CAUDALES MAXIMOS ANUALES

Serie completa de datos de aforos de caudales mximos anuales estacin La Capilla.

Q max
AO
log Q
1960
618.50
2.7913397
T aos =
50 aos
1961
887.50
2.9481684
Dis. Norm=
2017.08 m3/seg.
1962
1205.00
3.0809870
Log Norm=
2221.81 m3/seg.
1963
1650.00
3.2174839
Gumbel =
2294.79 m3/seg.
1964
1078.00
3.0326188
Tipo III =
2108.26 m3/seg.
1965
1170.00
3.0681859
1966
607.00
2.7831887
Indicadores de caudales ro Mala
1967
482.00
2.6830470
Q mximo =
2750.00 m3/seg.
1968
925.00
2.9661417
Q minimo =
403.50 m3/seg.
1969
403.50
2.6058435
Q promedio=
956.93 m3/seg.
1970
922.00
2.9647309
1971
1186.00
3.0740847
Criterios asumidos:
Gumbel
1972
2750.00
3.4393327
Periodo de retono:
50 aos
3
1973
900.00
2.9542425
Q diseo :
2294.79 m /seg.
1974
1130.00
3.0530784
1975
422.00
2.6253125
1976
730.00
2.8633229
HISTOGRAMA DE DESCARGAS
1977
492.00
2.6919651
1978
736.00
2.8668778
1979
760.00
2.8808136
CAUDAL (m 3/seg)
1980
1041.00
3.0174507

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
AOS

N
Media
Desvest
coef. Asim

21
956.93
516.09

2.93
0.20

CALCULO DEL CAUDAL DE MAXIMA AVENIDA

METODO DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
T (aos)
P
w
z
2
0.500
1.1774
0.0000
5
0.200
1.7941
0.8415
10
0.100
2.1460
1.2817
20
0.050
2.4477
1.6452
50
0.020
2.7971
2.0542
100
0.010
3.0349
2.3268

Q (m3/s)
956.93
1391.20
1618.42
1806.01
2017.08
2157.77

METODO DE LOG - NORMAL

T
Aos

P (1/T)
2
5
10
20
50
100

0.5000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0500
0.0200
0.0100

W
1.1774
1.7941
2.1460
2.4477
2.7971
3.0349

GUMBEL
T
Aos

k*

2
-0.164272
5
0.719457
10
1.304563
20
1.865811
50
2.592288
100
3.136681
* Valores leidos de tablas

Q(m3/s.)
872.15
1328.24
1630.21
1919.86
2294.79
2575.75

Y = Ym. + Z Desvi.
K=Z
Y
Q(m3/s.)
Estimado
Antilog(Y)
0.0000
2.9337
858.47
0.8415
3.1029
1267.34
1.2817
3.1914
1553.85
1.6452
3.2645
1838.59
2.0542
3.3467
2221.81
2.3268
3.4015
2520.64

METODO DE LOG - PEARSON TIPO III

T
Aos

P (1/T)
2
5
10
20
50
75
100

0.5000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0500
0.0200
0.0133
0.0100

W
1.1774
1.7941
2.1460
2.4477
2.7971
2.9385
3.0349

KT

0.0000
0.8415
1.2817
1.6452
2.0542
2.2168
2.3268

0.03474
0.84980
1.25715
1.58374
1.94087
2.07986
2.17290

CUADRO RESUMEN DE CAUDALES

T (aos)
2
5
10
20
50
100

Distribucin
Log. Normal
Normal
956.93
1391.20
1618.42
1806.01
2017.08
2157.77

858.47
1267.34
1553.85
1838.59
2221.81
2520.64

Gumbel
872.15
1328.24
1630.21
1919.86
2294.79
2575.75

Log
Pearson
Tipo III
872.39
1272.25
1536.27
1787.01
2108.26
2248.37

Y
estimado
2.940708659
3.104572525
3.186466561
3.252125898
3.323924513
3.351868412
3.37057374

Q(m3/s)
872.39
1272.25
1536.27
1787.01
2108.26
2248.37
2347.33

Yn
METODO DE GUMBEL:
A. Clculo el promedio de caudales :
Qm =

956.93 m3/seg.

B. Clculo de la desviacin estndar de los caudales :

G=

516.09

C. Clculo de los coeficientes :

De la tabla , para N = 21aos, se tiene:
Yn =
Gn =

0.5252
1.0696

D. Clculo del caudal mximo:

T=

Qmax =
Qmax =

( T = aos )

50 aos

956.929 - 516.094/1.0696 * (0.5252 - ln50)

2591.109 m3/seg.

E. Clculo de O/ :

00 2005 Para T =
>> O/ = 1-1/T =

50 aos
0.98

F. Clculo del intervalo de confianza:

Como O/ mayor que 0.90, se utiliza la sgte. ecuacin:
incrementoQ = + - 1.14*G/Gn = + -1.14*516.094/1.0696
incrementoQ =

550.063 m3/seg.

G. Clculo del caudal de diseo:

Se tiene, para T = 50 aos:
Qd = Qmax + increQ

Qd =

3141.172 m3/seg.

n de datos
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100

Gn
y
0,4952
0,5128
0,5236
0,5309
0,5362
0,5403
0,5436
0,5463
0,5485
0,5504
0,5521
0,5535
0,5548
0,5559
0,5569
0,5578
0,5586
0,5593
0,5600

y
0,9496
10,206
10,628
10,914
11,124
11,285
11,413
11,518
11,607
11,682
11,747
11,803
11,854
11,898
11,938
11,974
12,007
12,037
12,065

Ndatos
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34

yn
0,36651
0,40434
0,42859
0,44580
0,45879
0,46903
0,47735
0,48428
0,49015
0,49521
0,49961
0,50350
0,50695
0,51004
0,51284
0,51537
0,51768
0,51980
0,52175
0,52355
0,52522
0,52678
0,52823
0,52959
0,53086
0,53206
0,53319
0,53426
0,53527
0,53622
0,53713
0,53799
0,53881
0,53959

/100000
Sn
0,00000
0,49838
0,64348
0,73147
0,79278
0,83877
0,87493
0,90432
0,92882
0,94963
0,96758
0,98327
0,99713
1.00948
1.02057
1.0306
1.03973
1.04808
1.05575
1.06282
1.06938
1.07547
1.08115
1.08646
1.09145
1.09613
110054
110470
110864
111237
111592
111929
112249
112555

Ndatos
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68

yn
0,54034
0,54105
0,54174
0,54239
0,54302
0,54362
0,54420
0,54475
0,54529
0,54580
0,54630
0,54678
0,54724
0,54769
0,54812
0,54854
0,54895
0,54934
0,54972
0,55009
0,55044
0,55079
0,55113
0,55146
0,55177
0,55208
0,55238
0,55268
0,55296
0,55324
0,55351
0,55378
0,55403
0,55429

/100000
Sn
112,847
113,126
113,394
113,650
113,896
114,131
114,358
114,576
114,787
114,989
115,184
115,373
115,555
115,731
115,901
116,066
116,226
116,380
116,530
116,676
116,817
116,955
117,088
117,218
117,344
117,467
117,586
117,702
117,816
117,926
118,034
118,139
118,242
118,342

Ndatos
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101

yn
0,55453
0,55477
0,55500
0,55523
0,55546
0,55567
0,55589
0,55610
0,55630
0,55650
0,55669
0,55689
0,55707
0,55726
0,55744
0,55761
0,55779
0,55796
0,55812
0,55828
0,55844
0,55860
0,55876
0,55891
0,55905
0,55920
0,55934
0,55948
0,55962
0,55976
0,55989
0,56002
0,56015

/100000
Sn
118,440
118,535
118,629
118,720
118,809
118,896
118,982
119,065
119,147
119,227
119,306
119,382
119,458
119,531
119,604
119,675
119,744
119,813
119,880
119,945
120,010
120,073
120,135
120,196
120,256
120,315
120,373
120,430
120,486
120,541
120,596
120,649
120,701