Sea n=3

B=S B
B=( A 1 A2 A 31) B
A
A
A
( 3 B)
( 2 B)
( 1 B)
B=
A
A
A
( 3 B)
( 2 B)
( 1 B)
B=
A
A
A
( 3 B)
+ P( 2 B)+ P
P( 1 B)
P(B)=
P( B)=P ( A 1 ) P( B / A 1)+ P ( A 2 ) P (B / A 2)+ P ( A3 ) P(B/ A 3 )
P ( A 3 / B )=

P ( B / A 3 ) P( A 3)
3

P ( B / A j ) P( A j)

P ( B/ A 3 ) P( A3 )
P ( B / A 1) P ( A1 ) + P ( B/ A 2 ) P ( A 2 )+ P ( B / A3 ) P( A 3)

j=i

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Cuando n=3 en el teorema de Bayes se obtiene lo siguiente:

P ( B1 / A ) =

P ( B1 ) P ( B1 A )
P( B1 A )
=
P ( B1 A ) + P ( B2 A ) + P(B3 A) P ( B 1) P ( A/ B1 ) + P ( B 2) P ( A/ B2 ) + P ( B 3 ) P ( A /B3 )

P ( B 2 / A )=

P ( B2 ) P ( B2 A )
P( B2 A )
=
P ( B1 A ) + P ( B2 A ) + P(B3 A) P ( B 1) P ( A/ B1 ) + P ( B 2) P ( A/ B2 ) + P ( B 3 ) P ( A /B3 )

P ( B 3 / A )=

P ( B3 ) P ( B3 A )
P( B3 A)
=
P ( B1 A ) + P ( B2 A ) + P(B3 A ) P ( B 1) P ( A/ B1 ) + P ( B 2 ) P ( A /B2 ) + P ( B3 ) P ( A /B3 )