Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
AO DE DISEO :
2035
POBLACIN FUTURA
PF = Po + r *(T-To)
TASA
r = (Pi + 1 - Pi)/(Ti+1 - Ti)
N
1
2
3
4
5
AO
1983
1992
2005
2016
2036
POBLACIN
925
1435
1780
2578
3564
Promedio
COEF. DE CORRELACIN
0.9935
r (Hab/Ao)
56.667
26.538
72.545
51.917
2035
POBLACIN FUTURA
PF = Po*( 1+ r*(T-To) )
TASA
r = (Pi+1 - Pi) / Pi *( Ti+1 - Ti)
N
1
2
3
4
5
AO
1983
1992
2005
2016
2036
POBLACIN r (Hab/Ao)
925
1435
0.061
1780
0.018
2578
0.041
4546
Promedio
0.040
COEF. DE CORRELACIN
0.9735
2035
POBLACIN FUTURA
PF = AxT^3 + BxT^2 + CxT + D
N
1
2
3
4
5
AO
1983
1992
2005
2016
2036
POBLACIN
925
1435
1780
2578
7122
T (aos)
0
9
22
33
53
=
=
=
A*t^2 + B*t + C
A*(0)^2 + B*(0) + C
925
1435
510
56.667
=
-
A*81 + B*9 +
81 A
9* A
925
=
=
9
B
1780
855
38.864
=
-
A*484 + B*22 +
484 A
22 A
925
=
=
22
B
2578
1653
50.091
=
-
1089*A + 33*B +
1089 A
33 A
925
=
=
33
B
56.667
38.864
17.803
17.803
1.3695
=
=
9* A
22 A
13 a
13
A
A
B
=
=
1.3695
44.3415
COEF. DE CORRELACIN
0.9159
=
=
=
A
B
B
0
Ecu (1)
Ecu (2)
Ecu (3)
44.3415
METODO GEOMETRICO
AO DE DISEO :
2035
POBLACIN FUTURA
PF = Po*( 1+ r)^(T-To)
TASA
log(1+r)=[log(Pi+1/Pi)] / Pi*( Ti+1 - Ti)
X1 = log(Pi+1) - Log(Pi)
X2 = Pi (Ti+1 - Ti)
X3 = X1/X2
r = (10^X3)-1
N
1
2
3
4
5
AO
1983
1992
2005
2016
2036
POBLACIN
925
1435
1780
2578
2578.07151
X1
X2
X3
0.1907
0.0936
0.1609
8325
18655
19580
2.2908E-005
5.0157E-006
8.2157E-006
Promedio
COEF. DE CORRELACIN
0.9364
r (Hab/ao)
5.27493E-005
1.15492E-005
1.89175E-005
2.77386E-005
2035
POBLACIN FUTURA
PF = Po*e^ r(T-To)
TASA
r = [Ln (Pi+1) - Ln(Pi)] / Pi(Ti+1 - Ti)
N
1
2
3
4
5
AO
1983
1992
2005
2016
2036
POBLACIN
925
1435
1780
2578
2579
Promedio
COEF. DE CORRELACIN
0.9365
r (Hab/Ao)
0.000034
0.000009
0.000013
0.000019
2035
POBLACIN FUTURA
PF = Po*r^(T-To)
TASA
r = (Pi+1 / Pi)^[1/(Ti+1 - Ti)]
N
1
2
3
4
5
AO
1983
1992
2005
2016
2036
POBLACIN
925
1435
1780
2578
4835
Promedio
COEF. DE CORRELACIN
0.9657
r (Hab/Ao)
1.050
1.017
1.034
1.034