Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Analisisdeconsistencia 130707205027 Phpapp01
Analisisdeconsistencia 130707205027 Phpapp01
I.
INTRODUCCIN:
II.
OBJETIVOS:
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
III.
MARCO TEORICO:
HIDROLOGA
Define el rgimen de caudales o volumen de escorrenta, la erosin
y sedimentacin y las clasificaciones de las corrientes en temporales y
permanentes.
ANLISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Una serie de tiempo de datos hidrolgicos es relativamente constante si los
datos son peridicamente proporcionales a una serie de tiempo apropiado
simultneamente (Chang y Lee 1974). La consistencia relativa significativa
que
los
datos
hidrolgicos
en
una
observacin cierta
estacin
son
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ANLISIS ESTADSTICO
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA ESCUELA
ACADMICO PROFESIONAL
DE INGENIERA CIVIL
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Anlisis de Saltos
1. Consistencia de la Media
a) Clculo de la media y de la desviacin estndar para las
submuestras, segn:
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ANLISIS DE TENDENCIAS
Antes de realizar el anlisis de tendencias, se realiza el anlisis de saltos y
con la serie libre de saltos, se procede a analizar las tendencias en la media
y en la desviacin estndar.
1. Tendencia en la Media
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
b. Evaluacin de la tendencia Tm
Para averiguar si la tendencia es significativa, se analiza el coeficiente de
regresin Bm o tambin el coeficiente de correlacin R.
El anlisis de R segn el estadstico 1, es como sigue:
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
donde:
tc= valor del estadstico t calculado, n = nmero total de datos, R =
coeficiente de correlacin
Clculo de t:
IV.
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
1964
101.2
1965
65.7
134.3
115.3
84
31.5
99.3
102.8
58
16.5
1966
98.5
102.9
82.8
59.8
21.5
1967
74.20
81.40
68.00
50.50
13.30
1968
16.80
49.80
60.00
34.70
67.30
1969
50.00
108.80
145.50
41.20
24.80
1970
37.00
24.90
74.40
20.20
8.00
1971
84.1
69.4
146.9
91.2
48.6
1972
65.9
42
94.8
40.2
19.4
1973
114.5
75.5
87.9
73
37.4
1974
110.4
113.4
84.6
71.9
33.2
1975
77.2
118
63.3
54.3
37.9
1976
129.51
62.51
68.33
59.25
47.07
1977
129.02
145.49
119.26
45.73
27.91
1978
12.61
34.19
41.01
39.72
71.81
1979
83.53
81.09
134.22
39.82
17.84
1980
69.2
206.2
109.7
46.3
25
1981
59.6
97.1
75.6
84.5
31.9
1982
93
69.4
181.9
91.7
39.4
1983
45.5
257.9
125.8
61.5
65.7
1984
15.8
50.3
37.8
49.9
56.9
1985
108.1
34.2
92.4
106.6
15.3
1986
145
82.2
38.7
58.3
9.4
1987
124.1
127.5
51.5
109.1
16.6
1988
62.4
176.5
156.2
114.2
27.6
1989
99.4
64.5
79.1
62.1
53.2
1990
65.6
88
189.7
99.4
3.6
1991
73.6
37.1
61.2
69.1
18.6
1856.8
77.37
2310.6
96.28
2325.9
96.91
1631.7
67.99
722.6
30.11
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
SETIEMBRE
OCTUBRE
NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE
PROMEDIO
15.4
10.2
8.7
36.9
35.3
71.7
67.2
59.31
14.9
10.5
7.2
23.1
105.5
56
77.3
53.07
2.9
5.8
29.4
80.2
85.6
76.8
54.18
6.70
10.80
2.20
19.80
34.70
22.20
57.30
36.76
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
5.20
15.40
6.00
24.30
29.90
35.90
59.60
33.74
1.60
12.50
18.90
35.20
6.40
29.70
41.80
43.03
8.30
3.50
4.90
1.80
126.50
91.70
130.60
44.32
7.2
3.7
13.1
37.1
97.2
52.4
83.2
61.18
8.4
4.7
16.7
20.9
50
71
60.8
41.23
15
12.2
14.3
25.3
55.8
56.5
54.7
51.84
10.8
10.6
16.3
26.5
41.8
55.6
53.1
52.35
11.7
8.3
7.4
24.7
88.7
55.7
69.5
51.39
23.95
0.12
3.69
12.20
32.20
70.27
50.19
46.61
8.33
9.14
0.08
15.96
53.41
53.78
77.10
57.10
4.06
5.36
3.19
24.79
24.40
52.99
50.65
30.40
1.87
9.14
13.17
33.32
24.40
25.81
52.68
43.08
8.4
8.9
15.8
22.7
95.8
29.9
97.1
61.25
7.8
9.4
2.2
44.5
104.6
86.1
86.1
57.45
10.7
11.1
8.9
16.9
77.3
49.2
89.3
61.57
19.1
11.1
22.2
38.3
86.3
68.7
85.4
73.96
1.8
1.1
13
45.6
33.3
16.5
41.7
30.31
0.3
9.2
19.5
1.3
27
50.1
78.9
45.24
9.1
17.2
14.9
38.6
36.9
58.7
60.6
47.47
8.6
1.2
24.8
63.6
83.1
75.8
57.16
26.4
0.5
3.8
53.5
110.9
28
84.5
70.38
25.3
12
11
129.7
110.2
70.8
59.94
1.6
0.4
1.3
41.5
22.2
55
64.2
52.71
11.4
3.4
36.1
31.2
66.4
63.9
39.83
239.
7
9.99
179.6
242.3
679.8
1570.8
1385.9
1730.2
7.48
10.10
28.33
65.45
57.75
72.09
10
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ANLISIS
DE
CONSISTENCIA
1. ANALISIS VISUAL GRAFICO
AOS
PRECIPITA
CION
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
59.31
53.07
54.18
36.76
33.74
43.03
44.32
61.18
41.23
51.84
52.35
51.39
46.61
57.10
30.40
43.08
61.25
57.45
61.57
73.96
30.31
45.24
11
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
47.47
57.16
70.38
59.94
52.71
39.83
EST. WEBERBAWER
EST. CHETILLA.
PRECIPITACION
PRECIP. ACUM.
PRECIPITACIO
N
PRECIP.
ACUM.
64.81
50.49
35.71
55.37
42.42
56.23
44.45
64.32
36.47
56.13
55.33
76.93
46.73
57.87
29.90
44.56
46.16
61.34
59.77
63.08
75.48
31.18
45.37
44.62
50.24
64.81
115.30
151.01
206.38
248.79
305.02
349.47
413.78
450.25
506.38
561.70
638.63
685.37
743.23
773.13
817.69
863.85
925.19
984.96
1048.03
1123.52
1154.69
1200.06
1244.68
1294.92
59.31
53.07
54.18
36.76
33.74
43.03
44.32
61.18
41.23
51.84
52.35
51.39
46.61
57.10
30.40
43.08
61.25
57.45
61.57
73.96
30.31
45.24
47.47
57.16
70.38
59.31
112.38
166.56
203.32
237.06
280.09
324.41
385.58
426.82
478.66
531.01
582.40
629.01
686.11
716.51
759.58
820.83
878.28
939.85
1013.81
1044.12
1089.36
1136.83
1193.98
1264.36
12
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1989
1990
1991
58.27
53.61
42.28
1353.18
1406.79
1449.08
59.94
52.71
39.83
1324.30
1377.01
1416.84
1600.00
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
0.00
400.00
800.00
1200.00
1600.00
ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
1. ANLISIS DE SALTOS.
ANALISIS
TRAMO 2
TRAMO 1 AO
DATO
1975
51.39
AO
DATO
1976
46.61
1964
59.31
1977
57.10
1965
53.07
1978
30.40
1966
54.18
1979
43.08
1967
36.76
1980
61.25
1968
33.74
1981
57.45
1969
43.03
1982
61.57
1970
44.32
1983
73.96
1971
61.18
DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2
13
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1972
1973
1974
41.23
51.84
52.35
n1= 11.00
n2= 9.00
X =
53.64 y
48.27 y
9.01
12.58
Tc=
10.75
4.83
1.112
18.00
0.025
14
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Tt=
2.109
Tc=
<
Tt
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR
81.192
158.291
1.950
15
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
G.N.N.=
G.N.D.=
8.00
10.00
3.072
Ft=
Fc
Ft
<
NO SE DEBE CORREGIR
1Y2
DATO TRAMO 3
59.31
AO
DATO
53.07
1984
30.31
54.18
1985
45.24
36.76
1986
47.47
33.74
1987
57.16
43.03
1988
70.38
44.32
1989
59.94
61.18
1990
52.71
41.23
1991
39.83
51.84
52.35
51.39
46.61
n1= 20.00
57.10
n2= 8.00
30.40
43.08
61.25
57.45
61.57
73.96
16
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
X =
50.38 y
50.69 y
10.81
12.49
Tc=
11.29
4.72
0.066
26.00
0.025
Tt=
2.055
Tc=
<
Tt
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR
17
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
116.897
155.941
1.334
Ft=
Fc
<
Ft
7.00
19.00
2.544
NO SE DEBE CORREGIR
30.31
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA ESCUELA
ACADMICO PROFESIONAL
DE INGENIERA CIVIL
18
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
45.24
47.47
57.16
70.38
59.94
52.71
39.83
DATOS FINALES CORREGIDOS
AOS
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
EST. WEBERBAWER
PRECIPITA
PRECIP.
CION
ACUM.
64.81
64.81
50.49
115.30
35.71
151.01
55.37
206.38
42.42
248.79
56.23
305.02
44.45
349.47
64.32
413.78
36.47
450.25
56.13
506.38
55.33
561.70
76.93
638.63
46.73
685.37
57.87
743.23
29.90
773.13
44.56
817.69
46.16
863.85
61.34
925.19
59.77
984.96
63.08
1048.03
75.48
1123.52
31.18
1154.69
45.37
1200.06
44.62
1244.68
50.24
1294.92
58.27
1353.18
53.61
1406.79
42.28
1449.08
EST. CHETILLA.
PRECIPITA
PRECIP.
CION
ACUM.
59.31
59.31
53.07
112.38
54.18
166.56
36.76
203.32
33.74
237.06
43.03
280.09
44.32
324.41
61.18
385.58
41.23
426.82
51.84
478.66
52.35
531.01
51.39
582.40
46.61
629.01
57.10
686.11
30.40
716.51
43.08
759.58
61.25
820.83
57.45
878.28
61.57
939.85
73.96
1013.81
30.31
1044.12
45.24
1089.36
47.47
1136.83
57.16
1193.98
70.38
1264.36
59.94
1324.30
52.71
1377.01
39.83
1416.84
19
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1600.00
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
ACUMULADO DE LA ESTACION EN ESTUDIO
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
ANLISIS DE TENDENCIAS
1. Tendencia en la Media
t
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA ESCUELA
ACADMICO PROFESIONAL
DE INGENIERA CIVIL
20
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1.00
59.31
59.31
75.81
2.00
53.07
106.13
6.08
3.00
54.18
162.55
12.83
4.00
36.76
147.03
5.00
33.74
168.71
6.00
43.03
258.20
191.6
3
284.2
5
57.28
7.00
44.32
310.22
39.50
8.00
61.18
489.40
9.00
41.23
371.10
111.8
0
87.76
10.00
51.84
518.42
1.54
11.00
52.35
575.85
3.06
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
51.39
46.61
57.10
30.40
616.70
605.91
799.42
455.98
16.00
17.00
43.08
61.25
18.00
57.45
19.00
61.57
20.00
73.96
21.00
30.31
689.21
1041.2
5
1034.1
0
1169.7
7
1479.1
7
636.48
0.62
15.95
42.25
408.1
5
56.64
113.3
9
46.90
22.00
45.24
995.32
23.00
47.47
24.00
57.16
25.00
70.38
1091.7
3
1371.8
0
1759.3
8
120.2
3
545.5
4
411.8
1
28.73
9.83
42.99
390.9
9
182.
25
156.
25
132.
25
110.
25
90.2
5
72.2
5
56.2
5
42.2
5
30.2
5
20.2
5
12.2
5
6.25
2.25
0.25
0.25
2.25
6.25
12.2
5
20.2
5
30.2
5
42.2
5
56.2
5
72.2
5
90.2
5
110.
25
21
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
26.00
59.94
27.00
52.71
28.00
39.83
14.5
0
50.60 750.3
6
Desv.est
and.
1558.4
8
1423.1
3
1115.3
3
87.24
4.44
115.9
5
132.
25
156.
25
182.
25
118. 65.2
33
5
8.23
n= 28
11.08
50.60
14.50
750.36
11.08
8.23
0.1826
47.04
0.246
47.09 + 0.082*t
b. Evaluacin de la tendencia Tm:
Clculo del estadstico t segn:
0.947
22
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Clculo de tt:
G.L.=
tt=
26.00
2.0555
V.
CONCLUCIONES
23
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
24