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Cross Validasi
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
Thisexercisehasbeendesignedtohighlighttheeconomicimpactofestimationerrors.
8
Data:
1
1
Thegradesof64blocksofsize1x1
2
3
3
4
5
2
6
7
1
8
1
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
8
Data:
1
1
Thegradesof64blocksofsize1x1
wereavailableinanarea8x8
2
3
3
4
5
2
6
7
1
8
1
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
8
Data:
1
1
Thegradesof64blocksofsize1x1
wereavailableinanarea8x8
2
3
3
Shows16 ofthesegrades
4
5
2
6
7
1
8
1
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
8
Data:
735
45
125
1
1
167
Thegradesof64blocksofsize1x1
wereavailableinanarea8x8
450
337
95
245
Shows16 ofthesegrades
Eachfromthetopleftcornerofa
blockofsize2x2
124
430
230
460
2
6
75
20
32
20
1
8
1
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
8
Data:
735
45
125
1
1
167
Thegradesof64blocksofsize1x1
wereavailableinanarea8x8
450
337
95
245
Shows16 ofthesegrades
Eachfromthetopleftcornerofa
blockofsize2x2
Thevaluesoftheother48samples
willbeusedlaterforcomparison
purposes
124
430
230
460
2
6
75
20
32
20
1
8
1
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
8
PolygonalEstimation
1
1
735
45
125
167
2
3
450
337
95
245
4
5
124
430
230
460
6
7
75
20
32
20
8
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
735
45
125
1
1
167
4
2
450
337
95
245
3
4
124
430
230
460
2
6
75
20
32
20
1
8
1
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
8
KrigingEstimation
1
1
442
190
142
204
2
3
354
276
212
279
4
5
189
226
216
271
6
7
99
81
88
125
8
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
SelectiveMining
Supposethatinthiscasetheeconomiccutoff is300.
8
1
1
735
45
125
Sotheexpectedprofitis:
735+450+337+430+460 (5x300)=912
167
2
3
450
337
95
245
4
5
124
430
230
460
6
7
75
20
32
20
8
EstimationPolygonal
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
SelectiveMining
Supposethatinthiscasetheeconomiccutoffis300.
8
1
1
505
143
88
207
2
3
270
328
171
Sotheexpectedprofitis(polygonal):
735+450+337+430+460 (5x300)=912
411
Sotheactualprofitwouldbe:
505+270+328+220+263 (1500) = 86
4
5
2
102
220
154
263
6
7
101
54
44
155
8
TrueValue
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
SelectiveMining
TrueValue
Actualprofit
wouldbe:86
8
505
143
88
207
1
4
442
190
142
204
270
328
171
411
3
3
354
276
212
279
102
220
154
263
189
226
216
271
101
44
54
155
99
81
88
125
8
2
1
1
1
735
45
125
167
2
3
450
337
95
245
4
5
124
430
230
460
6
7
75
20
32
20
8
Expectedprofit
(Polygonal):912
Cutoffis300.
Expectedprofit
(Kriging):???
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
SelectiveMining
TrueValue
Actualprofit
wouldbe:86
8
505
143
88
207
1
4
442
190
142
204
270
328
171
411
3
3
354
276
212
279
102
220
154
263
189
226
216
271
101
44
54
155
99
81
88
125
8
2
1
1
1
735
45
125
167
2
3
450
337
95
245
4
5
124
430
230
460
6
7
75
20
32
20
8
Cutoffis300.
Expectedprofit
(Kriging):
442+ 354+ 276+ 226+
271 (5x300)= 69
Expectedprofit
(Polygonal):912
Estimasi ANDA???
The$64question:doesgeostatisticswork?
SelectiveMining
Studi Kasus
SEAM BATUBARA
Jenis blok:
blok regular rectangular grid,
unreguler single hole
Jumlah Blok yang dihitung:
720 buah
4.00
3.50
KetebalanBatubara EstimasiIDS(m)
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00 (m)
KetebalanBatubara
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.00
KetebalanBatubara EstimasiOrdinaryKriging(m)
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
KetebalanBatubara(m)
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
Tugas 3
Plot Cross Validasi
Blok