16.1
22.2
31.8
50.3
12.6
39.3
47.7
9.1
23.2
25.3
43.0
24.2
65.6
10.9
19.6
12.4
31.8
17.0
15.8
16.4
181.2
94.0
83.0
38.0
111.8
40.3
2.5
50.1
6.1
20.7
17.0
45.8
22.7
72.2
40.6
55.5
49.5
57.7
20.7
49.0
30.6
60.7
2.5
72.2
30.6
61.1
14.5
50.3
15.7
16.3
16.0
62.2
62.7
82.9
87.0
84.3
87.8
80.9
73.9
62.0
54.9
40.9
46.1
43.89
37.18
199.11
330.80
240.98
360.17
145.65
25.58
46.21
191.80
775.76
515.47
80.9
73.9
62.0
54.9
40.9
46.1
68.8
2912.59
25
50
75
80
90
95
99
99.9
0.59
0.58
-0.12
-0.13
-0.72
-0.73
-0.85
-0.86
-1.18
-1.17
-1.42
-1.38
-1.81
-1.74
-2.14
-2.02
0.59
-0.12
-0.722
-0.85
-1.18
-1.41
-1.79
-2.11
78.36
20
30
66.81
40
50
57.04
60
54.93
70
49.63
80
90
45.84
39.60
100
P (%)
JUN
255.5
162.6
146.1
143.3
140.4
132.6
105.7
105.3
102.4
101.9
97.7
96.1
91.3
89.6
88.9
88.3
85.9
81.5
78.1
68.6
67.9
64.6
55.0
54.7
53.0
JUL
257.1
160.5
159.1
130.6
123.0
99.8
98.9
97.0
93.2
87.9
87.8
87.2
83.1
81.5
81.0
78.9
72.0
70.8
66.3
62.4
58.7
58.0
55.2
46.5
45.5
AGO
250.9
168.7
156.6
124.3
119.0
115.6
107.7
97.6
87.8
86.5
85.6
77.3
73.1
68.4
63.9
61.6
60.1
54.7
52.3
48.0
45.0
43.9
38.5
38.1
32.9
SEP
248.7
149.0
138.9
135.8
105.9
88.2
82.8
78.6
75.9
75.3
66.7
58.3
54.5
49.8
49.5
46.7
43.9
43.5
40.9
39.0
35.9
35.4
33.8
30.8
29.5
OCT
206.0
131.1
130.0
109.0
84.4
80.8
76.7
74.2
62.6
59.1
58.6
54.7
49.2
45.5
45.2
44.6
39.4
36.3
33.5
32.4
31.5
31.4
27.8
25.8
24.8
NOV
192.8
102.6
85.1
79.5
72.9
65.6
50.3
47.7
46.8
46.2
43.0
40.7
39.3
36.4
31.8
31.8
25.3
24.2
23.2
22.4
22.2
19.6
17.0
16.4
16.1
DIC
181.2
111.8
94.0
83.0
72.2
72.2
61.1
60.7
57.7
55.5
50.3
50.1
49.5
49.0
45.8
40.6
40.3
38.0
30.6
30.6
22.7
20.7
20.7
17.0
16.3
34.42
44.8
39.0
33.5
15.7
15.6
15.5
AGO
45.2
38.7
35.6
15.3
15.2
14.9
SEP
168.095
137.22
110.07
86.76
61.60
42.82
32.57
21.38
15.12
31.8
28.9
25.3
15.5
15.1
14.8
OCT
148.495
137.04
84.42
75.42
46.70
35.08
25.63
15.66
12.09
131.045
117.40
77.93
59.80
44.60
30.68
24.41
17.36
16.62
5%
10%
20%
30%
50%
70%
80%
90%
95%
8
10
11
12
16.6
15.8
15.7
15.6
11.9
9.1
NOV
101.725
81.74
54.89
46.32
31.80
19.08
16.01
11.80
9.67
23.5
18.1
17.6
17.0
16.6
16.0
DIC
110.910
87.40
64.43
55.94
40.60
20.70
16.21
11.14
2.68
15.8
12.6
12.4
10.9
9.6
9.1
16.0
15.7
14.5
6.1
2.5
2.5